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Perspective on SaaS Financials February 25 th  2009, Palo Alto Hills  Proprietary and Confidential Bessemer CEO Summit on SaaS  David Cowan Philippe Botteri
 Objectives of today’s discussion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
SaaS growth expectations have been revised downwards SaaS 13 average growth rate Percent 08/09 growth projection ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
But SaaS companies are still growing faster than their software peers ,[object Object],Percent SaaS companies are still growing 2-3x faster than the Enterprise Software average
Unfortunately, this is not reflected in recent public market performance… SaaS 13 Index SaaS companies valuation have been more impacted by the downturn than the software and technology sector Base 100 = Jan 1st 2008 Since 1/1/08 -62% 2008 Performance of key US Indexes Percent decline in 2008
… and SaaS multiples are now very close to their Enterprise Software peers EV/2009 Revenue multiple  Multiple 1.1-1.7x Is the SaaS fundamentally more valuable than Enterprise Software?
SaaS key metrics: The 5 Cs of SaaS Finance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. CMRR – Committed Monthly Recurring Revenue is the key metric for growth… …  to CMRR and transparency! CMRR Existing Contracts Renewals EXPENSES Cash burn rate CMRR New Accounts Upsell & Expansion Existing Contracts Renewals EXPENSES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
…and a key driver of cash consumption and future cash flows! CMRR growth is directly correlated to burn rate… Cash flow over 5 years for a $2m CMRR SaaS company 60% CAGR 15% CAGR -$10m +$20m Cash flow on year 6 @ 15% growth rate 60% CAGR 15% CAGR +$9m +$46m … and value creation!
SaaS companies at scale have started to generate positive cash flows as growth slows down Growth vs. Free Cash Flows % of GAAP Revenues Private companies Public companies 07/08 Growth rate 2008 FCF
2. Cash: Give the right incentives to your sales force to get one year upfront payment  Impact of payment terms on 5-year cash flows Cash flows for a SaaS company growing at 60% p.a. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],-$10m ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],-$48m ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],-$62m
Our sample of private companies shows an annual payment mix around 50%  Annual Payment Mix % of total sales Semi Annual Annual Quarterly Monthly Other
3. Churn is a key lever in a downturn  Impact of Churn over 5 years Resulting cash flows for company growing at 60% p.a. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Churn (% CMRR) 12% 20% Cash flows -$10m -$22m
4. CAC ratio – Target an average 1-year payback on your Sales and Marketing costs CAC Ratio Magic Number Magic Number = Δ  Revenue S&M costs CAC Ratio = Δ  Gross Margin S&M costs Golden rule: CAC >1 = payback in less than  1 year for new CMRR ,[object Object],[object Object]
4. CAC ratio: very difficult to scale with less than 1-year payback CAC = 1 for new CMRR Resulting P&L for company growing at 60% p.a. CAC = 0.5 for new CMRR Resulting P&L for company growing at 60% p.a. GAAP Revenue S&M Costs Cash Flows Total cash burn: $10m Total cash burn: $257m Critical metric
Average CAC ratio for our sample averaged 0.6 CAC ratio Q3/Q4 2008 Private companies Public companies
4. Renewal cost will define the profitability of the model at scale  ,[object Object],[object Object],Impact of Renewal costs over 5 years Resulting P&L for company growing at 60% p.a. Renewal cost (% renewal GM) 30% 40% Cash flows -$10m -$43m
5. CLTV > 0 = profitable business model CLTV: defining your profitability CLTV > 0 = Profit!  Example : 1 customer generating $1 of ARR Time for a >0 CLTV: use this analysis to adjust your G&A, and R&D costs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],CLTV example Salesforce.com CLTV estimates (based on public data)
Summary of key metrics CMRR Metric Measurement ,[object Object],[object Object],Target ,[object Object],[object Object],Cash ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Churn ,[object Object],[object Object],CAC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],CLTV ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A SaaS company meeting these targets will generate healthy cash flows at scale SaaS company growing from 0 to $1.4B in 20 years ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Year 5 Year 10 Year 15 Year 20 COGS S&M R&D G&A EBIT FCF -28% +6% +18% +20% Rev. $26m $260m $850m $1.4B Growth 100% 50% 15% 10%
SaaS model should generate better FCF margins than Enterprise Software companies  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],P&L Structure for ~$1B company 100% =  $1B  $1B ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank You! More on SaaS Finance at: www.bvp.com/saas www.cracking-the-code.blogspot.com

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SaaS Financial Metrics that Impact Growth and Profitability

  • 1. Perspective on SaaS Financials February 25 th 2009, Palo Alto Hills Proprietary and Confidential Bessemer CEO Summit on SaaS David Cowan Philippe Botteri
  • 2.
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  • 5. Unfortunately, this is not reflected in recent public market performance… SaaS 13 Index SaaS companies valuation have been more impacted by the downturn than the software and technology sector Base 100 = Jan 1st 2008 Since 1/1/08 -62% 2008 Performance of key US Indexes Percent decline in 2008
  • 6. … and SaaS multiples are now very close to their Enterprise Software peers EV/2009 Revenue multiple Multiple 1.1-1.7x Is the SaaS fundamentally more valuable than Enterprise Software?
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. …and a key driver of cash consumption and future cash flows! CMRR growth is directly correlated to burn rate… Cash flow over 5 years for a $2m CMRR SaaS company 60% CAGR 15% CAGR -$10m +$20m Cash flow on year 6 @ 15% growth rate 60% CAGR 15% CAGR +$9m +$46m … and value creation!
  • 10. SaaS companies at scale have started to generate positive cash flows as growth slows down Growth vs. Free Cash Flows % of GAAP Revenues Private companies Public companies 07/08 Growth rate 2008 FCF
  • 11.
  • 12. Our sample of private companies shows an annual payment mix around 50% Annual Payment Mix % of total sales Semi Annual Annual Quarterly Monthly Other
  • 13.
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  • 15. 4. CAC ratio: very difficult to scale with less than 1-year payback CAC = 1 for new CMRR Resulting P&L for company growing at 60% p.a. CAC = 0.5 for new CMRR Resulting P&L for company growing at 60% p.a. GAAP Revenue S&M Costs Cash Flows Total cash burn: $10m Total cash burn: $257m Critical metric
  • 16. Average CAC ratio for our sample averaged 0.6 CAC ratio Q3/Q4 2008 Private companies Public companies
  • 17.
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  • 23. Thank You! More on SaaS Finance at: www.bvp.com/saas www.cracking-the-code.blogspot.com