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International Trade
and Balance of
payments
International Trade and
Balance of payments
“The benefit of international trade-a more
efficient employment of the productive forces
of the world.” (J.S. Mill)
 Whether trade liberalization promotes growth or hurts
it, there are debates on this. A number of anti-
globalization activists and domestic industry
protectionists argue that trade creates unemployment
by displacing workers employed in the domestic
industry, increases environmental pollution and
degradation, and contributes to higher income
inequality.
 But the supporters of trade liberalization argue that it
increases specialization, contributes to economies of
scale, brings new ideas and innovation, makes
domestic market competitive and ultimately
contributes to growth and poverty reduction.
 In their paper “Trade, Growth and Poverty”, Dollar
and Kraay mention that globalizers countries that
liberalized trade have grown at the higher rate than
the non-globalizers, countries that didn’t liberalize
trade. In the 1990s, the globalizing developing
economies grew at 5% per capita more than double
of such rate in the rich countries (2.2%) and more
than triple of the non globalizing developing
countries (1.4%).
 According to Dollar and Kraay, the experiences of
the post-1980 globalizers show that the process can
have great benefits, contributing to rising incomes
and falling poverty and enabling some of the poorest
countries in the world to catch up with richer
countries.
 The real losers from globalization are those
developing countries that have not been able
to seize the opportunities to participate in this
process. Thus, their idea seems that the
integration of the world economy over the
past twenty years has been dramatic and
open trade regimes has led to faster growth
and poverty reduction in poor countries
 Economies of scale: Trade provides an opportunity
to countries to specialize in certain products and
reduce the unit costs with a larger output resulting in
from increasing return to scales. But, protected
markets not only have fragmented production
internationally, they also create room for proliferation
of too many firms in narrowly domestic markets.
Because of this, the scale of production becomes
inefficient.
 Increased competition: Trade provides opportunities
to domestic producers to be competitive, explore new
ways of doing business and diversify trade in the
global market.

 Knowledge spillover and transfer of technology:
Not only domestic producers but also the economy as
a whole gain from the knowledge and technology
transfer resulting in from the economic integration in
the world market.
Increased efficiency or Elimination of deadweight
loss: Trade provides opportunities to domestic
producers to be competitive, explore new ways of
doing business and diversify trade in the global
market.
 Good governance: Trade reduces the chance
of corruption, rent seeking and unnecessary
bureaucratic hurdles to entrepreneurs. It gives
an opportunity to government to timely review its
trade policy, modernize customs and other
revenue mechanisms, and offer better services
in the face of global competition.
 Widens the market: the foreign trade
integrates a country with other countries. Hence,
the market for goods is widened. A country need
not remain limited to own market.
 Promotion of employment opportunities:
The increase in foreign trade leads to the
development of export-oriented industries.
This promotes employment opportunities.
Consequently, the income and standard of
living of people increase.
 The Comparative Cost Theory was first
systematically formulated by the English economist
David Ricardo in his "Principles of Political Economy
and Taxation," published in 1817. It was later
refined by J.S. Mill, Marshall, Taussig and others.
 The Ricardian theory is based on the following
assumptions:
1. Labour is the only element of cost of production.
2. Goods are exchanged against one another
according to the relative amounts of labour
embodied in them.
3. Labour is perfectly mobile within the country but
perfectly immobile between countries.
4. Labour is homogeneous.
5. Production is subject to the law of constant returns.
6. International trade is free from all barriers.
7. There is no transportation cost.
8. There is full employment.
9. There is perfect competition.
10. There are only two countries and two commodities.
 Based on its simple assumptions,
 The Ricardian model is the simplest model that
shows how differences between countries give rise to
trade and gains from trade. In this model labor is the
only factor of production and countries differ only in
the productivity of labor in different industries.
 In the Ricardian model, countries export goods that
their labor produces relatively efficiently and import
goods that their labor
inefficiently. This means a
produces
country’s
relatively
production
pattern is determined by comparative advantage.
 A country is said to have a comparative
advantage in producing a good if the
opportunity cost of producing that good in
terms of other goods is lower in that country
than it is in other countries.
 Trade between two countries can benefit both
if each country exports the goods in which it
has a comparative advantage.
Apples Bananas
Home aLa=3 hrs for
one apple
aLb=2 hrs for
one banana
Foreign a*La=5 hrs for
one apple
a*Lb= 1hr for
one banana
 Based on the information given in the above table,
 Opportunity cost of producing one apple for Home
=3/2=1.5 (i.e. 1 apple is equal to 1.5 banana)
 Opportunity cost of producing one apple for
Foreign=5/1=5 (i.e. 1 apple is equal to 5 banana for
foreign)
 Think which country has higher opportunity cost for
producing apple, and which country will produce and
export which product according to the comparative
advantage theory.
 Suppose the home country has 1200 units of
labor available. It can produce two goods:
apples and bananas. The unit labor
requirements for Home are 3 and 2 for apples
and bananas respectively.
a) Graph Home’s PPF
b)What is the opportunity cost of apples in
terms of bananas?
Home’s PPF
 When there is only one factor of production,PPF
will look like:
Analyzing the case of
comparative advantage
 Given that it takes 3/2 as much time to make
an apple as a banana, the opportunity cost
must be: 3/2
 Now, suppose the foreign country has 800
units of labor available. The unit labor
requirements for Foreign are 5 and 1 for
apples and bananas respectively.
a) Graph Foreign’s PPF
b)Show the Home and Foreign gains from
trade on the PPF
 Ricardian model is based on the notion of
comparative advantage. This model recommends
that a country should specialize in a good in which
it has comparative advantage rather than absolute
advantage. Thus, this model does a good job in
predicting that countries will tend to export goods
in which they have relatively higher productivity.
This prediction of Ricardian model is confirmed by
a number of studies as mentioned by Krugman
and Obstfeld in “International Economics”.
 Despite the good prediction this model does, it makes
misleading predictions in the following ways:
 First, this model predicts an extreme degree of
specialization that we do not observe in the real
world. In the real world, countries do not confine in
producing a single product. Extreme degree of
specialization may not be practical because of the
existence of more than one factor of production,
because countries sometimes protect their industries
from competition, and it is costly to transport goods
and services.
 This model assumes that countries as a whole will
always gain from trade. But, in real life, there is a
strong effect of international trade on income
distribution. For example, with opening of trade
certain section of the people who are engaged in
some small and cottage industries may loose their
job because of the displacement of such industry.
And these labors may not be able to move freely
since their skill may not match with the requirement
of new industries. Even if they could move, their real
wage may be less since they are new for the new
industry. But the Ricardian model assumes that
trade makes real wages to go up or remain same
because of the free movement of labor without the
loss of skill.


The model does not allow any role for differences in
resources among countries. But the international
trading system is largely driven, among others, by
resource differences. A country with more resource
endowment can have more influence in the global
trade. The influence of OPEC countries is an
example of this.
The model ignores the role of economies of scale as
a cause of trade. Thus, the large trade flows
between apparently similar nations is unexplained by
Ricardian Model. When countries concentrate their
resources in certain products, they also gain from
the economies of scale.
Meaning:
 The term protection refers to a policy whereby
domestic industries are to be protected from foreign
competition. The aim is to impose restrictions on the
imports of low-priced products in order to encourage
domestic industries producing high priced products.
 Protection takes in form of imposing import duties
which raise the price of foreign goods by more than
the price of domestic goods. Or, they may be
protected by quotas or other non-tariff restrictions
which make imports of cheap foreign goods difficult.
Or, the domestic industries may be paid subsidies-
or bounties to enable them to compete with cheap
foreign goods.
 Terms of Trade Argument. The terms of trade
argument is given to correct disequilibrium in the
balance of payments of a country. It is argued that
the imposition of a tariff on imports improves the
rate at which the country's exports are exchanged
for imports. This means that a tariff improves its
terms of trade because the foreign exporter is forced
to pay some part of the import duty.
 Bargaining Argument. It is argued that the
imposition of tariffs is necessary to bargain in trade
negotiations with other countries. Since international
trade is based on reciprocal basis, tariff is used as a
weapon to persuade or dissuade other countries to
lower the tariff wall. Thus, the fear of tariffs may
induce countries to give reciprocal concessions to
each other.
 Anti Dumping Argument. Protection is
advocated against the practice of dumping.
Dumping means selling a product in a foreign
market at a lower price than in the home
market, after taking into account transport
and other costs of transfer. Dumping aims at
flooding foreign market with-low-priced
commodities. As a result, the import
competing firms are ruined. To protect such
firms, a high tariff is imposed. This will raise
the price of the product in the importing
country and remove the threat of dumping.
 Diversification Argument. Another
argument in support of protection is to
diversify the domestic industries. It means
that there should be a balanced growth of the
economy so that all the sectors of the
economy develop simultaneously. For this,
agriculture and manufacturing industries
should be protected from foreign competition.
This is assumed to be valid argument
particularly during the period of international
economic disturbances, such as crop failures,
depression, inflation, war, etc.
 Infant Industry Argument. The infant
industry argument is the oldest argument for
protection. It was formulated by Alexander
Hamilton in 1790 and was popularized by
Friedrich List in 1885. This argument tests on
the assumption that the country has a latent
comparative advantage in the industry or
group of industries to be protected. It is,
therefore, argued that if industries in their
infancy are not protected from established
foreign producers, they cannot develop to
enjoy the comparative advantage. For this,
they must attain the optimum size so as to
operate most efficiently and competitively.
 Socially Important or Key Industries Argument.
to socially importantshould
such
be given
as agriculture or strategically
Protection
-industries
important industries as iron and steel, heavy
electrical, machine making, heavy chemicals, etc.
 Employment Argument. A usual argument for
protection is that it is a cure for unemployment. The
of a tariff
employment
reduces
directly
imports
in
and
import
imposition
encourages
competing industries. This in turn, generates
employment in other industries dependent upon this
import-competing industry and may ever spread to
import substitution industries.
 Balance of Trade Argument. The balance of
trade argument is based on the notion that a
country should impose tariffs to have a
surplus of exports over imports.
 Pauper Labor Argument. It is argued that
goods produced by workers getting high
wages in one country cannot compete with
goods produced by low-wage workers in the
other country. Therefore, high wage domestic
goods should be protected from low-wage
imported goods by imposing tariffs.
 Defense Argument. A country should adopt
the policy of protecting its industries from the
standpoint of national defense. If a country is
dependent
requirement
on other countries for its
of agricultural and industrial
products, it will be very harmful for its national
interest in times of war. The argument runs
that it is no of use amassing wealth and
becoming richer, if the country is not in a
position to defend its freedom.
 Preservation Argument. Protection is advocated to
preserve the special ethos of the nation and certain
classes of the population or certain occupations. It is
argued that these would tend to disappear under
free trade and there preservation is desired on
political and social grounds. This argument is put
forth to safeguard the interests of the agriculturists.
The imposition of agricultural duties on the import of
farm products is beneficial for the farmers who
would be assured fair prices for their products. This
is the reason for what US and European Union
countries have protected their farmers with huge
amount of subsidy.
 A through understanding of balance of payments
accounting helps in evaluating the implications
of a country’s international transactions.
 The trends and the existing position of the
balance of international payments of a country
significantly affect the economic policies of its
government. As every country strives to maintain
a favorable balance of payments, the trends and
the existing position of the balance of payments
significantly influence, in particular, the nature
and types of regulation on export and import
business.
 A country’s balance of payments accounts
keep track of both its payments to and its
receipts from foreigners. Any transaction
resulting in a payments to foreigners is
entered in the BOP accounts as a debit
transaction resulting in a receipt
and is given a negative (-) sign. Any
from
a credit and isforeigners is entered as
given a positive (+) sign.
 The IMF BOP Manual 5 defines balance of
payments as a “statistical statement that
systematically summarizes, for a specific
time period, the economic transactions of
an economy with the rest of the world.”
 The basic convention applied in
constructing the BOP is the double-entry
accounting system. Every transaction is
represented by two entries with equal
values but opposite signs, a debit (-) and a
credit (+).
 By convention certain items are recorded as
debits and others as credit, as follows:
Export of goods and services
Import of goods and services
Credit (+)
Debit (-)
Increase in financial liabilities Credit (+)
Increase in financial assets Debit (-)
Decrease in liabilities
Decrease in assets
Debit (-)
Credit (+)
 The BOP identity is shown in the following way:
A. Current account
B. Capital account
C. Financial account
D. Net errors and omissions
E. Reserves and related items
See the attached NRB sheet for detail
 The BOP manual’s standard classification system has
three accounts: current account, capital account, and
financial account.
 Current account: The current account is comprised of
goods, services, income, and current transfers.
 Transactions classified under goods relate to the
movement of merchandise and generally involve a
change of ownership.
mostly to the transportation and Services refer
insurance of merchandise shipments, transport fares
paid by travelers, tourist services (hotels, restaurants),
royalties and license fees, communications,
constructions, house rentals, government purchases (in
connection with embassies, for example), and other
items.
 Income may be derived from labor, and financial
assets and liabilities. Thus, there are mainly two
items: compensation of employees, and
investment income.
 In compensation, earnings of Nepalese workers
working abroad for less than one year is a credit
item, and payments to foreign workers working
in Nepal for less than one year is debit item.
 Under investment income, credit entries reflect
dividend and interest received by domestic
owners of capital. For example, interest earned
by NRB and commercial banks on their holdings
of foreign government bills and securities.
 Under investment income, debit entries reflect
dividend and interest received by foreign owners
of capital. For example, dividend received by the
foreign firms owning Bhotekoshi and Khimti, and
also dividend received by the parent companies
of Nepalese joint ventures.
 Interest paid on foreign debt also comes under
this item.
 Another item under current account is current
transfers. These transfers are largely
dependent on decisions made by governments
of countries that are foreign aid donors. Thus,
current transfers mainly include: grants and
workers remittances. Current transfer grants
include food aid, emergency and relief
assistance and other grants which are not of
investment nature. Workers remittance is the
amount that people working abroad for more
than one year have sent or the amount paid to
foreign workers who are working in this country
for more than one year.
 Capital account consists of: (a) capital transfers, (b)
acquisition or disposal of non-financial assets. Capital
transfer is the transfer of investment nature. Capital
expenditure related assistance by the foreigners or to the
foreigners. Migrants’ income or transfer for example
British Armies’ selling properties and transferring wealth
to the UK is also capital transfer. It may be in cash or
kind. Debt forgiveness is also included under this.
 Financial account has four functional categories: (a)
direct investment, which is further divided into equity
capital, and reinvested earnings, (b) portfolio investment,
which includes long term debt and equity securities,
money market instruments, and tradable financial
derivatives, including currency and interest rate swaps.
 Financial account has four functional
categories: (c) Other investment such as trade
credits and general borrowing and IMF credit,
and (d) reserve assets, available to meet
immediate needs to make foreign payments.
 Net errors and omissions are unidentified and
missing amounts of different headings.
 Reserve assets include foreign exchange
(currency, deposits, and securities), monetary
gold, SDRs, and country’s reserve position in the
IMF.
 Overall BOP is the change in the net foreign
assets of the banking sector.
Causes of disequilibrium:
 Development schemes: for industrialization, country may
need to import more, export may fall.
 Price cost structures: Increase in prices because of
higher wages, and higher cost of raw materials etc
reduce exports and makes the BOP unfavorable.
 Changes in foreign exchange rate: Appreciation of
domestic currency may induce import and cause BOP
balance deteriorate.
 Fall in export demand: Because of the cheap products
produced within country or imported from other countries
may cause a fall in export demand.
 Demonstration effect: countries of poor countries may
also change their consumption habit and follow those of
the developed countries leads to high import demand.
Causes of disequilibrium:
 Cyclical fluctuations: During depression,
foreigners may demand less since their income
has fallen. This may cause disequilibrium on
BOP.
 Population growth: Rapid growth of population
cause high import and BOP disequilibrium.
 Natural factors: Natural calamities such as
droughts, floods, cause low production and high
import. This also causes BOP disequilibrium.
Methods of correcting BOP disequilibrium:
 Deflation: Adopting contractionary monetary policy. This
causes lower price and low monetary income. The idea
is this causes export promotion through price reduction
and reduction in import through income decline at home.
 Currency devaluation: This is done to make import
dearer and export cheaper.
 Exchange control: All exporters are asked to surrender
foreign currency at central bank and central bank rations
the currency among license holders.
 Capital movement: Raising domestic interest rate can
cause capital inflow.
 Encouraging exports: Through duty reduction, subsidy,
negotiations with trading partners for favorable trade
conditions.
 Discouraging imports: Through import quotas, import
duties, import substitution policies.
Introduction:
Balance:
A state of equilibrium or equaldistribution of
weight ,amount etc.
Trade:
The act or process of buying ,selling or
exchange commodities at either wholesale
within country or between countries .Also
called domestic trade or foreign trade.
Domestic trade:
Wholesale:
The sale of good in large quantities.
Retail:
The sales of good to ultimate
consumers usually in small
Quantities.
Export:Send goods to another country for Sale
Import:
To bring a product into a country for trade or
sale.
Enterpot trade:
Trade in which imported goods are re-exported
with or without any additional processing or
repackaging
 CHALLENGES
• HIGH TRANSPORTATION FEES
• ENTERING AN EXPORT AND
BUSINESS REQUIRES CAREFUL
PLANNING
• MARKET INFORMATION
• FINANCIAL RISK
• SECURITY REASONS
ADVANTAGES
• EARNING MORE
MONEY
• INCREASED SALES AND
PROFITS
• UN WASTAGE OF
THINGS
• GAIN GLOBAL SHARES
• LOWER PER UNIT
COSTS
ADVANTA
GES
• LOWER PRICE
RATE
• HIGH QUALITY
• CONSUMER
BENEFITS
CHALLENGE
S
• NEEDS FUNDS TO
IMPORTING
• RISK TO SALE
• TRANSPORT COSTS
It is the comparison
between value of export and
imports of the physical items
(goods,not services) of a
country in a given period of
time usually a year.
A country has to deal with other countries
in respect of 3 items:-
Visible items: which include all types of
physical goods exported and imported.
Invisible items: which include all those
services whose export and import are not
visible. e.g. transport services, medical services
etc.
Capital transfers: which are concerned with
capital receipts and capital payment.
•FAVOURABLE /
SURPLUS
BALANCE.
•UNFAVOURABLE
/ADVERSE
BALANCE.
When the value of the export
of the country is
greater than imports of the country then balance of trade
is said is said to be favorable.
(Exports>Imports)
Unfavourable Balance:
When the value of the
exports of the country is less than imports of the country
then balance of trade it said to be unfavorable.
(Exports<imports)
Causes of
unfavorable
balance of
trade
Low
Production
High
Population
Low Quality of
Goods
Imports of
Consumer Goods
Currency
Value
Increase in
oil Prices
Remedies for
Improving
BOT
Explore Market
Special
Scheme
Reduce use
of oil
Reduce
Imports
More trade
Agreement
Export
promotion
It isthe record of all economic
transaction between the resident ofthe
Country and restof the world in particular
a year or more and commonly over a year
• FAVOURABLE / SURPLUS
BALAN
• UNFAVOURABLECE /ADVERSE
BALANCE
(Receipts>Payments)
Unfavourable Balance:
If total receipts are less than
total payments,the BOP is said to be unfavorable.
(Receipts<Payments)
Balance of payment = Balance of visible items
+balance of invisible items
The three major components of
balance of payment are as follows:
1. CurrentAccount
2. CapitalAccount
3. Balancing Item
1. CurrentAccount
 It refers to an account which records all the transactions
relating to export and
import of goods and services and unilateral transfer
 It contains the receipts and payments relating to all the
transactions of visible items, invisible items and unilateral
transfers
 It shows the net income generated in the foreign sector
Components of CurrentAccount
 Export and Import of Goods (Merchandise
Transactions or Visible Trade)
 Export and Import of Services (Invisible
Trade)
 Unilateral or Unrequited Transfers to and
from abroad (One sided
Transactions)
 Income receipts and payments to and from
abroad
2. CapitalAccount
 It records all those transactions, between the residents
of a country and the rest of the world, which cause a
change in the assets or liabilities of the residents of
the country or its government
 Capital Account is used to:
 It is related to claims and liabilities of financial nature
a. Finance deficit in current account; or
b. Absorb surplus of current account.
Components of CapitalAccount:
 Borrowings and landings to and
from abroad
 Investments to and from abroad
 Change in Foreign Exchange
Reserves
3. Balancing Item
 It is simply an amount that accounts for any
statistical errors and assures that the current
and capital accounts sum to zero
 By the principles of double entry accounting, an
entry in the current account gives rise to an
entry in the capital account, and in aggregate
the two accounts automatically balance
Components of Balancing Item
 It may be positive or negative
 A balance isn't always reflected in
reported figures for the current and
capital accounts, which might, for
example, report a surplus for both
accounts
Remedies of
improving
BOP
Export
Promotion
Special
schemes
Explore
Market
Enhance
Production
Optimum
Industries
Reduce
Imports
BOT
1. It is a narrow term.
2. It includes only visible
items.
3. It can be favorable or
unfavorable.
4. BOT = Net Earnings
on Exports- Net
Payment for imports
BOP
1. It is a broad term.
2. It includes all transactions
related to
visible, invisible and capital
transfers.
3. It is always balances itself.
4. BOP = Current Account +
Capital Account + or -
Balancing item ( Errors and
omissions)
BOP BOT
• Economic factors
Imbalance between export & Import
New Source of supply & new
substitutes
High Domestic Price
• Political factors
Instability & Disturbance cause large
capital outflow
• Social factors
 It is concluded that;
 balance of trade is the exchange of physical/visible
items whether balance of payment is the exchange of
both visible and non-visible items .In a country if, there
is favorable balance of payment and trade then the
country can progress and can compete with other
developed countries in the world.
 Foreign finance: in addition to the foreign aid, it can
be in the form of private foreign direct and portfolio
investment.
 Private direct investment, commonly known as FDI
is made by large multinational corporations (e.g.
General Motors, USA; Ford Motor, USA; Toyota
Motor, Japan; Daimler Benz, Germany) with
headquarters in the developed nations.
 Foreign portfolio investment (e.g. stocks, bonds, and
notes) in LDC “emerging” credit and equity markets
by private institutions (banks, mutual funds,
corporations) and individuals.
Why do countries need foreign finance?
 To meet the saving investment gap (Recall the
Harrod-Domar model g=s/k). If a country needs to
grow at the rate of 10% at a “k” of 3, the required
saving investment would be 30%. And if the
domestic saving is only 14%, the country needs to
meet this gap of 16% through foreign finance.
 To meet the foreign exchange gap. Forex gap is the
difference between the required foreign reserve and
the net export earnings plus net public foreign aid.
Why do countries need foreign finance?
 The third gap it can meet between targeted
governmental tax revenues and locally raised taxes.
Raising tax from MNCs, developing countries’
government would be in better position to utilize
resources.
 Another can be in reducing the gap in technological
knowledge, managerial expertise and
entrepreneurial skills. Transfers of knowledge, skills,
and technology are both desirable and productive
for the recipient countries.
What are the counter arguments?
 May lower domestic savings andinvestments
by stifling competition through
production agreement with
exclusive
host
governments, failing to reinvest much of their
groups with lower saving propensities,
profits, generating domestic incomes for
and
inhibiting the expansion of indigenous
industries that would supply materials and
intermediate goods.
What are the counter arguments?
 Despite the short term accumulation of forex
reserve, in the long run both current account
and capital account may deteriorate. Current
account will deteriorate because of the
imports of capital goods and intermediate
goods and capital account because of the
overseas repatriation of profits, interest,
royalties, management fees and other funds.
What are the counter arguments?
 Even though there are some contributions of
MNCs to tax revenue, it can be lower than
what it should be because of the liberal tax
tariff
excessive investment
protection by the host
concessions,
allowances,
government.
 It may inhibit the growth of local
entrepreneurship since the local market is
dominated by MNCs.
 Some more fundamental objections:
  MNCs only cater to the needs of local elites.
Production, job opportunities, and location all
are in favor of rich people.
produce goods like food
They don’t
for mass
consumption rather produce sophisticated
goods for rich people. They are located in
urban centers and increase the rural-urban
gap. .
Some more fundamental objections:
 MNCs produce inappropriate products (demanded
by local elites, small fraction of population) and
convert local tastes and preferences into exotic
ones.
 Create more capital-intensive processes, thus
replacing labor and causing increased
unemployment problem.
 MNCs may damage host economies by suppressing
domestic entrepreneurship and using their superior
knowledge, worldwide contacts, advertising skills.
Some more fundamental objections:
 At the political level, MNCs gradually gain control
over local assets and jobs and then build influence
on host country government/political forces and
decision-making. They can do this also by joining
hands with corrupt officials at high levels through
corruptive means and promoting rent seeking
cultures.

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Unit 2 foreign trade topic 2 3 4 5

  • 2. International Trade and Balance of payments “The benefit of international trade-a more efficient employment of the productive forces of the world.” (J.S. Mill)
  • 3.  Whether trade liberalization promotes growth or hurts it, there are debates on this. A number of anti- globalization activists and domestic industry protectionists argue that trade creates unemployment by displacing workers employed in the domestic industry, increases environmental pollution and degradation, and contributes to higher income inequality.  But the supporters of trade liberalization argue that it increases specialization, contributes to economies of scale, brings new ideas and innovation, makes domestic market competitive and ultimately contributes to growth and poverty reduction.
  • 4.  In their paper “Trade, Growth and Poverty”, Dollar and Kraay mention that globalizers countries that liberalized trade have grown at the higher rate than the non-globalizers, countries that didn’t liberalize trade. In the 1990s, the globalizing developing economies grew at 5% per capita more than double of such rate in the rich countries (2.2%) and more than triple of the non globalizing developing countries (1.4%).  According to Dollar and Kraay, the experiences of the post-1980 globalizers show that the process can have great benefits, contributing to rising incomes and falling poverty and enabling some of the poorest countries in the world to catch up with richer countries.
  • 5.  The real losers from globalization are those developing countries that have not been able to seize the opportunities to participate in this process. Thus, their idea seems that the integration of the world economy over the past twenty years has been dramatic and open trade regimes has led to faster growth and poverty reduction in poor countries
  • 6.  Economies of scale: Trade provides an opportunity to countries to specialize in certain products and reduce the unit costs with a larger output resulting in from increasing return to scales. But, protected markets not only have fragmented production internationally, they also create room for proliferation of too many firms in narrowly domestic markets. Because of this, the scale of production becomes inefficient.  Increased competition: Trade provides opportunities to domestic producers to be competitive, explore new ways of doing business and diversify trade in the global market.
  • 7.   Knowledge spillover and transfer of technology: Not only domestic producers but also the economy as a whole gain from the knowledge and technology transfer resulting in from the economic integration in the world market. Increased efficiency or Elimination of deadweight loss: Trade provides opportunities to domestic producers to be competitive, explore new ways of doing business and diversify trade in the global market.
  • 8.  Good governance: Trade reduces the chance of corruption, rent seeking and unnecessary bureaucratic hurdles to entrepreneurs. It gives an opportunity to government to timely review its trade policy, modernize customs and other revenue mechanisms, and offer better services in the face of global competition.  Widens the market: the foreign trade integrates a country with other countries. Hence, the market for goods is widened. A country need not remain limited to own market.
  • 9.  Promotion of employment opportunities: The increase in foreign trade leads to the development of export-oriented industries. This promotes employment opportunities. Consequently, the income and standard of living of people increase.
  • 10.  The Comparative Cost Theory was first systematically formulated by the English economist David Ricardo in his "Principles of Political Economy and Taxation," published in 1817. It was later refined by J.S. Mill, Marshall, Taussig and others.  The Ricardian theory is based on the following assumptions: 1. Labour is the only element of cost of production. 2. Goods are exchanged against one another according to the relative amounts of labour embodied in them.
  • 11. 3. Labour is perfectly mobile within the country but perfectly immobile between countries. 4. Labour is homogeneous. 5. Production is subject to the law of constant returns. 6. International trade is free from all barriers. 7. There is no transportation cost. 8. There is full employment. 9. There is perfect competition. 10. There are only two countries and two commodities.
  • 12.  Based on its simple assumptions,  The Ricardian model is the simplest model that shows how differences between countries give rise to trade and gains from trade. In this model labor is the only factor of production and countries differ only in the productivity of labor in different industries.  In the Ricardian model, countries export goods that their labor produces relatively efficiently and import goods that their labor inefficiently. This means a produces country’s relatively production pattern is determined by comparative advantage.
  • 13.  A country is said to have a comparative advantage in producing a good if the opportunity cost of producing that good in terms of other goods is lower in that country than it is in other countries.  Trade between two countries can benefit both if each country exports the goods in which it has a comparative advantage.
  • 14. Apples Bananas Home aLa=3 hrs for one apple aLb=2 hrs for one banana Foreign a*La=5 hrs for one apple a*Lb= 1hr for one banana
  • 15.  Based on the information given in the above table,  Opportunity cost of producing one apple for Home =3/2=1.5 (i.e. 1 apple is equal to 1.5 banana)  Opportunity cost of producing one apple for Foreign=5/1=5 (i.e. 1 apple is equal to 5 banana for foreign)  Think which country has higher opportunity cost for producing apple, and which country will produce and export which product according to the comparative advantage theory.
  • 16.  Suppose the home country has 1200 units of labor available. It can produce two goods: apples and bananas. The unit labor requirements for Home are 3 and 2 for apples and bananas respectively. a) Graph Home’s PPF b)What is the opportunity cost of apples in terms of bananas?
  • 17. Home’s PPF  When there is only one factor of production,PPF will look like:
  • 18. Analyzing the case of comparative advantage  Given that it takes 3/2 as much time to make an apple as a banana, the opportunity cost must be: 3/2
  • 19.  Now, suppose the foreign country has 800 units of labor available. The unit labor requirements for Foreign are 5 and 1 for apples and bananas respectively. a) Graph Foreign’s PPF b)Show the Home and Foreign gains from trade on the PPF
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.  Ricardian model is based on the notion of comparative advantage. This model recommends that a country should specialize in a good in which it has comparative advantage rather than absolute advantage. Thus, this model does a good job in predicting that countries will tend to export goods in which they have relatively higher productivity. This prediction of Ricardian model is confirmed by a number of studies as mentioned by Krugman and Obstfeld in “International Economics”.
  • 24.  Despite the good prediction this model does, it makes misleading predictions in the following ways:  First, this model predicts an extreme degree of specialization that we do not observe in the real world. In the real world, countries do not confine in producing a single product. Extreme degree of specialization may not be practical because of the existence of more than one factor of production, because countries sometimes protect their industries from competition, and it is costly to transport goods and services.
  • 25.  This model assumes that countries as a whole will always gain from trade. But, in real life, there is a strong effect of international trade on income distribution. For example, with opening of trade certain section of the people who are engaged in some small and cottage industries may loose their job because of the displacement of such industry. And these labors may not be able to move freely since their skill may not match with the requirement of new industries. Even if they could move, their real wage may be less since they are new for the new industry. But the Ricardian model assumes that trade makes real wages to go up or remain same because of the free movement of labor without the loss of skill.
  • 26.   The model does not allow any role for differences in resources among countries. But the international trading system is largely driven, among others, by resource differences. A country with more resource endowment can have more influence in the global trade. The influence of OPEC countries is an example of this. The model ignores the role of economies of scale as a cause of trade. Thus, the large trade flows between apparently similar nations is unexplained by Ricardian Model. When countries concentrate their resources in certain products, they also gain from the economies of scale.
  • 27. Meaning:  The term protection refers to a policy whereby domestic industries are to be protected from foreign competition. The aim is to impose restrictions on the imports of low-priced products in order to encourage domestic industries producing high priced products.  Protection takes in form of imposing import duties which raise the price of foreign goods by more than the price of domestic goods. Or, they may be protected by quotas or other non-tariff restrictions which make imports of cheap foreign goods difficult. Or, the domestic industries may be paid subsidies- or bounties to enable them to compete with cheap foreign goods.
  • 28.  Terms of Trade Argument. The terms of trade argument is given to correct disequilibrium in the balance of payments of a country. It is argued that the imposition of a tariff on imports improves the rate at which the country's exports are exchanged for imports. This means that a tariff improves its terms of trade because the foreign exporter is forced to pay some part of the import duty.  Bargaining Argument. It is argued that the imposition of tariffs is necessary to bargain in trade negotiations with other countries. Since international trade is based on reciprocal basis, tariff is used as a weapon to persuade or dissuade other countries to lower the tariff wall. Thus, the fear of tariffs may induce countries to give reciprocal concessions to each other.
  • 29.  Anti Dumping Argument. Protection is advocated against the practice of dumping. Dumping means selling a product in a foreign market at a lower price than in the home market, after taking into account transport and other costs of transfer. Dumping aims at flooding foreign market with-low-priced commodities. As a result, the import competing firms are ruined. To protect such firms, a high tariff is imposed. This will raise the price of the product in the importing country and remove the threat of dumping.
  • 30.  Diversification Argument. Another argument in support of protection is to diversify the domestic industries. It means that there should be a balanced growth of the economy so that all the sectors of the economy develop simultaneously. For this, agriculture and manufacturing industries should be protected from foreign competition. This is assumed to be valid argument particularly during the period of international economic disturbances, such as crop failures, depression, inflation, war, etc.
  • 31.  Infant Industry Argument. The infant industry argument is the oldest argument for protection. It was formulated by Alexander Hamilton in 1790 and was popularized by Friedrich List in 1885. This argument tests on the assumption that the country has a latent comparative advantage in the industry or group of industries to be protected. It is, therefore, argued that if industries in their infancy are not protected from established foreign producers, they cannot develop to enjoy the comparative advantage. For this, they must attain the optimum size so as to operate most efficiently and competitively.
  • 32.  Socially Important or Key Industries Argument. to socially importantshould such be given as agriculture or strategically Protection -industries important industries as iron and steel, heavy electrical, machine making, heavy chemicals, etc.  Employment Argument. A usual argument for protection is that it is a cure for unemployment. The of a tariff employment reduces directly imports in and import imposition encourages competing industries. This in turn, generates employment in other industries dependent upon this import-competing industry and may ever spread to import substitution industries.
  • 33.  Balance of Trade Argument. The balance of trade argument is based on the notion that a country should impose tariffs to have a surplus of exports over imports.  Pauper Labor Argument. It is argued that goods produced by workers getting high wages in one country cannot compete with goods produced by low-wage workers in the other country. Therefore, high wage domestic goods should be protected from low-wage imported goods by imposing tariffs.
  • 34.  Defense Argument. A country should adopt the policy of protecting its industries from the standpoint of national defense. If a country is dependent requirement on other countries for its of agricultural and industrial products, it will be very harmful for its national interest in times of war. The argument runs that it is no of use amassing wealth and becoming richer, if the country is not in a position to defend its freedom.
  • 35.  Preservation Argument. Protection is advocated to preserve the special ethos of the nation and certain classes of the population or certain occupations. It is argued that these would tend to disappear under free trade and there preservation is desired on political and social grounds. This argument is put forth to safeguard the interests of the agriculturists. The imposition of agricultural duties on the import of farm products is beneficial for the farmers who would be assured fair prices for their products. This is the reason for what US and European Union countries have protected their farmers with huge amount of subsidy.
  • 36.  A through understanding of balance of payments accounting helps in evaluating the implications of a country’s international transactions.  The trends and the existing position of the balance of international payments of a country significantly affect the economic policies of its government. As every country strives to maintain a favorable balance of payments, the trends and the existing position of the balance of payments significantly influence, in particular, the nature and types of regulation on export and import business.
  • 37.  A country’s balance of payments accounts keep track of both its payments to and its receipts from foreigners. Any transaction resulting in a payments to foreigners is entered in the BOP accounts as a debit transaction resulting in a receipt and is given a negative (-) sign. Any from a credit and isforeigners is entered as given a positive (+) sign.
  • 38.  The IMF BOP Manual 5 defines balance of payments as a “statistical statement that systematically summarizes, for a specific time period, the economic transactions of an economy with the rest of the world.”  The basic convention applied in constructing the BOP is the double-entry accounting system. Every transaction is represented by two entries with equal values but opposite signs, a debit (-) and a credit (+).
  • 39.  By convention certain items are recorded as debits and others as credit, as follows: Export of goods and services Import of goods and services Credit (+) Debit (-) Increase in financial liabilities Credit (+) Increase in financial assets Debit (-) Decrease in liabilities Decrease in assets Debit (-) Credit (+)
  • 40.  The BOP identity is shown in the following way: A. Current account B. Capital account C. Financial account D. Net errors and omissions E. Reserves and related items See the attached NRB sheet for detail
  • 41.  The BOP manual’s standard classification system has three accounts: current account, capital account, and financial account.  Current account: The current account is comprised of goods, services, income, and current transfers.  Transactions classified under goods relate to the movement of merchandise and generally involve a change of ownership. mostly to the transportation and Services refer insurance of merchandise shipments, transport fares paid by travelers, tourist services (hotels, restaurants), royalties and license fees, communications, constructions, house rentals, government purchases (in connection with embassies, for example), and other items.
  • 42.  Income may be derived from labor, and financial assets and liabilities. Thus, there are mainly two items: compensation of employees, and investment income.  In compensation, earnings of Nepalese workers working abroad for less than one year is a credit item, and payments to foreign workers working in Nepal for less than one year is debit item.  Under investment income, credit entries reflect dividend and interest received by domestic owners of capital. For example, interest earned by NRB and commercial banks on their holdings of foreign government bills and securities.
  • 43.  Under investment income, debit entries reflect dividend and interest received by foreign owners of capital. For example, dividend received by the foreign firms owning Bhotekoshi and Khimti, and also dividend received by the parent companies of Nepalese joint ventures.  Interest paid on foreign debt also comes under this item.
  • 44.  Another item under current account is current transfers. These transfers are largely dependent on decisions made by governments of countries that are foreign aid donors. Thus, current transfers mainly include: grants and workers remittances. Current transfer grants include food aid, emergency and relief assistance and other grants which are not of investment nature. Workers remittance is the amount that people working abroad for more than one year have sent or the amount paid to foreign workers who are working in this country for more than one year.
  • 45.  Capital account consists of: (a) capital transfers, (b) acquisition or disposal of non-financial assets. Capital transfer is the transfer of investment nature. Capital expenditure related assistance by the foreigners or to the foreigners. Migrants’ income or transfer for example British Armies’ selling properties and transferring wealth to the UK is also capital transfer. It may be in cash or kind. Debt forgiveness is also included under this.  Financial account has four functional categories: (a) direct investment, which is further divided into equity capital, and reinvested earnings, (b) portfolio investment, which includes long term debt and equity securities, money market instruments, and tradable financial derivatives, including currency and interest rate swaps.
  • 46.  Financial account has four functional categories: (c) Other investment such as trade credits and general borrowing and IMF credit, and (d) reserve assets, available to meet immediate needs to make foreign payments.  Net errors and omissions are unidentified and missing amounts of different headings.  Reserve assets include foreign exchange (currency, deposits, and securities), monetary gold, SDRs, and country’s reserve position in the IMF.  Overall BOP is the change in the net foreign assets of the banking sector.
  • 47. Causes of disequilibrium:  Development schemes: for industrialization, country may need to import more, export may fall.  Price cost structures: Increase in prices because of higher wages, and higher cost of raw materials etc reduce exports and makes the BOP unfavorable.  Changes in foreign exchange rate: Appreciation of domestic currency may induce import and cause BOP balance deteriorate.  Fall in export demand: Because of the cheap products produced within country or imported from other countries may cause a fall in export demand.  Demonstration effect: countries of poor countries may also change their consumption habit and follow those of the developed countries leads to high import demand.
  • 48. Causes of disequilibrium:  Cyclical fluctuations: During depression, foreigners may demand less since their income has fallen. This may cause disequilibrium on BOP.  Population growth: Rapid growth of population cause high import and BOP disequilibrium.  Natural factors: Natural calamities such as droughts, floods, cause low production and high import. This also causes BOP disequilibrium.
  • 49. Methods of correcting BOP disequilibrium:  Deflation: Adopting contractionary monetary policy. This causes lower price and low monetary income. The idea is this causes export promotion through price reduction and reduction in import through income decline at home.  Currency devaluation: This is done to make import dearer and export cheaper.  Exchange control: All exporters are asked to surrender foreign currency at central bank and central bank rations the currency among license holders.  Capital movement: Raising domestic interest rate can cause capital inflow.  Encouraging exports: Through duty reduction, subsidy, negotiations with trading partners for favorable trade conditions.  Discouraging imports: Through import quotas, import duties, import substitution policies.
  • 50.
  • 51. Introduction: Balance: A state of equilibrium or equaldistribution of weight ,amount etc. Trade: The act or process of buying ,selling or exchange commodities at either wholesale within country or between countries .Also called domestic trade or foreign trade.
  • 52. Domestic trade: Wholesale: The sale of good in large quantities. Retail: The sales of good to ultimate consumers usually in small Quantities.
  • 53. Export:Send goods to another country for Sale Import: To bring a product into a country for trade or sale. Enterpot trade: Trade in which imported goods are re-exported with or without any additional processing or repackaging
  • 54.  CHALLENGES • HIGH TRANSPORTATION FEES • ENTERING AN EXPORT AND BUSINESS REQUIRES CAREFUL PLANNING • MARKET INFORMATION • FINANCIAL RISK • SECURITY REASONS ADVANTAGES • EARNING MORE MONEY • INCREASED SALES AND PROFITS • UN WASTAGE OF THINGS • GAIN GLOBAL SHARES • LOWER PER UNIT COSTS
  • 55. ADVANTA GES • LOWER PRICE RATE • HIGH QUALITY • CONSUMER BENEFITS CHALLENGE S • NEEDS FUNDS TO IMPORTING • RISK TO SALE • TRANSPORT COSTS
  • 56. It is the comparison between value of export and imports of the physical items (goods,not services) of a country in a given period of time usually a year.
  • 57. A country has to deal with other countries in respect of 3 items:- Visible items: which include all types of physical goods exported and imported. Invisible items: which include all those services whose export and import are not visible. e.g. transport services, medical services etc. Capital transfers: which are concerned with capital receipts and capital payment.
  • 59. When the value of the export of the country is greater than imports of the country then balance of trade is said is said to be favorable. (Exports>Imports) Unfavourable Balance: When the value of the exports of the country is less than imports of the country then balance of trade it said to be unfavorable. (Exports<imports)
  • 60. Causes of unfavorable balance of trade Low Production High Population Low Quality of Goods Imports of Consumer Goods Currency Value Increase in oil Prices
  • 61. Remedies for Improving BOT Explore Market Special Scheme Reduce use of oil Reduce Imports More trade Agreement Export promotion
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64. It isthe record of all economic transaction between the resident ofthe Country and restof the world in particular a year or more and commonly over a year
  • 65. • FAVOURABLE / SURPLUS BALAN • UNFAVOURABLECE /ADVERSE BALANCE
  • 66. (Receipts>Payments) Unfavourable Balance: If total receipts are less than total payments,the BOP is said to be unfavorable. (Receipts<Payments)
  • 67. Balance of payment = Balance of visible items +balance of invisible items The three major components of balance of payment are as follows: 1. CurrentAccount 2. CapitalAccount 3. Balancing Item
  • 68. 1. CurrentAccount  It refers to an account which records all the transactions relating to export and import of goods and services and unilateral transfer  It contains the receipts and payments relating to all the transactions of visible items, invisible items and unilateral transfers  It shows the net income generated in the foreign sector
  • 69. Components of CurrentAccount  Export and Import of Goods (Merchandise Transactions or Visible Trade)  Export and Import of Services (Invisible Trade)  Unilateral or Unrequited Transfers to and from abroad (One sided Transactions)  Income receipts and payments to and from abroad
  • 70. 2. CapitalAccount  It records all those transactions, between the residents of a country and the rest of the world, which cause a change in the assets or liabilities of the residents of the country or its government  Capital Account is used to:  It is related to claims and liabilities of financial nature a. Finance deficit in current account; or b. Absorb surplus of current account.
  • 71. Components of CapitalAccount:  Borrowings and landings to and from abroad  Investments to and from abroad  Change in Foreign Exchange Reserves
  • 72. 3. Balancing Item  It is simply an amount that accounts for any statistical errors and assures that the current and capital accounts sum to zero  By the principles of double entry accounting, an entry in the current account gives rise to an entry in the capital account, and in aggregate the two accounts automatically balance
  • 73. Components of Balancing Item  It may be positive or negative  A balance isn't always reflected in reported figures for the current and capital accounts, which might, for example, report a surplus for both accounts
  • 75. BOT 1. It is a narrow term. 2. It includes only visible items. 3. It can be favorable or unfavorable. 4. BOT = Net Earnings on Exports- Net Payment for imports BOP 1. It is a broad term. 2. It includes all transactions related to visible, invisible and capital transfers. 3. It is always balances itself. 4. BOP = Current Account + Capital Account + or - Balancing item ( Errors and omissions)
  • 77.
  • 78. • Economic factors Imbalance between export & Import New Source of supply & new substitutes High Domestic Price • Political factors Instability & Disturbance cause large capital outflow • Social factors
  • 79.  It is concluded that;  balance of trade is the exchange of physical/visible items whether balance of payment is the exchange of both visible and non-visible items .In a country if, there is favorable balance of payment and trade then the country can progress and can compete with other developed countries in the world.
  • 80.  Foreign finance: in addition to the foreign aid, it can be in the form of private foreign direct and portfolio investment.  Private direct investment, commonly known as FDI is made by large multinational corporations (e.g. General Motors, USA; Ford Motor, USA; Toyota Motor, Japan; Daimler Benz, Germany) with headquarters in the developed nations.  Foreign portfolio investment (e.g. stocks, bonds, and notes) in LDC “emerging” credit and equity markets by private institutions (banks, mutual funds, corporations) and individuals.
  • 81. Why do countries need foreign finance?  To meet the saving investment gap (Recall the Harrod-Domar model g=s/k). If a country needs to grow at the rate of 10% at a “k” of 3, the required saving investment would be 30%. And if the domestic saving is only 14%, the country needs to meet this gap of 16% through foreign finance.  To meet the foreign exchange gap. Forex gap is the difference between the required foreign reserve and the net export earnings plus net public foreign aid.
  • 82. Why do countries need foreign finance?  The third gap it can meet between targeted governmental tax revenues and locally raised taxes. Raising tax from MNCs, developing countries’ government would be in better position to utilize resources.  Another can be in reducing the gap in technological knowledge, managerial expertise and entrepreneurial skills. Transfers of knowledge, skills, and technology are both desirable and productive for the recipient countries.
  • 83. What are the counter arguments?  May lower domestic savings andinvestments by stifling competition through production agreement with exclusive host governments, failing to reinvest much of their groups with lower saving propensities, profits, generating domestic incomes for and inhibiting the expansion of indigenous industries that would supply materials and intermediate goods.
  • 84. What are the counter arguments?  Despite the short term accumulation of forex reserve, in the long run both current account and capital account may deteriorate. Current account will deteriorate because of the imports of capital goods and intermediate goods and capital account because of the overseas repatriation of profits, interest, royalties, management fees and other funds.
  • 85. What are the counter arguments?  Even though there are some contributions of MNCs to tax revenue, it can be lower than what it should be because of the liberal tax tariff excessive investment protection by the host concessions, allowances, government.  It may inhibit the growth of local entrepreneurship since the local market is dominated by MNCs.
  • 86.  Some more fundamental objections:   MNCs only cater to the needs of local elites. Production, job opportunities, and location all are in favor of rich people. produce goods like food They don’t for mass consumption rather produce sophisticated goods for rich people. They are located in urban centers and increase the rural-urban gap. .
  • 87. Some more fundamental objections:  MNCs produce inappropriate products (demanded by local elites, small fraction of population) and convert local tastes and preferences into exotic ones.  Create more capital-intensive processes, thus replacing labor and causing increased unemployment problem.  MNCs may damage host economies by suppressing domestic entrepreneurship and using their superior knowledge, worldwide contacts, advertising skills.
  • 88. Some more fundamental objections:  At the political level, MNCs gradually gain control over local assets and jobs and then build influence on host country government/political forces and decision-making. They can do this also by joining hands with corrupt officials at high levels through corruptive means and promoting rent seeking cultures.