For the past 150 years, how humans generate food, water, and energy has involved wasting one to produce the other, and treating each as a negative externality or commodity with no marginal cost to make the economics work. Oil and gas is produced via fracking, but profitability depends on providing millions of gallons of water per well at no cost. Natural gas is used to produce NH3 (ammonia), which underpins the green revolution, but that same natural gas also leaks from wells far more than has been acknowledged and exacerbates global warming, causes droughts and killing crops in heat waves. Ethanol is produced from corn, but only by pretending that the loss of top soil is not an issue nor a wasting asset to be depreciated. The Network Society will bring with it not only quadruple revolutions in food, water, energy, and ecosystems, but also, more simply, more true and accurate accounting for all the natural resources, including species diversity.
Delivered at the Network Society World Congress in Turin, Italy, on October 15, 2015 - http://netsoc.org/congress
Food, Water And Energy In The Network Society - Alex Lightman
1. F O O D , WAT E R A N D E N E R G Y I N T H E
N E T W O R K S O C I E T Y
N E T W O R K S O C I E T Y C O N G R E S S ,
T O R I N O , I TA LY,
1 5 O C T O B E R 2 0 1 5
ALEX LIGHTMANAlexLightman.com
2. A 2 8 0 M W C O A L - F I R E D P L A N T
S U P P L I E S 7 0 , 0 0 0 H O M E S
2 M I L L I O N T O N S O F C O
2
7 0 , 0 0 0 T O N S O F A S H
1 0 8 , 0 0 0 T O N S O F S L U D G E
9 5 P O U N D S O F M E R C U RY
1 2 5 P O U N D S O F A R S E N I C
9. T H E S U N I S S E T T I N GO N F O S S I L F U E L S A N D G O V E R N M E N T A S L E A D E R
10. F O S S I L F U E L S H AV E O T H E R C O S T S
$ 9 , 0 0 0 P E R P E R S O N / Y E A R
1 / 3 R D O F U S H E A LT H C A R E C O S T S
3 0 - 4 0 % O F G L O B A L D E AT H S F R O M P O L L U T I O N
11. E X T R E M E C L I M AT E E V E N T S
S U P E R T Y P H O O N H A I YA N - 4 . 5 H O U R S , 1 0 , 0 0 0 D E A D , 6 0 0 , 0 0 0
H O M E L E S S
L O S S E S F R O M W E AT H E R D A M A G E W I L L E X C E E D W O R L D G D P B Y 2 0 6 0
12. 1 5 0 M I L L I O N P E O P L E
AT R I S K I N T H E U S A A L O N E
13. 5 0 0 M I L L I O N AT R I S K
A S I A H A S B I G G E R P R O B L E M S …
14. F O S S I L F U E L H A R V E S T A N D C O N S U M P T I O N
T H E L E A D I N G C A U S E O F WAT E R A N D A I R P O L L U T I O N
“Those who cannot manage their assets to reflect their true value are
inviting someone else to do it for them.”
- Robert O. Anderson, Chairman, ARCO
15. 4 . 5 T R I L L I O N G A L L O N S O F WAT E R
N AT U R A L G A S U S E S
18. Ephermalization of Energy, including
the 120 million wooden polls, most
50 years old, in the US alone, plus
7,200 coal plants in 2,300 stations.
19. 84 M BBL/DAY - OVER 80% FROM NATIONS THAT NEED TO BALANCE
THEIR BUDGETS WITH OIL REVENUES NO MATTER WHAT THE PRICE
POST-
DEAL,
IRAN
WILL
ADD UP
TO 3 M
BBL/
DAY
22. THE 6Ds OF EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGY & COMPANIES
http://img.ibxk.com.br/2014/09/23/23120354214264.gif
23. THE 4Ds of Economies and Societies
http://img.ibxk.com.br/2014/09/23/23120354214264.gif
DECARBONIZATION DISINTERMEDIATION
DEFLATION
DECENTRALIZATION
25. • 2014 Solar = 1% of electricity. Solar grew 41% last year. 36% = doubling 2
years.
• 2016 - 2%
• 2018 - 4%
• 2020 - 8%
• 2022 - 16%
• 2024 - 32% BOOM! Solar ENDS use of coal.
• 2026 - 64% BOOM! Solar ENDS use of natural gas.
• 2028 - 128%
• 2030 - 256% BOOM! Solar + Electric cars + Self-driving cars ENDS
the use of oil.
BOOM! BOOM! BOOM!
How The Current Growth Rate of Solar Ends Fossil Fuel
26. WHAT COULD THE NETWORK SOCIETY DO IF WE WERE NOT
CONSTRAINED BY TIME, MONEY OR POLITICAL POWER?
27. 2015-2030
PERSUADE GOVERNMENTS TO
REDEPLOY THE $5.3 TRILLION
PER YEAR SPENT SUBSIDIZING
FOSSIL FUELS TO INSTEAD
DECARBONIZE
DEPOLLUTE
TRANSFORM
BIOREMEDIATE
CLEAN
REGROW
EDUCATE
28. 2015-2030
FIND CITIES THAT
WANT TO BE 100%
RENEWABLE AND
SELL THEM THE
PLANS, EQUIPMENT
AND SERVICES TO
ACHIEVE THIS
TARGET BY 2030
FIRST 3 100% CLEAN ENERGY CITIES
BURLINGTON, VT; GREENBURG, KS; ASPEN, CO
29. 2015-2030
IMPLEMENT A NATIONAL
EMISSIONS TRADING
SYSTEM AND/OR
CARBON TAX THAT
GETS LARGER EACH
YEAR, WITH
SUCCESS BONUSES
FOR REDUCING
GREENHOUSE
GASES, ESPECIALLY
C02, CH4, AND N0X.
31. SELL SOME OF THE $100+TRILLION IN EQUIPMENT NEEDED TO
MAKE THE WORLD 100% POWERED BY CLEAN ENERGY
THE FIRST COUNTRIES TO GET 100% RENEWABLE HAVE THE LEGITIMACY TO
SUPPLY THE OTHER 200+ NATIONS WITH IN HARDWARE, SOFTWARE, AND
SERVICES TO ENABLE THEM TO BE 100% CLEAN.
TECHNOLOGY
5-MW wind
0.75-MW wave
100-MW geothermal
1300-MW hydro
1-MW tidal
3-kW Roof PV
300-MW Solar PV
300-MW CSP
% SUPPLY 2030
50%
1%
4%
4%
1%
6%
14%
20%
NUMBER
3.8M (1% Now)
720,000
5,350 (1.7% Now)
900 (70% Now)
490,000
1.7B
40,000
49,000
100%
32. THANK YOU FOR YOUR
TIME AND ATTENTION
RESPECTFULLY,
ALEX LIGHTMAN
CHAIRMAN
EVERBLAZE
ALEX@EVERBLAZE.COM