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My talk at Brighton Strategy and Planning Meetup, July 30th 2015. I talked about how difficult it is to plan for the future, and the Brilliant Noise methodology for creating trends radar maps to prioritise attention and resources around trends. To have a look at the Gartner Hype Cycle for marketing http://www.gartner.com/webinar/3075217
NB: When I say the Gartner hype cycle is a broken model, I mean that in the sense that all models are broken. It's still very useful indeed - the point I made in my talk was that it isn't always linear - things appear at the top of the hype cycle and then fall away or go straight to the slope of enlightenment.