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1© 2018 Borderless Access
Can the combination of machine learning and adaptive research
radically reshape mobile market research as we know it?
Mobile MR landscape today
© 2018 Borderless Access 2
40%
Smartphone
Penetration
by 2020
50% Survey
emails are
opened on
Smartphones
Dropout rate
TWICE on
Smartphones
Response Rate
18%
6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Mobile PC
Share of Completes
88%
12%
PC
MOBILE
23% Survey
responses from
Smartphones
Avg number of
taps per minute
- 18
Did we really adapt to mobile?
© 2018 Borderless Access 3
Email
Invitations
Avg LOI
22minutes
Average LOI (Mins)
2014 2015 2016 2017
28
27
22
17
Avg number of
taps per minute
- 18
Did we really adapt to mobile?
© 2018 Borderless Access 4
Email
Invitations
Avg LOI
22minutes
Average LOI (Mins)
2014 2015 2016 2017
28
27
22
17
What is ‘Adaptive’?
© 2018 Borderless Access 5
Dynamic Decision making based on existing conditions and
past history driven by analyzing a large set of parameters.
What is landscape I am
operating in?
What are the expectations from
the consumer?
What is the nature of the
ecosystem?
What are the constraints
of the ecosystem?
What are the generic
characteristics?
What are the specific
characteristics?
© 2018 Borderless Access 6
Adaptive Example
Source/ Destination Locality
Public Transport Network
Traffic
Weather
Holidays
User
Location
Travel history
Average fare
Destination history
Driver
Location
Trip History
Home Location
Revenue per week
Rating
Driving Dynamics
Pricing
Offers
Rider-Driver Match making
Adaptive
Areas
Impact
65% reduction in wait times
Two-fold increase in avg revenue
per user
Rapid growth in locality coverage
© 2018 Borderless Access 7
Adaptive Example
Source/ Destination Locality
Public Transport Network
Traffic
Weather
Holidays
User
Location
Travel history
Average fare
Destination history
Driver
Location
Trip History
Home Location
Revenue per week
Rating
Driving Dynamics
Pricing
Offers
Rider-Driver Match making
Adaptive
Areas
Impact
65% reduction in wait times
Two-fold increase in avg revenue
per user
Rapid growth in locality coverage
Analyses 80+ data points before making a
match!!
Proximity
Road Conditions
Traffic Conditions
Speed control
Collision Avoidance
Lesser Stress for
Driver
Adaptive Example - Automotive
© 2018 Borderless Access 8
Purely based on user
input
Simple convenience
of not using one foot
Adaptive Cruise Control
Normal Cruise
Control
Adaptive
Cruise
Control
Proximity
Road Conditions
Traffic Conditions
Speed control
Collision Avoidance
Lesser Stress for
Driver
Adaptive Example - Automotive
© 2018 Borderless Access 9
Purely based on user
input
Simple convenience
of not using one foot
Adaptive Cruise Control
Normal Cruise
Control
Adaptive
Cruise
Control
Proximity
Road Conditions
Traffic Conditions
Speed control
Collision Avoidance
Lesser Stress for
Driver
Purely based on user
input
Simple convenience
of not using one foot
Adaptive Cruise Control
Normal Cruise
Control
Adaptive
Cruise
Control
Precursor to fully
autonomous driving!
Are we ready to become as smart as Uber?
© 2018 Borderless Access 10
Important questions for researchers
What impact will ML have on survey design?
Can we leverage the adaptive way in research?
Stats on traditional research
© 2018 Borderless Access 11
17.9 19 20
2017.8
18.2
20 20
28 27
22 17
2014 2015 2016 2017
Avg LOI
NonMobile
Mobile
Observed LOI Trend
17%
15%
14%
10%
16%
17% 14% 14%
2014 2015 2016 2017
RR CR
RR & CR Trend - Online Research
17% 15%
14%
10%
15%
15%
14% 14%
2014 2015 2016 2017
RR CR
RR & CR Trend – Non-Mobile
26%
22%
26%
28%
1% 3%
7% 7%
2014 2015 2016 2017
RR CR
RR & CR Trend - Mobile
Mobile Field Stats – Splits by B2B & B2C
© 2018 Borderless Access 12
26% 24% 25% 24%
2%
2%
3% 3%
2014 2015 2016 2017
RR CR
29 29
24 25
2014 2015 2016 2017
LOI Trend 4 years Trend graph of RR & CR for 4 years
14%
14% 23% 22%
2%
4% 7% 7%
2014 2015 2016 2017
RR CR
18
19
20
18
2014 2015 2016 2017
LOI Trend 4 years Trend graph of RR & CR for 4 years
B2C Surveys
B2B Surveys
Experimenting with machine learning & adaptive
questionnaire
© 2018 Borderless Access 13
?
Machine Learning Adaptive Questioning
- Activity patterns
- Response patterns
- Avg session time
- Day of the week
- Time of the day
- Response History
Learning models
Where can ML come in?
© 2018 Borderless Access 14
An average smartphone user uses 39 apps in a day!
Knowing your respondents is very important!
Respondent Behavior
Questionnaire
Blocks
QNR 1 QNR 2 QNR 3
QNR 4 QNR 5 QNR 6
QNR 1 QNR 2 QNR 3
QNR 4 QNR 5 QNR 6
QNR 1 QNR 2 QNR 3
QNR 4 QNR 5 QNR 6
© 2018 Borderless Access 15
Case Study
Comparative Study – Traditional Vs Adaptive Questioning
© 2018 Borderless Access 16
Traditional Questionnaire Adaptive Questionnaire
LOI: 15 minutes LOI: Dynamic LOI
Markets
Mexico
Platform: Mobile
Study Type:
Brand Tacker
Waves: 2
Sample Size:
200 each wave
Research Methodology - Adaptive
17
Questionnaire Setup & Learning Sampling Invitations
Divide Questionnaire in to smaller
blocks
More context based
Nano Samples
Continuous Sampling
Use all channels on mobile
Adaptive Invites
3 tier data
collection
© 2018 Borderless Access
Dynamic
Invites
Learn from
Behavior
Q Blocks
Results – Field Metrics Comparison
© 2018 Borderless Access 18
Traditional
Questionnaire
14 minutes
Adaptive
Questionnaire
Better
engagement
30% cost
reduction
Avg LOI
10 days
Study TAT
6%
Quality rejects
$3 per complete
Cost of Incentives
20 minutes
Avg LOI
7 days
Study TAT
1%
Quality rejects
$2 per complete
Cost of Incentives
More LOI but
lesser TAT
Impact on Respondent Engagement
© 2018 Borderless Access 19
Market Activity
Time Spent by
Respondents 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Market Activity
Time Spent by
Respondents
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hours of the day
Traditional
Adaptive
Impact on Respondent Engagement
© 2018 Borderless Access 20
Market Activity
Time Spent by
Respondents 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Market Activity
Time Spent by
Respondents
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hours of the day
Traditional
Adaptive
Answers to the important questions
© 2018 Borderless Access 21
Better respondent engagement
leading to reduction on TAT &
Cost
What impact will ML have on
survey design?
Yes! Changing the way we
write questionnaires and
bite-sizing surveys
Can we leverage the adaptive
way in research?
Yes! We have all the data.
Are we ready to become as
smart as Uber?
Answers to the important questions
© 2018 Borderless Access 22
Better respondent engagement
leading to reduction on TAT &
Cost
What impact will ML have on
survey design?
Yes! Changing the way we
write questionnaires and
bite-sizing surveys
Can we leverage the adaptive
way in research?
Yes! We have all the data.
Are we ready to become as
smart as Uber?
Closing Thoughts
23© 2018 Borderless Access
Leverage Behavioral
Data
Try Adaptive Invites
Nano Sampling
Thank You!
24
Connect with us on
Jason TifferPrasanth Reddy

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Can the combination of machine learning and adaptive research radically reshape mobile market research as we know it?

  • 1. 1© 2018 Borderless Access Can the combination of machine learning and adaptive research radically reshape mobile market research as we know it?
  • 2. Mobile MR landscape today © 2018 Borderless Access 2 40% Smartphone Penetration by 2020 50% Survey emails are opened on Smartphones Dropout rate TWICE on Smartphones Response Rate 18% 6% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Mobile PC Share of Completes 88% 12% PC MOBILE 23% Survey responses from Smartphones
  • 3. Avg number of taps per minute - 18 Did we really adapt to mobile? © 2018 Borderless Access 3 Email Invitations Avg LOI 22minutes Average LOI (Mins) 2014 2015 2016 2017 28 27 22 17
  • 4. Avg number of taps per minute - 18 Did we really adapt to mobile? © 2018 Borderless Access 4 Email Invitations Avg LOI 22minutes Average LOI (Mins) 2014 2015 2016 2017 28 27 22 17
  • 5. What is ‘Adaptive’? © 2018 Borderless Access 5 Dynamic Decision making based on existing conditions and past history driven by analyzing a large set of parameters. What is landscape I am operating in? What are the expectations from the consumer? What is the nature of the ecosystem? What are the constraints of the ecosystem? What are the generic characteristics? What are the specific characteristics?
  • 6. © 2018 Borderless Access 6 Adaptive Example Source/ Destination Locality Public Transport Network Traffic Weather Holidays User Location Travel history Average fare Destination history Driver Location Trip History Home Location Revenue per week Rating Driving Dynamics Pricing Offers Rider-Driver Match making Adaptive Areas Impact 65% reduction in wait times Two-fold increase in avg revenue per user Rapid growth in locality coverage
  • 7. © 2018 Borderless Access 7 Adaptive Example Source/ Destination Locality Public Transport Network Traffic Weather Holidays User Location Travel history Average fare Destination history Driver Location Trip History Home Location Revenue per week Rating Driving Dynamics Pricing Offers Rider-Driver Match making Adaptive Areas Impact 65% reduction in wait times Two-fold increase in avg revenue per user Rapid growth in locality coverage Analyses 80+ data points before making a match!!
  • 8. Proximity Road Conditions Traffic Conditions Speed control Collision Avoidance Lesser Stress for Driver Adaptive Example - Automotive © 2018 Borderless Access 8 Purely based on user input Simple convenience of not using one foot Adaptive Cruise Control Normal Cruise Control Adaptive Cruise Control
  • 9. Proximity Road Conditions Traffic Conditions Speed control Collision Avoidance Lesser Stress for Driver Adaptive Example - Automotive © 2018 Borderless Access 9 Purely based on user input Simple convenience of not using one foot Adaptive Cruise Control Normal Cruise Control Adaptive Cruise Control Proximity Road Conditions Traffic Conditions Speed control Collision Avoidance Lesser Stress for Driver Purely based on user input Simple convenience of not using one foot Adaptive Cruise Control Normal Cruise Control Adaptive Cruise Control Precursor to fully autonomous driving!
  • 10. Are we ready to become as smart as Uber? © 2018 Borderless Access 10 Important questions for researchers What impact will ML have on survey design? Can we leverage the adaptive way in research?
  • 11. Stats on traditional research © 2018 Borderless Access 11 17.9 19 20 2017.8 18.2 20 20 28 27 22 17 2014 2015 2016 2017 Avg LOI NonMobile Mobile Observed LOI Trend 17% 15% 14% 10% 16% 17% 14% 14% 2014 2015 2016 2017 RR CR RR & CR Trend - Online Research 17% 15% 14% 10% 15% 15% 14% 14% 2014 2015 2016 2017 RR CR RR & CR Trend – Non-Mobile 26% 22% 26% 28% 1% 3% 7% 7% 2014 2015 2016 2017 RR CR RR & CR Trend - Mobile
  • 12. Mobile Field Stats – Splits by B2B & B2C © 2018 Borderless Access 12 26% 24% 25% 24% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2014 2015 2016 2017 RR CR 29 29 24 25 2014 2015 2016 2017 LOI Trend 4 years Trend graph of RR & CR for 4 years 14% 14% 23% 22% 2% 4% 7% 7% 2014 2015 2016 2017 RR CR 18 19 20 18 2014 2015 2016 2017 LOI Trend 4 years Trend graph of RR & CR for 4 years B2C Surveys B2B Surveys
  • 13. Experimenting with machine learning & adaptive questionnaire © 2018 Borderless Access 13 ? Machine Learning Adaptive Questioning
  • 14. - Activity patterns - Response patterns - Avg session time - Day of the week - Time of the day - Response History Learning models Where can ML come in? © 2018 Borderless Access 14 An average smartphone user uses 39 apps in a day! Knowing your respondents is very important! Respondent Behavior Questionnaire Blocks QNR 1 QNR 2 QNR 3 QNR 4 QNR 5 QNR 6 QNR 1 QNR 2 QNR 3 QNR 4 QNR 5 QNR 6 QNR 1 QNR 2 QNR 3 QNR 4 QNR 5 QNR 6
  • 15. © 2018 Borderless Access 15 Case Study
  • 16. Comparative Study – Traditional Vs Adaptive Questioning © 2018 Borderless Access 16 Traditional Questionnaire Adaptive Questionnaire LOI: 15 minutes LOI: Dynamic LOI Markets Mexico Platform: Mobile Study Type: Brand Tacker Waves: 2 Sample Size: 200 each wave
  • 17. Research Methodology - Adaptive 17 Questionnaire Setup & Learning Sampling Invitations Divide Questionnaire in to smaller blocks More context based Nano Samples Continuous Sampling Use all channels on mobile Adaptive Invites 3 tier data collection © 2018 Borderless Access Dynamic Invites Learn from Behavior Q Blocks
  • 18. Results – Field Metrics Comparison © 2018 Borderless Access 18 Traditional Questionnaire 14 minutes Adaptive Questionnaire Better engagement 30% cost reduction Avg LOI 10 days Study TAT 6% Quality rejects $3 per complete Cost of Incentives 20 minutes Avg LOI 7 days Study TAT 1% Quality rejects $2 per complete Cost of Incentives More LOI but lesser TAT
  • 19. Impact on Respondent Engagement © 2018 Borderless Access 19 Market Activity Time Spent by Respondents 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Market Activity Time Spent by Respondents 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hours of the day Traditional Adaptive
  • 20. Impact on Respondent Engagement © 2018 Borderless Access 20 Market Activity Time Spent by Respondents 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Market Activity Time Spent by Respondents 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hours of the day Traditional Adaptive
  • 21. Answers to the important questions © 2018 Borderless Access 21 Better respondent engagement leading to reduction on TAT & Cost What impact will ML have on survey design? Yes! Changing the way we write questionnaires and bite-sizing surveys Can we leverage the adaptive way in research? Yes! We have all the data. Are we ready to become as smart as Uber?
  • 22. Answers to the important questions © 2018 Borderless Access 22 Better respondent engagement leading to reduction on TAT & Cost What impact will ML have on survey design? Yes! Changing the way we write questionnaires and bite-sizing surveys Can we leverage the adaptive way in research? Yes! We have all the data. Are we ready to become as smart as Uber?
  • 23. Closing Thoughts 23© 2018 Borderless Access Leverage Behavioral Data Try Adaptive Invites Nano Sampling
  • 24. Thank You! 24 Connect with us on Jason TifferPrasanth Reddy