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CAC 40
Contents
        Introduction

        CAC Family

Review and Selection Criteria

       Performance

       Components

        Calculations

 Impact of Eurozone Crisis
Introduction
   French stock market index

   CAC 40: Continuous Assisted Quotation

   Launched on 31 December 1987 with base
   value of 1000

   1st December 2003
      Total Market                                 Free Float
          Cap                                      Market Cap


                                                                                           Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance   Components   Calculations   Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                             Crisis
Introduction
        Index Type                               Price Index


        Governance Structure                     Conseil Scientifique & NYSE Euronext


        Weighting                                Free float adjusted market cap


        Capping                                  15 %


        Calculation Frequency                    15 s



                                                                                           Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance   Components   Calculations   Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                             Crisis
CAC Family
                    CAC 20
   20 constituents
   20 highest ranking companies not
    included in the CAC 40
   Base date: 31/12/2002
   Base level: 3000


                                                                  CAC large 60
                                                        Companies included in CAC 40
                                                         and CAC Next 20
                                                        60 constituents
                                                        Base date: 03/01/2006
                                                        Base level: 5000


                                                                                           Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance   Components   Calculations   Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                             Crisis
CAC Family
                                                                   CAC mid 60
                                                        The 60 highest raking
                                                         companies not included in the
                                                         CAC Large 60
                                                        60 constituents
                                                        Base date: 31/12/2002
                                                        Base level: 3000
                    SBF 120
    All companies included in CAC
     Large 60 and CAC Mid 60
    120 constituents
    Base date: 28/12/1990
    Base level: 1000


                                                                                           Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance   Components   Calculations   Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                             Crisis
CAC Family
                   CAC small
  Continuation of the CAC Small 90
   since March 2011
  Companies not included in SBF
   120
  Variable constituents
  Base date: 31/12/2002
  Base level: 3000
                                                               CAC mid & small
                                                     Continuation of CAC Mid & Small
                                                      190 since March 2011
                                                     All companies included in CAC Mid
                                                      60 and CAC Small
                                                     Variable constituents
                                                     Base date 30/12/2002
                                                     Base level 3000
                                                                                           Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance   Components   Calculations   Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                             Crisis
Review and Selection
                                                 Review
    To ensure that selection and weighting reflects the underlying market
     or market segment

    Annual Review: Effective after close of 3rd Friday of September

    Quarterly Reviews: Effective after close of 3rd Friday of December,
     March, and June




                                                                                           Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance   Components   Calculations   Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                             Crisis
Review and Selection

                          Selection Basis:
     Combined Ranking:
       the value of Regulated Turnover observed over a 12-
      month period
       the free float adjusted market capitalization on the
      Review Date

     Minimum Trading Velocity

     Minimum Free Float



                                                                                           Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance   Components   Calculations   Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                             Crisis
CAC 40 : Index and Events
         Dot Com
          Bubble



                                                                            Subprime
                                                                             Crisis




                                                                                           Eurozone
                                                                                            Crisis
                                      Free Float

                                                                                             Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance   Components   Calculations     Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                               Crisis
Performance
                                 Average Yearly Volatility (%)
       40
       30
       20
       10
        0
               2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

                Annual Return
                                %                              Best Performance Since 2000
            1 year                                                    Performance            Date
                              -23.39
          2 years                                       Day              11.18%        13/10/2008
                              -11.20
          3 years                                      Month             13.41%       October 2002
                              -3.96
          5 years                                       Year             20.86%          Q3 2009
                              -9.33
         10 years             -3.81
                                                                                               Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance     Components   Calculations     Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                                 Crisis
CAC40 v/s GDP Growth Rate v/s Govt Bond yield

6                             6000
5
                              5000
4
3
                              4000
2                                    GDP Growth rate (%)
1                             3000   Govt Bond yield
0                                    CAC40
                              2000
-1
-2
                              1000
-3
-4                            0
Components
                                  Components – Industry wise
                                                                                     Financial
                                  2              3
                                                                                     Communicatios
                                                                4                    Utilities
                9                                                                    Consumer, Non
                                                                                     Cyclical
                                                                                     Consumer, Cyclical
                                                                    4
                                                                                     Basic Material

                                                                                     Diversified

                2                                                                    Energy

                    1                                                                Industrial
                                                            6
                        2                                                            Technology
                                      4
                                                                                                   Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                            Performance    Components   Calculations      Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                                     Crisis
Company Wise Analysis
       Co.                                         TOTAL          SANOFI –          BNP Paribus
                                                                   Aventis
       Sector                                     Oil & Gas       Healthcare           Banking
       Rank (as per mcap) /Weight                  1/ 13.5          2/ 9.92            3/ 5.15
       (%)
       Mcap (in Euro million)                     84,176.42       65,239.44           31,220.08
       Shares Outstanding (million)               2,358.54         1,341.04           1,207.74
       Beta                                          .67              .58                1.39
       52 week: High – Low (in Euro)          44.55 – 29.40      56.82 – 42.85     59.93 – 22.72

       P/e ratio                                    6.69            13.58                4.77
       Dividend Yield (%)                           6.39             5.18                8.12
       Dividend Payout Ratio (%)                   53.21               -                39.49

                                                                                                  Impact of
                                 Review &
Introduction    CAC Family                         Performance   Components      Calculations     Eurozone
                             Selection Criteria
                                                                                                    Crisis
Recommendation/ Co.          TOTAL         SANOFI – Aventis      BNP Paribus
                      Nov’ 11    Aug’ 11   Nov’ 11   Aug’ 11   Nov’ 11 Aug’ 11
Buy                     13           12      12        13        18      16
Outperform              6            4       6         4         2        3
Hold                    19           18      9         11        8       10
Underperform            2            2       0         1         2        1
Sell                    1            1       1         0         0        0
Calculations
                      The general formula for Price Index:




                                                                                           Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance   Components   Calculations   Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                             Crisis
Calculations
                            The total return index calculation
     Transpose the announced dividend payment into index points




     The dividend is assumed to be reinvested at the close of the ex-date




                                                                                           Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance   Components   Calculations   Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                             Crisis
Comparisons with Europe Market Cap




                                                                                           Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance   Components   Calculations   Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                             Crisis
Impact of Eurozone Crisis
  German Bond Auction flopped


  Italy new government – vulnerable

  Portugal rated as Junk by Moody’s                                          -25%


  France rating AAA, however the
  investor sentiment low

  Its government bond yield is high

  Part of the bailout fund European
  Financial Stability Facility (EFSF)

   Focus on the upcoming bond auctions in order to the judge the
   investor sentiments
                                                                                           Impact of
                                Review &
Introduction   CAC Family                        Performance   Components   Calculations   Eurozone
                            Selection Criteria
                                                                                             Crisis
Presented By:
            Apoorva Sharma
            Deepika Misra
Thank You   Devika Bhatia
            Gohan Kumar
            Kartikey Bhargava
            Nikhil Marwah

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CAC 40

  • 2. Contents Introduction CAC Family Review and Selection Criteria Performance Components Calculations Impact of Eurozone Crisis
  • 3. Introduction French stock market index CAC 40: Continuous Assisted Quotation Launched on 31 December 1987 with base value of 1000 1st December 2003 Total Market Free Float Cap Market Cap Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 4. Introduction Index Type Price Index Governance Structure Conseil Scientifique & NYSE Euronext Weighting Free float adjusted market cap Capping 15 % Calculation Frequency 15 s Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 5. CAC Family CAC 20  20 constituents  20 highest ranking companies not included in the CAC 40  Base date: 31/12/2002  Base level: 3000 CAC large 60  Companies included in CAC 40 and CAC Next 20  60 constituents  Base date: 03/01/2006  Base level: 5000 Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 6. CAC Family CAC mid 60  The 60 highest raking companies not included in the CAC Large 60  60 constituents  Base date: 31/12/2002  Base level: 3000 SBF 120  All companies included in CAC Large 60 and CAC Mid 60  120 constituents  Base date: 28/12/1990  Base level: 1000 Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 7. CAC Family CAC small  Continuation of the CAC Small 90 since March 2011  Companies not included in SBF 120  Variable constituents  Base date: 31/12/2002  Base level: 3000 CAC mid & small  Continuation of CAC Mid & Small 190 since March 2011  All companies included in CAC Mid 60 and CAC Small  Variable constituents  Base date 30/12/2002  Base level 3000 Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 8. Review and Selection Review  To ensure that selection and weighting reflects the underlying market or market segment  Annual Review: Effective after close of 3rd Friday of September  Quarterly Reviews: Effective after close of 3rd Friday of December, March, and June Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 9. Review and Selection Selection Basis:  Combined Ranking:  the value of Regulated Turnover observed over a 12- month period  the free float adjusted market capitalization on the Review Date  Minimum Trading Velocity  Minimum Free Float Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 10. CAC 40 : Index and Events Dot Com Bubble Subprime Crisis Eurozone Crisis Free Float Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 11. Performance Average Yearly Volatility (%) 40 30 20 10 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Annual Return % Best Performance Since 2000 1 year Performance Date -23.39 2 years Day 11.18% 13/10/2008 -11.20 3 years Month 13.41% October 2002 -3.96 5 years Year 20.86% Q3 2009 -9.33 10 years -3.81 Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 12. CAC40 v/s GDP Growth Rate v/s Govt Bond yield 6 6000 5 5000 4 3 4000 2 GDP Growth rate (%) 1 3000 Govt Bond yield 0 CAC40 2000 -1 -2 1000 -3 -4 0
  • 13. Components Components – Industry wise Financial 2 3 Communicatios 4 Utilities 9 Consumer, Non Cyclical Consumer, Cyclical 4 Basic Material Diversified 2 Energy 1 Industrial 6 2 Technology 4 Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 14. Company Wise Analysis Co. TOTAL SANOFI – BNP Paribus Aventis Sector Oil & Gas Healthcare Banking Rank (as per mcap) /Weight 1/ 13.5 2/ 9.92 3/ 5.15 (%) Mcap (in Euro million) 84,176.42 65,239.44 31,220.08 Shares Outstanding (million) 2,358.54 1,341.04 1,207.74 Beta .67 .58 1.39 52 week: High – Low (in Euro) 44.55 – 29.40 56.82 – 42.85 59.93 – 22.72 P/e ratio 6.69 13.58 4.77 Dividend Yield (%) 6.39 5.18 8.12 Dividend Payout Ratio (%) 53.21 - 39.49 Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 15. Recommendation/ Co. TOTAL SANOFI – Aventis BNP Paribus Nov’ 11 Aug’ 11 Nov’ 11 Aug’ 11 Nov’ 11 Aug’ 11 Buy 13 12 12 13 18 16 Outperform 6 4 6 4 2 3 Hold 19 18 9 11 8 10 Underperform 2 2 0 1 2 1 Sell 1 1 1 0 0 0
  • 16. Calculations The general formula for Price Index: Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 17. Calculations The total return index calculation Transpose the announced dividend payment into index points The dividend is assumed to be reinvested at the close of the ex-date Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 18. Comparisons with Europe Market Cap Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 19. Impact of Eurozone Crisis German Bond Auction flopped Italy new government – vulnerable Portugal rated as Junk by Moody’s -25% France rating AAA, however the investor sentiment low Its government bond yield is high Part of the bailout fund European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) Focus on the upcoming bond auctions in order to the judge the investor sentiments Impact of Review & Introduction CAC Family Performance Components Calculations Eurozone Selection Criteria Crisis
  • 20. Presented By: Apoorva Sharma Deepika Misra Thank You Devika Bhatia Gohan Kumar Kartikey Bhargava Nikhil Marwah

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. We still need to discuss the Eps bit, so marked it in black. If the need be we’ll remove it tmrw!