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?Who will own our Augmented Reality?

                 @anselm
       EComm America April 21st 2010 SFO
Your next 10 minutes

• @Anselm Hook
• Programmer and Theorist
• Worked at @ning, @meedan,
  @platialmaps, @ea and @makerlab
• Was suspiciously near Eyjafjallajökull
AR: fear or flight?

• I am excited by AR but have concerns:
• Where will the data come from?
• Will we see each others attentive acts?
• Who will take the money?
Is that a reality in your
          pocket?
• AR promises many things:
• A single unified view.
• A zero click interface to reality.
• The best near-field view.
• The data that is most important to your
  quality of life.
Augmenting
understanding
Double Click to
              Destroy
• If successful AR will have big impacts:
• Street signs will rust away.
• People will see through walls.
• Hybrid vigor of mixing perspective.
• Attention will become the currency.
• If you’re not in it you may be considered a
  second class citizen.
Google Goggles hints at
      the trend:
•   A family of image analysis engines.
•   A big pile of data and computation.
•   Can tell you where to buy that book.
•   Can tell you where your wine comes from.
•   Soon will be able to tell you what people nearby think of
    a piece of graffiti.
•   In five years you can look at a person and know if they
    are on a terrorist watch-list.
•   (Google as likely winner plays the straw-man here)
But where will the data
     come from?
• When you look at McDonalds through
  your AR Glasses...


• Does Ronald McDonald hug you?
• Or do you get a stern admonition from the
  local organic grocer?
• Or a map of deforestation in the Amazon?
It’s a bird it’s a plane!
• In the real world gaze is often a social act.
• One persons gaze directs others to the
  same target.
• This is not currently the case with search
  on the web.
• We live in a panopticon.
• ( Panopticon == bad ... btw)
We need to Federate
      Attentive Acts
•   The search act should go to multiple parties you
    trust ( or trust by proxy ).
•   If you point your phone at a statue of Nefertiti...
•   The University of Cairo could respond with an
    article on her life.
•   If you stare at a Pizza Joint - other better local
    Pizza joints that your friends trust - message you
    and offer you a deal.
We need to define an
      Open AR Stack
•   AR protocols actually want to transmit behavior
    not just pretty 3d models.
•   Servers need to agree to run each others
    behaviors not just transport bits.
•   Define a shared minimum feature set.
•   See work led by Tish Shute on ARWave.
•   See ARML and other related work.
•   Talk to a Video Game Programmer (Please).
There are unclear challenges
   in monetization of AR
•   Complete this equation:

           Adwords is to X
       as WWW is to Augmented Reality


•   Candidates include:

           AdMob
           Foursquare
           Craigslist?
           Facebook Like?
The problem with
          ‘Money’
•   Money is a severing between place and its resources.
•   As you get closer to a geography it seems harder to
    separate the money from it.
•   At near scales people just negotiate softer and less fungible
    transactions.
•   The value in a place is in making it better not in extracting
    wealth from it.
•   We tend to be place-makers - investing into place not
    taking from place.
•   Attention is the currency of geography.
Retire with Foursquare
• For example:
• I cannot buy the
   Mayorship of
   Zante’s off of
   @hoan for love
   nor money
   nor pizza.
• @hoan cannot get a discount at New York Nail
  even though it is next door.
No smart solutions yet.
Closing thoughts
•   The best way to protect freedom of speech is to federate
    search.
•   AR is about publishing “verbs” - interactive actionable
    digital agents not publishing 3d models.
•   AR seems to be more biological. Biomimetic approaches
    may be best.
•   You won’t make money by translating tired old Web
    paradigms to AR.
•   AR is something new yet again and has different patterns.
    We need to take the time to learn them.
Thank you for your
                time!
•   Join me at: http://augmentedrealityevent.com/speakers/
•   http://blog.makerlab.org#augmented_reality_thoughts
•   http://anselm.typepad.com#trapped_in_venice_what I would pay
    for a solution
•   http://www.slideshare.net/TishShute/where20-panel-10-reasons-
    why-ar-not-a-flash-in-the-pan
•   http://www.slideshare.net/anselm/pechakucha-
    presentation-750335#Image_Wiki_Project
•   http://www.hook.org/essays/smartmoney.html
Important Citations
• @dianneisnor http://gigaom.com/
  2010/04/05/lbs-2-0-dont-just-map-it-
  manipulate-it/
• Jesse Schell’s mindblowing talk http://
  www.ted.com/talks/
  jesse_schell_when_games_invade_real_life.
  html

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20100421 ecomm pressy

  • 1. ?Who will own our Augmented Reality? @anselm EComm America April 21st 2010 SFO
  • 2. Your next 10 minutes • @Anselm Hook • Programmer and Theorist • Worked at @ning, @meedan, @platialmaps, @ea and @makerlab • Was suspiciously near Eyjafjallajökull
  • 3. AR: fear or flight? • I am excited by AR but have concerns: • Where will the data come from? • Will we see each others attentive acts? • Who will take the money?
  • 4. Is that a reality in your pocket? • AR promises many things: • A single unified view. • A zero click interface to reality. • The best near-field view. • The data that is most important to your quality of life.
  • 6. Double Click to Destroy • If successful AR will have big impacts: • Street signs will rust away. • People will see through walls. • Hybrid vigor of mixing perspective. • Attention will become the currency. • If you’re not in it you may be considered a second class citizen.
  • 7. Google Goggles hints at the trend: • A family of image analysis engines. • A big pile of data and computation. • Can tell you where to buy that book. • Can tell you where your wine comes from. • Soon will be able to tell you what people nearby think of a piece of graffiti. • In five years you can look at a person and know if they are on a terrorist watch-list. • (Google as likely winner plays the straw-man here)
  • 8. But where will the data come from? • When you look at McDonalds through your AR Glasses... • Does Ronald McDonald hug you? • Or do you get a stern admonition from the local organic grocer? • Or a map of deforestation in the Amazon?
  • 9. It’s a bird it’s a plane! • In the real world gaze is often a social act. • One persons gaze directs others to the same target. • This is not currently the case with search on the web. • We live in a panopticon. • ( Panopticon == bad ... btw)
  • 10. We need to Federate Attentive Acts • The search act should go to multiple parties you trust ( or trust by proxy ). • If you point your phone at a statue of Nefertiti... • The University of Cairo could respond with an article on her life. • If you stare at a Pizza Joint - other better local Pizza joints that your friends trust - message you and offer you a deal.
  • 11. We need to define an Open AR Stack • AR protocols actually want to transmit behavior not just pretty 3d models. • Servers need to agree to run each others behaviors not just transport bits. • Define a shared minimum feature set. • See work led by Tish Shute on ARWave. • See ARML and other related work. • Talk to a Video Game Programmer (Please).
  • 12. There are unclear challenges in monetization of AR • Complete this equation: Adwords is to X as WWW is to Augmented Reality • Candidates include: AdMob Foursquare Craigslist? Facebook Like?
  • 13. The problem with ‘Money’ • Money is a severing between place and its resources. • As you get closer to a geography it seems harder to separate the money from it. • At near scales people just negotiate softer and less fungible transactions. • The value in a place is in making it better not in extracting wealth from it. • We tend to be place-makers - investing into place not taking from place. • Attention is the currency of geography.
  • 14. Retire with Foursquare • For example: • I cannot buy the Mayorship of Zante’s off of @hoan for love nor money nor pizza. • @hoan cannot get a discount at New York Nail even though it is next door.
  • 16. Closing thoughts • The best way to protect freedom of speech is to federate search. • AR is about publishing “verbs” - interactive actionable digital agents not publishing 3d models. • AR seems to be more biological. Biomimetic approaches may be best. • You won’t make money by translating tired old Web paradigms to AR. • AR is something new yet again and has different patterns. We need to take the time to learn them.
  • 17. Thank you for your time! • Join me at: http://augmentedrealityevent.com/speakers/ • http://blog.makerlab.org#augmented_reality_thoughts • http://anselm.typepad.com#trapped_in_venice_what I would pay for a solution • http://www.slideshare.net/TishShute/where20-panel-10-reasons- why-ar-not-a-flash-in-the-pan • http://www.slideshare.net/anselm/pechakucha- presentation-750335#Image_Wiki_Project • http://www.hook.org/essays/smartmoney.html
  • 18. Important Citations • @dianneisnor http://gigaom.com/ 2010/04/05/lbs-2-0-dont-just-map-it- manipulate-it/ • Jesse Schell’s mindblowing talk http:// www.ted.com/talks/ jesse_schell_when_games_invade_real_life. html

Editor's Notes