SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 26
Downloaden Sie, um offline zu lesen
BIGGER BANKS,
RISKIER BANKS
THE POST-BAILOUT CONTINUATION OF A PRE-BAILOUT TREND




NOMI PRINS

JAMES LARDNER

RESEARCH ASSISTANCE: KRISZTINA UGRIN
-
ABOUT DEMOS

Dēmos is a non-partisan public policy research and advocacy organization. Headquartered in New York
City, Dēmos works with advocates and policymakers around the country in pursuit of four overarching
goals: a more equitable economy; a vibrant and inclusive democracy; an empowered public sector that
works for the common good; and responsible U.S. engagement in an interdependent world.

Dēmos was founded in 2000.

Miles S. Rapoport, President
Tamara Draut, Vice President of Policy & Programs




ABOUT THE AUTHORS

Nomi Prins is a journalist, a regular contributor to the Daily Beast, and a Senior Fellow at Demos. Her lat-
est book is It Takes a Pillage: Behind the Bonuses, Bailouts, and Backroom Deals from Washington to Wall
Street (Wiley, September 2009). She is also the author of Other People’s Money: The Corporate Mugging of
America (The New Press, October 2004), a devastating exposé into corporate corruption, political collu-
sion and Wall Street deception. Other People’s Money was chosen as a Best Book of 2004 by The Econo-
mist, Barron’s and The Library Journal. Her book Jacked: How “Conservatives” are Picking your Pocket
(whether you voted for them or not) (Polipoint Press, Sept. 2006) catalogs her travels around the USA; talk-
ing to people about their economic lives: card by card--issue by issue. Before becoming a journalist, Nomi
worked on Wall Street as a managing director at Goldman Sachs, and running the international analytics
group at Bear Stearns in London.

She has appeared internationally on BBC World and BBC Radio and nationally in the U.S. on CNN,
CNBC, MSNBC, ABCNews, CSPAN, Democracy Now, Fox Business News and other TV stations. She
has been featured on dozens of radio shows across the U.S. including CNNRadio, Marketplace Radio, Air
America, NPR, WNYC-AM and regional Pacifica stations. Her articles have appeared in The New York
Times, Fortune, Newsday, Mother Jones, Slate.com, The Guardian UK, The Nation, The American Prospect,
Alternet, The Left Business Observer, LaVanguardia, and other publications.

James Lardner is a Senior Policy Analyst at Dēmos and the co-author, with José García and Cindy Zeldin,
of Up to Our Eyeballs: How Shady Lenders and Failed Economic Policies Are Drowning Americans in Debt.
He is also the co-editor of Inequality Matters: The Growing Economic Divide in America and Its Poisonous
Consequences. As a journalist, he has written for the New York Review of Books, The New Yorker and The
Washington Post, among other publications.

Krisztina Ugrin is a researcher and translator based in Berlin, Germany. Her work has appeared in Moth-
er Jones and The Nation.
BOARD OF DIRECTORS


Current Members                                    Members, Past & On Leave
Stephen Heintz, Board Chair                        President Barack Obama
President, Rockefeller Brothers Fund
                                                   Tom Campbell
Miles Rapoport, President
                                                   Juan Figeroa
Mark C. Alexander
Professor of Law, Seton Hall University            Robert Franklin

Ben Binswanger                                     Charles Halpern
Chief Operating Officer, The Case Foundation       Sara Horowitz
Raj Date                                           Van Jones
Chairman & Executive Director, Cambridge Winter
                                                   Eric Liu
Christine Chen
Strategic Alliances USA                            Spencer Overton

Amy Hanauer                                        Robert Reich
Founding Executive Director, Policy Matters Ohio
                                                   David Skaggs
Sang Ji
                                                   Linda Tarr-Whelan
Partner, White & Case LLP
                                                   Ernest Tollerson
Rev. Janet McCune Edwards
Presbyterian Minister
                                                   Affiliations are listed for identification purposes only.
Clarissa Martinez De Castro
Director of Immigration & National Campaigns,      As with all Dēmos publications, the views expressed
National Council of La Raza                        in this report do not necessarily reflect the views of the
                                                   Dēmos Board of Trustees.
Arnie Miller
Founder, Isaacson Miller
Wendy Puriefoy
President, Public Education Network
Amelia Warren Tyagi
Co-Founder & EVP/COO, The Business Talent Group
Ruth Wooden
President, Public Agenda




COPYRIGHT

© 2010 Dēmos: A Network for Ideas & Action
TABLE OF CONTENTS


I. Introduction                                     1

      Key Developments Since the Financial Crisis


II. Too Big to Fail Banks are Bigger than Ever      2

III. The Big Banks go Gambling with our Money       4


IV. The Risk Picture Bank by Bank                   5


V. Megabanks are Harder to Regulate                 11


Conclusion                                          12


Endnotes                                            14


Appendix: Bank Mergers and Consolidation            16
I. INTRODUCTION

In recent decades, policymakers and regulators have adopted a bigger-is-better view of the banking
business. The United States had a tradition of small and simple banks with close community ties.
But in the deregulatory atmosphere of the 1980s and ‘90s, official Washington came around to the
industry’s argument for consolidation. In the name of global competitiveness, financial executives
and lobbyists contended, banks had to be not just large
in scale and geographical reach, but also free to engage
                                                            ...after trillions of dollars in
in the whole gamut of underwriting, trading, and in-
                                                            taxpayer funds, cheap loans
surance as well as ordinary banking activities.
                                                               and other forms of direct and
                                                               indirect support, the biggest
The financial meltdown of late 2008 called that belief
                                                               banks are bigger and more
into grave doubt. The crisis was widely blamed on the
                                                               complex than ever...
eager promotion by the nation’s biggest banks of over-
complicated, deceptively advertised loans and securi-
ties. Experts and political leaders of both parties deplored the ability of profit-seeking insiders at a
handful of “Too Big to Fail” institutions to bring the financial system to the edge of collapse, neces-
sitating a massive bailout and triggering the worst recession since the 1930s.

Nevertheless, after trillions of dollars in taxpayer funds, cheap loans and other forms of direct and
indirect support, the biggest banks are bigger and more complex than ever; and for all the talk of
newfound caution and tougher regulation, their recent record reveals an undiminished commit-
ment to the kind of risky practices that inflate short-term profits when they go right but hold the
potential to decimate the economy when they go wrong.


Key Developments Since the Financial Crisis:
•	    Government-sponsored	mergers	have	enabled	already	‘too	big	to	fail’	entities	such	as	JP	Mor-
      gan Chase and Bank of America to expand further, engaging in high-risk transactions with
      the confidence of government backing in the event of an emergency.

•	    In	September	2008,	the	Federal	Reserve	invoked	its	emergency	powers	to	anoint	the	former	
      investment banks Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as bank holding companies (or BHCs),
      allowing them to use federal money and benefits for activities that are inherently riskier than
      those of traditional consumer-oriented bank holding companies. More recently, the Fed let
      Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley become financial holding companies (FHCs), allowing
      them to engage in a wider array of more speculative financial activities as designated by the
      Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, with continued federal backing. 1




                                                                                                           1
BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS



  •	                  Some	of	the	biggest	banks	have	reported	impressive	profits	in	recent	quarters.	Behind	
                      the appearance of industry recovery, though, lies a pattern of sharply increased trading
                      revenues and a continued predilection for activities that are far riskier and more volatile
                      than ordinary banking.

  •	                  The	biggest	banks	received	the	most	substantial	assistance	from	the	federal	government.	
                      Through explicit subsidies (actual guarantees) and implicit subsidies (if the government
                      is backing the largest banks, investors will, too), they have been encouraged to convert
                      cheap money into capital for trading purposes.

  •	                  The	top	five	financial	firms	remain	the	biggest	players	in	the	derivatives	market.	Over	
                      80% of derivatives are controlled by JPM Chase, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs,
                      Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley, according to a July 2009 tally by Fitch Ratings. These
                      same institutions account for 96% of the industry’s exposure to credit derivatives, the
                      risky bets (on how healthy firms and loans really are) that played a pivotal role in the
                      financial crisis.

  •	                  The	sheer	volume	and	complexity	of	these	activities	is	problematic	on	two	levels.	In	the	
                      first place, massive trading creates dangerous levels of market volatility and fresh oppor-
                      tunities for insider enrichment. In addition, assets and accounting practices become less
                      transparent, making it difficult for regulators to detect the kind of behavior that could lead
                      to another ruinous financial bubble – and calls for another taxpayer-funded bailout.



  II. TOO BIG TO FAIL BANKS ARE BIGGER THAN EVER

                             Asset Concentration                                                       Deposit Concentration
                         Total Assets Top 5    All Commercial Bank Assets                     Domestic Deposits Top 5    All Commercial Bank Deposits
                                                                                                                         held in Domestic O ces


                                                                                              7,000
                    12,000                                                                    6,000
                    10,000                                                                    5,000
                     8,000                                                                    4,000
                     6,000                                                                    3,000
    $ in Billions




                                                                              $ in Billions




                     4,000                                                                    2,000
                     2,000                                                                    1,000
                        0                                                                          0
                               1998           2004       2008          2009                               1998          2004       2008         2009


  SOURCE: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
Concentration of Deposits 2009                                                                                         Concentration of Deposits 1998
                                                                                                                                                                                   5.2%
                                                                                                               6990 of 6995                                                                 4.4%                         8769 of 8774
                                                                                                               Commercial Banks                                                                    4.2%                  Commercial Banks

                                                                      13.2%                                    Bank of America                                                                          3.4%             Nations Bank
                                                                                                               incl. Merril Lynch                                                                         1.3%
                                                                                 9.3%
                                                                                                               JP Morgan                                                                                                 First Union
                                                                                                               Chase Bank                                                                                                National Bank
                                              60.3%                                   4.0%                                                                              81.5%
                                                                                                               Citibank                                                                                                  Bank of America
                                                                                 10.9%
                                                                                                               Wells Fargo Bank                                                                                          The Chase
                                                                                                               incl. Wachovia                                                                                            Manhattan Bank

                                                                                       2.3%
                                                                                                               U.S. Bank                                                                                                 Citibank


 SOURCE: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation




•	                                         Over	the	past	decade,	the	share	of	deposits	held	by	the	five	largest	commercial	banks	(currently	
                                           Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan Chase, Citi and U.S. Bank) has more than doubled,
                                           rising from 19% to 40%.2

•	                                         The	Top	5’s	share	of	assets	stands	at	48%,	up	from	26%	ten	years	ago.3


                                                                   Bank Failures 2009                                                                                   Biggest Bank Failures by State 2009
                                                                      Assets         Deposits      Failures                                                                        Assets    Deposits     Foreclosures

                                                                                                                                                                        40,000                                                  600,000
                                         30,000                                                                                35
                                                                                                                                                                        35,000
                                         25,000                                                                                30                                                                                               500,000
     Assets and Deposits in $ Millions




                                                                                                                                    Assets and Deposits in $ Millions




                                                                                                                                                                        30,000
                                                                                                                               25                                                                                               400,000
                                         20,000                                                                                                                         25,000
                                                                                                                               20
                                         15,000                                                                                                                         20,000                                                  300,000
                                                                                                                               15                                       15,000
                                         10,000                                                                                                                                                                                 200,000
                                                                                                                               10                                       10,000
                                          5,000                                                                                5                                                                                                100,000
                                                                                                                                                                         5,000
                                                0                                                                              0                                            0                                                   0
                                                                                                                                                                                 CA FL IL TX GA AL IN CO NV WA
                                                       Jan
                                                             Feb
                                                                   Mar
                                                                         Apr
                                                                               May
                                                                                     Jun
                                                                                           Jul
                                                                                                 Aug
                                                                                                       Sep
                                                                                                             Oct
                                                                                                                   Nov
                                                                                                                         Dec




                                     SOURCE: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation




•	                                         Smaller	 banks	 have	 been	 failing	 at	 the	 highest	 rate	 since	 the	 Savings	 and	 Loan	 crisis.	 The	
                                           Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation closed more than 140 banks in 2009, compared to 26
                                           in 2008 and just 3 in 2007. 4

•	                                         The	number	of	small	commercial	banks	with	assets	of	$50	million	or	less	has	declined	from	
                                           over 3,600 in 1994 to 1,198, according to the most recent FDIC data. Since 1990, the overall
                                           number	of	banks	has	dropped	from	more	than	12,500	to	about	8,000.	5




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3
BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS



  III. THE BIG BANKS GO ON GAMBLING WITH OUR MONEY

  In 1999, Congress formally repealed the Glass-Steagall Act, the New Deal-era law that had
  separated commercial banking from investment banking. Since then, America’s megabanks
  have enjoyed powerful, taxpayer-financed advantages over smaller banks that choose to limit
  their participation in the securities markets. More recently, in response to the meltdown, the
  Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department have reinforced this policy tilt through skewed
  distribution of subsidies and guarantees; through the extension of commercial-bank privi-
  leges to Wall Street; and through a series of government-abetted mergers between commercial
  banks and investment banks. The upshot (documented in the bank-by-bank assessments that
  follow) is a new surge of high-stakes risk-taking at the public’s expense.



  •	    While	the	quarterly	profits	of	the	biggest	banks	have	increased	sharply	since	the	crisis,	
        higher trading revenues, not ordinary banking activity, account for the improvement in
        one case after another.

  •	    As	the	mega-banks	continue	to	take	hits	from	their	consumer-oriented	businesses	due	
        to rising unemployment and mortgage and other defaults, they are sustaining them-
        selves through a variety of speculative activities, including the repackaging of some of
        the toxic assets that clogged the system last year.

  •	    Since	 it	 takes	 real	 capital	 to	 trade,	 government	 subsidies	 are	 being	 absorbed	 into	 the	
        trading-for-profits vortex. The megabanks are, in effect, gambling with taxpayer funds.
IV. THE RISK PICTURE, BANK BY BANK


Bank of America

                                Revenue Breakdown                                                                 Trading Revenue
                    Investment Banking          Trading Revenue     Total Net Revenue                                    Trading Revenue


                    140,000                                                                             20,000
                    120,000                                                                             15,000
                    100,000
                                                                                                        10,000
                     80,000
                     60,000                                                                              5,000
                     40,000
    $ in Millions




                                                                                        $ in Millions
                                                                                                             0
                     20,000
                                                                                                         -5,000
                          0
                    -20,000                                                                             -10,000
                                    2009             2008         2007      2006                                  2009      2008           2007   2006


            SOURCE: S.E.C. 10-Q and 10-K filings: 2006-2009. *




•	                   In	2009,	the	net	revenues	of	Bank	of	America	-	the	nation’s	largest	bank	-	were	64	percent	
                     higher than they had been in 2008. But much of that improvement was due to a dramatic in-
                     crease in trading profits.6

•	                   Trading	 revenue	 for	 2009	 was	 $15	 billion,	 or	 13	 percent	 of	 total	 net	 revenue,	 up	 from	 a	 $6
                     billion	loss	the	previous	year	and	$7.2	billion,	or	11	percent	in	2007.7

•	                   In	July	2009,	Bank	of	America	reported	total	assets	of	$2.3	trillion,	up	23	percent	from	a	year	
                     earlier.	Over	that	same	period,	however,	Bank	of	America	was	required	to	set	aside	56	percent	
                     more capital to cover looming credit losses.8

•	                   Even	as	its	profits	and	assets	grew,	so	did	the	riskiness	of	the	bank’s	overall	position.	One	widely	
                     used metric, ‘value-at-risk’ or VaR (which estimates the daily possible fluctuation of trading po-
                     sitions),	increased	by	68	percent,	from	an	average	of	$94.6	million	in	the	third	quarter	of	2008	to	
                     $159.4	million	in	the	same	quarter	of	2009.	(After	averaging	$110.7	million	during	2008,	Bank	
                     of	America’s	VaR	reached	a	record	high	of	$244.6	million	in	the	first	quarter	of	2009).9                                       1




*            Bank of America’s accounting was clouded by its acquisition of Merrill Lynch. Every big merger brings an
             opportunity to re-jigger the balance sheet. With key accounting elements in flux, risk comparisons across banks
             become difficult.


                                                                                                                                                         5
BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS



  JP Morgan Chase

                              Revenue Breakdown                                                                   Trading Revenue
                   Investment Banking          Trading Revenue      Total Net Revenue                                    Trading Revenue


                   120,000
                   100,000                                                                              20,000
                    80,000                                                                              15,000
                    60,000                                                                              10,000
                    40,000                                                                               5,000
   $ in Millions




                                                                                        $ in Millions
                    20,000                                                                                   0
                          0                                                                              -5,000
                   -20,000                                                                              -10,000
                                   2009             2008         2007      2006                                   2009      2008           2007   2006


           SOURCE: SEC 10K filings for 2006-2009.




  •	                With	 its	 acquisitions	 of	 Bear	 Stearns	 and	 Washington	 Mutual,	 JPMorgan	 Chase	 now	
                    ranks as the nation’s second largest bank in terms of assets. While it did not declare as
                    many bad consumer loans as Bank of America, JP Morgan Chase’s potential credit losses
                    have	increased	significantly	to	$32	billion	in	2009	compared	to	$21	billion	in	2008.	10


  •	                Nevertheless,	 JPM	 Chase’s	 trading	 revenue	 has	 rebounded	 considerably	 since	 2008.	
                    The	bank’s	net	profits,	bolstered	by	record	trading	profits,	more	than	doubled	from	$5.6	
                    billion	in	2008	to	$11.7	billion	in	2009.	11

  •	                2009	 trading	 revenue	 stood	 at	 $14.7	 billion,	 or	 13.5	 percent	 of	 total	 revenue.	 Trading	
                    revenue had comprised 11.8 percent of total net revenue in 2007 and 14.6 percent in
                    2006.	In	2008,	the	trading	division	racked	up	a	loss	of	$7	billion.	12

  •	                Due	to	increased	reliance	on	trading,	JPM	Chase’s	Value	at	Risk	reached	a	record	high	
                    of	$248	million	in	2009;	that’s	a	23	percent	increase	over	2008.	13
Citigroup

                             Revenue Breakdown                                                                   Trading Revenue
                 Investment Banking           Trading Revenue      Total Net Revenue                                    Trading Revenue


                 100,000
                                                                                                       40,000
                  80,000
                  60,000                                                                               20,000
                  40,000
                                                                                                            0
                  20,000
 $ in Millions




                                                                                       $ in Millions
                         0                                                                             -20,000
                 -20,000
                 -40,000                                                                               -40,000
                                 2009             2008          2007      2006                                   2009      2008           2007   2006


         SOURCE: S.E.C. 10-Q and 10-K filings: 2006-2009.




•	                Citigroup	led	the	banking	industry	in	government	support	at	$374	billion.	Though	its	net	rev-
                  enues	have	rebounded	(by	65	percent	in	2009	compared	to	2008),	a	significant	amount	of	that	
                  gain	has	come	from	trading.	Citi	generated	$21.4	billion	in	trading	revenue,	or	27	percent	of	
                  net	revenue,	for	2009,	compared	to	a	negative	$22.1	billion	in	2008,	$5.9	billion,	or	7.5	percent	
                  in	2007,	and	$24.7	billion,	or	29	percent	in	2006.15

•	                After	soaring	to	a	record	high	of	$292	million	in	2008,	Citigroup’s	VaR	fell	back	to	$281	million	
                  in the third quarter of 2009. That figure, however, represented a 17 percent increase over the
                  third	quarter	of	2008,	and	was	almost	double	the	2007	annual	average	of	$142	million.16

•	                Citigroup’s	accounting	practices,	like	those	of	Bank	of	America,	have	grown	more	obfusca-
                  tory. In its latest 10-K Securities and Exchange Commission filing, Citi’s breakdown of trading
                  numbers failed to match its total trading revenue. Such inconsistencies could reflect creative
                  accounting to mask trading losses; at best, they make Citi’s books hard to understand, for
                  regulators or the public.17




                                                                                                                                                        7
BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS



  Wells Fargo


                               Revenue Breakdown                                                            Trading Revenue
                                     Trading/IB Merged        Net Revenue                                          Trading/IB Merged



                   100,000                                                                         25,000

                    80,000                                                                         20,000

                    60,000                                                                         15,000
   $ in Millions




                                                                                   $ in Millions
                    40,000                                                                         10,000

                    20,000                                                                          5,000

                           0                                                                           0
                                   2009             2008         2007       2006                            2009    2008         2007   2006


           SOURCE: S.E.C. 10-Q and 10-K filings: 2006-2009.




  •	                Through	its	acquisition	of	Wachovia	in	another	government-sponsored	merger	at	the	
                    end of 2008, Wells Fargo achieved an almost instant doubling of assets and profits. Its
                    allowance	for	credit	losses,	meanwhile,	tripled	from	$8	billion	to	$24.5	billion.18

  •	                Wells	Fargo’s	accounting	is	particularly	problematic.	Following	the	Wachovia	acquisi-
                    tion, the innocuous-sounding category of “wholesale banking,” a term that normally
                    covers traditional lending, finance and asset management services, expanded to include
                    such speculative activities as fixed-income and equity trading. Because these things
                    aren’t broken out in the company’s SEC filing, it is impossible to say how much of the
                    total comes from trading as opposed to commercial or investment banking.19

  •	                Wells	describes	its	management	accounting	process	as	“dynamic”	and	not	“necessarily	
                    comparable with similar information for other financial services companies.” This state-
                    ment should give lawmakers pause: if banks are so complex as to need a catch-all exemp-
                    tion from accounting norms, it becomes hard to identify or measure activities that could
                    precipitate a crisis.20
Goldman Sachs

                                Revenue Breakdown                                                                      Trading Revenue
                    Investment Banking            Trading and             Total Net Revenue                            Trading and Principal Investments
                                                  Principal Investments
                                                                                                              40,000


                      60,000                                                                                  30,000
                      50,000
                      40,000                                                                                  20,000
                      30,000
    $ in Millions




                                                                                              $ in Millions
                      20,000                                                                                  10,000
                      10,000
                            0                                                                                     0
                                    2009             2008         2007          2006                                   2009        2008          2007      2006

            SOURCE: S.E.C. 10-Q and 10-K filings: 2006-2009. *




•	                    Goldman	derives	a	higher	portion	of	its	revenues	from	trading	than	does	any	other	big	bank.	
                      In 2009, the percentage of revenue from its trading and principal investment division (which
                      specializes	 in	 long-term	 speculative	 position	 taking)	 was	 76	 percent	 or	 $34.4	 billion	 out	 of	
                      $45.2	billion,	compared	to	41	percent,	or	$9	billion	in	2008,	and	68	percent	in	2007	and	2006.21

•	                    The	 firm	 posted	 a	 record	 profit	 of	 $13.4	 billion	 for	 2009,	 compared	 to	 $2.3	 billion	 in	 2008.	
                      These	 gains	 were	 achieved	 on	 the	 back	 of	 $43.4	 billion	 in	 total	 government	 subsidies	 (after	
                      repaying	$10	billion	of	TARP	funds),	including	$12.9	billion	via	AIG,	$19.5	billion	in	FDIC-
                      backed	debt	under	the	TLGP	and	approximately	$11	billion	under	the	Fed’s	Commercial	Paper	
                      Funding Facility (CPFF).22

•	                    Goldman,	however,	takes	more	risk	than	do	other	big	banks.	Its	VaR	reached	a	record	$245	
                      million during the second quarter, up 24 percent from the crisis quarter of 2008. Although that
                      figure	declined	to	$218	million,	average	daily	VaR	for	2009	was	21	percent	higher	than	in	2008.	23                                          2




*             In 2008, Goldman brought its fiscal year (which had previously ended in November) into line with the calendar
              year. December 2008 thus became an orphan month. Changing dates make annual and cross-bank risk compari-
              sons difficult.


                                                                                                                                                                      9
BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS



  Morgan Stanley

                               Revenue Breakdown                                                                Trading Revenue
                   Investment Banking          Trading Revenue     Total Net Revenue                                   Trading Revenue


                    30,000                                                                             20,000
                    25,000                                                                             15,000
                    20,000
                    15,000                                                                             10,000

                    10,000                                                                              5,000
   $ in Millions




                                                                                       $ in Millions
                      5,000
                                                                                                           0
                           0
                     -5,000                                                                            -5,000
                                   2009             2008         2007      2006                                 2009      2008           2007   2006


           SOURCE: S.E.C. 10-Q and 10-K filings: 2006-2009.




  •	                Like	Goldman	Sachs,	Morgan	Stanley	also	changed	its	fiscal	year.	The	firm	posted	af-
                    ter-tax	income	of	$793	million	in	the	3rd	quarter	of	2009,	compared	to	$33	million	in	
                    the	 second	 quarter,	 when	 it	 posted	 a	 $1.26	 billion	 loss	 for	 its	 shareholders.	 The	 poor	
                    performance contributed to calls for the replacement of its CEO, John Mack, who finally
                    stepped down at the beginning of 2010. Yet his successor, James Gorman, has empha-
                    sized the critical importance of the firm’s sales and trading units, suggesting a continued
                    appetite for risk.26

  •	                Indeed,	it	was	the	$6.4	billion	in	trading	revenue	that	generated	much	of	the	$23.4	bil-
                    lion in net revenue for Morgan Stanley during 2009, after abysmal losses during the crisis
                    months.27 In 2009, the firm’s trading revenue was 27 percent of total revenues, compared
                    to	a	loss	in	2008,	31	percent	for	2007,	and	50	percent	for	2006.28 By the third quarter of
                    2009,	trading	was	the	firm’s	most	profitable	division;	as	a	result,	its	VaR	shot	up	to	$175	
                    million - a 47 percent increase since the third quarter of 2008.29
V. MEGABANKS ARE HARDER TO REGULATE

Three of the major banks examined here have dramatically altered the way in which they report
their trading and investment banking activities. In addition, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley
have changed their year-end reporting dates. These and other perfectly legal moves serve to decrease
reporting consistency across the industry. Indeed, when it comes to consistent securities evaluation,
the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) almost seemed to throw in the towel by deciding
in December 2008 to let financial firms adjust pricing in cases where the absence of an active market
makes objective pricing criteria elusive.30 It has become all but impossible to get an accurate or con-
sistent picture of what is the ‘real money’ that banks derive from commercial or consumer services,
and what is their ‘play money’ used for trading purposes. The play money is the most variable part of
their earnings, and therefore the most risky to the overall financial system, particularly since much
of the capital was federally funded during the past year.

Today’s megabanks engage in a continual subjective re-evaluation of their trading positions - how
they value bonds, derivatives, asset-backed-securities, and off-balance-sheet entities. When a bank
marks a position in securities or derivatives or complex customer-driven transactions that they go
on to ‘hedge,’ the figures it posts are almost arbitrary, and, in any case, all but impossible to verify.
Such problems, which are characteristic of larger and merged banks, create regulatory obstacles that
in themselves should form a powerful argument for smaller and simpler banks.




                                                                                                            11
BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS



    CONCLUSION

    Little more than a year after a disaster that was largely of their making, the country’s biggest
    banks have grown even bigger, in no small part because of government subsidies and interven-
    tions. One after another, the mega-banks have found their way back to profitability, and even
    to record levels of profitability in a few cases. They have done so, however, through a return
    to the kind of high-risk practices that produced the meltdown. Perhaps the biggest difference
    between then and now is that more of the capital for today’s high levels of trading and securi-
    ties packaging comes from the taxpayers in the first place.

    In response to the financial crisis, the Obama administration and House and Senate leaders
    have called for reforms widely described as the most sweeping since the 1930s. These propos-
    als have already been watered down significantly under pressure from the financial lobby. But
    even as originally outlined, they were not nearly sweeping enough.

                                             The core problem is an industry dominated by in-
It is time for Congress to create a          creasingly large, complex, opaque, and intercon-
framework for banks to transform             nected institutions, which have become accus-
       themselves into leaner, more          tomed to taking dangerous risks with deposits and
       accountable, and sustainable          borrowed money, including low-cost government-
                financial institutions.      subsidized capital. (Given that mindset, it should
                                             come as no surprise that despite low interest rates
    and surging bank profits, many deserving businesses cannot get credit, while foreclosures
    continue to increase as homeowners struggle to refinance unaffordable mortgages.)

    Some of the financial reform measures currently on the table are sensible and needed, such
    as the creation of a Consumer Financial Protection Agency and the provisions for exchange-
    trading of financial derivatives. But when it comes to leverage and systemic risk, the Adminis-
    tration and congressional leaders rely on general calls for restraint, leaving the specifics - and
    the enforcement – to regulators with poor records of recognizing systemic risk. The Admin-
    istration’s preferred systemic risk regulator, the Federal Reserve, has a governing structure
    dominated by the banking industry as well as a regulatory culture that favors bank mergers
    and disfavors regulatory interference.31

    The proposals making their way through Congress would establish a process for the safe “reso-
    lution” or unwinding of large, failing institutions. But the record cries out for a pro-active
    rather than a reactive approach. It is time for Congress to create a framework for banks to
    transform themselves into leaner, more accountable, and sustainable financial institutions.
“Too Big to Fail” should mean too big to exist, as former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan and former
Treasury Secretary George Shultz have argued. Just as crucially (see Demos’ policy brief, Six Principles
for True Systemic Risk Reform), the principle of Glass-Steagall should be reestablished: the financial
world should once again be divided into commercial entities, which can count on government support,
and investment and trading entities, which cannot.

Legislation to this effect has been introduced by Senators          “I would compartmentalize the
Maria Cantwell (D-WA) and John McCain (R-AZ)32 in the               industry for the same reason
Senate, and by Reps. Marcy Kaptur (D-OH)33 and Maurice              you compartmentalize ships...
Hinchey (D-NY)34 in the House. A group of Democratic                If you have a leak, the leak
members submitted a Glass-Steagall restoration amend-               doesn’t spread and sink the
ment as well as other measures that would have limited              whole vessel.”
bank size to the House Rules Committee for inclusion in
the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act; but the Committee did not advance these more
aggressive amendments to the floor. The concept of a modern-day Glass-Steagall Act has also been
endorsed by former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker and former Citigroup CEO John Reed, among many
others. “I would compartmentalize the industry for the same reason you compartmentalize ships,”
Reed explained to a reporter. “If you have a leak, the leak doesn’t spread and sink the whole vessel.” 35

The American taxpayers, through their deposits and loans and federal support, should no longer be
asked to subsidize the risk-taking of Wall Street traders and goliath institutions that operate more
like hedge funds than financial service firms. As taxpayers, consumers, and shareholders, we have
paid – and continue to pay - too high a price for this policy.




                                                                                                            13
BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS



  ENDNOTES

  1. Federal Reserve, list of financial holding companies at http://www.federalreserve.gov/generalinfo/fhc/, Definition
     of FHC at http://www.ffiec.gov/nicpubweb/Content/HELP/Institution%20Type%20Description.htm.
  2. FDIC Summary of Deposits at http://www2.fdic.gov/sod/index.asp.
  3. Ibid.
  4. FDIC Failed Bank List at http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/banklist.html.
  5.	 Colin Barr, “Small Banks, Big Problems,” Fortune/CNN Money, December 23, 2009, http://money.cnn.
      com/2009/12/22/news/economy/banks.fortune/index.htm.
  6. Bank of America, Supplemental Information Fourth Quarter 2009, January 20, 2010.
  7. Ibid., SEC Form 10-K 2007 and 2008 available at http://edgar.sec.gov/.
  8. SEC Form 10-Q available at http://edgar.sec.gov/.
  9. Ibid.
  10. JPMorgan	Chase	&	Co.,	Earnings	Release	Financial	Supplement	Fourth	Quarter	2009,	January	15,	2010.
  11. Ibid.
  12. Ibid.
  13. Ibid.
  14. Nomi Prins and Krisztina Ugrin, “Bailout Tally Report,” appendix to Prins, It Takes a Pillage (John Wiley &
      Sons, 2009), available at http://www.sitemason.com/files/esMlDW/bailouttallydec2009.pdf
  15.	SEC Form 10-K 2007-09, available at http://edgar.sec.gov/, Citigroup, Quarterly Financial Data Supplement,
      January 19, 2010.
  16. Ibid.
  17. Ibid.
  18. SEC Form 10-Q available at http://edgar.sec.gov/.
  19. Ibid.
  20. Ibid.
  21. Goldman Sachs, Fourth Quarter 2009 Earnings Release, January 21, 2009.
  22. Nomi Prins and Krisztina Ugrin, “Bailout Tally Report,” appendix to Prins, It Takes a Pillage (John Wiley &
      Sons, 2009), available at http://www.sitemason.com/files/esMlDW/bailouttallydec2009.pdf.
  23. SEC Form 10-Q, http://edgar.sec.gov/ Goldman Sachs, Fourth Quarter 2009 Earnings Release, January 21, 2009.
  24. SEC Form 10-K http://edgar.sec.gov/.
  25.	SEC Forms 10-Q available at http://edgar.sec.gov/.
  26. Mark DeCambre, “New Morgan Boss Stirs Worry in the Ranks,” New York Post, October 12, 2009.
  27. SEC Forms 10-Q available at http://edgar.sec.gov/.
  28. SEC Forms 10-Q and 10-K available at http://edgar.sec.gov/.
  29. Morgan Stanley, Financial Supplement Fourth Quarter 2009, January 20, 2010.
30. Financial Accounting Standards Board, “Determining the Fair Value of a Financial Asset When the Market for
    That Asset Is Not Active,” available at http://www.fasb.org/cs/BlobServer?blobcol=urldata&blobtable=MungoBlob
    s&blobkey=id&blobwhere=1175818747583&blobheader=application%2Fpdf.
31. Binyamin Appelbaum and David Cho, “Fed’s approach to regulation left banks exposed to crisis,” Washington
    Post, December 21, 2009, available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/12/20/
    AR2009122002580.html.
32. S. 2886, Banking Integrity Act of 2009, introduced December 16, 2009.
33. H.R. 4377, Return to Prudent Banking Act of 2009, introduced December 16, 2009.
34. H.R.	4375,	Glass-Steagall	Restoration	Act,	introduced	December16,	2009.
35.	Bob Ivry, “Reed Says ‘I’m Sorry’ for Role in Creating Citigroup,” Bloomberg, November 6, 2009.




                                                                                                                    15
BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS



  APPENDIX: BANK MERGERS AND CONSOLIDATION

  The	following	tables	show	the	largest	mergers	that	contributed	to	the	creation	of	the	5	biggest	
  bank holding companies.

          date                        taRGet NaMe                               aCQUIReR NaMe                 VaLUe ($ MILLIoNs)
                                                               BaNk of aMeRICa
        9/15/2008                  Merril Lynch & Co. Inc.                     Bank of America Corp.                48,766.2
        1/11/2008               Countrywide Financial Corp.                    Bank of America Corp.                4,000.0
        4/23/2007           ABN AMRO North America Holding                     Bank of America Corp.                21,000.0
        06/30/2005                       MBNA Corp.                            Bank of America Corp.                35,810.3
        10/27/2003               FleetBoston Financial Corp.                   Bank of America Corp.                49,260.6
        3/14/1999              Bank Boston Corp., Boston, MA                Fleet Financial Group Inc, MA           15,925.2
        4/13/1998                    BankAmerica Corp.                    Nations Bank Corp., Charlotte, NC         61,633.4
        8/29/1997              Barnett Banks, Jacksonville, FL            Nations Bank Corp., Charlotte, NC         14,821.7
        8/30/1996                 Boatmen’s Bancshares Inc.                    Bank of America Corp.                9,523.4


                                                                     CItIGRoUp
        7/30/2009                        Citigroup Inc.                         Preferred Shareholders              28,078.3
        7/15/2003          Sear’s Credit Card & Financial Products Bus.             Citigroup Inc.                  42,200.0
        9/06/2003               Associates First Capital Corp.                      Citigroup Inc.                  30,957.5
        4/06/1998                           Citicorp                             Travelers Group Inc.               72,558.2
        10/28/1997              Associates First Capital Corp.                      Shareholders                    26,624.6
        9/24/1997                        Salomon Inc.                            Travelers Group Inc.               13,579.2


                                                                   WeLLs faRGo
        10/03/2008             Wachovia Corp., Charlotte, NC                Wells Fargo, San Francisco, CA          15,112.0
        5/07/2006             Golden West Financial Corp., CA              Wachovia Corp., Charlotte, NC            25,500.9
        6/21/2004            SouthTrust Corp., Birmingham, AL              Wachovia Corp., Charlotte, NC            14,155.8
        5/20/2003                 Pacific Northwest Bancorp                       Wells Fargo & Co.                 28,108.0
        4/16/2001           Wachovia Corp., Winston-Salem, NC              First Union Corp., Charlotte, NC         13,132.2
        10/30/2000          Republic Security Financial Corp., PA                  Wachovia Corp.                   9,911.5
        6/08/1998              Wells Fargo, San Francisco, CA             Northwest Corp., Minneapolis, MN          34,352.6
        11/18/1997             Core States Financial Corp. PA              First Union Corp., Charlotte, NC         17,122.2
        10/18/1995                 First Interstate Bancorp.                      Wells Fargo & Co.                 11,600.0

  SOURCE: Thompson Reuters, Top 40 and Top 100 Mergers 1988-2009
Financial US Mergers & 1988-2009
                                                                                     Number of Deals           Value ($ millions)



                                                                                 Citicorp - Travelers Group
      1500                                                                                                                                                                           450,000
                                                                                                    JP Morgan - Chase Manhattan                                                      400,000
      1200                                                                                                                                                                           350,000
                                                                                                                                                                                     300,000
        900
                                                                                                                                                                                     250,000
                                                                                                                                                                                     200,000
        600
                                                                                                                                                                                     150,000
        300                                                                                                                                                                          100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                     50,000
           0                                                                                                                                                                         0
                  1988

                         1989

                                 1990

                                        1991

                                               1992

                                                      1993

                                                              1994

                                                                       1995

                                                                              1996

                                                                                      1997

                                                                                             1998

                                                                                                      1999

                                                                                                               2000

                                                                                                                      2001

                                                                                                                             2002

                                                                                                                                    2003

                                                                                                                                           2004

                                                                                                                                                  2005

                                                                                                                                                         2006

                                                                                                                                                                2007

                                                                                                                                                                       2008

                                                                                                                                                                              2009
                                                         Riegle-Neal Act                             GLB Act



    SOURCE: Thompson Reuters, Top 40 and Top 100 Mergers 1988-2009.*




1




*     Through November 4, 2009.


                                                                                                                                                                                               17
RELATED RESOURCES

Reports on Financial Regulation
A Brief History of the Glass-Steagall Act by James Lardner (November 2009)

Six Principles for True Systemic Risk Reform by Nomi Prins Heather C. McGhee (November 2009)

A Primer on Key CFPA Amendments in the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act by Heather C. McGhee (December 2009)

Financial Regulation: After the Fall by Robert Kuttner (January 2009)

Reforming the Rating Agencies: A Solution that Fits the Problem by James Lardner (December 2009)

Subpriming Our Students: Why We Need a Strong Consumer Financial Protection Agency jointly published with U.S. PIRG
(December 2009)

Beyond the Mortgage Meltdown: Addressing the Current Crisis, Avoiding a Future Catastrophe by James Lardner (July 2008)

The New Squeeze: How a Perfect Storm of Bad Mortgages and Credit Card Debt Could Paralyze the Recovery by Jose Garcia
(November 2008)


Books
It Takes a Pillage: Behind the Bailouts, Bonuses, and Backroom Deals from Washington to Wall Street by Nomi Prins (John Wiley &
Sons, September 2009)

Up to Our Eyeballs: How Shady Lenders and Failed Economic Policies are Drowning Americans in Debt by Jose Garcia, James Lardner,
and Cindy Zeldin (March 2008)

Strapped: Why America’s 20- and 30-Somethings Can’t Get Ahead by Tamara Draut (Doubleday, January 2006)

The Squandering of America: How the Failure of Our Politics Undermines Our Prosperity by Robert Kuttner (Knopf, November 2007)


Inequality Matters: The Growing Economic Divide in America and its Poisonous Consequences (New Press, January 2006)



For further research on this topic and on others, please visit www.demos.org.



CONTACT

Visit www.demos.org to sign up for updates, register for events, and to download research reports, analysis and
commentary from the Economic Opportunity Program.


Media Inquiries:

Tim Rusch, Communications Director
trusch@demos.org
212.389.1407
Bigger Banks, Riskier Banks

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

Financial crisis done
Financial crisis doneFinancial crisis done
Financial crisis doneEly Twiggs
 
Twohill_Anthony_Capstone
Twohill_Anthony_CapstoneTwohill_Anthony_Capstone
Twohill_Anthony_CapstoneAnthony Twohill
 
A Fistful of Dollars: Lobbying and the Financial Crisis†
A Fistful of Dollars: Lobbying and the Financial Crisis†A Fistful of Dollars: Lobbying and the Financial Crisis†
A Fistful of Dollars: Lobbying and the Financial Crisis†catelong
 
Moderninizing bank supervision and regulation
Moderninizing bank supervision and regulationModerninizing bank supervision and regulation
Moderninizing bank supervision and regulationcatelong
 
Macro Risk Premium and Intermediary Balance Sheet Quantities
Macro Risk Premium and Intermediary Balance Sheet QuantitiesMacro Risk Premium and Intermediary Balance Sheet Quantities
Macro Risk Premium and Intermediary Balance Sheet Quantitiescatelong
 
Treasury Strategies Testimony to U.S. House of Representatives on the Volcker...
Treasury Strategies Testimony to U.S. House of Representatives on the Volcker...Treasury Strategies Testimony to U.S. House of Representatives on the Volcker...
Treasury Strategies Testimony to U.S. House of Representatives on the Volcker...Tony Carfang
 
Meryll lynch : Rise and Downfall
Meryll lynch  : Rise and DownfallMeryll lynch  : Rise and Downfall
Meryll lynch : Rise and DownfallKaustubh Gupta
 
NPR: Debt Drama Could Impact Housing
NPR: Debt Drama Could Impact HousingNPR: Debt Drama Could Impact Housing
NPR: Debt Drama Could Impact HousingMatt Gentile
 
Ivo Pezzuto - CONCLUSIONS OF THE US FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION (2011)
Ivo Pezzuto - CONCLUSIONS OF THE US FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION (2011)Ivo Pezzuto - CONCLUSIONS OF THE US FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION (2011)
Ivo Pezzuto - CONCLUSIONS OF THE US FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION (2011)Dr. Ivo Pezzuto
 
Financial crisis done
Financial crisis doneFinancial crisis done
Financial crisis doneEly Twiggs
 
America's failing banks feature
America's failing banks featureAmerica's failing banks feature
America's failing banks featureHazween Hassan
 
Fed Monetary Policy
Fed Monetary PolicyFed Monetary Policy
Fed Monetary PolicyAdam Kirby
 
Combating Corruption & Fraud in International Arbitration
Combating Corruption & Fraud in International Arbitration Combating Corruption & Fraud in International Arbitration
Combating Corruption & Fraud in International Arbitration Carlos F. Concepcion
 
NPR's coverage of the financial crisis
NPR's coverage of the financial crisis NPR's coverage of the financial crisis
NPR's coverage of the financial crisis Stephanie Steinberg
 
Merrill Lynch\'s Valuation
Merrill Lynch\'s ValuationMerrill Lynch\'s Valuation
Merrill Lynch\'s Valuationszrehman
 
Sub prime crisis
Sub prime crisisSub prime crisis
Sub prime crisismani kandan
 
The Role of Investment Banks in Deregulatory Environment
The Role of Investment Banks in Deregulatory EnvironmentThe Role of Investment Banks in Deregulatory Environment
The Role of Investment Banks in Deregulatory EnvironmentAakash Kumar
 

Was ist angesagt? (19)

Financial crisis done
Financial crisis doneFinancial crisis done
Financial crisis done
 
Twohill_Anthony_Capstone
Twohill_Anthony_CapstoneTwohill_Anthony_Capstone
Twohill_Anthony_Capstone
 
A Fistful of Dollars: Lobbying and the Financial Crisis†
A Fistful of Dollars: Lobbying and the Financial Crisis†A Fistful of Dollars: Lobbying and the Financial Crisis†
A Fistful of Dollars: Lobbying and the Financial Crisis†
 
Moderninizing bank supervision and regulation
Moderninizing bank supervision and regulationModerninizing bank supervision and regulation
Moderninizing bank supervision and regulation
 
Macro Risk Premium and Intermediary Balance Sheet Quantities
Macro Risk Premium and Intermediary Balance Sheet QuantitiesMacro Risk Premium and Intermediary Balance Sheet Quantities
Macro Risk Premium and Intermediary Balance Sheet Quantities
 
Treasury Strategies Testimony to U.S. House of Representatives on the Volcker...
Treasury Strategies Testimony to U.S. House of Representatives on the Volcker...Treasury Strategies Testimony to U.S. House of Representatives on the Volcker...
Treasury Strategies Testimony to U.S. House of Representatives on the Volcker...
 
Meryll lynch : Rise and Downfall
Meryll lynch  : Rise and DownfallMeryll lynch  : Rise and Downfall
Meryll lynch : Rise and Downfall
 
NPR: Debt Drama Could Impact Housing
NPR: Debt Drama Could Impact HousingNPR: Debt Drama Could Impact Housing
NPR: Debt Drama Could Impact Housing
 
Ivo Pezzuto - CONCLUSIONS OF THE US FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION (2011)
Ivo Pezzuto - CONCLUSIONS OF THE US FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION (2011)Ivo Pezzuto - CONCLUSIONS OF THE US FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION (2011)
Ivo Pezzuto - CONCLUSIONS OF THE US FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION (2011)
 
Financial crisis done
Financial crisis doneFinancial crisis done
Financial crisis done
 
America's failing banks feature
America's failing banks featureAmerica's failing banks feature
America's failing banks feature
 
Fed Monetary Policy
Fed Monetary PolicyFed Monetary Policy
Fed Monetary Policy
 
Combating Corruption & Fraud in International Arbitration
Combating Corruption & Fraud in International Arbitration Combating Corruption & Fraud in International Arbitration
Combating Corruption & Fraud in International Arbitration
 
Leadership and Political Compromise
Leadership and Political CompromiseLeadership and Political Compromise
Leadership and Political Compromise
 
NPR's coverage of the financial crisis
NPR's coverage of the financial crisis NPR's coverage of the financial crisis
NPR's coverage of the financial crisis
 
Merrill Lynch\'s Valuation
Merrill Lynch\'s ValuationMerrill Lynch\'s Valuation
Merrill Lynch\'s Valuation
 
Sub prime crisis
Sub prime crisisSub prime crisis
Sub prime crisis
 
The Role of Investment Banks in Deregulatory Environment
The Role of Investment Banks in Deregulatory EnvironmentThe Role of Investment Banks in Deregulatory Environment
The Role of Investment Banks in Deregulatory Environment
 
Washington mutual
Washington mutualWashington mutual
Washington mutual
 

Andere mochten auch

Public Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter Registration
Public Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter RegistrationPublic Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter Registration
Public Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter Registrationcoryhelene
 
A Visual Snapshot of the Middle Class
A Visual Snapshot of the Middle ClassA Visual Snapshot of the Middle Class
A Visual Snapshot of the Middle Classcoryhelene
 
Six Principles for True Systemic Risk Reform
Six Principles for True Systemic Risk ReformSix Principles for True Systemic Risk Reform
Six Principles for True Systemic Risk Reformcoryhelene
 
The Squeeze Is On
The Squeeze Is OnThe Squeeze Is On
The Squeeze Is Oncoryhelene
 
Preview of Work Less, Study More
Preview of Work Less, Study MorePreview of Work Less, Study More
Preview of Work Less, Study Morecoryhelene
 
BreadlineUSA, A New Book Exploring the Hidden Crisis of Hunger
BreadlineUSA, A New Book Exploring the Hidden Crisis of HungerBreadlineUSA, A New Book Exploring the Hidden Crisis of Hunger
BreadlineUSA, A New Book Exploring the Hidden Crisis of Hungercoryhelene
 

Andere mochten auch (6)

Public Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter Registration
Public Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter RegistrationPublic Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter Registration
Public Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter Registration
 
A Visual Snapshot of the Middle Class
A Visual Snapshot of the Middle ClassA Visual Snapshot of the Middle Class
A Visual Snapshot of the Middle Class
 
Six Principles for True Systemic Risk Reform
Six Principles for True Systemic Risk ReformSix Principles for True Systemic Risk Reform
Six Principles for True Systemic Risk Reform
 
The Squeeze Is On
The Squeeze Is OnThe Squeeze Is On
The Squeeze Is On
 
Preview of Work Less, Study More
Preview of Work Less, Study MorePreview of Work Less, Study More
Preview of Work Less, Study More
 
BreadlineUSA, A New Book Exploring the Hidden Crisis of Hunger
BreadlineUSA, A New Book Exploring the Hidden Crisis of HungerBreadlineUSA, A New Book Exploring the Hidden Crisis of Hunger
BreadlineUSA, A New Book Exploring the Hidden Crisis of Hunger
 

Ähnlich wie Bigger Banks, Riskier Banks

Mortgage Fraud, Fraud And Fraud
Mortgage Fraud, Fraud And FraudMortgage Fraud, Fraud And Fraud
Mortgage Fraud, Fraud And FraudRenee Jones
 
45 Page Conference Paper
45 Page Conference Paper45 Page Conference Paper
45 Page Conference PaperMatthew Gerak
 
Argument Essay On Social Media. Amazing Social Media Argumentative Essay Tha...
Argument Essay On Social Media. Amazing Social Media Argumentative Essay  Tha...Argument Essay On Social Media. Amazing Social Media Argumentative Essay  Tha...
Argument Essay On Social Media. Amazing Social Media Argumentative Essay Tha...Johanna Solis
 
Dodd US Chamber of Commerce PIC
Dodd US Chamber of Commerce PICDodd US Chamber of Commerce PIC
Dodd US Chamber of Commerce PICMatthew J Weiner
 
Bank of America’s Corporate Social Responsibility and the Occupy W.docx
Bank of America’s Corporate Social Responsibility and the Occupy W.docxBank of America’s Corporate Social Responsibility and the Occupy W.docx
Bank of America’s Corporate Social Responsibility and the Occupy W.docxrock73
 
Week 6 - Final Assignment Integrative Literatu.docx
Week   6   -   Final  Assignment  Integrative   Literatu.docxWeek   6   -   Final  Assignment  Integrative   Literatu.docx
Week 6 - Final Assignment Integrative Literatu.docxjessiehampson
 
Financial Crisis Coverage: NPR
Financial Crisis Coverage: NPRFinancial Crisis Coverage: NPR
Financial Crisis Coverage: NPREly Twiggs
 
CASE SI-134(A) DATE 013116 Jacly
CASE  SI-134(A) DATE  013116 JaclyCASE  SI-134(A) DATE  013116 Jacly
CASE SI-134(A) DATE 013116 JaclyTawnaDelatorrejs
 

Ähnlich wie Bigger Banks, Riskier Banks (10)

Mortgage Fraud, Fraud And Fraud
Mortgage Fraud, Fraud And FraudMortgage Fraud, Fraud And Fraud
Mortgage Fraud, Fraud And Fraud
 
Ssrn id1113888
Ssrn id1113888Ssrn id1113888
Ssrn id1113888
 
45 Page Conference Paper
45 Page Conference Paper45 Page Conference Paper
45 Page Conference Paper
 
Argument Essay On Social Media. Amazing Social Media Argumentative Essay Tha...
Argument Essay On Social Media. Amazing Social Media Argumentative Essay  Tha...Argument Essay On Social Media. Amazing Social Media Argumentative Essay  Tha...
Argument Essay On Social Media. Amazing Social Media Argumentative Essay Tha...
 
Dodd US Chamber of Commerce PIC
Dodd US Chamber of Commerce PICDodd US Chamber of Commerce PIC
Dodd US Chamber of Commerce PIC
 
Bank of America’s Corporate Social Responsibility and the Occupy W.docx
Bank of America’s Corporate Social Responsibility and the Occupy W.docxBank of America’s Corporate Social Responsibility and the Occupy W.docx
Bank of America’s Corporate Social Responsibility and the Occupy W.docx
 
Week 6 - Final Assignment Integrative Literatu.docx
Week   6   -   Final  Assignment  Integrative   Literatu.docxWeek   6   -   Final  Assignment  Integrative   Literatu.docx
Week 6 - Final Assignment Integrative Literatu.docx
 
Financial Crisis Coverage: NPR
Financial Crisis Coverage: NPRFinancial Crisis Coverage: NPR
Financial Crisis Coverage: NPR
 
CASE SI-134(A) DATE 013116 Jacly
CASE  SI-134(A) DATE  013116 JaclyCASE  SI-134(A) DATE  013116 Jacly
CASE SI-134(A) DATE 013116 Jacly
 
Finance paper
Finance paperFinance paper
Finance paper
 

Mehr von coryhelene

America's fiscal choices_10_4
America's fiscal choices_10_4America's fiscal choices_10_4
America's fiscal choices_10_4coryhelene
 
Student Debt 101
Student Debt 101Student Debt 101
Student Debt 101coryhelene
 
National Voter Registration Act: A Fact Sheet
National Voter Registration Act: A Fact SheetNational Voter Registration Act: A Fact Sheet
National Voter Registration Act: A Fact Sheetcoryhelene
 
Broken Buffer: How Trade Adjustment Assistance Fails American Workers
Broken Buffer: How Trade Adjustment Assistance Fails American WorkersBroken Buffer: How Trade Adjustment Assistance Fails American Workers
Broken Buffer: How Trade Adjustment Assistance Fails American Workerscoryhelene
 
Same Day Voter Registration in Maryland
Same Day Voter Registration in MarylandSame Day Voter Registration in Maryland
Same Day Voter Registration in Marylandcoryhelene
 
Public Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter Registration
Public Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter RegistrationPublic Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter Registration
Public Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter Registrationcoryhelene
 
A Dilution of Democracy: Prison-Based Gerrymandering
A Dilution of Democracy: Prison-Based GerrymanderingA Dilution of Democracy: Prison-Based Gerrymandering
A Dilution of Democracy: Prison-Based Gerrymanderingcoryhelene
 
U.N. Beijing + 15 Conference and the 30% Solution
U.N. Beijing + 15 Conference and the 30% SolutionU.N. Beijing + 15 Conference and the 30% Solution
U.N. Beijing + 15 Conference and the 30% Solutioncoryhelene
 
Voters Win with Same Day Registration
Voters Win with Same Day RegistrationVoters Win with Same Day Registration
Voters Win with Same Day Registrationcoryhelene
 
Election Day Voter Registration in New Mexico
Election Day Voter Registration in New MexicoElection Day Voter Registration in New Mexico
Election Day Voter Registration in New Mexicocoryhelene
 
Credit Card Debt: Preliminary Findings from Demos' Low- to Middle-Income Hous...
Credit Card Debt: Preliminary Findings from Demos' Low- to Middle-Income Hous...Credit Card Debt: Preliminary Findings from Demos' Low- to Middle-Income Hous...
Credit Card Debt: Preliminary Findings from Demos' Low- to Middle-Income Hous...coryhelene
 
People v. Cady: A Fact Sheet
People v. Cady: A Fact SheetPeople v. Cady: A Fact Sheet
People v. Cady: A Fact Sheetcoryhelene
 
Paving The Way
Paving The WayPaving The Way
Paving The Waycoryhelene
 
FACT SHEET: Medical Debt
FACT SHEET: Medical DebtFACT SHEET: Medical Debt
FACT SHEET: Medical Debtcoryhelene
 
FACT SHEET: Consumer Financial Protection Agency
FACT SHEET: Consumer Financial Protection AgencyFACT SHEET: Consumer Financial Protection Agency
FACT SHEET: Consumer Financial Protection Agencycoryhelene
 
Reforming Rating Agencies
Reforming Rating AgenciesReforming Rating Agencies
Reforming Rating Agenciescoryhelene
 
Government, The Economy and We, The People
Government, The Economy and We, The PeopleGovernment, The Economy and We, The People
Government, The Economy and We, The Peoplecoryhelene
 
Promoting Broad Prosperity
Promoting Broad ProsperityPromoting Broad Prosperity
Promoting Broad Prosperitycoryhelene
 
Recent & Upcoming Books
Recent & Upcoming BooksRecent & Upcoming Books
Recent & Upcoming Bookscoryhelene
 
A Preview of Flying Blind
A Preview of Flying BlindA Preview of Flying Blind
A Preview of Flying Blindcoryhelene
 

Mehr von coryhelene (20)

America's fiscal choices_10_4
America's fiscal choices_10_4America's fiscal choices_10_4
America's fiscal choices_10_4
 
Student Debt 101
Student Debt 101Student Debt 101
Student Debt 101
 
National Voter Registration Act: A Fact Sheet
National Voter Registration Act: A Fact SheetNational Voter Registration Act: A Fact Sheet
National Voter Registration Act: A Fact Sheet
 
Broken Buffer: How Trade Adjustment Assistance Fails American Workers
Broken Buffer: How Trade Adjustment Assistance Fails American WorkersBroken Buffer: How Trade Adjustment Assistance Fails American Workers
Broken Buffer: How Trade Adjustment Assistance Fails American Workers
 
Same Day Voter Registration in Maryland
Same Day Voter Registration in MarylandSame Day Voter Registration in Maryland
Same Day Voter Registration in Maryland
 
Public Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter Registration
Public Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter RegistrationPublic Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter Registration
Public Assistance Databases and Automatic Voter Registration
 
A Dilution of Democracy: Prison-Based Gerrymandering
A Dilution of Democracy: Prison-Based GerrymanderingA Dilution of Democracy: Prison-Based Gerrymandering
A Dilution of Democracy: Prison-Based Gerrymandering
 
U.N. Beijing + 15 Conference and the 30% Solution
U.N. Beijing + 15 Conference and the 30% SolutionU.N. Beijing + 15 Conference and the 30% Solution
U.N. Beijing + 15 Conference and the 30% Solution
 
Voters Win with Same Day Registration
Voters Win with Same Day RegistrationVoters Win with Same Day Registration
Voters Win with Same Day Registration
 
Election Day Voter Registration in New Mexico
Election Day Voter Registration in New MexicoElection Day Voter Registration in New Mexico
Election Day Voter Registration in New Mexico
 
Credit Card Debt: Preliminary Findings from Demos' Low- to Middle-Income Hous...
Credit Card Debt: Preliminary Findings from Demos' Low- to Middle-Income Hous...Credit Card Debt: Preliminary Findings from Demos' Low- to Middle-Income Hous...
Credit Card Debt: Preliminary Findings from Demos' Low- to Middle-Income Hous...
 
People v. Cady: A Fact Sheet
People v. Cady: A Fact SheetPeople v. Cady: A Fact Sheet
People v. Cady: A Fact Sheet
 
Paving The Way
Paving The WayPaving The Way
Paving The Way
 
FACT SHEET: Medical Debt
FACT SHEET: Medical DebtFACT SHEET: Medical Debt
FACT SHEET: Medical Debt
 
FACT SHEET: Consumer Financial Protection Agency
FACT SHEET: Consumer Financial Protection AgencyFACT SHEET: Consumer Financial Protection Agency
FACT SHEET: Consumer Financial Protection Agency
 
Reforming Rating Agencies
Reforming Rating AgenciesReforming Rating Agencies
Reforming Rating Agencies
 
Government, The Economy and We, The People
Government, The Economy and We, The PeopleGovernment, The Economy and We, The People
Government, The Economy and We, The People
 
Promoting Broad Prosperity
Promoting Broad ProsperityPromoting Broad Prosperity
Promoting Broad Prosperity
 
Recent & Upcoming Books
Recent & Upcoming BooksRecent & Upcoming Books
Recent & Upcoming Books
 
A Preview of Flying Blind
A Preview of Flying BlindA Preview of Flying Blind
A Preview of Flying Blind
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen

Rohan Jaitley: Central Gov't Standing Counsel for Justice
Rohan Jaitley: Central Gov't Standing Counsel for JusticeRohan Jaitley: Central Gov't Standing Counsel for Justice
Rohan Jaitley: Central Gov't Standing Counsel for JusticeAbdulGhani778830
 
15042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
15042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf15042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
15042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
 
16042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
16042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf16042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
16042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
 
IndiaWest: Your Trusted Source for Today's Global News
IndiaWest: Your Trusted Source for Today's Global NewsIndiaWest: Your Trusted Source for Today's Global News
IndiaWest: Your Trusted Source for Today's Global NewsIndiaWest2
 
57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf
57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf
57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdfGerald Furnkranz
 
complaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfk
complaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfkcomplaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfk
complaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfkbhavenpr
 
Experience the Future of the Web3 Gaming Trend
Experience the Future of the Web3 Gaming TrendExperience the Future of the Web3 Gaming Trend
Experience the Future of the Web3 Gaming TrendFabwelt
 
Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.
Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.
Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.NaveedKhaskheli1
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen (8)

Rohan Jaitley: Central Gov't Standing Counsel for Justice
Rohan Jaitley: Central Gov't Standing Counsel for JusticeRohan Jaitley: Central Gov't Standing Counsel for Justice
Rohan Jaitley: Central Gov't Standing Counsel for Justice
 
15042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
15042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf15042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
15042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 
16042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
16042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf16042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
16042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 
IndiaWest: Your Trusted Source for Today's Global News
IndiaWest: Your Trusted Source for Today's Global NewsIndiaWest: Your Trusted Source for Today's Global News
IndiaWest: Your Trusted Source for Today's Global News
 
57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf
57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf
57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf
 
complaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfk
complaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfkcomplaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfk
complaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfk
 
Experience the Future of the Web3 Gaming Trend
Experience the Future of the Web3 Gaming TrendExperience the Future of the Web3 Gaming Trend
Experience the Future of the Web3 Gaming Trend
 
Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.
Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.
Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.
 

Bigger Banks, Riskier Banks

  • 1. BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS THE POST-BAILOUT CONTINUATION OF A PRE-BAILOUT TREND NOMI PRINS JAMES LARDNER RESEARCH ASSISTANCE: KRISZTINA UGRIN
  • 2. - ABOUT DEMOS Dēmos is a non-partisan public policy research and advocacy organization. Headquartered in New York City, Dēmos works with advocates and policymakers around the country in pursuit of four overarching goals: a more equitable economy; a vibrant and inclusive democracy; an empowered public sector that works for the common good; and responsible U.S. engagement in an interdependent world. Dēmos was founded in 2000. Miles S. Rapoport, President Tamara Draut, Vice President of Policy & Programs ABOUT THE AUTHORS Nomi Prins is a journalist, a regular contributor to the Daily Beast, and a Senior Fellow at Demos. Her lat- est book is It Takes a Pillage: Behind the Bonuses, Bailouts, and Backroom Deals from Washington to Wall Street (Wiley, September 2009). She is also the author of Other People’s Money: The Corporate Mugging of America (The New Press, October 2004), a devastating exposé into corporate corruption, political collu- sion and Wall Street deception. Other People’s Money was chosen as a Best Book of 2004 by The Econo- mist, Barron’s and The Library Journal. Her book Jacked: How “Conservatives” are Picking your Pocket (whether you voted for them or not) (Polipoint Press, Sept. 2006) catalogs her travels around the USA; talk- ing to people about their economic lives: card by card--issue by issue. Before becoming a journalist, Nomi worked on Wall Street as a managing director at Goldman Sachs, and running the international analytics group at Bear Stearns in London. She has appeared internationally on BBC World and BBC Radio and nationally in the U.S. on CNN, CNBC, MSNBC, ABCNews, CSPAN, Democracy Now, Fox Business News and other TV stations. She has been featured on dozens of radio shows across the U.S. including CNNRadio, Marketplace Radio, Air America, NPR, WNYC-AM and regional Pacifica stations. Her articles have appeared in The New York Times, Fortune, Newsday, Mother Jones, Slate.com, The Guardian UK, The Nation, The American Prospect, Alternet, The Left Business Observer, LaVanguardia, and other publications. James Lardner is a Senior Policy Analyst at Dēmos and the co-author, with José García and Cindy Zeldin, of Up to Our Eyeballs: How Shady Lenders and Failed Economic Policies Are Drowning Americans in Debt. He is also the co-editor of Inequality Matters: The Growing Economic Divide in America and Its Poisonous Consequences. As a journalist, he has written for the New York Review of Books, The New Yorker and The Washington Post, among other publications. Krisztina Ugrin is a researcher and translator based in Berlin, Germany. Her work has appeared in Moth- er Jones and The Nation.
  • 3. BOARD OF DIRECTORS Current Members Members, Past & On Leave Stephen Heintz, Board Chair President Barack Obama President, Rockefeller Brothers Fund Tom Campbell Miles Rapoport, President Juan Figeroa Mark C. Alexander Professor of Law, Seton Hall University Robert Franklin Ben Binswanger Charles Halpern Chief Operating Officer, The Case Foundation Sara Horowitz Raj Date Van Jones Chairman & Executive Director, Cambridge Winter Eric Liu Christine Chen Strategic Alliances USA Spencer Overton Amy Hanauer Robert Reich Founding Executive Director, Policy Matters Ohio David Skaggs Sang Ji Linda Tarr-Whelan Partner, White & Case LLP Ernest Tollerson Rev. Janet McCune Edwards Presbyterian Minister Affiliations are listed for identification purposes only. Clarissa Martinez De Castro Director of Immigration & National Campaigns, As with all Dēmos publications, the views expressed National Council of La Raza in this report do not necessarily reflect the views of the Dēmos Board of Trustees. Arnie Miller Founder, Isaacson Miller Wendy Puriefoy President, Public Education Network Amelia Warren Tyagi Co-Founder & EVP/COO, The Business Talent Group Ruth Wooden President, Public Agenda COPYRIGHT © 2010 Dēmos: A Network for Ideas & Action
  • 4.
  • 5. TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Introduction 1 Key Developments Since the Financial Crisis II. Too Big to Fail Banks are Bigger than Ever 2 III. The Big Banks go Gambling with our Money 4 IV. The Risk Picture Bank by Bank 5 V. Megabanks are Harder to Regulate 11 Conclusion 12 Endnotes 14 Appendix: Bank Mergers and Consolidation 16
  • 6.
  • 7. I. INTRODUCTION In recent decades, policymakers and regulators have adopted a bigger-is-better view of the banking business. The United States had a tradition of small and simple banks with close community ties. But in the deregulatory atmosphere of the 1980s and ‘90s, official Washington came around to the industry’s argument for consolidation. In the name of global competitiveness, financial executives and lobbyists contended, banks had to be not just large in scale and geographical reach, but also free to engage ...after trillions of dollars in in the whole gamut of underwriting, trading, and in- taxpayer funds, cheap loans surance as well as ordinary banking activities. and other forms of direct and indirect support, the biggest The financial meltdown of late 2008 called that belief banks are bigger and more into grave doubt. The crisis was widely blamed on the complex than ever... eager promotion by the nation’s biggest banks of over- complicated, deceptively advertised loans and securi- ties. Experts and political leaders of both parties deplored the ability of profit-seeking insiders at a handful of “Too Big to Fail” institutions to bring the financial system to the edge of collapse, neces- sitating a massive bailout and triggering the worst recession since the 1930s. Nevertheless, after trillions of dollars in taxpayer funds, cheap loans and other forms of direct and indirect support, the biggest banks are bigger and more complex than ever; and for all the talk of newfound caution and tougher regulation, their recent record reveals an undiminished commit- ment to the kind of risky practices that inflate short-term profits when they go right but hold the potential to decimate the economy when they go wrong. Key Developments Since the Financial Crisis: • Government-sponsored mergers have enabled already ‘too big to fail’ entities such as JP Mor- gan Chase and Bank of America to expand further, engaging in high-risk transactions with the confidence of government backing in the event of an emergency. • In September 2008, the Federal Reserve invoked its emergency powers to anoint the former investment banks Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as bank holding companies (or BHCs), allowing them to use federal money and benefits for activities that are inherently riskier than those of traditional consumer-oriented bank holding companies. More recently, the Fed let Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley become financial holding companies (FHCs), allowing them to engage in a wider array of more speculative financial activities as designated by the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, with continued federal backing. 1 1
  • 8. BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS • Some of the biggest banks have reported impressive profits in recent quarters. Behind the appearance of industry recovery, though, lies a pattern of sharply increased trading revenues and a continued predilection for activities that are far riskier and more volatile than ordinary banking. • The biggest banks received the most substantial assistance from the federal government. Through explicit subsidies (actual guarantees) and implicit subsidies (if the government is backing the largest banks, investors will, too), they have been encouraged to convert cheap money into capital for trading purposes. • The top five financial firms remain the biggest players in the derivatives market. Over 80% of derivatives are controlled by JPM Chase, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley, according to a July 2009 tally by Fitch Ratings. These same institutions account for 96% of the industry’s exposure to credit derivatives, the risky bets (on how healthy firms and loans really are) that played a pivotal role in the financial crisis. • The sheer volume and complexity of these activities is problematic on two levels. In the first place, massive trading creates dangerous levels of market volatility and fresh oppor- tunities for insider enrichment. In addition, assets and accounting practices become less transparent, making it difficult for regulators to detect the kind of behavior that could lead to another ruinous financial bubble – and calls for another taxpayer-funded bailout. II. TOO BIG TO FAIL BANKS ARE BIGGER THAN EVER Asset Concentration Deposit Concentration Total Assets Top 5 All Commercial Bank Assets Domestic Deposits Top 5 All Commercial Bank Deposits held in Domestic O ces 7,000 12,000 6,000 10,000 5,000 8,000 4,000 6,000 3,000 $ in Billions $ in Billions 4,000 2,000 2,000 1,000 0 0 1998 2004 2008 2009 1998 2004 2008 2009 SOURCE: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
  • 9. Concentration of Deposits 2009 Concentration of Deposits 1998 5.2% 6990 of 6995 4.4% 8769 of 8774 Commercial Banks 4.2% Commercial Banks 13.2% Bank of America 3.4% Nations Bank incl. Merril Lynch 1.3% 9.3% JP Morgan First Union Chase Bank National Bank 60.3% 4.0% 81.5% Citibank Bank of America 10.9% Wells Fargo Bank The Chase incl. Wachovia Manhattan Bank 2.3% U.S. Bank Citibank SOURCE: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation • Over the past decade, the share of deposits held by the five largest commercial banks (currently Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan Chase, Citi and U.S. Bank) has more than doubled, rising from 19% to 40%.2 • The Top 5’s share of assets stands at 48%, up from 26% ten years ago.3 Bank Failures 2009 Biggest Bank Failures by State 2009 Assets Deposits Failures Assets Deposits Foreclosures 40,000 600,000 30,000 35 35,000 25,000 30 500,000 Assets and Deposits in $ Millions Assets and Deposits in $ Millions 30,000 25 400,000 20,000 25,000 20 15,000 20,000 300,000 15 15,000 10,000 200,000 10 10,000 5,000 5 100,000 5,000 0 0 0 0 CA FL IL TX GA AL IN CO NV WA Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec SOURCE: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation • Smaller banks have been failing at the highest rate since the Savings and Loan crisis. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation closed more than 140 banks in 2009, compared to 26 in 2008 and just 3 in 2007. 4 • The number of small commercial banks with assets of $50 million or less has declined from over 3,600 in 1994 to 1,198, according to the most recent FDIC data. Since 1990, the overall number of banks has dropped from more than 12,500 to about 8,000. 5 3
  • 10. BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS III. THE BIG BANKS GO ON GAMBLING WITH OUR MONEY In 1999, Congress formally repealed the Glass-Steagall Act, the New Deal-era law that had separated commercial banking from investment banking. Since then, America’s megabanks have enjoyed powerful, taxpayer-financed advantages over smaller banks that choose to limit their participation in the securities markets. More recently, in response to the meltdown, the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department have reinforced this policy tilt through skewed distribution of subsidies and guarantees; through the extension of commercial-bank privi- leges to Wall Street; and through a series of government-abetted mergers between commercial banks and investment banks. The upshot (documented in the bank-by-bank assessments that follow) is a new surge of high-stakes risk-taking at the public’s expense. • While the quarterly profits of the biggest banks have increased sharply since the crisis, higher trading revenues, not ordinary banking activity, account for the improvement in one case after another. • As the mega-banks continue to take hits from their consumer-oriented businesses due to rising unemployment and mortgage and other defaults, they are sustaining them- selves through a variety of speculative activities, including the repackaging of some of the toxic assets that clogged the system last year. • Since it takes real capital to trade, government subsidies are being absorbed into the trading-for-profits vortex. The megabanks are, in effect, gambling with taxpayer funds.
  • 11. IV. THE RISK PICTURE, BANK BY BANK Bank of America Revenue Breakdown Trading Revenue Investment Banking Trading Revenue Total Net Revenue Trading Revenue 140,000 20,000 120,000 15,000 100,000 10,000 80,000 60,000 5,000 40,000 $ in Millions $ in Millions 0 20,000 -5,000 0 -20,000 -10,000 2009 2008 2007 2006 2009 2008 2007 2006 SOURCE: S.E.C. 10-Q and 10-K filings: 2006-2009. * • In 2009, the net revenues of Bank of America - the nation’s largest bank - were 64 percent higher than they had been in 2008. But much of that improvement was due to a dramatic in- crease in trading profits.6 • Trading revenue for 2009 was $15 billion, or 13 percent of total net revenue, up from a $6 billion loss the previous year and $7.2 billion, or 11 percent in 2007.7 • In July 2009, Bank of America reported total assets of $2.3 trillion, up 23 percent from a year earlier. Over that same period, however, Bank of America was required to set aside 56 percent more capital to cover looming credit losses.8 • Even as its profits and assets grew, so did the riskiness of the bank’s overall position. One widely used metric, ‘value-at-risk’ or VaR (which estimates the daily possible fluctuation of trading po- sitions), increased by 68 percent, from an average of $94.6 million in the third quarter of 2008 to $159.4 million in the same quarter of 2009. (After averaging $110.7 million during 2008, Bank of America’s VaR reached a record high of $244.6 million in the first quarter of 2009).9 1 * Bank of America’s accounting was clouded by its acquisition of Merrill Lynch. Every big merger brings an opportunity to re-jigger the balance sheet. With key accounting elements in flux, risk comparisons across banks become difficult. 5
  • 12. BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS JP Morgan Chase Revenue Breakdown Trading Revenue Investment Banking Trading Revenue Total Net Revenue Trading Revenue 120,000 100,000 20,000 80,000 15,000 60,000 10,000 40,000 5,000 $ in Millions $ in Millions 20,000 0 0 -5,000 -20,000 -10,000 2009 2008 2007 2006 2009 2008 2007 2006 SOURCE: SEC 10K filings for 2006-2009. • With its acquisitions of Bear Stearns and Washington Mutual, JPMorgan Chase now ranks as the nation’s second largest bank in terms of assets. While it did not declare as many bad consumer loans as Bank of America, JP Morgan Chase’s potential credit losses have increased significantly to $32 billion in 2009 compared to $21 billion in 2008. 10 • Nevertheless, JPM Chase’s trading revenue has rebounded considerably since 2008. The bank’s net profits, bolstered by record trading profits, more than doubled from $5.6 billion in 2008 to $11.7 billion in 2009. 11 • 2009 trading revenue stood at $14.7 billion, or 13.5 percent of total revenue. Trading revenue had comprised 11.8 percent of total net revenue in 2007 and 14.6 percent in 2006. In 2008, the trading division racked up a loss of $7 billion. 12 • Due to increased reliance on trading, JPM Chase’s Value at Risk reached a record high of $248 million in 2009; that’s a 23 percent increase over 2008. 13
  • 13. Citigroup Revenue Breakdown Trading Revenue Investment Banking Trading Revenue Total Net Revenue Trading Revenue 100,000 40,000 80,000 60,000 20,000 40,000 0 20,000 $ in Millions $ in Millions 0 -20,000 -20,000 -40,000 -40,000 2009 2008 2007 2006 2009 2008 2007 2006 SOURCE: S.E.C. 10-Q and 10-K filings: 2006-2009. • Citigroup led the banking industry in government support at $374 billion. Though its net rev- enues have rebounded (by 65 percent in 2009 compared to 2008), a significant amount of that gain has come from trading. Citi generated $21.4 billion in trading revenue, or 27 percent of net revenue, for 2009, compared to a negative $22.1 billion in 2008, $5.9 billion, or 7.5 percent in 2007, and $24.7 billion, or 29 percent in 2006.15 • After soaring to a record high of $292 million in 2008, Citigroup’s VaR fell back to $281 million in the third quarter of 2009. That figure, however, represented a 17 percent increase over the third quarter of 2008, and was almost double the 2007 annual average of $142 million.16 • Citigroup’s accounting practices, like those of Bank of America, have grown more obfusca- tory. In its latest 10-K Securities and Exchange Commission filing, Citi’s breakdown of trading numbers failed to match its total trading revenue. Such inconsistencies could reflect creative accounting to mask trading losses; at best, they make Citi’s books hard to understand, for regulators or the public.17 7
  • 14. BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS Wells Fargo Revenue Breakdown Trading Revenue Trading/IB Merged Net Revenue Trading/IB Merged 100,000 25,000 80,000 20,000 60,000 15,000 $ in Millions $ in Millions 40,000 10,000 20,000 5,000 0 0 2009 2008 2007 2006 2009 2008 2007 2006 SOURCE: S.E.C. 10-Q and 10-K filings: 2006-2009. • Through its acquisition of Wachovia in another government-sponsored merger at the end of 2008, Wells Fargo achieved an almost instant doubling of assets and profits. Its allowance for credit losses, meanwhile, tripled from $8 billion to $24.5 billion.18 • Wells Fargo’s accounting is particularly problematic. Following the Wachovia acquisi- tion, the innocuous-sounding category of “wholesale banking,” a term that normally covers traditional lending, finance and asset management services, expanded to include such speculative activities as fixed-income and equity trading. Because these things aren’t broken out in the company’s SEC filing, it is impossible to say how much of the total comes from trading as opposed to commercial or investment banking.19 • Wells describes its management accounting process as “dynamic” and not “necessarily comparable with similar information for other financial services companies.” This state- ment should give lawmakers pause: if banks are so complex as to need a catch-all exemp- tion from accounting norms, it becomes hard to identify or measure activities that could precipitate a crisis.20
  • 15. Goldman Sachs Revenue Breakdown Trading Revenue Investment Banking Trading and Total Net Revenue Trading and Principal Investments Principal Investments 40,000 60,000 30,000 50,000 40,000 20,000 30,000 $ in Millions $ in Millions 20,000 10,000 10,000 0 0 2009 2008 2007 2006 2009 2008 2007 2006 SOURCE: S.E.C. 10-Q and 10-K filings: 2006-2009. * • Goldman derives a higher portion of its revenues from trading than does any other big bank. In 2009, the percentage of revenue from its trading and principal investment division (which specializes in long-term speculative position taking) was 76 percent or $34.4 billion out of $45.2 billion, compared to 41 percent, or $9 billion in 2008, and 68 percent in 2007 and 2006.21 • The firm posted a record profit of $13.4 billion for 2009, compared to $2.3 billion in 2008. These gains were achieved on the back of $43.4 billion in total government subsidies (after repaying $10 billion of TARP funds), including $12.9 billion via AIG, $19.5 billion in FDIC- backed debt under the TLGP and approximately $11 billion under the Fed’s Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF).22 • Goldman, however, takes more risk than do other big banks. Its VaR reached a record $245 million during the second quarter, up 24 percent from the crisis quarter of 2008. Although that figure declined to $218 million, average daily VaR for 2009 was 21 percent higher than in 2008. 23 2 * In 2008, Goldman brought its fiscal year (which had previously ended in November) into line with the calendar year. December 2008 thus became an orphan month. Changing dates make annual and cross-bank risk compari- sons difficult. 9
  • 16. BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS Morgan Stanley Revenue Breakdown Trading Revenue Investment Banking Trading Revenue Total Net Revenue Trading Revenue 30,000 20,000 25,000 15,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 10,000 5,000 $ in Millions $ in Millions 5,000 0 0 -5,000 -5,000 2009 2008 2007 2006 2009 2008 2007 2006 SOURCE: S.E.C. 10-Q and 10-K filings: 2006-2009. • Like Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley also changed its fiscal year. The firm posted af- ter-tax income of $793 million in the 3rd quarter of 2009, compared to $33 million in the second quarter, when it posted a $1.26 billion loss for its shareholders. The poor performance contributed to calls for the replacement of its CEO, John Mack, who finally stepped down at the beginning of 2010. Yet his successor, James Gorman, has empha- sized the critical importance of the firm’s sales and trading units, suggesting a continued appetite for risk.26 • Indeed, it was the $6.4 billion in trading revenue that generated much of the $23.4 bil- lion in net revenue for Morgan Stanley during 2009, after abysmal losses during the crisis months.27 In 2009, the firm’s trading revenue was 27 percent of total revenues, compared to a loss in 2008, 31 percent for 2007, and 50 percent for 2006.28 By the third quarter of 2009, trading was the firm’s most profitable division; as a result, its VaR shot up to $175 million - a 47 percent increase since the third quarter of 2008.29
  • 17. V. MEGABANKS ARE HARDER TO REGULATE Three of the major banks examined here have dramatically altered the way in which they report their trading and investment banking activities. In addition, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have changed their year-end reporting dates. These and other perfectly legal moves serve to decrease reporting consistency across the industry. Indeed, when it comes to consistent securities evaluation, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) almost seemed to throw in the towel by deciding in December 2008 to let financial firms adjust pricing in cases where the absence of an active market makes objective pricing criteria elusive.30 It has become all but impossible to get an accurate or con- sistent picture of what is the ‘real money’ that banks derive from commercial or consumer services, and what is their ‘play money’ used for trading purposes. The play money is the most variable part of their earnings, and therefore the most risky to the overall financial system, particularly since much of the capital was federally funded during the past year. Today’s megabanks engage in a continual subjective re-evaluation of their trading positions - how they value bonds, derivatives, asset-backed-securities, and off-balance-sheet entities. When a bank marks a position in securities or derivatives or complex customer-driven transactions that they go on to ‘hedge,’ the figures it posts are almost arbitrary, and, in any case, all but impossible to verify. Such problems, which are characteristic of larger and merged banks, create regulatory obstacles that in themselves should form a powerful argument for smaller and simpler banks. 11
  • 18. BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS CONCLUSION Little more than a year after a disaster that was largely of their making, the country’s biggest banks have grown even bigger, in no small part because of government subsidies and interven- tions. One after another, the mega-banks have found their way back to profitability, and even to record levels of profitability in a few cases. They have done so, however, through a return to the kind of high-risk practices that produced the meltdown. Perhaps the biggest difference between then and now is that more of the capital for today’s high levels of trading and securi- ties packaging comes from the taxpayers in the first place. In response to the financial crisis, the Obama administration and House and Senate leaders have called for reforms widely described as the most sweeping since the 1930s. These propos- als have already been watered down significantly under pressure from the financial lobby. But even as originally outlined, they were not nearly sweeping enough. The core problem is an industry dominated by in- It is time for Congress to create a creasingly large, complex, opaque, and intercon- framework for banks to transform nected institutions, which have become accus- themselves into leaner, more tomed to taking dangerous risks with deposits and accountable, and sustainable borrowed money, including low-cost government- financial institutions. subsidized capital. (Given that mindset, it should come as no surprise that despite low interest rates and surging bank profits, many deserving businesses cannot get credit, while foreclosures continue to increase as homeowners struggle to refinance unaffordable mortgages.) Some of the financial reform measures currently on the table are sensible and needed, such as the creation of a Consumer Financial Protection Agency and the provisions for exchange- trading of financial derivatives. But when it comes to leverage and systemic risk, the Adminis- tration and congressional leaders rely on general calls for restraint, leaving the specifics - and the enforcement – to regulators with poor records of recognizing systemic risk. The Admin- istration’s preferred systemic risk regulator, the Federal Reserve, has a governing structure dominated by the banking industry as well as a regulatory culture that favors bank mergers and disfavors regulatory interference.31 The proposals making their way through Congress would establish a process for the safe “reso- lution” or unwinding of large, failing institutions. But the record cries out for a pro-active rather than a reactive approach. It is time for Congress to create a framework for banks to transform themselves into leaner, more accountable, and sustainable financial institutions.
  • 19. “Too Big to Fail” should mean too big to exist, as former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan and former Treasury Secretary George Shultz have argued. Just as crucially (see Demos’ policy brief, Six Principles for True Systemic Risk Reform), the principle of Glass-Steagall should be reestablished: the financial world should once again be divided into commercial entities, which can count on government support, and investment and trading entities, which cannot. Legislation to this effect has been introduced by Senators “I would compartmentalize the Maria Cantwell (D-WA) and John McCain (R-AZ)32 in the industry for the same reason Senate, and by Reps. Marcy Kaptur (D-OH)33 and Maurice you compartmentalize ships... Hinchey (D-NY)34 in the House. A group of Democratic If you have a leak, the leak members submitted a Glass-Steagall restoration amend- doesn’t spread and sink the ment as well as other measures that would have limited whole vessel.” bank size to the House Rules Committee for inclusion in the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act; but the Committee did not advance these more aggressive amendments to the floor. The concept of a modern-day Glass-Steagall Act has also been endorsed by former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker and former Citigroup CEO John Reed, among many others. “I would compartmentalize the industry for the same reason you compartmentalize ships,” Reed explained to a reporter. “If you have a leak, the leak doesn’t spread and sink the whole vessel.” 35 The American taxpayers, through their deposits and loans and federal support, should no longer be asked to subsidize the risk-taking of Wall Street traders and goliath institutions that operate more like hedge funds than financial service firms. As taxpayers, consumers, and shareholders, we have paid – and continue to pay - too high a price for this policy. 13
  • 20. BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS ENDNOTES 1. Federal Reserve, list of financial holding companies at http://www.federalreserve.gov/generalinfo/fhc/, Definition of FHC at http://www.ffiec.gov/nicpubweb/Content/HELP/Institution%20Type%20Description.htm. 2. FDIC Summary of Deposits at http://www2.fdic.gov/sod/index.asp. 3. Ibid. 4. FDIC Failed Bank List at http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/banklist.html. 5. Colin Barr, “Small Banks, Big Problems,” Fortune/CNN Money, December 23, 2009, http://money.cnn. com/2009/12/22/news/economy/banks.fortune/index.htm. 6. Bank of America, Supplemental Information Fourth Quarter 2009, January 20, 2010. 7. Ibid., SEC Form 10-K 2007 and 2008 available at http://edgar.sec.gov/. 8. SEC Form 10-Q available at http://edgar.sec.gov/. 9. Ibid. 10. JPMorgan Chase & Co., Earnings Release Financial Supplement Fourth Quarter 2009, January 15, 2010. 11. Ibid. 12. Ibid. 13. Ibid. 14. Nomi Prins and Krisztina Ugrin, “Bailout Tally Report,” appendix to Prins, It Takes a Pillage (John Wiley & Sons, 2009), available at http://www.sitemason.com/files/esMlDW/bailouttallydec2009.pdf 15. SEC Form 10-K 2007-09, available at http://edgar.sec.gov/, Citigroup, Quarterly Financial Data Supplement, January 19, 2010. 16. Ibid. 17. Ibid. 18. SEC Form 10-Q available at http://edgar.sec.gov/. 19. Ibid. 20. Ibid. 21. Goldman Sachs, Fourth Quarter 2009 Earnings Release, January 21, 2009. 22. Nomi Prins and Krisztina Ugrin, “Bailout Tally Report,” appendix to Prins, It Takes a Pillage (John Wiley & Sons, 2009), available at http://www.sitemason.com/files/esMlDW/bailouttallydec2009.pdf. 23. SEC Form 10-Q, http://edgar.sec.gov/ Goldman Sachs, Fourth Quarter 2009 Earnings Release, January 21, 2009. 24. SEC Form 10-K http://edgar.sec.gov/. 25. SEC Forms 10-Q available at http://edgar.sec.gov/. 26. Mark DeCambre, “New Morgan Boss Stirs Worry in the Ranks,” New York Post, October 12, 2009. 27. SEC Forms 10-Q available at http://edgar.sec.gov/. 28. SEC Forms 10-Q and 10-K available at http://edgar.sec.gov/. 29. Morgan Stanley, Financial Supplement Fourth Quarter 2009, January 20, 2010.
  • 21. 30. Financial Accounting Standards Board, “Determining the Fair Value of a Financial Asset When the Market for That Asset Is Not Active,” available at http://www.fasb.org/cs/BlobServer?blobcol=urldata&blobtable=MungoBlob s&blobkey=id&blobwhere=1175818747583&blobheader=application%2Fpdf. 31. Binyamin Appelbaum and David Cho, “Fed’s approach to regulation left banks exposed to crisis,” Washington Post, December 21, 2009, available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/12/20/ AR2009122002580.html. 32. S. 2886, Banking Integrity Act of 2009, introduced December 16, 2009. 33. H.R. 4377, Return to Prudent Banking Act of 2009, introduced December 16, 2009. 34. H.R. 4375, Glass-Steagall Restoration Act, introduced December16, 2009. 35. Bob Ivry, “Reed Says ‘I’m Sorry’ for Role in Creating Citigroup,” Bloomberg, November 6, 2009. 15
  • 22. BIGGER BANKS, RISKIER BANKS APPENDIX: BANK MERGERS AND CONSOLIDATION The following tables show the largest mergers that contributed to the creation of the 5 biggest bank holding companies. date taRGet NaMe aCQUIReR NaMe VaLUe ($ MILLIoNs) BaNk of aMeRICa 9/15/2008 Merril Lynch & Co. Inc. Bank of America Corp. 48,766.2 1/11/2008 Countrywide Financial Corp. Bank of America Corp. 4,000.0 4/23/2007 ABN AMRO North America Holding Bank of America Corp. 21,000.0 06/30/2005 MBNA Corp. Bank of America Corp. 35,810.3 10/27/2003 FleetBoston Financial Corp. Bank of America Corp. 49,260.6 3/14/1999 Bank Boston Corp., Boston, MA Fleet Financial Group Inc, MA 15,925.2 4/13/1998 BankAmerica Corp. Nations Bank Corp., Charlotte, NC 61,633.4 8/29/1997 Barnett Banks, Jacksonville, FL Nations Bank Corp., Charlotte, NC 14,821.7 8/30/1996 Boatmen’s Bancshares Inc. Bank of America Corp. 9,523.4 CItIGRoUp 7/30/2009 Citigroup Inc. Preferred Shareholders 28,078.3 7/15/2003 Sear’s Credit Card & Financial Products Bus. Citigroup Inc. 42,200.0 9/06/2003 Associates First Capital Corp. Citigroup Inc. 30,957.5 4/06/1998 Citicorp Travelers Group Inc. 72,558.2 10/28/1997 Associates First Capital Corp. Shareholders 26,624.6 9/24/1997 Salomon Inc. Travelers Group Inc. 13,579.2 WeLLs faRGo 10/03/2008 Wachovia Corp., Charlotte, NC Wells Fargo, San Francisco, CA 15,112.0 5/07/2006 Golden West Financial Corp., CA Wachovia Corp., Charlotte, NC 25,500.9 6/21/2004 SouthTrust Corp., Birmingham, AL Wachovia Corp., Charlotte, NC 14,155.8 5/20/2003 Pacific Northwest Bancorp Wells Fargo & Co. 28,108.0 4/16/2001 Wachovia Corp., Winston-Salem, NC First Union Corp., Charlotte, NC 13,132.2 10/30/2000 Republic Security Financial Corp., PA Wachovia Corp. 9,911.5 6/08/1998 Wells Fargo, San Francisco, CA Northwest Corp., Minneapolis, MN 34,352.6 11/18/1997 Core States Financial Corp. PA First Union Corp., Charlotte, NC 17,122.2 10/18/1995 First Interstate Bancorp. Wells Fargo & Co. 11,600.0 SOURCE: Thompson Reuters, Top 40 and Top 100 Mergers 1988-2009
  • 23. Financial US Mergers & 1988-2009 Number of Deals Value ($ millions) Citicorp - Travelers Group 1500 450,000 JP Morgan - Chase Manhattan 400,000 1200 350,000 300,000 900 250,000 200,000 600 150,000 300 100,000 50,000 0 0 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Riegle-Neal Act GLB Act SOURCE: Thompson Reuters, Top 40 and Top 100 Mergers 1988-2009.* 1 * Through November 4, 2009. 17
  • 24.
  • 25. RELATED RESOURCES Reports on Financial Regulation A Brief History of the Glass-Steagall Act by James Lardner (November 2009) Six Principles for True Systemic Risk Reform by Nomi Prins Heather C. McGhee (November 2009) A Primer on Key CFPA Amendments in the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act by Heather C. McGhee (December 2009) Financial Regulation: After the Fall by Robert Kuttner (January 2009) Reforming the Rating Agencies: A Solution that Fits the Problem by James Lardner (December 2009) Subpriming Our Students: Why We Need a Strong Consumer Financial Protection Agency jointly published with U.S. PIRG (December 2009) Beyond the Mortgage Meltdown: Addressing the Current Crisis, Avoiding a Future Catastrophe by James Lardner (July 2008) The New Squeeze: How a Perfect Storm of Bad Mortgages and Credit Card Debt Could Paralyze the Recovery by Jose Garcia (November 2008) Books It Takes a Pillage: Behind the Bailouts, Bonuses, and Backroom Deals from Washington to Wall Street by Nomi Prins (John Wiley & Sons, September 2009) Up to Our Eyeballs: How Shady Lenders and Failed Economic Policies are Drowning Americans in Debt by Jose Garcia, James Lardner, and Cindy Zeldin (March 2008) Strapped: Why America’s 20- and 30-Somethings Can’t Get Ahead by Tamara Draut (Doubleday, January 2006) The Squandering of America: How the Failure of Our Politics Undermines Our Prosperity by Robert Kuttner (Knopf, November 2007) Inequality Matters: The Growing Economic Divide in America and its Poisonous Consequences (New Press, January 2006) For further research on this topic and on others, please visit www.demos.org. CONTACT Visit www.demos.org to sign up for updates, register for events, and to download research reports, analysis and commentary from the Economic Opportunity Program. Media Inquiries: Tim Rusch, Communications Director trusch@demos.org 212.389.1407