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Arctic vegetation along two long bioclimatic transects in North America and Russia Prof. D.A. (Skip) Walker, Fulbright Scholar Alaska Geobotany Center,  Institute of Arctic Biology, University of Alaska Fulbright Lecture Masaryk University, 10 March 2011
Overview of talk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The International Polar Year (2007-2009) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
IPY goals ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Research supported ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Honeycomb chart of IPY projects ,[object Object],Greening of the ArctIc
Greening of the Arctic IPY intiative ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Two transects through all 5 Arctic bioclimate subzones Bioclimate subzones Sub- Zone MJT  Shrubs  A 1-3 ˚C  none B  3-5 ˚C prostrate dwarf-shrubs C 5-7 ˚C hemi-prostrate dwarf shrubs D 7-9 ˚C erect dwarf-shrubs E 9-12 ˚C low-shrubs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],CAVM Team 2003
Major goal of the Greening of the Arctic project:   Link spatial and temporal trends of NDVI observed on AVHRR satellite images to ground observations along both transects. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],5 N-factor Biomass Plant species cover NDVI and LAI Active layer depth Soil characterization Site characterizatiion Permafrost boreholes
Focus of this talk ,[object Object],[object Object]
Trend in Arctic sea-ice  Since 1980, perennial sea ice extent in the Arctic has declined at the rate of 10.1% per decade, and area trend is -11.4% decade.  2007 2007 minimum sea-ice extent, 4.5 million km2. NSIDC.  Comiso et al. 2008,  Geophysical Research Letters  35: L01703.
The Arctic tundra is a maritime biome ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Map by Hilmar Maier. Walker, D. A., 2005. The Circumpolar Arctic Vegetation Map. Journal of Vegetation Science.
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI): An index of greenness CAVM Team. 2003 In general, land cover with high reflectance in the NIR and low reflectance in the visible portion of the spectrum has dense green vegetation. Reflectance spectra of common ground-cover types Normalized Difference Vegetation Index NDVI =  (NIR - VIS) / (NIR + VIS) NIR  = spectral reflectance in the near-infrared band (0.7 - 1.1µm), where light scattering from the cell-structure of the leaves dominates.  VIS  = reflectance in the visible, chlorophyll-absorbing portion of the spectrum (0.4 to 0.7µm). Circumpolar patterns of NDVI
Time series of peak NDVI for northern Alaska (1981-2001)   Jia et al. 2003  Geophysical Research Letters.  30: 2067. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],NDVI vs. Time in Bioclimate Subzones C, D, and E Temperature vs.  Time in Subzones C, D, and E
Time series of peak NDVI anomalies in the tundra and boreal forest (1981-2005)   Bunn et al. 2007.  EOS.  Northern high latitude ecosystems respond to climate change. 88: 333-335. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Green: increasing NDVI Red: decreasing NDVI White: no trend
Skepticism regarding the NDVI trends ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
There still is not a lot of direct evidence for change in Arctic vegetation. Photo – M. K. Raynolds   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],This is changing. In the past year, there have been several major syntheses from international research projects that are examining change. And these will be published soon.
GOA studies are focused along two Arctic transects.   CAVM Team. 2003 Transects in North America and Eurasia through all five bioclimate subzones as portrayed on the CAVM. Two Arctic Transects
NAAT was created during the Biocomplexity of Patterned-Ground project Howe Island, AK.  Photo; D.A. Walker ,[object Object],[object Object],Walker et al. 2008, JGR
Why focus on these dumb spots?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
IPY objectives of the  North America Arctic Transect ,[object Object],[object Object],Biomass, leaf-area, spectral data and other site information were collected from each site to provide a baseline against which to monitor future changes.
North American Arctic Transect Dalton Highway (7 locations) Arctic Bioclimate Subzones Canada Sub-zone MJT (˚C) SWI (˚C mo) A <3 <6 B 3-5 6-9 C 5-7 9-12 D 7-9 12-20 E 9-12 20-35 Forest >12 >35
North American Arctic Transect Activities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Isachsen Grid, Subzone A Photo D.A. Walker
Biocomplexity grids ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Happy Valley Grid ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Trend in patterned-ground along the Arctic bioclimate gradient Sub- zone:  A  B  C  D  E Drawings modified from Chernov and Matveyeva 1997  Small non-sorted polygons  Non-sorted circles  Earth hummocks
Subzone A Isachsen, Ellef Ringnes Island, mean July temperature = 3 ˚C, SWI = 4 ˚C mo
Subzone C Howe Island, Ak and Green Cabin, Banks Island, MJT, 8 ˚C, SWI = 16 ˚C mo
Subzone E Tuktuyaktuk, NWT, Happy Valley, AK, MJT = 12 ˚C, SWI = 30 ˚C mo
Vegetation component
The roles of vegetation in patterned formation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Bill Steere collecting  Bryum wrightii  on a frost boil at Prudhoe Bay, July, 1971. N, Matveyeva - Map and drawing of frost boil vegeation on the Taimyr Peninsula, Russia.
Martha Raynolds Anja Kade Vegetation mapping and analysis of  of active-layer/heave/vegetation relationships
Maps of vegetation, biomass, active layer and snow depth ,[object Object],[object Object]
Trends in biomass, snow depth, and thaw on zonal grids Subzone Biomass Active Layer Snow depth Active Layer Subzone ,[object Object],Raynolds et al. 2008,  JGR-Biogeosciences
NDVI along the NAAT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Random hand-held NDVI on zonal surfaces along the temperature gradient (no attention to PGFs) NDVI of patterned-ground  features and  nearby tundra  along the gradient Courtesy of Howie Epstein and Alexia Kelley I  A  I  B  I  C  I  D  I  E  I
Classification of patterned-ground vegetation along the NAAT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Plant communities Soil and site data
Plant species and cover  information for each plant community Kade et al. 2005, Plant communities and soils in cryoturbated tundra along a bioclimate gradient in the Low Arctic, Alaska.  Phytocoenologia , 35: 761-820.  Plant community table (cover) Classification according to Braun-Blanquet approach
Frost-boil plant communities, soil and site information Kade et al. 2005, Plant communities and soils in cryoturbated tundra along a bioclimate gradient in the Low Arctic, Alaska.  Phytocoenologia , 35: 761-820.  Plant communities Soil and site data
Landscapes in the Low Arctic examined by Anja Kade et al.  (2005) Photos by A. Kade Howe Island Subzone C Deadhorse Subzone D Happy Valley Subzone E
Summary of plant communities for the Low Arctic part of the transect Kade et al.  (2005) Of these, Anja described 5 communities occurring on patterned-ground features and 4 zonal communities occurring between patterned-ground features or on sites without patterned ground.
Somewhat different approach than previous studies  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Contrast in vegetation on and between frost features Kade et al 2005 Deadhorse Subzone C Braya purpurascens-Puccinellia angustata  community Dryas integrifolia-Salix arctica  community Nonsorted Circle Between Circles
Contrast in vegetation on and between frost features Kade et al 2005 Franklin Bluffs Subzone D Junco biglumis-Dryadetum integrifoliae  typicum subass. nov. Dryado integrifoliae-Caricetum bigelowii  Walker et al. 1994 Nonsorted Circle Between Circles
Contrast in vegetation on and between frost features Kade et al 2005 Happy Valley Subzone E Nonsorted Circle Between Circles Cladino-Vaccinietum vitis-idaeae  ass. nov. Sphagno-Eriophoretum vaginati  Walker et al. 1994
Plant species and cover  information for each plant community Kade et al. 2005, Plant communities and soils in cryoturbated tundra along a bioclimate gradient in the Low Arctic, Alaska.  Phytocoenologia , 35: 761-820.  Plant community table (cover) Classification according to Braun-Blanquet approach
DCA ordination and biplot of Low Arctic vegetation plots Subzone C Subzone E ∂ Subzone D ∂ ∂ ∂ Patterned-ground features Between pgf Kade et al 2005
Species richness and cover Kade et al 2005 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Selected soil physical properties
Selected soil chemical properties for
Ordination of zonal patterned ground vegetation: controlling environmental gradients along the full gradient ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Patterned-ground features Between patterned-ground features Intermediate Walker, D.A., Kuss, P., et al., 2011 (in revision), Vegetation and patterned-ground relationships along the Arctic bioclimate gradient in North America Applied Vegetation Science.
Four models of patterned ground formation Coupled Water-Ice-Temperature /  ArcVeg model,  Daanen et al. 2008 JGR Conceptual model of frost-boil and hummock formation,  Shur et al. 2008, NICOP proceedings Differential frost-heave model Peterson and Krantz, JGR 2008 Thermo-mechanical model, Nicolsky et al., JGR 2008 Each provides a unique perspective.
Conclusions from the NAAT:  Still a work in progress ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Synthesis of information from the   North American Arctic Transect ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Walker, D. A. et al. 2008. Arctic patterned-ground ecosystems: a synthesis of field studies and models along a North American Arctic Transect.  Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences  113:G03S01, doi10.1029/2007JG000504.
Expeditions and Timeline: Dalton Highway: 2001-2002 Green Cabin: 2003 Mould Bay: 2004 Isachsen: 2005 Synthesis: 2006-2008 2001-02 2003 2004 2005
Field Camp at Green Cabin, Banks Island
The Eurasia Arctic Transect: Vegetation Analysis and Mapping D.A. Walker, H.E. Epstein, H. A. Maier, G.V. Frost, M.K. Raynolds, U.S. Bhatt, J. Comiso, R. Daanen, D.S. Drozdov, B. Forbes, A.A. Gubarkov, G. Jia, E. Kaarlejarvi, O. Khitun, A.V. Khomutov, P. Kuss, M.O. Leibman, G. Matyshak, N.G. Moskalenko, P. Orekhov, J.E. Pinzon, V.E. Romanovsky, C.J. Tucker, N.G. Ukraintseva, Q. Yu Yamal Peninsula, Russia. Photo: D.A. Walker
Overview of EAT effort ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Eurasia Arctic Transect ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Much of project focuses on greenness patterns and change using the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Plants absorb red light and reflect NIR radiation.
A hierarchical approach to examining greenness patterns and change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Multiple-scale analysis of Yamal NDVI:  1-km AVHRR NDVI derived from CAVM data set ,[object Object],Circumpolar MaxNDVI ,[object Object],[object Object],Courtesy of M.K. Raynolds. 2010.
Analysis of 1-km NDVI with Landschaft and CAVM map units ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Courtesy of M.K. Raynolds. 2010.  NDVI with Landschaft boundaries NDVI on marine terrace uplands and drainages of differing soil texture
Enhanced TM (15-m) derived maps of Ostrov Belyy ,[object Object],False-color image ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Land-cover map NDVI map
Land-cover mapping with 30-m Landsat TM data ,[object Object],GLS-1990 mosaic Land-cover maps of Yamal study locations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. Extensive nutrient-poor surface sands with lichens that are easily overgrazed by reindeer. 2. Underlain by permafrost with massive pure ice.  3. Extensive landslides are rapidly eroding the landscape.  4. This exposes salt-rich and nutrient-rich clays.  5. Complex vegetation succession process that results in willow-shrub tundra and much greener vegetation in the eroded valleys.   High-ice Permafrost Landscapes Photos: D.A. Walker  and M. Liebman (upper right)
Extensive azonal willow shrublands due to landslide disturbances Greening associated with eroded sandy uplands
Landslides and cryogenic erosion Photos D.A. Walker Strong greening on landslide slopes cover extensive areas of the Yamal. ,[object Object],[object Object],Key: A – stable areas B – shear surface C – landslide body Before landslides After  landslides Low-willow shrublands develop on landslides during 200-yr succession, greatly changing biomass and NDVI. Ukraintseva and Leibman et al. 2000, 2007, 2008 Biomass 1 – young landslide 2 – old landslide 3 – very old landslide
Snow, hydrology, NDVI relationships in landslide areas RESURS-01 image, spring, unknown date ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New High Resolultion GeoEye image of Vaskiny Dachi area clearly shows erosion patterns Vaskiny Dachi ,[object Object]
Erosional patterns are clearly discernable on GeoEye scene. Vaskiny Dachi Should permit analysis of rate of erosion and related greening.
Other factors affecting greenness patterns:  (1) 300,000 reindeer on the Yamal Photos:  Bruce Forbes. Overgrazing Trampling Grassification Wind erosion ,[object Object],[object Object]
Nenets camp on Yamal in  Salix  low shrub tundra Reindeer grazing  Salix  thickets in Nenets Okrug. If they grow over ≈ 2 m high, herders can lose sight of animals. The changes in willow growth  are affecting reindeer management. Forbes et al. 2009  PNAS , ENSINOR project Photos courtesy of Bruce Forbes.
Other factors affecting greening patterns:  (2) Impacts of gas development  Timo Kumpula: Yamal LCLUC Workshop, Moscow, 28-30 Jan 2008 .   ,[object Object],[object Object]
Analysis of biomass and NDVI trends across the climate gradient NDVI & LAI Soils Field data collected: Plant Biomass  Ground temperatures Active layer Plant Cover
2010 Expedition to Hayes Island, Franz Josef Land ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Typical layout of transects and plots at each site ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Soil pit
EAT data reports ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Spatial patterns of biomass and NDVI:  EAT transect biomass ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Biomass (G m^2) Total  live and dead  above-ground biomass including trees Total  live  above-ground biomass Zonal  loamy sites   Subzone  FT  E  D  C  B   Understory only Zonal  loamy sites
Vegetation Analysis: NMS Ordination of tundra study plots based on floristic similarity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],JJ Frost et al. 2010, Yamal LCLUC Workshop
Ordination with biplot arrows showing environmental relationships ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],JJ Frost et al. 2010, Yamal LCLUC Workshop
Ordination space interpreted as an environmental space with clear bioclimate and soil texture gradients ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],JJ Frost et al. 2010, Yamal LCLUC Workshop USDA Soil Texture Triangle Subzone E Subzone D Subzone C Subzone B Loamy Sandy
Ordination with bipolot plant-variables and NDVI correlations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],JJ Frost et al. 2010, Yamal LCLUC Workshop NDVI
Significant relationships between hand-held NDVI measurements and other variables ,[object Object],[object Object],Key variables
Toward a synthesis of the two transects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Field studies along two 1800-km Arctic transects ,[object Object],North America Arctic Transect: 2002-2006  Biocomplexity of Arctic Patterned Ground Ecosystems Project (NSF). Eurasian Arctic Transect:  2007-2010, Greening of Arctic (NASA).  Both transects through all five Arctic bioclimate subzones.
Zonal vegetation along both transects   Eurasia Transect A - Hayes Island  B - Ostrov Belyy  C – Kharasavey D - Vaskiny Dachi   E - Laborovaya North America transect A -  Isachsen  B-  Mould Bay  C - Green Cabin  D - Sagwon MNT  E - Happy Valley
Summer Warmth Index  Vegetation (CAVM Team 2003) Variation in summer land temperature and vegetation along the transects
Differences between the transects: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Plot-level biomass trends along EAT and NAAT NAAT EAT
[object Object],NAAT EAT Differences between EAT and NAAT
Comparison of EAT and NAAT Hand-held NDVI vs. biomass, and LAI ,[object Object]
Comparison of EAT and NAAT Leaf Area Index vs. Biomass ,[object Object],[object Object]
Comparison of EAT and NAAT 1-km AVHRR NDVI & biomass, vs. summer warmth index ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Comparison of EAT and NAAT: 1-km AVHRR NDVI and zonal landscape-scale biomass ,[object Object]
Use of ground data to calibrate regional AVHRR-NDVI /biomass data
Circumpolar aboveground biomass derived from NDVI Raynolds et al. 2011 submitted, Geophysical Research Letters
Temporal analysis of NDVI change with respect to summer  sea ice and land temperatures Arctic Tundra Vegetation March Sea-Ice Extent Sea Ice: http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/figures/seaice2009fig1.jpg Vegetation and NDVI: http://www.arcticatlas.org/maps/themes/cp/cpvg ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Max NDVI
Study Framework: Division of Arctic Ocean and associated land masses Uma Bhatt, D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, J. Comiso, H.E. Epstein, G.J., Jia, J. Pinzon, and C.J. Tucker,  2010, Earth Interactions. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Changes in summer land-surface temperature (1982-2010)
Temporal patterns  of NDVI in relationship to changes in area of summer   open water Walker et al. 2011.  Bulletin American Meteorological Society.  State of the Climate . New analysis based on new GIMMS 3g AVHRR NDVI data by Pinzon et al. 2010 (in progress) and sea ice data by Comiso et al. 2010. Pct. Change MaxNDVI (1982-2010) 26% increase +4% increase Beaufort Kara Beaufort  Kara Oceans: % change of May-Aug open water (1982-2010) Tundra land areas: % change in TI-NDVI (1982-2010) From Bhatt et al. 2010,  AGU Fall Meeting
Percentage change (based on least squares fit method) in coastal open water, land temperatures, and NDVI and significance of trends ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Walker et al. 2011, BAMS State of the Climate, in prep.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Collaborations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Děkuji!

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Bot deptlecture20110310(1)

  • 1. Arctic vegetation along two long bioclimatic transects in North America and Russia Prof. D.A. (Skip) Walker, Fulbright Scholar Alaska Geobotany Center, Institute of Arctic Biology, University of Alaska Fulbright Lecture Masaryk University, 10 March 2011
  • 2.
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  • 8.
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  • 11. Trend in Arctic sea-ice Since 1980, perennial sea ice extent in the Arctic has declined at the rate of 10.1% per decade, and area trend is -11.4% decade. 2007 2007 minimum sea-ice extent, 4.5 million km2. NSIDC. Comiso et al. 2008, Geophysical Research Letters 35: L01703.
  • 12.
  • 13. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI): An index of greenness CAVM Team. 2003 In general, land cover with high reflectance in the NIR and low reflectance in the visible portion of the spectrum has dense green vegetation. Reflectance spectra of common ground-cover types Normalized Difference Vegetation Index NDVI = (NIR - VIS) / (NIR + VIS) NIR = spectral reflectance in the near-infrared band (0.7 - 1.1µm), where light scattering from the cell-structure of the leaves dominates. VIS = reflectance in the visible, chlorophyll-absorbing portion of the spectrum (0.4 to 0.7µm). Circumpolar patterns of NDVI
  • 14.
  • 15.
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  • 17.
  • 18. GOA studies are focused along two Arctic transects. CAVM Team. 2003 Transects in North America and Eurasia through all five bioclimate subzones as portrayed on the CAVM. Two Arctic Transects
  • 19.
  • 20. Why focus on these dumb spots?
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. North American Arctic Transect Dalton Highway (7 locations) Arctic Bioclimate Subzones Canada Sub-zone MJT (˚C) SWI (˚C mo) A <3 <6 B 3-5 6-9 C 5-7 9-12 D 7-9 12-20 E 9-12 20-35 Forest >12 >35
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. Trend in patterned-ground along the Arctic bioclimate gradient Sub- zone: A B C D E Drawings modified from Chernov and Matveyeva 1997 Small non-sorted polygons Non-sorted circles Earth hummocks
  • 27. Subzone A Isachsen, Ellef Ringnes Island, mean July temperature = 3 ˚C, SWI = 4 ˚C mo
  • 28. Subzone C Howe Island, Ak and Green Cabin, Banks Island, MJT, 8 ˚C, SWI = 16 ˚C mo
  • 29. Subzone E Tuktuyaktuk, NWT, Happy Valley, AK, MJT = 12 ˚C, SWI = 30 ˚C mo
  • 31.
  • 32. Martha Raynolds Anja Kade Vegetation mapping and analysis of of active-layer/heave/vegetation relationships
  • 33.
  • 34.
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  • 37. Plant species and cover information for each plant community Kade et al. 2005, Plant communities and soils in cryoturbated tundra along a bioclimate gradient in the Low Arctic, Alaska. Phytocoenologia , 35: 761-820. Plant community table (cover) Classification according to Braun-Blanquet approach
  • 38. Frost-boil plant communities, soil and site information Kade et al. 2005, Plant communities and soils in cryoturbated tundra along a bioclimate gradient in the Low Arctic, Alaska. Phytocoenologia , 35: 761-820. Plant communities Soil and site data
  • 39. Landscapes in the Low Arctic examined by Anja Kade et al. (2005) Photos by A. Kade Howe Island Subzone C Deadhorse Subzone D Happy Valley Subzone E
  • 40. Summary of plant communities for the Low Arctic part of the transect Kade et al. (2005) Of these, Anja described 5 communities occurring on patterned-ground features and 4 zonal communities occurring between patterned-ground features or on sites without patterned ground.
  • 41.
  • 42. Contrast in vegetation on and between frost features Kade et al 2005 Deadhorse Subzone C Braya purpurascens-Puccinellia angustata community Dryas integrifolia-Salix arctica community Nonsorted Circle Between Circles
  • 43. Contrast in vegetation on and between frost features Kade et al 2005 Franklin Bluffs Subzone D Junco biglumis-Dryadetum integrifoliae typicum subass. nov. Dryado integrifoliae-Caricetum bigelowii Walker et al. 1994 Nonsorted Circle Between Circles
  • 44. Contrast in vegetation on and between frost features Kade et al 2005 Happy Valley Subzone E Nonsorted Circle Between Circles Cladino-Vaccinietum vitis-idaeae ass. nov. Sphagno-Eriophoretum vaginati Walker et al. 1994
  • 45. Plant species and cover information for each plant community Kade et al. 2005, Plant communities and soils in cryoturbated tundra along a bioclimate gradient in the Low Arctic, Alaska. Phytocoenologia , 35: 761-820. Plant community table (cover) Classification according to Braun-Blanquet approach
  • 46. DCA ordination and biplot of Low Arctic vegetation plots Subzone C Subzone E ∂ Subzone D ∂ ∂ ∂ Patterned-ground features Between pgf Kade et al 2005
  • 47.
  • 49. Selected soil chemical properties for
  • 50.
  • 51. Four models of patterned ground formation Coupled Water-Ice-Temperature / ArcVeg model, Daanen et al. 2008 JGR Conceptual model of frost-boil and hummock formation, Shur et al. 2008, NICOP proceedings Differential frost-heave model Peterson and Krantz, JGR 2008 Thermo-mechanical model, Nicolsky et al., JGR 2008 Each provides a unique perspective.
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54. Expeditions and Timeline: Dalton Highway: 2001-2002 Green Cabin: 2003 Mould Bay: 2004 Isachsen: 2005 Synthesis: 2006-2008 2001-02 2003 2004 2005
  • 55. Field Camp at Green Cabin, Banks Island
  • 56. The Eurasia Arctic Transect: Vegetation Analysis and Mapping D.A. Walker, H.E. Epstein, H. A. Maier, G.V. Frost, M.K. Raynolds, U.S. Bhatt, J. Comiso, R. Daanen, D.S. Drozdov, B. Forbes, A.A. Gubarkov, G. Jia, E. Kaarlejarvi, O. Khitun, A.V. Khomutov, P. Kuss, M.O. Leibman, G. Matyshak, N.G. Moskalenko, P. Orekhov, J.E. Pinzon, V.E. Romanovsky, C.J. Tucker, N.G. Ukraintseva, Q. Yu Yamal Peninsula, Russia. Photo: D.A. Walker
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65. 1. Extensive nutrient-poor surface sands with lichens that are easily overgrazed by reindeer. 2. Underlain by permafrost with massive pure ice. 3. Extensive landslides are rapidly eroding the landscape. 4. This exposes salt-rich and nutrient-rich clays. 5. Complex vegetation succession process that results in willow-shrub tundra and much greener vegetation in the eroded valleys. High-ice Permafrost Landscapes Photos: D.A. Walker and M. Liebman (upper right)
  • 66. Extensive azonal willow shrublands due to landslide disturbances Greening associated with eroded sandy uplands
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 69.
  • 70. Erosional patterns are clearly discernable on GeoEye scene. Vaskiny Dachi Should permit analysis of rate of erosion and related greening.
  • 71.
  • 72. Nenets camp on Yamal in Salix low shrub tundra Reindeer grazing Salix thickets in Nenets Okrug. If they grow over ≈ 2 m high, herders can lose sight of animals. The changes in willow growth are affecting reindeer management. Forbes et al. 2009 PNAS , ENSINOR project Photos courtesy of Bruce Forbes.
  • 73.
  • 74. Analysis of biomass and NDVI trends across the climate gradient NDVI & LAI Soils Field data collected: Plant Biomass Ground temperatures Active layer Plant Cover
  • 75.
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  • 77.
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  • 81.
  • 82.
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 85.
  • 86. Zonal vegetation along both transects Eurasia Transect A - Hayes Island B - Ostrov Belyy C – Kharasavey D - Vaskiny Dachi E - Laborovaya North America transect A - Isachsen B- Mould Bay C - Green Cabin D - Sagwon MNT E - Happy Valley
  • 87. Summer Warmth Index Vegetation (CAVM Team 2003) Variation in summer land temperature and vegetation along the transects
  • 88.
  • 89.
  • 90.
  • 91.
  • 92.
  • 93.
  • 94. Use of ground data to calibrate regional AVHRR-NDVI /biomass data
  • 95. Circumpolar aboveground biomass derived from NDVI Raynolds et al. 2011 submitted, Geophysical Research Letters
  • 96.
  • 97.
  • 98. Changes in summer land-surface temperature (1982-2010)
  • 99. Temporal patterns of NDVI in relationship to changes in area of summer open water Walker et al. 2011. Bulletin American Meteorological Society. State of the Climate . New analysis based on new GIMMS 3g AVHRR NDVI data by Pinzon et al. 2010 (in progress) and sea ice data by Comiso et al. 2010. Pct. Change MaxNDVI (1982-2010) 26% increase +4% increase Beaufort Kara Beaufort Kara Oceans: % change of May-Aug open water (1982-2010) Tundra land areas: % change in TI-NDVI (1982-2010) From Bhatt et al. 2010, AGU Fall Meeting
  • 100.
  • 101.
  • 102.

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. This talk focus on factors that affect small patterned-ground forms and their interactions across a bioclimate gradient in northern Alaska and the western Canadian Arctic. This is a collaborative effort by team members of an NSF-funded biocomplextiy project.
  2. Ground observations were conducted along two transects through all 5 Arctic bioclimate subzones as defined by the Circumpolar Arctic Vegetation Map (Walker et al. 2005). The subzones are defined by difference in the dominant plant growth forms on zonal sites and by the mean July temperatures.
  3. The focus of this talk is the ground measurements of biomass, NDVI, and leaf area index and their correlations with observations from space mainly with the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer measurements.
  4. This view of the Arctic was reconstructed from SSMI satellite imagery taken during the minimum sea ice event in September 2007, which was by far the least .extemt of ice recorded. It shows a large ice free area north of Alaska and much of eastern Russia in the Beaufort, East Siberia and Laptev Seas . Joey Comiso at NASA-Goddard has traced the extent of perennial ice since the beginning of satellite observations in 1980 and shows a -10.1% / decade decline in the extent of sea ice and an 11.4% decline in the area.
  5. If the melting of the sea ice continues, we may see an ice free Arctic Ocean in late summer within our life times as portrayed on this vegetation map of the Arctic Tundra. What is striking in this polar view of the Arctic Tundra Biome is the close proximity of all the biome to the Arctic Ocean or seasonally frozen sea water. It really is a maritime biome. This map gives a good impression of just how closely tied the tundra biome is to the ocean. 61% of the tundra is within 50 km of sea ice (blue buffer), 80% is within 100 km (magenta and blue buffers), and 100% is within 350 km. Upland areas above 333 m (gray areas) were excluded from the analysis because these area experience sufficient adiabatic cooling to shift to colder elevation belts.
  6. (Left) The best tools we have for looking at Arctic wide vegetation change are the multi-channel sensors aboard earth orbiting satellites that sense in the visible and near infrared portions of the electromagnetic spectrum. This graph shows the reflectance of several common ground cover types. Those types with a lot of chlorophyll have spectra similar to those shown by the red and green lines (alfalfa and maple trees). Green vegetation in general tends to reflect strongly in the near infrared portion of the spectrum apparently due to light scattering at the cell level within the leaves, and the amount of reflectance in the NIR varies considerably between species and can be used to help identify species. Chlorophyll also strongly absorbs light in the red portion of the spectrum. And the difference in the reflectance in the Infrared and Visible is an index of the amount of green vegetation in a given pixel. Normalizing by the sum of the NIR and VIS channel helps to account for the affects of shadows and the affects of different lighting on slopes. (Right) This circumpolar view of NDVI focuses on the tundra region. It was derived from images taken during two relatively warm years in the Arctic, and shows the Arctic a maximum greenness. Most other views have shown the tundra only as part of the global patterns, so variations within the tundra are minimized. This view shows the strong differences across the Arctic tundra zone. The blue colors a sparse vegetation generally found in the High Arctic, the greens and yellows indicate more peaty tundra types of the low arctic. The oranges and reds are the shrub tundras, many of which occur in permafrost free areas of the Arctic. As you can see there is a lot spatial variability in the NDVI. Some of these differences are caused by climate and some is caused by many other factors suc as areas of recent glaciation, mountain ranges, wetlands, and the influence of ocean and atmospheric circulation patterns. The greening of the Arctic project is focusing on the spatial variation of NDVI and “how has the patterned changed in recent years?”
  7. This study by Jiong Jia prompted this interest in NDVI. The top graph traces the history of Maximum (Peak) NDVI values in the three major bioclimate subzones and the average for the entire Arctic Slope of Alaska. The bottom line in the top graph represents is the 20-yr record of MaxNDVI derived from AVHRR 8-km data in the coldest subzone near the coast and the top line is the warmest subzone in the foothills. The top blue line is the average Peak NDVI for the whole of the Arctic Slope. There is an average 17 ± 6% increase in NDVI across all of the Arctic Slope. Based on regressions of biomass vs. NDVI from the same study, this corresponds to about an average 170 g m-2 increase in biomass. The bottom graph shows the long-term temperature data from three stations in each of the subzones, Barrow in subzone C, Prudhoe Bay in subzone D, and Umiat in Subzone E. The shaded area corresponds to the same time interval shown in the top graph. And the red and blue arrows show positive and negative fluctuations in the yearly temperature which correspond to responses of the NDVI. These are the best data currently available that demonstrate a regional change in the vegetation over the past few decades. However, they are from only a small part of the Arctic, all of which is in the Low Arctic.
  8. This study by Jiong Jia prompted this interest in NDVI. The top graph traces the history of Maximum (Peak) NDVI values in the three major bioclimate subzones and the average for the entire Arctic Slope of Alaska. The bottom line in the top graph represents is the 20-yr record of MaxNDVI derived from AVHRR 8-km data in the coldest subzone near the coast and the top line is the warmest subzone in the foothills. The top blue line is the average Peak NDVI for the whole of the Arctic Slope. There is an average 17 ± 6% increase in NDVI across all of the Arctic Slope. Based on regressions of biomass vs. NDVI from the same study, this corresponds to about an average 170 g m-2 increase in biomass. The bottom graph shows the long-term temperature data from three stations in each of the subzones, Barrow in subzone C, Prudhoe Bay in subzone D, and Umiat in Subzone E. The shaded area corresponds to the same time interval shown in the top graph. And the red and blue arrows show positive and negative fluctuations in the yearly temperature which correspond to responses of the NDVI. These are the best data currently available that demonstrate a regional change in the vegetation over the past few decades. However, they are from only a small part of the Arctic, all of which is in the Low Arctic.
  9. There are no replicated long-term studies of tundra biomass or community composition that can be directly linked to the NDVI changes. Permanent vegetation study areas need to be established where the structure, composition, and biomass of the natural vegetation are sampled on a regular basis. Sampling areas need to be established across the Arctic with the focus on zonal vegetation, but also with consideration of other regionally important factors such as soil moisture and soil texture. These could be done in conjunction with ongoing studies of the International Tundra Experiment (ITEX), the Circumpolar Active Layer Monitoring (CALM) program, or other terrestrial research projects that are global in scale. . Greenness of the circumpolar tundra region, as mapped with the NDVI (Fig. 7), shows clear but complex patterns related to bioclimate zonation, mountains, soils, abundance of lakes, bedrock geology, and permafrost regimes. The relative roles of these interacting factors in affecting present-day NDVI patterns and patterns of temporal NDVI change need to be better understood. 3. It is not entirely clear how much of the change in NDVI has been due to calibration problems and/or changes in the atmosphere that would affect the NDVI. NASA has produced a new time series of global NDVI data from 1981-2003 that has been recalibrated and should be used to repeat the analyses conducted earlier. Other approaches would be to examine the historical NDVI records in regions that have been showing warming and cooling trends during the length of satellite-based observations. 4. Numerous lines of evidence point to recent greening and expansion of shrubs in northern Alaska, but the short-term of both the NDVI record (20 years) and the photographic record (50 years) make it impossible to determine if this is an extension of long-term changes that have been going on through the Holocene, or if the changes have been greater during the past few years. Studies linking NDVI to the paleo-record of change in the Arctic (e.g., Bigelow et al. 2003) would help in understanding the likely historic trends of NDVI. Models of predicted future changes to NDVI in response to climate change need to be developed based on past response and knowledge of how these responses vary regionally, particularly along the north-south Arctic bioclimate gradient, but also with respect to soil moisture gradients and other terrain variables mentioned above. 5. Changes in global patterns of tundra greenness are linked to a variety of geophysical and biological properties, such as changes to soil temperature regimes, snow regimes, changes to hydrological regimes, and decomposition rates. Continued experimental studies of the mechanisms involved in vegetation change such as those of the ITEX program (e.g. Hollister et al. 2005, Wahren et al. 2005, Walker, M.D. et al. 2005 in press) need to be closely linked to studies of NDVI, vegetation structure, and species composition. Finally, returning to the themes introduced at the beginning of this paper, in order to understand the relevance of these changes to the broader system, we need to link the observed changes in the patterns of NDVI to such things as the distribution and abundance of wildlife (e.g. Griffith et al. 2002), runoff to the Arctic Ocean, the active layer (e.g., Nelson et al. 1987), and the nature of the permafrost. We also need to specifically analyze and quantify the linkages between ongoing change in the arctic ocean, sea-ice, and terrestrial systems.
  10. Much of the change in the Alaska is thought to be due to changes in shrub cover. Ken Tape, Matthew Sturm and Chuck Racine have shown Over 30% increase in shrub cover on stable valley slopes dramatic increase in shrub cover on river terraces, colonization by new alders. less cover of sandbars, more vegetation in river floodplains
  11. We had these two primary questions: How do biological and physical processes interact to form the patterned ground ecosystems? How do these systems change across the Arctic climate gradient?
  12. Why focus on small patterned-ground features? The processes involved in the formation of patterned-ground landscapes are not well understood. The importance of patterned ground with respect to biogeochemical cycling, carbon sequestration and other ecosystem processes is poorly known. They are an ideal natural system to to help predict the consequences of climate change of disturbed and undisturbed tundra.
  13. Why focus on small patterned-ground features? The processes involved in the formation of patterned-ground landscapes are not well understood. The importance of patterned ground with respect to biogeochemical cycling, carbon sequestration and other ecosystem processes is poorly known. They are an ideal natural system to to help predict the consequences of climate change of disturbed and undisturbed tundra.
  14. The patterned ground forms change along the transect in a predictable way. This diagram of the changes on zonal surfaces along the climate gradient is adapted from Nadya Matveyeva’s work that described the transitions on the Taimyr Peninsula in Russia. Her conceptual model also fits the situation in North America quite well. Generally, at the northern end of the transect we see a dominance of small non-sorted polygons formed by cracking processes. Toward the middle of the transect, we see larger features that are formed by differential frost heaving with a strong increase in the amount of vegetation particularly around the margins of the heave features. And in the southern part of the gradient, vegetation overtops the features.
  15. Plant cover: Insulates the surface decreasing the heat flux and summer soil temperatures. stabilizes cryoturbation and limits needle-ice formation. Promotes nitrogen and carbon inputs to the soil. The effect of vegetation on patterned ground morphology increases toward the south.
  16. These are maps of three of the grids that show the vegetation, active layer and snow depths There are two posters that will be presented tomorrow that show the trends in the vegetation and morphology of patterned ground along the transect. Corinne Munger’s poster presents the maps and analysis. Martha Raynolds poster presents many photographs of the patterned ground forms along the temperature and moisture gradients.
  17. Biomass affects NDVI along the transect. The NDVI is a measure of vegetation greenness that is derived from the difference in the reflectance of plants in the red and near-infrared portions of the electromagnetic spectrum. More dense vegetation generally has higher NDVI values. These graphs show some of the work of Howie Epstein and Alexia Kelley: T he upper graph shows that there is about a 2-fold increase in the average NDVI of vegetation on zonal surfaces along the transect, with quite a bit of scatter. Much of the scatter is due to small-scale variations caused by patterned ground. The lower graph shows the NDVI on and between patterned ground features. The contrast in NDVI on patterned ground features (gray bars) vs. the tundra between features (green bars) decreases toward the south.
  18. Plant cover affects the morphology of patterned ground in two primary ways: 1. Insulates the surface decreasing the heat flux and summer soil temperatures. 2. Stabilizes the soils and limits cryoturbation and needle-ice formation. Promotes nitrogen and carbon inputs to the soil. The effect of vegetation on patterned ground morphology increases toward the south.
  19. Extraordinarily Sensitive Permafrost Landscapes: Extensive nutrient-poor surface sands with lichens that are easily overgrazed by reindeer. Underlain by permafrost with massive pure ice. Extensive landslides are rapidly eroding the landscape. This exposes salt-rich and nutrient-rich clays. Complex vegetation succession process that results in willow-shrub tundra in the interior parts of the peninsula.
  20. Willow communities on old landslides at Vaskiny Dachi Low-willow shrublands develop on landslides during 200-yr succession, greatly changing biomass and NDVI.
  21. SnowDrainageNetwork: d9009DSC_0755.jpg Small drainage with snow and willows: d9009DSC_0457.jpg Green drainage networks: d9009DSC_0976.jpg Detail of Russian satellite image with snow in drainages: DetailRussianSatellite imageWithSnowInDrainages.png (GOA/NASA_LCLUC_NEESPI/2010RovaniemiWorkshop/SkipRovaniemiTalk/RovaniemiTalkPhotos/DisturbedAreas
  22. There are numerous effects of all these animals, including Overgrazing and Trampling of the vegetation Transformation of previous sedge and shrub-dominated tundra vegetation into grasslands Wind erosion of the some of he trampled areas. Some of these effects are be quantified using remote sensing tools by Timo Kumpula
  23. The changes in willow growth are affecting reindeer management. If they grow over ≈ 2 m high, herders can lose sight of animals. Extensive willow shrublands are avoided during migration..
  24. A large portion of the summer pastureland land of both of these brigades is no longer available to them. In general the Nenets see the changes going on due to both resource extraction and climate change. They recognize the threat of resource extraction to be a much greater threat than that of climate change. But there are also positive aspects of the resource development. In general the herders view the gas field activity positively because the influx of gas field workers provide a market for their reindeer that did not previously exist.
  25. The results from the expedition were summarized in a data report that is available on line.
  26. Especially our Russian colleagues who have made the Eurasia transect possible. In August 2010 we completed the second of the transects with an expedition to Franz Josef Land in northern Russia. This gave us observations from Bioclimate subzone A in Eurasia to compare with results from the same subzone in Canada. Other members of the team also drilled the northernmost permafrost borehole at 80˚ 37’ N.
  27. The map in the lower left shows the location of the North America and Eurasia Arctic transects. North America Arctic Transect: Completed in 2006 as part of the Biocomplexity of Arctic Patterned Ground Ecosystems Project (NSF). Eurasian Arctic Transect: Field seasons in 2007-2010 (NASA).
  28. The areas that we looked at on the ground were mainly zonal sites, those where the soils and vegetation correspond to the long-term climatic climax. These photos show representative sites along the Eurasia and North America transects in each bioclimate subzone.
  29. Our goal was to correlate the NDVI patterns with other remote sensing data such as the summer warmth index derived from the AVHRR thermal bands and a variety of the other information such as that contained in the Circumpolar Arctic Vegetation Map GIS data base.
  30. The biomass data from the transects were examined in a couple of ways. The first is a plot-level determination, which is the of the clip harvest data from the zonal plots at each sample location. Both transects show the general expected pattern of increased biomass along the bioclimate gradient, but there are also major differences related to differences in substrate, precipitation, and relative position of the locations within each subzone.
  31. Some of the most important differences appear to be related to differences in disturbance regimes. For example, along the NAAT there is much more evergreen-shrub and lichen biomass. This could be the result of the much more intensive grazing pressure by reindeer along the the EAT. This phenomenon occurs across most of the Russian Arctic causing major differences in the structure of the vegetation.
  32. Hand-held measurements of NDVI also had different values for equivalent levels of biomass and LAI along both transects, probably reflecting the the different structure of the vegetation.
  33. These differences in structure are also evident in the LAI-Biomass relationship along both transects. An equivalent amount of biomass has consistently much higher LAI values along the NAAT than along the EAT and the difference increases at higher biomass values
  34. These differences are reflected in graphs of the AVHRR-NDVI and biomass vs. summer warmth. The biomass shown here is a slightly different number which is a landscape-level of biomass that is derived from the biomass data in combination with detailed vegetation maps. In general the EAT is greener than the NAAT in equivalent climates.
  35. In spite of the structural and composition differences between the transects, there is overall a very strong relationship between 1-km AVHRR NDVI values and biomass along both transects and in the combined data set.
  36. This gives us quite a bit of confidence that we can extrapolate the the zonal landscape-level biomass values from the transect to the broader Arctic using the AVHRR data.
  37. We have also examined the temporal relationships of the AVHRR NDVI compared to the coastal sea ice trends and summer land surface temperature trends. Uma Bhatt published a key paper this year that showed the strong year-to-year circumpolar correlations between coastal sea-ice, land temperatures, and NDVI values. This has now been updated with a new NDVI data set provided by Jorge Pinzon and Jim Tucker at NASA-Goddard. The two graphs in the lower right show the 1982-2010 trends in NDVI along the two transects. Several things are worth noting: The trend in tundra NDVI peaked in 1989 along the Yamal transect and 2004 along the North America Transect. Since 2004 it has been declining along both transects. A particular strong dip occurred in 2009. This occurred in every area of the Arctic. In western Eurasia, a further dip occurred in 2010. The trend along the Kara has been almost flat especially since 1990, when it reached its highest value, whereas the trend in North America has been a remarkable 24%.
  38. Broad similarities in biomass between North America and Eurasia along Arctic temperature gradient, but also major differences likely related to different disturbance regimes, geology, and precipitation patterns. Very good correlation between AVHRR NDVI and zonal landscape-level biomass. Analysis of Landsat-derived NDVI trends for a similar period did not provide corroboration for magnitude of 1982-2010 NDVI change indicated by GIMMS 3g. AVHRR NDVI is still one of the best tools we presently have for looking at long-term terrestrial response to climate change. It is highly correlated with a wide variety of the biophysical properties, but we need better calibration of remote sensing data sets and ground measurements to give us confidence in the indicated temporal trends.
  39. This project is a joint collaboration by three groups of institutions in the U.S., Russia and Finland. Five funded projects were collaborating in the project including. The primary logistic funding came from NASA and NSF in the U.S. and the Russian Academy of Science in Russia.