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How are
countries
embracing the
alternative
protein
movement?
Global food trends:
Vanessa Mayneris
Navigating the
early stages of
innovation
Design thinking
for food innovation
Market foresight
User experience
Consumer journeyConsumer research
Expert interviews
What makes our point of view unique?
Special thanks to
– New Nutrition Business
– Seeds for Change
– Feed
– Quorn
Politics
Economics
Health
Geography
Environmental
Lifestyle
Psychology
History
Technology
Culture
What
influences
food
changes
10 – 20 year timeframe Rise global food culture
Adopting
a foreign
food
0.00130.00270.00360.00140.00320.030.06
0.2
0.4
0.5
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.2
1.1 1.1
1.2
1.3 1.4 1.4
1.5
1.6 1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9 1.9
1.8 1.9
1.9 1.9 2.0
2.0
1.8
1.9 1.9
2.1
2.2 2.2 2.2
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Annual cheese consumption in Japan, per capita in Kg (1930-2014)
Cheese =
– Rotten smell
– Western food
From
Consuming
2,2 kg in 2014
To
Adopting a foreign food:
Cheese in Japan
How does change happen?
Food
explorers
and
migrants
Cultural
shifts,
Food
Trends
Technology Food
service
initiation
Retail
support
Innovation
for the
mainstream
Adoption path
Outliers Early majority Mass market consumers
Outliers Early majority Mass market consumers
20 years to turn Japanese into cheese lovers
Food
explorers
and
migrants
Cultural
shifts,
Food
Trends
Food
service
initiation
Retail
support
Innovation for
the
mainstream
– Tiramisu fever
– Wine boom, Beaujolais fair
– Cheese Festa
– Pizza
– Mozzarella in salads
– Increased shelf space
– Promotions
– Cheese snacks
– Cheesecake, tea cheese
– Cheese candy
Adoption path
Adopting
a new
diet
Developed
countries
Developing
countries
– Return to earlier frugality
– Health is Wealth
– Sustainability sense of guilt
– Meat = Symbol of Wealth
– Abundance after restriction
– Migration to cities
– Vegetarian future – Vegetarian history
Politics Culture GeographyEconomics EnvironmentalLifestyleTechnology
Mediterranean
approach
– Pleasure, heritage and rituals
– Bonding with others
– Sacred nature
– Nutrition guidelines
Anglo saxon
approach
– Food is fuel
– Individual choices
– Pragmatism
– Importance of influencers
Politics History Culture HealthPsychology LifestyleGeography
Adoption path
Outliers Lifestyle, Millennials, Gen Z Mass market consumers
Adopting a plant-based diet
Vegetarians
&
Vegans
Cultural
shifts,
Food Trends
Technology
revolution
Fast food
service
Retail
support
Innovation
reaching
mainstream
– Environmental fears
– Sustainability
– Vegetarian chefs
– Health concerns
– Beyond meat
– Dairy alternative
revolution
– Tech investors
– Veggie Pret
– Plant burgers
– Not in mainstream
restaurants
– Increased shelf space
– Protein section
– Next generation
retailers
Adopting a plant-based diet:
Is it turning mainstream?
Innovation
reaching
mainstream
Mediterranean approach
Anglo Saxon approach
Vegan and
vegetarian
market is
smaller than
organic market
x10
Mediterranean
approach
– Natural and organic as an entry point
– Rejection of over-engineered food
– Harder during family gatherings
– Strong cooking, vegetable & pulse culture
– All about eating more vegetables
– Less meat, not fake meat
– New meat reduction guidelines
– Clean labeling & recognizable ingredients
Anglo saxon
approach
– Open to foreign vegetarian food
– More acceptance of of ‘Junk’ tasty vegan
– Cheese helps to make vegetables tastier
– Transforming food to fit their needs
– Revisiting food beliefs
– Learning from chefs and influencers
– Inspiring pulse meals
Adopting a
new habit
Flexitarian behavior
Growing, yet slowly
Source: 2019 Future of Meat International survey (20,000 respondents)
Are limiting their
meat intake
21% Are limiting their
dairy intake
13%
Are vegetarian
6%
Source: Growth in total volume of products sold 2013-2018
3%Substitutes = total meat market
+5.8%
Substitutes
+8%
Meat
Developing world driving demand of meat consumption
-2 0 2 4 6 8
UAE
India
Vietnam
Morocco
Australia
Mexico
Thailand
South Africa
Russia
Japan
USA
United Kingdom
Brazil
China
Italy
Germany
France
Spain
%
Developing
Developed
Fresh meat retail volume CAGR 2018-2023
Euromonitor International Future of Meat
Lithuanian consumer living
in London
‘There is so much more
meat on the
supermarket shelves in
Lithuania now. Probably
because we had such a
limited choice during the
Soviet era’
What will brands do to convert the masses?
No health
or taste
compromise
Lower
price
Food service
discovery
Easy to
integrate
Hybrid
solutions?
Appeal beyond
millennials
Help me eat
more
vegetables
Authenticity
Holistic
approach
Watch out
Mediterranean specific
– Food reinvention
– Lab-grown meat
vanessa@plan.london
We join the dots
Subscribe to our in-house Perspective magazine
plan.london/subscribe
We are offering repeat presentations for those interested,
in-person or via zoom. Please contact:

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Global food trends: How are countries embracing the alternative protein movement

  • 3. Design thinking for food innovation Market foresight User experience Consumer journeyConsumer research Expert interviews What makes our point of view unique? Special thanks to – New Nutrition Business – Seeds for Change – Feed – Quorn
  • 6. 0.00130.00270.00360.00140.00320.030.06 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Annual cheese consumption in Japan, per capita in Kg (1930-2014) Cheese = – Rotten smell – Western food From Consuming 2,2 kg in 2014 To Adopting a foreign food: Cheese in Japan
  • 7. How does change happen? Food explorers and migrants Cultural shifts, Food Trends Technology Food service initiation Retail support Innovation for the mainstream Adoption path Outliers Early majority Mass market consumers
  • 8. Outliers Early majority Mass market consumers 20 years to turn Japanese into cheese lovers Food explorers and migrants Cultural shifts, Food Trends Food service initiation Retail support Innovation for the mainstream – Tiramisu fever – Wine boom, Beaujolais fair – Cheese Festa – Pizza – Mozzarella in salads – Increased shelf space – Promotions – Cheese snacks – Cheesecake, tea cheese – Cheese candy Adoption path
  • 10. Developed countries Developing countries – Return to earlier frugality – Health is Wealth – Sustainability sense of guilt – Meat = Symbol of Wealth – Abundance after restriction – Migration to cities – Vegetarian future – Vegetarian history Politics Culture GeographyEconomics EnvironmentalLifestyleTechnology
  • 11. Mediterranean approach – Pleasure, heritage and rituals – Bonding with others – Sacred nature – Nutrition guidelines Anglo saxon approach – Food is fuel – Individual choices – Pragmatism – Importance of influencers Politics History Culture HealthPsychology LifestyleGeography
  • 12. Adoption path Outliers Lifestyle, Millennials, Gen Z Mass market consumers Adopting a plant-based diet Vegetarians & Vegans Cultural shifts, Food Trends Technology revolution Fast food service Retail support Innovation reaching mainstream – Environmental fears – Sustainability – Vegetarian chefs – Health concerns – Beyond meat – Dairy alternative revolution – Tech investors – Veggie Pret – Plant burgers – Not in mainstream restaurants – Increased shelf space – Protein section – Next generation retailers
  • 13. Adopting a plant-based diet: Is it turning mainstream? Innovation reaching mainstream Mediterranean approach Anglo Saxon approach
  • 14. Vegan and vegetarian market is smaller than organic market x10 Mediterranean approach – Natural and organic as an entry point – Rejection of over-engineered food – Harder during family gatherings – Strong cooking, vegetable & pulse culture – All about eating more vegetables – Less meat, not fake meat – New meat reduction guidelines – Clean labeling & recognizable ingredients
  • 15. Anglo saxon approach – Open to foreign vegetarian food – More acceptance of of ‘Junk’ tasty vegan – Cheese helps to make vegetables tastier – Transforming food to fit their needs – Revisiting food beliefs – Learning from chefs and influencers – Inspiring pulse meals
  • 17. Flexitarian behavior Growing, yet slowly Source: 2019 Future of Meat International survey (20,000 respondents) Are limiting their meat intake 21% Are limiting their dairy intake 13% Are vegetarian 6%
  • 18. Source: Growth in total volume of products sold 2013-2018 3%Substitutes = total meat market +5.8% Substitutes +8% Meat
  • 19. Developing world driving demand of meat consumption -2 0 2 4 6 8 UAE India Vietnam Morocco Australia Mexico Thailand South Africa Russia Japan USA United Kingdom Brazil China Italy Germany France Spain % Developing Developed Fresh meat retail volume CAGR 2018-2023 Euromonitor International Future of Meat Lithuanian consumer living in London ‘There is so much more meat on the supermarket shelves in Lithuania now. Probably because we had such a limited choice during the Soviet era’
  • 20. What will brands do to convert the masses? No health or taste compromise Lower price Food service discovery Easy to integrate Hybrid solutions? Appeal beyond millennials Help me eat more vegetables Authenticity Holistic approach Watch out Mediterranean specific – Food reinvention – Lab-grown meat
  • 21. vanessa@plan.london We join the dots Subscribe to our in-house Perspective magazine plan.london/subscribe We are offering repeat presentations for those interested, in-person or via zoom. Please contact: