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#GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Multi-touch Attribution &
Attribution Modeling !
Vinoaj Vijeyakumaar
Managing Partner & Co-Founder
Sparkline Analytics
@vinoaj / vinoaj@sparklineanalytics.com
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Amari Hotels
45%
increase in sales
0%
increase in
resources
required
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Paid
Search
Paid
Display
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Paid
Search
Paid
Display
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
AMARI TOTAL MARKETING BUDGET
Reallocating resources
Display channels
 Non-Display channels
7%
BEFORE
17%
AFTER
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013! #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Hello!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
AU, NZ
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
SG, MY, TH, ID, PH, VN
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
A/B & MVT
Testing
Actionable
Insights
User
Experience
Google
Analytics
Implementation
AdWords API
Automation
What I did (and still do)
Conversion
Rate
Optimisation
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Sparkline Analytics
Managing Partners: A team of Xoogli
Timo
5 yrs Google
Analytics /
Partnerships
/ AdWords
Aleetza
9 yrs
AdWords /
YouTube /
Digital
Solutions
Vinny
5 yrs Google
Analytics /
Conversion
Rate
Optimisation
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013! #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Attributing the right way!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
How do you form the perfect soccer team?
The Striker: Player X
The Defender: Player Y
The Midfielder: Player Z
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
What is the right combination?
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
What does your most valuable team look like?
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
What does your most valuable team look like?
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
What does your most valuable team look like?
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Yes, a not-so-subtle analogy
You
Customers
Your
competitors
Paid
Search
Display
Ads
Social
Media
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Last-click attribution
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Last-click attribution
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Last-click attribution
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Last-click attribution
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Last-click attribution
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Last-click attribution
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Last-click attribution
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Last-click attribution tells you to do this
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Which is not this!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013! #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Getting started with the Attribution Modeling
Tool!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Attribution in Google Analytics
Nov 2005
Google Analytics
Launch

Last-click attribution
through goals & e-
commerce
Nov 2012
Attribution
Modeling Tool
open to all!

True(r) multi-
touch attribution
Oct 2008
Advanced
Segments
introduced

Ability to separate
out sessions with &
without conversions
Aug 2011
Multi-Channel
Funnels

Visibility into
behaviour pre-last-
click. “Basic”
attribution.
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Attribution Modeling Tool
Pre-requisites:


•  Goals (preferably with values)
•  Ecommerce tracking
•  Campaign tagging (i.e. utm
parameters) for non-AdWords
campaigns
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Attribution Modeling Tool
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
What needs to get attributed
Select the conversion
event(s) to attribute against
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Parameters of attribution
Assess all
traffic or only
AdWords traffic
Set length of lookback
window (ie no. days prior
to a conversion)
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Start modeling
Select model(s) to
compare against
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Amari revisited
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Amari revisited: comparing models
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
The value of each channel
according to the attribution
models applied
Amari revisited: comparing models
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
The value of each channel
according to the attribution
models applied
The difference in value of each
channel between the last-click
attribution model and applied
attribution model.
Amari revisited: comparing models
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
AMARI TOTAL MARKETING BUDGET
Reallocating resources
Display channels
 Non-Display channels
7%
BEFORE
17%
AFTER
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
The best type of impact
45%
increase in sales
0%
increase in
resources
required
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013! #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Custom Models!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Going Custom
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Name your model
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Choose a standard model to
base your custom model on
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Input your parameters. In this
example, weights for different
positions in the funnel
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Toggle further
customisations
on & off
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Set your lookback window
(days prior to a conversion)
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Breaking News!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Modeling on GDN Impressions
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Add different weightings (e.g. 50%) for
impressions (requires dc.js and only
applicable to DFA & Google activity)
Add different weightings (e.g. 50%) for
impressions (requires dc.js and only
applicable to DFA & Google activity)
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Vary weights based on engagement:
how much time spent on site or on
depth of visit
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Add custom attribution rules – e.g.
visits with bounces gets zero credit
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Add custom attribution rules – e.g.
visits from competitor brand terms
get 5x credit
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Your custom model
is ready to be
applied across your
conversions
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013! #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
What next?!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Attribution in Google Analytics
Nov 2005
Google Analytics
Launch

Last-click attribution
through goals & e-
commerce
Nov 2012
Attribution
Modeling Tool
open to all!

True(r) multi-
touch attribution
Oct 2008
Advanced
Segments
introduced

Ability to separate
out sessions with &
without conversions
Aug 2011
Multi-Channel
Funnels

Visibility into
behaviour pre-last-
click. “Basic”
attribution.
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Attribution in Google Analytics
Jun 2013

What next?


All I want for Christmas (or sooner!):

•  Integrate viewthrough data from any ad server
•  Multi-device attribution (Universal Analytics!)
•  Media mix modeling

Show your support: #iwantmyunicorn #gauc2013
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013! #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Now it’s your turn!
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
5 things to do today (OK, tomorrow)
Define goals & values. 
(Optional) Implement e-commerce tracking.
1
Select 2 standard models and compare to the last-click
model. Which channels are undervalued? And
overvalued?
2
Redistribute resources from overvalued to undervalued
channels. Test, observe, and refine resource allocation.
3
Experiment with custom models.
4
Last, but definitely not least, integrate attribution model
metrics into your reporting framework.
5
@vinoaj
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Compare: Customer Journey to Online Purchase
http://vnjv.co/amcjtop
#GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!
Thank you! For follow-up
questions, I can be reached on:!
Vinoaj Vijeyakumaar
@vinoaj #iwantmyunicorn #gauc2013
vinoaj@sparklineanalytics.com
@vinoaj #GAUC2013!Google Analytics User Conference 2013!

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