Blaise Pascal's wager argues that it is rational to believe in God due to the risk/reward of the possible outcomes. He outlines four possibilities: believing in God and being correct, believing in God and being incorrect, not believing in God and being incorrect, and not believing in God and being correct. The only way to "win" or receive the reward is to believe in God, while not believing risks losing or receiving punishment. However, the wager assumes there is only one God and religion and does not consider the consequences of believing in the wrong system. It is also criticized for being an oversimplification that reduces religious belief to a mathematical calculation.