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THE HOLY GRAIL OF GROWTH
BY: BRIAN BALFOUR
DISCLAIMER: ALL DATA IN THIS
PRESENTATION IS FAKE
(don’t go public if you want to present real data)
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
WHAT SEPARATES THE 
TOP 1% FROM THE BOTTOM 99% 
IN GROWTH?
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
ANSWER…RETENTION!
GRAPH CREDIT: WWW.ANDREWCHEN.CO & QUETTRA
IF YOU HAVE POOR RETENTION
NOTHING ELSE MATTERS
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
BAD RETENTION
GRAPH CREDIT: DAN WOLCHONOK - SR PM @ SIDEKICK
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
GOOD RETENTION
GRAPH CREDIT: DAN WOLCHONOK - SR PM @ SIDEKICK
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
AWESOME RETENTION
GRAPH CREDIT: DAN WOLCHONOK - SR PM @ SIDEKICK
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
BUT THERE’S MORE…
INCREASE
RETENTION
AFFORD HIGHER
CPA
INCREASE 
LTV
INCREASE
RETENTION
DECREASE
eCPA
INCREASE 
VIRALITY
INCREASE
RETENTION
DECREASE
PAYBACK PERIOD
INCREASE 
UPGRADE RATES
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
EVERY IMPROVEMENT TO RETENTION
ALSO IMPROVES VIRALITY, LTV, AND
PAYBACK PERIOD
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
THE ANATOMY OF RETENTION
RETENTION COHORTS AND CURVES
IT ALL STARTS WITH COHORTS…
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
RETENTION COHORT CURVE
0%!
25%!
50%!
75%!
100%!
125%!
0! 5! 10! 15! 20!
% Active!
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
WHAT IS GOOD AND WHAT IS BAD?
0%!
25%!
50%!
75%!
100%!
125%!
0! 5! 10! 15! 20!
% Active!
THE MOST IMPORTANT 
ELEMENT IS THAT IT FLATTENS
GOOD
BAD
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
TO UNDERSTAND AND OPTIMIZE
RETENTION YOU NEED TO THINK ABOUT
IT IN ACTIONABLE PIECES
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
WEEK ONE RETENTION
0%!
25%!
50%!
75%!
100%!
125%!
0! 5! 10! 15! 20!
% Active!
W1 RETENTION
GET USERS TO EXPERIENCE CORE VALUE AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
IMPROVING W1 RETENTION SHIFTS THE
CURVE UP
0%!
25%!
50%!
75%!
100%!
125%!
0! 5! 10! 15! 20!
% Active!
BETTER 
ONBOARDING
CLEARER 
MESSAGING
SEGMENTED
NUX
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
MID TERM RETENTION
0%!
25%!
50%!
75%!
100%!
125%!
0! 5! 10! 15! 20!
% Active!
MID TERM
RETENTION
GET USERS TO CREATE HABITS AROUND CORE VALUE (RE-WIRE)
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
LONG TERM RETENTION
0%!
25%!
50%!
75%!
100%!
125%!
0! 5! 10! 15! 20!
% Active!
LONG TERM RETENTION
GET USERS TO EXPERIENCE CORE VALUE AS OFTEN AS POSSIBLE
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
SLOW/FLATTEN CURVE OFF
0%!
25%!
50%!
75%!
100%!
125%!
0! 5! 10! 15! 20!
% Active!
FEATURE 
REFINEMENT
RETENTION 
HOOKS
PRODUCT 
QUALITY
RESSURECTION
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
NOTICE I DIDN’T SAY
NEW FEATURES
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
OPTIMIZING/IMPROVING RETENTION
WEEK ONE RETENTION
SIDEKICK RETENTION CURVE DEC 2014
0%!
25%!
50%!
75%!
100%!
125%!
0! 5! 10! 15! 20!
% Active!
TIME!
Problem #2: Not Flat!
Problem #1: !
Over time W1 Retention Was Decreasing!
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
1
 SEGMENTATION
Segmented retention curves by different
factors: Acquisition source, email client,
persona, type of email
HOW WE FIGURED OUT IMPROVEMENTS
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
CORPORATE VS FREEMAIL
0%!
25%!
50%!
75%!
100%!
125%!
0! 5! 10! 15! 20!
Corporate Emails! Gmail and Other Freemail!
% Active!
Time!
Higher W1 Retention!
Slower User Churn!
1
2 QUANT INDICATORS
SEGMENTATION
Segmented retention curves by different
factors: Acquisition source, email client,
persona, type of email
Looked for quantitative indicators by
comparing data between those who
churned and those who retained.
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
HOW WE FIGURED OUT IMPROVEMENTS
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
SOME OF OUR FINDINGS
WTF?!!
1
2 QUANT INDICATORS
SEGMENTATION
3 1:1 QUAL DATA 

Segmented retention curves by different
factors: Acquisition source, email client,
persona, type of email
Looked for quantitative indicators by
comparing data between those who
churned and those who retained.
Extremely targeted 1:1 emails to users
asking open ended question. 
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
HOW WE FIGURED OUT IMPROVEMENTS
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
SOME OF OUR FINDINGS
“Didn’t have
time to
figure out.”!
68 EXPERIMENTS LATER...
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
RETENTION CURVES
0%!
25%!
50%!
75%!
100%!
125%!
0! 5! 10! 15! 20!
Older Cohorts! Newer Cohort 1! Newer Cohort 2!
% Users !
Still Active!
Time!
Woohoo!!
Curves Shift Up In Latest Cohorts!
Woohoo!!
Old Cohorts Flatten!
STRATEGIES THAT WORKED FOR US
1
SEPARATING NEW USER EXPERIENCE
2
SEGMENTING BASED ON PERSONA
3
SWITCHING USER CONTEXT PERSONAL -> WORK
4
5
TESTING MEDIUM OF EDUCATION
CONTENT
THANKS!
MORE AT: WWW.COELEVATE.COM

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Holy Grail of Growth: How Top Companies Optimize Retention

  • 1. THE HOLY GRAIL OF GROWTH BY: BRIAN BALFOUR
  • 2. DISCLAIMER: ALL DATA IN THIS PRESENTATION IS FAKE (don’t go public if you want to present real data) Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 3. WHAT SEPARATES THE TOP 1% FROM THE BOTTOM 99% IN GROWTH? Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 4. Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com ANSWER…RETENTION! GRAPH CREDIT: WWW.ANDREWCHEN.CO & QUETTRA
  • 5. IF YOU HAVE POOR RETENTION NOTHING ELSE MATTERS Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 6. BAD RETENTION GRAPH CREDIT: DAN WOLCHONOK - SR PM @ SIDEKICK Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 7. GOOD RETENTION GRAPH CREDIT: DAN WOLCHONOK - SR PM @ SIDEKICK Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 8. AWESOME RETENTION GRAPH CREDIT: DAN WOLCHONOK - SR PM @ SIDEKICK Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 9. BUT THERE’S MORE… INCREASE RETENTION AFFORD HIGHER CPA INCREASE LTV INCREASE RETENTION DECREASE eCPA INCREASE VIRALITY INCREASE RETENTION DECREASE PAYBACK PERIOD INCREASE UPGRADE RATES Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 10. EVERY IMPROVEMENT TO RETENTION ALSO IMPROVES VIRALITY, LTV, AND PAYBACK PERIOD Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 11. THE ANATOMY OF RETENTION RETENTION COHORTS AND CURVES
  • 12. IT ALL STARTS WITH COHORTS… Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 13. RETENTION COHORT CURVE 0%! 25%! 50%! 75%! 100%! 125%! 0! 5! 10! 15! 20! % Active! Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 14. WHAT IS GOOD AND WHAT IS BAD? 0%! 25%! 50%! 75%! 100%! 125%! 0! 5! 10! 15! 20! % Active! THE MOST IMPORTANT ELEMENT IS THAT IT FLATTENS GOOD BAD Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 15. TO UNDERSTAND AND OPTIMIZE RETENTION YOU NEED TO THINK ABOUT IT IN ACTIONABLE PIECES Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 16. WEEK ONE RETENTION 0%! 25%! 50%! 75%! 100%! 125%! 0! 5! 10! 15! 20! % Active! W1 RETENTION GET USERS TO EXPERIENCE CORE VALUE AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 17. IMPROVING W1 RETENTION SHIFTS THE CURVE UP 0%! 25%! 50%! 75%! 100%! 125%! 0! 5! 10! 15! 20! % Active! BETTER ONBOARDING CLEARER MESSAGING SEGMENTED NUX Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 18. MID TERM RETENTION 0%! 25%! 50%! 75%! 100%! 125%! 0! 5! 10! 15! 20! % Active! MID TERM RETENTION GET USERS TO CREATE HABITS AROUND CORE VALUE (RE-WIRE) Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 19. LONG TERM RETENTION 0%! 25%! 50%! 75%! 100%! 125%! 0! 5! 10! 15! 20! % Active! LONG TERM RETENTION GET USERS TO EXPERIENCE CORE VALUE AS OFTEN AS POSSIBLE Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 20. SLOW/FLATTEN CURVE OFF 0%! 25%! 50%! 75%! 100%! 125%! 0! 5! 10! 15! 20! % Active! FEATURE REFINEMENT RETENTION HOOKS PRODUCT QUALITY RESSURECTION Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 21. NOTICE I DIDN’T SAY NEW FEATURES Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 23. SIDEKICK RETENTION CURVE DEC 2014 0%! 25%! 50%! 75%! 100%! 125%! 0! 5! 10! 15! 20! % Active! TIME! Problem #2: Not Flat! Problem #1: ! Over time W1 Retention Was Decreasing! Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 24. 1 SEGMENTATION Segmented retention curves by different factors: Acquisition source, email client, persona, type of email HOW WE FIGURED OUT IMPROVEMENTS Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 25. Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com CORPORATE VS FREEMAIL 0%! 25%! 50%! 75%! 100%! 125%! 0! 5! 10! 15! 20! Corporate Emails! Gmail and Other Freemail! % Active! Time! Higher W1 Retention! Slower User Churn!
  • 26. 1 2 QUANT INDICATORS SEGMENTATION Segmented retention curves by different factors: Acquisition source, email client, persona, type of email Looked for quantitative indicators by comparing data between those who churned and those who retained. Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com HOW WE FIGURED OUT IMPROVEMENTS
  • 27. Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com SOME OF OUR FINDINGS WTF?!!
  • 28. 1 2 QUANT INDICATORS SEGMENTATION 3 1:1 QUAL DATA Segmented retention curves by different factors: Acquisition source, email client, persona, type of email Looked for quantitative indicators by comparing data between those who churned and those who retained. Extremely targeted 1:1 emails to users asking open ended question. Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com HOW WE FIGURED OUT IMPROVEMENTS
  • 29. Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com SOME OF OUR FINDINGS “Didn’t have time to figure out.”!
  • 30. 68 EXPERIMENTS LATER... Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com
  • 31. Brian Balfour :: @bbalfour :: http://www.coelevate.com RETENTION CURVES 0%! 25%! 50%! 75%! 100%! 125%! 0! 5! 10! 15! 20! Older Cohorts! Newer Cohort 1! Newer Cohort 2! % Users ! Still Active! Time! Woohoo!! Curves Shift Up In Latest Cohorts! Woohoo!! Old Cohorts Flatten!
  • 32. STRATEGIES THAT WORKED FOR US 1 SEPARATING NEW USER EXPERIENCE 2 SEGMENTING BASED ON PERSONA 3 SWITCHING USER CONTEXT PERSONAL -> WORK 4 5 TESTING MEDIUM OF EDUCATION CONTENT