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Thoughts on growth
Josh Elman @joshelman

December 12, 2011
Growth circa 1995
Growth today
Growth today
Twitter Case Study
1. Defining the problem...
2. Segmenting and measuring
     Curious -> Casual -> Core
3. Guiding users up the “ladder of engagement”
Someone who Tweets?
Someone who Tweets?

              Some
                    one w
             to sta       ho wa
                   y up t       nts
            friend       o date
                   s?           with
Someone who Tweets?

              Some
                    one w
             to sta       ho wa
                   y up t       nts
            friend       o date
                   s?           with


Someone who cares
about realtime news?
Someone who Tweets?

              Some
                    one w
             to sta       ho wa
                   y up t       nts
            friend       o date
                   s?           with

                       Some one who wants to
                       know  what their friends
Someone who cares      had for breakfast
about realtime news?
Someone who Tweets?
                    e who wants to tell everyone
                     Someon
                     what they had for breakfast
                   Some
                         one w
                  to sta       ho wa
                        y up t       nts
                 friend       o date
                        s?           with

                              Some one who wants to
                              know  what their friends
 Someone who cares            had for breakfast
 about realtime news?
Someone who wants to
know what’s happening
in their world
@dickc Dick Costolo
Our mission: instantly connect people everywhere
to what’s most meaningful to them.


Feb 14, 2011 from Barcelona, Spain
Measure the things
that matter




            credit: wwarby on Flickr
How do you know if you have
visitors or regulars?
      Visitors            Regulars

    just use once     use daily/monthly

  come via a prompt     come directly
   don’t remember
                         top of mind
     your name
What should you look at daily?
      Metric                 Description

    new users             signed up yesterday

   active users      used the service in last month

  inactive users     last used service 1 month ago

 resurrected users     first use in over 1 month
core

casual

curious
State of the userbase

                            CORE




CURIOUS    NEW                     CASUAL




                            COLD
User Accounting
•   Measure users like revenue and cost (+/-)

•   Track deltas in users in and out of the system over time


(+) New User Registrations                   (+) 20,000
(+) Resurrected Users                        (+) 950
(-) Deactivations                            (-) 50
(-) Gone Inactive                            (-) 10,000
------------------------------------------   ------------------------------------------
(+/-) Net Change                             (+) 11,000 (4mm MAU/year)
------------------------------------------   ------------------------------------------
(+) Remained Active                          (+) 1,000,000
------------------------------------------   ------------------------------------------
Net Active Users                             1,011,000 total users
Accounting for growth   negative growth
Find your “Aha” moment
Following more than 30 accounts   1/3 - mutual follows
                                  2/3 - one-way follows
Guiding users up the ladder of engagement
Home Profile Find People Settings Help Sign out



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Home
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       What to do now:
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       1. Tell us what you’re doing in the box above
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       2. Find some friends and follow what they’re doing
       3. Turn on your mobile phone to update your friends on the go                          Retweets

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    © 2010 Twitter   About Us   Contact   Blog   Status   Goodies    API   Business   Help   Jobs     Terms    Privacy
Sending direct emails
Even better: get users to send them for you
Even better: get users to send them for you
Even better: get users to send them for you
Always question your assumptions
Closing Thoughts
 1. Define the problem... and your solution
 2. Measure the right things - user accounting
 3. Set a good first impression
 4. It’s ok to remind people you exist, and better if your
 core users do it
 5. Look to the numbers but don’t live by them

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Thoughts on Growth

  • 1. Thoughts on growth Josh Elman @joshelman December 12, 2011
  • 5. Twitter Case Study 1. Defining the problem... 2. Segmenting and measuring Curious -> Casual -> Core 3. Guiding users up the “ladder of engagement”
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  • 10. Someone who Tweets? Some one w to sta ho wa y up t nts friend o date s? with
  • 11. Someone who Tweets? Some one w to sta ho wa y up t nts friend o date s? with Someone who cares about realtime news?
  • 12. Someone who Tweets? Some one w to sta ho wa y up t nts friend o date s? with Some one who wants to know what their friends Someone who cares had for breakfast about realtime news?
  • 13. Someone who Tweets? e who wants to tell everyone Someon what they had for breakfast Some one w to sta ho wa y up t nts friend o date s? with Some one who wants to know what their friends Someone who cares had for breakfast about realtime news?
  • 14. Someone who wants to know what’s happening in their world
  • 15. @dickc Dick Costolo Our mission: instantly connect people everywhere to what’s most meaningful to them. Feb 14, 2011 from Barcelona, Spain
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  • 19. Measure the things that matter credit: wwarby on Flickr
  • 20. How do you know if you have visitors or regulars? Visitors Regulars just use once use daily/monthly come via a prompt come directly don’t remember top of mind your name
  • 21.
  • 22. What should you look at daily? Metric Description new users signed up yesterday active users used the service in last month inactive users last used service 1 month ago resurrected users first use in over 1 month
  • 24. State of the userbase CORE CURIOUS NEW CASUAL COLD
  • 25. User Accounting • Measure users like revenue and cost (+/-) • Track deltas in users in and out of the system over time (+) New User Registrations (+) 20,000 (+) Resurrected Users (+) 950 (-) Deactivations (-) 50 (-) Gone Inactive (-) 10,000 ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ (+/-) Net Change (+) 11,000 (4mm MAU/year) ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ (+) Remained Active (+) 1,000,000 ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ Net Active Users 1,011,000 total users
  • 26. Accounting for growth negative growth
  • 28. Following more than 30 accounts 1/3 - mutual follows 2/3 - one-way follows
  • 29. Guiding users up the ladder of engagement
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  • 31. Home Profile Find People Settings Help Sign out stoptest7 What’s happening? 140 0 tweets 0 0 0 following followers listed Tweet Twit·Vid n. a simple video sharing option for your tweets. Home Home @stoptest7 What to do now: Direct Messages 0 1. Tell us what you’re doing in the box above Favorites 2. Find some friends and follow what they’re doing 3. Turn on your mobile phone to update your friends on the go Retweets Search Lists Trending: Worldwide Following RSS feed © 2010 Twitter About Us Contact Blog Status Goodies API Business Help Jobs Terms Privacy
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  • 40. Even better: get users to send them for you
  • 41. Even better: get users to send them for you
  • 42. Even better: get users to send them for you
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  • 44. Always question your assumptions
  • 45. Closing Thoughts 1. Define the problem... and your solution 2. Measure the right things - user accounting 3. Set a good first impression 4. It’s ok to remind people you exist, and better if your core users do it 5. Look to the numbers but don’t live by them

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  34. We had this question at Twitter -- and it was a real challenge. How can we get more people using the product if we don'\n\n
  35. We had this question at Twitter -- and it was a real challenge. How can we get more people using the product if we don'\n\n
  36. We had this question at Twitter -- and it was a real challenge. How can we get more people using the product if we don'\n\n
  37. We had this question at Twitter -- and it was a real challenge. How can we get more people using the product if we don'\n\n
  38. We had this question at Twitter -- and it was a real challenge. How can we get more people using the product if we don'\n\n
  39. We had this question at Twitter -- and it was a real challenge. How can we get more people using the product if we don'\n\n
  40. We had this question at Twitter -- and it was a real challenge. How can we get more people using the product if we don'\n\n
  41. We had this question at Twitter -- and it was a real challenge. How can we get more people using the product if we don'\n\n
  42. We had this question at Twitter -- and it was a real challenge. How can we get more people using the product if we don'\n\n
  43. We had this question at Twitter -- and it was a real challenge. How can we get more people using the product if we don'\n\n
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