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The evolution of REDD+ finance
in DRC across the years:
The rise of private REDD+
finance?
Dr. Stibniati Atmadja, CIFOR-ICRAF
s.atmadja@cifor-icraf.org
9 December 2023
Finance from where?
Public
Private
This presentation: Developed country contributions: ODA transfers (‘REDD+
Aid’) and Voluntary Carbon Markets/VCM (‘REDD+ Market)
There are others not included (e.g., domestic funds, regional funds)
Private
(since
2021)
Analyses and data
REDD+ aid: ODA for REDD+
(2010-2021)
• $ committed vs. disbursed
• DRC vs. other countries
• Private actors - role
OECD-CRS data tagged for
REDD+ activities using
keywords
REDD+ markets: REDD+
projects on VCM
Ongoing and new projects
Est. $ from carbon markets
Private actors - role
www.reddprojectsdatabase.org
(ID-RECCO), updated 2022
Verra registry
www.reddprojects
database.org
REDD+ ODA Funding: Committed vs. Disbursed
Definition (OECD)
Commitme
nt
“commitment is a firm obligation,
expressed in writing and backed by the
necessary funds, undertaken by an official
donor to provide specified assistance to a
recipient country or a multilateral
organization”
Disbursem
ent
“the release of funds to or the purchase of
goods or services for a recipient; by
extension, the amount thus spent.
Disbursements record the actual
international transfer of financial
resources, or of goods or services valued
at the cost to the donor.”
Expectation:
• Commitments are Disbursed (100%
rate)
But
• Commitments often are not
disbursed (<100% rate)
Why? Some possibilities
• Donor conditions (procurement, co-
financing, aid-effectiveness),
• Recipient capacity (programming,
fund absorption),
• Both sides’ bureaucratic and
technical delays [1]
[1] Savvidou, G. "Quantifying international public finance
for climate change adaptation in Africa." Climate
Policy 21.8 (2021): 1020-1036. (link)
REDD+ ODA Funding: Committed vs. Disbursed – comparison across time
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Global
Commitment Disbursement % Disbursed
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
0
10
20
30
40
50
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
RDC
Commitment Disbursement % Disbursed
Global REDD+ ODA: 98% disbursed
USD 9b committed, 8.3b disbursed
DRC REDD+ ODA: 71% disbursed
USD 139m committed, 97m disbursed
Ave. $11,4m/year committed,
$8,11m/year disbursed
Increased funding in 2020-2021 (Global + DRC)
REDD+ ODA Funding: Committed vs. Disbursed in DRC
UK
0%
Spain
0%
Canada
1%
France
3%
USA
4%
Korea
6%
Belgium
9%
Sweden
10%
Norway
15%
GEF
6%
CIF
22%
Arcus
Foundation
0,0%
Bezos Earth
Fund
19%
UNDP
5%
REDD+ ODA Fund (Committed)
2010-2021, USD 139m
UK
5%
Spain
0%
Canada
1%
France
0%
USA
3% Korea
0%
Belgium
12%
Sweden
14%
Norway
16%
GEF
0%
CIF
15%
Arcus Foundation
0,1%
Bezos Earth Fund
27%
UNDP
7%
REDD+ ODA Fund (Disbursed)
2010-2021, USD 97m
New major donor: Bezos Earth Fund
100% disbursed
9 donors = 95% commitments
(Vs 4 donors by 2019)
Quick Update on REDD+ Projects in DRC
Evolution
• 2014: 14 projects
• 2020: 3 certified VCS/CCB and
CDM, trading credits on VCM)
• 2022: 1 more certified in Gold
Standard
• 2023: 5 in pipeline: VCS (4) and
Gold Standard (1)
2 huge projects
Increase the area in projects from
491 thousand ha to 4,9 million
(10x)
Name
Certification
status Area (Ha)
Est. Annual
Emission
Reductions
EcoMakalaVirunga
Reforestation
Certified - Gold
Standard
3,485-12,000
365,307
Isangi REDD+ project
Certified - VCS +
CCB
187,571 324,534
The Mai N'dombe REDD+
Project
Certified - VCS 299,640 5,671,613
Ibi-Bateke Certified - CDM 4,129 54,511
DRC REDD+ Carbon Credit
Harvesting Project Pipeline - VCS
1,346,360 27,604,998
Kokolopori Bonobo Peace
Forest Grouped REDD ProjectPipeline - VCS 421,000 1,047,213
Tshopo Lomami Grouped
REDD Project Pipeline - VCS
446,080 2,944,128
Sankuru Peace Forest
Grouped REDD Project Pipeline - VCS 2,190,831
7,390,562
N’situ Pelende by Colruyt
Group
Pipeline - Gold
Standard 14,430
89,971
Source: reddprojectsdatabase.org;
registry.verra.org;
registry.goldstandard.org
REDD+ Projects in DRC
Name
Est. Annual
Emission
Reductions
Annual
ave. traded
in VCMa
Ratio
estimated
vs. Traded
Est. Traded
(ratio 0,53)
EcoMakalaVirunga
Reforestation
365,307 0 n/a n/a
Isangi REDD+ project 324,534 173 953 1: 0.54 173 953
The Mai N'dombe
REDD+ Project 5,671,613
2 985 330 1: 0.53 2 985 330
Ibi-Bateke*
54,511
n/a n/a n/a
DRC REDD+ Carbon
Credit Harvesting
Project
27,604,998
n/a n/a
14 528 946
Kokolopori Bonobo
Peace Forest Grouped
REDD Project 1,047,213
n/a
n/a
551 165
Tshopo Lomami
Grouped REDD Project 2,944,128
n/a n/a
1 549 541
Sankuru Peace Forest
Grouped REDD Project 7,390,562
n/a n/a
3 889 769
N’situ Pelende by
Colruyt Group
129,011
n/a
n/a
2 projects sold credits
in VCM
• ave. 3,16 mtCO2e/yr
• Assume $10/tCO2e =
$31,6 million/year
• 1 tCO2eq sold for
each 1,9 tCO2eq
estimated
• Isangi REDD+
Withdrawn June
2023, land tenure
issue over concession
aSource:
https://registry.verra.org/app/search/VC
S/VCUs, 17 Oct 2023
REDD+ Project Proponents
Name
Proponent
(Yellow – Private company) Source
EcoMakalaVirunga Reforestation CO2logic (Belgium)
Transition Annex,
2017. Link
Isangi REDD+ project SAFBOIS, SPRL (USA) Link
The Mai N'dombe REDD+ Project Wildlife Works Carbon LLC (USA) Link
Ibi-Bateke* Novacel
DRC REDD+ Carbon Credit Harvesting
Project
R.E.D.D. Carbon Credit Harvesting L.P
(USA)
Link
Kokolopori Bonobo Peace Forest
Grouped REDD Project
Bonobo Conservation Initiative
(USA); Future Carbon Intl LLC (USA)
Link
Tshopo Lomami Grouped REDD Project
Africa Climate Investments LLC (USA);
Renewable Solutions Ltd. (USA);
Green Initiatives Ltd. (USA);
Biodiversity Developments Ltd (USA)
Link
Sankuru Peace Forest Grouped REDD
Project
Bonobo Conservation Initiative
(USA); Future Carbon Intl LLC (USA
Link
N’situ Pelende by Colruyt Group
Colruyt Group (Belgium)
Gold Standard PDD
(Link)
Summary – REDD+ ODA
Fund commitment - disbursement
• ODA funding in DRC increased in size and
diversity of donors
• Ave. $11,4m/year committed, $8,11m/year
disbursed
Compared to other countries:
• DRC: Lower disbursement rate compared to
Global REDD+ funds
Role of private sector
• New (private) major player: Bezos Earth Fund
(Private Development Fund)
• 100% disbursement
Summary – REDD Projects
• The 2 REDD+ projects currently trading in the
VCM generates an estimated $31,6
million/year
• Compared with ODA: $8,11m/year disbursed
• One was withdrawn in June’23 – land tenure
issue  High risks for investors
• 5 projects in the pipeline, of which 2 are huge
• Increases area in REDD+ project by 10x
• Potentially increases funding from carbon
credits to $ 230,7 million/year
• All project proponents
• at least 1 private sector
• Based in USA or Belgium
Key message
• REDD+ AID
• Private sector funding is starting to take a
prominent role in DRC’s REDD+ landscape
• ODA disbursement in DRC is lower than
global level
• Local civil society is absent
• REDD+ Markets: Private sector prominent
player as project proponent.
• Land tenure is an issue
• Who benefits? Who provides oversight?
Merci!
www.reddprojectsdatabase.org
Download v.5.0 Now!

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The evolution of REDD+ finance in DRC across the years: The rise of private REDD+ finance?

  • 1. The evolution of REDD+ finance in DRC across the years: The rise of private REDD+ finance? Dr. Stibniati Atmadja, CIFOR-ICRAF s.atmadja@cifor-icraf.org 9 December 2023
  • 2. Finance from where? Public Private This presentation: Developed country contributions: ODA transfers (‘REDD+ Aid’) and Voluntary Carbon Markets/VCM (‘REDD+ Market) There are others not included (e.g., domestic funds, regional funds) Private (since 2021)
  • 3. Analyses and data REDD+ aid: ODA for REDD+ (2010-2021) • $ committed vs. disbursed • DRC vs. other countries • Private actors - role OECD-CRS data tagged for REDD+ activities using keywords REDD+ markets: REDD+ projects on VCM Ongoing and new projects Est. $ from carbon markets Private actors - role www.reddprojectsdatabase.org (ID-RECCO), updated 2022 Verra registry www.reddprojects database.org
  • 4. REDD+ ODA Funding: Committed vs. Disbursed Definition (OECD) Commitme nt “commitment is a firm obligation, expressed in writing and backed by the necessary funds, undertaken by an official donor to provide specified assistance to a recipient country or a multilateral organization” Disbursem ent “the release of funds to or the purchase of goods or services for a recipient; by extension, the amount thus spent. Disbursements record the actual international transfer of financial resources, or of goods or services valued at the cost to the donor.” Expectation: • Commitments are Disbursed (100% rate) But • Commitments often are not disbursed (<100% rate) Why? Some possibilities • Donor conditions (procurement, co- financing, aid-effectiveness), • Recipient capacity (programming, fund absorption), • Both sides’ bureaucratic and technical delays [1] [1] Savvidou, G. "Quantifying international public finance for climate change adaptation in Africa." Climate Policy 21.8 (2021): 1020-1036. (link)
  • 5. REDD+ ODA Funding: Committed vs. Disbursed – comparison across time 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Global Commitment Disbursement % Disbursed 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 0 10 20 30 40 50 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 RDC Commitment Disbursement % Disbursed Global REDD+ ODA: 98% disbursed USD 9b committed, 8.3b disbursed DRC REDD+ ODA: 71% disbursed USD 139m committed, 97m disbursed Ave. $11,4m/year committed, $8,11m/year disbursed Increased funding in 2020-2021 (Global + DRC)
  • 6. REDD+ ODA Funding: Committed vs. Disbursed in DRC UK 0% Spain 0% Canada 1% France 3% USA 4% Korea 6% Belgium 9% Sweden 10% Norway 15% GEF 6% CIF 22% Arcus Foundation 0,0% Bezos Earth Fund 19% UNDP 5% REDD+ ODA Fund (Committed) 2010-2021, USD 139m UK 5% Spain 0% Canada 1% France 0% USA 3% Korea 0% Belgium 12% Sweden 14% Norway 16% GEF 0% CIF 15% Arcus Foundation 0,1% Bezos Earth Fund 27% UNDP 7% REDD+ ODA Fund (Disbursed) 2010-2021, USD 97m New major donor: Bezos Earth Fund 100% disbursed 9 donors = 95% commitments (Vs 4 donors by 2019)
  • 7. Quick Update on REDD+ Projects in DRC Evolution • 2014: 14 projects • 2020: 3 certified VCS/CCB and CDM, trading credits on VCM) • 2022: 1 more certified in Gold Standard • 2023: 5 in pipeline: VCS (4) and Gold Standard (1) 2 huge projects Increase the area in projects from 491 thousand ha to 4,9 million (10x) Name Certification status Area (Ha) Est. Annual Emission Reductions EcoMakalaVirunga Reforestation Certified - Gold Standard 3,485-12,000 365,307 Isangi REDD+ project Certified - VCS + CCB 187,571 324,534 The Mai N'dombe REDD+ Project Certified - VCS 299,640 5,671,613 Ibi-Bateke Certified - CDM 4,129 54,511 DRC REDD+ Carbon Credit Harvesting Project Pipeline - VCS 1,346,360 27,604,998 Kokolopori Bonobo Peace Forest Grouped REDD ProjectPipeline - VCS 421,000 1,047,213 Tshopo Lomami Grouped REDD Project Pipeline - VCS 446,080 2,944,128 Sankuru Peace Forest Grouped REDD Project Pipeline - VCS 2,190,831 7,390,562 N’situ Pelende by Colruyt Group Pipeline - Gold Standard 14,430 89,971 Source: reddprojectsdatabase.org; registry.verra.org; registry.goldstandard.org
  • 8. REDD+ Projects in DRC Name Est. Annual Emission Reductions Annual ave. traded in VCMa Ratio estimated vs. Traded Est. Traded (ratio 0,53) EcoMakalaVirunga Reforestation 365,307 0 n/a n/a Isangi REDD+ project 324,534 173 953 1: 0.54 173 953 The Mai N'dombe REDD+ Project 5,671,613 2 985 330 1: 0.53 2 985 330 Ibi-Bateke* 54,511 n/a n/a n/a DRC REDD+ Carbon Credit Harvesting Project 27,604,998 n/a n/a 14 528 946 Kokolopori Bonobo Peace Forest Grouped REDD Project 1,047,213 n/a n/a 551 165 Tshopo Lomami Grouped REDD Project 2,944,128 n/a n/a 1 549 541 Sankuru Peace Forest Grouped REDD Project 7,390,562 n/a n/a 3 889 769 N’situ Pelende by Colruyt Group 129,011 n/a n/a 2 projects sold credits in VCM • ave. 3,16 mtCO2e/yr • Assume $10/tCO2e = $31,6 million/year • 1 tCO2eq sold for each 1,9 tCO2eq estimated • Isangi REDD+ Withdrawn June 2023, land tenure issue over concession aSource: https://registry.verra.org/app/search/VC S/VCUs, 17 Oct 2023
  • 9. REDD+ Project Proponents Name Proponent (Yellow – Private company) Source EcoMakalaVirunga Reforestation CO2logic (Belgium) Transition Annex, 2017. Link Isangi REDD+ project SAFBOIS, SPRL (USA) Link The Mai N'dombe REDD+ Project Wildlife Works Carbon LLC (USA) Link Ibi-Bateke* Novacel DRC REDD+ Carbon Credit Harvesting Project R.E.D.D. Carbon Credit Harvesting L.P (USA) Link Kokolopori Bonobo Peace Forest Grouped REDD Project Bonobo Conservation Initiative (USA); Future Carbon Intl LLC (USA) Link Tshopo Lomami Grouped REDD Project Africa Climate Investments LLC (USA); Renewable Solutions Ltd. (USA); Green Initiatives Ltd. (USA); Biodiversity Developments Ltd (USA) Link Sankuru Peace Forest Grouped REDD Project Bonobo Conservation Initiative (USA); Future Carbon Intl LLC (USA Link N’situ Pelende by Colruyt Group Colruyt Group (Belgium) Gold Standard PDD (Link)
  • 10. Summary – REDD+ ODA Fund commitment - disbursement • ODA funding in DRC increased in size and diversity of donors • Ave. $11,4m/year committed, $8,11m/year disbursed Compared to other countries: • DRC: Lower disbursement rate compared to Global REDD+ funds Role of private sector • New (private) major player: Bezos Earth Fund (Private Development Fund) • 100% disbursement
  • 11. Summary – REDD Projects • The 2 REDD+ projects currently trading in the VCM generates an estimated $31,6 million/year • Compared with ODA: $8,11m/year disbursed • One was withdrawn in June’23 – land tenure issue  High risks for investors • 5 projects in the pipeline, of which 2 are huge • Increases area in REDD+ project by 10x • Potentially increases funding from carbon credits to $ 230,7 million/year • All project proponents • at least 1 private sector • Based in USA or Belgium
  • 12. Key message • REDD+ AID • Private sector funding is starting to take a prominent role in DRC’s REDD+ landscape • ODA disbursement in DRC is lower than global level • Local civil society is absent • REDD+ Markets: Private sector prominent player as project proponent. • Land tenure is an issue • Who benefits? Who provides oversight?