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The U.S. Health Care Landscape:
Past, Present and Future
October 28, 2015
Epstein Becker Green
EBG Advisors
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
a. Medicare Managed Care
b. Health Reform and ICD-10
c. Mental Health Parity
d. The Uninsured
e. Medicaid Enrollment and Medicaid Managed Care
f. Employers and Unions
g. Payers
h. Premiums
i. State Policy
j. Medical Loss Ratio
k. Health Care Status
II. Key Dates Ahead
III. Political and Enforcement Landscapes
IV. Trends to Watch
V. Questions
VI. Appendix
Agenda
2
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
50th ANNIVERSARY OF MEDICARE AND MEDICAID
3
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I. Timelines and Trends
MEDICARE MANAGED CARE
4
1972 19821965 1966 1997 2003 2015
Title XVIII
Title XIX added
to Social
Security Act
Medicare implemented
and more than 19
million enrolled
Tax Equity and Fiscal
Responsibility Act adds the first
realistic option
for Medicare risk HMOs
Part D and Medicare Advantage
added under Medicare
Modernization Act
Sep. 2015 -- CMS announces
Enhanced Medication Therapy
Management model test
Total Medicare Beneficiaries (in millions)+
Total Medicare Beneficiaries in Managed Care (in millions)+
0.4* 5 5 18**
19 21 29 38 41 56
Medicare+Choice
established
under the Balanced
Budget Act
*Medicare Prospective Payment and the American Health Care System, ProPAC, June 1988, p107
**Based on CMS Monthly Contract and Enrollment Summary Report for Sept. 2015.
+Source: Unless otherwise indicated, 2015 Annual Report of the Boards Of Trustees of the Federal Hospital Insurance And Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds, Table V.B4. Medicare
enrollment numbers for 2015 represent estimates; Medicare Advantage 2013 Spotlight: Enrollment Market Update, https://kaiserfamilyfoundation.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/8448.pdf.
No dataNo data
SS Amendments of 1972 added
HMOs under a limited risk
product or pre-paid
cost reimbursement
Sep. 2015 -- CMS announces
Medicare Advantage Value-Based
Insurance Design model test
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
MEDICARE PROGRAM - FISCAL PRESSURE FROM AGING BABY BOOMERS
5
Key fact: Former President George W. Bush’s birthday: July 6, 1946 & Former President Bill Clinton’s birthday: August 19,
1946
Note: Enrollment numbers are based on Part A enrollment only. Beneficiaries enrolled only in Part B are not included.
Source: CMS Office of the Actuary. 2014
20.398
28.433
34.251
39.688
47.72
64.471
82.005
89.666 93.368
99.907
107.454
114.244
121.248
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2089
Enrollment(inMillions)
Calendar Year
Actual and Projected Medicare Enrollment
Bush/Clinton turn 65
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
HEALTH CARE REFORM
6
1988 1997 2006 2010 2012 2015
Children’s Health
Insurance
Program/Balanced
Budget Act
The Supreme Court upholds
the constitutionality of the
ACA’s individual mandate
The Supreme Court
upholds the payment of
subsidies under federal
exchanges
Clinton
1993
GW Bush
2001 2009 2015
Obama
*Source: Paul Starr, "What Happened to Health Care Reform?" The American Prospect no. 20 (Winter 1995): 20-31, http://www.princeton.edu/~starr/20starr.html.
Outpatient prescription
drug benefit under
Medicare Part D,
Low income subsidy
19951989
Medicare
Catastrophic
Coverage
Repeal Act
Clinton Health Reform
Initiative – Lessons
learned:
“faster, smaller”*
Medicare Catastrophic
Coverage Act adds
outpatient prescription
drug benefit
1989
GHW Bush
1981
Reagan
Affordable
Care Act
enacted
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
HEALTH CARE REFORM – WHAT’S NEXT?
7
Obama
2015
New President
2017 2021
2015 2016 2017 2018
CHIP
Reauthorization?
40% Excise Tax on
employer-sponsored
health coverage takes
Effect (Cadillac Tax)50th vote by the House
of Representatives to
repeal the ACA
50th Anniversary of
Medicare and Medicaid
Second Term?
2025
20XX?
CHIP Reauthorization,
Through 2017
Definition of Small Group, at
state option, may expand
to employers with
51-100 employees (pending
President’s signature)
ICD-10 Implementation
October 1
Updated EHB Benchmark
Plans in Effect
Supreme Court upholds payment
of subsidies in federal exchanges
Implementation of test of Value-
Based Insurance Design in
Medicare Advantage
??
Argument/Decision in U.S.
House of Representatives
v. Burwell?
New President
takes office in January
Beginning of
Independent Payment
Advisory Board
Jan.’15 -- Burwell announces goal of
moving 30% of Medicare
FFS to value-based payment by 2018
June 2015 -- CMS announces
Chronic Care Joint Replacement
bundled payment model
Health Care
Choice Compacts
ACA Section 1332
Exchange Waiver
authority takes effect
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
 Latest challenge to the ACA -- U.S. House of Representatives v. Burwell et al., Civil Action No. 14-
1967 (RMC), U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia
 House of Representatives argues that Secretaries Burwell (Department of Health and Human
Services) and Lew (Department of the Treasury) have
• Spent billions of unappropriated dollars for cost sharing reduction payments, and
• Through implementing regulations, have effectively amended the ACA’s employer
mandate by delaying its effect and narrowing its scope
 The Secretaries moved to dismiss the case, arguing that the House of Representatives does not
have standing to sue and that only the Executive branch can implement the law
 On September 9, 2015 the Court found that the House has standing to sue on the appropriations
claim but not on the question of improperly amending the employer mandate:
The genius of our Framers was to limit the Executive’s power “by a valid reservation of
congressional control over funds in the Treasury.” OPM v. Richmond, 496 U.S. 414, 425 (1990).
Disregard for that reservation works a grievous harm on the House, which is deprived of its rightful
and necessary place under our Constitution. The House has standing to redress that injury in
federal court.
 This decision enables the case to proceed on the merits of the appropriations claim.
I. Timelines and Trends
HEALTH CARE REFORM – ACA CHALLENGE
8
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I. Timelines and Trends: What’s Next?
ICD-10 – GOES LIVE OCTOBER 1, 2015
 Recent CMS ICD-10 test results show that 87% of submitted ICD test claims were
accepted by CMS contractors during the final week of end to end testing
• Tested claims included
o 52.7% professional claims
o 40.9% institutional claims
o 6.4% suppliers claims
 Among the errors caught, .8 percent were rejected due to an invalid ICD-10 code,
while 2.6 percent were rejected because they included an ICD-9 code.
 Additional rejections were unrelated to the use of ICD-10 codes, and included
providers using incorrect National Provider Identifiers, invalid places of services and
dates of services that did not qualify
 Bottom line- no ICD 10 test claims were rejected due to problems with CMS
processing systems and the testing did not uncover new ICD 10 problems
 The original start date was supposed to have been October 2013
SOURCE: CMS, ICD-10 Medicare FFS End-to-End Testing: July 20 through 24, 2015.
9
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
MENTAL HEALTH PARITY
1997 2008 2009
CHIPRA – Applied
MHPAEA to CHIP
state plan services
Balanced Budget Act –
Applied aspects of MHPA to
Medicaid managed care
organizations and CHIP benefits
201520101996
Mental Health Parity Act –
Addressed aggregate
lifetime and annual dollar
limits for mental health
benefits and medical/surgical
benefits offered by group
health plans
ACA – Applied
MHPAEA to Medicaid
Alternative Benefit plans
HHS MHPAEA interim final
regulations applicable to
private health insurance
Mental Health Parity and
Addiction Equity Act – financial requirements
and treatment limitations applicable to
mental health or substance use disorder
benefits are no more restrictive than the
predominant requirements or limitations
applied to substantially all
medical/surgical benefits
1998
HHS MHPAEA proposed
regulations applicable to
Medicaid managed care
CMS issuance of
guidance on application
of MHPA to Medicaid and
CHIP managed care
10
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
THE UNINSURED
2008 2009 2010 2011 20132012 2014 2015
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CDC 14.8% 15.4% 16% 15.3% 14.7% 14.8% 11.9% 9.2%
Census 14.9% 16.1% 16.3% 15.7% 15.4% 13.4% 10.4% No Data
CBO
Projection*
16.9% 17.0% 18.7% 19.3% 19.7% 20.2% 15.6% 13%
NOTE: CDC and Census numbers reflect uninsured of all ages. CBO data reflect author’s calculation of percentages based on CBO projections of effect of health reform on number of non-elderly
uninsured for 2009-2015.
Affordable
Care Act
enacted
Health Insurance
Exchanges and
insurance subsidies
available
11
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
2009 2012 2013 2014
Date of any
Medicaid
Expansion
Total Uninsured 46.3 M 45.2 M 44.3 M 36.7 M
Top 6
States
1. California 7.32 M 6.71 M 6.5 M 4.8 M Jan. 1, 2014
2. Texas 6.44 M 5.76 M 5.75 M 5.0 M None
3. Florida 4.17 M 3. 82 M 3.85 M 3.2 M None
4. New York 2.79 M 2.10 M 2.07 M 1.7 M Jan. 1, 2014
5. Georgia 1.93 M 1.80 M 1.85 M 1.6 M None
6. Illinois 1.86 M 1.62 M 1.62 M 1.2 M Jan. 1, 2014
I. Timelines and Trends
WHERE WERE THE UNINSURED AND WHERE ARE THEY NOW
SOURCE: Health Insurance Coverage Status by State for All People: 2009; Number and Percentage of People Without Health Insurance Coverage by State:
2012 – 2013, U.S. CENSUS Table HI Table HI06; Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2014, U.S. Census Current Population Reports, Sep, 2015.
12
Uninsured, All Ages, By State, 2009, 2012, And 2013
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
MEDICAID ENROLLMENT
1975 1985 1995 2005 2010 2014 2015
Total
Enrollment
22 22 33 45 55 66 72
Medicaid
Managed
Care
No data 1 10 29 40 44 46
Traditional
Medicaid
22 22 24 17 16 No data No data
Medicaid
Expansion
None None 1 0* 1 5 7
1975 1985 1995 20102005 2014 2015
Health Insurance
Exchanges and
insurance subsidies
available
Affordable
Care Act
enacted
In Millions
Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid 2013 Statistical Supplement, Table 13.4; AIS Medicare and Medicaid Market Data, 2015; Kaiser Family Foundation, Total Monthly Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment for May 2014
and May 2015; CMS, Medicaid Managed Care Penetration Rates as of December 31, 2010; CMS National Summary Of Medicaid Managed Care Programs And Enrollment as of July 1, 2010; CMS, Total Medicaid
Enrollees - VIII Group Break Out Report, March 2015, Reported on the CMS-64. Coverage Gains Under Recent Section 1115 Waivers: A Data Update, S. Artiga and C. Mann, Kaiser Family Foundation, August 2005.
*Enrollment was above zero but under 500,000, thus was rounded down.
13
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I.Timelines and Trends
MAP OF EXCHANGES AND EXPANSIONS (FEDERAL, STATE-RUN, FEDERAL
PARTNERSHIP AS OF 9/1/2015)
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
MEDICAID MANAGED CARE
1973 19761962 19811965 1982 1994 1997 2010 20152002
Section 1115 added to Social
Security Act to allow for
waiver of program
requirements for pilot or
experimental projects
Medicaid Program
enacted
HMO Amendments adds 50/50
rule for Medicaid risk plans
OBRA added 1915(b) freedom
of choice waivers and replaced
50/50 with 75/25 rule
Arizona granted the first
statewide Medicaid
managed care waiver
under Section 1115
Oregon statewide Medicaid
managed care waiver approved,
allowed for service prioritization
Balanced Budget Act allows for
mandatory managed care without
waiver and eliminates 75/25 rule
CMS releases first
Proposed comprehensive
changes to
the Medicaid managed care
rules in 13 years
ACA extends Medicaid drug
rebate program to managed
care, allows for expansion up
to 138% of Poverty
CMS releases revisions to the
Medicaid managed care rules
Health Maintenance
Organization Act
15
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I. Timelines and Trends
EMPLOYERS AND UNIONS
 Direct contracting
• Employers bidding directly with health systems
 Narrow networks
• Being chosen by more employers to keep costs down
• Added by NCQA to accreditation standards
 Medical tourism
• According to the CDC, up to 750,000 US residents travel abroad for care each year
• Some employers contract directly with specialty US facilities and pay for employees to travel to the
relevant State/City for care
 Focus on drug costs
• Employers directing employees to particular specialty pharmacies for expensive drugs
 Wellness programs*
• Seventy-four percent of U.S. employers that provide health benefits offer at least one wellness program
• For large firms with 200 or more employees, 98 percent offer at least one wellness program
*SOURCE: 2014 annual survey of employer health benefits, Kaiser Family Foundation, cited in Workplace Wellness: Can These Employer Money-Savers
Keep You Healthy?, E. Renter, U.S. News and World Report, Jan. 20, 2015
16
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
PAYERS
 Mergers
• Largest managed care companies seek to expand their footprint through merger
• Insurers claim mergers will create economies of scale and benefit provider organizations
• Health systems and providers are opposed
• E.g., AMA, AHA and the American Academy of Family Physicians wrote to Congress and the DOJ
to express concern
 Narrow networks
• Trying to keep costs down
• Thirty nine percent of 2015 Exchange plan networks are narrow or ultra-narrow, based on hospital
availability*
• Forty one percent of 2014 Exchange silver plans were small or extra small based on the size of their
physician network**
 Shifting of risk
• Move to value-based payment and value-based insurance design
*Hospital networks: Evolution of the configurations on the 2015 exchanges, N. Bauman et al., McKinsey and Company, April 2015,
http://healthcare.mckinsey.com/2015-hospital-networks
**The Skinny on Narrow Networks in Health Insurance Marketplace Plans, D. Polsky and J. Weiner, Leonard David Institute of Health Economics,
June 2015, http://www.rwjf.org/content/dam/farm/reports/issue_briefs/2015/rwjf421027.
17
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
PREMIUMS
 State regulators approving large premium increases for 2016 Exchange plans
 Florida – approved average 9.5 % increase
 Iowa – approved 19.8% average increase for state’s largest carrier
 Montana – approved average 23 % increase
 Kansas – Premiums could rise as much as 25.4 %
 Other analyses show more moderate increases
 Increases driven by*
• Increase in health care costs
• Reduction in reinsurance payments
• Resolving assumptions as to risk pool from 2015 rates
• CMS pressing states to be more strict in granting premium increases
*Drivers of 2016 Health Insurance Premium Changes, Issue Brief, American Academy of Actuaries, August 2015,
http://actuary.org/files/Drivers_2016_Premiums_080515.pdf
18
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
STATE POLICY TRENDS
 Transparency – States requiring:
• Providers to report on price and quality
• Payers to include more comprehensive information on prescription drug formularies
 Consumer Protections for
• “Surprise bills”
o Disclosure on provider participation
o Negotiated dispute resolution between provider and enrollee
• Narrow Networks
o Increased disclosure and requirements regarding access
o See, e.g., recent Texas legislation protects a preferred provider’s ability to inform patients
about their out-of-network provider choices
• Participating Provider Directory
o Include information such as provider gender, acceptance of new patients
19
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I. Timelines and Trends
MEDICAL LOSS RATIO
 Applies to all types of licensed health insurers, on and off of the Exchanges, EXCEPT self-funded
 Applies to all of an insurer’s underwritten business (i.e., when risk is transferred to the insurer in exchange for
premium), including grandfathered plans
 Individual/Small Group Markets – 80%
 Large Group Market – 85%
 Medicare plans – 85%
 Medicaid plans – 85% (proposed)
20
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
MEDICAL LOSS RATIO
21
MLR Statistics
Source: CMS, Medical Loss Ratio Data and System Resources, https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/Data-
Resources/mlr.html
 GAO study:
 In 2011 and 2012, more than ¾ of insurers met or exceeded the MLR standards
 Insurers in large group market had higher median MLRs and spent a higher share of
their premiums on enrollees’ claims and less on non-claims costs when compared with
insurers in the individual and small group markets
Source: U.S. GAO 14-580, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-14-580.
CY 2012 CY 2013
Total Amount of MLR
Refunds Paid $504,157,712 $332,152,474
Number of Consumers
who Received MLR
Refunds
8,517,869 6,816,423
Average MLR Refund
Paid
$98 $80
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
I. Timelines and Trends
HEALTH CARE STATUS TRENDS
 2014 study indicates that since 2010, young adults ages 19 to 25 are now:
 7.2% more likely to have health insurance;
 6.2% more likely to report “excellent physical health”; and
 4% more likely to report “excellent mental health”
See Survey Suggests That Self-Reported Health of Young Adults Has Improved Since Health
Reform Measure of 2010, June 17, 2014, available at http://media.jamanetwork.com/news-
item/survey-suggests-that-self-reported-health-of-young-adults-has-improved-since-health-
reform-measure-of-2010/;
 2015 study – Americans reporting better health and easier access to doctors, with the biggest
improvements reported for minority and lower-income Americans. See Changes in Self-reported
Insurance Coverage, Access to Care, and Health Under the Affordable Care Act, July 28, 2015,
available at http://jama.jamanetwork.com/article.aspx?articleid=2411283
 Increase in personal health information tracking
 Emphasis on consumer engagement using game theories and other social science theories
22
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
II. Key Dates Ahead
 ICD-10 Implementation – Oct. 1, 2015
 Medicare Advantage Open Enrollment – Oct. 15, 2015 to Dec. 7, 2015
 OIG Work Plan – Oct./Nov. 2015
 QHP Exchange Open Enrollment – Nov. 1, 2015 to Jan. 31, 2016
 Definition of small employer expands to include those with up to 100 employees – Jan. 1, 2016
 CMS CCJR bundling demonstration proposed implementation – Jan. 1, 2016
 Premium filings for new 2017 commercial plans – Second Quarter 2016
 Bids due for 2017 Medicare Advantage and Part D plans – June 6, 2016
 MLR reporting for 2015 – Due July 31, 2016
 Payment of MLR rebates owed for 2015 – by Sep. 30, 2016
 Presidential election – Nov. 2016
 Presidential swearing in – Jan. 21, 2017
 Cadillac Tax becomes effective – Jan. 1, 2018
23
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
III. Political Landscape
113th Congress 114th Congress
115th Congress
Beg. 1/3/17
Senate
55 Democrats*
45 Republicans
46 Democrats*
54 Republicans
??
House of
Representatives
233 Republicans
205 Democrats
3 Vacant
246 Republicans
188 Democrats
1 Vacant
??
White House
Bush – 8 Years R | Obama – 8 years D | ?? 4 years ?
*Includes 2 independents who caucus with the Democrats
24
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
III. Enforcement Landscape
 Focus on medical record documentation and risk adjustment data
• Qui Tam suits regarding plan sponsors’ lack of sufficient documentation of diagnoses
submitted to CMS for use in risk adjustment
o One case is pending against plan sponsor as well as against certain of its downstream
vendors (See Appendix)
• OIG work plan includes a focus on risk adjustment documentation and use of external risk
adjustment consultants
 Increase in severity of enforcement actions by CMS in MA/Part D
 State enforcement activities on mental health parity beginning to increase
 On Sep. 9, 2015, DOJ announced a new initiative to hold more individuals liable for corporate
misconduct
 Move towards having Corporate Compliance Officer report directly to the Board of Directors
25
2013 2014 2015 (through Aug.)
Plans subjected to CMPs 10 35 16
Total value of CMPs $956,505 $5,089,750 $3,906,920
Average CMP imposed $95,651 $145,421 $244,183
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
IV. Trends to Watch in 2016 & Beyond
 Increased plan reliance on narrow networks
 State efforts to protect consumers from “surprise bills”
 Expansion of value-based purchasing
 Increased plan use of Value-Based Insurance Design
 Additional mergers/provider consolidation
 Growing acceptance of telehealth
26
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
IV. Trends to Watch in 2016 & Beyond
 Shifts in the health status of the population
 Changes in the way health services are delivered
 Payment methods that bundle payments; pay for efficiencies or “savings”;
aggregate payments
 Malpractice reform
 Changes in consumer engagement and consumer preferences (e.g., end-of-
life services)
 Advances in medical technology (disruption and adoption)
 Advances in timely access to quality and cost data/Transparency/Individual
responsibility
 Health care workforce
 Political/fiscal discipline (e.g., Independent Payment Advisory Board)
27
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
EBG As A Resource For Clients
 Visit the www.ebglaw.com website for the various alerts we have
published on a wide range of issues related to health reform and the
Medicare and Medicaid programs
28
© 2014 Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
VI. APPENDIX
MEDICARE – PAY FOR VALUE
29
Comprehensive Care for Joint Replacement Model
• Bundled payment for hip and knee replacement
• Mandatory participation
• All hospitals in 75 Metropolitan Statistical Areas
• Comment period closed Sep. 8, 2015
• Additional information at http://innovation.cms.gov/initiatives/ccjr/
Accountable Care Organizations
• Pioneer ACO Model – for health care organizations and providers with experience in coordinating care for
patients across care settings
• Must accept risk for 15,000 Medicare beneficiaries (5,000)
• Involves greater risk than the Medicare Shared Savings Program but allows for larger rewards
• Participation dropped from 32 entities in 2012 to 20 entities in 2015
• Medicare Shared Savings Organizations – Participants in the Shared Savings Program receive advance
payments to be repaid from the future shared savings they earn.
• In 2014, 20 Pioneer and 333 Shared Savings Program ACOs generated more than $411 million in savings,
which includes all ACOs savings and losses, see
https://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Press-releases/2015-Press-releases-
items/2015-08-25.html
• Additional information at http://innovation.cms.gov/initiatives/Advance-Payment-ACO-Model/
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
VI. APPENDIX
MEDICARE – PAY FOR VALUE
 Bundled Payment Initiative – Four models
• Model 1 – Episode of care defined as the inpatient stay in the acute care hospital. Medicare pays hospital a
discounted amount based on rates under the Inpatient Prospective Payment System and continues to pay
physicians separately for their services under the Medicare Physician Fee Schedule
• Models 2 and Model 3 – Both involve a retrospective bundled payment arrangement where actual
expenditures are reconciled against a target price for an episode of care
o Model 2 – Episode of care includes the inpatient stay in an acute care hospital plus the post-acute
care and all related services up to 90 days after hospital discharge
o Model 3 – Episode of care is triggered by an acute care hospital stay but begins at initiation of post-
acute care services with a skilled nursing facility, inpatient rehabilitation facility, long-term care
hospital or home health agency
o Under both models, Medicare continues to make FFS payments; the total expenditures for the
episode are later reconciled against a bundled payment target amount, with Medicare then making a
payment or recoupment to reflect the aggregate expenditures as compared to the target amount
• Model 4 – Bundle includes all services furnished by the hospital, physicians, and other practitioners during
the episode of care, which lasts the entire inpatient stay, for which CMS makes a single, prospectively
determined bundled payment to the hospital. Physicians and other practitioners submit “no-pay” claims to
Medicare and are paid by the hospital out of the bundled payment.
• First phase participants do not bear risk; more than 2100 transitioned to phase 2 risk bearing
• Additional information at http://innovation.cms.gov/initiatives/Bundled-Payments/
30
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VI. APPENDIX
VALUE-BASED INSURANCE DESIGN MODEL TEST IN MEDICARE ADVANTAGE
 To begin Jan. 1, 2017 and run for 5 years
 Will operate in seven pilot states – Arizona, Indiana, Iowa, Massachusetts, Oregon, Pennsylvania, and Tennessee
 Participating plans will choose one of the following interventions targeting MA enrollees with one or more specific
chronic conditions:
• Reduced Cost Sharing for High-Value Services
• Reduced Cost Sharing for High-Value Providers
• Reduced Cost Sharing for Enrollees Participating in Disease Management or Related Programs
• Coverage of Additional Supplemental Benefits
 Targeted conditions may include:
• Diabetes
• Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (“COPD”)
• Congestive Heart Failure
• Patient with Past Stroke
• Hypertension
• Coronary Artery Disease
• Mood Disorders
• Award process is not competitive – all qualified plans in the pilot states can participate
• Additional information at https://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Fact-sheets/2015-Fact-sheets-
items/2015-09-01.html
31
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VI. APPENDIX
UPDATED EHB BENCHMARKS
 Current State EHB Benchmarks apply for the 2014 to 2016 plan years
 Through an information request published on Feb. 27, 2015, CMS requested that states submit
form filings for their updated benchmark plan selection
 Comment period on proposed benchmark plans closed Sept. 30, 2015
 Updated benchmark plans will be effective starting plan year Jan. 1, 2017
 Because EHB benchmark plans will be based on plans that were sold in 2014, some of the
benchmark plan designs may not comply with current federal requirements, which could include
the requirements on:
• Annual and Lifetime Dollar Limits
• Coverage Limits
• EHB Benchmark Plan Prescription Drug Coverage by Category and Class
• Excluded Benefits
• Habilitative Services and Devices
• Mental Health Parity
• Preventive Services
• State-Required Benefits
32
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
VI. APPENDIX
THE THREE RS – RISK ADJUSTMENT, REINSURANCE AND RISK CORRIDORS
 Risk Adjustment (Permanent)
 To combat overall adverse selection since health insurance is now guaranteed issue, carriers cannot impose pre-existing
conditions limitations, and cannot vary premiums based on individual’s health status
 Compares insurers within a state based on the average financial risk of their enrolled population; payments are made to insurers
who cover a higher-risk population (e.g., people who are older, sicker or have more chronic conditions)
 Transitional Reinsurance Program (2014-2016)
 To stabilize premiums in the individual market during the first 3 years of Exchange operations, because higher-cost (sicker)
individuals are more likely to enroll early
 Once insurer has paid up to an attachment point in claims for an individual, the insurer is reimbursed for a percentage of costs
above the attachment point and up to an upper limit
 2014: Attachment point of $45k after which the insurer was reimbursed for 80% of costs between $45k & $250k/person
 2015: Attachment point of $45k after which the insurer will be reimbursed for 50% of costs between $45k & $250k/person
 2016: Attachment point of $90k after which the insurer will be reimbursed for 50% of costs between $90k & $250k/person
 Temporary Risk Corridor Program (2014-2016)
 To limit QHP issuer gains and losses in first 3 years, due to lack of data on which to set prices
 If actual claims are:
 within 3% of expected claims, insurers in Exchanges keep the profits or bear the risks
 3-8% more (or less) than expected, insurer pays/is reimbursed by the gov’t 50% of the gains (losses) and keeps (or bears
the loss of) the other 50%
 at least or > 8% more (or less) than expected, insurer pays the gov’t (or is reimbursed by the gov’t) 80% of the gains (losses)
and keeps (or bears the risk of) the other 20%
33
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
 OIG Annual Workplan, http://oig.hhs.gov/reports-and-publications/archives/workplan/2014/Work-
Plan-2014.pdf
 OIG FY 2015 Work Plan, Mid-Year Update, http://oig.hhs.gov/reports-and-
publications/archives/workplan/2015/WP-Update-2015.pdf
 Memorandum from DOJ Deputy Attorney General Sally Quillian Yates on Individual Accountability for
Corporate Wrongdoing, http://www.justice.gov/dag/file/769036/download
 CMS Common Conditions, Improvement Strategies, and Best Practices based on 2013 Program Audit
Reviews, http://www.cms.gov/Medicare/Compliance-and-Audits/Part-C-and-Part-D-Compliance-and-
Audits/Downloads/HPMS-Memo-Common-Conditions-Improvement-Strategies-and-Best-Practices-
2013-Audits.pdf
 HPMS Memo - 2015 Program Audit Protocols and Process Updates,
http://www.cms.gov/Medicare/Compliance-and-Audits/Part-C-and-Part-D-Compliance-and-
Audits/ProgramAudits.html
 Intermediate Sanctions Issued to MA-PD sponsors, http://www.cms.gov/Medicare/Compliance-and-
Audits/Part-C-and-Part-D-Compliance-and-Audits/Part-C-and-Part-D-Enforcement-Actions-.html
VI. Appendix
ENFORCEMENT RESOURCES
34
© 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com
VI. Appendix
RISK-ADJUSTMENT CASES
 Graves v. Plaza Medical Centers, et al., Case Number: 1:10-cv-23382, Florida
Southern District Court
• Against plan sponsor, individual physician and physician practice
 United States v. Walter Janke, MD, et al. (2012)
• Government sued under FCA for submission of upcoded diagnoses codes to increase risk
adjustment scores
• Settled with DOJ = $22.6 million
 United States and State of California ex rel. Swoben v. SCAN Health Plan (2012)
• Relator alleged ScanHealth inflated risk adjustment scores
• Settled with DOJ = $3.82 million
 Why Medicare Advantage costs taxpayers billions more than it should, available at
http://www.publicintegrity.org/2014/06/04/14840/why-medicare-advantage-costs-t
axpayers-billions-more-it-should
35

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The U.S. Health Care Landscape: Past, Present and Future

  • 1. © 2015 Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. ebglaw.com ebgadvisors.com The U.S. Health Care Landscape: Past, Present and Future October 28, 2015 Epstein Becker Green EBG Advisors
  • 2. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends a. Medicare Managed Care b. Health Reform and ICD-10 c. Mental Health Parity d. The Uninsured e. Medicaid Enrollment and Medicaid Managed Care f. Employers and Unions g. Payers h. Premiums i. State Policy j. Medical Loss Ratio k. Health Care Status II. Key Dates Ahead III. Political and Enforcement Landscapes IV. Trends to Watch V. Questions VI. Appendix Agenda 2
  • 3. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends 50th ANNIVERSARY OF MEDICARE AND MEDICAID 3
  • 4. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends MEDICARE MANAGED CARE 4 1972 19821965 1966 1997 2003 2015 Title XVIII Title XIX added to Social Security Act Medicare implemented and more than 19 million enrolled Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act adds the first realistic option for Medicare risk HMOs Part D and Medicare Advantage added under Medicare Modernization Act Sep. 2015 -- CMS announces Enhanced Medication Therapy Management model test Total Medicare Beneficiaries (in millions)+ Total Medicare Beneficiaries in Managed Care (in millions)+ 0.4* 5 5 18** 19 21 29 38 41 56 Medicare+Choice established under the Balanced Budget Act *Medicare Prospective Payment and the American Health Care System, ProPAC, June 1988, p107 **Based on CMS Monthly Contract and Enrollment Summary Report for Sept. 2015. +Source: Unless otherwise indicated, 2015 Annual Report of the Boards Of Trustees of the Federal Hospital Insurance And Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds, Table V.B4. Medicare enrollment numbers for 2015 represent estimates; Medicare Advantage 2013 Spotlight: Enrollment Market Update, https://kaiserfamilyfoundation.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/8448.pdf. No dataNo data SS Amendments of 1972 added HMOs under a limited risk product or pre-paid cost reimbursement Sep. 2015 -- CMS announces Medicare Advantage Value-Based Insurance Design model test
  • 5. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends MEDICARE PROGRAM - FISCAL PRESSURE FROM AGING BABY BOOMERS 5 Key fact: Former President George W. Bush’s birthday: July 6, 1946 & Former President Bill Clinton’s birthday: August 19, 1946 Note: Enrollment numbers are based on Part A enrollment only. Beneficiaries enrolled only in Part B are not included. Source: CMS Office of the Actuary. 2014 20.398 28.433 34.251 39.688 47.72 64.471 82.005 89.666 93.368 99.907 107.454 114.244 121.248 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2089 Enrollment(inMillions) Calendar Year Actual and Projected Medicare Enrollment Bush/Clinton turn 65
  • 6. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends HEALTH CARE REFORM 6 1988 1997 2006 2010 2012 2015 Children’s Health Insurance Program/Balanced Budget Act The Supreme Court upholds the constitutionality of the ACA’s individual mandate The Supreme Court upholds the payment of subsidies under federal exchanges Clinton 1993 GW Bush 2001 2009 2015 Obama *Source: Paul Starr, "What Happened to Health Care Reform?" The American Prospect no. 20 (Winter 1995): 20-31, http://www.princeton.edu/~starr/20starr.html. Outpatient prescription drug benefit under Medicare Part D, Low income subsidy 19951989 Medicare Catastrophic Coverage Repeal Act Clinton Health Reform Initiative – Lessons learned: “faster, smaller”* Medicare Catastrophic Coverage Act adds outpatient prescription drug benefit 1989 GHW Bush 1981 Reagan Affordable Care Act enacted
  • 7. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends HEALTH CARE REFORM – WHAT’S NEXT? 7 Obama 2015 New President 2017 2021 2015 2016 2017 2018 CHIP Reauthorization? 40% Excise Tax on employer-sponsored health coverage takes Effect (Cadillac Tax)50th vote by the House of Representatives to repeal the ACA 50th Anniversary of Medicare and Medicaid Second Term? 2025 20XX? CHIP Reauthorization, Through 2017 Definition of Small Group, at state option, may expand to employers with 51-100 employees (pending President’s signature) ICD-10 Implementation October 1 Updated EHB Benchmark Plans in Effect Supreme Court upholds payment of subsidies in federal exchanges Implementation of test of Value- Based Insurance Design in Medicare Advantage ?? Argument/Decision in U.S. House of Representatives v. Burwell? New President takes office in January Beginning of Independent Payment Advisory Board Jan.’15 -- Burwell announces goal of moving 30% of Medicare FFS to value-based payment by 2018 June 2015 -- CMS announces Chronic Care Joint Replacement bundled payment model Health Care Choice Compacts ACA Section 1332 Exchange Waiver authority takes effect
  • 8. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com  Latest challenge to the ACA -- U.S. House of Representatives v. Burwell et al., Civil Action No. 14- 1967 (RMC), U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia  House of Representatives argues that Secretaries Burwell (Department of Health and Human Services) and Lew (Department of the Treasury) have • Spent billions of unappropriated dollars for cost sharing reduction payments, and • Through implementing regulations, have effectively amended the ACA’s employer mandate by delaying its effect and narrowing its scope  The Secretaries moved to dismiss the case, arguing that the House of Representatives does not have standing to sue and that only the Executive branch can implement the law  On September 9, 2015 the Court found that the House has standing to sue on the appropriations claim but not on the question of improperly amending the employer mandate: The genius of our Framers was to limit the Executive’s power “by a valid reservation of congressional control over funds in the Treasury.” OPM v. Richmond, 496 U.S. 414, 425 (1990). Disregard for that reservation works a grievous harm on the House, which is deprived of its rightful and necessary place under our Constitution. The House has standing to redress that injury in federal court.  This decision enables the case to proceed on the merits of the appropriations claim. I. Timelines and Trends HEALTH CARE REFORM – ACA CHALLENGE 8
  • 9. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends: What’s Next? ICD-10 – GOES LIVE OCTOBER 1, 2015  Recent CMS ICD-10 test results show that 87% of submitted ICD test claims were accepted by CMS contractors during the final week of end to end testing • Tested claims included o 52.7% professional claims o 40.9% institutional claims o 6.4% suppliers claims  Among the errors caught, .8 percent were rejected due to an invalid ICD-10 code, while 2.6 percent were rejected because they included an ICD-9 code.  Additional rejections were unrelated to the use of ICD-10 codes, and included providers using incorrect National Provider Identifiers, invalid places of services and dates of services that did not qualify  Bottom line- no ICD 10 test claims were rejected due to problems with CMS processing systems and the testing did not uncover new ICD 10 problems  The original start date was supposed to have been October 2013 SOURCE: CMS, ICD-10 Medicare FFS End-to-End Testing: July 20 through 24, 2015. 9
  • 10. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends MENTAL HEALTH PARITY 1997 2008 2009 CHIPRA – Applied MHPAEA to CHIP state plan services Balanced Budget Act – Applied aspects of MHPA to Medicaid managed care organizations and CHIP benefits 201520101996 Mental Health Parity Act – Addressed aggregate lifetime and annual dollar limits for mental health benefits and medical/surgical benefits offered by group health plans ACA – Applied MHPAEA to Medicaid Alternative Benefit plans HHS MHPAEA interim final regulations applicable to private health insurance Mental Health Parity and Addiction Equity Act – financial requirements and treatment limitations applicable to mental health or substance use disorder benefits are no more restrictive than the predominant requirements or limitations applied to substantially all medical/surgical benefits 1998 HHS MHPAEA proposed regulations applicable to Medicaid managed care CMS issuance of guidance on application of MHPA to Medicaid and CHIP managed care 10
  • 11. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends THE UNINSURED 2008 2009 2010 2011 20132012 2014 2015 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CDC 14.8% 15.4% 16% 15.3% 14.7% 14.8% 11.9% 9.2% Census 14.9% 16.1% 16.3% 15.7% 15.4% 13.4% 10.4% No Data CBO Projection* 16.9% 17.0% 18.7% 19.3% 19.7% 20.2% 15.6% 13% NOTE: CDC and Census numbers reflect uninsured of all ages. CBO data reflect author’s calculation of percentages based on CBO projections of effect of health reform on number of non-elderly uninsured for 2009-2015. Affordable Care Act enacted Health Insurance Exchanges and insurance subsidies available 11
  • 12. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com 2009 2012 2013 2014 Date of any Medicaid Expansion Total Uninsured 46.3 M 45.2 M 44.3 M 36.7 M Top 6 States 1. California 7.32 M 6.71 M 6.5 M 4.8 M Jan. 1, 2014 2. Texas 6.44 M 5.76 M 5.75 M 5.0 M None 3. Florida 4.17 M 3. 82 M 3.85 M 3.2 M None 4. New York 2.79 M 2.10 M 2.07 M 1.7 M Jan. 1, 2014 5. Georgia 1.93 M 1.80 M 1.85 M 1.6 M None 6. Illinois 1.86 M 1.62 M 1.62 M 1.2 M Jan. 1, 2014 I. Timelines and Trends WHERE WERE THE UNINSURED AND WHERE ARE THEY NOW SOURCE: Health Insurance Coverage Status by State for All People: 2009; Number and Percentage of People Without Health Insurance Coverage by State: 2012 – 2013, U.S. CENSUS Table HI Table HI06; Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2014, U.S. Census Current Population Reports, Sep, 2015. 12 Uninsured, All Ages, By State, 2009, 2012, And 2013
  • 13. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends MEDICAID ENROLLMENT 1975 1985 1995 2005 2010 2014 2015 Total Enrollment 22 22 33 45 55 66 72 Medicaid Managed Care No data 1 10 29 40 44 46 Traditional Medicaid 22 22 24 17 16 No data No data Medicaid Expansion None None 1 0* 1 5 7 1975 1985 1995 20102005 2014 2015 Health Insurance Exchanges and insurance subsidies available Affordable Care Act enacted In Millions Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid 2013 Statistical Supplement, Table 13.4; AIS Medicare and Medicaid Market Data, 2015; Kaiser Family Foundation, Total Monthly Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment for May 2014 and May 2015; CMS, Medicaid Managed Care Penetration Rates as of December 31, 2010; CMS National Summary Of Medicaid Managed Care Programs And Enrollment as of July 1, 2010; CMS, Total Medicaid Enrollees - VIII Group Break Out Report, March 2015, Reported on the CMS-64. Coverage Gains Under Recent Section 1115 Waivers: A Data Update, S. Artiga and C. Mann, Kaiser Family Foundation, August 2005. *Enrollment was above zero but under 500,000, thus was rounded down. 13
  • 14. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com 14 I.Timelines and Trends MAP OF EXCHANGES AND EXPANSIONS (FEDERAL, STATE-RUN, FEDERAL PARTNERSHIP AS OF 9/1/2015)
  • 15. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends MEDICAID MANAGED CARE 1973 19761962 19811965 1982 1994 1997 2010 20152002 Section 1115 added to Social Security Act to allow for waiver of program requirements for pilot or experimental projects Medicaid Program enacted HMO Amendments adds 50/50 rule for Medicaid risk plans OBRA added 1915(b) freedom of choice waivers and replaced 50/50 with 75/25 rule Arizona granted the first statewide Medicaid managed care waiver under Section 1115 Oregon statewide Medicaid managed care waiver approved, allowed for service prioritization Balanced Budget Act allows for mandatory managed care without waiver and eliminates 75/25 rule CMS releases first Proposed comprehensive changes to the Medicaid managed care rules in 13 years ACA extends Medicaid drug rebate program to managed care, allows for expansion up to 138% of Poverty CMS releases revisions to the Medicaid managed care rules Health Maintenance Organization Act 15
  • 16. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends EMPLOYERS AND UNIONS  Direct contracting • Employers bidding directly with health systems  Narrow networks • Being chosen by more employers to keep costs down • Added by NCQA to accreditation standards  Medical tourism • According to the CDC, up to 750,000 US residents travel abroad for care each year • Some employers contract directly with specialty US facilities and pay for employees to travel to the relevant State/City for care  Focus on drug costs • Employers directing employees to particular specialty pharmacies for expensive drugs  Wellness programs* • Seventy-four percent of U.S. employers that provide health benefits offer at least one wellness program • For large firms with 200 or more employees, 98 percent offer at least one wellness program *SOURCE: 2014 annual survey of employer health benefits, Kaiser Family Foundation, cited in Workplace Wellness: Can These Employer Money-Savers Keep You Healthy?, E. Renter, U.S. News and World Report, Jan. 20, 2015 16
  • 17. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends PAYERS  Mergers • Largest managed care companies seek to expand their footprint through merger • Insurers claim mergers will create economies of scale and benefit provider organizations • Health systems and providers are opposed • E.g., AMA, AHA and the American Academy of Family Physicians wrote to Congress and the DOJ to express concern  Narrow networks • Trying to keep costs down • Thirty nine percent of 2015 Exchange plan networks are narrow or ultra-narrow, based on hospital availability* • Forty one percent of 2014 Exchange silver plans were small or extra small based on the size of their physician network**  Shifting of risk • Move to value-based payment and value-based insurance design *Hospital networks: Evolution of the configurations on the 2015 exchanges, N. Bauman et al., McKinsey and Company, April 2015, http://healthcare.mckinsey.com/2015-hospital-networks **The Skinny on Narrow Networks in Health Insurance Marketplace Plans, D. Polsky and J. Weiner, Leonard David Institute of Health Economics, June 2015, http://www.rwjf.org/content/dam/farm/reports/issue_briefs/2015/rwjf421027. 17
  • 18. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends PREMIUMS  State regulators approving large premium increases for 2016 Exchange plans  Florida – approved average 9.5 % increase  Iowa – approved 19.8% average increase for state’s largest carrier  Montana – approved average 23 % increase  Kansas – Premiums could rise as much as 25.4 %  Other analyses show more moderate increases  Increases driven by* • Increase in health care costs • Reduction in reinsurance payments • Resolving assumptions as to risk pool from 2015 rates • CMS pressing states to be more strict in granting premium increases *Drivers of 2016 Health Insurance Premium Changes, Issue Brief, American Academy of Actuaries, August 2015, http://actuary.org/files/Drivers_2016_Premiums_080515.pdf 18
  • 19. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends STATE POLICY TRENDS  Transparency – States requiring: • Providers to report on price and quality • Payers to include more comprehensive information on prescription drug formularies  Consumer Protections for • “Surprise bills” o Disclosure on provider participation o Negotiated dispute resolution between provider and enrollee • Narrow Networks o Increased disclosure and requirements regarding access o See, e.g., recent Texas legislation protects a preferred provider’s ability to inform patients about their out-of-network provider choices • Participating Provider Directory o Include information such as provider gender, acceptance of new patients 19
  • 20. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends MEDICAL LOSS RATIO  Applies to all types of licensed health insurers, on and off of the Exchanges, EXCEPT self-funded  Applies to all of an insurer’s underwritten business (i.e., when risk is transferred to the insurer in exchange for premium), including grandfathered plans  Individual/Small Group Markets – 80%  Large Group Market – 85%  Medicare plans – 85%  Medicaid plans – 85% (proposed) 20
  • 21. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends MEDICAL LOSS RATIO 21 MLR Statistics Source: CMS, Medical Loss Ratio Data and System Resources, https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/Data- Resources/mlr.html  GAO study:  In 2011 and 2012, more than ¾ of insurers met or exceeded the MLR standards  Insurers in large group market had higher median MLRs and spent a higher share of their premiums on enrollees’ claims and less on non-claims costs when compared with insurers in the individual and small group markets Source: U.S. GAO 14-580, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-14-580. CY 2012 CY 2013 Total Amount of MLR Refunds Paid $504,157,712 $332,152,474 Number of Consumers who Received MLR Refunds 8,517,869 6,816,423 Average MLR Refund Paid $98 $80
  • 22. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com I. Timelines and Trends HEALTH CARE STATUS TRENDS  2014 study indicates that since 2010, young adults ages 19 to 25 are now:  7.2% more likely to have health insurance;  6.2% more likely to report “excellent physical health”; and  4% more likely to report “excellent mental health” See Survey Suggests That Self-Reported Health of Young Adults Has Improved Since Health Reform Measure of 2010, June 17, 2014, available at http://media.jamanetwork.com/news- item/survey-suggests-that-self-reported-health-of-young-adults-has-improved-since-health- reform-measure-of-2010/;  2015 study – Americans reporting better health and easier access to doctors, with the biggest improvements reported for minority and lower-income Americans. See Changes in Self-reported Insurance Coverage, Access to Care, and Health Under the Affordable Care Act, July 28, 2015, available at http://jama.jamanetwork.com/article.aspx?articleid=2411283  Increase in personal health information tracking  Emphasis on consumer engagement using game theories and other social science theories 22
  • 23. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com II. Key Dates Ahead  ICD-10 Implementation – Oct. 1, 2015  Medicare Advantage Open Enrollment – Oct. 15, 2015 to Dec. 7, 2015  OIG Work Plan – Oct./Nov. 2015  QHP Exchange Open Enrollment – Nov. 1, 2015 to Jan. 31, 2016  Definition of small employer expands to include those with up to 100 employees – Jan. 1, 2016  CMS CCJR bundling demonstration proposed implementation – Jan. 1, 2016  Premium filings for new 2017 commercial plans – Second Quarter 2016  Bids due for 2017 Medicare Advantage and Part D plans – June 6, 2016  MLR reporting for 2015 – Due July 31, 2016  Payment of MLR rebates owed for 2015 – by Sep. 30, 2016  Presidential election – Nov. 2016  Presidential swearing in – Jan. 21, 2017  Cadillac Tax becomes effective – Jan. 1, 2018 23
  • 24. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com III. Political Landscape 113th Congress 114th Congress 115th Congress Beg. 1/3/17 Senate 55 Democrats* 45 Republicans 46 Democrats* 54 Republicans ?? House of Representatives 233 Republicans 205 Democrats 3 Vacant 246 Republicans 188 Democrats 1 Vacant ?? White House Bush – 8 Years R | Obama – 8 years D | ?? 4 years ? *Includes 2 independents who caucus with the Democrats 24
  • 25. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com III. Enforcement Landscape  Focus on medical record documentation and risk adjustment data • Qui Tam suits regarding plan sponsors’ lack of sufficient documentation of diagnoses submitted to CMS for use in risk adjustment o One case is pending against plan sponsor as well as against certain of its downstream vendors (See Appendix) • OIG work plan includes a focus on risk adjustment documentation and use of external risk adjustment consultants  Increase in severity of enforcement actions by CMS in MA/Part D  State enforcement activities on mental health parity beginning to increase  On Sep. 9, 2015, DOJ announced a new initiative to hold more individuals liable for corporate misconduct  Move towards having Corporate Compliance Officer report directly to the Board of Directors 25 2013 2014 2015 (through Aug.) Plans subjected to CMPs 10 35 16 Total value of CMPs $956,505 $5,089,750 $3,906,920 Average CMP imposed $95,651 $145,421 $244,183
  • 26. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com IV. Trends to Watch in 2016 & Beyond  Increased plan reliance on narrow networks  State efforts to protect consumers from “surprise bills”  Expansion of value-based purchasing  Increased plan use of Value-Based Insurance Design  Additional mergers/provider consolidation  Growing acceptance of telehealth 26
  • 27. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com IV. Trends to Watch in 2016 & Beyond  Shifts in the health status of the population  Changes in the way health services are delivered  Payment methods that bundle payments; pay for efficiencies or “savings”; aggregate payments  Malpractice reform  Changes in consumer engagement and consumer preferences (e.g., end-of- life services)  Advances in medical technology (disruption and adoption)  Advances in timely access to quality and cost data/Transparency/Individual responsibility  Health care workforce  Political/fiscal discipline (e.g., Independent Payment Advisory Board) 27
  • 28. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com EBG As A Resource For Clients  Visit the www.ebglaw.com website for the various alerts we have published on a wide range of issues related to health reform and the Medicare and Medicaid programs 28
  • 29. © 2014 Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com VI. APPENDIX MEDICARE – PAY FOR VALUE 29 Comprehensive Care for Joint Replacement Model • Bundled payment for hip and knee replacement • Mandatory participation • All hospitals in 75 Metropolitan Statistical Areas • Comment period closed Sep. 8, 2015 • Additional information at http://innovation.cms.gov/initiatives/ccjr/ Accountable Care Organizations • Pioneer ACO Model – for health care organizations and providers with experience in coordinating care for patients across care settings • Must accept risk for 15,000 Medicare beneficiaries (5,000) • Involves greater risk than the Medicare Shared Savings Program but allows for larger rewards • Participation dropped from 32 entities in 2012 to 20 entities in 2015 • Medicare Shared Savings Organizations – Participants in the Shared Savings Program receive advance payments to be repaid from the future shared savings they earn. • In 2014, 20 Pioneer and 333 Shared Savings Program ACOs generated more than $411 million in savings, which includes all ACOs savings and losses, see https://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Press-releases/2015-Press-releases- items/2015-08-25.html • Additional information at http://innovation.cms.gov/initiatives/Advance-Payment-ACO-Model/
  • 30. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com VI. APPENDIX MEDICARE – PAY FOR VALUE  Bundled Payment Initiative – Four models • Model 1 – Episode of care defined as the inpatient stay in the acute care hospital. Medicare pays hospital a discounted amount based on rates under the Inpatient Prospective Payment System and continues to pay physicians separately for their services under the Medicare Physician Fee Schedule • Models 2 and Model 3 – Both involve a retrospective bundled payment arrangement where actual expenditures are reconciled against a target price for an episode of care o Model 2 – Episode of care includes the inpatient stay in an acute care hospital plus the post-acute care and all related services up to 90 days after hospital discharge o Model 3 – Episode of care is triggered by an acute care hospital stay but begins at initiation of post- acute care services with a skilled nursing facility, inpatient rehabilitation facility, long-term care hospital or home health agency o Under both models, Medicare continues to make FFS payments; the total expenditures for the episode are later reconciled against a bundled payment target amount, with Medicare then making a payment or recoupment to reflect the aggregate expenditures as compared to the target amount • Model 4 – Bundle includes all services furnished by the hospital, physicians, and other practitioners during the episode of care, which lasts the entire inpatient stay, for which CMS makes a single, prospectively determined bundled payment to the hospital. Physicians and other practitioners submit “no-pay” claims to Medicare and are paid by the hospital out of the bundled payment. • First phase participants do not bear risk; more than 2100 transitioned to phase 2 risk bearing • Additional information at http://innovation.cms.gov/initiatives/Bundled-Payments/ 30
  • 31. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com VI. APPENDIX VALUE-BASED INSURANCE DESIGN MODEL TEST IN MEDICARE ADVANTAGE  To begin Jan. 1, 2017 and run for 5 years  Will operate in seven pilot states – Arizona, Indiana, Iowa, Massachusetts, Oregon, Pennsylvania, and Tennessee  Participating plans will choose one of the following interventions targeting MA enrollees with one or more specific chronic conditions: • Reduced Cost Sharing for High-Value Services • Reduced Cost Sharing for High-Value Providers • Reduced Cost Sharing for Enrollees Participating in Disease Management or Related Programs • Coverage of Additional Supplemental Benefits  Targeted conditions may include: • Diabetes • Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (“COPD”) • Congestive Heart Failure • Patient with Past Stroke • Hypertension • Coronary Artery Disease • Mood Disorders • Award process is not competitive – all qualified plans in the pilot states can participate • Additional information at https://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Fact-sheets/2015-Fact-sheets- items/2015-09-01.html 31
  • 32. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com VI. APPENDIX UPDATED EHB BENCHMARKS  Current State EHB Benchmarks apply for the 2014 to 2016 plan years  Through an information request published on Feb. 27, 2015, CMS requested that states submit form filings for their updated benchmark plan selection  Comment period on proposed benchmark plans closed Sept. 30, 2015  Updated benchmark plans will be effective starting plan year Jan. 1, 2017  Because EHB benchmark plans will be based on plans that were sold in 2014, some of the benchmark plan designs may not comply with current federal requirements, which could include the requirements on: • Annual and Lifetime Dollar Limits • Coverage Limits • EHB Benchmark Plan Prescription Drug Coverage by Category and Class • Excluded Benefits • Habilitative Services and Devices • Mental Health Parity • Preventive Services • State-Required Benefits 32
  • 33. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com VI. APPENDIX THE THREE RS – RISK ADJUSTMENT, REINSURANCE AND RISK CORRIDORS  Risk Adjustment (Permanent)  To combat overall adverse selection since health insurance is now guaranteed issue, carriers cannot impose pre-existing conditions limitations, and cannot vary premiums based on individual’s health status  Compares insurers within a state based on the average financial risk of their enrolled population; payments are made to insurers who cover a higher-risk population (e.g., people who are older, sicker or have more chronic conditions)  Transitional Reinsurance Program (2014-2016)  To stabilize premiums in the individual market during the first 3 years of Exchange operations, because higher-cost (sicker) individuals are more likely to enroll early  Once insurer has paid up to an attachment point in claims for an individual, the insurer is reimbursed for a percentage of costs above the attachment point and up to an upper limit  2014: Attachment point of $45k after which the insurer was reimbursed for 80% of costs between $45k & $250k/person  2015: Attachment point of $45k after which the insurer will be reimbursed for 50% of costs between $45k & $250k/person  2016: Attachment point of $90k after which the insurer will be reimbursed for 50% of costs between $90k & $250k/person  Temporary Risk Corridor Program (2014-2016)  To limit QHP issuer gains and losses in first 3 years, due to lack of data on which to set prices  If actual claims are:  within 3% of expected claims, insurers in Exchanges keep the profits or bear the risks  3-8% more (or less) than expected, insurer pays/is reimbursed by the gov’t 50% of the gains (losses) and keeps (or bears the loss of) the other 50%  at least or > 8% more (or less) than expected, insurer pays the gov’t (or is reimbursed by the gov’t) 80% of the gains (losses) and keeps (or bears the risk of) the other 20% 33
  • 34. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com  OIG Annual Workplan, http://oig.hhs.gov/reports-and-publications/archives/workplan/2014/Work- Plan-2014.pdf  OIG FY 2015 Work Plan, Mid-Year Update, http://oig.hhs.gov/reports-and- publications/archives/workplan/2015/WP-Update-2015.pdf  Memorandum from DOJ Deputy Attorney General Sally Quillian Yates on Individual Accountability for Corporate Wrongdoing, http://www.justice.gov/dag/file/769036/download  CMS Common Conditions, Improvement Strategies, and Best Practices based on 2013 Program Audit Reviews, http://www.cms.gov/Medicare/Compliance-and-Audits/Part-C-and-Part-D-Compliance-and- Audits/Downloads/HPMS-Memo-Common-Conditions-Improvement-Strategies-and-Best-Practices- 2013-Audits.pdf  HPMS Memo - 2015 Program Audit Protocols and Process Updates, http://www.cms.gov/Medicare/Compliance-and-Audits/Part-C-and-Part-D-Compliance-and- Audits/ProgramAudits.html  Intermediate Sanctions Issued to MA-PD sponsors, http://www.cms.gov/Medicare/Compliance-and- Audits/Part-C-and-Part-D-Compliance-and-Audits/Part-C-and-Part-D-Enforcement-Actions-.html VI. Appendix ENFORCEMENT RESOURCES 34
  • 35. © 2015Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. | All Rights Reserved. | ebglaw.com VI. Appendix RISK-ADJUSTMENT CASES  Graves v. Plaza Medical Centers, et al., Case Number: 1:10-cv-23382, Florida Southern District Court • Against plan sponsor, individual physician and physician practice  United States v. Walter Janke, MD, et al. (2012) • Government sued under FCA for submission of upcoded diagnoses codes to increase risk adjustment scores • Settled with DOJ = $22.6 million  United States and State of California ex rel. Swoben v. SCAN Health Plan (2012) • Relator alleged ScanHealth inflated risk adjustment scores • Settled with DOJ = $3.82 million  Why Medicare Advantage costs taxpayers billions more than it should, available at http://www.publicintegrity.org/2014/06/04/14840/why-medicare-advantage-costs-t axpayers-billions-more-it-should 35