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September 2008
29 countries
17,000 internet users
© Universal McCann 2008
When did we
start trusting
strangers?
How the internet turned us all into influencers
3
Introduction
		➜ No strangers anymore
Welcome to the new influence
landscape
		➜ The rise of social media
		➜ Digital friends
		➜ Proliferation of influencer channels
The impact
		➜ The influence economy
		➜ The democratisation of influence
		➜ The new super influencers
Contents
5
This unique perspective comes from data collected in
the third instalment of Universal McCann’s global digital
research programme “Wave”. The research was completed
among 17,000 active internet users in 29 countries –
making it one of the most wide reaching investigations into
the subject of influence and word of mouth. Respondents
are provided by the world’s leading online panel companies,
all recruited to strict ESOMAR standards.
Every market is representative by age and sex to the 16-54
Active Internet Universe. Quotas and universe sizes were
established from local data sources such as TGI and
Simmons. They are the audience that matter as they are
involved in the new influence economy.
To qualify as a member of the Active Internet Universe the
respondent needs to be using the Internet everyday or every
other day. They are the audience that matter to current
and future of marketing communications and represent the
consumer that are driving the new influence landscape.
Methodology
Australia
Austria
Canada
Chile
China
Czech Republic
France
Germany
Greece
Hong Kong
Hungary
India
Italy
Japan
Netherlands
Romania
Pakistan
Philippines
Poland
Russia
Spain
Switzerland
Taiwan
Turkey
UK
USA
Long before the concept of marketing existed our sourcesLong before the concept of marketing existed our sources
of information were limited. What we now tag “Word ofof information were limited. What we now tag “Word of
Mouth” was the only source of information outside religion,Mouth” was the only source of information outside religion,Mouth” was the only source of information outside religion,
the monarchy and the state. People’s lives were localisedthe monarchy and the state. People’s lives were localised
and the information that impacted on their main decisions.
Then came newspapers, radio and the television set; mass
media created exposure to influences beyond the ancient
controllers of information.controllers of information.
However this influence was still professional and top down –However this influence was still professional and top down –
the news reader, the columnist and the expert. Mass mediathe news reader, the columnist and the expert. Mass mediathe news reader, the columnist and the expert. Mass media
offered little in terms of consumer recommendation, readers’offered little in terms of consumer recommendation, readers’offered little in terms of consumer recommendation, readers’
letters in newspapers and magazines or phone-ins on TV andletters in newspapers and magazines or phone-ins on TV and
radio shows were as far as consumer influence went.radio shows were as far as consumer influence went.radio shows were as far as consumer influence went.radio shows were as far as consumer influence went.radio shows were as far as consumer influence went.
Peer to peer interactions remained localised and face to face.Peer to peer interactions remained localised and face to face.Peer to peer interactions remained localised and face to face.Peer to peer interactions remained localised and face to face.Peer to peer interactions remained localised and face to face.
Then along came the web and a revolution began. In theThen along came the web and a revolution began. In theThen along came the web and a revolution began. In theThen along came the web and a revolution began. In the
early days, bulletin boards, chat rooms and home brewearly days, bulletin boards, chat rooms and home brewearly days, bulletin boards, chat rooms and home brew
websites allowed those technically in the know to project theirwebsites allowed those technically in the know to project their
thoughts and opinions. More recently social media such as
blogs, social networks, photo or video sharing sites and wikisblogs, social networks, photo or video sharing sites and wikis
have opened the door to consumer publishing and hundreds
of millions have embraced it.
Today the web is driven by its’ users and peoples’ thoughts onToday the web is driven by its’ users and peoples’ thoughts onToday the web is driven by its’ users and peoples’ thoughts on
everything, including products and brands, personal blogs, toeverything, including products and brands, personal blogs, toeverything, including products and brands, personal blogs, to
reviews on price comparison sites and wish lists on Amazon.reviews on price comparison sites and wish lists on Amazon.reviews on price comparison sites and wish lists on Amazon.
It is now incredibly easy to share opinions and cultivateIt is now incredibly easy to share opinions and cultivateIt is now incredibly easy to share opinions and cultivate
influence, often without even trying. The result has been theinfluence, often without even trying. The result has been theinfluence, often without even trying. The result has been the
democratisation of influence.
This is a fundamental change in the way we source andThis is a fundamental change in the way we source andThis is a fundamental change in the way we source andThis is a fundamental change in the way we source and
share opinions and today anyone can wield influence farshare opinions and today anyone can wield influence farshare opinions and today anyone can wield influence farshare opinions and today anyone can wield influence far
beyond their immediate social group. In the old days thebeyond their immediate social group. In the old days thebeyond their immediate social group. In the old days thebeyond their immediate social group. In the old days the
conversations we had with our immediate peers generallyconversations we had with our immediate peers generallyconversations we had with our immediate peers generallyconversations we had with our immediate peers generally
stayed inside that network; today opinions and experiencesstayed inside that network; today opinions and experiencesstayed inside that network; today opinions and experiencesstayed inside that network; today opinions and experiences
are shared worldwide. Never before have we been exposedare shared worldwide. Never before have we been exposedare shared worldwide. Never before have we been exposed
to so many opinions and recommendations from so manyto so many opinions and recommendations from so manyto so many opinions and recommendations from so many
people - most of whom are complete strangers, without thepeople - most of whom are complete strangers, without thepeople - most of whom are complete strangers, without thepeople - most of whom are complete strangers, without thepeople - most of whom are complete strangers, without thepeople - most of whom are complete strangers, without thepeople - most of whom are complete strangers, without the
aura of expertise or celebrity recognition.aura of expertise or celebrity recognition.
The result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyone
in the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products and
brands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversational
and honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence is
distributed and the role of marketing communications.distributed and the role of marketing communications.distributed and the role of marketing communications.
No Strangers Anymore
Agnes, France
Graham, UK
Dmitri, Russia
Carlos, Brazil
7
No Strangers Anymore cont.
Yvonne, Switzerland
This study demonstrates through a unique global research
project in 29 countries that things have changed forever. In
the new influencer landscape there are five fundamental
changes that every brand and marketer will have to
acknowledge.
Anyone can influence anyone: We now trust strangers as
much as our closest friends.
Friendship is no longer local or face to face: It’s becoming
distant and virtualised.
Everybody is an influencer: The power to influence no
longer belongs to the experts or “those in the know”. The
idea that we live in a simplistic world where there is a small
group of “influencers” who dictate the agenda to everyone
else is no longer true thanks to social media. We all share
influence today whether we actively mean to or not.
New super influencers rise above the mass: Not all
consumer influencers are equal. A new breed of “super
influencers” has been created by the tools of the social
media revolution.
The new influence ecosystem has fundamentally changedThe new influence ecosystem has fundamentally changed
how we buy products and services: There is a new level
of transparency and truth that all public institutions,
companies and brands have to adhere to.
Darren, UK
9
Welcome to the new
influence landscape
➜➜ The rise of social mediaThe rise of social media
➜ Digital friends
➜ Proliferation of influencer channels
3 key trends
Scott, USA
Michael, Germany
Olga, Greece
Brendan, Hungary
Teresa, Canada
11
The rise of social media
From its inception the internet has allowed consumers to
create content in a manner that was never possible in the
age of mass media where TV, radio and press belonged
to the professionals. The web reduced the barriers to
production and opened up the channels of distribution
to anyone with a desire to create content or share their
thoughts and opinions.
In the early days it required technical knowledge, experience
and a substantial investment in computing and the impact
was limited to the geek community. In the last few years
these barriers have disappeared and consumer content and
opinion has exploded due to the emergence of mass market
social media platforms like YouTube, Blogger and MySpace.
These developments combined with the ever falling costs of
computing and broadband have enabled a global revolution
in consumers publishing their content and thinking.
This rise of social media has created hundreds of millions
of content creators as demonstrated by data from our
Global Social Media Tracker in Figure 1. This shows
massive growth in a very short period of time and users
have gradually moved from passive consumers to active
creators. Writing blogs has risen from 28% to 44%, creating
a social network page has grown from 27.3% to 57.5%
and uploading a video clip from 10% to 42%. The result
is billions of thoughts and opinions online and available
for anyone to read.
Figure 1: “Social Media adoption over time (Waves 1 – 3)” Global Average
Source: Universal McCann Social Media Tracker – Power to the People
Social Media adoption over time (Waves 1 – 3)
Read blogs/weblogs
Start my own blog/weblog
Leave a comment on a blog site
Upload my photos to a photo sharing site
Upload a video clip to a video sharing site
Watch video clips online
Create a profile on a social network
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Wave 1 Sep 06
%Everdone
Wave 2 Jun 07 Wave 3 Mar 08
Figure 2:Figure 2: “What do you do with your social network profile?”“What do you do with your social network profile?”
Social Network Users, Global Average. Source: Universal McCannSocial Network Users, Global Average. Source: Universal McCann
Social Media Tracker – Power to the PeopleSocial Media Tracker – Power to the People
% added to your social network page
Install
applications
23.3%
Upload photos
55.1%Write a blog
30.8%
Upload
videos
21.9%
Favourite /
currently
listened to music
33.6% Promote
a band
9.8%
Figure 2:Figure 2:
Social Network Users, Global Average. Source: Universal McCannSocial Network Users, Global Average. Source: Universal McCann
Social Media Tracker – Power to the PeopleSocial Media Tracker – Power to the People
% added to your social network page
The scale of this revolution is demonstrated by Figures 2
and 3, which show the extent of content that social network
users and bloggers are uploading. It is clear that social
media has become a platform for directly sharing opinion
and thoughts; 34% of social network users are sharing
opinions on music, 31% are writing a blog inside their profile
and almost 10% have promoted a band.
They are also sharing content; 55% are sharing photos, 22%
are uploading videos and 23% are uploading applications,
all of which project opinions and endorse brands if included.
The rise of social media cont.
What I do with my social network profile
Glen, UK
Hugh, Canada
13
Monica, Spain
% posted to your blog
Figure 3: “When writing a blog, which of the following do you post?”
Blog writers only, Global Average. Source: Universal McCann Social Media
Tracker – Power to the People
Videos
24%
Recommended
websites
32%
Upload
music
20%
Favourite/
currently listened
to music
29%
Opinions on
products
and brands
28%
Stories from
other blogs
23%
Widgets
14%
Photos
50%
Bloggers are also very active in terms of sharing opinions
and recommendations; 32% have shared recommended
websites, 29% their favourite music and 28% opinions on
products and brands. This is a massive volume of opinion
that is fuelling the new influence landscape.
The rise of social media cont.
Spyros – Greece
What do I post
on my blog?
15
Have you seen the new
Universal McCann website?
Check it out
www.universalmccann.com
15
Federico – Panama
Email
99% Instant messenger
81.6%
Social network
58%
VOIP
51.3%
Digital friends
Since its inception as a closed academic and military
network the web has had a major impact on the way its
users communicate and the nature of the social networks
they maintain. In 2008, 1.5bn people are online and the
impact of the internet has spread into the way we interact
and communicate as a society.
Figure 4 shows the penetration of different communications
platforms; email is universally used and instant messenger
is adopted by more than 80% of users world-wide. This has
moved billions of personal interactions into the virtual and
written word, where it is much easier to spread influence
and communication is much more frequent and casual.
What is interesting is the extent to which social media is
beginning to rival its more established equivalents, with
nearly 58% having joined a network. But more importantly,
as Figure 5 shows, these users are communicating in
new ways, with 66% using them to stay in contact with
existing friends, 42% using them to meet new people
and 18% for dating.
This is a fundamental shift and movement towards
virtual communications platform as a way of broadening
friend networks.
Figure 4: “Thinking about the Internet, which of the following have
you done?”, Global Average. Source: Universal McCann Social Media
Tracker – Power to the People
How I communicate online
Figure 5: “What do you do with your social networking profile?”,
Global Average. Source: Universal McCann Social Media Tracker –
Power to the People
Dating
18.3%
Meet new
friends
42%
Stay in contact
with existing
friends
58%
17
How I use social networks
100
0
France
48.6%
Pakistan
67.7%
Turkey
43.6%
Brazil61%
M
alaysia
46.9%
Taiwan
64.4%
Spain
47.5%
Italy
65.9%
H
ong
Kong
53.8%
South
Korea
57.3%
M
exico
72.9%
Philippines
73.1%
China
60.1%
India
70.2%
U
K
25.8%
%Agree
Denm
ark
17.6%
Australia
21.8%
U
S
24%
Canada
24.3%
Austria
27.7%
H
ungary
27.9%
Germ
any
28.2%
Switzerland
30.8%
Poland
32.5%
Japan
34.9%
Russia
35%Czech
36%Greece
39.4%
N
etherlands
14.2%
Rom
ania
42.3%
Digital friends cont.
The rise of social platforms has created important new
channels for peer to peer interaction. Figure 6 and Figure
7 show the global response to the statements, “blogging
is important to socialise with friends” and “I use social
networks to meet new people”, which indicate the social
impact of both these platforms. Both are now perceived
as important platforms for socialising with friends, pushing
more of our interactions into the virtual world and expanding
our friend networks to include new people and old friends
we would have previously lost contact with.
The global impact is not geographically uniform and there
are large distinctions by country, with fast-growing emerging
internet markets leading the way, such as the Philippines,
Mexico and India. In these countries social platforms have
been enthusiastically embraced among web users, thanks
Figure 6: Agree with the statement
“Blogging is important to socialise with friends”
Blogging is important to socialise with friends
Use social networks to meet new people
M
exico
73.5%
Canada
25.3%
Japan
27%
100
0
H
ong
Kong
46.8%
Germ
any
44.6%
South
Korea
58.7%
Taiwan
46.2%
China
63.6%
Rom
ania
46.5%
Brazil69.7%
Russia
48.8%
Italy
52.2%
India
75.8%Philippines
79.7%
Poland
58.1%
Pakistan
75%
U
K
28.8%
%Agree
N
etherlands
24.1%
Australia
27%
Greece
32.2%
Switzerland
32.8%
France
33.7%
Turkey
37.8%Denm
ark
38.2%
Austria
39.4%
Spain
42.2%M
alaysia
42.9%
Czech
24%
H
ungary
44.1%
U
S
29.3%
19
to a multitude of factors including low cost of entry, less
competition from traditional media, a poor legacy of fixed
line communications and a younger and relatively more
affluent profile. This is reflected in their enthusiasm for these
platforms as social channels.
There are also large distinctions in developed internet
markets, 58% of South Korea web users and 66% in Italy
see blogging as a platform for socialising compared to 26%
in the UK and 24% in the US. These are differences that
reflect broader patterns of adoption of social media and
cultural differences in role of the web in life.
The key factor is that the social web is increasingly adopted
as a core social platform by hundreds of millions of users
worldwide. This dramatically affects the exposure to channels
of influence and the nature of the social groups we maintain.
Figure 7: Agree with the statement
“I use social networks to meet new people”
Digital friends cont.
The evolution of the web as a social platform and primary
communication channel has had a dramatic impact on
the scale and nature of our friendship networks. Figure
8 shows the global average number of friends and
personal acquaintances we maintain via different forms of
communication including face to face, digital and letters.
The amazing truth is that the web has massively expanded
the size of our social platforms and virtualised a large
proportion of our daily contact. Today, although we still
maintain an average of 35 friendships face to face, it is
rapidly being equalled by email with an average of 32, social
networks with 30 and Instant Messenger with 29.
Interestingly these all rank above SMS or phone calls, which
shows that PC based internet is for expanding networks,
while mobile is for maintaining current ones.
The nature of friendship is changing from voice to text and
written word. This is a significant change in the ability to
influence and share opinions as it’s much easier to do in
text – communication is more frequent and can include
additional information like links, videos and photos.
Figure 8: “Approximately how many people do you stay in contact with in
your personal life through the following means?”, Global Average
Average number of contacts via
different forms of online communications
Face to face
Email
Social network
Instant Messenger
Phone
Text Message
My personal blog
Post/letter
0 60
Average number of connections maintained
												
		
								 35				
							 32
						 30
					 28			 				
				 26
			 21
		 13
	 9
Graeme, USA
21
There are interesting regional differences in the nature of
friend networks as demonstrated by some of the major
internet markets shown in figure 9:
Brazil – very large friend networks, expanded further online.
Brazilian web users are known as vicarious social network
users thanks to an obsession with Orkut. On average they
maintain 51 friendships via social networks.
China – Instant Messenger leads the way as a nation of
single children jump on Instant Messenger tools like QQ
to socialise. On average they have 51 friends on Instant
Messenger versus 28 friends face to face – a staggering shift
to the virtual.
Social network
Instant Messenger
Email
Face to face
My personal blog
Phone
Text Message
Post/letter
0 60
Average number of connections maintained
																		
																	
																		 51.5
																 48.5
															 45.3
												 38.2
										 26.2
								 24.4
									 17
		 8.6
Brazil
Instant Messenger
Phone
Email
Text Message
Social network
Face to face
My personal blog
Post/letter
0 60
Average number of connections maintained
																		
																	
																 49
														 33.6
													 32.2
										 31.7
										 31.3
								 27.5
									 26.1
						 12.6
CHINA
Average number of contacts via
different forms of online communications
Figure 9: “Approximately how many people do you stay in contact with in
your personal life through the following means?”, key internet markets
Digital friends cont.
India – Email and mobile lead the way as Indians leapfrog
fixed line networks, embracing functional communications
platforms over social ones.
Japan – Significantly smaller friend networks reflect the
structure of society, although it one of the most virtualised
with email and social networks leading face to face, but
Instant Messenger lags.
Email
Phone
Social network
Face to face
Text Message
Instant Messenger
Post/letter
My personal blog
Average number of connections maintained0 60
																		
																	
																 51.6
														 45.1
														 42.9
											 42
												 35.5
									 33.2
						 23.8
17.9
INDIA
JAPAN Email
Text Message
Social network
Phone
Face to Face
Post/Letter
My personal blog
Instant Messenger
0 60
Average number of connections maintained
																		
																	
									 8.5
									 8
									 7.4
									7
					 6.5
						6.3
					3.8
				2.9
Average number of contacts via
different forms of online communications
23
UK – Social networks now equal the number of face-to-face
relationships reflecting the massive growth of Facebook.
SMS usage is level with phone calls demonstrating the
popularity of messaging.
US – Email just leads face-to-face relationships, but SMS yet
to catch on.
UK Face to face
Social network
Email
Phone
Text Message
Instant Messenger
My personal blog
Post/letter
Average number of connections maintained
0 60
																		
																	
																 30.9
															 30.5
														 25.2
													 21.1
												 20.8
								 20.1
		 9.7
7.1
USA
Average number of connections maintained
Email
Face to face
Phone
Social network
Instant Messenger
Text Message
Post/letter
My personal blog
0 60
																		
																	
												 21.1
												 20
										 16.9
									 16.6
					 12.4
	 8.9
	7.4
	7.1
Average number of contacts via
different forms of online communications
Digital friends cont.
% stay in contact
The impact of virtual networks and digitised friends can
be seen on our core day to day interactions with partners,
friends, work colleagues and children. There has been
a significant shift to virtual communication as shown in
Figure 10. This is particularly marked within friend networks
where 79% keep in touch by email, 70% by SMS, 67% by
messenger and 46% by social networks. Interacting with
current work colleagues is led by phone and email, where
interactions tend to be more formal. Also social networks are
beginning to become important as the boundaries between
professional and personal continue to disapear.
The most remarkable trend is the influence of the virtual
connection on our most personal of relationships. Nearly
38% of respondents say they keep in contact with their
partner via SMS, 30% via email and 10% via Instant
Messenger. All very significant compared to the 55% who
Figure 10: “How do you keep in
contact with the following people”,
Global Average
How do I keep in contact with my partnerHow do I keep in contact with my friends
86.3%
Face to face
31.1%
My personal
blog 79.4%
Email
82.4%
Phone
45.7%
Social network
66.9%
Instant Messenger
Social network
5.8%
9.8%
7.2%
22%
30.1%
Email
48.8%
Phone 54.9%
Face to face
Post/letter
My personal blog
Text MessageInstant Messenger
37.9%
39.2%
Post/letter
70.1%
Text Message
25
stay in touch with a partner face to face. Staying in touch
with children is a very similar pattern, remarkably 16% stay
in touch by text and 13% by email, which again are very
significant numbers considering just 34% have children and
stay in touch face to face.
This is a big shift. Think back 10 years, email was just
emerging as a business tool, IM and social networks were
yet to exist and SMS was nowhere. Today an increasing
amount of interaction is text-based and remote.
The impacts on the way we interact, communicate and
build our networks are substantial and they have a major
effect on the way we interface, receive and transmit
recommendations.
How do I keep in contact with my childrenHow do I keep in contact
with my current work colleagues
Post/letter
8.1%
25.7%
43%
44.4%
58%
15.1%
Email
Social network
My personal blog
29.3%
Text Message
Instant Messenger
Face to face
Phone
8.1%
24.4%
Phone
2.2%
3.7%
9.6%
13%
Email
15.8%
34.1%
Face to face
Post/letter
Social network
My personal blog
Text Message
Instant Messenger
3.4%
Proliferation of influencer channels
The continuing rise of social media and digitisation of our
friend networks has opened up a mass of new influence
channels that allow consumers to voice and have their
opinions heard, both amongst existing networks and more
importantly among a wider audience. Consumer contribution
to the web has become the norm.
The result is that all sites are now incorporating social
aspects that encourage consumer input and interaction
and there is now a huge number of ways in which to share
opinions as represented in figure 11. For example all
e-commerce sites now have consumer reviews, comments
and recommendations; Amazon allows users to compile
wish lists of products, Ebay has consumer ratings of sellers
and iTunes has consumer ratings and recommendations.
This creates an environment where sharing opinions has
never been so easy - a very real change in a very short
space of time.
The result is a situation we can call casual influence, it’s now
incredibly easy to influence other consumers be it via voting
buttons or creating favourites lists or even just by purchasing
a product that will later become a recommendation for
another consumer. There are so many tools to do this that
we no longer have to really think actively about influencing.
Figure 11: “Consumer influence channels – mass market age
versus social media age”, Global Average
Consumer influence channels – mass market age versus social media age
Mass Market Age Social Media Age
Talk face to face
Phone call
Talk to a shop worker
Consult a professional
Readers letters
Phone in; TV / Radio
Talk face to face Personal blog Comments on blogs
Phone call Social network page Comments on websites
Talk to a shop worker Widgets Viral emails
Consult a professional Video sharing site Auction websites
Readers letters Photo sharing site Wish lists
Phone in; TV / Radio Chat rooms Ratings on retail sites
SMS Message boards Reviews on retail sites
Email Social Bookmarking Price comparison sites
Instant Messenger Chat room Social shopping sites
27
Hi Alistair,
I’ve found this amazing golf hotel.
I’ll send you details later.
29
Proliferation of influencer channels cont.
The extent of adoption of the new influence channels can
be seen in figure 12, which shows the monthly reach. Over
44% of users have shared an opinion about a product or
service by Instant Messenger with a friend in the last month
and 42% by email. These two show that the web is an
extension of the existing relationships.
Significantly social channels are also extremely popular and
have very similar levels of penetration. More than 30% of
people have commented on a product or service review on a
blog, just above the 29% that have recommended a product
or brand on a blog in the past month. Amazingly, both now
rank above writing a review on an e-commerce site, a much
more accessible and mainstream social channel.
Figure 12: “Thinking about how you can share an opinion on a product, brand
or service via the Internet. On average how often do you do the following?”
Global Monthly Average
How I share opinions of products, brands and services
Tell someone about a product/service by Instant Messenger
Tell someone about a product/service by email
Comment on a product/service review on a blog/weblog
Recommend a product/service on a blog/weblog
Write review of product/service on ecommerce/retail site
Comment on product/service review on ecommerce/retail site
Post opinion on social network personal profile
Write a review of a product/service on yr blog/weblog
Create product wish/favs list on ecommerce/retail site
Post a video clip featuring a product/service
																		 44.5%
																	 42.4%
																 30.4%
															 29.4%
														 28.9%
													 28.9%
												 27.6%
											 27.5%
									 27.4%
							 25.1%
Monthly Average
0 50
Proliferation of influencer channels cont.
There are clear motivations for online users to share their
opinions. When asked to rate different factors on a scale of 5
for importance a definitive pattern emerges among the mass
market as Figure 13 shows. The most important factors
being a good experience, a friend having a good experience
and a quality product – demonstrating the importance in the
new influence landscape of investing in a quality product.
These both rank above negative experience, rebuffing the
misconception that people just use the web to complain.
All aspects of personal experience and personal
recommendations are stronger influences than any
traditional paid for communications except sampling. A clear
demonstration that being active in social media will become
increasingly important for brands.
Interestingly for the mass market, a brand being fashionable
or discovering an unknown brand is not a major driver to
recommend and users would much rather comment and
pass judgement on something that is already known and
familiar. This is because we are more familiar with these
products and we feel safer in recommending it. This shows
that the majority of us do not want to dictate trends, but
respond and evaluate what is already established.
These motivations indicate two things; firstly companies that
invest in quality product will succeed and will get a much
greater exposure through consumer content than their
marketing budget allows; secondly it means that companies
with a bad product or trying to cover up bad behaviour will
suffer in the transparent world of the influencer economy.
I’ve found the coolest trainers ever.
I’ll show you on Saturday.Federico, Panama Spyros, Greece
31
Figure 13: “The following are a list of reasons and motivations for you to talk about a product, brand or
service. Please can you consider how important they are in motivating you to talk to others? Where 5 =
very motivating and 1 = Not at all motivating.” Global Average
What motivated me to share my opinion?
Good personal experience
Someone you trust having a good personal experience
The brand is high quality
A friend’s recommendation
Bad personal experience
A free sample you receive
Your friends like the product or service
Someone you trust having a bad personal experience
The product or service is discounted
The brand is popular
An advertisement you find interesting & inspiring
A promotion you see in a store
A recommendation in the media (TV/newspapers/mags/radio)
A recommendation you receive in a store
The brand is fashionable
The brand is unknown amongst social group
Seen used by a celebrity/well known figure
																		 4.1
																	 3.7
																 3.7
															 3.4
														 3.3
													 3.2
												 3.2
											 3.2
									 3.1
							 2.9
							 2.8
							 2.7
							 2.6
							 2.5
							 2.4
							 2.1
							 1.8
Average Score 1-50 4.5
What’s the best mobile network
you know of?!
Proliferation of influencer channels cont.
As Figure 14 shows, these new channels have become
an essential part of our repertoire for sourcing information
on products and brands. When asked which ones were
consulted for information on products and brands in
an average month, all remarkably had a penetration of
more than 40%, with all social channels competing
extremely well.
Search is number one, but an email recommendation
is virtually the same with 80% monthly reach. Instant
Messenger conversation with a friend has the same
penetration as visiting a branded website. Both of which
demonstrate the increasing reach of digitised direct
communication channels as a form of influence.
The other validation for the impact of social channels
is the 55% of the active Internet universe claiming to
have sought product and brand information on personal
recommendations on social networks and 51% on personal
blogs in an average month. This compares with 55%
reading reviews on a news website for product and brand
information in the last month and the same number reading
reviews on price comparison sites.
It’s clear that social and consumer-generated channels,
regardless of environment are consumed at the same level
as professional content - a big development in the growth of
the new influencer landscape.
Hayley, London
33
Figure 14: “Thinking about the process of looking for opinions on a product, brand
or services online. On average how often do you do the following when looking for
information on products, brands and services?”, Global Average
How I share opinions on products, brands and services
Search for a specific product/service on a search engine
Read an email from a friend/colleague
Visit official company/brand website
Instant Messenger conversation with a friend/colleague
Bookmark products & services interested in
Visit an Internet auction site
Read comments on a personal profile on a sn e.g Facebook.com
Read official reviews on retail/price comparison websites
Read reviews written on news websites e.g bbc.co.uk
Read a personal blog/weblog by someone you know
Read reviews by consumers on retail sites e.g Amazon.com
Visit online Chat rooms/message boards
Read a blog/weblog by someone you do not know
Read peoples wish/fave lists on retail websites
Read a blog/weblogs managed by a brand/private company
																		 82.1%
																	 80.2%
																 69.6%
															 69.2%
														 63.3%
													 58.1%
												 55.1%
											 55%
									 55%
							 51.4%
							 49.9%
							 47.8%
							 46.6%
							 43.1%
							 42.3%
% Monthly Reach0 90
Proliferation of influencer channels cont.
The common perception is that today’s society is more
dangerous and less community orientated than it has ever
been. If you read the more hysterical newspapers, you
could be forgiven for thinking that every stranger is going
to kill you and steal your credit card. But as this research
demonstrates, this is simply untrue, at least in the world of
the web. Figure 15 shows the extent to which global web
users trust different sources of information on products,
brands and services, proving that online strangers simply
aren’t perceived as a threat, quite the contrary. Today we
trust the opinions of strangers from all round the world
almost as much as the people we know.
•	The top four trusted forms of recommendation are all
direct conversation – significantly two of these are now on
internet channels: email and Instant Messenger
The sources of information I trust
M
agazine
article
4.64
Em
ails
from
a
friend/colleague
5.77
InstantM
essengerconversation
with
a
friend/colleague
5.7
Consum
ers
reviews
on
retailsites
e.g
am
azon.com
5.56
Com
m
ents/viewpoints
on
socialnetwork
sites
e.g
facebook.com
4.14
Recom
m
endation
in
a
television
program
m
e
4.07
Reviews
on
retail/price
com
parison
webs
e.g
priceline.com
5.28
Personalrecom
m
endations
from
professionals
6.16
U
serreviews
on
an
online
auction
site
(e.g
ebay.com
)4.73
N
ewspaperarticle
4.6
Reviews
written
on
news
websites
e.g
guardian.co.uk
4.41
Search
engine
(e.g
live.com
)4.35
Com
pany/brand
W
ebsite
4.33
Shelfinform
ation
and
productdisplays
in
store
4.2
Blogs/W
eblogs-professionalblog
e.g
engadget.com
4.2
Personalrecom
m
endations
from
friends/fam
ily
6.77
Readers
letters
page
in
a
newspaper4.16
10
0
Blogs/W
eblogs-personalblog
written
by
people
you
know
4.89
HightrustLowtrust
35
•	We trust strangers online almost as much as face to face 		
	 recommendation
•	We would much rather trust a stranger than a celebrity, by 	
	 a long way
•	We trust a stranger over any paid-for communications or 		
	 advertising
•	We trust a stranger more in a regulated environment like 		
	 reviews in a retail site such as Amazon or an auction site 		
	 like eBay
•	Blogs are becoming a trusted form of opinion, blogs from
people you know rank at number 7 and those by from
professionals or micropublishers, number 15. Blogs are
almost as trusted as their written word counterparts,
magazines and newspapers
•	Not everything online is trusted: emails from companies
are only marginally more trusted than celebrities
Figure 15: “Thinking about where
you find information for products,
brands and services that you buy.
Please can you rate them in terms
of how trust worthy the information
provided typically is? Where 10 =
Very trustworthy and 1 = Not at all
trustworthy”, Global Average
Radio
advertising
3.63
Blogs/W
eblogs-blog
written
by
people
you
do
notknow
3.95M
agazine
advertising
3.74
N
ewspaperadvertising
3.67
Peoples
wish/fav
lists
on
retailwebsites
e.g
am
azon.com
4.02
Sponsored
listings
on
a
search
engine
3.64
Outdooradvertising
(e.g
Posters
ads
on
public
transport)3.92
Online
Chatroom
s/m
essage
boards
3.79
Sponsorship
ofevents
orsporting
events
3.4
Em
ails
from
com
panies
3.25
Cinem
a
Advertising
3.31
Celebrity
recom
m
endation
3.2
Television
Adverts
3.77
Recom
m
endation
on
radio
program
m
es
3.51
It might be assumed that age will be a big factor in
determining levels of trust of strangers. The assumption
would be that the younger you are and the more familiar
you are with social platforms, the more likely you are to
trust consumer opinion online. As this research shows, it
is simply not true – age is not a significant factor. Looking
at the channels of information that consumers can project
their opinions through by age group in Figure 18, it is clear
that the difference in trust by age is marginal particularly
when that opinion is seen inside another environment such
as an e-commerce store. Gender (Figure 17) is even less of
a factor, with identical levels of trust. Interestingly the only
demographic that influences in a major way is the final level
of education; the more educated the more you trust the
opinions of strangers (Figure 16), particularly on blogs.
Proliferation of influencer channels cont.
Figure 16: Trust by final education level, Global Average
Trust by final education level
Blogs/Weblogs-blog written
by people you do not know
chart
17 18
6
4
5
2
1
3
0
6
4
5
2
1
3
0
Peoples wish/fav lists on retail
websites e.g amazon.com
Consumers reviews on retail
sites e.g amazon.com
Comments/viewpoints on social
network sites e.g facebook.com
Blogs/Weblogs- personal blog
written by people you know
Blogs/Weblogs- professional
blog e.g engadget.com
User reviews on an online
auction site (e.g ebay.com)
Post Graduate
University
College
Secondary
Primary School
Venus, Philippines
37
Figure 17: Trust by gender, Global Average
Figure 18: Trust by age, Global Average
Trust by age
Trust by gender
Blogs/Weblogs-blog written
by people you do not know
1716
6
4
5
2
1
3
0
6
4
5
2
1
3
0
Peoples wish/fav lists on retail
websites e.g amazon.com
Consumers reviews on retail
sites e.g amazon.com
Comments/viewpoints on social
network sites e.g facebook.com
Blogs/Weblogs- personal blog
written by people you know
Blogs/Weblogs- professional
blog e.g engadget.com
User reviews on an online
auction site (e.g ebay.com)
16-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
Blogs/Weblogs-blog written
by people you do not know
chart
1716 1
6
4
5
2
1
3
0
6
4
5
2
1
3
0
Peoples wish/fav lists on retail
websites e.g amazon.com
Consumers reviews on retail
sites e.g amazon.com
Comments/viewpoints on social
network sites e.g facebook.com
Blogs/Weblogs- personal blog
written by people you know
Blogs/Weblogs- professional
blog e.g engadget.com
User reviews on an online
auction site (e.g ebay.com)
Male
Female
How much you trust strangers online is more likely to be
determined by nationality and the resulting cultural, social
and technological differences as demonstrated in
Figure 19 – the levels of trust for social recommendations
in some key developed and emerging markets and the
differences are very clear.
Levels of trust are significantly higher in South Korea, where
massive government investment has created the most
connected and broadband proficient country in the world,
leading to the highest levels of social media and content
generation of any of the developed markets. The result is an
ecosystem of influence, where the opinions of strangers are
extremely well trusted.
Trust is next highest in China and Brazil where uptake of
social media is also extremely high. Trust here is significantly
higher than in the US, UK or Japan. There are also cultural
factors at play: in China the collective is still important
despite the in-roads of capitalism while in Brazil culture is
more shared and open.
Japan, despite very high levels of technology, shows that
culture and social factors are also important as levels of
trust are much lower than South Korea. Friend networks in
Japan tend to be much smaller and there are stricter rules
of conduct about interacting with people not familiar to you.
The UK and the US have almost identical levels of trust and
both are significantly lower than the average particularly
in the unregulated environments of blogs and social
networks. This reflects lower levels of participation in
content generation and a culture where strangers have been
increasingly depicted in the mass media as a threat.
Proliferation of influencer channels cont.
What’s the best digital camera at
the moment? How much can you
get it for in Japan?
Matsui, Japan
Henry, Australia
39
19
6
7
4
5
2
1
3
0
Figure 19: Trust by country, Global Average
Trust by country
Blogs/Weblogs-blog written
by people you do not know
Peoples wish/fav lists on retail
websites e.g amazon.com
Consumers reviews on retail
sites e.g amazon.com
Comments/viewpoints on social
network sites e.g facebook.com
Blogs/Weblogs- personal blog
written by people you know
Blogs/Weblogs- professional
blog e.g engadget.com
User reviews on an online
auction site (e.g ebay.com)
Brazil
China
Japan
South Korea
UK
US
The rise of social media
•	Has turned hundreds of millions of us into content 	 	
	 creators and placed billions of opinions online
•	The world’s collective thinking is now online and 		 	
	 published, a first in history
•	A total revolution in the way consumers share
	 influence and opinion
Digital friends
•	Digital channels have moved more of our social 	 	 	
	 interactions into the virtual space and into text and the 	 	
	 written word
•	The web has expanded our networks to include people we 	
	 don’t know and people we used to know and in a pre web 	
	 age we would have lost contact with
•	Digital channels encourage more frequent interaction and 	
	 make it easier to share influence e.g through sending 	 	
	 links, videos or pictures
Proliferation of influence channels
•	The continual rise of social media and the growth of 	 	
	 mechanisms for user input have created an incredible 	 	
	 wealth of outlets to share opinions and thoughts
•	There is a new form of casual influence – It is now 	 	
	 incredibly easy to share opinion, from voting buttons,
	 to wish lists to comments. These are powerful forms
	 of influence that do not require much commitment
•	We now trust a strangers recommendation as much as
	 our closest friends
•	We trust recommendations in social media channels
	 more than paid-for communications
The new influencer landscape:
the summary
41
Social Shopping
New social shopping and recommendation sites
have emerged, built entirely around the consumer
recommendation. It’s social networking meets shopping,
aiming to connect you with products you would never
find in Wal-Mart. Currently they are biased towards the
US and English language, but expect them to proliferate
across the world:
www.crowdstorm.com	 www.kaboodle.com
www.stylehive.com	 www.thisnext.com
www.wists.com	 www.osoyou.com
Recommendation Aggregation
Services are evolving to transmit your recommendations into
one place, pulling them from across the web.
Participating sites share your purchases and selections into
your Facebook news stream. For example if you buy a movie
ticket on Fandango, watch it appear as news on Facebook.
Highly controversial on launch due to privacy concerns –
watch what you buy your girlfriend as a birthday surprise.
Friendfeed aggregates all your feeds from across social
media into one place. Favourite a YouTube video, add a
product to your Amazon wish list or post photos onto Flickr –
everything appears in one chronological feed for your friends
to see.
Recommendation through behaviour
What you buy or do will influence others through the data
mining of actual behaviour. Expect the sophistication of these
recommendation engines to improve every move you make
online to contribute to recommendations systems, creating a
system where you influence without even trying.
Netflix: The US DVD rental service has launched a $1m prize
to improve its recommendation algorithm that works out
whether you’d like a film or not.
Amazon: The global retailer uses collaborative filtering
algorithms to give you relevant product recommendations
based on real life purchasing. One reason why Amazon has
stayed on top.
The new influencer landscape:
the future
4343
Shashi, India
Somyot, Thailand
Manpreet, China
Hayley, UK
➜ The influence economy
➜ The democratisation of influence
➜ The new super influencers
The impact
Hugh, Canada
45
The influence economy
The social web has enabled every web user to have the
chance to contribute their opinions on products and services.
But this impact is not uniform across all types of information,
products and services. Figure 20 shows the impact the
social web has had on our ability to share opinions and
information by category. The most striking observation is that
the participation rates for reviewing online are extremely high
across all categories.
The leading categories are those which are highest
participation; films, music, technology and books. Subjects
we all experience, have made a major impact in e-commerce
and all have an opinion on, regardless of expert knowledge.
The big surprise is the high levels of contribution in sectors that
you would traditionally consider low interest, such as utilities
or financial services. In addition consumers are just as willing
to comment on services and products they can’t buy online.
Categories such as alcoholic drinks, groceries and cosmetics
are still heavily reviewed, indicating that the impacts of
consumer opinion are being felt regardless of the sector.
The implication of this is that all products are now exposed
to higher levels of consumer scrutiny pre-purchase; they
have to be more open, transparent and honest. Bad practice
or poor service will be reported and will enter the purchase
decision process. Brands today are involved in social and
conversational media, whether they like it or not.
Figure 20: “Thinking about the following types of products, brands or services. Can you please indicate
whether you have reviewed them online, either a positive, average or negative opinion”, Global Average
What I have recommended online
U
tilities
e.g.gas
37.38%
Alcoholic
drinks
38%
N
on
alcoholic
beverages
38.64%
Groceries
39.46%
Personalhealthcare
41.79%
Food
43.1%Financialproducts
43.14%
H
om
e
appliances
e.g.Freezers
43.95%
Fashion
e.g.clothing/shoes
45.72%
Cars/autom
obiles
46.44%
Gam
es
consoles/gam
ing
47.14%
H
olidays/destinations
49.713%
Com
putersoftware
53.09%
Travele.g.flights/trains
50.48%
Books
53.21%
M
obile
phone
service
54.32%
Portable
technology
e.g.M
P3
54.38%
H
om
e
technology
e.g.TV’s/PC
56.8%
M
usic
57.17%
Film
s
59.28%
Property/realestate
36.93%
Cosm
etics40.89%
70
0
%Everreviewedonline
The influence economy cont.
Using films as an example, a clear global pattern emerges
demonstrating the places where the influencer economy
is currently strongest (Figure 21). As films are universally
viewed worldwide, regardless of income, this is a sensible
measure to pull out the extent of involvement in the
influence economy.
The leading markets are predominately Asian; South Korea,
Hong Kong, Philippines, India, Pakistan and China.
This shows that extremely high participation rates in social
media are spilling over into direct recommendations
on products and brands. The only exception to the Asian
dominance is Brazil, a country that is obsessed with
social networking.
Participation rates fall dramatically for Europe and North
America, which is not due to any less love for film but more
of an indication that the more developed web markets
haven’t embraced the consumer influence revolution with
the same level of enthusiasm. Factors in this include a more
developed mass of traditional media to provide influence,
a legacy of passive web usage prior to social media and
the growth of experts on to the web to share their opinions
in a manner more like traditional media. It’s no coincidence
that blogs in Asia have been employed as a social channel,
while in the US and Europe they are more likely to be
a channel to project your opinions to the many, a reason
why thousands of micro-publishers have emerged in the
blogging environment.
This analysis indicates that levels of opinion contribution
are a reflection of overall usage of social media. It is also
clear that culture plays a factor. In Asia and even more so
in Chinese influenced communities, hierarchical societies
predominate and sharing opinions face to face is not as
accepted as it is in the more individualistic societies of
Europe and North America. The web has acted as an outlet
for these opinions allowing the new influencer landscape to
bypass traditional hierarchies.
I saw Hancock at the
cinema last Friday.
Will Smith is awesome.
You must go to see it!
Diederik, Netherlands
47
Figure 21: “Thinking about the following types of products, brands or services.
Can you please indicate whether you have reviewed them online, either a positive,
average or negative opinion”, Films Category
Have you ever reviewed a film online?
Philippines
87.04%
Greece
51.2%
Rom
ania
37.2%
Japan
40.52%
100
0
Austria
67.73%
Italy
58.1%
China
78.26%
Poland
65.59%
Pakistan
81%
M
exico
67.27%
India
82.2%
Germ
any
69.67%
M
alaysia
71.43%
H
ong
Kong
88.04%
South
Korea
95.53%
Taiwan
74%
Brazil87.68%
U
K
48.9%
H
ungary
36.99%
N
etherlands
41.42%
Canada
50.973%
Turkey
52.6%
Russia
52.76%
Czech
52.8%
Switzerland
53.6%
U
S
54.33%Australia
55%
France
36.85%
Spain
55.84%
Denm
ark
49.6%
%Everreviewedonline
Figure 22: “Which of the following types of products and services have you researched online before choosing to buy?”, Global Average
The influencer economy cont.
When it comes to sourcing information, there are significant
differences by category with larger variations by category
than for the sharing information. The result being that some
categories are very high in sharing and low in sourcing and
vice versa. The leading category, ‘holiday and destinations’
is the lead category for sourcing information but very few
people actually share their own experiences.
The leading products after holidays and destinations are
home technology, travel and portable technology; not only
high interest, but products that have been strongly impacted
by e-commerce. Following travel and technology films,
music and books are the next most popular, all important
in the sharing of information, making them very active
categories in the influence economy.
Interestingly the products that are low in terms of sourcing
information are also low categories for e-commerce, such
as groceries, beverages, healthcare and cosmetics – all
impulse or immediate need products that rarely have a
significant consideration period. However these are all
categories we have reviewed online – showing a disconnect
in contribution versus sourcing,
The other interesting observation is the number of people
who have researched ‘big ticket’ items such as cars
and property is still significant. This is important as it
demonstrates that consumer influence on the web is also
impacting long-term branding.
What I have researched online
Alcoholic
drinks
12.3%
Groceries
(non
food
e.g
cleaning
products)15.5%
U
tilities
e.g
gas
electricity
etc
16.1%
Groceries
(food)18.7%
Cosm
etics
27.5%
Property/RealEstate
29.7%
Financialproducts
(e.g
creditcards/banking/insurance)31.14%
Fashion
(clothing/shoes)35%
Gam
es
Consoles/Gam
ing
36.9%
H
om
e
appliances
e.g
Fridges/freezers
39.1%
Cars/Autom
obiles
43.7%
Books
46.2%
Film
s
49.8%
M
usic
48.8%
Com
puterSoftware
52.3%
M
obile
phone
service
56%
Portable
technology
e.g
M
P3
players/M
obile
Phones
56.6%
Travel-i.e
flights/trains
56.9%
H
om
e
Technology
e.g
TV’s/PC
58.4%
H
olidays/Destinations
61.9%
N
on
alcoholic
beverages
9.1%
PersonalH
ealthcare
(e.g
m
edicines
contactlenses
etc)24.1%
70
0
%Researchedonline
49
Theresa, Azores
Tom, UK
The Azores are absolutely
fantastic! I’ve seen some
whales today...
Democratisation of influence
Figure 23 shows the impact of the new influencer landscape
– when asked whether we see ourselves as influencers or
receivers on a number of product categories, we now claim
to be influencers or receivers across a huge number of
categories both on and offline.
Firstly the extent to which we consider ourselves influencers
is much higher across all categories than would be expected
and is now similar to the extent that we consider ourselves to
be receivers – this is a direct result of the ease of access for
sharing influence. Secondly there is a correlation between
the categories that are most popular for sharing information
online and the ones that we now consider ourselves to be
influencers in – music, film, books and technology. These
are the categories most dependent on personal taste. This
shows how important the web is in shaping the influence
economy.
Groceries and drinks prove the exception to the rule as
they are products that we are all knowledgeable about
and consequently have always been rich in our verbal
conversations, however they don’t fit into our online
conversations, mainly because they are impulse products
without a long purchase process.
Looking at the categories where we are predominately
receivers, it is the categories that are less dictated by
personal choice and more about in-depth knowledge. They
are the fields that are traditionally low interest and dictated
by experts, such as property, finance, cars and cosmetics.
However the impact of the new world of influence can
even be seen here: although they rank last, they are still
all over 40%; a reflection of a consumer who has access
to unprecedented volumes of knowledge, opinion and fact
online. This will no doubt increase over time, eroding the
power of the experts and bringing consumer influence into
all categories.
Rolandas, Lithuania
51
Figure 23: “Thinking about the following type of products, brands and services, which of the following statements apply?
I often inform others on what to buy / I sometimes inform others on what to buy / I sometimes ask others what products
to buy /I would always ask others about what products to buy ”, Global Average
The categories I influence in
Receivers Influencers
-80 800
Groceries (food)
Non alcoholic beverages
Music
Films
Books
Mobile phone service
Groceries (non food e.g cleaning products)
Home Technology e.g TV’s/PC
Fashion (clothing/ shoes)
Portable technology e.g MP3 players/ Mobile Phones[Always ask
Holidays/ Destinations
Alcoholic drinks
Home appliances e.g Fridges/ freezers
Travel
Personal Healthcare (e.g medicines contact lenses etc)[Always ask
Computer Software
Utilities e.g gas electricity etc[Always ask others]
Games Consoles/ Gaming
Cosmetics
Cars/ Automobiles
Financial products (e.g credit cards/ banking/ insurance)[Always
Property/Real Estate[Often inform others]
Always ask
Sometimes ask
Sometimes inform
Often inform
Democratisation of influence cont.
The true picture of the democratisation of influence can be
seen in the number of categories that we claim to influence
in. Figure 24 shows that we consider ourselves to be
influencers across several categories. The peak of influence
around 12-14 categories is much higher than would have
been expected before the advent of the web. Visually it can
be seen that the pattern of influencers is top heavy, the
majority influence in 10+ categories, which is much higher
than the mid point for sourcing information - we now claim
to share more than we receive.
More importantly this contradicts the idea that we live in a
simplistic world where there is a small group of “influencers”
who dictate their agenda to everyone else. The truth is
everybody influences and receives information across a
huge number of categories and thanks to social media
this trend has been amplified. The reality today is much
more complicated.
Michael, Denmark Tara, USA
Arne-Inge, Norway
Riham, Egypt
Jennie, UK
Urban, Sweden
Mihai, Romania
Tadek, Poland
53
Figure 24: “Thinking about the following type of products, brands and services, which of the following
statements apply? I often inform others on what to buy / I sometimes inform others on what to buy /
I sometimes ask others what products to buy /I would always ask others about what products to buy”,
Global Average cumulative number of categories
The number of categories I influence in
Number of categories influence/source
-15 -10 -5 100 5
20+
19
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Source
Influence
The new super influencers
Now we all influence – the real indication of a true influencer
is someone who does it regardless of category, so if we
look at respondents who claim to strongly influence in
15+ categories, we can see the emergence of a super
influencer. This is a new kind of influencer who, thanks
to social media and the tools it provides to create and share
influence emerges above the clutter of mass influence
to spread opinion far and wide.
Figure 25 shows how they are more likely to be male, 25-34
and be mid or senior influential office workers. They are also
more likely to be highly educated.
Basically in the knowledge heavy, written world of the web,
intelligence and computer literacy are major factors in
spreading significant influence.
Super Influencer
demographic
Figure 25: Super
Influencer demographics
indexed agsinst all
respondents
Index against all active internet users
The new influencers
50 70 90 110 130 150 170 190
Male
Female
16 – 24
25 – 34
35 – 44
45 – 54
Student
Office Junior
Office (Mid Manager)
Office (Senior Manager)
Non Office
Housewife
Unemployed
Other
Primary School
Some Secondary School
Full Secondary School
College
University
Post Graduate
Index aginst all active internet users
The new influencers
100 110 120 130 140 150 160
First amongst friends/family to try new products/services
I like taking risks
I spend a lot of time out and about with friends
When buying products, friends often ask my opinion
I pursue a life of challenge, novelty and change
Always looking for new products/services to try
I have a keen sense of adventure
I often do things on the spur of the moment
I want to get to the very top of my career
I seize opportunities when they arise
I try hard to stay in contact with friends/acquaintances
I’m an optimist
I’m interested in other cultures
People must take me as they find me
I enjoy good quality things
Important to keep well informed about things
The new super influencers fit the typical profile of early
adopters who are likely to try new products, take risks and
share their opinions with friends. The top statements are as
you would expect; first amongst friends to try new products;
I like taking risks; I spend a lot of time out and about with
friends; when buying products my friends ask my opinion.
55
Figure 26: Lifestyle statements indexed against all respondents
Super influencer attitudes
The new super influencers
The most defining aspect is that they are extremely heavy
users of social media, particularly in terms of content
creation. Figure 27 demonstrates that they are much more
likely to blog, upload videos and photos and comment on
sites and social networks. Social media is providing them
with the tools to create and share influence and they are
doing so in massive numbers regardless of subject matter.
The top indexing social media channels for content creation
are uploading video, writing blogs and leaving a comment on
a blog site.
The new super influencers are also the lead content
generators. Social media both enables the sharing of
influence and attracts those who wish to publish and have
their opinion shared and they are utilising this opportunity
to the maximum. They are also embracing the new
channels of information such as RSS and
podcasts to bypass conventional media
channels and also listening to those that
create more than established media.
This is a real world phenomenon, which has been
demonstrated recently in the US presidential election in
2008. It has been widely credited that the creators or
creative class, as they have been tagged, helped Obama
get the democratic party nomination. The creators through
prolific blogging, twittering, social networking and content
creation generated massive influence helping to raise funds,
getting people out to vote and changing the opinions of
mainstream media.
Federico, Panama
Funda, Turkey
57
Super Influencer social media usage
Figure 27: Super Influencer social media usage indexed against all respondents
Index against all active internet users
100 120 140 160 180 200 220
Upload video clip to video sharing website
Subscribe to an RSS feed
Start my own blog/weblog
Download a podcast
Leave a comment on a blog site
Upload my photos to a photo sharing website
Make a phone call using your computer
Create a profile on a new social network
Visit a photo sharing website
Share a video clip with a friend
Manage profile on existing social network
Read blogs/weblogs
Visit a friend’s social network page
Listen to live audio/radio online
Use instant messenger
Watch video clips online
The new super influencers
Super influencers are much more likely to be motivated by
overt commercial messaging; celebrity endorsements and
direct recommendations online and in the media. Most
importantly, however, they are much more likely to want
to share opinions because a brand is fashionable or their
friends are not aware of the brand, basically they are more
overt about trying to cultivate external opinion.
This is a new creative class who are going beyond the tools
of casual influence to create rich and deep content in the
form of videos, blogs and photos. They are exercising their
right to create and spread influence and as the channels
of peer to peer recommendation and the social media grow
their role will become more important.
Super Influencer motivations
0 200100
Bad personal experience 92.71
Good personal experience 96.89
Someone you trust having a bad experience 98.92
Someone you trust having a good experience 99.59
The brand is high quality 103.24
A friend’s recommendation 104.03
The product or service is discounted 106.28
Your friend’s like the product or service 106.85
A free sample you receive 108.28
A promotion you see in a store 110.65
The brand is popular 111.97
A recommendation you receive in a store 113.02
An advertisement you find interesting  inspiring 114.04
A recommendation in the media (TV, newspapers, mags, radio) 116.05
A recommendation on the internet 116.09
The brand is unknown amongst social group 118.73
The brand is fashionable 120.75
Seen used by a celebrity/well known figure 129.98
130
Figure 28: Super Influencer motivations to recommend indexed against all respondents
New influencers
59
Super influencers are found across the globe , but there is
a clear skew towards the emerging internet markets of Latin
America and Asia Pacific. In Brazil a stunning 24% of active
internet users fall into the super influencer category. They
are followed by India, Mexico and Pakistan – demonstrating
how internet users have found their voice thanks to their
massive use of social media in these markets.
The leading developed web markets are Italy, Japan and
Spain, where just under 8% of active users fall into super
users. The Anglo markets of the US, UK and Australia have
5% of their users falling into the super influencer category.
It’s these differences that highlight how social media
adoption and levels of content creation mirror and impact
the rise of super influencers.
Super Influencers by country
Figure 29: Super Influencers by country, share of active users
Japan
7.8%
M
exico
15.2%
Czech
7%
Greece
11.8%
South
Korea
7.7%
Philippines
13.3%
Spain
7.7%
Pakistan
15%
Italy
7.8%China
8.1%
Brazil24.7%
Turkey
11.2%
India
17.6%
30
0
Canada
4.3%
%shareofactiveinternetusers
N
etherlands
2.2%
H
ungary
2.3%
H
ong
Kong
3.3%
Austria
4%
Russia
4.5%U
S
4.8%
Australia
5%U
K
5%
Poland
5.4%Rom
ania
5.5%
France
5.6%Switzerland
5.6%
Taiwan
5.8%
Denm
ark
2%
Germ
any
6.3%
The impact:
summary
The influence economy
•	Overall participation rates for contributing opinions,
thoughts and content on products and brands is extremely
high. This means all brands have to react to the influence
economy – becoming more open, more transparent and
more active in social and conversational media
•	Different product categories have significantly different 	 	
	 exposure to the power of the influencer landscape
•	Even low interest, expert categories such as finance, 	
real estate and insurance have high participation rates
•	Music, films and technology are the categories 	
most talked about online
•	Holidays and travel are the most sought after 	
for information
•	Asia and emerging internet markets are leading the way 	
in contributing opinion to the influencer economy
The democratisation of influence
•	We are more likely to be influencers than receivers in the 		
	 age of social media
•	Consumers the world over now claim influence in a huge 		
	 number of categories
•	The key categories for broad influence are the same as 	 	
	 the key categories for online recommendation with the 	 	
	 exception of groceries and food
The new super influencers
•	Are the most the active in social media
•	They are much more likely to create and share 	
	 rich content
•	As the channels they contribute to continue to rise in	
	 importance so does their impact in the universe 	
	 of influence
•	This is the new creative class; the bloggers, the video 	 	
	 uploaders, the photo sharers
•	Their influence is now very real. Look at impact of bloggers	
	 on the professional media and the impact creators had on 	
	 the election of Obama and the French elections
61
Michelle, UK
Jai, Dubai
Charlotte, UK
Dorota, Poland
New world of transparency
•	There are no secrets in the new world of influence
	 brands, products and services are under constant scrutiny
•	The truth cannot be managed in the way it was when
	 a few gatekeepers controlled the distribution
	 of information
•	The only path is honesty, openness and transparency.
	 If you make a mistake in the new world of influence –
	 you admit it and make good
•	Control has to be loosened – let consumers discuss,
	 share and interact with your brand
•	All categories of goods and services are now impacted
	 by the new economy of influence and have to respond to
	 a world where consumer opinion shapes the agenda
Be part of the conversation
•	The new world of influence needs a more conversational
	 approach; advertising should encourage interaction, input
	 and community
•	This means having a blog, being in social networks,
	 creating content such as photos, videos etc – generally
	 being part of the conversation
•	Exist inside the social media services that consumers
	 spend their time in and source their influence from
•	Don’t be scared to advertise in bottom up conversational
	 media that consumers are generating.
•	Advertising has a big role in the future world of influence –
it provides the revenue for most of the services that enable
and cultivate consumer recommendation
Final thoughts
Hello Hayley, do you
know where I can get
tickets for Madonna Tour?
I love the new album
also thanks for telling me
about it
Hi Spyros, you mentioned
you were buying a TV –
check out www.reevoo.
com http://www.
reevoo.com/ before
you do
Hayley, UK
Spyros, Greece
Hayley
Spyros
6363
Everybody matters
•	Today everybody should be considered an influencer to
	 some extent – we all influence and receive to some degree
•	Every target audience should be encouraged to share
	 opinions and influence
Reaching out to the creators
•	The creators are the new super influencers, the ones that
	 make the most of the tools of social media. Bloggers,
	 video creators, podcasters etc should be considered as
	 some of the most powerful voices in the future
hi, check out www.xbox.
com http://www.xbox.
com/ – “Too Human”
is going to be released on
the 29th August 2008 I recently purchased 10
CDs online and saved a
small fortune.
did you see that top Kate
Moss was wearing? have
you seen anything like
that anywhere?
Who do you bank with?
I have just waited on the
phone for 20minutes my
bank are driving me crazy
Monica, Spain
Hugh, Canada
Federico, Panama
Gianfranco, Italy
Monica
Gianfranco
Hugh
Frederico
Moving forward
“When did we start trusting strangers?” is part of Universal
McCann’s ongoing global research programme aimed at
exploring the impacts of the massive changes
in communications technologies.
This is the second in a series of in-depth studies. The first
major in-depth study “Anytime, Anyplace” looked at mobile
phones and portable technology, in particular demand for
content , services and the role of advertising.
In parallel to the in-depth topics we also run a Social
Media tracker to access the ongoing impact of social media.
Wave 3 of this survey was released in March 2008 and
Wave 4 is scheduled for quarter 4 2008.
All reports can be downloaded at
www.universalmccann.com
For any questions on the
research please contact
tom.smith@umww.com
Tom Smith
Head of Consumer
Futures EMEA
Sue, UK
65
Yvonne, Switzerland
Hanley, Czech Republic
What does this mean for your business?
“When did we start trusting strangers?” is an in-depth study
and there are many aspects of analysis that we are unable to
cover in this report.
If you want to know how to operate in the new influencer
landscape and what this means for your business please
contact us at consultancy@umww.com and we can share
the key results and impact for your brand or business:
• Who is the influencer in your business category?
• What marketing communications work for
your influencers?
• What they do online?
• What they create, what they view, what they share?
• What does it mean for your marketing communications?
• What are the implications for your business?
HomeTechnologyGroceriesMusic
FashionUtilitiesBooks
Mobile Phone
Service
Cosmetics
Phone
vice
smetics
HolidayDestinations
Cars/Automobiles
Property/Real Estate
GamesConsolesFilms
Home
Appliances
Travel
67
Personal
Healthcare
Computer Software
Alcoholic Drinks
Financial
Products
Portable
Technology
67
Universal McCann © 2008

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When Did We Start Trusting Strangers? (Universal-McCann Research)

  • 1. 1 September 2008 29 countries 17,000 internet users © Universal McCann 2008 When did we start trusting strangers? How the internet turned us all into influencers
  • 2.
  • 3. 3 Introduction ➜ No strangers anymore Welcome to the new influence landscape ➜ The rise of social media ➜ Digital friends ➜ Proliferation of influencer channels The impact ➜ The influence economy ➜ The democratisation of influence ➜ The new super influencers Contents
  • 4.
  • 5. 5 This unique perspective comes from data collected in the third instalment of Universal McCann’s global digital research programme “Wave”. The research was completed among 17,000 active internet users in 29 countries – making it one of the most wide reaching investigations into the subject of influence and word of mouth. Respondents are provided by the world’s leading online panel companies, all recruited to strict ESOMAR standards. Every market is representative by age and sex to the 16-54 Active Internet Universe. Quotas and universe sizes were established from local data sources such as TGI and Simmons. They are the audience that matter as they are involved in the new influence economy. To qualify as a member of the Active Internet Universe the respondent needs to be using the Internet everyday or every other day. They are the audience that matter to current and future of marketing communications and represent the consumer that are driving the new influence landscape. Methodology Australia Austria Canada Chile China Czech Republic France Germany Greece Hong Kong Hungary India Italy Japan Netherlands Romania Pakistan Philippines Poland Russia Spain Switzerland Taiwan Turkey UK USA
  • 6. Long before the concept of marketing existed our sourcesLong before the concept of marketing existed our sources of information were limited. What we now tag “Word ofof information were limited. What we now tag “Word of Mouth” was the only source of information outside religion,Mouth” was the only source of information outside religion,Mouth” was the only source of information outside religion, the monarchy and the state. People’s lives were localisedthe monarchy and the state. People’s lives were localised and the information that impacted on their main decisions. Then came newspapers, radio and the television set; mass media created exposure to influences beyond the ancient controllers of information.controllers of information. However this influence was still professional and top down –However this influence was still professional and top down – the news reader, the columnist and the expert. Mass mediathe news reader, the columnist and the expert. Mass mediathe news reader, the columnist and the expert. Mass media offered little in terms of consumer recommendation, readers’offered little in terms of consumer recommendation, readers’offered little in terms of consumer recommendation, readers’ letters in newspapers and magazines or phone-ins on TV andletters in newspapers and magazines or phone-ins on TV and radio shows were as far as consumer influence went.radio shows were as far as consumer influence went.radio shows were as far as consumer influence went.radio shows were as far as consumer influence went.radio shows were as far as consumer influence went. Peer to peer interactions remained localised and face to face.Peer to peer interactions remained localised and face to face.Peer to peer interactions remained localised and face to face.Peer to peer interactions remained localised and face to face.Peer to peer interactions remained localised and face to face. Then along came the web and a revolution began. In theThen along came the web and a revolution began. In theThen along came the web and a revolution began. In theThen along came the web and a revolution began. In the early days, bulletin boards, chat rooms and home brewearly days, bulletin boards, chat rooms and home brewearly days, bulletin boards, chat rooms and home brew websites allowed those technically in the know to project theirwebsites allowed those technically in the know to project their thoughts and opinions. More recently social media such as blogs, social networks, photo or video sharing sites and wikisblogs, social networks, photo or video sharing sites and wikis have opened the door to consumer publishing and hundreds of millions have embraced it. Today the web is driven by its’ users and peoples’ thoughts onToday the web is driven by its’ users and peoples’ thoughts onToday the web is driven by its’ users and peoples’ thoughts on everything, including products and brands, personal blogs, toeverything, including products and brands, personal blogs, toeverything, including products and brands, personal blogs, to reviews on price comparison sites and wish lists on Amazon.reviews on price comparison sites and wish lists on Amazon.reviews on price comparison sites and wish lists on Amazon. It is now incredibly easy to share opinions and cultivateIt is now incredibly easy to share opinions and cultivateIt is now incredibly easy to share opinions and cultivate influence, often without even trying. The result has been theinfluence, often without even trying. The result has been theinfluence, often without even trying. The result has been the democratisation of influence. This is a fundamental change in the way we source andThis is a fundamental change in the way we source andThis is a fundamental change in the way we source andThis is a fundamental change in the way we source and share opinions and today anyone can wield influence farshare opinions and today anyone can wield influence farshare opinions and today anyone can wield influence farshare opinions and today anyone can wield influence far beyond their immediate social group. In the old days thebeyond their immediate social group. In the old days thebeyond their immediate social group. In the old days thebeyond their immediate social group. In the old days the conversations we had with our immediate peers generallyconversations we had with our immediate peers generallyconversations we had with our immediate peers generallyconversations we had with our immediate peers generally stayed inside that network; today opinions and experiencesstayed inside that network; today opinions and experiencesstayed inside that network; today opinions and experiencesstayed inside that network; today opinions and experiences are shared worldwide. Never before have we been exposedare shared worldwide. Never before have we been exposedare shared worldwide. Never before have we been exposed to so many opinions and recommendations from so manyto so many opinions and recommendations from so manyto so many opinions and recommendations from so many people - most of whom are complete strangers, without thepeople - most of whom are complete strangers, without thepeople - most of whom are complete strangers, without thepeople - most of whom are complete strangers, without thepeople - most of whom are complete strangers, without thepeople - most of whom are complete strangers, without thepeople - most of whom are complete strangers, without the aura of expertise or celebrity recognition.aura of expertise or celebrity recognition. The result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyoneThe result is an influence economy that is forcing everyone in the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products andin the public realm including the owners of products and brands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversationalbrands to become more transparent, open, conversational and honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence isand honest. They have to rethink the way that influence is distributed and the role of marketing communications.distributed and the role of marketing communications.distributed and the role of marketing communications. No Strangers Anymore
  • 7. Agnes, France Graham, UK Dmitri, Russia Carlos, Brazil 7
  • 8. No Strangers Anymore cont. Yvonne, Switzerland This study demonstrates through a unique global research project in 29 countries that things have changed forever. In the new influencer landscape there are five fundamental changes that every brand and marketer will have to acknowledge. Anyone can influence anyone: We now trust strangers as much as our closest friends. Friendship is no longer local or face to face: It’s becoming distant and virtualised. Everybody is an influencer: The power to influence no longer belongs to the experts or “those in the know”. The idea that we live in a simplistic world where there is a small group of “influencers” who dictate the agenda to everyone else is no longer true thanks to social media. We all share influence today whether we actively mean to or not. New super influencers rise above the mass: Not all consumer influencers are equal. A new breed of “super influencers” has been created by the tools of the social media revolution. The new influence ecosystem has fundamentally changedThe new influence ecosystem has fundamentally changed how we buy products and services: There is a new level of transparency and truth that all public institutions, companies and brands have to adhere to. Darren, UK
  • 9. 9 Welcome to the new influence landscape ➜➜ The rise of social mediaThe rise of social media ➜ Digital friends ➜ Proliferation of influencer channels 3 key trends Scott, USA Michael, Germany Olga, Greece Brendan, Hungary Teresa, Canada
  • 10.
  • 11. 11 The rise of social media From its inception the internet has allowed consumers to create content in a manner that was never possible in the age of mass media where TV, radio and press belonged to the professionals. The web reduced the barriers to production and opened up the channels of distribution to anyone with a desire to create content or share their thoughts and opinions. In the early days it required technical knowledge, experience and a substantial investment in computing and the impact was limited to the geek community. In the last few years these barriers have disappeared and consumer content and opinion has exploded due to the emergence of mass market social media platforms like YouTube, Blogger and MySpace. These developments combined with the ever falling costs of computing and broadband have enabled a global revolution in consumers publishing their content and thinking. This rise of social media has created hundreds of millions of content creators as demonstrated by data from our Global Social Media Tracker in Figure 1. This shows massive growth in a very short period of time and users have gradually moved from passive consumers to active creators. Writing blogs has risen from 28% to 44%, creating a social network page has grown from 27.3% to 57.5% and uploading a video clip from 10% to 42%. The result is billions of thoughts and opinions online and available for anyone to read. Figure 1: “Social Media adoption over time (Waves 1 – 3)” Global Average Source: Universal McCann Social Media Tracker – Power to the People Social Media adoption over time (Waves 1 – 3) Read blogs/weblogs Start my own blog/weblog Leave a comment on a blog site Upload my photos to a photo sharing site Upload a video clip to a video sharing site Watch video clips online Create a profile on a social network 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Wave 1 Sep 06 %Everdone Wave 2 Jun 07 Wave 3 Mar 08
  • 12. Figure 2:Figure 2: “What do you do with your social network profile?”“What do you do with your social network profile?” Social Network Users, Global Average. Source: Universal McCannSocial Network Users, Global Average. Source: Universal McCann Social Media Tracker – Power to the PeopleSocial Media Tracker – Power to the People % added to your social network page Install applications 23.3% Upload photos 55.1%Write a blog 30.8% Upload videos 21.9% Favourite / currently listened to music 33.6% Promote a band 9.8% Figure 2:Figure 2: Social Network Users, Global Average. Source: Universal McCannSocial Network Users, Global Average. Source: Universal McCann Social Media Tracker – Power to the PeopleSocial Media Tracker – Power to the People % added to your social network page The scale of this revolution is demonstrated by Figures 2 and 3, which show the extent of content that social network users and bloggers are uploading. It is clear that social media has become a platform for directly sharing opinion and thoughts; 34% of social network users are sharing opinions on music, 31% are writing a blog inside their profile and almost 10% have promoted a band. They are also sharing content; 55% are sharing photos, 22% are uploading videos and 23% are uploading applications, all of which project opinions and endorse brands if included. The rise of social media cont. What I do with my social network profile Glen, UK Hugh, Canada
  • 14. % posted to your blog Figure 3: “When writing a blog, which of the following do you post?” Blog writers only, Global Average. Source: Universal McCann Social Media Tracker – Power to the People Videos 24% Recommended websites 32% Upload music 20% Favourite/ currently listened to music 29% Opinions on products and brands 28% Stories from other blogs 23% Widgets 14% Photos 50% Bloggers are also very active in terms of sharing opinions and recommendations; 32% have shared recommended websites, 29% their favourite music and 28% opinions on products and brands. This is a massive volume of opinion that is fuelling the new influence landscape. The rise of social media cont. Spyros – Greece What do I post on my blog?
  • 15. 15 Have you seen the new Universal McCann website? Check it out www.universalmccann.com 15 Federico – Panama
  • 16. Email 99% Instant messenger 81.6% Social network 58% VOIP 51.3% Digital friends Since its inception as a closed academic and military network the web has had a major impact on the way its users communicate and the nature of the social networks they maintain. In 2008, 1.5bn people are online and the impact of the internet has spread into the way we interact and communicate as a society. Figure 4 shows the penetration of different communications platforms; email is universally used and instant messenger is adopted by more than 80% of users world-wide. This has moved billions of personal interactions into the virtual and written word, where it is much easier to spread influence and communication is much more frequent and casual. What is interesting is the extent to which social media is beginning to rival its more established equivalents, with nearly 58% having joined a network. But more importantly, as Figure 5 shows, these users are communicating in new ways, with 66% using them to stay in contact with existing friends, 42% using them to meet new people and 18% for dating. This is a fundamental shift and movement towards virtual communications platform as a way of broadening friend networks. Figure 4: “Thinking about the Internet, which of the following have you done?”, Global Average. Source: Universal McCann Social Media Tracker – Power to the People How I communicate online
  • 17. Figure 5: “What do you do with your social networking profile?”, Global Average. Source: Universal McCann Social Media Tracker – Power to the People Dating 18.3% Meet new friends 42% Stay in contact with existing friends 58% 17 How I use social networks
  • 18. 100 0 France 48.6% Pakistan 67.7% Turkey 43.6% Brazil61% M alaysia 46.9% Taiwan 64.4% Spain 47.5% Italy 65.9% H ong Kong 53.8% South Korea 57.3% M exico 72.9% Philippines 73.1% China 60.1% India 70.2% U K 25.8% %Agree Denm ark 17.6% Australia 21.8% U S 24% Canada 24.3% Austria 27.7% H ungary 27.9% Germ any 28.2% Switzerland 30.8% Poland 32.5% Japan 34.9% Russia 35%Czech 36%Greece 39.4% N etherlands 14.2% Rom ania 42.3% Digital friends cont. The rise of social platforms has created important new channels for peer to peer interaction. Figure 6 and Figure 7 show the global response to the statements, “blogging is important to socialise with friends” and “I use social networks to meet new people”, which indicate the social impact of both these platforms. Both are now perceived as important platforms for socialising with friends, pushing more of our interactions into the virtual world and expanding our friend networks to include new people and old friends we would have previously lost contact with. The global impact is not geographically uniform and there are large distinctions by country, with fast-growing emerging internet markets leading the way, such as the Philippines, Mexico and India. In these countries social platforms have been enthusiastically embraced among web users, thanks Figure 6: Agree with the statement “Blogging is important to socialise with friends” Blogging is important to socialise with friends
  • 19. Use social networks to meet new people M exico 73.5% Canada 25.3% Japan 27% 100 0 H ong Kong 46.8% Germ any 44.6% South Korea 58.7% Taiwan 46.2% China 63.6% Rom ania 46.5% Brazil69.7% Russia 48.8% Italy 52.2% India 75.8%Philippines 79.7% Poland 58.1% Pakistan 75% U K 28.8% %Agree N etherlands 24.1% Australia 27% Greece 32.2% Switzerland 32.8% France 33.7% Turkey 37.8%Denm ark 38.2% Austria 39.4% Spain 42.2%M alaysia 42.9% Czech 24% H ungary 44.1% U S 29.3% 19 to a multitude of factors including low cost of entry, less competition from traditional media, a poor legacy of fixed line communications and a younger and relatively more affluent profile. This is reflected in their enthusiasm for these platforms as social channels. There are also large distinctions in developed internet markets, 58% of South Korea web users and 66% in Italy see blogging as a platform for socialising compared to 26% in the UK and 24% in the US. These are differences that reflect broader patterns of adoption of social media and cultural differences in role of the web in life. The key factor is that the social web is increasingly adopted as a core social platform by hundreds of millions of users worldwide. This dramatically affects the exposure to channels of influence and the nature of the social groups we maintain. Figure 7: Agree with the statement “I use social networks to meet new people”
  • 20. Digital friends cont. The evolution of the web as a social platform and primary communication channel has had a dramatic impact on the scale and nature of our friendship networks. Figure 8 shows the global average number of friends and personal acquaintances we maintain via different forms of communication including face to face, digital and letters. The amazing truth is that the web has massively expanded the size of our social platforms and virtualised a large proportion of our daily contact. Today, although we still maintain an average of 35 friendships face to face, it is rapidly being equalled by email with an average of 32, social networks with 30 and Instant Messenger with 29. Interestingly these all rank above SMS or phone calls, which shows that PC based internet is for expanding networks, while mobile is for maintaining current ones. The nature of friendship is changing from voice to text and written word. This is a significant change in the ability to influence and share opinions as it’s much easier to do in text – communication is more frequent and can include additional information like links, videos and photos. Figure 8: “Approximately how many people do you stay in contact with in your personal life through the following means?”, Global Average Average number of contacts via different forms of online communications Face to face Email Social network Instant Messenger Phone Text Message My personal blog Post/letter 0 60 Average number of connections maintained 35 32 30 28 26 21 13 9 Graeme, USA
  • 21. 21 There are interesting regional differences in the nature of friend networks as demonstrated by some of the major internet markets shown in figure 9: Brazil – very large friend networks, expanded further online. Brazilian web users are known as vicarious social network users thanks to an obsession with Orkut. On average they maintain 51 friendships via social networks. China – Instant Messenger leads the way as a nation of single children jump on Instant Messenger tools like QQ to socialise. On average they have 51 friends on Instant Messenger versus 28 friends face to face – a staggering shift to the virtual. Social network Instant Messenger Email Face to face My personal blog Phone Text Message Post/letter 0 60 Average number of connections maintained 51.5 48.5 45.3 38.2 26.2 24.4 17 8.6 Brazil Instant Messenger Phone Email Text Message Social network Face to face My personal blog Post/letter 0 60 Average number of connections maintained 49 33.6 32.2 31.7 31.3 27.5 26.1 12.6 CHINA Average number of contacts via different forms of online communications Figure 9: “Approximately how many people do you stay in contact with in your personal life through the following means?”, key internet markets
  • 22. Digital friends cont. India – Email and mobile lead the way as Indians leapfrog fixed line networks, embracing functional communications platforms over social ones. Japan – Significantly smaller friend networks reflect the structure of society, although it one of the most virtualised with email and social networks leading face to face, but Instant Messenger lags. Email Phone Social network Face to face Text Message Instant Messenger Post/letter My personal blog Average number of connections maintained0 60 51.6 45.1 42.9 42 35.5 33.2 23.8 17.9 INDIA JAPAN Email Text Message Social network Phone Face to Face Post/Letter My personal blog Instant Messenger 0 60 Average number of connections maintained 8.5 8 7.4 7 6.5 6.3 3.8 2.9 Average number of contacts via different forms of online communications
  • 23. 23 UK – Social networks now equal the number of face-to-face relationships reflecting the massive growth of Facebook. SMS usage is level with phone calls demonstrating the popularity of messaging. US – Email just leads face-to-face relationships, but SMS yet to catch on. UK Face to face Social network Email Phone Text Message Instant Messenger My personal blog Post/letter Average number of connections maintained 0 60 30.9 30.5 25.2 21.1 20.8 20.1 9.7 7.1 USA Average number of connections maintained Email Face to face Phone Social network Instant Messenger Text Message Post/letter My personal blog 0 60 21.1 20 16.9 16.6 12.4 8.9 7.4 7.1 Average number of contacts via different forms of online communications
  • 24. Digital friends cont. % stay in contact The impact of virtual networks and digitised friends can be seen on our core day to day interactions with partners, friends, work colleagues and children. There has been a significant shift to virtual communication as shown in Figure 10. This is particularly marked within friend networks where 79% keep in touch by email, 70% by SMS, 67% by messenger and 46% by social networks. Interacting with current work colleagues is led by phone and email, where interactions tend to be more formal. Also social networks are beginning to become important as the boundaries between professional and personal continue to disapear. The most remarkable trend is the influence of the virtual connection on our most personal of relationships. Nearly 38% of respondents say they keep in contact with their partner via SMS, 30% via email and 10% via Instant Messenger. All very significant compared to the 55% who Figure 10: “How do you keep in contact with the following people”, Global Average How do I keep in contact with my partnerHow do I keep in contact with my friends 86.3% Face to face 31.1% My personal blog 79.4% Email 82.4% Phone 45.7% Social network 66.9% Instant Messenger Social network 5.8% 9.8% 7.2% 22% 30.1% Email 48.8% Phone 54.9% Face to face Post/letter My personal blog Text MessageInstant Messenger 37.9% 39.2% Post/letter 70.1% Text Message
  • 25. 25 stay in touch with a partner face to face. Staying in touch with children is a very similar pattern, remarkably 16% stay in touch by text and 13% by email, which again are very significant numbers considering just 34% have children and stay in touch face to face. This is a big shift. Think back 10 years, email was just emerging as a business tool, IM and social networks were yet to exist and SMS was nowhere. Today an increasing amount of interaction is text-based and remote. The impacts on the way we interact, communicate and build our networks are substantial and they have a major effect on the way we interface, receive and transmit recommendations. How do I keep in contact with my childrenHow do I keep in contact with my current work colleagues Post/letter 8.1% 25.7% 43% 44.4% 58% 15.1% Email Social network My personal blog 29.3% Text Message Instant Messenger Face to face Phone 8.1% 24.4% Phone 2.2% 3.7% 9.6% 13% Email 15.8% 34.1% Face to face Post/letter Social network My personal blog Text Message Instant Messenger 3.4%
  • 26. Proliferation of influencer channels The continuing rise of social media and digitisation of our friend networks has opened up a mass of new influence channels that allow consumers to voice and have their opinions heard, both amongst existing networks and more importantly among a wider audience. Consumer contribution to the web has become the norm. The result is that all sites are now incorporating social aspects that encourage consumer input and interaction and there is now a huge number of ways in which to share opinions as represented in figure 11. For example all e-commerce sites now have consumer reviews, comments and recommendations; Amazon allows users to compile wish lists of products, Ebay has consumer ratings of sellers and iTunes has consumer ratings and recommendations. This creates an environment where sharing opinions has never been so easy - a very real change in a very short space of time. The result is a situation we can call casual influence, it’s now incredibly easy to influence other consumers be it via voting buttons or creating favourites lists or even just by purchasing a product that will later become a recommendation for another consumer. There are so many tools to do this that we no longer have to really think actively about influencing. Figure 11: “Consumer influence channels – mass market age versus social media age”, Global Average Consumer influence channels – mass market age versus social media age Mass Market Age Social Media Age Talk face to face Phone call Talk to a shop worker Consult a professional Readers letters Phone in; TV / Radio Talk face to face Personal blog Comments on blogs Phone call Social network page Comments on websites Talk to a shop worker Widgets Viral emails Consult a professional Video sharing site Auction websites Readers letters Photo sharing site Wish lists Phone in; TV / Radio Chat rooms Ratings on retail sites SMS Message boards Reviews on retail sites Email Social Bookmarking Price comparison sites Instant Messenger Chat room Social shopping sites
  • 27. 27
  • 28. Hi Alistair, I’ve found this amazing golf hotel. I’ll send you details later.
  • 29. 29 Proliferation of influencer channels cont. The extent of adoption of the new influence channels can be seen in figure 12, which shows the monthly reach. Over 44% of users have shared an opinion about a product or service by Instant Messenger with a friend in the last month and 42% by email. These two show that the web is an extension of the existing relationships. Significantly social channels are also extremely popular and have very similar levels of penetration. More than 30% of people have commented on a product or service review on a blog, just above the 29% that have recommended a product or brand on a blog in the past month. Amazingly, both now rank above writing a review on an e-commerce site, a much more accessible and mainstream social channel. Figure 12: “Thinking about how you can share an opinion on a product, brand or service via the Internet. On average how often do you do the following?” Global Monthly Average How I share opinions of products, brands and services Tell someone about a product/service by Instant Messenger Tell someone about a product/service by email Comment on a product/service review on a blog/weblog Recommend a product/service on a blog/weblog Write review of product/service on ecommerce/retail site Comment on product/service review on ecommerce/retail site Post opinion on social network personal profile Write a review of a product/service on yr blog/weblog Create product wish/favs list on ecommerce/retail site Post a video clip featuring a product/service 44.5% 42.4% 30.4% 29.4% 28.9% 28.9% 27.6% 27.5% 27.4% 25.1% Monthly Average 0 50
  • 30. Proliferation of influencer channels cont. There are clear motivations for online users to share their opinions. When asked to rate different factors on a scale of 5 for importance a definitive pattern emerges among the mass market as Figure 13 shows. The most important factors being a good experience, a friend having a good experience and a quality product – demonstrating the importance in the new influence landscape of investing in a quality product. These both rank above negative experience, rebuffing the misconception that people just use the web to complain. All aspects of personal experience and personal recommendations are stronger influences than any traditional paid for communications except sampling. A clear demonstration that being active in social media will become increasingly important for brands. Interestingly for the mass market, a brand being fashionable or discovering an unknown brand is not a major driver to recommend and users would much rather comment and pass judgement on something that is already known and familiar. This is because we are more familiar with these products and we feel safer in recommending it. This shows that the majority of us do not want to dictate trends, but respond and evaluate what is already established. These motivations indicate two things; firstly companies that invest in quality product will succeed and will get a much greater exposure through consumer content than their marketing budget allows; secondly it means that companies with a bad product or trying to cover up bad behaviour will suffer in the transparent world of the influencer economy. I’ve found the coolest trainers ever. I’ll show you on Saturday.Federico, Panama Spyros, Greece
  • 31. 31 Figure 13: “The following are a list of reasons and motivations for you to talk about a product, brand or service. Please can you consider how important they are in motivating you to talk to others? Where 5 = very motivating and 1 = Not at all motivating.” Global Average What motivated me to share my opinion? Good personal experience Someone you trust having a good personal experience The brand is high quality A friend’s recommendation Bad personal experience A free sample you receive Your friends like the product or service Someone you trust having a bad personal experience The product or service is discounted The brand is popular An advertisement you find interesting & inspiring A promotion you see in a store A recommendation in the media (TV/newspapers/mags/radio) A recommendation you receive in a store The brand is fashionable The brand is unknown amongst social group Seen used by a celebrity/well known figure 4.1 3.7 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.1 1.8 Average Score 1-50 4.5
  • 32. What’s the best mobile network you know of?! Proliferation of influencer channels cont. As Figure 14 shows, these new channels have become an essential part of our repertoire for sourcing information on products and brands. When asked which ones were consulted for information on products and brands in an average month, all remarkably had a penetration of more than 40%, with all social channels competing extremely well. Search is number one, but an email recommendation is virtually the same with 80% monthly reach. Instant Messenger conversation with a friend has the same penetration as visiting a branded website. Both of which demonstrate the increasing reach of digitised direct communication channels as a form of influence. The other validation for the impact of social channels is the 55% of the active Internet universe claiming to have sought product and brand information on personal recommendations on social networks and 51% on personal blogs in an average month. This compares with 55% reading reviews on a news website for product and brand information in the last month and the same number reading reviews on price comparison sites. It’s clear that social and consumer-generated channels, regardless of environment are consumed at the same level as professional content - a big development in the growth of the new influencer landscape. Hayley, London
  • 33. 33 Figure 14: “Thinking about the process of looking for opinions on a product, brand or services online. On average how often do you do the following when looking for information on products, brands and services?”, Global Average How I share opinions on products, brands and services Search for a specific product/service on a search engine Read an email from a friend/colleague Visit official company/brand website Instant Messenger conversation with a friend/colleague Bookmark products & services interested in Visit an Internet auction site Read comments on a personal profile on a sn e.g Facebook.com Read official reviews on retail/price comparison websites Read reviews written on news websites e.g bbc.co.uk Read a personal blog/weblog by someone you know Read reviews by consumers on retail sites e.g Amazon.com Visit online Chat rooms/message boards Read a blog/weblog by someone you do not know Read peoples wish/fave lists on retail websites Read a blog/weblogs managed by a brand/private company 82.1% 80.2% 69.6% 69.2% 63.3% 58.1% 55.1% 55% 55% 51.4% 49.9% 47.8% 46.6% 43.1% 42.3% % Monthly Reach0 90
  • 34. Proliferation of influencer channels cont. The common perception is that today’s society is more dangerous and less community orientated than it has ever been. If you read the more hysterical newspapers, you could be forgiven for thinking that every stranger is going to kill you and steal your credit card. But as this research demonstrates, this is simply untrue, at least in the world of the web. Figure 15 shows the extent to which global web users trust different sources of information on products, brands and services, proving that online strangers simply aren’t perceived as a threat, quite the contrary. Today we trust the opinions of strangers from all round the world almost as much as the people we know. • The top four trusted forms of recommendation are all direct conversation – significantly two of these are now on internet channels: email and Instant Messenger The sources of information I trust M agazine article 4.64 Em ails from a friend/colleague 5.77 InstantM essengerconversation with a friend/colleague 5.7 Consum ers reviews on retailsites e.g am azon.com 5.56 Com m ents/viewpoints on socialnetwork sites e.g facebook.com 4.14 Recom m endation in a television program m e 4.07 Reviews on retail/price com parison webs e.g priceline.com 5.28 Personalrecom m endations from professionals 6.16 U serreviews on an online auction site (e.g ebay.com )4.73 N ewspaperarticle 4.6 Reviews written on news websites e.g guardian.co.uk 4.41 Search engine (e.g live.com )4.35 Com pany/brand W ebsite 4.33 Shelfinform ation and productdisplays in store 4.2 Blogs/W eblogs-professionalblog e.g engadget.com 4.2 Personalrecom m endations from friends/fam ily 6.77 Readers letters page in a newspaper4.16 10 0 Blogs/W eblogs-personalblog written by people you know 4.89 HightrustLowtrust
  • 35. 35 • We trust strangers online almost as much as face to face recommendation • We would much rather trust a stranger than a celebrity, by a long way • We trust a stranger over any paid-for communications or advertising • We trust a stranger more in a regulated environment like reviews in a retail site such as Amazon or an auction site like eBay • Blogs are becoming a trusted form of opinion, blogs from people you know rank at number 7 and those by from professionals or micropublishers, number 15. Blogs are almost as trusted as their written word counterparts, magazines and newspapers • Not everything online is trusted: emails from companies are only marginally more trusted than celebrities Figure 15: “Thinking about where you find information for products, brands and services that you buy. Please can you rate them in terms of how trust worthy the information provided typically is? Where 10 = Very trustworthy and 1 = Not at all trustworthy”, Global Average Radio advertising 3.63 Blogs/W eblogs-blog written by people you do notknow 3.95M agazine advertising 3.74 N ewspaperadvertising 3.67 Peoples wish/fav lists on retailwebsites e.g am azon.com 4.02 Sponsored listings on a search engine 3.64 Outdooradvertising (e.g Posters ads on public transport)3.92 Online Chatroom s/m essage boards 3.79 Sponsorship ofevents orsporting events 3.4 Em ails from com panies 3.25 Cinem a Advertising 3.31 Celebrity recom m endation 3.2 Television Adverts 3.77 Recom m endation on radio program m es 3.51
  • 36. It might be assumed that age will be a big factor in determining levels of trust of strangers. The assumption would be that the younger you are and the more familiar you are with social platforms, the more likely you are to trust consumer opinion online. As this research shows, it is simply not true – age is not a significant factor. Looking at the channels of information that consumers can project their opinions through by age group in Figure 18, it is clear that the difference in trust by age is marginal particularly when that opinion is seen inside another environment such as an e-commerce store. Gender (Figure 17) is even less of a factor, with identical levels of trust. Interestingly the only demographic that influences in a major way is the final level of education; the more educated the more you trust the opinions of strangers (Figure 16), particularly on blogs. Proliferation of influencer channels cont. Figure 16: Trust by final education level, Global Average Trust by final education level Blogs/Weblogs-blog written by people you do not know chart 17 18 6 4 5 2 1 3 0 6 4 5 2 1 3 0 Peoples wish/fav lists on retail websites e.g amazon.com Consumers reviews on retail sites e.g amazon.com Comments/viewpoints on social network sites e.g facebook.com Blogs/Weblogs- personal blog written by people you know Blogs/Weblogs- professional blog e.g engadget.com User reviews on an online auction site (e.g ebay.com) Post Graduate University College Secondary Primary School Venus, Philippines
  • 37. 37 Figure 17: Trust by gender, Global Average Figure 18: Trust by age, Global Average Trust by age Trust by gender Blogs/Weblogs-blog written by people you do not know 1716 6 4 5 2 1 3 0 6 4 5 2 1 3 0 Peoples wish/fav lists on retail websites e.g amazon.com Consumers reviews on retail sites e.g amazon.com Comments/viewpoints on social network sites e.g facebook.com Blogs/Weblogs- personal blog written by people you know Blogs/Weblogs- professional blog e.g engadget.com User reviews on an online auction site (e.g ebay.com) 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 Blogs/Weblogs-blog written by people you do not know chart 1716 1 6 4 5 2 1 3 0 6 4 5 2 1 3 0 Peoples wish/fav lists on retail websites e.g amazon.com Consumers reviews on retail sites e.g amazon.com Comments/viewpoints on social network sites e.g facebook.com Blogs/Weblogs- personal blog written by people you know Blogs/Weblogs- professional blog e.g engadget.com User reviews on an online auction site (e.g ebay.com) Male Female
  • 38. How much you trust strangers online is more likely to be determined by nationality and the resulting cultural, social and technological differences as demonstrated in Figure 19 – the levels of trust for social recommendations in some key developed and emerging markets and the differences are very clear. Levels of trust are significantly higher in South Korea, where massive government investment has created the most connected and broadband proficient country in the world, leading to the highest levels of social media and content generation of any of the developed markets. The result is an ecosystem of influence, where the opinions of strangers are extremely well trusted. Trust is next highest in China and Brazil where uptake of social media is also extremely high. Trust here is significantly higher than in the US, UK or Japan. There are also cultural factors at play: in China the collective is still important despite the in-roads of capitalism while in Brazil culture is more shared and open. Japan, despite very high levels of technology, shows that culture and social factors are also important as levels of trust are much lower than South Korea. Friend networks in Japan tend to be much smaller and there are stricter rules of conduct about interacting with people not familiar to you. The UK and the US have almost identical levels of trust and both are significantly lower than the average particularly in the unregulated environments of blogs and social networks. This reflects lower levels of participation in content generation and a culture where strangers have been increasingly depicted in the mass media as a threat. Proliferation of influencer channels cont. What’s the best digital camera at the moment? How much can you get it for in Japan? Matsui, Japan Henry, Australia
  • 39. 39 19 6 7 4 5 2 1 3 0 Figure 19: Trust by country, Global Average Trust by country Blogs/Weblogs-blog written by people you do not know Peoples wish/fav lists on retail websites e.g amazon.com Consumers reviews on retail sites e.g amazon.com Comments/viewpoints on social network sites e.g facebook.com Blogs/Weblogs- personal blog written by people you know Blogs/Weblogs- professional blog e.g engadget.com User reviews on an online auction site (e.g ebay.com) Brazil China Japan South Korea UK US
  • 40. The rise of social media • Has turned hundreds of millions of us into content creators and placed billions of opinions online • The world’s collective thinking is now online and published, a first in history • A total revolution in the way consumers share influence and opinion Digital friends • Digital channels have moved more of our social interactions into the virtual space and into text and the written word • The web has expanded our networks to include people we don’t know and people we used to know and in a pre web age we would have lost contact with • Digital channels encourage more frequent interaction and make it easier to share influence e.g through sending links, videos or pictures Proliferation of influence channels • The continual rise of social media and the growth of mechanisms for user input have created an incredible wealth of outlets to share opinions and thoughts • There is a new form of casual influence – It is now incredibly easy to share opinion, from voting buttons, to wish lists to comments. These are powerful forms of influence that do not require much commitment • We now trust a strangers recommendation as much as our closest friends • We trust recommendations in social media channels more than paid-for communications The new influencer landscape: the summary
  • 41. 41
  • 42. Social Shopping New social shopping and recommendation sites have emerged, built entirely around the consumer recommendation. It’s social networking meets shopping, aiming to connect you with products you would never find in Wal-Mart. Currently they are biased towards the US and English language, but expect them to proliferate across the world: www.crowdstorm.com www.kaboodle.com www.stylehive.com www.thisnext.com www.wists.com www.osoyou.com Recommendation Aggregation Services are evolving to transmit your recommendations into one place, pulling them from across the web. Participating sites share your purchases and selections into your Facebook news stream. For example if you buy a movie ticket on Fandango, watch it appear as news on Facebook. Highly controversial on launch due to privacy concerns – watch what you buy your girlfriend as a birthday surprise. Friendfeed aggregates all your feeds from across social media into one place. Favourite a YouTube video, add a product to your Amazon wish list or post photos onto Flickr – everything appears in one chronological feed for your friends to see. Recommendation through behaviour What you buy or do will influence others through the data mining of actual behaviour. Expect the sophistication of these recommendation engines to improve every move you make online to contribute to recommendations systems, creating a system where you influence without even trying. Netflix: The US DVD rental service has launched a $1m prize to improve its recommendation algorithm that works out whether you’d like a film or not. Amazon: The global retailer uses collaborative filtering algorithms to give you relevant product recommendations based on real life purchasing. One reason why Amazon has stayed on top. The new influencer landscape: the future
  • 44. ➜ The influence economy ➜ The democratisation of influence ➜ The new super influencers The impact Hugh, Canada
  • 45. 45 The influence economy The social web has enabled every web user to have the chance to contribute their opinions on products and services. But this impact is not uniform across all types of information, products and services. Figure 20 shows the impact the social web has had on our ability to share opinions and information by category. The most striking observation is that the participation rates for reviewing online are extremely high across all categories. The leading categories are those which are highest participation; films, music, technology and books. Subjects we all experience, have made a major impact in e-commerce and all have an opinion on, regardless of expert knowledge. The big surprise is the high levels of contribution in sectors that you would traditionally consider low interest, such as utilities or financial services. In addition consumers are just as willing to comment on services and products they can’t buy online. Categories such as alcoholic drinks, groceries and cosmetics are still heavily reviewed, indicating that the impacts of consumer opinion are being felt regardless of the sector. The implication of this is that all products are now exposed to higher levels of consumer scrutiny pre-purchase; they have to be more open, transparent and honest. Bad practice or poor service will be reported and will enter the purchase decision process. Brands today are involved in social and conversational media, whether they like it or not. Figure 20: “Thinking about the following types of products, brands or services. Can you please indicate whether you have reviewed them online, either a positive, average or negative opinion”, Global Average What I have recommended online U tilities e.g.gas 37.38% Alcoholic drinks 38% N on alcoholic beverages 38.64% Groceries 39.46% Personalhealthcare 41.79% Food 43.1%Financialproducts 43.14% H om e appliances e.g.Freezers 43.95% Fashion e.g.clothing/shoes 45.72% Cars/autom obiles 46.44% Gam es consoles/gam ing 47.14% H olidays/destinations 49.713% Com putersoftware 53.09% Travele.g.flights/trains 50.48% Books 53.21% M obile phone service 54.32% Portable technology e.g.M P3 54.38% H om e technology e.g.TV’s/PC 56.8% M usic 57.17% Film s 59.28% Property/realestate 36.93% Cosm etics40.89% 70 0 %Everreviewedonline
  • 46. The influence economy cont. Using films as an example, a clear global pattern emerges demonstrating the places where the influencer economy is currently strongest (Figure 21). As films are universally viewed worldwide, regardless of income, this is a sensible measure to pull out the extent of involvement in the influence economy. The leading markets are predominately Asian; South Korea, Hong Kong, Philippines, India, Pakistan and China. This shows that extremely high participation rates in social media are spilling over into direct recommendations on products and brands. The only exception to the Asian dominance is Brazil, a country that is obsessed with social networking. Participation rates fall dramatically for Europe and North America, which is not due to any less love for film but more of an indication that the more developed web markets haven’t embraced the consumer influence revolution with the same level of enthusiasm. Factors in this include a more developed mass of traditional media to provide influence, a legacy of passive web usage prior to social media and the growth of experts on to the web to share their opinions in a manner more like traditional media. It’s no coincidence that blogs in Asia have been employed as a social channel, while in the US and Europe they are more likely to be a channel to project your opinions to the many, a reason why thousands of micro-publishers have emerged in the blogging environment. This analysis indicates that levels of opinion contribution are a reflection of overall usage of social media. It is also clear that culture plays a factor. In Asia and even more so in Chinese influenced communities, hierarchical societies predominate and sharing opinions face to face is not as accepted as it is in the more individualistic societies of Europe and North America. The web has acted as an outlet for these opinions allowing the new influencer landscape to bypass traditional hierarchies. I saw Hancock at the cinema last Friday. Will Smith is awesome. You must go to see it! Diederik, Netherlands
  • 47. 47 Figure 21: “Thinking about the following types of products, brands or services. Can you please indicate whether you have reviewed them online, either a positive, average or negative opinion”, Films Category Have you ever reviewed a film online? Philippines 87.04% Greece 51.2% Rom ania 37.2% Japan 40.52% 100 0 Austria 67.73% Italy 58.1% China 78.26% Poland 65.59% Pakistan 81% M exico 67.27% India 82.2% Germ any 69.67% M alaysia 71.43% H ong Kong 88.04% South Korea 95.53% Taiwan 74% Brazil87.68% U K 48.9% H ungary 36.99% N etherlands 41.42% Canada 50.973% Turkey 52.6% Russia 52.76% Czech 52.8% Switzerland 53.6% U S 54.33%Australia 55% France 36.85% Spain 55.84% Denm ark 49.6% %Everreviewedonline
  • 48. Figure 22: “Which of the following types of products and services have you researched online before choosing to buy?”, Global Average The influencer economy cont. When it comes to sourcing information, there are significant differences by category with larger variations by category than for the sharing information. The result being that some categories are very high in sharing and low in sourcing and vice versa. The leading category, ‘holiday and destinations’ is the lead category for sourcing information but very few people actually share their own experiences. The leading products after holidays and destinations are home technology, travel and portable technology; not only high interest, but products that have been strongly impacted by e-commerce. Following travel and technology films, music and books are the next most popular, all important in the sharing of information, making them very active categories in the influence economy. Interestingly the products that are low in terms of sourcing information are also low categories for e-commerce, such as groceries, beverages, healthcare and cosmetics – all impulse or immediate need products that rarely have a significant consideration period. However these are all categories we have reviewed online – showing a disconnect in contribution versus sourcing, The other interesting observation is the number of people who have researched ‘big ticket’ items such as cars and property is still significant. This is important as it demonstrates that consumer influence on the web is also impacting long-term branding. What I have researched online Alcoholic drinks 12.3% Groceries (non food e.g cleaning products)15.5% U tilities e.g gas electricity etc 16.1% Groceries (food)18.7% Cosm etics 27.5% Property/RealEstate 29.7% Financialproducts (e.g creditcards/banking/insurance)31.14% Fashion (clothing/shoes)35% Gam es Consoles/Gam ing 36.9% H om e appliances e.g Fridges/freezers 39.1% Cars/Autom obiles 43.7% Books 46.2% Film s 49.8% M usic 48.8% Com puterSoftware 52.3% M obile phone service 56% Portable technology e.g M P3 players/M obile Phones 56.6% Travel-i.e flights/trains 56.9% H om e Technology e.g TV’s/PC 58.4% H olidays/Destinations 61.9% N on alcoholic beverages 9.1% PersonalH ealthcare (e.g m edicines contactlenses etc)24.1% 70 0 %Researchedonline
  • 49. 49 Theresa, Azores Tom, UK The Azores are absolutely fantastic! I’ve seen some whales today...
  • 50. Democratisation of influence Figure 23 shows the impact of the new influencer landscape – when asked whether we see ourselves as influencers or receivers on a number of product categories, we now claim to be influencers or receivers across a huge number of categories both on and offline. Firstly the extent to which we consider ourselves influencers is much higher across all categories than would be expected and is now similar to the extent that we consider ourselves to be receivers – this is a direct result of the ease of access for sharing influence. Secondly there is a correlation between the categories that are most popular for sharing information online and the ones that we now consider ourselves to be influencers in – music, film, books and technology. These are the categories most dependent on personal taste. This shows how important the web is in shaping the influence economy. Groceries and drinks prove the exception to the rule as they are products that we are all knowledgeable about and consequently have always been rich in our verbal conversations, however they don’t fit into our online conversations, mainly because they are impulse products without a long purchase process. Looking at the categories where we are predominately receivers, it is the categories that are less dictated by personal choice and more about in-depth knowledge. They are the fields that are traditionally low interest and dictated by experts, such as property, finance, cars and cosmetics. However the impact of the new world of influence can even be seen here: although they rank last, they are still all over 40%; a reflection of a consumer who has access to unprecedented volumes of knowledge, opinion and fact online. This will no doubt increase over time, eroding the power of the experts and bringing consumer influence into all categories. Rolandas, Lithuania
  • 51. 51 Figure 23: “Thinking about the following type of products, brands and services, which of the following statements apply? I often inform others on what to buy / I sometimes inform others on what to buy / I sometimes ask others what products to buy /I would always ask others about what products to buy ”, Global Average The categories I influence in Receivers Influencers -80 800 Groceries (food) Non alcoholic beverages Music Films Books Mobile phone service Groceries (non food e.g cleaning products) Home Technology e.g TV’s/PC Fashion (clothing/ shoes) Portable technology e.g MP3 players/ Mobile Phones[Always ask Holidays/ Destinations Alcoholic drinks Home appliances e.g Fridges/ freezers Travel Personal Healthcare (e.g medicines contact lenses etc)[Always ask Computer Software Utilities e.g gas electricity etc[Always ask others] Games Consoles/ Gaming Cosmetics Cars/ Automobiles Financial products (e.g credit cards/ banking/ insurance)[Always Property/Real Estate[Often inform others] Always ask Sometimes ask Sometimes inform Often inform
  • 52. Democratisation of influence cont. The true picture of the democratisation of influence can be seen in the number of categories that we claim to influence in. Figure 24 shows that we consider ourselves to be influencers across several categories. The peak of influence around 12-14 categories is much higher than would have been expected before the advent of the web. Visually it can be seen that the pattern of influencers is top heavy, the majority influence in 10+ categories, which is much higher than the mid point for sourcing information - we now claim to share more than we receive. More importantly this contradicts the idea that we live in a simplistic world where there is a small group of “influencers” who dictate their agenda to everyone else. The truth is everybody influences and receives information across a huge number of categories and thanks to social media this trend has been amplified. The reality today is much more complicated. Michael, Denmark Tara, USA Arne-Inge, Norway Riham, Egypt Jennie, UK Urban, Sweden Mihai, Romania Tadek, Poland
  • 53. 53 Figure 24: “Thinking about the following type of products, brands and services, which of the following statements apply? I often inform others on what to buy / I sometimes inform others on what to buy / I sometimes ask others what products to buy /I would always ask others about what products to buy”, Global Average cumulative number of categories The number of categories I influence in Number of categories influence/source -15 -10 -5 100 5 20+ 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Source Influence
  • 54. The new super influencers Now we all influence – the real indication of a true influencer is someone who does it regardless of category, so if we look at respondents who claim to strongly influence in 15+ categories, we can see the emergence of a super influencer. This is a new kind of influencer who, thanks to social media and the tools it provides to create and share influence emerges above the clutter of mass influence to spread opinion far and wide. Figure 25 shows how they are more likely to be male, 25-34 and be mid or senior influential office workers. They are also more likely to be highly educated. Basically in the knowledge heavy, written world of the web, intelligence and computer literacy are major factors in spreading significant influence. Super Influencer demographic Figure 25: Super Influencer demographics indexed agsinst all respondents Index against all active internet users The new influencers 50 70 90 110 130 150 170 190 Male Female 16 – 24 25 – 34 35 – 44 45 – 54 Student Office Junior Office (Mid Manager) Office (Senior Manager) Non Office Housewife Unemployed Other Primary School Some Secondary School Full Secondary School College University Post Graduate
  • 55. Index aginst all active internet users The new influencers 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 First amongst friends/family to try new products/services I like taking risks I spend a lot of time out and about with friends When buying products, friends often ask my opinion I pursue a life of challenge, novelty and change Always looking for new products/services to try I have a keen sense of adventure I often do things on the spur of the moment I want to get to the very top of my career I seize opportunities when they arise I try hard to stay in contact with friends/acquaintances I’m an optimist I’m interested in other cultures People must take me as they find me I enjoy good quality things Important to keep well informed about things The new super influencers fit the typical profile of early adopters who are likely to try new products, take risks and share their opinions with friends. The top statements are as you would expect; first amongst friends to try new products; I like taking risks; I spend a lot of time out and about with friends; when buying products my friends ask my opinion. 55 Figure 26: Lifestyle statements indexed against all respondents Super influencer attitudes
  • 56. The new super influencers The most defining aspect is that they are extremely heavy users of social media, particularly in terms of content creation. Figure 27 demonstrates that they are much more likely to blog, upload videos and photos and comment on sites and social networks. Social media is providing them with the tools to create and share influence and they are doing so in massive numbers regardless of subject matter. The top indexing social media channels for content creation are uploading video, writing blogs and leaving a comment on a blog site. The new super influencers are also the lead content generators. Social media both enables the sharing of influence and attracts those who wish to publish and have their opinion shared and they are utilising this opportunity to the maximum. They are also embracing the new channels of information such as RSS and podcasts to bypass conventional media channels and also listening to those that create more than established media. This is a real world phenomenon, which has been demonstrated recently in the US presidential election in 2008. It has been widely credited that the creators or creative class, as they have been tagged, helped Obama get the democratic party nomination. The creators through prolific blogging, twittering, social networking and content creation generated massive influence helping to raise funds, getting people out to vote and changing the opinions of mainstream media. Federico, Panama Funda, Turkey
  • 57. 57 Super Influencer social media usage Figure 27: Super Influencer social media usage indexed against all respondents Index against all active internet users 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 Upload video clip to video sharing website Subscribe to an RSS feed Start my own blog/weblog Download a podcast Leave a comment on a blog site Upload my photos to a photo sharing website Make a phone call using your computer Create a profile on a new social network Visit a photo sharing website Share a video clip with a friend Manage profile on existing social network Read blogs/weblogs Visit a friend’s social network page Listen to live audio/radio online Use instant messenger Watch video clips online
  • 58. The new super influencers Super influencers are much more likely to be motivated by overt commercial messaging; celebrity endorsements and direct recommendations online and in the media. Most importantly, however, they are much more likely to want to share opinions because a brand is fashionable or their friends are not aware of the brand, basically they are more overt about trying to cultivate external opinion. This is a new creative class who are going beyond the tools of casual influence to create rich and deep content in the form of videos, blogs and photos. They are exercising their right to create and spread influence and as the channels of peer to peer recommendation and the social media grow their role will become more important. Super Influencer motivations 0 200100 Bad personal experience 92.71 Good personal experience 96.89 Someone you trust having a bad experience 98.92 Someone you trust having a good experience 99.59 The brand is high quality 103.24 A friend’s recommendation 104.03 The product or service is discounted 106.28 Your friend’s like the product or service 106.85 A free sample you receive 108.28 A promotion you see in a store 110.65 The brand is popular 111.97 A recommendation you receive in a store 113.02 An advertisement you find interesting inspiring 114.04 A recommendation in the media (TV, newspapers, mags, radio) 116.05 A recommendation on the internet 116.09 The brand is unknown amongst social group 118.73 The brand is fashionable 120.75 Seen used by a celebrity/well known figure 129.98 130 Figure 28: Super Influencer motivations to recommend indexed against all respondents New influencers
  • 59. 59 Super influencers are found across the globe , but there is a clear skew towards the emerging internet markets of Latin America and Asia Pacific. In Brazil a stunning 24% of active internet users fall into the super influencer category. They are followed by India, Mexico and Pakistan – demonstrating how internet users have found their voice thanks to their massive use of social media in these markets. The leading developed web markets are Italy, Japan and Spain, where just under 8% of active users fall into super users. The Anglo markets of the US, UK and Australia have 5% of their users falling into the super influencer category. It’s these differences that highlight how social media adoption and levels of content creation mirror and impact the rise of super influencers. Super Influencers by country Figure 29: Super Influencers by country, share of active users Japan 7.8% M exico 15.2% Czech 7% Greece 11.8% South Korea 7.7% Philippines 13.3% Spain 7.7% Pakistan 15% Italy 7.8%China 8.1% Brazil24.7% Turkey 11.2% India 17.6% 30 0 Canada 4.3% %shareofactiveinternetusers N etherlands 2.2% H ungary 2.3% H ong Kong 3.3% Austria 4% Russia 4.5%U S 4.8% Australia 5%U K 5% Poland 5.4%Rom ania 5.5% France 5.6%Switzerland 5.6% Taiwan 5.8% Denm ark 2% Germ any 6.3%
  • 60. The impact: summary The influence economy • Overall participation rates for contributing opinions, thoughts and content on products and brands is extremely high. This means all brands have to react to the influence economy – becoming more open, more transparent and more active in social and conversational media • Different product categories have significantly different exposure to the power of the influencer landscape • Even low interest, expert categories such as finance, real estate and insurance have high participation rates • Music, films and technology are the categories most talked about online • Holidays and travel are the most sought after for information • Asia and emerging internet markets are leading the way in contributing opinion to the influencer economy The democratisation of influence • We are more likely to be influencers than receivers in the age of social media • Consumers the world over now claim influence in a huge number of categories • The key categories for broad influence are the same as the key categories for online recommendation with the exception of groceries and food The new super influencers • Are the most the active in social media • They are much more likely to create and share rich content • As the channels they contribute to continue to rise in importance so does their impact in the universe of influence • This is the new creative class; the bloggers, the video uploaders, the photo sharers • Their influence is now very real. Look at impact of bloggers on the professional media and the impact creators had on the election of Obama and the French elections
  • 62. New world of transparency • There are no secrets in the new world of influence brands, products and services are under constant scrutiny • The truth cannot be managed in the way it was when a few gatekeepers controlled the distribution of information • The only path is honesty, openness and transparency. If you make a mistake in the new world of influence – you admit it and make good • Control has to be loosened – let consumers discuss, share and interact with your brand • All categories of goods and services are now impacted by the new economy of influence and have to respond to a world where consumer opinion shapes the agenda Be part of the conversation • The new world of influence needs a more conversational approach; advertising should encourage interaction, input and community • This means having a blog, being in social networks, creating content such as photos, videos etc – generally being part of the conversation • Exist inside the social media services that consumers spend their time in and source their influence from • Don’t be scared to advertise in bottom up conversational media that consumers are generating. • Advertising has a big role in the future world of influence – it provides the revenue for most of the services that enable and cultivate consumer recommendation Final thoughts Hello Hayley, do you know where I can get tickets for Madonna Tour? I love the new album also thanks for telling me about it Hi Spyros, you mentioned you were buying a TV – check out www.reevoo. com http://www. reevoo.com/ before you do Hayley, UK Spyros, Greece Hayley Spyros
  • 63. 6363 Everybody matters • Today everybody should be considered an influencer to some extent – we all influence and receive to some degree • Every target audience should be encouraged to share opinions and influence Reaching out to the creators • The creators are the new super influencers, the ones that make the most of the tools of social media. Bloggers, video creators, podcasters etc should be considered as some of the most powerful voices in the future hi, check out www.xbox. com http://www.xbox. com/ – “Too Human” is going to be released on the 29th August 2008 I recently purchased 10 CDs online and saved a small fortune. did you see that top Kate Moss was wearing? have you seen anything like that anywhere? Who do you bank with? I have just waited on the phone for 20minutes my bank are driving me crazy Monica, Spain Hugh, Canada Federico, Panama Gianfranco, Italy Monica Gianfranco Hugh Frederico
  • 64. Moving forward “When did we start trusting strangers?” is part of Universal McCann’s ongoing global research programme aimed at exploring the impacts of the massive changes in communications technologies. This is the second in a series of in-depth studies. The first major in-depth study “Anytime, Anyplace” looked at mobile phones and portable technology, in particular demand for content , services and the role of advertising. In parallel to the in-depth topics we also run a Social Media tracker to access the ongoing impact of social media. Wave 3 of this survey was released in March 2008 and Wave 4 is scheduled for quarter 4 2008. All reports can be downloaded at www.universalmccann.com For any questions on the research please contact tom.smith@umww.com Tom Smith Head of Consumer Futures EMEA Sue, UK
  • 66. What does this mean for your business? “When did we start trusting strangers?” is an in-depth study and there are many aspects of analysis that we are unable to cover in this report. If you want to know how to operate in the new influencer landscape and what this means for your business please contact us at consultancy@umww.com and we can share the key results and impact for your brand or business: • Who is the influencer in your business category? • What marketing communications work for your influencers? • What they do online? • What they create, what they view, what they share? • What does it mean for your marketing communications? • What are the implications for your business? HomeTechnologyGroceriesMusic FashionUtilitiesBooks Mobile Phone Service Cosmetics Phone vice smetics HolidayDestinations Cars/Automobiles Property/Real Estate GamesConsolesFilms Home Appliances Travel