SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 39
Downloaden Sie, um offline zu lesen
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version
“…47 percent of jobs are “at risk”
of being automated in the next 20
years.”
Carl Frey and Michael Osborne, Oxford University
“The Future of Employment: How Susceptible
Are Jobs to Computerisation?”
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version
Will there really be nothing left for people to do?
Is there really
nothing left for
humans to do?
Our global economy has the
mistaken idea that the goal of
technology is to maximize
productivity, even if that means
treating people as a cost to be
eliminated.
That’s a problem
“The people will rise up before
the robots do.”
Andy Macafee
Co-author, The Second
Machine Age
Erik Brynjolfsson and Andy Macafee
We’ve seen this happen before
The weavers of Ned Ludd’s
rebellion couldn’t imagine…
They couldn’t imagine…
What is our failure of imagination?
It isn’t technology that wants to eliminate jobs
“Technology is the solution to
human problems. We won’t
run out of work till we run
out of problems.”
Nick Hanauer
Some global grand challenges
technology can help us to solve
• Climate change.
• Rebuilding and rethinking the infrastructure by which we deliver water,
power, goods, and services like healthcare.
• Dealing with the “demographic inversion” — the lengthening lifespans
of the old and the smaller number of young workers to pay into the
social systems that support them.
• Income inequality.
• Displaced people. How could we use technology to create the
infrastructure for whole new cities, factories, and farms, so people
could be settlers, not refugees?
The use of automation by business to reduce labor costs and increase
profits is a social and political choice, not an economic law!
The March of Progress
But not everyone is equally happy
Fitness Landscapes
The way in which genes contribute
to the survival of an organism can
be viewed as a landscape of peaks
and valleys.
Through a series of experiments,
organisms evolve towards fitness
peaks, adapted to a particular
environment, or they die out.
Image source: http://evolution.berkeley.edu/evolibrary/article/side_0_0/complexnovelties_02
Fitness landscapes are dynamic
When conditions are stable, a
population chooses one fitness
peak and stays there.
But when conditions change
rapidly, populations must migrate
to a new fitness peak.
Local Maxima
Once you are on a peak, it’s
hard to get to another one,
even if it’s higher. You have
to go back down. It may be
easier to get to the top if you
are already starting from a
valley floor.
Technology also has a fitness landscape
In my career, I’ve watched
a number of migrations to
new peaks, and I’d like to
share with you some
observations about what
happened, and why. And
then we’ll talk about some
lessons for digitalization of
the overall economy.
Personal
Computer
Big Data
and
AI
Smartphones
Apple
Big Data
and
AI
Tim Berners-Lee, 1990
The World Wide Web
Linus Torvalds, 1991
Linux
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version
What is the result?
Voters are moving away from the
fitness peak of the neoliberal
consensus. We don’t know yet
where that new fitness peak will
be, but the migration is telling us
loud and clear that the economy
needs some fresh thinking.
Yes, things are changing.
But one thing doesn’t change.
A successful ecosystem creates
opportunity for everyone, not just
a few.
We will create the economy of the
future when we remember that the
function of technology is to empower
people to do things that were
previously impossible!
Government statistics, economic modeling, and
regulations are too slow for the pace and scale of
the modern world
“Would you cross the street with
information that was five seconds old?”
-
Jeff Jonas,
IBM Fellow
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version
Users post 7 billion pieces of
content to Facebook a day.
Expecting human fact checkers to
catch fake news is like asking
workers to build a modern city
with only picks and shovels.
At internet scale, we now rely
increasingly on algorithms to
manage what we see and believe.
This is why Mark Zuckerberg tells his team
“Move fast and break things.”
-
Mark Zuckerberg
“Build, Measure, Learn.”
Eric Ries,
The Lean Startup
Every day, they are inspecting the
performance of their workers and
giving them instruction (in the form of
code) about how to do a better job
In digital systems, the workers are programs,
and software engineers are their managers
“This isn’t just how we should be
developing software. It’s how we should be
developing policy.”
Cecilia Muñoz,
Director, White House
Domestic Policy Council
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version
“Doing digital is not the same as being
digital.”
Josh Bersin
Deloitte
“We have to go from apps to ops.”
Jennifer Pahlka
Code for America
& USDS
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version
“The smartphone is becoming a remote
control for real life.”
Matt Cohler,
Benchmark Partners
“Uber is a lesson in building for how the
world should work instead of optimizing for
how the world does work.”
Aaron Levie, Box.net
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

25 Need-to-Know Marketing Stats
25 Need-to-Know Marketing Stats25 Need-to-Know Marketing Stats
25 Need-to-Know Marketing Statscontently
 
The Future of Everything
The Future of EverythingThe Future of Everything
The Future of EverythingCharbel Zeaiter
 
How NOT to Run Your Company – Lessons Learned
How NOT to Run Your Company – Lessons LearnedHow NOT to Run Your Company – Lessons Learned
How NOT to Run Your Company – Lessons LearnedWeekdone.com
 
100 growth hacks 100 days | 1 to 10
100 growth hacks 100 days | 1 to 10100 growth hacks 100 days | 1 to 10
100 growth hacks 100 days | 1 to 10Robin Yjord
 
People Don't Care About Your Brand
People Don't Care About Your BrandPeople Don't Care About Your Brand
People Don't Care About Your BrandSlides That Rock
 
SlideShare Experts - 7 Experts Reveal Their Presentation Design Secrets
SlideShare Experts - 7 Experts Reveal Their Presentation Design SecretsSlideShare Experts - 7 Experts Reveal Their Presentation Design Secrets
SlideShare Experts - 7 Experts Reveal Their Presentation Design SecretsEugene Cheng
 
10 Practical Ways to Be More Efficient at Work
10 Practical Ways to Be More Efficient at Work10 Practical Ways to Be More Efficient at Work
10 Practical Ways to Be More Efficient at WorkWeekdone.com
 
How to Successfully Run a Remote Team
How to Successfully Run a Remote TeamHow to Successfully Run a Remote Team
How to Successfully Run a Remote TeamWeekdone.com
 
11 big strategy ideas
11 big strategy ideas11 big strategy ideas
11 big strategy ideasCPA Australia
 
Productivity Facts Every Employee Should Know
Productivity Facts Every Employee Should KnowProductivity Facts Every Employee Should Know
Productivity Facts Every Employee Should KnowRobert Half
 
Top 10 Email Tips for Financial Advisors
Top 10 Email Tips for Financial AdvisorsTop 10 Email Tips for Financial Advisors
Top 10 Email Tips for Financial AdvisorsFinworx
 
Top Productivity Working Hacks by Jan Rezab
Top Productivity Working Hacks by Jan RezabTop Productivity Working Hacks by Jan Rezab
Top Productivity Working Hacks by Jan RezabJan Rezab
 
Inspired Storytelling: Engaging People & Moving Them To Action
Inspired Storytelling: Engaging People & Moving Them To ActionInspired Storytelling: Engaging People & Moving Them To Action
Inspired Storytelling: Engaging People & Moving Them To ActionKelsey Ruger
 
10 Engagement Lessons Learned From 1 Million Survey Answers
10 Engagement Lessons Learned From 1 Million Survey Answers10 Engagement Lessons Learned From 1 Million Survey Answers
10 Engagement Lessons Learned From 1 Million Survey AnswersD B
 
4 Biggest Challenges for Creative Teams
4 Biggest Challenges for Creative Teams4 Biggest Challenges for Creative Teams
4 Biggest Challenges for Creative TeamsWrike
 
The Science of Story: How Brands Can Use Storytelling To Get More Customers
The Science of Story: How Brands Can Use Storytelling To Get More CustomersThe Science of Story: How Brands Can Use Storytelling To Get More Customers
The Science of Story: How Brands Can Use Storytelling To Get More CustomersDigital Surgeons
 
14 Tips to Entrepreneurs to start the Right Stuff
14 Tips to Entrepreneurs to start the Right Stuff14 Tips to Entrepreneurs to start the Right Stuff
14 Tips to Entrepreneurs to start the Right StuffPatrick Stähler
 
Habits at Work - Merci Victoria Grace, Growth, Slack - 2016 Habit Summit
Habits at Work - Merci Victoria Grace, Growth, Slack - 2016 Habit SummitHabits at Work - Merci Victoria Grace, Growth, Slack - 2016 Habit Summit
Habits at Work - Merci Victoria Grace, Growth, Slack - 2016 Habit SummitHabit Summit
 
Fight for Yourself: How to Sell Your Ideas and Crush Presentations
Fight for Yourself: How to Sell Your Ideas and Crush PresentationsFight for Yourself: How to Sell Your Ideas and Crush Presentations
Fight for Yourself: How to Sell Your Ideas and Crush PresentationsDigital Surgeons
 

Was ist angesagt? (20)

25 Need-to-Know Marketing Stats
25 Need-to-Know Marketing Stats25 Need-to-Know Marketing Stats
25 Need-to-Know Marketing Stats
 
The Future of Everything
The Future of EverythingThe Future of Everything
The Future of Everything
 
How NOT to Run Your Company – Lessons Learned
How NOT to Run Your Company – Lessons LearnedHow NOT to Run Your Company – Lessons Learned
How NOT to Run Your Company – Lessons Learned
 
100 growth hacks 100 days | 1 to 10
100 growth hacks 100 days | 1 to 10100 growth hacks 100 days | 1 to 10
100 growth hacks 100 days | 1 to 10
 
People Don't Care About Your Brand
People Don't Care About Your BrandPeople Don't Care About Your Brand
People Don't Care About Your Brand
 
SlideShare Experts - 7 Experts Reveal Their Presentation Design Secrets
SlideShare Experts - 7 Experts Reveal Their Presentation Design SecretsSlideShare Experts - 7 Experts Reveal Their Presentation Design Secrets
SlideShare Experts - 7 Experts Reveal Their Presentation Design Secrets
 
10 Practical Ways to Be More Efficient at Work
10 Practical Ways to Be More Efficient at Work10 Practical Ways to Be More Efficient at Work
10 Practical Ways to Be More Efficient at Work
 
How to Successfully Run a Remote Team
How to Successfully Run a Remote TeamHow to Successfully Run a Remote Team
How to Successfully Run a Remote Team
 
20 Questions for Business Leaders
20 Questions for Business Leaders20 Questions for Business Leaders
20 Questions for Business Leaders
 
11 big strategy ideas
11 big strategy ideas11 big strategy ideas
11 big strategy ideas
 
Productivity Facts Every Employee Should Know
Productivity Facts Every Employee Should KnowProductivity Facts Every Employee Should Know
Productivity Facts Every Employee Should Know
 
Top 10 Email Tips for Financial Advisors
Top 10 Email Tips for Financial AdvisorsTop 10 Email Tips for Financial Advisors
Top 10 Email Tips for Financial Advisors
 
Top Productivity Working Hacks by Jan Rezab
Top Productivity Working Hacks by Jan RezabTop Productivity Working Hacks by Jan Rezab
Top Productivity Working Hacks by Jan Rezab
 
Inspired Storytelling: Engaging People & Moving Them To Action
Inspired Storytelling: Engaging People & Moving Them To ActionInspired Storytelling: Engaging People & Moving Them To Action
Inspired Storytelling: Engaging People & Moving Them To Action
 
10 Engagement Lessons Learned From 1 Million Survey Answers
10 Engagement Lessons Learned From 1 Million Survey Answers10 Engagement Lessons Learned From 1 Million Survey Answers
10 Engagement Lessons Learned From 1 Million Survey Answers
 
4 Biggest Challenges for Creative Teams
4 Biggest Challenges for Creative Teams4 Biggest Challenges for Creative Teams
4 Biggest Challenges for Creative Teams
 
The Science of Story: How Brands Can Use Storytelling To Get More Customers
The Science of Story: How Brands Can Use Storytelling To Get More CustomersThe Science of Story: How Brands Can Use Storytelling To Get More Customers
The Science of Story: How Brands Can Use Storytelling To Get More Customers
 
14 Tips to Entrepreneurs to start the Right Stuff
14 Tips to Entrepreneurs to start the Right Stuff14 Tips to Entrepreneurs to start the Right Stuff
14 Tips to Entrepreneurs to start the Right Stuff
 
Habits at Work - Merci Victoria Grace, Growth, Slack - 2016 Habit Summit
Habits at Work - Merci Victoria Grace, Growth, Slack - 2016 Habit SummitHabits at Work - Merci Victoria Grace, Growth, Slack - 2016 Habit Summit
Habits at Work - Merci Victoria Grace, Growth, Slack - 2016 Habit Summit
 
Fight for Yourself: How to Sell Your Ideas and Crush Presentations
Fight for Yourself: How to Sell Your Ideas and Crush PresentationsFight for Yourself: How to Sell Your Ideas and Crush Presentations
Fight for Yourself: How to Sell Your Ideas and Crush Presentations
 

Andere mochten auch

How to Master Difficult Conversations at Work – Leader’s Guide
How to Master Difficult Conversations at Work – Leader’s GuideHow to Master Difficult Conversations at Work – Leader’s Guide
How to Master Difficult Conversations at Work – Leader’s GuidePiktochart
 
10 Dead Simple Ways to Improve Your Company Culture
10 Dead Simple Ways to Improve Your Company Culture10 Dead Simple Ways to Improve Your Company Culture
10 Dead Simple Ways to Improve Your Company CultureBonusly
 
How to think like a startup
How to think like a startupHow to think like a startup
How to think like a startupLoic Le Meur
 
125 Clickass Copywriting Tips
125 Clickass Copywriting Tips125 Clickass Copywriting Tips
125 Clickass Copywriting TipsBarry Feldman
 
The Productivity Secret Of The Best Leaders
The Productivity Secret Of The Best LeadersThe Productivity Secret Of The Best Leaders
The Productivity Secret Of The Best LeadersOfficevibe
 
Leader's Guide to Motivate People at Work
Leader's Guide to Motivate People at WorkLeader's Guide to Motivate People at Work
Leader's Guide to Motivate People at WorkWeekdone.com
 
Inside Google's Numbers in 2017
Inside Google's Numbers in 2017Inside Google's Numbers in 2017
Inside Google's Numbers in 2017Rand Fishkin
 
10 Powerful Body Language Tips for your next Presentation
10 Powerful Body Language Tips for your next Presentation10 Powerful Body Language Tips for your next Presentation
10 Powerful Body Language Tips for your next PresentationSOAP Presentations
 
The Search for Meaning in B2B Marketing
The Search for Meaning in B2B MarketingThe Search for Meaning in B2B Marketing
The Search for Meaning in B2B MarketingVelocity Partners
 
Crap. The Content Marketing Deluge.
Crap. The Content Marketing Deluge.Crap. The Content Marketing Deluge.
Crap. The Content Marketing Deluge.Velocity Partners
 
What Would Steve Do? 10 Lessons from the World's Most Captivating Presenters
What Would Steve Do? 10 Lessons from the World's Most Captivating PresentersWhat Would Steve Do? 10 Lessons from the World's Most Captivating Presenters
What Would Steve Do? 10 Lessons from the World's Most Captivating PresentersHubSpot
 
Why Content Marketing Fails
Why Content Marketing FailsWhy Content Marketing Fails
Why Content Marketing FailsRand Fishkin
 
The Seven Deadly Social Media Sins
The Seven Deadly Social Media SinsThe Seven Deadly Social Media Sins
The Seven Deadly Social Media SinsXPLAIN
 
The History of SEO
The History of SEOThe History of SEO
The History of SEOHubSpot
 
How People Really Hold and Touch (their Phones)
How People Really Hold and Touch (their Phones)How People Really Hold and Touch (their Phones)
How People Really Hold and Touch (their Phones)Steven Hoober
 

Andere mochten auch (19)

How to Master Difficult Conversations at Work – Leader’s Guide
How to Master Difficult Conversations at Work – Leader’s GuideHow to Master Difficult Conversations at Work – Leader’s Guide
How to Master Difficult Conversations at Work – Leader’s Guide
 
10 Dead Simple Ways to Improve Your Company Culture
10 Dead Simple Ways to Improve Your Company Culture10 Dead Simple Ways to Improve Your Company Culture
10 Dead Simple Ways to Improve Your Company Culture
 
How to think like a startup
How to think like a startupHow to think like a startup
How to think like a startup
 
125 Clickass Copywriting Tips
125 Clickass Copywriting Tips125 Clickass Copywriting Tips
125 Clickass Copywriting Tips
 
The Productivity Secret Of The Best Leaders
The Productivity Secret Of The Best LeadersThe Productivity Secret Of The Best Leaders
The Productivity Secret Of The Best Leaders
 
Leader's Guide to Motivate People at Work
Leader's Guide to Motivate People at WorkLeader's Guide to Motivate People at Work
Leader's Guide to Motivate People at Work
 
5 Storytelling Lessons From Superhero Stories
5 Storytelling Lessons From Superhero Stories5 Storytelling Lessons From Superhero Stories
5 Storytelling Lessons From Superhero Stories
 
Inside Google's Numbers in 2017
Inside Google's Numbers in 2017Inside Google's Numbers in 2017
Inside Google's Numbers in 2017
 
How Google Works
How Google WorksHow Google Works
How Google Works
 
10 Powerful Body Language Tips for your next Presentation
10 Powerful Body Language Tips for your next Presentation10 Powerful Body Language Tips for your next Presentation
10 Powerful Body Language Tips for your next Presentation
 
The Search for Meaning in B2B Marketing
The Search for Meaning in B2B MarketingThe Search for Meaning in B2B Marketing
The Search for Meaning in B2B Marketing
 
Crap. The Content Marketing Deluge.
Crap. The Content Marketing Deluge.Crap. The Content Marketing Deluge.
Crap. The Content Marketing Deluge.
 
What Would Steve Do? 10 Lessons from the World's Most Captivating Presenters
What Would Steve Do? 10 Lessons from the World's Most Captivating PresentersWhat Would Steve Do? 10 Lessons from the World's Most Captivating Presenters
What Would Steve Do? 10 Lessons from the World's Most Captivating Presenters
 
Why Content Marketing Fails
Why Content Marketing FailsWhy Content Marketing Fails
Why Content Marketing Fails
 
Design Your Career 2018
Design Your Career 2018Design Your Career 2018
Design Your Career 2018
 
The Seven Deadly Social Media Sins
The Seven Deadly Social Media SinsThe Seven Deadly Social Media Sins
The Seven Deadly Social Media Sins
 
The History of SEO
The History of SEOThe History of SEO
The History of SEO
 
The Minimum Loveable Product
The Minimum Loveable ProductThe Minimum Loveable Product
The Minimum Loveable Product
 
How People Really Hold and Touch (their Phones)
How People Really Hold and Touch (their Phones)How People Really Hold and Touch (their Phones)
How People Really Hold and Touch (their Phones)
 

Ähnlich wie WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version

What Internet Operations Teach Us About the Future of Management
What Internet Operations Teach Us About the Future of ManagementWhat Internet Operations Teach Us About the Future of Management
What Internet Operations Teach Us About the Future of ManagementAPNIC
 
Do More. Do things that were previously impossible!
Do More. Do things that were previously impossible!Do More. Do things that were previously impossible!
Do More. Do things that were previously impossible!Tim O'Reilly
 
We Must Redraw the Map
We Must Redraw the MapWe Must Redraw the Map
We Must Redraw the MapTim O'Reilly
 
What's the Future of Work with AI?
What's the Future of Work with AI?What's the Future of Work with AI?
What's the Future of Work with AI?Tim O'Reilly
 
The Opportunity for Agile Governance
The Opportunity for Agile GovernanceThe Opportunity for Agile Governance
The Opportunity for Agile GovernanceTim O'Reilly
 
5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...
5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...
5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...iBridge Hub
 
The Second Machine Age: An Industrial Revolution Powered by Digital Technologies
The Second Machine Age: An Industrial Revolution Powered by Digital TechnologiesThe Second Machine Age: An Industrial Revolution Powered by Digital Technologies
The Second Machine Age: An Industrial Revolution Powered by Digital TechnologiesCapgemini
 
The Second Machine Age - an industrial revolution powered by digital technolo...
The Second Machine Age - an industrial revolution powered by digital technolo...The Second Machine Age - an industrial revolution powered by digital technolo...
The Second Machine Age - an industrial revolution powered by digital technolo...Ben Gilchriest
 
Towards a New Distributional Economics
Towards a New Distributional EconomicsTowards a New Distributional Economics
Towards a New Distributional EconomicsTim O'Reilly
 
The Real Work of the 21st Century
The Real Work of the 21st CenturyThe Real Work of the 21st Century
The Real Work of the 21st CenturyTim O'Reilly
 
What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?
What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?
What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?Candarine
 
5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...
5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...
5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...iBridge Hub
 
Fourth Industrial Revolution k. Schwab
Fourth Industrial Revolution k. SchwabFourth Industrial Revolution k. Schwab
Fourth Industrial Revolution k. SchwabSHAH MD. IMRAN
 
Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022
Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022
Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022Alper Utku
 
PREVIEW: Ready For It: Automation & the Future of Work
PREVIEW: Ready For It: Automation & the Future of Work PREVIEW: Ready For It: Automation & the Future of Work
PREVIEW: Ready For It: Automation & the Future of Work Matthew Mottola
 
Energing Technology and the Creative Economy
Energing Technology and the Creative EconomyEnerging Technology and the Creative Economy
Energing Technology and the Creative EconomyJerome Glenn
 
The Future of Work is Very Human
The Future of Work is Very Human The Future of Work is Very Human
The Future of Work is Very Human Tim Leberecht
 
Future of Work 2018 _ Closing Keynote
Future of Work 2018 _ Closing KeynoteFuture of Work 2018 _ Closing Keynote
Future of Work 2018 _ Closing KeynoteKristin Wolff
 
Korea talk on emerging technology and ideas for Korea's new creative economy...
Korea talk on  emerging technology and ideas for Korea's new creative economy...Korea talk on  emerging technology and ideas for Korea's new creative economy...
Korea talk on emerging technology and ideas for Korea's new creative economy...Jerome Glenn
 

Ähnlich wie WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version (20)

What Internet Operations Teach Us About the Future of Management
What Internet Operations Teach Us About the Future of ManagementWhat Internet Operations Teach Us About the Future of Management
What Internet Operations Teach Us About the Future of Management
 
WTF?
WTF? WTF?
WTF?
 
Do More. Do things that were previously impossible!
Do More. Do things that were previously impossible!Do More. Do things that were previously impossible!
Do More. Do things that were previously impossible!
 
We Must Redraw the Map
We Must Redraw the MapWe Must Redraw the Map
We Must Redraw the Map
 
What's the Future of Work with AI?
What's the Future of Work with AI?What's the Future of Work with AI?
What's the Future of Work with AI?
 
The Opportunity for Agile Governance
The Opportunity for Agile GovernanceThe Opportunity for Agile Governance
The Opportunity for Agile Governance
 
5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...
5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...
5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...
 
The Second Machine Age: An Industrial Revolution Powered by Digital Technologies
The Second Machine Age: An Industrial Revolution Powered by Digital TechnologiesThe Second Machine Age: An Industrial Revolution Powered by Digital Technologies
The Second Machine Age: An Industrial Revolution Powered by Digital Technologies
 
The Second Machine Age - an industrial revolution powered by digital technolo...
The Second Machine Age - an industrial revolution powered by digital technolo...The Second Machine Age - an industrial revolution powered by digital technolo...
The Second Machine Age - an industrial revolution powered by digital technolo...
 
Towards a New Distributional Economics
Towards a New Distributional EconomicsTowards a New Distributional Economics
Towards a New Distributional Economics
 
The Real Work of the 21st Century
The Real Work of the 21st CenturyThe Real Work of the 21st Century
The Real Work of the 21st Century
 
What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?
What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?
What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?
 
5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...
5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...
5 Reasons Our Children Are About To Miss Out On The Greatest Opportunity In T...
 
Fourth Industrial Revolution k. Schwab
Fourth Industrial Revolution k. SchwabFourth Industrial Revolution k. Schwab
Fourth Industrial Revolution k. Schwab
 
Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022
Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022
Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022
 
PREVIEW: Ready For It: Automation & the Future of Work
PREVIEW: Ready For It: Automation & the Future of Work PREVIEW: Ready For It: Automation & the Future of Work
PREVIEW: Ready For It: Automation & the Future of Work
 
Energing Technology and the Creative Economy
Energing Technology and the Creative EconomyEnerging Technology and the Creative Economy
Energing Technology and the Creative Economy
 
The Future of Work is Very Human
The Future of Work is Very Human The Future of Work is Very Human
The Future of Work is Very Human
 
Future of Work 2018 _ Closing Keynote
Future of Work 2018 _ Closing KeynoteFuture of Work 2018 _ Closing Keynote
Future of Work 2018 _ Closing Keynote
 
Korea talk on emerging technology and ideas for Korea's new creative economy...
Korea talk on  emerging technology and ideas for Korea's new creative economy...Korea talk on  emerging technology and ideas for Korea's new creative economy...
Korea talk on emerging technology and ideas for Korea's new creative economy...
 

Mehr von Tim O'Reilly

Mastering the demons of our own design
Mastering the demons of our own designMastering the demons of our own design
Mastering the demons of our own designTim O'Reilly
 
What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)
What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)
What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)Tim O'Reilly
 
Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?
Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?
Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?Tim O'Reilly
 
Learning in the Age of Knowledge on Demand
Learning in the Age of Knowledge on DemandLearning in the Age of Knowledge on Demand
Learning in the Age of Knowledge on DemandTim O'Reilly
 
What's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth Model
What's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth ModelWhat's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth Model
What's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth ModelTim O'Reilly
 
Networks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next EconomyNetworks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next EconomyTim O'Reilly
 
Open Source in the Age of Cloud AI
Open Source in the Age of Cloud AIOpen Source in the Age of Cloud AI
Open Source in the Age of Cloud AITim O'Reilly
 
Networks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next EconomyNetworks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next EconomyTim O'Reilly
 
Networks and the Nature of the Firm
Networks and the Nature of the FirmNetworks and the Nature of the Firm
Networks and the Nature of the FirmTim O'Reilly
 
We Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional Economics
We Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional EconomicsWe Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional Economics
We Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional EconomicsTim O'Reilly
 
How AI Can Create Jobs
How AI Can Create JobsHow AI Can Create Jobs
How AI Can Create JobsTim O'Reilly
 
Amazon.com's Web Services Opportunity
Amazon.com's Web Services OpportunityAmazon.com's Web Services Opportunity
Amazon.com's Web Services OpportunityTim O'Reilly
 
WTF? Why The Future Is Up To Us.
WTF? Why The Future Is Up To Us.WTF? Why The Future Is Up To Us.
WTF? Why The Future Is Up To Us.Tim O'Reilly
 
What's the Future?
What's the Future?What's the Future?
What's the Future?Tim O'Reilly
 
Why We'll Never Run Out of Jobs
Why We'll Never Run Out of JobsWhy We'll Never Run Out of Jobs
Why We'll Never Run Out of JobsTim O'Reilly
 
Reinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not Institutions
Reinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not InstitutionsReinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not Institutions
Reinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not InstitutionsTim O'Reilly
 
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)Tim O'Reilly
 
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)Tim O'Reilly
 
The AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing Them
The AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing ThemThe AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing Them
The AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing ThemTim O'Reilly
 
By People, For People
By People, For PeopleBy People, For People
By People, For PeopleTim O'Reilly
 

Mehr von Tim O'Reilly (20)

Mastering the demons of our own design
Mastering the demons of our own designMastering the demons of our own design
Mastering the demons of our own design
 
What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)
What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)
What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)
 
Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?
Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?
Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?
 
Learning in the Age of Knowledge on Demand
Learning in the Age of Knowledge on DemandLearning in the Age of Knowledge on Demand
Learning in the Age of Knowledge on Demand
 
What's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth Model
What's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth ModelWhat's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth Model
What's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth Model
 
Networks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next EconomyNetworks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next Economy
 
Open Source in the Age of Cloud AI
Open Source in the Age of Cloud AIOpen Source in the Age of Cloud AI
Open Source in the Age of Cloud AI
 
Networks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next EconomyNetworks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next Economy
 
Networks and the Nature of the Firm
Networks and the Nature of the FirmNetworks and the Nature of the Firm
Networks and the Nature of the Firm
 
We Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional Economics
We Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional EconomicsWe Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional Economics
We Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional Economics
 
How AI Can Create Jobs
How AI Can Create JobsHow AI Can Create Jobs
How AI Can Create Jobs
 
Amazon.com's Web Services Opportunity
Amazon.com's Web Services OpportunityAmazon.com's Web Services Opportunity
Amazon.com's Web Services Opportunity
 
WTF? Why The Future Is Up To Us.
WTF? Why The Future Is Up To Us.WTF? Why The Future Is Up To Us.
WTF? Why The Future Is Up To Us.
 
What's the Future?
What's the Future?What's the Future?
What's the Future?
 
Why We'll Never Run Out of Jobs
Why We'll Never Run Out of JobsWhy We'll Never Run Out of Jobs
Why We'll Never Run Out of Jobs
 
Reinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not Institutions
Reinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not InstitutionsReinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not Institutions
Reinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not Institutions
 
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)
 
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)
 
The AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing Them
The AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing ThemThe AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing Them
The AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing Them
 
By People, For People
By People, For PeopleBy People, For People
By People, For People
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen

The Data Metaverse: Unpacking the Roles, Use Cases, and Tech Trends in Data a...
The Data Metaverse: Unpacking the Roles, Use Cases, and Tech Trends in Data a...The Data Metaverse: Unpacking the Roles, Use Cases, and Tech Trends in Data a...
The Data Metaverse: Unpacking the Roles, Use Cases, and Tech Trends in Data a...Aggregage
 
IESVE Software for Florida Code Compliance Using ASHRAE 90.1-2019
IESVE Software for Florida Code Compliance Using ASHRAE 90.1-2019IESVE Software for Florida Code Compliance Using ASHRAE 90.1-2019
IESVE Software for Florida Code Compliance Using ASHRAE 90.1-2019IES VE
 
AI You Can Trust - Ensuring Success with Data Integrity Webinar
AI You Can Trust - Ensuring Success with Data Integrity WebinarAI You Can Trust - Ensuring Success with Data Integrity Webinar
AI You Can Trust - Ensuring Success with Data Integrity WebinarPrecisely
 
Cybersecurity Workshop #1.pptx
Cybersecurity Workshop #1.pptxCybersecurity Workshop #1.pptx
Cybersecurity Workshop #1.pptxGDSC PJATK
 
NIST Cybersecurity Framework (CSF) 2.0 Workshop
NIST Cybersecurity Framework (CSF) 2.0 WorkshopNIST Cybersecurity Framework (CSF) 2.0 Workshop
NIST Cybersecurity Framework (CSF) 2.0 WorkshopBachir Benyammi
 
Nanopower In Semiconductor Industry.pdf
Nanopower  In Semiconductor Industry.pdfNanopower  In Semiconductor Industry.pdf
Nanopower In Semiconductor Industry.pdfPedro Manuel
 
Anypoint Code Builder , Google Pub sub connector and MuleSoft RPA
Anypoint Code Builder , Google Pub sub connector and MuleSoft RPAAnypoint Code Builder , Google Pub sub connector and MuleSoft RPA
Anypoint Code Builder , Google Pub sub connector and MuleSoft RPAshyamraj55
 
Designing A Time bound resource download URL
Designing A Time bound resource download URLDesigning A Time bound resource download URL
Designing A Time bound resource download URLRuncy Oommen
 
Secure your environment with UiPath and CyberArk technologies - Session 1
Secure your environment with UiPath and CyberArk technologies - Session 1Secure your environment with UiPath and CyberArk technologies - Session 1
Secure your environment with UiPath and CyberArk technologies - Session 1DianaGray10
 
AI Fame Rush Review – Virtual Influencer Creation In Just Minutes
AI Fame Rush Review – Virtual Influencer Creation In Just MinutesAI Fame Rush Review – Virtual Influencer Creation In Just Minutes
AI Fame Rush Review – Virtual Influencer Creation In Just MinutesMd Hossain Ali
 
Basic Building Blocks of Internet of Things.
Basic Building Blocks of Internet of Things.Basic Building Blocks of Internet of Things.
Basic Building Blocks of Internet of Things.YounusS2
 
IaC & GitOps in a Nutshell - a FridayInANuthshell Episode.pdf
IaC & GitOps in a Nutshell - a FridayInANuthshell Episode.pdfIaC & GitOps in a Nutshell - a FridayInANuthshell Episode.pdf
IaC & GitOps in a Nutshell - a FridayInANuthshell Episode.pdfDaniel Santiago Silva Capera
 
COMPUTER 10: Lesson 7 - File Storage and Online Collaboration
COMPUTER 10: Lesson 7 - File Storage and Online CollaborationCOMPUTER 10: Lesson 7 - File Storage and Online Collaboration
COMPUTER 10: Lesson 7 - File Storage and Online Collaborationbruanjhuli
 
UiPath Studio Web workshop series - Day 6
UiPath Studio Web workshop series - Day 6UiPath Studio Web workshop series - Day 6
UiPath Studio Web workshop series - Day 6DianaGray10
 
COMPUTER 10 Lesson 8 - Building a Website
COMPUTER 10 Lesson 8 - Building a WebsiteCOMPUTER 10 Lesson 8 - Building a Website
COMPUTER 10 Lesson 8 - Building a Websitedgelyza
 
Connector Corner: Extending LLM automation use cases with UiPath GenAI connec...
Connector Corner: Extending LLM automation use cases with UiPath GenAI connec...Connector Corner: Extending LLM automation use cases with UiPath GenAI connec...
Connector Corner: Extending LLM automation use cases with UiPath GenAI connec...DianaGray10
 
UiPath Solutions Management Preview - Northern CA Chapter - March 22.pdf
UiPath Solutions Management Preview - Northern CA Chapter - March 22.pdfUiPath Solutions Management Preview - Northern CA Chapter - March 22.pdf
UiPath Solutions Management Preview - Northern CA Chapter - March 22.pdfDianaGray10
 
Meet the new FSP 3000 M-Flex800™
Meet the new FSP 3000 M-Flex800™Meet the new FSP 3000 M-Flex800™
Meet the new FSP 3000 M-Flex800™Adtran
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)

The Data Metaverse: Unpacking the Roles, Use Cases, and Tech Trends in Data a...
The Data Metaverse: Unpacking the Roles, Use Cases, and Tech Trends in Data a...The Data Metaverse: Unpacking the Roles, Use Cases, and Tech Trends in Data a...
The Data Metaverse: Unpacking the Roles, Use Cases, and Tech Trends in Data a...
 
IESVE Software for Florida Code Compliance Using ASHRAE 90.1-2019
IESVE Software for Florida Code Compliance Using ASHRAE 90.1-2019IESVE Software for Florida Code Compliance Using ASHRAE 90.1-2019
IESVE Software for Florida Code Compliance Using ASHRAE 90.1-2019
 
AI You Can Trust - Ensuring Success with Data Integrity Webinar
AI You Can Trust - Ensuring Success with Data Integrity WebinarAI You Can Trust - Ensuring Success with Data Integrity Webinar
AI You Can Trust - Ensuring Success with Data Integrity Webinar
 
Cybersecurity Workshop #1.pptx
Cybersecurity Workshop #1.pptxCybersecurity Workshop #1.pptx
Cybersecurity Workshop #1.pptx
 
NIST Cybersecurity Framework (CSF) 2.0 Workshop
NIST Cybersecurity Framework (CSF) 2.0 WorkshopNIST Cybersecurity Framework (CSF) 2.0 Workshop
NIST Cybersecurity Framework (CSF) 2.0 Workshop
 
20230104 - machine vision
20230104 - machine vision20230104 - machine vision
20230104 - machine vision
 
Nanopower In Semiconductor Industry.pdf
Nanopower  In Semiconductor Industry.pdfNanopower  In Semiconductor Industry.pdf
Nanopower In Semiconductor Industry.pdf
 
Anypoint Code Builder , Google Pub sub connector and MuleSoft RPA
Anypoint Code Builder , Google Pub sub connector and MuleSoft RPAAnypoint Code Builder , Google Pub sub connector and MuleSoft RPA
Anypoint Code Builder , Google Pub sub connector and MuleSoft RPA
 
Designing A Time bound resource download URL
Designing A Time bound resource download URLDesigning A Time bound resource download URL
Designing A Time bound resource download URL
 
Secure your environment with UiPath and CyberArk technologies - Session 1
Secure your environment with UiPath and CyberArk technologies - Session 1Secure your environment with UiPath and CyberArk technologies - Session 1
Secure your environment with UiPath and CyberArk technologies - Session 1
 
AI Fame Rush Review – Virtual Influencer Creation In Just Minutes
AI Fame Rush Review – Virtual Influencer Creation In Just MinutesAI Fame Rush Review – Virtual Influencer Creation In Just Minutes
AI Fame Rush Review – Virtual Influencer Creation In Just Minutes
 
Basic Building Blocks of Internet of Things.
Basic Building Blocks of Internet of Things.Basic Building Blocks of Internet of Things.
Basic Building Blocks of Internet of Things.
 
IaC & GitOps in a Nutshell - a FridayInANuthshell Episode.pdf
IaC & GitOps in a Nutshell - a FridayInANuthshell Episode.pdfIaC & GitOps in a Nutshell - a FridayInANuthshell Episode.pdf
IaC & GitOps in a Nutshell - a FridayInANuthshell Episode.pdf
 
20150722 - AGV
20150722 - AGV20150722 - AGV
20150722 - AGV
 
COMPUTER 10: Lesson 7 - File Storage and Online Collaboration
COMPUTER 10: Lesson 7 - File Storage and Online CollaborationCOMPUTER 10: Lesson 7 - File Storage and Online Collaboration
COMPUTER 10: Lesson 7 - File Storage and Online Collaboration
 
UiPath Studio Web workshop series - Day 6
UiPath Studio Web workshop series - Day 6UiPath Studio Web workshop series - Day 6
UiPath Studio Web workshop series - Day 6
 
COMPUTER 10 Lesson 8 - Building a Website
COMPUTER 10 Lesson 8 - Building a WebsiteCOMPUTER 10 Lesson 8 - Building a Website
COMPUTER 10 Lesson 8 - Building a Website
 
Connector Corner: Extending LLM automation use cases with UiPath GenAI connec...
Connector Corner: Extending LLM automation use cases with UiPath GenAI connec...Connector Corner: Extending LLM automation use cases with UiPath GenAI connec...
Connector Corner: Extending LLM automation use cases with UiPath GenAI connec...
 
UiPath Solutions Management Preview - Northern CA Chapter - March 22.pdf
UiPath Solutions Management Preview - Northern CA Chapter - March 22.pdfUiPath Solutions Management Preview - Northern CA Chapter - March 22.pdf
UiPath Solutions Management Preview - Northern CA Chapter - March 22.pdf
 
Meet the new FSP 3000 M-Flex800™
Meet the new FSP 3000 M-Flex800™Meet the new FSP 3000 M-Flex800™
Meet the new FSP 3000 M-Flex800™
 

WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version

  • 2. “…47 percent of jobs are “at risk” of being automated in the next 20 years.” Carl Frey and Michael Osborne, Oxford University “The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerisation?”
  • 4. Will there really be nothing left for people to do? Is there really nothing left for humans to do?
  • 5. Our global economy has the mistaken idea that the goal of technology is to maximize productivity, even if that means treating people as a cost to be eliminated.
  • 6. That’s a problem “The people will rise up before the robots do.” Andy Macafee Co-author, The Second Machine Age Erik Brynjolfsson and Andy Macafee
  • 7. We’ve seen this happen before
  • 8. The weavers of Ned Ludd’s rebellion couldn’t imagine…
  • 10. What is our failure of imagination?
  • 11. It isn’t technology that wants to eliminate jobs “Technology is the solution to human problems. We won’t run out of work till we run out of problems.” Nick Hanauer
  • 12. Some global grand challenges technology can help us to solve • Climate change. • Rebuilding and rethinking the infrastructure by which we deliver water, power, goods, and services like healthcare. • Dealing with the “demographic inversion” — the lengthening lifespans of the old and the smaller number of young workers to pay into the social systems that support them. • Income inequality. • Displaced people. How could we use technology to create the infrastructure for whole new cities, factories, and farms, so people could be settlers, not refugees?
  • 13. The use of automation by business to reduce labor costs and increase profits is a social and political choice, not an economic law!
  • 14. The March of Progress
  • 15. But not everyone is equally happy
  • 16. Fitness Landscapes The way in which genes contribute to the survival of an organism can be viewed as a landscape of peaks and valleys. Through a series of experiments, organisms evolve towards fitness peaks, adapted to a particular environment, or they die out. Image source: http://evolution.berkeley.edu/evolibrary/article/side_0_0/complexnovelties_02
  • 17. Fitness landscapes are dynamic When conditions are stable, a population chooses one fitness peak and stays there. But when conditions change rapidly, populations must migrate to a new fitness peak.
  • 18. Local Maxima Once you are on a peak, it’s hard to get to another one, even if it’s higher. You have to go back down. It may be easier to get to the top if you are already starting from a valley floor.
  • 19. Technology also has a fitness landscape In my career, I’ve watched a number of migrations to new peaks, and I’d like to share with you some observations about what happened, and why. And then we’ll talk about some lessons for digitalization of the overall economy. Personal Computer Big Data and AI Smartphones Apple
  • 20. Big Data and AI Tim Berners-Lee, 1990 The World Wide Web Linus Torvalds, 1991 Linux
  • 22. What is the result? Voters are moving away from the fitness peak of the neoliberal consensus. We don’t know yet where that new fitness peak will be, but the migration is telling us loud and clear that the economy needs some fresh thinking.
  • 23. Yes, things are changing. But one thing doesn’t change. A successful ecosystem creates opportunity for everyone, not just a few.
  • 24. We will create the economy of the future when we remember that the function of technology is to empower people to do things that were previously impossible!
  • 25. Government statistics, economic modeling, and regulations are too slow for the pace and scale of the modern world “Would you cross the street with information that was five seconds old?” - Jeff Jonas, IBM Fellow
  • 27. Users post 7 billion pieces of content to Facebook a day. Expecting human fact checkers to catch fake news is like asking workers to build a modern city with only picks and shovels. At internet scale, we now rely increasingly on algorithms to manage what we see and believe.
  • 28. This is why Mark Zuckerberg tells his team “Move fast and break things.” - Mark Zuckerberg
  • 29. “Build, Measure, Learn.” Eric Ries, The Lean Startup
  • 30. Every day, they are inspecting the performance of their workers and giving them instruction (in the form of code) about how to do a better job In digital systems, the workers are programs, and software engineers are their managers
  • 31. “This isn’t just how we should be developing software. It’s how we should be developing policy.” Cecilia Muñoz, Director, White House Domestic Policy Council
  • 34. “Doing digital is not the same as being digital.” Josh Bersin Deloitte
  • 35. “We have to go from apps to ops.” Jennifer Pahlka Code for America & USDS
  • 37. “The smartphone is becoming a remote control for real life.” Matt Cohler, Benchmark Partners
  • 38. “Uber is a lesson in building for how the world should work instead of optimizing for how the world does work.” Aaron Levie, Box.net