My presentation from the 2011's Junge Piraten Security Conference. It covers the historical overview until current time (of 2011) of nuclear doctrines of the world.
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• Copyright 2011 by Gregory Engels.
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3. Gregory Engels
• Pirate
• founding Co-Chairman
of Pirate Party
International
• Geek
• Member of the City
Council of Offenbach
(Germany)
7. Forward Strategy
• Nato Document 14/1
• Tactical nuclear air strikes
• combined with conventional
counterstrike
• would have radiated most of Germany
east of the Rhine
9. Massive Retalitation
• Nato Document 14/2
• nuclear counter of conventional strike
• Single Integrated Operation Plan SIOP-62
• 3423 single targets in 1960
10. Flexible Response
• NATO Document 143/3
• Triade-Strategy combines conventional,
nuclear tactical and nuclear strategical
forces
• 1980‘s SIOP-5D Plan had 40000 possible
targets
11. Mutual Assured
Destruction (MAD)
• Overkill-Capacity
• Nash Equilibrium
• “Whoever fires first, die second”
• since 1961 - it is questionable, if it still
persists
12. Countervailing Strategy
• Presidential Directive 59
• First kill political leaders, then bomb
military targets
• Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI aka Star
Wars) 1983
13. Global Strike
• Contingency Plan 8022 (CONPLAN 8022)
• since 2002
• Use of ballistic missiles with conventional
warheads
• Development of new “virtual” weapons
• Space and Cyberspace forces
14. Prompt Global Strike
• Since 2006
• the ability to deliver a precision
conventional weapon strike anywhere in
the world within one hour
16. Early Strategies
• under Khrushchev (1955) development of
strategy to “raze to the ground” the
countries that are aggressive towards USSR
17. Brezhnev
• since 1965 a “double strategy”
• the nuclear war is not to be lead, unless
imposed by the NATO or USA
• If the nuclear war is necessary, it must be
fought, even with a first strike, if the
situation requires it
18. “Dead Hand”
• 1974 Directive № 695-227 Система
«Периметр»
• “Doomsday-Device” to ensure a
decentralized counterstrike even in the
case of failing communication
20. Current Doctrine
• Since 2001
• Nuclear First Strike as a counterstrike to
weapons of mass destruction or to
conventional warfare in the case of a threat
to the existence of the Russian State
21. No First Use Policy
• No First Use: • No “No First Use”
• India • USA
• China (*) • Russia
• North Korea • UK
• UdSSR • Pakistan
• (*) China would strike first • Israel
against USA in case USA
would enter the Taiwan
conflict
• France
22. Pakistan
• First Strike towards India also in the case of
conventional warfare
• No Nuclear Triad
• First tests 1998, estimated 300 nukes
• tactical weapons up to 2500 km (4000 km are
in development)
• Not a member of Treaty on the Non-
Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
23. India
• Also not a member of Treaty on the Non-
Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
• No First Use Policy, deterrence only
• First test 1974 (Smiling Buddha) - a
“peaceful nuclear explosion”
• in the process of building nuclear triad
• 70 - 100 nukes (100% growth since 2005)
24. North Korea
• first test 2006
• estimated 6-8 warheads maximum 4000 km
range (BM25 Musudan)
• according to Korean mass-media, North
Korea have the nukes only for deterrence
25. Israel
• Not an official member of the nuclear club
• first test unknown, possible 1974 in a joint
effort with South Africa
• allegedly 75-400 warheads in stock with
maximum range of 10000 km with 1t load
(Jericho III)
26. China
• full nuclear triad
• first test 1964, last test 1996
• current stockpile ~400 warheads with
maximum range of 12.000 to 15.000 km
• "China undertakes not to use or threaten to
use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear-
weapon states or nuclear-weapon-free zones
at any time or under any circumstances."
27. United Kingdom
• First test 1952, last test 1991
• current stockpile 225 warheads. Maximum
range 13.000 km
• special relationship between UK and US
28. France
• First test 1960, last test 1995
• current stockpile estimated at 300
warheads, maximum range c.a. 10000 km
• 2006 Chirac noted that France would be
willing to use nuclear weapons against a
state attacking France by terrorist means
29. Russia
• First test 1949, last test 1990 (715 total)
• current stockpile 12000 warheads, up to
11000 km range, up to 50Mt
30. USA
• first test 1945, last test 1992 (1054 total)
• current stockpile 5133 warheads, maximum
range 13000 km