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Identify
opportunities
in line with
Company
strategy.
Select the best
alternative to
implement the
project.
Finalize project
scope, cost
and plan and
obtain
approval of
funds.
Execute the
project,
considering
the scope, cost
and plan.
Operate and
assess ensuring
performance and
maximum return
for the company.
Identification Selection Definition Execution
Operation and
Control
Is the
opportunity aligned with
Company strategy?
Is it the
best alternative to
implement the project?
Should the
Project proceed?
Can operations
start?
G4
G1 G2 G3
Describe Best
Project
Implement
Best Project
Benefits of Stage-Gate Governance

Alignment of resource commitment (e.g. financial, organizational) to project definition, leading to investment optimization and cost savings

Optimised effort in project development, by addressing critical success factors defined for each stage-gate;

investment in early-stage planning (or Front End Loading)

Effective mitigation of risks through effective stakeholder engagement, by ensuring dependencies/ unknowns are analyzed progressively,
stakeholder inputs are duly considered and carry-over of risk is minimized to subsequent stages
Pre-Feasibility
Concept Feasibility
KEY IMPERATIVES BEFORE RRPL
FEL 1
Concept
FEL 2
Pre-Feasibility
FEL 3
Feasibility
FEL 4
Execute
FEL 5
Operate
G4
G1 G2 G3
● Eliminate Options & Select Best project Define Best Project Execute Best Project
Have options (e.g. capacity/
location/ technology) been
identified for the opportunity
under consideration?
Has technology assessment been
completed for listed options?
Has site evaluation been initiated?
Have conceptual layouts and
conceptual engineering definition
been completed?
Have major risks associated with
the opportunity, along with critical
success factors for the project
been identified?
Has the Class 5 Cost Estimate (-
50% to +100%) been prepared?
Have major milestones for the
opportunity/ project been
identified?
Has Conceptual Procurement Plan
been prepared?
Has Long Lead strategy worked
out?
â–ș Have we evaluated and finalized
the technology option for further
definition?
â–ș Have we evaluated and finalized
the site for the project?
â–ș Have the Lessons Learnt from
similar projects been reviewed
and incorporated?
â–ș Has the preliminary Project
Execution Plan been prepared?
â–ș Has the preparation of
Environmental Impact
Assessment been initiated?
â–ș Have project sustainability
objectives been frozen?
â–ș Has initial Geo-Technical study
been initiated? Have preliminary
plot plans been prepared?
â–ș Has the process of detailed risk
identification been initiated?
â–ș Has the evaluation of Execution
and Contracting Strategy been
initiated?
â–ș Has the Class 4 Cost Estimate (-
30% to +50%) been prepared?
â–ș Has the preliminary L-1 schedule
been prepared, duly sequenced
â–ș Has the Execution &
Contracting Strategy been
prepared?
â–ș Has the Environmental Impact
Assessment been approved?
â–ș Has the Geo-Technical Study
been completed? Have plot
plans/ plant layout been
prepared?
â–ș Has the mandatory engineering
definition been achieved?
â–ș Has the Class 3 Cost Estimate (-
20% to +30%) been prepared?
â–ș Has the Level-1 Integrated
Project Schedule been
prepared, duly sequenced and
networked?
â–ș Have project risks been
identified & qualified, mitigation
plans prepared and
contingencies estimated?
â–ș Has Constructability
Assessment been initiated?
â–ș Has Baseline Procurement Plan
prepared?
â–ș Has Order Placed for Long
Lead Items?
â–ș Has All engineering
deliverables prepared
timely & to the correct
standard?
â–ș Has all equipment &
material purchased
and being delivered
within time & budget?
â–ș Has all the statutory
clearances for build
has been obtained?
â–ș Has the execution
organization in place?
â–ș Are all execution
manpower & other
resources are
deployed?
â–ș Have all services
contract been laid out?
â–ș Are all HSEQ need of
the project addressed?
â–ș Is the operation
organization in
place?
â–ș Is the operation
philosophy defined?
â–ș Is the Raw Material
& Consumable
sourcing strategy
defined &
infrastructure is in
place?
â–ș Is the product
evacuation strategy
defined &
infrastructure in
place?
â–ș Are maintenance
strategies defined
and in place?
â–ș Are all CSR being
implemented as per
the vision adopted?
OUR FRAMEWORK FOR FEASIBILITY ASSESSMENT
AND BUSINESS CASE
FEL 1
Identify
FEL 2
Assess & Select
FEL 3
Define
FEL 4
Execute
FEL 5
Operate
G4
G1 G2 G3
Define Best Project
Execute Defined
Project
Realize Value
Identify Options Select Best Option
Is the
opportunity aligned with
Company strategy?
Is it the
best alternative to
implement the project?
Should the
Project proceed?
Can operations
start?
“Make the right promise” “Deliver on the promise made”
FID
â–ș Define Objective
â–ș Market Study
â–ș High Level
Technical Study
â–ș Financial Analysis
â–ș Business Case
Definition
â–ș High Level Project
Definition
â–ș High Level
Demand Supply
Analysis
â–ș High Level
Technical Study
â–ș High Level
Financial Analysis
â–ș High Level
Business Case
â–ș Business
Objectives
â–ș Detailed Market
Study
â–ș Technical Study
â–ș Statutory
Approvals
â–ș Financial Analysis
â–ș High Level
Business Case
â–ș High Level Project
Objectives
â–ș Customer,
Supplier,
Competition,
Market
Environment,
Substitutes
â–ș High Level
Technical Study
â–ș Statutory
Approvals
Requirement
Details
â–ș Financial Analysis
â–ș High Level
Business Case
Activities
Deliverables
â–ș Review Business
Case
â–ș Technology Eval.
â–ș Facilities Design
Basis
â–ș CAPEX estimation
â–ș Financial Design
Basis
â–ș PEP
â–ș Updated Business
Case
â–ș Technology
Recommendation
â–ș Design Basis
â–ș CAPEX
â–ș Financial
Requirement
â–ș Project Executive
Summary
â–ș Project Execution
Plan
â–ș Detailed Business
Case
PROJECT DEVELOPMENT, REVIEW AND APPROVAL
KEY QUESTIONS
â–ș Have options (e.g. capacity/ location/
technology) been identified for the
opportunity under consideration?
â–ș Has technology assessment been
completed for listed options?
â–ș Has site evaluation been initiated?
â–ș Have conceptual layouts and conceptual
engineering definition been completed?
â–ș Have major risks associated with the
opportunity, along with critical success
factors for the project been identified?
â–ș Has the Class 5 Cost Estimate (-50% to
+100%) been prepared?
â–ș Have major milestones for the
opportunity/ project been identified?
â–ș Has Conceptual Procurement Plan been
prepared?
â–ș Has Long Lead strategy worked out?
â–ș Have we evaluated and finalized the
technology option for further definition?
â–ș Have we evaluated and finalized the site for
the project?
â–ș Have the Lessons Learnt from similar
projects been reviewed and incorporated?
â–ș Has the preliminary Project Execution Plan
been prepared?
â–ș Has the preparation of Environmental
Impact Assessment been initiated?
â–ș Have project sustainability objectives been
frozen?
â–ș Has initial Geo-Technical study been
initiated? Have preliminary plot plans been
prepared?
â–ș Has the process of detailed risk
identification been initiated?
â–ș Has the evaluation of Execution and
Contracting Strategy been initiated?
â–ș Has the Class 4 Cost Estimate (-30% to
+50%) been prepared?
â–ș Has the preliminary L-1 schedule been
prepared, duly sequenced and networked?
â–ș Has Draft Procurement Plan prepared?
â–ș Has Enquires floated for Long Lead Items?
â–ș Has the Execution & Contracting Strategy
been prepared?
â–ș Has the Environmental Impact Assessment
been approved?
â–ș Has the Geo-Technical Study been
completed? Have plot plans/ plant layout
been prepared?
â–ș Has the mandatory engineering definition
been achieved?
â–ș Has the Class 3 Cost Estimate (-20% to
+30%) been prepared?
â–ș Has the Level-1 Integrated Project Schedule
been prepared, duly sequenced and
networked?
â–ș Have project risks been identified &
qualified, mitigation plans prepared and
contingencies estimated?
â–ș Has Constructability Assessment been
initiated?
â–ș Has Baseline Procurement Plan prepared?
â–ș Has Order Placed for Long Lead Items?
FEL 1
IDENTIFY
FEL 2
ASSESS & SELECT
FEL 3
DEFINE
G1 G2 G3
DEFINE BEST PROJECT
IDENTIFY OPTIONS SELECT BEST OPTION
IS THE
OPPORTUNITY ALIGNED WITH
COMPANY STRATEGY?
IS IT THE
BEST ALTERNATIVE TO
IMPLEMENT THE PROJECT?
SHOULD THE
PROJECT PROCEED?
“MAKE THE RIGHT PROMISE”
FID
STAGE GATE FRAMEWORK (2/3)
â–șStage Gate Framework is flexible in terms of number of Gates to be followed depending on nature of Project
Critical
Projects
Significant
Projects
Routine
Projects
â–ș CAPEX: > 25 M USD
â–ș High Complexity
â–ș High Risk
â–ș CAPEX: > 5 M USD
and <= 25 M USD
â–ș Medium Complexity
â–ș CAPEX: <= 5 M
USD
â–ș Low Complexity
FEL 1
Concept
FEL 2
Pre-Feasibility
FEL 3
Feasibility
FEL 4
Execute
FEL 5
Operate
G
4
G
1
G
2
G
3
FEL 1
Concept
FEL 2
Pre-Feasibility
FEL 3
Feasibility
FEL 4
Execute
FEL 5
Operate
G
4
G
2
G
3
FEL 1
Concept
FEL 2
Pre-Feasibility
FEL 3
Feasibility
FEL 4
Execute
FEL 5
Operate
G
4
G
3
Project Classes
Number of
Gates Criteria
â–ș Critical Project: Setting up New Refinery /Petrochemical Complex
â–ș Significant Project: Adding New Unit in Existing Complex (New Diesel Hydrotreater for Euro IV quality
Diesel)
â–ș Routine Project: Revamping Existing Unit for improvement of Quality / Quantity of Product
Examples
STAGE GATE FRAMEWORK (3/3)
â–șStage wise functions and involvement
Stages
Functions
FEL 1 FEL 2 FEL 3 FEL 4 FEL 5
Business
Technology
Project Management
Project Control
Engineering
Procurement &
Contracts
Vendors & Contractors
Construction
Operations and
Management
Support Services
Management
No Involvement Low Involvement Medium
Involvement
High Involvement Responsible
Stages FEL 1 FEL 2 FEL 3 FEL 4
Engi
neeri
ng
Level of Engineering
Definition
<5% <20% <40% 50% to 100%
Process Design Preliminary Issued for Information Issued for Design Issued for Construction
Layout Definition Block Diagrams Major Equipment laid out
(long leads/critical)
Major Equipment & Structures
laid out
Multi disciplinary model
complete
Material Take Offs - Benchmark estimates Information Actual
Proc
ur-
eme
nt
Procurement Plan Conceptual Draft Plan Baseline Plan Updated Plan
Long Leads Strategy Identified Enquiries Issued Order Placement Delivered
Con
st,
Com
m &
Oper
ation
s
Modularization/ Pre
Assembly
- Conceptual Preliminary Final
Constructability - Planned Reviewed Implemented
Logistics and Installation - Planned Reviewed Implemented
Sche
-
dule
Project Master Schedule Level 1 Level 1 Level 1-5
Progress Reporting - - Preliminary Final
Proje
ct
Budg
et
Purpose of Estimate Concept Study and cost
of prefeasibility study
Viability Base line Detailed base line
Methodology Parametric or capacity
factored
Budget vendor quotations MTO’s from defined work
pkgs; firm vendor quotation
Detailed MTO’s and final
vendor bids
Contingency +30% to 40% +20 to +30% +10% to +20% +05% to +10%
Accuracy Range L: -20% to -50%
H: +30% to +100%
L: -15% to -30%
H: +20% to +50%
L: -10% to -20%
H: +10% to +30%
L: -05% to -15%
H: +05% to +10%
STAGE WISE LEVEL I DELIVERABLES
ACCURACY OF COST ESTIMATION AND CONTINGENCY
Stage FEL 1 FEL 2 FEL 3 FEL 4
Estimate Class CLASS 5 CLASS 4 CLASS 3 CLASS 2
Estimation Purpose Screening Concept Study
Budget, Authorization,
or Control
Control
Cost Estimation Methodology
Capacity Factored,
Parametric Models,
Judgment
Equipment
Factored or
Parametric Models
Semi-Detailed Unit
Costs
Detailed Unit Cost
Accuracy of Cost Estimation
L: -20% to -50%
H: +30% to +100%
L: -15% to -30%
H: +20% to +50%
L: -10% to -20%
H: +10% to +30%
L: -05% to -15%
H: +05% to +10%
Percentage Contingency +30% to 40% +20 to +30% +10% to +20% +05% to +10%
STAGE WISE LEVEL II DELIVERABLES FOR ENGINEERING
Stage FEL 1 FEL 2 FEL 3 FEL 4 FEL 5
Estimate Class CLASS 5 CLASS 4 CLASS 3 CLASS 2 CLASS 1
Project Scope Description General Preliminary Defined Defined Defined
Plant Production/Facility Capacity Assumed Preliminary Defined Defined
Plant Location General Approximate Specific Specific Specific Specific
Soils & Hydrology None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined Defined
Integrated Project Plan None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined
Project Master Schedule None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined
Escalation Strategy None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined Defined
Work Breakdown Structure None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined
Project Code of Accounts None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined
Contracting Strategy Assumed Preliminary Defined Defined Defined
Block Flow Diagrams Started/Preliminary Preliminary Completed Completed Completed
Plot Plans Started Started/Preliminary Completed Completed
Process Flow Diagrams Started/Preliminary Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed
Utility Flow Diagrams Started/Preliminary Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed
Piping & Instrument Diagrams Started Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed
Heat & Material Balances Started Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed
Process Equipment List Started/Preliminary Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed
Utility Equipment List Started/Preliminary Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed
Electrical One-Line Drawings Started/Preliminary Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed
Specifications & Datasheets Started Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed
General Equipment Arrangement Drawings Started Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed
Mechanical Discipline Drawings Started Preliminary/Completed Completed
Electrical Discipline Drawings Started Preliminary/Completed Completed
Instrumentation/Control System Drawings Started Preliminary/Completed Completed
Civil/Structural/Site Drawings Started Preliminary/Completed Completed
General
Project
Data
Engineering
Deliverables
10
STAGE GATE PROCESS (TBD)
The project stage gate process framework will establish the decision criteria and
processes for progressing the project from one stage to the next
Initiation Execution
Planning Close-out
S
G
DP
DM
Review and
close project set-
up and
undertake
commissioning
activities
Safely implement
project
consistent with
scope,
specifications,
cost and
schedule
Long term and
short term plans
for engineering,
procurement,
construction and
commissioning
Finalize project
scope, design,
cost, & schedule
Operation
Operate and
evaluate
performance
relative to
business
strategy
S
G
DP
DM
S
G
DP
DM
S
G
DP
DM
DP: Decision Package DM: Decision Maker SG: Stage Gate
DM
DP S
G
â–Ș Failure to set standards
â–Ș Failure to optimize design (value
engineer) for project
â–Ș Failure to optimize design across
multiple projects
â–Ș Over-engineering or inadequate
engagement of operations
including consideration of full
lifecycle costs
â–Ș Procurement functions are
overwhelmed - creates a bottleneck
and loses control
â–Ș Poor strategic alignment
â–Ș Lack of project detail
â–Ș Unrealistic assumptions (market,
technical, regulatory etc)
â–Ș Capital scarcity competing
projects - investors require a far
quicker +ve NPV than before the
banking crash
â–Ș Far greater scrutiny on ROI and
difficulties managing stakeholder
expectations
â–Ș Unpredictable market conditions
â–Ș High level of Project
optimism/misplaced commitment
â–Ș Lack of contract strategy and
alignment to work scope
â–Ș Selecting the wrong contractor (Price
rather than value or maturity)
â–Ș Poor understanding of the supply
chain and current market conditions
â–Ș Fraud risk/ counterfeit product risk
â–Ș Ineffective management reporting
â–Ș Health, safety, environment (TRIR)
â–Ș Inexperienced project management
functions
â–Ș Fail on market analysis and
valuation
‱ Lack of clarity surrounding the
appropriate contracting model
‱ Resource planning / availability
challenges
‱ Estimating realistic capital costs
‱ No common project/ programme
management processes
‱ Poor understanding of where risk
is best managed (client vs supply
chain)
‱ No culture of "programme delivery"
vs asset operator
EY’s expertise in Capital Investment Projects
Appraise Select Define Execute Operate
EY’s
Commonly
Occurring
Lifecycle
stage
challenges
Lifecycle
stage
specific
credentials
Cross-
Lifecycle
credentials
Credential
s Key
N.B. The number within in each
circle provides a link to the
detailed credential which can be
found in the appendix
X Oil & Gas Cred X Power & Utilities Cred X Mining & Metals Cred
1
Improving
Contractor Mgt
2 Gaining control of
Capital Investment
3
Investment
Appraisal Process
4 Program and vendor
management
5 Capital Commercial
Excellence
6
Smart metering
delivery design
7
Revised
Contracting
Process
8
EPCM Incentive
Review
9
Business Case Analysis for gas
interconnection
10
Smart metering – Regulatory
Positioning
11
Capital Projects Contracts
Risk Assessments
12
Compliance &
construction mgt
X Infrastructure Cred
16 Internal Audit
17 Cost Verification
18
Station Redevelopment
Process
19
Project Mgt
Capability
Enhancement
20 Transforming
operations
21 Programme Assurance
22 Organisational Design
23
Security &
Resilience
24 Expansion Diagnostic
Review
26
Assurance & Program
Management Capability
27
Independent
Investment Review
28 Internal Audit
30
Tendering
Methodology &
Sourcing Strategies
What are
Shell’s
Challenge
s?
Project
life cycle
Initiation
Business
Case
Test
Opportuni
ty
Data
appraisal
Concept
selection
Developme
nt
Plan
Negotiatio
n
Strategy
Design
basis
Execution
Plan
Design
&
Commissi
on
Operate
Maintain
&
Improve
FEED
13
Project Assurance
System Review
14
Resource Planning
Process
25
Contractor
Review
29 Governance Structure
Design
X UK&I Cred
Global Cred
15
Contract Mgt System
Enhancement
X
Construction
Advisory Audit
31
Proj Mgt Plan
Development
32
Construction Cost
Evaluation
33
Construction
Cost &
Schedule
Review
34
Procurement
Process
Improvement
35
Finance Community
of Practice
36
Project Mgt
Process Review
37
Oil Sands Org.
Design
38
Contract Mgt
Review
39
Integrated Planning
& Project Practices
40
Upstream Risk
Management
41
Upstream Project
Coordination
42
Critical Resources
Mgt
43
JV Process
Management
44
Budget / Contractor
Revision
45
Project Spend
Analysis
46
Financial
Expenditure
Analysis
47
Supply Chain
Process
Management
48
50 Supply Chain and Skills
Requirements for Onshore O&G
FID
â–Ș Ineffective handover operational
handover
â–Ș Poor asset register
â–Ș Poor asset management strategy
and processes
â–Ș Asset integrity is not fully
understood
â–Ș Poor investment case
â–Ș Poorly Optimised spares
management
â–Ș Minimisation of overheads as plants
move towards decommissioning
â–Ș Infrastructure and equipment
sabotage
Project Expansion
Audit
49

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EY_STAGE_GATE_PROCESS_CAPITAL PROJECTS CONTROLS .pptx

  • 1. Identify opportunities in line with Company strategy. Select the best alternative to implement the project. Finalize project scope, cost and plan and obtain approval of funds. Execute the project, considering the scope, cost and plan. Operate and assess ensuring performance and maximum return for the company. Identification Selection Definition Execution Operation and Control Is the opportunity aligned with Company strategy? Is it the best alternative to implement the project? Should the Project proceed? Can operations start? G4 G1 G2 G3 Describe Best Project Implement Best Project Benefits of Stage-Gate Governance  Alignment of resource commitment (e.g. financial, organizational) to project definition, leading to investment optimization and cost savings  Optimised effort in project development, by addressing critical success factors defined for each stage-gate;  investment in early-stage planning (or Front End Loading)  Effective mitigation of risks through effective stakeholder engagement, by ensuring dependencies/ unknowns are analyzed progressively, stakeholder inputs are duly considered and carry-over of risk is minimized to subsequent stages Pre-Feasibility Concept Feasibility
  • 2. KEY IMPERATIVES BEFORE RRPL FEL 1 Concept FEL 2 Pre-Feasibility FEL 3 Feasibility FEL 4 Execute FEL 5 Operate G4 G1 G2 G3 ● Eliminate Options & Select Best project Define Best Project Execute Best Project Have options (e.g. capacity/ location/ technology) been identified for the opportunity under consideration? Has technology assessment been completed for listed options? Has site evaluation been initiated? Have conceptual layouts and conceptual engineering definition been completed? Have major risks associated with the opportunity, along with critical success factors for the project been identified? Has the Class 5 Cost Estimate (- 50% to +100%) been prepared? Have major milestones for the opportunity/ project been identified? Has Conceptual Procurement Plan been prepared? Has Long Lead strategy worked out? â–ș Have we evaluated and finalized the technology option for further definition? â–ș Have we evaluated and finalized the site for the project? â–ș Have the Lessons Learnt from similar projects been reviewed and incorporated? â–ș Has the preliminary Project Execution Plan been prepared? â–ș Has the preparation of Environmental Impact Assessment been initiated? â–ș Have project sustainability objectives been frozen? â–ș Has initial Geo-Technical study been initiated? Have preliminary plot plans been prepared? â–ș Has the process of detailed risk identification been initiated? â–ș Has the evaluation of Execution and Contracting Strategy been initiated? â–ș Has the Class 4 Cost Estimate (- 30% to +50%) been prepared? â–ș Has the preliminary L-1 schedule been prepared, duly sequenced â–ș Has the Execution & Contracting Strategy been prepared? â–ș Has the Environmental Impact Assessment been approved? â–ș Has the Geo-Technical Study been completed? Have plot plans/ plant layout been prepared? â–ș Has the mandatory engineering definition been achieved? â–ș Has the Class 3 Cost Estimate (- 20% to +30%) been prepared? â–ș Has the Level-1 Integrated Project Schedule been prepared, duly sequenced and networked? â–ș Have project risks been identified & qualified, mitigation plans prepared and contingencies estimated? â–ș Has Constructability Assessment been initiated? â–ș Has Baseline Procurement Plan prepared? â–ș Has Order Placed for Long Lead Items? â–ș Has All engineering deliverables prepared timely & to the correct standard? â–ș Has all equipment & material purchased and being delivered within time & budget? â–ș Has all the statutory clearances for build has been obtained? â–ș Has the execution organization in place? â–ș Are all execution manpower & other resources are deployed? â–ș Have all services contract been laid out? â–ș Are all HSEQ need of the project addressed? â–ș Is the operation organization in place? â–ș Is the operation philosophy defined? â–ș Is the Raw Material & Consumable sourcing strategy defined & infrastructure is in place? â–ș Is the product evacuation strategy defined & infrastructure in place? â–ș Are maintenance strategies defined and in place? â–ș Are all CSR being implemented as per the vision adopted?
  • 3. OUR FRAMEWORK FOR FEASIBILITY ASSESSMENT AND BUSINESS CASE FEL 1 Identify FEL 2 Assess & Select FEL 3 Define FEL 4 Execute FEL 5 Operate G4 G1 G2 G3 Define Best Project Execute Defined Project Realize Value Identify Options Select Best Option Is the opportunity aligned with Company strategy? Is it the best alternative to implement the project? Should the Project proceed? Can operations start? “Make the right promise” “Deliver on the promise made” FID â–ș Define Objective â–ș Market Study â–ș High Level Technical Study â–ș Financial Analysis â–ș Business Case Definition â–ș High Level Project Definition â–ș High Level Demand Supply Analysis â–ș High Level Technical Study â–ș High Level Financial Analysis â–ș High Level Business Case â–ș Business Objectives â–ș Detailed Market Study â–ș Technical Study â–ș Statutory Approvals â–ș Financial Analysis â–ș High Level Business Case â–ș High Level Project Objectives â–ș Customer, Supplier, Competition, Market Environment, Substitutes â–ș High Level Technical Study â–ș Statutory Approvals Requirement Details â–ș Financial Analysis â–ș High Level Business Case Activities Deliverables â–ș Review Business Case â–ș Technology Eval. â–ș Facilities Design Basis â–ș CAPEX estimation â–ș Financial Design Basis â–ș PEP â–ș Updated Business Case â–ș Technology Recommendation â–ș Design Basis â–ș CAPEX â–ș Financial Requirement â–ș Project Executive Summary â–ș Project Execution Plan â–ș Detailed Business Case
  • 4. PROJECT DEVELOPMENT, REVIEW AND APPROVAL KEY QUESTIONS â–ș Have options (e.g. capacity/ location/ technology) been identified for the opportunity under consideration? â–ș Has technology assessment been completed for listed options? â–ș Has site evaluation been initiated? â–ș Have conceptual layouts and conceptual engineering definition been completed? â–ș Have major risks associated with the opportunity, along with critical success factors for the project been identified? â–ș Has the Class 5 Cost Estimate (-50% to +100%) been prepared? â–ș Have major milestones for the opportunity/ project been identified? â–ș Has Conceptual Procurement Plan been prepared? â–ș Has Long Lead strategy worked out? â–ș Have we evaluated and finalized the technology option for further definition? â–ș Have we evaluated and finalized the site for the project? â–ș Have the Lessons Learnt from similar projects been reviewed and incorporated? â–ș Has the preliminary Project Execution Plan been prepared? â–ș Has the preparation of Environmental Impact Assessment been initiated? â–ș Have project sustainability objectives been frozen? â–ș Has initial Geo-Technical study been initiated? Have preliminary plot plans been prepared? â–ș Has the process of detailed risk identification been initiated? â–ș Has the evaluation of Execution and Contracting Strategy been initiated? â–ș Has the Class 4 Cost Estimate (-30% to +50%) been prepared? â–ș Has the preliminary L-1 schedule been prepared, duly sequenced and networked? â–ș Has Draft Procurement Plan prepared? â–ș Has Enquires floated for Long Lead Items? â–ș Has the Execution & Contracting Strategy been prepared? â–ș Has the Environmental Impact Assessment been approved? â–ș Has the Geo-Technical Study been completed? Have plot plans/ plant layout been prepared? â–ș Has the mandatory engineering definition been achieved? â–ș Has the Class 3 Cost Estimate (-20% to +30%) been prepared? â–ș Has the Level-1 Integrated Project Schedule been prepared, duly sequenced and networked? â–ș Have project risks been identified & qualified, mitigation plans prepared and contingencies estimated? â–ș Has Constructability Assessment been initiated? â–ș Has Baseline Procurement Plan prepared? â–ș Has Order Placed for Long Lead Items? FEL 1 IDENTIFY FEL 2 ASSESS & SELECT FEL 3 DEFINE G1 G2 G3 DEFINE BEST PROJECT IDENTIFY OPTIONS SELECT BEST OPTION IS THE OPPORTUNITY ALIGNED WITH COMPANY STRATEGY? IS IT THE BEST ALTERNATIVE TO IMPLEMENT THE PROJECT? SHOULD THE PROJECT PROCEED? “MAKE THE RIGHT PROMISE” FID
  • 5. STAGE GATE FRAMEWORK (2/3) â–șStage Gate Framework is flexible in terms of number of Gates to be followed depending on nature of Project Critical Projects Significant Projects Routine Projects â–ș CAPEX: > 25 M USD â–ș High Complexity â–ș High Risk â–ș CAPEX: > 5 M USD and <= 25 M USD â–ș Medium Complexity â–ș CAPEX: <= 5 M USD â–ș Low Complexity FEL 1 Concept FEL 2 Pre-Feasibility FEL 3 Feasibility FEL 4 Execute FEL 5 Operate G 4 G 1 G 2 G 3 FEL 1 Concept FEL 2 Pre-Feasibility FEL 3 Feasibility FEL 4 Execute FEL 5 Operate G 4 G 2 G 3 FEL 1 Concept FEL 2 Pre-Feasibility FEL 3 Feasibility FEL 4 Execute FEL 5 Operate G 4 G 3 Project Classes Number of Gates Criteria â–ș Critical Project: Setting up New Refinery /Petrochemical Complex â–ș Significant Project: Adding New Unit in Existing Complex (New Diesel Hydrotreater for Euro IV quality Diesel) â–ș Routine Project: Revamping Existing Unit for improvement of Quality / Quantity of Product Examples
  • 6. STAGE GATE FRAMEWORK (3/3) â–șStage wise functions and involvement Stages Functions FEL 1 FEL 2 FEL 3 FEL 4 FEL 5 Business Technology Project Management Project Control Engineering Procurement & Contracts Vendors & Contractors Construction Operations and Management Support Services Management No Involvement Low Involvement Medium Involvement High Involvement Responsible
  • 7. Stages FEL 1 FEL 2 FEL 3 FEL 4 Engi neeri ng Level of Engineering Definition <5% <20% <40% 50% to 100% Process Design Preliminary Issued for Information Issued for Design Issued for Construction Layout Definition Block Diagrams Major Equipment laid out (long leads/critical) Major Equipment & Structures laid out Multi disciplinary model complete Material Take Offs - Benchmark estimates Information Actual Proc ur- eme nt Procurement Plan Conceptual Draft Plan Baseline Plan Updated Plan Long Leads Strategy Identified Enquiries Issued Order Placement Delivered Con st, Com m & Oper ation s Modularization/ Pre Assembly - Conceptual Preliminary Final Constructability - Planned Reviewed Implemented Logistics and Installation - Planned Reviewed Implemented Sche - dule Project Master Schedule Level 1 Level 1 Level 1-5 Progress Reporting - - Preliminary Final Proje ct Budg et Purpose of Estimate Concept Study and cost of prefeasibility study Viability Base line Detailed base line Methodology Parametric or capacity factored Budget vendor quotations MTO’s from defined work pkgs; firm vendor quotation Detailed MTO’s and final vendor bids Contingency +30% to 40% +20 to +30% +10% to +20% +05% to +10% Accuracy Range L: -20% to -50% H: +30% to +100% L: -15% to -30% H: +20% to +50% L: -10% to -20% H: +10% to +30% L: -05% to -15% H: +05% to +10% STAGE WISE LEVEL I DELIVERABLES
  • 8. ACCURACY OF COST ESTIMATION AND CONTINGENCY Stage FEL 1 FEL 2 FEL 3 FEL 4 Estimate Class CLASS 5 CLASS 4 CLASS 3 CLASS 2 Estimation Purpose Screening Concept Study Budget, Authorization, or Control Control Cost Estimation Methodology Capacity Factored, Parametric Models, Judgment Equipment Factored or Parametric Models Semi-Detailed Unit Costs Detailed Unit Cost Accuracy of Cost Estimation L: -20% to -50% H: +30% to +100% L: -15% to -30% H: +20% to +50% L: -10% to -20% H: +10% to +30% L: -05% to -15% H: +05% to +10% Percentage Contingency +30% to 40% +20 to +30% +10% to +20% +05% to +10%
  • 9. STAGE WISE LEVEL II DELIVERABLES FOR ENGINEERING Stage FEL 1 FEL 2 FEL 3 FEL 4 FEL 5 Estimate Class CLASS 5 CLASS 4 CLASS 3 CLASS 2 CLASS 1 Project Scope Description General Preliminary Defined Defined Defined Plant Production/Facility Capacity Assumed Preliminary Defined Defined Plant Location General Approximate Specific Specific Specific Specific Soils & Hydrology None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined Defined Integrated Project Plan None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined Project Master Schedule None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined Escalation Strategy None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined Defined Work Breakdown Structure None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined Project Code of Accounts None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined Contracting Strategy Assumed Preliminary Defined Defined Defined Block Flow Diagrams Started/Preliminary Preliminary Completed Completed Completed Plot Plans Started Started/Preliminary Completed Completed Process Flow Diagrams Started/Preliminary Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed Utility Flow Diagrams Started/Preliminary Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed Piping & Instrument Diagrams Started Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed Heat & Material Balances Started Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed Process Equipment List Started/Preliminary Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed Utility Equipment List Started/Preliminary Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed Electrical One-Line Drawings Started/Preliminary Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed Specifications & Datasheets Started Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed General Equipment Arrangement Drawings Started Preliminary/Completed Completed Completed Mechanical Discipline Drawings Started Preliminary/Completed Completed Electrical Discipline Drawings Started Preliminary/Completed Completed Instrumentation/Control System Drawings Started Preliminary/Completed Completed Civil/Structural/Site Drawings Started Preliminary/Completed Completed General Project Data Engineering Deliverables
  • 10. 10 STAGE GATE PROCESS (TBD) The project stage gate process framework will establish the decision criteria and processes for progressing the project from one stage to the next Initiation Execution Planning Close-out S G DP DM Review and close project set- up and undertake commissioning activities Safely implement project consistent with scope, specifications, cost and schedule Long term and short term plans for engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning Finalize project scope, design, cost, & schedule Operation Operate and evaluate performance relative to business strategy S G DP DM S G DP DM S G DP DM DP: Decision Package DM: Decision Maker SG: Stage Gate DM DP S G
  • 11. â–Ș Failure to set standards â–Ș Failure to optimize design (value engineer) for project â–Ș Failure to optimize design across multiple projects â–Ș Over-engineering or inadequate engagement of operations including consideration of full lifecycle costs â–Ș Procurement functions are overwhelmed - creates a bottleneck and loses control â–Ș Poor strategic alignment â–Ș Lack of project detail â–Ș Unrealistic assumptions (market, technical, regulatory etc) â–Ș Capital scarcity competing projects - investors require a far quicker +ve NPV than before the banking crash â–Ș Far greater scrutiny on ROI and difficulties managing stakeholder expectations â–Ș Unpredictable market conditions â–Ș High level of Project optimism/misplaced commitment â–Ș Lack of contract strategy and alignment to work scope â–Ș Selecting the wrong contractor (Price rather than value or maturity) â–Ș Poor understanding of the supply chain and current market conditions â–Ș Fraud risk/ counterfeit product risk â–Ș Ineffective management reporting â–Ș Health, safety, environment (TRIR) â–Ș Inexperienced project management functions â–Ș Fail on market analysis and valuation ‱ Lack of clarity surrounding the appropriate contracting model ‱ Resource planning / availability challenges ‱ Estimating realistic capital costs ‱ No common project/ programme management processes ‱ Poor understanding of where risk is best managed (client vs supply chain) ‱ No culture of "programme delivery" vs asset operator EY’s expertise in Capital Investment Projects Appraise Select Define Execute Operate EY’s Commonly Occurring Lifecycle stage challenges Lifecycle stage specific credentials Cross- Lifecycle credentials Credential s Key N.B. The number within in each circle provides a link to the detailed credential which can be found in the appendix X Oil & Gas Cred X Power & Utilities Cred X Mining & Metals Cred 1 Improving Contractor Mgt 2 Gaining control of Capital Investment 3 Investment Appraisal Process 4 Program and vendor management 5 Capital Commercial Excellence 6 Smart metering delivery design 7 Revised Contracting Process 8 EPCM Incentive Review 9 Business Case Analysis for gas interconnection 10 Smart metering – Regulatory Positioning 11 Capital Projects Contracts Risk Assessments 12 Compliance & construction mgt X Infrastructure Cred 16 Internal Audit 17 Cost Verification 18 Station Redevelopment Process 19 Project Mgt Capability Enhancement 20 Transforming operations 21 Programme Assurance 22 Organisational Design 23 Security & Resilience 24 Expansion Diagnostic Review 26 Assurance & Program Management Capability 27 Independent Investment Review 28 Internal Audit 30 Tendering Methodology & Sourcing Strategies What are Shell’s Challenge s? Project life cycle Initiation Business Case Test Opportuni ty Data appraisal Concept selection Developme nt Plan Negotiatio n Strategy Design basis Execution Plan Design & Commissi on Operate Maintain & Improve FEED 13 Project Assurance System Review 14 Resource Planning Process 25 Contractor Review 29 Governance Structure Design X UK&I Cred Global Cred 15 Contract Mgt System Enhancement X Construction Advisory Audit 31 Proj Mgt Plan Development 32 Construction Cost Evaluation 33 Construction Cost & Schedule Review 34 Procurement Process Improvement 35 Finance Community of Practice 36 Project Mgt Process Review 37 Oil Sands Org. Design 38 Contract Mgt Review 39 Integrated Planning & Project Practices 40 Upstream Risk Management 41 Upstream Project Coordination 42 Critical Resources Mgt 43 JV Process Management 44 Budget / Contractor Revision 45 Project Spend Analysis 46 Financial Expenditure Analysis 47 Supply Chain Process Management 48 50 Supply Chain and Skills Requirements for Onshore O&G FID â–Ș Ineffective handover operational handover â–Ș Poor asset register â–Ș Poor asset management strategy and processes â–Ș Asset integrity is not fully understood â–Ș Poor investment case â–Ș Poorly Optimised spares management â–Ș Minimisation of overheads as plants move towards decommissioning â–Ș Infrastructure and equipment sabotage Project Expansion Audit 49