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Prepared by Rangarajan Ramaswamy, PMP, PMI-SP, PMI-RMP Page 1 of 5
RANGA’S 51 HOT TOPICS TO
REMEMBER FOR
RISK MANAGEMENT
PROFESSIONAL (RMP) EXAM
1. A contingency plan is a planned action to be taken if a threat or an opportunity happens. A fallback
plan is implemented if the contingency plan is not effective or fails. A secondary risk
is associated with risks pertaining to risk response. A workaround is an immediate fix needed if an
unidentified or unanticipated risk occurs during execution stage.
2. A Pre-mortem is the process of "evaluating" a project before it has actually been done, to identify
potential risks on the project.
3. Assumption testing is done during Perform Qualitative Risk Assessment process. In assumption
testing, the stability and consequence are rated from 1 to 10. A stability rating of 5 to 10 means the
assumption is valid and a consequence rating of 5 to 10 means the assumption could have large
impact on the project.
4. It is important to analyze assumptions made when determining risk to uncover the consequences if the
assumptions are false.
5. Mutual exclusivity in decision tree model - Two events are called mutually exclusive if both cannot
occur in a single trial. Example: Flipping a coin will always give only 1 result (Head or Tail).
6. FMEA (Failure Mode Effect Analysis) is used to identify potential causes of product failure,
determine the effects, and identify actions to mitigate the failures.
7. Risk rating is something between 1 – 10. Risk Score is calculated as P*I. Comparing the risk scores
of risks in the project results in the Risk Ranking within the project.
8. Residual risks are risks that have been passively accepted, or for which contingency plans have been
created. It is important that management be informed of risks that have been passively accepted, as
well as the risks for which contingency and fallback plans have been created.
9. Residual risks are those risks that remain after Plan Risk Response process.
10. Project Cost breakdown is as follows:-
a. Work package estimate = Summation of activity estimate
b. Control account estimate = Summation of work packages estimate
c. Project estimate = Summation of Control accounts estimate
d. Cost baseline = Project estimate + Contingency reserve
e. Cost budget = Cost baseline + Management reserve
11. Management reserve is usually a percentage of the total project cost. The contingency reserve is the
expected monetary value (EMV) of the risks.
RANGA’S 51 HOT TOPICS TO REMEMBER FOR
RISK MANAGEMENT PROFESSIONAL (RMP) EXAM
Prepared by Rangarajan Ramaswamy, PMP, PMI-SP, PMI-RMP Page 2 of 5
12. Monte Carlo simulation is used to determine time and cost based on probability distribution.
13. Project Manager holds the Primary responsibility of identifying risk.
14. All the Risks for which PM and team has no control over, management should be involved.
15. The team is more confident and optimistic about the project during the Plan Risk Response process.
16. Meetings should not be required before the approved fallback or contingency plan is implemented.
17. PM should spend most of the time preparing contingency plans.
18. The highest-risk path is the path through the network diagram that has the highest risk score. The
activities on this path may not immediately follow each other, as activities do on the critical path.
19. Exploiting an opportunity means increasing its probability. Enhancing an opportunity means
increasing its impact.
20. The ultimate outcome of the risk ranking process is that the non-top risks are separated from the top
risks, so that the top risks can be moved forward.
21. The risk reserve report keeps a running balance of the remaining reserve, and is used like a
checkbook.
22. Path convergence is best described as many activities leading into a central activity. This adds risk to
that central activity.
23. Perform qualitative risk analysis is subjective evaluation.
24. Perform quantitative risk analysis is objective evaluation.
25. The team needs to understand the risk tolerance areas for the project to know the acceptable level of
risk and, therefore, which risks need to be addressed.
26. Stakeholder risk tolerance is identified during the Plan Risk Management process.
27. When an identified risk arises, it is not necessary to hold a meeting, and the risk response plan does
not require review. Of course, since the risk has occurred, it was not avoided.
28. It is the responsibility of risk governance board to ensure the project is following the standard policies
during all processes.
29. Risk management "metrics" are used to measure how the project risk management team is performing
against the plan.
30. Purpose of risk audit is to determine the effectiveness of risk management team.
31. Project charter and WBS helps prevent re-work, wasted time & effort.
32. While calculating worst case scenarios simply neglect the probability and add the negative impacts.
Similarly, for calculating best case scenarios neglect the probability and add the positive impacts.
RANGA’S 51 HOT TOPICS TO REMEMBER FOR
RISK MANAGEMENT PROFESSIONAL (RMP) EXAM
Prepared by Rangarajan Ramaswamy, PMP, PMI-SP, PMI-RMP Page 3 of 5
33. Prompt lists are used to help ensure that all aspects are covered during risk identification. A prompt
list categorizes risks into types or areas and is usually specific to a project type and an organization’s
function (e.g. legal, commercial, technical, design, construction, testing etc.)
34. Many workarounds on a project indicate that there was a lack of adequate project planning and the
project is likely in trouble.
35. Work Performance Data is raw data such as physical progress, start finish dates. Work Performance
Information is analysis of performance data such as change requests, forecasted estimates. Work
Performance Report is physical or electronic representation of Work Performance Information such
as status reports, memos, notes, dashboards.
36. Contingency reserves are associated with the “known-unknowns,” which may be estimated to account
for the unknown amount of rework.
37. List of formulae to be remembered :-
a. No. of communication channels N = n(n-1)/2 (where n is no of stakeholders)
b. Duration or cost for triangular distribution E= (O + M + P)/3
c. Duration or cost for Beta distribution (traditional PERT) E= (O + 4M + P)/6
d. CV = EV - AC
e. SV = EV - PV
f. CPI = EV/AC
g. SPI = EV/PV
h. EAC forecast for work performed at the budgeted rate: EAC = AC + (BAC – EV)
i. EAC forecast for work performed at the present rate CPI : EAC = BAC / CPI
j. EAC forecast for ETC work considering both SPI and CPI factors:
EAC = AC + [(BAC – EV) / (CPI X SPI)]
k. TCPI based on the BAC: (BAC – EV) / (BAC – AC)
l. TCPI based on the EAC: (BAC – EV) / (EAC – AC).
m. In short TCPI = work remaining/funds remaining
n. Variance at completion VAC = BAC – EAC
o. Activity standard deviation is (P-O)/6
p. Activity variance is square of standard deviation = [(P-O)/6]2
38. Projects with TCPI > 1 is harder to complete and TCPI < 1 is easier to complete.
39. CPI>1(Under Budget) ,CPI=1(At budget) , CPI<1 (Over Budget)
40. SPI>1(Ahead of plan) , SPI=1(As planned) , SPI<1 (Behind Plan)
41. In repetitive processes, the control limits are generally set at ±3 sigma around a process mean that has
been set at 0 sigma. A process is considered out of control when: (1) a data point exceeds a control
limit; (2) seven consecutive plot points are above the mean; or (3) seven consecutive plot points are
below the mean.
42. Non-critical risks are maintained in Watchlist and revisited periodically (mostly during execution and
M&C).
43. Expectancy Theory - Employees who believe that their efforts will lead to effective performance
and who expect to be rewarded for their accomplishments will remain productive as rewards meet
their expectations.
RANGA’S 51 HOT TOPICS TO REMEMBER FOR
RISK MANAGEMENT PROFESSIONAL (RMP) EXAM
Prepared by Rangarajan Ramaswamy, PMP, PMI-SP, PMI-RMP Page 4 of 5
44. Perquisites (Perks) - Some employees receive special rewards, such as assigned parking
spaces, corner offices, and executive dining.
45. Fringe Benefits- These are the "standard" benefits formally given to all employees, such as education
benefits, insurance, profit sharing etc.
46. McGregor's Theory of X and Y–
a. Theory X- Managers who accept this theory believe that people need to be watched
every minute. They believe employees are incapable, avoid responsibility, and avoid
work whenever possible.
b. Theory Y- Managers who accept this theory believe that people are willing to work
without supervision, and want to achieve. They believe employees can direct their own
efforts.
47. Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs – represents a pyramid that shows how people are motivated and states
that one cannot ascend to the next top level until the levels below are fulfilled.
Top level: Self-actualization – Self-fulfillment, growth, learning
Esteem: - Accomplishment, respect, attention, appreciation
Social - Love, affection, approval, friends, association
Safety – Security, stability, freedom from harm
Base level: Physiological – Need for air, water, food, housing, clothing
48. David McClelland's Theory of Needs (or Acquired Needs Theory) states that a person falling into one
category would be managed differently than a person falling into another category. The categories
are:-
a. Achievement - These people should be given projects that are challenging but are
reachable. (Recognition)
b. Affiliation - These people work best when cooperating with others. They seek approval
rather than recognition.
c. Power - People whose need for power is socially oriented, these people like to organize
and influence others.
49. Herzberg's Theory deals with hygiene factors and motivating agents. Poor hygiene factors may
demotivate, but improving them, under most circumstances, will not improve motivation.
a. Examples of hygiene factors are:
i. Working conditions
ii. Salary
iii. Personal life
iv. Relationships at work
v. Security
vi. Status
b. Motivating Agents What motivates people is the work itself, including such things as:
i. Responsibility
ii. Self-actualization
iii. Professional growth
iv. Recognition
50. Neuro-linguistic programming (NLP) is an approach to communication, personal development, and
psychotherapy. The first stage being the act of establishing and maintaining rapport between the
practitioner and the client which is achieved through pacing and leading the verbal (e.g., sensory
RANGA’S 51 HOT TOPICS TO REMEMBER FOR
RISK MANAGEMENT PROFESSIONAL (RMP) EXAM
Prepared by Rangarajan Ramaswamy, PMP, PMI-SP, PMI-RMP Page 5 of 5
predicates and keywords) and non-verbal behavior (e.g., matching and mirroring non-verbal behavior,
or responding to eye movements) of the client.
51. Correlation coefficient is a measure that determines the degree to which two variable's movements are
associated, giving a value between +1 and −1 inclusive, where 1 is total positive correlation, 0 is no
correlation, and −1 is total negative correlation.
What to expect in the exam?
1. Around 30% of questions related to above mentioned points.
2. Around 50% of situation based questions (You are the Risk manager of a company etc.)
3. Around 10% of questions related to Monte Carlo simulation. Simulation result will be displayed
and asked to calculate project average budget, P50, P80 etc.
4. Around 5% of questions are like what to do if the risks are not identified in the risk register.
5. Remaining 5% of questions related to Probability, confidence and stability level. Questions based
on when to use contingency reserve and when to use management reserve. Questions on Risk
averse and Risk seeking managers. Questions on different types of simulations MCS and LHS
(Monte Carlo sampling and Latin hypercube sampling ) etc.
References:-
1. Rita Mulcahy’s Risk Management
2. Rita Mulcahy’s PMP Exam Prep
3. PMBOK 5th
Edition
4. Investopedia.com
5. Wikipedia.org
xxx---My wishes and good luck for your exam---xxx
I would love to receive your feedback and you can reach me through LinkedIn at
http://qa.linkedin.com/in/rangarajanramaswamy/

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Ranga's 51 hot topics to remember for Risk Management Professional (RMP) exam

  • 1. Prepared by Rangarajan Ramaswamy, PMP, PMI-SP, PMI-RMP Page 1 of 5 RANGA’S 51 HOT TOPICS TO REMEMBER FOR RISK MANAGEMENT PROFESSIONAL (RMP) EXAM 1. A contingency plan is a planned action to be taken if a threat or an opportunity happens. A fallback plan is implemented if the contingency plan is not effective or fails. A secondary risk is associated with risks pertaining to risk response. A workaround is an immediate fix needed if an unidentified or unanticipated risk occurs during execution stage. 2. A Pre-mortem is the process of "evaluating" a project before it has actually been done, to identify potential risks on the project. 3. Assumption testing is done during Perform Qualitative Risk Assessment process. In assumption testing, the stability and consequence are rated from 1 to 10. A stability rating of 5 to 10 means the assumption is valid and a consequence rating of 5 to 10 means the assumption could have large impact on the project. 4. It is important to analyze assumptions made when determining risk to uncover the consequences if the assumptions are false. 5. Mutual exclusivity in decision tree model - Two events are called mutually exclusive if both cannot occur in a single trial. Example: Flipping a coin will always give only 1 result (Head or Tail). 6. FMEA (Failure Mode Effect Analysis) is used to identify potential causes of product failure, determine the effects, and identify actions to mitigate the failures. 7. Risk rating is something between 1 – 10. Risk Score is calculated as P*I. Comparing the risk scores of risks in the project results in the Risk Ranking within the project. 8. Residual risks are risks that have been passively accepted, or for which contingency plans have been created. It is important that management be informed of risks that have been passively accepted, as well as the risks for which contingency and fallback plans have been created. 9. Residual risks are those risks that remain after Plan Risk Response process. 10. Project Cost breakdown is as follows:- a. Work package estimate = Summation of activity estimate b. Control account estimate = Summation of work packages estimate c. Project estimate = Summation of Control accounts estimate d. Cost baseline = Project estimate + Contingency reserve e. Cost budget = Cost baseline + Management reserve 11. Management reserve is usually a percentage of the total project cost. The contingency reserve is the expected monetary value (EMV) of the risks.
  • 2. RANGA’S 51 HOT TOPICS TO REMEMBER FOR RISK MANAGEMENT PROFESSIONAL (RMP) EXAM Prepared by Rangarajan Ramaswamy, PMP, PMI-SP, PMI-RMP Page 2 of 5 12. Monte Carlo simulation is used to determine time and cost based on probability distribution. 13. Project Manager holds the Primary responsibility of identifying risk. 14. All the Risks for which PM and team has no control over, management should be involved. 15. The team is more confident and optimistic about the project during the Plan Risk Response process. 16. Meetings should not be required before the approved fallback or contingency plan is implemented. 17. PM should spend most of the time preparing contingency plans. 18. The highest-risk path is the path through the network diagram that has the highest risk score. The activities on this path may not immediately follow each other, as activities do on the critical path. 19. Exploiting an opportunity means increasing its probability. Enhancing an opportunity means increasing its impact. 20. The ultimate outcome of the risk ranking process is that the non-top risks are separated from the top risks, so that the top risks can be moved forward. 21. The risk reserve report keeps a running balance of the remaining reserve, and is used like a checkbook. 22. Path convergence is best described as many activities leading into a central activity. This adds risk to that central activity. 23. Perform qualitative risk analysis is subjective evaluation. 24. Perform quantitative risk analysis is objective evaluation. 25. The team needs to understand the risk tolerance areas for the project to know the acceptable level of risk and, therefore, which risks need to be addressed. 26. Stakeholder risk tolerance is identified during the Plan Risk Management process. 27. When an identified risk arises, it is not necessary to hold a meeting, and the risk response plan does not require review. Of course, since the risk has occurred, it was not avoided. 28. It is the responsibility of risk governance board to ensure the project is following the standard policies during all processes. 29. Risk management "metrics" are used to measure how the project risk management team is performing against the plan. 30. Purpose of risk audit is to determine the effectiveness of risk management team. 31. Project charter and WBS helps prevent re-work, wasted time & effort. 32. While calculating worst case scenarios simply neglect the probability and add the negative impacts. Similarly, for calculating best case scenarios neglect the probability and add the positive impacts.
  • 3. RANGA’S 51 HOT TOPICS TO REMEMBER FOR RISK MANAGEMENT PROFESSIONAL (RMP) EXAM Prepared by Rangarajan Ramaswamy, PMP, PMI-SP, PMI-RMP Page 3 of 5 33. Prompt lists are used to help ensure that all aspects are covered during risk identification. A prompt list categorizes risks into types or areas and is usually specific to a project type and an organization’s function (e.g. legal, commercial, technical, design, construction, testing etc.) 34. Many workarounds on a project indicate that there was a lack of adequate project planning and the project is likely in trouble. 35. Work Performance Data is raw data such as physical progress, start finish dates. Work Performance Information is analysis of performance data such as change requests, forecasted estimates. Work Performance Report is physical or electronic representation of Work Performance Information such as status reports, memos, notes, dashboards. 36. Contingency reserves are associated with the “known-unknowns,” which may be estimated to account for the unknown amount of rework. 37. List of formulae to be remembered :- a. No. of communication channels N = n(n-1)/2 (where n is no of stakeholders) b. Duration or cost for triangular distribution E= (O + M + P)/3 c. Duration or cost for Beta distribution (traditional PERT) E= (O + 4M + P)/6 d. CV = EV - AC e. SV = EV - PV f. CPI = EV/AC g. SPI = EV/PV h. EAC forecast for work performed at the budgeted rate: EAC = AC + (BAC – EV) i. EAC forecast for work performed at the present rate CPI : EAC = BAC / CPI j. EAC forecast for ETC work considering both SPI and CPI factors: EAC = AC + [(BAC – EV) / (CPI X SPI)] k. TCPI based on the BAC: (BAC – EV) / (BAC – AC) l. TCPI based on the EAC: (BAC – EV) / (EAC – AC). m. In short TCPI = work remaining/funds remaining n. Variance at completion VAC = BAC – EAC o. Activity standard deviation is (P-O)/6 p. Activity variance is square of standard deviation = [(P-O)/6]2 38. Projects with TCPI > 1 is harder to complete and TCPI < 1 is easier to complete. 39. CPI>1(Under Budget) ,CPI=1(At budget) , CPI<1 (Over Budget) 40. SPI>1(Ahead of plan) , SPI=1(As planned) , SPI<1 (Behind Plan) 41. In repetitive processes, the control limits are generally set at ±3 sigma around a process mean that has been set at 0 sigma. A process is considered out of control when: (1) a data point exceeds a control limit; (2) seven consecutive plot points are above the mean; or (3) seven consecutive plot points are below the mean. 42. Non-critical risks are maintained in Watchlist and revisited periodically (mostly during execution and M&C). 43. Expectancy Theory - Employees who believe that their efforts will lead to effective performance and who expect to be rewarded for their accomplishments will remain productive as rewards meet their expectations.
  • 4. RANGA’S 51 HOT TOPICS TO REMEMBER FOR RISK MANAGEMENT PROFESSIONAL (RMP) EXAM Prepared by Rangarajan Ramaswamy, PMP, PMI-SP, PMI-RMP Page 4 of 5 44. Perquisites (Perks) - Some employees receive special rewards, such as assigned parking spaces, corner offices, and executive dining. 45. Fringe Benefits- These are the "standard" benefits formally given to all employees, such as education benefits, insurance, profit sharing etc. 46. McGregor's Theory of X and Y– a. Theory X- Managers who accept this theory believe that people need to be watched every minute. They believe employees are incapable, avoid responsibility, and avoid work whenever possible. b. Theory Y- Managers who accept this theory believe that people are willing to work without supervision, and want to achieve. They believe employees can direct their own efforts. 47. Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs – represents a pyramid that shows how people are motivated and states that one cannot ascend to the next top level until the levels below are fulfilled. Top level: Self-actualization – Self-fulfillment, growth, learning Esteem: - Accomplishment, respect, attention, appreciation Social - Love, affection, approval, friends, association Safety – Security, stability, freedom from harm Base level: Physiological – Need for air, water, food, housing, clothing 48. David McClelland's Theory of Needs (or Acquired Needs Theory) states that a person falling into one category would be managed differently than a person falling into another category. The categories are:- a. Achievement - These people should be given projects that are challenging but are reachable. (Recognition) b. Affiliation - These people work best when cooperating with others. They seek approval rather than recognition. c. Power - People whose need for power is socially oriented, these people like to organize and influence others. 49. Herzberg's Theory deals with hygiene factors and motivating agents. Poor hygiene factors may demotivate, but improving them, under most circumstances, will not improve motivation. a. Examples of hygiene factors are: i. Working conditions ii. Salary iii. Personal life iv. Relationships at work v. Security vi. Status b. Motivating Agents What motivates people is the work itself, including such things as: i. Responsibility ii. Self-actualization iii. Professional growth iv. Recognition 50. Neuro-linguistic programming (NLP) is an approach to communication, personal development, and psychotherapy. The first stage being the act of establishing and maintaining rapport between the practitioner and the client which is achieved through pacing and leading the verbal (e.g., sensory
  • 5. RANGA’S 51 HOT TOPICS TO REMEMBER FOR RISK MANAGEMENT PROFESSIONAL (RMP) EXAM Prepared by Rangarajan Ramaswamy, PMP, PMI-SP, PMI-RMP Page 5 of 5 predicates and keywords) and non-verbal behavior (e.g., matching and mirroring non-verbal behavior, or responding to eye movements) of the client. 51. Correlation coefficient is a measure that determines the degree to which two variable's movements are associated, giving a value between +1 and −1 inclusive, where 1 is total positive correlation, 0 is no correlation, and −1 is total negative correlation. What to expect in the exam? 1. Around 30% of questions related to above mentioned points. 2. Around 50% of situation based questions (You are the Risk manager of a company etc.) 3. Around 10% of questions related to Monte Carlo simulation. Simulation result will be displayed and asked to calculate project average budget, P50, P80 etc. 4. Around 5% of questions are like what to do if the risks are not identified in the risk register. 5. Remaining 5% of questions related to Probability, confidence and stability level. Questions based on when to use contingency reserve and when to use management reserve. Questions on Risk averse and Risk seeking managers. Questions on different types of simulations MCS and LHS (Monte Carlo sampling and Latin hypercube sampling ) etc. References:- 1. Rita Mulcahy’s Risk Management 2. Rita Mulcahy’s PMP Exam Prep 3. PMBOK 5th Edition 4. Investopedia.com 5. Wikipedia.org xxx---My wishes and good luck for your exam---xxx I would love to receive your feedback and you can reach me through LinkedIn at http://qa.linkedin.com/in/rangarajanramaswamy/