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Innova&on	
  Today	
  and	
  Tomorrow	
  |	
  Some	
  Thoughts	
  
Dr.	
  Tim	
  Jones	
  |	
  21	
  May	
  2014	
  
Innova&on	
  Impact	
  
Most	
  now	
  agree	
  that,	
  across	
  many	
  sectors,	
  successful	
  innova?on	
  is	
  a	
  
driver	
  of	
  sustained	
  organic	
  growth	
  and	
  hence	
  increases	
  corporate	
  value	
  
Innova&on	
  Focus	
  
The	
  nature	
  of	
  innova?on	
  has	
  however	
  changed	
  and	
  in	
  some	
  areas	
  
shiBed	
  from	
  a	
  product	
  /	
  technology	
  focus	
  to	
  process	
  /	
  business	
  model	
  
Focus	
  for	
  This	
  A<ernoon	
  
Today	
  we	
  will	
  look	
  at	
  innova?on	
  changes	
  through	
  two	
  lenses:	
  	
  
Innova&on	
  Leaders	
  (What	
  others	
  are	
  doing	
  well	
  and	
  why)	
  	
  
Future	
  Agenda	
  (Changes	
  and	
  challenges	
  on	
  the	
  horizon)	
  
WWW.INNOVATIONLEADERS.ORG
The	
  Innova&on	
  Leaders	
  Research	
  
For	
  the	
  past	
  twelve	
  years	
  we	
  have	
  analysed	
  the	
  innova?on	
  	
  
performance	
  of	
  over	
  2000	
  firms	
  and	
  focused	
  most	
  on	
  a	
  ra?o	
  of	
  
innova?on	
  impact	
  to	
  the	
  resources	
  being	
  deployed	
  
	
  
Each	
  sector	
  algorithm	
  is	
  based	
  on: 	
   	
  Innova?on	
  Output	
  
	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  Innova?on	
  Input	
  
Company	
  
Capabili&es	
  
Innova&on	
  Input	
   Innova&on	
  Output	
  
This	
  provides	
  what	
  many	
  see	
  to	
  be	
  the	
  most	
  accurate	
  assessment	
  of	
  current	
  innova?on	
  impact
Rolls-­‐Royce	
  	
  
Rolls-­‐Royce	
  manages	
  deep,	
  long-­‐term	
  research	
  partnerships	
  and	
  	
  
has	
  benefited	
  by	
  shiBing	
  from	
  selling	
  product	
  to	
  leasing	
  power	
  
Narayana	
  Hrundayalaya	
  	
  
Narayana	
  Hrundayalaya	
  leads	
  the	
  world	
  in	
  hyper-­‐efficient	
  	
  
cardiac	
  surgery	
  through	
  integrated	
  process	
  and	
  business	
  innova?on	
  
LEGO	
  
LEGO	
  has	
  grown	
  to	
  be	
  the	
  global	
  #2	
  toy	
  company	
  through	
  a	
  	
  
deep	
  self-­‐belief	
  in	
  a	
  unique	
  ability	
  to	
  invent	
  the	
  future	
  of	
  play	
  
ARM	
  
ARM	
  has	
  become	
  dominant	
  in	
  smart-­‐phone	
  chip	
  design	
  by	
  building	
  
communi?es	
  based	
  on	
  technology	
  sharing	
  and	
  focusing	
  on	
  IP	
  	
  
Other	
  IP	
  Companies	
  of	
  Note	
  
Alongside	
  the	
  success	
  of	
  ARM’s	
  licensing	
  business	
  model,	
  many	
  are	
  
interested	
  in	
  other	
  knowledge	
  shiBs	
  such	
  as	
  how	
  Amazon	
  and	
  Google	
  
have	
  built	
  and	
  exploited	
  their	
  IP	
  por^olios	
  over	
  the	
  past	
  decade	
  
#	
  US	
  Patents	
  
Granted	
  
(USPTO)	
  
0	
  
200	
  
400	
  
600	
  
800	
  
1000	
  
1200	
  
1400	
  
1600	
  
1800	
  
2000	
  
2001	
   2002	
   2003	
   2004	
   2005	
   2006	
   2007	
   2008	
   2009	
   2010	
   2011	
   2012	
   2013	
  
Amazon	
  
Google	
  
1.  Clear	
  Ambi&on	
  
–  See	
  what	
  is	
  the	
  prize,	
  where	
  it	
  is	
  and	
  how	
  to	
  get	
  it	
  
2.  Dis&nc&ve	
  Competence	
  
–  Know	
  what	
  is	
  the	
  real,	
  unique	
  and	
  defendable	
  capability	
  
3.  Innova&on	
  Priority	
  
–  Clear	
  on	
  where	
  and	
  where	
  not	
  to	
  innovate	
  and	
  why	
  
4.  Unique	
  Insight	
  
–  Place	
  informed	
  bets	
  due	
  to	
  non-­‐standard	
  perspec?ves	
  
5.  Organiza&onal	
  Confidence	
  
–  Self	
  belief	
  that	
  they	
  can	
  do	
  it	
  beger	
  than	
  their	
  peers	
  
	
  
Key	
  Insights	
  
From	
  these	
  and	
  other	
  examples	
  we	
  can	
  see	
  the	
  things	
  that	
  	
  
make	
  the	
  difference	
  for	
  successful	
  and	
  sustained	
  growth	
  
Confirming	
  the	
  Financial	
  Impact	
  of	
  Innova&on	
  
A	
  por^olio	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  innova?on	
  leaders	
  returned	
  14.5%	
  CAGR	
  over	
  
the	
  past	
  decade	
  and	
  is	
  now	
  also	
  the	
  basis	
  of	
  a	
  new	
  investment	
  fund	
  
Future	
  Agenda	
  
The	
  Future	
  Agenda	
  is	
  the	
  world’s	
  largest	
  open	
  foresight	
  	
  
programme	
  that	
  engages	
  expert	
  input	
  from	
  over	
  1500	
  	
  
organisa?ons	
  to	
  beger	
  understand	
  the	
  next	
  decade	
  
Looking	
  Forwards	
  
Organisa?ons	
  increasingly	
  want	
  to	
  iden?fy	
  and	
  understand	
  both	
  the	
  
an?cipated	
  and	
  unexpected	
  changes	
  from	
  within	
  and	
  outside	
  their	
  
sector	
  so	
  that	
  they	
  can	
  be	
  beger	
  prepared	
  for	
  the	
  future	
  
Increased	
  Environmental	
  Stresses	
  
In	
  an	
  increasingly	
  resource	
  constrained	
  world,	
  organisa?ons	
  recognise	
  
the	
  planetary	
  stresses	
  and	
  seek	
  to	
  beger	
  adapt	
  to	
  the	
  implica?ons	
  of	
  
climate	
  change:	
  Protec?ng	
  the	
  wider	
  ecosystem	
  becomes	
  a	
  priority.	
  
Increased	
  Societal	
  Stresses	
  
Con?nued	
  urbanisa?on	
  and	
  rising	
  migra?on	
  highlight	
  the	
  widening	
  gap	
  
between	
  rich	
  and	
  poor	
  in	
  many	
  communi?es,	
  while	
  ageing	
  popula?ons	
  
and	
  rising	
  youth	
  unemployment	
  add	
  extra	
  demographic	
  pressures.	
  
Changing	
  Business	
  Environment	
  
A	
  more	
  connected,	
  networked	
  economy,	
  the	
  needs	
  of	
  new	
  middle	
  class	
  
consumers	
  and	
  regulatory	
  shiBs	
  combine	
  with	
  the	
  impact	
  of	
  personal	
  
and	
  country	
  debt	
  to	
  blur	
  the	
  boundaries	
  of	
  the	
  organisa?on	
  and	
  society.	
  
Big	
  Collabora&on	
  	
  
Addressing	
  many	
  of	
  the	
  major	
  future	
  challenges	
  relies	
  on	
  deeper	
  	
  
and	
  wider	
  collabora?on	
  between	
  organiza?ons	
  with	
  no	
  lead	
  	
  
company	
  and	
  value	
  crea?on	
  replaced	
  by	
  new	
  type	
  of	
  recogni?on.	
  
Innova&on	
  and	
  Intellectual	
  Property	
  
Innova?on	
  is	
  increasingly	
  moving	
  beyond	
  the	
  established	
  arenas	
  of	
  
product	
  and	
  technology	
  development	
  where	
  IP	
  has	
  tradi?onally	
  had	
  a	
  
major	
  role	
  to	
  play	
  -­‐	
  we	
  need	
  to	
  understand	
  poten?al	
  future	
  impact.	
  
Differen&ated	
  Knowledge	
  
As	
  informa?on	
  is	
  shared	
  globally	
  and	
  insight	
  is	
  commodi?zed,	
  
	
  the	
  best	
  returns	
  go	
  to	
  those	
  who	
  can	
  produce	
  non-­‐standard,	
  
differen?ated	
  knowledge.	
  	
  	
  
The	
  End	
  of	
  IP?	
  
Following	
  change	
  in	
  the	
  music	
  industry,	
  technologies	
  such	
  as	
  	
  
3D	
  prin?ng	
  are	
  decoupling	
  the	
  produc?on	
  of	
  content	
  from	
  	
  
the	
  original	
  creator	
  and,	
  in	
  doing	
  so,	
  IP	
  is	
  becoming	
  irrelevant.	
  
Business	
  Model	
  Open	
  Innova&on	
  
Increasing	
  sector-­‐to-­‐sector	
  transfer	
  of	
  know-­‐how	
  independent	
  	
  
of	
  IP	
  enables	
  successful	
  approaches	
  to	
  be	
  adopted	
  and	
  	
  
adapted	
  without	
  value	
  transfer	
  between	
  par?es.	
  
Projects	
  Worth	
  Working	
  For	
  	
  
In	
  a	
  world	
  where	
  innova?on	
  talent	
  is	
  global,	
  fluid	
  and	
  agracted	
  by	
  	
  
the	
  challenge	
  or	
  reputa?on	
  more	
  than	
  the	
  paycheck,	
  the	
  winners	
  will	
  	
  
be	
  the	
  organiza?ons	
  that	
  provide	
  the	
  most	
  interes?ng	
  projects.	
  
  	
   	
   	
   	
  More	
  Details	
  and	
  Informa&on	
  
	
  Innova?on	
  Leaders:	
   	
  www.innova?onleaders.org	
  
	
  Future	
  Agenda:	
   	
   	
  www.futureagenda.org	
  
	
  Tim	
  Jones:	
  	
   	
   	
   	
  hgp://uk.linkedin.com/in/innova?onstrategy	
  

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Innovation Today and Tomorrow 21 May 2014

  • 1. Innova&on  Today  and  Tomorrow  |  Some  Thoughts   Dr.  Tim  Jones  |  21  May  2014  
  • 2. Innova&on  Impact   Most  now  agree  that,  across  many  sectors,  successful  innova?on  is  a   driver  of  sustained  organic  growth  and  hence  increases  corporate  value  
  • 3. Innova&on  Focus   The  nature  of  innova?on  has  however  changed  and  in  some  areas   shiBed  from  a  product  /  technology  focus  to  process  /  business  model  
  • 4. Focus  for  This  A<ernoon   Today  we  will  look  at  innova?on  changes  through  two  lenses:     Innova&on  Leaders  (What  others  are  doing  well  and  why)     Future  Agenda  (Changes  and  challenges  on  the  horizon)   WWW.INNOVATIONLEADERS.ORG
  • 5. The  Innova&on  Leaders  Research   For  the  past  twelve  years  we  have  analysed  the  innova?on     performance  of  over  2000  firms  and  focused  most  on  a  ra?o  of   innova?on  impact  to  the  resources  being  deployed     Each  sector  algorithm  is  based  on:    Innova?on  Output                              Innova?on  Input   Company   Capabili&es   Innova&on  Input   Innova&on  Output   This  provides  what  many  see  to  be  the  most  accurate  assessment  of  current  innova?on  impact
  • 6. Rolls-­‐Royce     Rolls-­‐Royce  manages  deep,  long-­‐term  research  partnerships  and     has  benefited  by  shiBing  from  selling  product  to  leasing  power  
  • 7. Narayana  Hrundayalaya     Narayana  Hrundayalaya  leads  the  world  in  hyper-­‐efficient     cardiac  surgery  through  integrated  process  and  business  innova?on  
  • 8. LEGO   LEGO  has  grown  to  be  the  global  #2  toy  company  through  a     deep  self-­‐belief  in  a  unique  ability  to  invent  the  future  of  play  
  • 9. ARM   ARM  has  become  dominant  in  smart-­‐phone  chip  design  by  building   communi?es  based  on  technology  sharing  and  focusing  on  IP    
  • 10. Other  IP  Companies  of  Note   Alongside  the  success  of  ARM’s  licensing  business  model,  many  are   interested  in  other  knowledge  shiBs  such  as  how  Amazon  and  Google   have  built  and  exploited  their  IP  por^olios  over  the  past  decade   #  US  Patents   Granted   (USPTO)   0   200   400   600   800   1000   1200   1400   1600   1800   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   Amazon   Google  
  • 11. 1.  Clear  Ambi&on   –  See  what  is  the  prize,  where  it  is  and  how  to  get  it   2.  Dis&nc&ve  Competence   –  Know  what  is  the  real,  unique  and  defendable  capability   3.  Innova&on  Priority   –  Clear  on  where  and  where  not  to  innovate  and  why   4.  Unique  Insight   –  Place  informed  bets  due  to  non-­‐standard  perspec?ves   5.  Organiza&onal  Confidence   –  Self  belief  that  they  can  do  it  beger  than  their  peers     Key  Insights   From  these  and  other  examples  we  can  see  the  things  that     make  the  difference  for  successful  and  sustained  growth  
  • 12. Confirming  the  Financial  Impact  of  Innova&on   A  por^olio  based  on  the  innova?on  leaders  returned  14.5%  CAGR  over   the  past  decade  and  is  now  also  the  basis  of  a  new  investment  fund  
  • 13. Future  Agenda   The  Future  Agenda  is  the  world’s  largest  open  foresight     programme  that  engages  expert  input  from  over  1500     organisa?ons  to  beger  understand  the  next  decade  
  • 14. Looking  Forwards   Organisa?ons  increasingly  want  to  iden?fy  and  understand  both  the   an?cipated  and  unexpected  changes  from  within  and  outside  their   sector  so  that  they  can  be  beger  prepared  for  the  future  
  • 15. Increased  Environmental  Stresses   In  an  increasingly  resource  constrained  world,  organisa?ons  recognise   the  planetary  stresses  and  seek  to  beger  adapt  to  the  implica?ons  of   climate  change:  Protec?ng  the  wider  ecosystem  becomes  a  priority.  
  • 16. Increased  Societal  Stresses   Con?nued  urbanisa?on  and  rising  migra?on  highlight  the  widening  gap   between  rich  and  poor  in  many  communi?es,  while  ageing  popula?ons   and  rising  youth  unemployment  add  extra  demographic  pressures.  
  • 17. Changing  Business  Environment   A  more  connected,  networked  economy,  the  needs  of  new  middle  class   consumers  and  regulatory  shiBs  combine  with  the  impact  of  personal   and  country  debt  to  blur  the  boundaries  of  the  organisa?on  and  society.  
  • 18. Big  Collabora&on     Addressing  many  of  the  major  future  challenges  relies  on  deeper     and  wider  collabora?on  between  organiza?ons  with  no  lead     company  and  value  crea?on  replaced  by  new  type  of  recogni?on.  
  • 19. Innova&on  and  Intellectual  Property   Innova?on  is  increasingly  moving  beyond  the  established  arenas  of   product  and  technology  development  where  IP  has  tradi?onally  had  a   major  role  to  play  -­‐  we  need  to  understand  poten?al  future  impact.  
  • 20. Differen&ated  Knowledge   As  informa?on  is  shared  globally  and  insight  is  commodi?zed,    the  best  returns  go  to  those  who  can  produce  non-­‐standard,   differen?ated  knowledge.      
  • 21. The  End  of  IP?   Following  change  in  the  music  industry,  technologies  such  as     3D  prin?ng  are  decoupling  the  produc?on  of  content  from     the  original  creator  and,  in  doing  so,  IP  is  becoming  irrelevant.  
  • 22. Business  Model  Open  Innova&on   Increasing  sector-­‐to-­‐sector  transfer  of  know-­‐how  independent     of  IP  enables  successful  approaches  to  be  adopted  and     adapted  without  value  transfer  between  par?es.  
  • 23. Projects  Worth  Working  For     In  a  world  where  innova?on  talent  is  global,  fluid  and  agracted  by     the  challenge  or  reputa?on  more  than  the  paycheck,  the  winners  will     be  the  organiza?ons  that  provide  the  most  interes?ng  projects.  
  • 24.          More  Details  and  Informa&on    Innova?on  Leaders:    www.innova?onleaders.org    Future  Agenda:      www.futureagenda.org    Tim  Jones:          hgp://uk.linkedin.com/in/innova?onstrategy