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the
Systems Thinking
for Product Managers
Johanna Kollmann | @johannakoll | MTP Engage 2017
“A system is
a set of elements or parts
often classiïŹed as its function
or purpose.”
that is coherently organized and
inter-connected in a pattern or
structure
that produces a characteristic set of
behaviors,
Donella Meadows
HARD systems
SOFT systems
!
You can’t â€œïŹx”problems with systems
thinking, instead there are “situations you
could improve”.
Peter Checkland
Systems exhibit purposeful behaviour over time.
Systems get ‘soft’, unpredictable once humans
are involved.
“Systems-based thinking is the process of
understanding how things inïŹ‚uence one
another. 
!
Then drawing on that knowledge to create
eïŹƒciencies of process, infrastructure and
communication.”
Abby Covert
UNDERSTANDING
CHANGING
UNDERSTANDING THE SYSTEM
Use this tool to
help you think
more systemically!
THE ICEBERG MODEL
EVENTS
What is happening?
PATTERNS OF BEHAVIOR
What trends are there over time?
SYSTEMS STRUCTURE
How are the parts related?
What inïŹ‚uences
the patterns?
MENTAL MODELS
What values,
assumptions, +
beliefs shape
the system?
IncreasingLeverage
Download at: http://donellameadows.org/systems-thinking-resources/
Checkland’s ‘Rich Picture’
1. Construction of the Humber Bridge (adapted from Stewart and
Fortune, 1994)© The Open University
2. Distance Learning Situation © Wood-Harper et al, Information Systems
DeïŹnition: The Multiview Approach, Blackwell ScientiïŹc Publications 1985
Checkland’s ‘Rich Picture’
Stakeholders
Worldview
Connections
ConïŹ‚icts
Facilitate a shared understanding:
collaborate on mapping the system.
Customer journey maps
Service blueprints
System relationship maps
Models are the starting point to look at
the situation, and see what change should
be introduced, and how.
Use this tool to
help you think
more systemically!
THE ICEBERG MODEL
EVENTS
What is happening?
PATTERNS OF BEHAVIOR
What trends are there over time?
SYSTEMS STRUCTURE
How are the parts related?
What inïŹ‚uences
the patterns?
MENTAL MODELS
What values,
assumptions, +
beliefs shape
the system?
IncreasingLeverage
Download at: http://donellameadows.org/systems-thinking-resources/
Measuring tools
Custom analysis based on raw data
Logging tools
Dashboard
(combined with qualitative research!)
2 things to pay attention to in a system:
1) Stocks & Flows
2) Feedback loops
1)Stocks & Flows
inïŹ‚ow outïŹ‚ow
information
feedback, control
stock
Conversion, churn rates
2)Feedback loops
A feedback loop occurs when a change in something ultimately
comes back to cause a further change in the same thing.
Reinforcing Loop
(positive loop)
births/year population
Population
Growth
Balancing Loop
(negative or goal-seeking loop)
heat
Thermostat
temperature
target temperature
temperature
gap
Viral engines of growth
By the time you see what is going on in a
system, it has already happened - and you
are already a step behind.
Look at systems behaviour over time, rather than
focusing on single events.
!
Spot trends, and ask:
‣What came before?
‣What might happen next?
Model systems through a collaborative process.
Make changes in system behaviour visible.
Look for trends, rather than focusing on single
events.
CHANGING THE SYSTEM
Use this tool to
help you think
more systemically!
THE ICEBERG MODEL
EVENTS
What is happening?
PATTERNS OF BEHAVIOR
What trends are there over time?
SYSTEMS STRUCTURE
How are the parts related?
What inïŹ‚uences
the patterns?
MENTAL MODELS
What values,
assumptions, +
beliefs shape
the system?
IncreasingLeverage
Download at: http://donellameadows.org/systems-thinking-resources/
Structure of information ïŹ‚ows
‣How does information ïŹ‚ow through the system?
‣What information is shown, how, and to whom?
‣Who can manipulate and control information?
For reference: Donella Meadows, http://donellameadows.org/archives/leverage-points-places-to-intervene-in-a-system/
For reference: Donella Meadows, http://donellameadows.org/archives/leverage-points-places-to-intervene-in-a-system/
Rules of the system
‣Constraints, social rules, rules about roles of actors in the system
‣Who can take which actions?
‣How can actors in the system engage?
‘Circles of InïŹ‚uence’mapping
can change directly
can inïŹ‚uence
outside of control/inïŹ‚uence
Use this tool to
help you think
more systemically!
THE ICEBERG MODEL
EVENTS
What is happening?
PATTERNS OF BEHAVIOR
What trends are there over time?
SYSTEMS STRUCTURE
How are the parts related?
What inïŹ‚uences
the patterns?
MENTAL MODELS
What values,
assumptions, +
beliefs shape
the system?
IncreasingLeverage
Download at: http://donellameadows.org/systems-thinking-resources/
Information ïŹ‚ows are eïŹ€ective leverage points.
Rules can facilitate and prevent change.
Goals drive systems behaviour.
UNDERSTANDING
CHANGING
CyneïŹn Framework|Dave Snowden
http://cognitive-edge.com/
Donella Meadows Institute
http://donellameadows.org/systems-thinking-resources/
say hi: @johannakoll
THANKS
MERCI
DANKE

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Systems Thinking for Product Managers

  • 1. the Systems Thinking for Product Managers Johanna Kollmann | @johannakoll | MTP Engage 2017
  • 2.
  • 3. “A system is a set of elements or parts often classiïŹed as its function or purpose.” that is coherently organized and inter-connected in a pattern or structure that produces a characteristic set of behaviors, Donella Meadows
  • 4. HARD systems SOFT systems ! You can’t â€œïŹx”problems with systems thinking, instead there are “situations you could improve”. Peter Checkland
  • 5. Systems exhibit purposeful behaviour over time. Systems get ‘soft’, unpredictable once humans are involved.
  • 6. “Systems-based thinking is the process of understanding how things inïŹ‚uence one another.  ! Then drawing on that knowledge to create eïŹƒciencies of process, infrastructure and communication.” Abby Covert
  • 9. Use this tool to help you think more systemically! THE ICEBERG MODEL EVENTS What is happening? PATTERNS OF BEHAVIOR What trends are there over time? SYSTEMS STRUCTURE How are the parts related? What inïŹ‚uences the patterns? MENTAL MODELS What values, assumptions, + beliefs shape the system? IncreasingLeverage Download at: http://donellameadows.org/systems-thinking-resources/
  • 10. Checkland’s ‘Rich Picture’ 1. Construction of the Humber Bridge (adapted from Stewart and Fortune, 1994)© The Open University 2. Distance Learning Situation © Wood-Harper et al, Information Systems DeïŹnition: The Multiview Approach, Blackwell ScientiïŹc Publications 1985
  • 12. Facilitate a shared understanding: collaborate on mapping the system.
  • 13. Customer journey maps Service blueprints System relationship maps
  • 14. Models are the starting point to look at the situation, and see what change should be introduced, and how.
  • 15. Use this tool to help you think more systemically! THE ICEBERG MODEL EVENTS What is happening? PATTERNS OF BEHAVIOR What trends are there over time? SYSTEMS STRUCTURE How are the parts related? What inïŹ‚uences the patterns? MENTAL MODELS What values, assumptions, + beliefs shape the system? IncreasingLeverage Download at: http://donellameadows.org/systems-thinking-resources/
  • 16. Measuring tools Custom analysis based on raw data Logging tools Dashboard (combined with qualitative research!)
  • 17. 2 things to pay attention to in a system: 1) Stocks & Flows 2) Feedback loops
  • 18. 1)Stocks & Flows inïŹ‚ow outïŹ‚ow information feedback, control stock Conversion, churn rates
  • 19. 2)Feedback loops A feedback loop occurs when a change in something ultimately comes back to cause a further change in the same thing. Reinforcing Loop (positive loop) births/year population Population Growth Balancing Loop (negative or goal-seeking loop) heat Thermostat temperature target temperature temperature gap Viral engines of growth
  • 20. By the time you see what is going on in a system, it has already happened - and you are already a step behind.
  • 21. Look at systems behaviour over time, rather than focusing on single events. ! Spot trends, and ask: ‣What came before? ‣What might happen next?
  • 22. Model systems through a collaborative process. Make changes in system behaviour visible. Look for trends, rather than focusing on single events.
  • 24. Use this tool to help you think more systemically! THE ICEBERG MODEL EVENTS What is happening? PATTERNS OF BEHAVIOR What trends are there over time? SYSTEMS STRUCTURE How are the parts related? What inïŹ‚uences the patterns? MENTAL MODELS What values, assumptions, + beliefs shape the system? IncreasingLeverage Download at: http://donellameadows.org/systems-thinking-resources/
  • 25. Structure of information ïŹ‚ows ‣How does information ïŹ‚ow through the system? ‣What information is shown, how, and to whom? ‣Who can manipulate and control information? For reference: Donella Meadows, http://donellameadows.org/archives/leverage-points-places-to-intervene-in-a-system/
  • 26. For reference: Donella Meadows, http://donellameadows.org/archives/leverage-points-places-to-intervene-in-a-system/ Rules of the system ‣Constraints, social rules, rules about roles of actors in the system ‣Who can take which actions? ‣How can actors in the system engage?
  • 27. ‘Circles of InïŹ‚uence’mapping can change directly can inïŹ‚uence outside of control/inïŹ‚uence
  • 28. Use this tool to help you think more systemically! THE ICEBERG MODEL EVENTS What is happening? PATTERNS OF BEHAVIOR What trends are there over time? SYSTEMS STRUCTURE How are the parts related? What inïŹ‚uences the patterns? MENTAL MODELS What values, assumptions, + beliefs shape the system? IncreasingLeverage Download at: http://donellameadows.org/systems-thinking-resources/
  • 29. Information ïŹ‚ows are eïŹ€ective leverage points. Rules can facilitate and prevent change. Goals drive systems behaviour.
  • 31. CyneïŹn Framework|Dave Snowden http://cognitive-edge.com/ Donella Meadows Institute http://donellameadows.org/systems-thinking-resources/