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Survival of the fittest
EUROPEAN
UNICORNS 2016
STRATEGIC ADVISORY
We have a reputation for providing direct
and impartial strategic advice to clients
across the technology ecosystem.
We work with Boards of Directors to provide
guidance on acquisitions, divestments,
international expansion and exit planning.
MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
When entrepreneurs and investors are
planning to sell their businesses, they need
a trusted partner. We have completed over
100 deals in the last decade with giants of the
global technology sector.
More than half of our M&A deals have a cross-
border solution and our five technology hubs
across Europe and the US allow us to provide
a senior, local service to clients but with
access to buyers across the globe.
FUNDRAISING, SECONDARIES
AND BLOCK TRADES
GP Bullhound has been helping to finance
technology businesses since 2000. We have
built up a unique set of relationships with
investors who, like us, are passionate about
the technology sector.
We pride ourselves on building long-term
relationships, and we hope to work with
our clients from growth equity fundraising,
through debt restructuring, secondary
fundraising and towards the ultimate exit –
via trade sale or IPO.
PRINCIPAL INVESTMENTS
GP Bullhound Asset Management is our
independent investment arm. It currently
manages three funds, investing in category
leaders, early-stage businesses and unicorn
companies.
ABOUT US
03	 European Unicorns Landscape 2016
06	 Executive Summary: Manish Madhvani, GP Bullhound
08	Valuations
14	 Expert View: Dominik Richter, HelloFresh
16	 Growth Strategies
22	 Expert View: Frédéric Mazzella, BlaBlaCar
24	 Europe’s DNA
28	 Expert View: Bonamy Grimes, SkyScanner
30	Methodology
CONTENTS
P2
GP Bullhound provides independent strategic advice and deal-making to
the best technology entrepreneurs, companies and investors.
Our passion for technology, financial acumen and empathy for
entrepreneurs is what really sets our advice apart. We want to help build
more billion-dollar technology companies across Europe. We know this
takes time and we are not in a hurry.
EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P3
EUROPEAN UNICORNS
Landscape
2016
$2.8bn
AVERAGE
VALUATION
55x
AVERAGE RETURN
ON CAPITAL
INVESTED
3UNICORNS
LEFT THE
CLUB
10UNICORNS
JOINED
THE CLUB
47UNICORNS 36CONSUMER
focused
UNICORNS
11ENTERPRISE
focused
UNICORNS
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, CB Insights (US data), press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Note: Average return on capital invested is the equity valuation as a multiple of investment received. This represents an indication of value created,
not real returns for investors.
WHO ARE
the European unicorns?
NEW UNICORN
»	We have found 47 billion-dollar tech
companies in Europe, with seven net
additions since last year.
»	Whilst new entrants to the unicorn club have
much lower values, the average valuation of
European unicorns is $2.8 billion.
»	Spotify has replaced Skype as the most
valuable unicorn.
SPOTIFY
SKYPE
ZALANDO
MARKIT GROUP
KING DIGITAL
RIGHTMOVE
SUPERCELL*
YANDEX
POKERSTARS
ROCKET INTERNET
YOOX
ROVIO ENTERTAINMENT*
ASOS
JUST EAT
DELIVERY HERO
VKONTAKTE
VENTE PRIVEE*
HELLOFRESH
CRITEO
MOJANG
AVITO.RU
ADYEN
KLARNA
SKYSCANNER
BLABLACAR
FLEETMATICS GROUP
BLIPPAR*
ZOOPLA
CONDUIT
WONGA*
VE INTERACTIVE*
EVOLUTION GAMING
SKRILL
SITECORE
GLOBAL FASHION GROUP
ANAPLAN
AO WORLD
FANDUEL
TRANSFERWISE
HOME24
AUTO 1
MOBLI
SHAZAM
FARFETCH
FUNDING CIRCLE
IRONSOURCE
MINDMAZE
$1.0bn $5.0bn$2.0bn $6.0bn$3.0bn $7.0bn$4.0bn $8.0bn $9.0bn
COMPANY VALUATION ($BN)
$8.5BN
$8.5BN
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European unicorns are fast-growth, profitable businesses
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, CB Insights (US data), press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Note: * Indicates valuation estimate based on press and rumours
P4
EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest
THE EUROPEAN UNICORN
League Table
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, CB Insights (US data), press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
$7.2
COUNTRY
CUMULATIVE
VALUE
NO. OF
UNICORNS
LTM
ADDITIONS
P5
P6
MANISH
MADHVANI
GP BULLHOUND
What began as a goal for only the most ambitious
entrepreneurs has become an exclusive, but
consistently expanding, collection of businesses. What
began as testament to the superiority of Silicon Valley
innovation has become a worldwide phenomenon.
Simply put, the myth has become a reality.
Nowhere is the unicorn phenomenon seen more clearly
than in Europe. GP Bullhound has been charting the
growth of billion-dollar companies across Europe since
2014. Two years ago we asked, can Europe create
billion-dollar tech companies? The answer is clear.
There are now 47 European unicorns; the continent has
proved it can consistently produce tech companies
with significant valuations. Companies that can
compete with the very best, anywhere in the world.
However, the adulation of Europe’s greatest digital
success stories has started to sour. Critics are beginning
to doubt the veracity of recent headline-grabbing
valuations. Detractors are sceptical of the number
of companies claiming billion-dollar valuations and
whispers of a tech bubble persist amidst concerns over
whether unicorns themselves have a long-term future,
make profit or actually aid the economy.
These are big claims. Our annual research into the
progress of unicorns has always aimed to take an
objective approach to Europe’s most successful tech
companies, analysing a wide range of data sets to
draw quantitative conclusions. We let the numbers
speak for themselves.
Informed by this approach, we can send a clear
message to the investment and digital community:
European unicorns are here to stay.
Ten new companies have reached unicorn status,
bringing the total number of billion-dollar tech
companies in Europe to 47. Most remarkably, 60 per
cent of the businesses we have analysed are
profitable.(1)
As any entrepreneur or investor knows,
maintaining profitability during periods of rapid growth
is extremely challenging and for so many of the cohort
to be balancing the considerable investment in talent
and product required to scale and revenue generation
is seriously impressive.
The key finding in our research, however, is the
comparison between valuations and actual revenue.
In the US, tech valuations are, on average, 46 times the
revenue produced by that company. In Europe, this
number is considerably lower, at 18 times.(2)
This figure cuts to the heart of the backlash facing the
valuation of tech companies around the world. Of
course Europe has yet to reach the dizzying heights of
the giants such as Facebook and Google, but when
you look at businesses in the $1 billion to $3 billion
range, what we lack in quantity we more than make
up for in terms of quality. Last year, there were 30 new
billion-dollar tech companies in the US, over three times
the number in Europe. However, the disparity between
revenue and valuation in the US creates a market
inclined to dramatic combustions. European valuations
are much more rooted in reality.
In the past two years, Europe has undergone a
remarkable journey. From a landscape in thrall to
Silicon Valley to a quietly confident and stable market
capable of sustaining growth.
Our report, European Unicorns 2016: Survival of the
fittest examines what is increasingly becoming the
uniquely diverse and fertile landscape of European
technology. We have mapped the success of
European unicorns across individual countries,
individual sectors and investment activity. And
because great companies are built by great people,
we have included interviews from three of the most
exciting entrepreneurs from across the continent:
Dominik Richter from HelloFresh, Bonamy Grimes from
Skyscanner and Frédéric Mazzella from BlaBlaCar. We
hope their stories inspire you as much as they inspire us.
I would like to thank these three entrepreneurs for their
time speaking to us and Alessandro Casartelli, Marvin
Maerz and Miguel Indekeu from GP Bullhound who
lead on our unicorn research.
The conclusion we can draw is that there has never
been a better time to be operating within the
European technology market. I firmly believe that the
right ecosystem now exists for one of the companies
highlighted in this report to push forward and reach
a $10 billion valuation in the next few years, and over
time a $100 billion valuation.
Manish Madhvani
Co-founder and Managing Partner
GP Bullhound
A valuation of one billion dollars has become a badge of honour for fast-
growth technology companies around the world. Despite numerous
commentators calling into question this achievement, the key now is to
ascertain the underlying robustness of the Unicorn Club.
EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P7
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Note: (1)
% of sample, sample includes 37 of the 47 companies.
(2)
Sourced latest revenue and valuation data available, dataset includes private companies only;
revenue data is one year older than valuation data. Sample set size: 12 EU Unicorns and 20 US unicorns.
THE RESILIENCE
of the unicorn
VALUATIONS
Europe proves itself
Over the past 12 months, the growth, consistency
and endurance of European unicorns prove that
valuations are not fantastical, but that the figures
and investment attached to their potential growth
are well earned.
Importantly, the number of European unicorns has
increased, from 40 to 47. While three companies
may have lost their unicorn crown, the net gain of
seven is a much stronger end of year result than
analysts expected.
Not only have seven new unicorns been welcomed
to the fold, but impressive revenue streams are
creating the foundations on which European
unicorns will be raised for the long-term. In fact, the
average revenue of European unicorns is almost
three times as high as their US counterparts - $315
million compared to $129 million.(1)
This figure
demonstrates a key difference between the US and
EU investor mindset. In the US, investors are basing
their decisions around potential growth - an outlook
made possible by the sheer amount of funding
available across the Atlantic.
As a result, there are more unicorns in the US, but
they are valued, on average, at 46 times their
revenue. In Europe, where unicorns are valued, on
average, 18 times their revenue, investors are clearly
acting more responsibly and taking an evidence-
based approach that aims to pay dividends for
years to come.(2)
Overall, the cumulative value of unicorns has
increased from $122 billion in 2015 to $131 billion in
2016. Meanwhile, average valuations have actually
stayed very similar at $2.8 billion, down from $3 billion
in 2015, due to the addition of younger companies.
It has also been a year for diversity: three countries –
Luxembourg, Denmark and Switzerland – have each
produced their first unicorn.
The massive growth trajectories that Europe’s
unicorns exhibit need to be treated as a
phenomenon that cannot be directly compared
with the journeys of traditional companies. There is
so much in this research that we, as champions of
European tech, are proud to present. This chapter
should allay fears and demonstrate how unicorn
valuations are creating a stable and exciting future
for Europe’s tech scene.
Fundamental to all unicorns are the metrics underpinning valuations.
The following chapter demonstrates that European tech is growing
sustainably on a base of profit and revenue. Unicorns are here to last.
P8
VALUATIONS
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Note: (1)
Sourced latest revenue and valuation data available, dataset includes private companies only. Sample set size: 12 EU Unicorns
and 20 US unicorns.
(2)
Sourced latest revenue and valuation data available, dataset includes private companies only; revenue data is one year
older than valuation data. Sample set size: 12 EU Unicorns and 20 US unicorns.
P9EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest
HIGHER BAR
for European unicorns
» Average US unicorn valuation significantly higher than average European valuation,
but the opposite is true when comparing revenue.
» This suggests that European investors require a much stronger track
record for billion-dollar valuations.
AVERAGE REVENUE EUROPE VS. US
REVENUE MULTIPLES EUROPE VS. US
Average LTM-1
$315m
Europe
$129m
US
18.1x
Europe
46.0x
US
Average LTM-1
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, CB Insights (US data), press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Note: Sourced latest revenue and valuation data available, dataset includes private companies only; if revenue data is one year
older than valuation data, label reads LTM -1; sample set size: 12 EU Unicorns and 20 US unicorns.
VALUATIONS
REVENUE GENERATION
of European unicorns
Revenue segmentation of European unicorns in 2014
Average revenue
» The average revenue for European unicorns is growing as companies mature,
increasing by 63 per cent to $265 million in 2014.
2013
$163m
2014
$265m
P10
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, CB Insights (US data), press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Note: Only includes unicorns where data is available.
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, CB Insights (US data), press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Note: Dataset includes private companies only; sample set size: 12 EU unicorns
>$1200M
15%
$50M - $150M
31%
$150M - $300M
23%
$300M - $1200M
21%
<$50M
10%
EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P11
THE PROFITABILITY
of European unicorns
» Two-thirds of European unicorns are profitable,
which is testament to the long-term potential of these businesses.
» Some unicorns have favoured growth over profit:
fast growth requires significant investment.
PROFITABLE UNICORNS UNPROFITABLE UNICORNS
60%
of unicorns
are profitable(1)
40%
of unicorns
are unprofitable(1)
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Note: CAGR is calculated based on data available, the amount of years taken into account varies across data set.
(1)
% of sample, sample includes 37 of the 47 companies.
(2)
company profitability based of EBITDA.
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
12
European Unicorns make money
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Note: CAGR is calculated based on data available, the amount of years taken into account varies across data set
(1) % of sample, not all Unicorns
63%
of Unicorns are profitable
37%
of Unicorns are unprofitable
Profitable Unicorns Unprofitable Unicorns
Based on the available data, we
found 22 profitable Unicorns
versus 13 unprofitable ones
Overall, unprofitable Unicorns
have grown at a faster pace
then profitable ones
The average CAGR for
unprofitable Unicorns was 133.6%
while profitable Unicorns grew
with an average CAGR of 49.0%
(1) (1)
12
uropean Unicorns make money
ny data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
alculated based on data available, the amount of years taken into account varies across data set
not all Unicorns
63%
of Unicorns are profitable
37%
of Unicorns are unprofitable
Profitable Unicorns Unprofitable Unicorns
e
%
%
(1) (1)
(2)
(2)
(2)
THE MARCH TOWARDS
Europe’s first decacorn
P12
VALUATIONS
» Europe is on the cusp of its first $10 billion tech company.
» These are the businesses that GP Bullhound has identified as having the potential
and ambition to reach that $10 billion valuation in the next few years.
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
$8.5BN
Founded: 2006
Headquarters: Sweden
Revenue growth: 45%
$8.1BN
Founded: 2008
Headquarters: Germany
Revenue growth: 20%
$5.3BN
Founded: 2010
Headquarters: Finland
Revenue growth: 173%
Founded: 2011
Headquarters: Germany
Revenue growth: 379%
$2.9BN
EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P13
EMERGING
unicorn foals
» This is a selection of European tech firms that GP Bullhound believes could achieve
a billion-dollar valuation in the coming months and years.
» These businesses have the potential to reach unicorn status due to their
fast-growth, ambition and robust credentials.
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
DOMINIK
RICHTER
HELLOFRESH
P14
VALUATIONS
EUROPE’S LATEST
success story
EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P15
Look elsewhere, and there are rapidly expanding
tech hubs throughout Europe, all of which attract the
talent and funding required to build a billion-dollar
company. We could not have believed it in 2011
but the evolution of European tech has given rise to
unicorns in London, Stockholm, Paris, and Berlin.
These billion-dollar technology companies succeed
by challenging the status quo across major consumer
markets. The influence of technology is being felt in
every walk of life, and this is generating significant
returns for investors.
Take our own industry, food and drink: the average
person eats about 90 meals a month and we
estimate that the average HelloFresh customer
probably eats 10 meals a month with us. Harness the
value of household spend and the returns are vast.
Food is just one example. Across travel, media, retail,
and finance, these billion-dollar tech companies are
reshaping every sector. Technology is embedding
itself into mature industries to change them beyond
recognition. This shift has been the making of the 47
unicorns that we have in Europe today.
The unprecedented rate of change has, though,
given rise to concerns among observers. There are
clearly positive and negative sides to growing so
fast, and we have seen a fair number of people
expressing the view that unicorns are overstretching
themselves.
This scepticism is nothing new. Five years ago,
Facebook was considered to be vastly overvalued;
three years ago Instagram was considered to be
vastly overvalued. Yet now we look back at the $1
billion deal made by Facebook to acquire Instagram,
and it looks like one of the best deals ever made.
We need to foster a better understanding of fast-
growth businesses in Europe. In a couple of years
we will be able to look back on the success of
this generation’s unicorn companies and we will
understand the value of the growth that they are
demonstrating.
HelloFresh is one of the fastest-growing companies of
all time, and yet we have only just begun to scratch
the surface. I am simply an entrepreneur looking for
an opportunity, and I see so many opportunities for
concepts with vast potential in the food space. In the
next five to ten years we will experience significant
developments across every major consumer market.
The challenge for us in the here and now is to
create a mindset, both among investors and
spectators, that keeps pace with the rapid growth
of European tech.
This growth will see Europe develop its first $10 billion
unicorn soon, but only if we give it the chance. The
US has created the blueprint for huge success, and
while we may struggle to build a German Google
or a French Facebook, I fully believe in the value of
European tech.
Technology will change each and every industry.
The current cohort of European unicorns is full of
fundamentally great businesses. The concerns will not
last long, and the unicorns will prevail.
When we founded HelloFresh in Berlin in 2011, the city had a handful
of angel investors backing a handful of entrepreneurs. Since then, the
technology ecosystem in Berlin has grown massively, almost
unbelievably. There are now around 50 different funds providing capital
to ambitious founders across the city.
THE HIGHEST VALUE NEW UNICORNS OF 2016
$2.9bn
HELLOFRESH
$1.5bn
BLIPPAR
$1.3bn
EVOLUTION
GAMING
$1.1bn
SITECORE
GROWTH STRATEGIES
Building sustainably
Almost two thirds of our European unicorn sample
are profitable,(1)
an astonishing amount considering
how much capital is invested in growth or research
and development. This profitability comes at the
trade off of faster growth. The average Compound
Annual Growth Rate of unprofitable unicorns
(CAGR) was 141 per cent, compared to just over 49
per cent for those making a profit.(2)
A clear trend in growth strategy is acquisitions.
Over 80 per cent of unicorns have acquired
other companies in their life span. This can bring
in knowledge and expertise in new markets, new
technology and a local customer base. It is a clear
method for expansion to reach a billion-dollar
valuation, as 62 per cent made acquisitions ahead
of gaining unicorn status. This continues to be a
favoured means of growth, as half of all acquisitions
are made after attaining the valuation. Unicorns
acquire an average of five companies, but some
go much further, with Markit Group completing 33
acquisitions to date, Just Eat at 24, Delivery Hero at
18 and Rocket Internet and Yandex both acquiring
16 companies each.
But these unicorns also require a lot of feeding.
Average capital raised by EU unicorns in 2016 was
slightly higher with $260 million vs. $230 million the
year before with a median of $145 million and $140
million respectively. The US continues to lead the
way on fundraising, with average rounds that are
double the size of European unicorns. Almost one-
third of billion-dollar tech companies in Europe have
raised over $250 million, in contrast almost two-thirds
of US unicorns have raised such sums. On average,
consumer-oriented firms required more capital ($294
million) to reach unicorn status, compared with
enterprise oriented businesses ($155 million).
Building tech firms of such scale does not happen
overnight. It takes a lot of time and patience.
European consumer-focused companies take
on average seven years to reach a billion-dollar
valuation, while enterprise-focused companies took
on average nine years to attain the same level.
The most exciting conclusion from these findings
is that entrepreneurs are putting into practice
the recommendations of investors and aiming for
long-term growth strategies over early exits. The
behaviour outlined in the following pages is that of
business owners with eyes on a $10 billion valuation.
The European tech sector has witnessed considerable growth in the last
year. Billion-dollar companies have expanded through organic growth,
acquisitions and raising capital. These tactics are a demonstration of
founders’ commitment to a long-term strategy of growth and expansion.
For most the billion-dollar threshold is only the beginning.
P16
GROWTH STRATEGIES
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Note: (1)
% of sample, sample includes 37 of the 47 companies.
(2)
CAGR is calculated based on available data; the amount of years taken into account varies across the data set.
EUROPE’S FASTEST
growing unicorns
Top 10 by 2013-2014 growth rate
» The average revenue growth rate of Europe’s unicorns is 99 per cent.
» Auto 1 and TransferWise emerged as the fastest growing companies and
there is a strong presence of marketplace models in the top ten.
AUTO 1
TRANSFERWISE
HELLOFRESH
VE INTERACTIVE
ANAPLAN
SUPERCELL
FUNDING CIRCLE
SHAZAM
DELIVERY HERO
FARFETCH
P17EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Note: Data set only includes unicorns where data is available; growth rates based on public revenue data.
ACQUISITION
as growth strategy
Top acquirers: number of acquisitions per unicorn
» With over 80 per cent of unicorns making acquisitions, this has emerged
as a key growth strategy for Europe’s most successful tech companies.
» On average, unicorns acquired five companies and 50 per cent made
acquisitions before they had reached unicorn status.
P18
GROWTH STRATEGIES
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
MARKIT GROUP
JUST EAT
DELIVERY HERO
ROCKET INTERNET
YANDEX
POKERSTARS
ZOOPLA
VENTE PRIVEE
BLABLACAR
FLEETMATICS GROUP
VE INTERACTIVE
ZALANDO
SPOTIFY
33
7
EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P19
TIME REQUIRED
for significant growth
Number of years for unicorns to reach a $1 billion valuation
» It takes enterprise focused companies longer to reach unicorn status, despite the fact
that consumer focused companies need more capital to reach a $1 billion valuation –
on average $294 million compared to $155 million.
AVERAGE CAPITAL RAISED: $294M AVERAGE CAPITAL RAISED: $155M
Average time to a liquidity event
8.5
years
6.7
years
8.5
years
9.7
years
8
years
10.6
years
CONSUMER focused UNICORNS ENTERPRISE focused UNICORNS
» Less than half of European unicorns have reached a liquidity event (sale or IPO)
» It takes on average more than eight years to reach this, suggesting that
entrepreneurs are aiming for long-term growth rather than early exits.
7 YEARS
CONSUMER
focused
UNICORNS
9 YEARS
ENTERPRISE
focused
UNICORNS
2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
INVESTMENT REQUIRED
for significant growth
» Unicorns need serious capital to maintain growth – the average
European unicorn raised $260 million.
» American unicorns are raising significantly more capital than in Europe.
» On average, US unicorns raised more than double
the levels of investment in Europe.
Capital raised by EU unicorns Capital raised by US unicorns
AVERAGE CAPITAL RAISED: $260M AVERAGE CAPITAL RAISED: $558M
$300M+
45%
$100M - $150M
10%
$150M - $250M
31%
$250M - $300M
12%
$50M - $100M
2%
$300M+
16%
$250M - $300M
16%
$50M - $100M
14%
$100M - $150M
19%
$150M -$250M
16%
<$50M
19%
P20
GROWTH STRATEGIES
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Note: % represents the number of unicorns that raised capital in each bracket.
EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P21
INVESTMENT FIRMS
driving growth
Investors by number of European unicorns they invested in
Investors invested in two unicorns
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Note: Only takes in to account investors from private rounds; includes both past and current investments.
INDEX VENTURES
BAILLIE GIFFORD
ACCEL PARTNERS
DST GLOBAL
KINNEVIK
HOLTZBRINCK VENTURES
ROCKET INTERNET
GENERAL ATLANTIC
IVP
ATOMICO
NORTHZONE
GLOBAL FOUNDERS CAPITAL
VOSTOK NEW VENTURES
GP BULLHOUND
83 NORTH
BALDERTON CAPITAL
INSIGHT VENTURE PARTNERS
VITRUVIAN PARTNERS
TENGELMANN VENTURES
NOVEL TMT VENTURES
	 11
7
7
7
6
6
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
FRÉDÉRIC
MAZZELLA
BLABLACAR
P22
GROWTH STRATEGIES
IN THE
fast lane
EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P23
Growing a company in the US is like running a 100m
race; in Europe it is the equivalent of a 110m hurdle
race. You have 28 countries, 28 languages, several
currencies, different cultures and labour laws. To
set up shop in a new country is like starting all over
again. You have to account for this. It makes it
more difficult compared to growing in the US with
access to a very large core market from day one.
But crucially, those that succeed are very robust.
Once you have adapted your entire culture and
company to 15 different cultures or more, you are
ready for more.
We have never tried to reinvent the wheel with
our technology. After all, we already do this by
pioneering the ride-sharing concept – that’s hard
enough! So we benchmark ourselves against
tech giants all the time. In May, we flew to San
Francisco with the product team to meet with lots
of companies in Silicon Valley such Airbnb, Slack,
Linkedin, Facebook, Whatsapp, Twitter, Paypal
and Salesforce, to share methods and experience.
We believe in a culture of sharing that benefits
everyone. Benchmarking is in our DNA. We compare
ourselves to competition the whole time in wider
sectors. 70 to 80 per cent of internal initiatives we
have delivered are issued from these benchmarks.
In the ride-sharing space there are no direct
competitors, and partly this is down to our M&A
activity. You see the big US tech success stories
growing and innovating through acquisitions –
and this is also ingrained in our culture through
our investors and my co-founder Nicolas Brusson,
who worked in venture capital. This approach has
really fast-tracked our growth.
We offer a value proposition – for small ride-
sharing firms to join a great team who are equally
passionate, but with an international scope and
high levels of capital. To date, we have acquired
eight small teams, mostly when expanding into new
markets. These companies acknowledge the high
levels of liquidity that offer a barrier to entry – the
odds of two people making the same journey at
the same time is very low. Therefore it’s very hard to
reach marketplace liquidity.
We didn’t know precisely how to go about our
expansion when we first started out in Paris over 10
years ago, but we figured out along the way that
with the right business model, product, marketing
and experience we could become one of the
fastest-growing businesses in Europe.
In France, we are seeing this more and more. There
is an acceleration of companies reaching a global
scale – look at Criteo, Sigfox, Deezer, Drivy and
Doctolib, for example. From coming up with the
idea for long-distance ride-sharing in 2003, we have
grown to 500 people today, with 30 million members
in 22 different countries worldwide.
Our ambition from day one was always to expand. We knew that our
ride-sharing concept had to become a global platform, and to succeed
we had to scale and go beyond borders. But scaling to such a size does
not happen overnight, especially in Europe.
FRANCE’S TOP UNICORNS
$3bn
VENTE PRIVÉE
$2.6bn
CRITEO
$1.6bn
BLABLACAR
EUROPE’S
unique DNA
This is a year that has been marked by the resurgence
of software. While other areas of expertise may come
and go, the fundamental importance of software to
both businesses and consumers has led to more than
a quarter of this year’s unicorns coming from this most
traditional specialism.
Software expertise has long been the overriding
specialism of European technology and we view this
as a renaissance rather than an indication of investors
looking for a safe haven in turbulent markets.
Many investors in 2015 were predicting the rise
and rise of Fintech companies in Europe.
Representing 18 per cent of European unicorns
last year, it appeared that Fintech could be a
growth sector for years to come. This has not
been the case, and the sector has faced notable
challenges from both the recovery of traditional
financial institutions, regulation and a heightened
level of investor scrutiny.
The opportunity is still huge. With 13 per cent of the
unicorn businesses still coming from the Fintech
sector, it remains an area of interest for investors and
entrepreneurs alike.
Paired with a renaissance in software, we continue
to see eCommerce and marketplace companies
taking advantage of the broad consumer base
across Europe. These three sectors make up the vast
majority of this year’s unicorns, contributing 64 per
cent of the businesses that make up the list.
It is also noteworthy that this year has seen three
nations, previously unheralded for the strength of
their domestic technology sectors, each producing
unicorns – Luxembourg, Denmark and Switzerland.
With the ten new unicorns spread across seven
different countries, Europe is creating a genuinely
broad base of technological expertise.
The rise of Virtual Reality this year should not go
unnoticed. Ten new unicorns have joined the billion-
dollar club, two of which specialise in VR, a clear
emerging trend.
Software’s rise in 2016 is an indication of a wider
maturation of the sector. As digital innovation takes
hold across the continent, more and more businesses
will require software at the heart of operational
systems. Complemented by the healthy resilience of
ecommerce and marketplace companies, Europe is
consolidating its many strengths.
As the European technology sector has matured, it has fostered a
remarkable array of specialisms across the continent. From Fintech in
London to eCommerce in Berlin, there are many breeds that make up
this year’s unicorn herd.
P24
EUROPE’S UNIQUE DNA
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Note: (1)
% of sample, sample includes 37 of the 47 companies.
(2)
CAGR is calculated based on available data; the amount of years taken into account varies across the data set.
P25EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest
» The strongest sectors are eCommerce, Software and Marketplace,
representing 64 per cent of the total number of European unicorns.
» Augmented Reality/Virtual Reality is an emerging sector, producing two of
this year’s new unicorns.
» The Software sector increased its share from 20 per cent in 2015
to 26 per cent in 2016. It is now Europe’s dominant specialism.
SOFTWARE
sector dominance
AUDIENCE
8%
ECOMMERCE
20%
SOFTWARE
20%
MARKETPLACE
20%
FINTECH
18%
GAMING
13%
AUDIENCE
6%
AR/VR
4%
ECOMMERCE
19%
SOFTWARE
26%
MARKETPLACE
19%
FINTECH
13%
Sector split 2015 Sector split 2016
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
EUROPE’S
new unicorns
EUROPE’S UNIQUE DNA
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Note: (1)
Anaplan was founded in the UK, but has subsequently headquartered in the US.
COMPANY COUNTRY SECTOR DESCRIPTION INVESTORS INCLUDE
Software
Develops cloud-based enterprise
planning and modeling solutions for
companies worldwide
Baillie Gifford & Co., Brookside Capital,Coatue
Management, DFJ Growth, Founders Circle
Capital, Granite Ventures, Harmony Partners,
MeriTech Capital Partners, PremjiInvest,
Salesforce Ventures, Sands Capital Management,
Shasta Ventures, Workday
$1.1bn
eCommerce
Operates an online trading platform
for used cars
DN Capital, DST Global, INVEST,
millhouse, Panorama Point Partners,
Piton Capital
$1.0bn
AR/VR
Develops a mobile application
based on augmented reality,
computer vision technology, and
image recognition technologies
Khazanah Nasional Berhad,
QUALCOMM Ventures $1.5bn
Software Live casino solutions for businesses
Edendale Universal Holding, Garcia
Investment Holdings, Knoxville,
Swedbank Robur Fonder, TAH
Management, Total Markets Holding,
UBS Asset Management
$1.3bn
Marketplace Operates online fashion stores
Investment AB Kinnevik, Rocket Internet,
Tengelmann Ventures Management,
Verlinvest
$1.1bn
eCommerce
Creates recipes and offers online
grocery delivery services
Insight Venture Partners, Phenomen
Ventures, Rocket Internet, Baillie Gifford
& Co., Investment AB Kinnevik, Vorwerk
Direct Selling Ventures
$2.9bn
Software
Operates a platform for software
discovery, distribution, and delivery
across platforms and devices
83 North, Carmel Ventures, CBC Capital,
Clal Industries and Investments, ClalTech,
Ping An Ventures, Saban Capital Group,
The Disruptive Fund
$1.0bn
AR/VR
Develops medical grade virtual
reality (VR) products to stimulate
neural recovery
Hinduja Group $1.0bn
Software
Develops and operates a social
media application platform that
enables users to collect, organize,
and share digital content
America Movil, Singulariteam $1.0bn
Software
Develops customer experience
management software for
marketers worldwide
EQT Partners $1.1bn
(1)
P26
VALUATION
5
Who are the new kids on the block ?
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Software
» Develops cloud-based enterprise planning and modeling solutions for companies worldwide
» Baillie Gifford & Co., Brookside Capital, Coatue Management, DFJ Growth, Founders Circle Capital, Granite
Ventures, Harmony Partners, MeriTech Capital Partners, PremjiInvest, Salesforce Ventures, Sands Capital
Management, Shasta Ventures, Workday
$1.1bn
eCommerce
» Operates an online trading platform for used cars
» DN Capital, DST Global, INVEST, millhouse, Panorama Point Partners, Piton Capital
$1.0bn
AR/VR
» Develops a mobile application based on augmented reality, computer vision technology, and image-
recognition technologies
» Khazanah Nasional Berhad, QUALCOMM Ventures
$1.5bn
Software
» Live casino solutions for businesses
» Edendale Universal Holding, Garcia Investment Holdings, Knoxville, Swedbank Robur Fonder, TAH
Management, Total Markets Holding, UBS Asset Management
$1.3bn
Marketplace
» Operates online fashion stores
» Investment AB Kinnevik, Rocket Internet, Tengelmann Ventures Management, Verlinvest
$1.1bn
eCommerce
» Creates recipes and offers online grocery delivery services
» Insight Venture Partners, Phenomen Ventures, Rocket Internet, Baillie Gifford & Co., Investment AB Kinnevik,
Vorwerk Direct Selling Ventures
$2.9bn
Software
» Operates a platform for software discovery, distribution, and delivery across platforms and devices
» 83 North, Carmel Ventures, CBC Capital, Clal Industries and Investments, ClalTech, Ping An Ventures, Saban
Capital Group, The Disruptive Fund
$1.0bn
AR/VR
» Develops medical grade virtual reality (VR) products to stimulate neural recovery
» Hinduja Group
$1.0bn
Software
» Develops and operates a social media application platform that enables users to collect, organize, and
share digital content
» America Movil, Singulariteam
$1.0bn
Software
» Develops customer experience management software for marketers worldwide
» EQT Partners
$1.1bn
Company Country Sector Description & investors Valuation
EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P27
NEW UNICORNS
defining characteristics
Quality over quantity
» The new unicorns are from seven different countries in Europe, up from four last
year, suggesting a greater depth and maturity across the whole market.
» The majority of new unicorns are software companies, with two
new entrants in augmented reality or virtual reality.
SWEDEN -1
LUXEMBOURG -1
DENMARK -1
SWITZERLAND -1
ISRAEL - 2
GERMANY -2
UK - 2
Key characteristics for new joiners
10NEW ADDITIONS
7YEARS OLD ON
AVERAGE
20%AUGMENTED REALITY
/ VIRTUAL REALITY
50%
SOFTWARE
$1.3bn
AVERAGE
VALUATION
EUROPE US
10
30
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
Note: Gross increase of unicorns.
BONAMY
GRIMES
SKYSCANNER
P28
EUROPE’S UNIQUE DNA
EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P29
Crucially for us, this move to direct sales left
consumers without a single hub of centralised
flight information. It is this sort of information
deficit that is fundamental to the rise of the digital
entrepreneur. New technologies inevitably create
rapid change and cracks begin to appear in old
business models. Spot these and you can build a
winning technology business.
We uncovered our opportunity as most people
do, through personal experience. My co-founder
Gareth was working a contract that took him from
his home in the UK out to the Alps every two weeks.
This left him with a fortnightly search for the cheapest
flight, looking at each airline and considering every
potential destination in and around the Alps.
Skyscanner built a central bank of information that
allowed consumers to be far more flexible with
the data they provided. You could search for any
number of destinations, carriers and dates. We had
harnessed an information deficit in an enormous
consumer market; the business is now targeting the
global travel sector, worth $1.3 trillion in 2015.
I think the rise of artificially intelligent technologies
will bring the next wave of change in the travel
sector. You used to go into a travel agent to have a
discussion with the ‘expert’ and that conversation
was clearly a human process of learning and
refinement. The loss of this type of personal interaction
has left an information gap that an entrepreneur
could tackle with an artificially intelligent platform.
You could even say the same of virtual reality.
We are in a strong position to cultivate these new
technologies in Europe. Virtual reality will require a
combination of creativity and technology. With some
of the best universities in the world, we have the
talent to take up this opportunity and you are already
seeing European competitors in the sector on the rise.
Different locations and different markets also tend
to produce an information deficit. This is another
characteristic of the European technology sector that
has made it resilient. Having founded Skyscanner in
Europe, we have had to analyse multiple languages
and data sources from inception. American
competitors tackle these problems at a far later
stage, as they have access to one big pool of English
speaking consumers from day one.
Take Uber: you could believe that they have their
market sewn up; and yet there are a lot of difficulties
that they will face trying to roll out a product in
different markets all over the world. This means it
simply will not be a one horse race.
You can never be complacent: from day one this
is a hard industry to operate in. There are plenty of
challenges, but European tech has the credentials
to create world-beating businesses in every sector.
We can be ambitious about our potential, but the
expectation should be that this is tough: it makes for
real businesses building valuable tech.
We founded Skyscanner at a time when the airline industry was
going through a major upheaval. By 2001, everything was going
online and the sector was breaking apart. Airlines were suddenly
able to sell directly to customers through their own websites.
EUROPE’S TOP SPECIALISMS
26%
of unicorns in
Software
of unicorns in
eCommerce
of unicorns in
Marketplace
of unicorns in
Fintech
13%19% 19%
P30
METHODOLOGY
AUTHORS
We have included:
Tech companies only, with a bias towards internet
and software (cleantech and biotech have been
excluded).
Companies falling into the following macro-sectors:
eCommerce (e.g. sale of goods or services);
Audience (e.g. monetisation through ads and
lead generation); Software (e.g. licence of
software); Gaming (including gambling); Fintech;
Marketplaces; and Augmented Reality / Virtual
Reality (AR/VR).
Companies headquartered in Europe(3)
, which were
founded in 2000 or later.
Companies with an equity valuation of $1bn+ in the
public or private markets.
First caveat: our sources include public data (e.g.
press articles, blogs and industry rumours), and the
accuracy of our dataset is limited to disclosed data.
Second caveat: the analysis is based on data as
at April 2016, which has obvious limitations related
to, for example, the state of equity markets, recent
company performance, et cetera.
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
(1)
When referring to US statistics, GP Bullhound refers to the CB Insights Unicorn tracker.
(2)
GP Bullhound has used a slightly longer timeframe than the US report in order to capture a large number of unicorns founded in 2000-01.
(3)
Including Israel and companies which we founded in Europe and later relocated to the US.
MANISH
MADHVANI
Co-founder
and Managing Partner
GP Bullhound
ALESSANDRO
CASARTELLI
Vice President
GP Bullhound
MARVIN
MAERZ
Associate
GP Bullhound
MIGUEL
INDEKEU
Intern
GP Bullhound
We crunched the data on the European billion-dollar
companies founded since 2000, with the aim of analysing
what it takes to create a European unicorn, and find
any parallels and differences with the US analysis and
our report from last year.(1)(2)
OUR METHODOLOGY AND SOURCES
EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P31
THE GP BULLHOUND TEAM
LORD CLIVE HOLLICK
Senior Advisor
MATT ROGERS
Senior Advisor
CECILIA ROMAN
Senior Advisor
HUGH CAMPBELL
Managing Partner
MANISH MADHVANI
Managing Partner
STAFFAN INGEBORN
Non-Executive Director
MATHIAS ACKERMAND
Non-Executive Director
PER ROMAN
Managing Partner
SIR MARTIN SMITH
Chairman
Partner
SIMON NICHOLLS
Partner
SVEN RAEYMAEKERS
Partner
CHRIS GRAVES
Director
CLAUDIO ALVAREZ
Director
JULIAN RIEDLBAUER
Partner
ANDRE SHORTELL
MARK SEBBA
Non-Executive Director
GRAEME BAYLEY
Partner & Group CFO
ANN GREVELIUS
Partner
ALEC DAFFERNER
Partner
ROBERT AHLDIN
Partner
GUILLAUME BONNETON
Partner
NICK HORROCKS
Director Director
PER LINDTORP ALESSANDRO CASARTELLI
Vice President
CARL WESSBERG
Director
SEBASTIAN MARKOWSKY
Director
ALEXIS SCORER
Director
LUKE BURNS
Associate
MARVIN MAERZ
Associate
JOHANNES ÅKERMARK
Associate
OLOF RUSTNER
Associate
SIMON MIREMADI
Associate
HARRIET ROSETHORN
Associate
KARL BLOMSTERWALL
Analyst
ELENA BOCHAROVA
Analyst
ORIANE MILLET
Analyst
PIERCE LEWIS-OAKES
Analyst
MATTEW FINEGOLD
Analyst
OKAN INALTAY
Analyst
JOAKIM DAL
Vice President
RAVI GHEDIA
Vice President
CHRIS PARK
Associate
MIKE KIM
Associate
MALCOLM HORNER
Vice President
LENKA KOLAROVA
Vice President
ED PRIOR
Analyst
IMAN CRISBY
Business Development Manager
CHRISTIAN LAGERLING
Co-founder & Senior Advisor
DAVE NISH
Technology Manager
HARRI NEEDHAM
Finance Manager
LINDA NORDMARK
Finance Manager
ADVISING CATEGORY LEADERS
P32
» We have completed transactions with over 15%
of Europe’s billion dollar start-ups
GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016
Note: (1)
Advised a number of Klarna and Spotify shareholders on the sale of secondary shares.
(2)
Advised incoming investor on acquisition of shares.
Represents transactions completed with GP Bullhound
(2)
(1)
(1)
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European Unicorns 2016

  • 1. Survival of the fittest EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016
  • 2. STRATEGIC ADVISORY We have a reputation for providing direct and impartial strategic advice to clients across the technology ecosystem. We work with Boards of Directors to provide guidance on acquisitions, divestments, international expansion and exit planning. MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS When entrepreneurs and investors are planning to sell their businesses, they need a trusted partner. We have completed over 100 deals in the last decade with giants of the global technology sector. More than half of our M&A deals have a cross- border solution and our five technology hubs across Europe and the US allow us to provide a senior, local service to clients but with access to buyers across the globe. FUNDRAISING, SECONDARIES AND BLOCK TRADES GP Bullhound has been helping to finance technology businesses since 2000. We have built up a unique set of relationships with investors who, like us, are passionate about the technology sector. We pride ourselves on building long-term relationships, and we hope to work with our clients from growth equity fundraising, through debt restructuring, secondary fundraising and towards the ultimate exit – via trade sale or IPO. PRINCIPAL INVESTMENTS GP Bullhound Asset Management is our independent investment arm. It currently manages three funds, investing in category leaders, early-stage businesses and unicorn companies. ABOUT US 03 European Unicorns Landscape 2016 06 Executive Summary: Manish Madhvani, GP Bullhound 08 Valuations 14 Expert View: Dominik Richter, HelloFresh 16 Growth Strategies 22 Expert View: Frédéric Mazzella, BlaBlaCar 24 Europe’s DNA 28 Expert View: Bonamy Grimes, SkyScanner 30 Methodology CONTENTS P2 GP Bullhound provides independent strategic advice and deal-making to the best technology entrepreneurs, companies and investors. Our passion for technology, financial acumen and empathy for entrepreneurs is what really sets our advice apart. We want to help build more billion-dollar technology companies across Europe. We know this takes time and we are not in a hurry.
  • 3. EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P3 EUROPEAN UNICORNS Landscape 2016 $2.8bn AVERAGE VALUATION 55x AVERAGE RETURN ON CAPITAL INVESTED 3UNICORNS LEFT THE CLUB 10UNICORNS JOINED THE CLUB 47UNICORNS 36CONSUMER focused UNICORNS 11ENTERPRISE focused UNICORNS GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, CB Insights (US data), press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Note: Average return on capital invested is the equity valuation as a multiple of investment received. This represents an indication of value created, not real returns for investors.
  • 4. WHO ARE the European unicorns? NEW UNICORN » We have found 47 billion-dollar tech companies in Europe, with seven net additions since last year. » Whilst new entrants to the unicorn club have much lower values, the average valuation of European unicorns is $2.8 billion. » Spotify has replaced Skype as the most valuable unicorn. SPOTIFY SKYPE ZALANDO MARKIT GROUP KING DIGITAL RIGHTMOVE SUPERCELL* YANDEX POKERSTARS ROCKET INTERNET YOOX ROVIO ENTERTAINMENT* ASOS JUST EAT DELIVERY HERO VKONTAKTE VENTE PRIVEE* HELLOFRESH CRITEO MOJANG AVITO.RU ADYEN KLARNA SKYSCANNER BLABLACAR FLEETMATICS GROUP BLIPPAR* ZOOPLA CONDUIT WONGA* VE INTERACTIVE* EVOLUTION GAMING SKRILL SITECORE GLOBAL FASHION GROUP ANAPLAN AO WORLD FANDUEL TRANSFERWISE HOME24 AUTO 1 MOBLI SHAZAM FARFETCH FUNDING CIRCLE IRONSOURCE MINDMAZE $1.0bn $5.0bn$2.0bn $6.0bn$3.0bn $7.0bn$4.0bn $8.0bn $9.0bn COMPANY VALUATION ($BN) $8.5BN $8.5BN $8.1BN $6.2BN $5.6BN $5.6BN $5.3BN $4.9BN $4.9BN $4.7BN $4.0BN $4.0BN $3.9BN $3.6BN $3.1BN $3.1BN $3.0BN $2.9BN $2.6BN $2.5BN $2.4BN $2.3BN $2.3BN $1.6BN $1.6BN $1.6BN $1.5BN $1.4BN $1.4BN $1.4BN $1.3BN $1.3BN $1.2BN $1.1BN $1.1BN $1.1BN $1.0BN $1.0BN $1.0BN $1.0BN $1.0BN $1.0BN $1.0BN $1.0BN $1.0BN $1.0BN $1.0BN European unicorns are fast-growth, profitable businesses GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, CB Insights (US data), press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Note: * Indicates valuation estimate based on press and rumours P4
  • 5. EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest THE EUROPEAN UNICORN League Table GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, CB Insights (US data), press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 $7.2 COUNTRY CUMULATIVE VALUE NO. OF UNICORNS LTM ADDITIONS P5
  • 7. What began as a goal for only the most ambitious entrepreneurs has become an exclusive, but consistently expanding, collection of businesses. What began as testament to the superiority of Silicon Valley innovation has become a worldwide phenomenon. Simply put, the myth has become a reality. Nowhere is the unicorn phenomenon seen more clearly than in Europe. GP Bullhound has been charting the growth of billion-dollar companies across Europe since 2014. Two years ago we asked, can Europe create billion-dollar tech companies? The answer is clear. There are now 47 European unicorns; the continent has proved it can consistently produce tech companies with significant valuations. Companies that can compete with the very best, anywhere in the world. However, the adulation of Europe’s greatest digital success stories has started to sour. Critics are beginning to doubt the veracity of recent headline-grabbing valuations. Detractors are sceptical of the number of companies claiming billion-dollar valuations and whispers of a tech bubble persist amidst concerns over whether unicorns themselves have a long-term future, make profit or actually aid the economy. These are big claims. Our annual research into the progress of unicorns has always aimed to take an objective approach to Europe’s most successful tech companies, analysing a wide range of data sets to draw quantitative conclusions. We let the numbers speak for themselves. Informed by this approach, we can send a clear message to the investment and digital community: European unicorns are here to stay. Ten new companies have reached unicorn status, bringing the total number of billion-dollar tech companies in Europe to 47. Most remarkably, 60 per cent of the businesses we have analysed are profitable.(1) As any entrepreneur or investor knows, maintaining profitability during periods of rapid growth is extremely challenging and for so many of the cohort to be balancing the considerable investment in talent and product required to scale and revenue generation is seriously impressive. The key finding in our research, however, is the comparison between valuations and actual revenue. In the US, tech valuations are, on average, 46 times the revenue produced by that company. In Europe, this number is considerably lower, at 18 times.(2) This figure cuts to the heart of the backlash facing the valuation of tech companies around the world. Of course Europe has yet to reach the dizzying heights of the giants such as Facebook and Google, but when you look at businesses in the $1 billion to $3 billion range, what we lack in quantity we more than make up for in terms of quality. Last year, there were 30 new billion-dollar tech companies in the US, over three times the number in Europe. However, the disparity between revenue and valuation in the US creates a market inclined to dramatic combustions. European valuations are much more rooted in reality. In the past two years, Europe has undergone a remarkable journey. From a landscape in thrall to Silicon Valley to a quietly confident and stable market capable of sustaining growth. Our report, European Unicorns 2016: Survival of the fittest examines what is increasingly becoming the uniquely diverse and fertile landscape of European technology. We have mapped the success of European unicorns across individual countries, individual sectors and investment activity. And because great companies are built by great people, we have included interviews from three of the most exciting entrepreneurs from across the continent: Dominik Richter from HelloFresh, Bonamy Grimes from Skyscanner and Frédéric Mazzella from BlaBlaCar. We hope their stories inspire you as much as they inspire us. I would like to thank these three entrepreneurs for their time speaking to us and Alessandro Casartelli, Marvin Maerz and Miguel Indekeu from GP Bullhound who lead on our unicorn research. The conclusion we can draw is that there has never been a better time to be operating within the European technology market. I firmly believe that the right ecosystem now exists for one of the companies highlighted in this report to push forward and reach a $10 billion valuation in the next few years, and over time a $100 billion valuation. Manish Madhvani Co-founder and Managing Partner GP Bullhound A valuation of one billion dollars has become a badge of honour for fast- growth technology companies around the world. Despite numerous commentators calling into question this achievement, the key now is to ascertain the underlying robustness of the Unicorn Club. EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P7 GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Note: (1) % of sample, sample includes 37 of the 47 companies. (2) Sourced latest revenue and valuation data available, dataset includes private companies only; revenue data is one year older than valuation data. Sample set size: 12 EU Unicorns and 20 US unicorns. THE RESILIENCE of the unicorn
  • 8. VALUATIONS Europe proves itself Over the past 12 months, the growth, consistency and endurance of European unicorns prove that valuations are not fantastical, but that the figures and investment attached to their potential growth are well earned. Importantly, the number of European unicorns has increased, from 40 to 47. While three companies may have lost their unicorn crown, the net gain of seven is a much stronger end of year result than analysts expected. Not only have seven new unicorns been welcomed to the fold, but impressive revenue streams are creating the foundations on which European unicorns will be raised for the long-term. In fact, the average revenue of European unicorns is almost three times as high as their US counterparts - $315 million compared to $129 million.(1) This figure demonstrates a key difference between the US and EU investor mindset. In the US, investors are basing their decisions around potential growth - an outlook made possible by the sheer amount of funding available across the Atlantic. As a result, there are more unicorns in the US, but they are valued, on average, at 46 times their revenue. In Europe, where unicorns are valued, on average, 18 times their revenue, investors are clearly acting more responsibly and taking an evidence- based approach that aims to pay dividends for years to come.(2) Overall, the cumulative value of unicorns has increased from $122 billion in 2015 to $131 billion in 2016. Meanwhile, average valuations have actually stayed very similar at $2.8 billion, down from $3 billion in 2015, due to the addition of younger companies. It has also been a year for diversity: three countries – Luxembourg, Denmark and Switzerland – have each produced their first unicorn. The massive growth trajectories that Europe’s unicorns exhibit need to be treated as a phenomenon that cannot be directly compared with the journeys of traditional companies. There is so much in this research that we, as champions of European tech, are proud to present. This chapter should allay fears and demonstrate how unicorn valuations are creating a stable and exciting future for Europe’s tech scene. Fundamental to all unicorns are the metrics underpinning valuations. The following chapter demonstrates that European tech is growing sustainably on a base of profit and revenue. Unicorns are here to last. P8 VALUATIONS GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Note: (1) Sourced latest revenue and valuation data available, dataset includes private companies only. Sample set size: 12 EU Unicorns and 20 US unicorns. (2) Sourced latest revenue and valuation data available, dataset includes private companies only; revenue data is one year older than valuation data. Sample set size: 12 EU Unicorns and 20 US unicorns.
  • 9. P9EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest HIGHER BAR for European unicorns » Average US unicorn valuation significantly higher than average European valuation, but the opposite is true when comparing revenue. » This suggests that European investors require a much stronger track record for billion-dollar valuations. AVERAGE REVENUE EUROPE VS. US REVENUE MULTIPLES EUROPE VS. US Average LTM-1 $315m Europe $129m US 18.1x Europe 46.0x US Average LTM-1 GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, CB Insights (US data), press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Note: Sourced latest revenue and valuation data available, dataset includes private companies only; if revenue data is one year older than valuation data, label reads LTM -1; sample set size: 12 EU Unicorns and 20 US unicorns.
  • 10. VALUATIONS REVENUE GENERATION of European unicorns Revenue segmentation of European unicorns in 2014 Average revenue » The average revenue for European unicorns is growing as companies mature, increasing by 63 per cent to $265 million in 2014. 2013 $163m 2014 $265m P10 GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, CB Insights (US data), press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Note: Only includes unicorns where data is available. GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, CB Insights (US data), press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Note: Dataset includes private companies only; sample set size: 12 EU unicorns >$1200M 15% $50M - $150M 31% $150M - $300M 23% $300M - $1200M 21% <$50M 10%
  • 11. EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P11 THE PROFITABILITY of European unicorns » Two-thirds of European unicorns are profitable, which is testament to the long-term potential of these businesses. » Some unicorns have favoured growth over profit: fast growth requires significant investment. PROFITABLE UNICORNS UNPROFITABLE UNICORNS 60% of unicorns are profitable(1) 40% of unicorns are unprofitable(1) GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Note: CAGR is calculated based on data available, the amount of years taken into account varies across data set. (1) % of sample, sample includes 37 of the 47 companies. (2) company profitability based of EBITDA. (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) 12 European Unicorns make money Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Note: CAGR is calculated based on data available, the amount of years taken into account varies across data set (1) % of sample, not all Unicorns 63% of Unicorns are profitable 37% of Unicorns are unprofitable Profitable Unicorns Unprofitable Unicorns Based on the available data, we found 22 profitable Unicorns versus 13 unprofitable ones Overall, unprofitable Unicorns have grown at a faster pace then profitable ones The average CAGR for unprofitable Unicorns was 133.6% while profitable Unicorns grew with an average CAGR of 49.0% (1) (1) 12 uropean Unicorns make money ny data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 alculated based on data available, the amount of years taken into account varies across data set not all Unicorns 63% of Unicorns are profitable 37% of Unicorns are unprofitable Profitable Unicorns Unprofitable Unicorns e % % (1) (1) (2) (2) (2)
  • 12. THE MARCH TOWARDS Europe’s first decacorn P12 VALUATIONS » Europe is on the cusp of its first $10 billion tech company. » These are the businesses that GP Bullhound has identified as having the potential and ambition to reach that $10 billion valuation in the next few years. GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 $8.5BN Founded: 2006 Headquarters: Sweden Revenue growth: 45% $8.1BN Founded: 2008 Headquarters: Germany Revenue growth: 20% $5.3BN Founded: 2010 Headquarters: Finland Revenue growth: 173% Founded: 2011 Headquarters: Germany Revenue growth: 379% $2.9BN
  • 13. EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P13 EMERGING unicorn foals » This is a selection of European tech firms that GP Bullhound believes could achieve a billion-dollar valuation in the coming months and years. » These businesses have the potential to reach unicorn status due to their fast-growth, ambition and robust credentials. GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
  • 15. EUROPE’S LATEST success story EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P15 Look elsewhere, and there are rapidly expanding tech hubs throughout Europe, all of which attract the talent and funding required to build a billion-dollar company. We could not have believed it in 2011 but the evolution of European tech has given rise to unicorns in London, Stockholm, Paris, and Berlin. These billion-dollar technology companies succeed by challenging the status quo across major consumer markets. The influence of technology is being felt in every walk of life, and this is generating significant returns for investors. Take our own industry, food and drink: the average person eats about 90 meals a month and we estimate that the average HelloFresh customer probably eats 10 meals a month with us. Harness the value of household spend and the returns are vast. Food is just one example. Across travel, media, retail, and finance, these billion-dollar tech companies are reshaping every sector. Technology is embedding itself into mature industries to change them beyond recognition. This shift has been the making of the 47 unicorns that we have in Europe today. The unprecedented rate of change has, though, given rise to concerns among observers. There are clearly positive and negative sides to growing so fast, and we have seen a fair number of people expressing the view that unicorns are overstretching themselves. This scepticism is nothing new. Five years ago, Facebook was considered to be vastly overvalued; three years ago Instagram was considered to be vastly overvalued. Yet now we look back at the $1 billion deal made by Facebook to acquire Instagram, and it looks like one of the best deals ever made. We need to foster a better understanding of fast- growth businesses in Europe. In a couple of years we will be able to look back on the success of this generation’s unicorn companies and we will understand the value of the growth that they are demonstrating. HelloFresh is one of the fastest-growing companies of all time, and yet we have only just begun to scratch the surface. I am simply an entrepreneur looking for an opportunity, and I see so many opportunities for concepts with vast potential in the food space. In the next five to ten years we will experience significant developments across every major consumer market. The challenge for us in the here and now is to create a mindset, both among investors and spectators, that keeps pace with the rapid growth of European tech. This growth will see Europe develop its first $10 billion unicorn soon, but only if we give it the chance. The US has created the blueprint for huge success, and while we may struggle to build a German Google or a French Facebook, I fully believe in the value of European tech. Technology will change each and every industry. The current cohort of European unicorns is full of fundamentally great businesses. The concerns will not last long, and the unicorns will prevail. When we founded HelloFresh in Berlin in 2011, the city had a handful of angel investors backing a handful of entrepreneurs. Since then, the technology ecosystem in Berlin has grown massively, almost unbelievably. There are now around 50 different funds providing capital to ambitious founders across the city. THE HIGHEST VALUE NEW UNICORNS OF 2016 $2.9bn HELLOFRESH $1.5bn BLIPPAR $1.3bn EVOLUTION GAMING $1.1bn SITECORE
  • 16. GROWTH STRATEGIES Building sustainably Almost two thirds of our European unicorn sample are profitable,(1) an astonishing amount considering how much capital is invested in growth or research and development. This profitability comes at the trade off of faster growth. The average Compound Annual Growth Rate of unprofitable unicorns (CAGR) was 141 per cent, compared to just over 49 per cent for those making a profit.(2) A clear trend in growth strategy is acquisitions. Over 80 per cent of unicorns have acquired other companies in their life span. This can bring in knowledge and expertise in new markets, new technology and a local customer base. It is a clear method for expansion to reach a billion-dollar valuation, as 62 per cent made acquisitions ahead of gaining unicorn status. This continues to be a favoured means of growth, as half of all acquisitions are made after attaining the valuation. Unicorns acquire an average of five companies, but some go much further, with Markit Group completing 33 acquisitions to date, Just Eat at 24, Delivery Hero at 18 and Rocket Internet and Yandex both acquiring 16 companies each. But these unicorns also require a lot of feeding. Average capital raised by EU unicorns in 2016 was slightly higher with $260 million vs. $230 million the year before with a median of $145 million and $140 million respectively. The US continues to lead the way on fundraising, with average rounds that are double the size of European unicorns. Almost one- third of billion-dollar tech companies in Europe have raised over $250 million, in contrast almost two-thirds of US unicorns have raised such sums. On average, consumer-oriented firms required more capital ($294 million) to reach unicorn status, compared with enterprise oriented businesses ($155 million). Building tech firms of such scale does not happen overnight. It takes a lot of time and patience. European consumer-focused companies take on average seven years to reach a billion-dollar valuation, while enterprise-focused companies took on average nine years to attain the same level. The most exciting conclusion from these findings is that entrepreneurs are putting into practice the recommendations of investors and aiming for long-term growth strategies over early exits. The behaviour outlined in the following pages is that of business owners with eyes on a $10 billion valuation. The European tech sector has witnessed considerable growth in the last year. Billion-dollar companies have expanded through organic growth, acquisitions and raising capital. These tactics are a demonstration of founders’ commitment to a long-term strategy of growth and expansion. For most the billion-dollar threshold is only the beginning. P16 GROWTH STRATEGIES GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Note: (1) % of sample, sample includes 37 of the 47 companies. (2) CAGR is calculated based on available data; the amount of years taken into account varies across the data set.
  • 17. EUROPE’S FASTEST growing unicorns Top 10 by 2013-2014 growth rate » The average revenue growth rate of Europe’s unicorns is 99 per cent. » Auto 1 and TransferWise emerged as the fastest growing companies and there is a strong presence of marketplace models in the top ten. AUTO 1 TRANSFERWISE HELLOFRESH VE INTERACTIVE ANAPLAN SUPERCELL FUNDING CIRCLE SHAZAM DELIVERY HERO FARFETCH P17EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Note: Data set only includes unicorns where data is available; growth rates based on public revenue data.
  • 18. ACQUISITION as growth strategy Top acquirers: number of acquisitions per unicorn » With over 80 per cent of unicorns making acquisitions, this has emerged as a key growth strategy for Europe’s most successful tech companies. » On average, unicorns acquired five companies and 50 per cent made acquisitions before they had reached unicorn status. P18 GROWTH STRATEGIES GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 MARKIT GROUP JUST EAT DELIVERY HERO ROCKET INTERNET YANDEX POKERSTARS ZOOPLA VENTE PRIVEE BLABLACAR FLEETMATICS GROUP VE INTERACTIVE ZALANDO SPOTIFY 33 7
  • 19. EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P19 TIME REQUIRED for significant growth Number of years for unicorns to reach a $1 billion valuation » It takes enterprise focused companies longer to reach unicorn status, despite the fact that consumer focused companies need more capital to reach a $1 billion valuation – on average $294 million compared to $155 million. AVERAGE CAPITAL RAISED: $294M AVERAGE CAPITAL RAISED: $155M Average time to a liquidity event 8.5 years 6.7 years 8.5 years 9.7 years 8 years 10.6 years CONSUMER focused UNICORNS ENTERPRISE focused UNICORNS » Less than half of European unicorns have reached a liquidity event (sale or IPO) » It takes on average more than eight years to reach this, suggesting that entrepreneurs are aiming for long-term growth rather than early exits. 7 YEARS CONSUMER focused UNICORNS 9 YEARS ENTERPRISE focused UNICORNS 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
  • 20. INVESTMENT REQUIRED for significant growth » Unicorns need serious capital to maintain growth – the average European unicorn raised $260 million. » American unicorns are raising significantly more capital than in Europe. » On average, US unicorns raised more than double the levels of investment in Europe. Capital raised by EU unicorns Capital raised by US unicorns AVERAGE CAPITAL RAISED: $260M AVERAGE CAPITAL RAISED: $558M $300M+ 45% $100M - $150M 10% $150M - $250M 31% $250M - $300M 12% $50M - $100M 2% $300M+ 16% $250M - $300M 16% $50M - $100M 14% $100M - $150M 19% $150M -$250M 16% <$50M 19% P20 GROWTH STRATEGIES GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Note: % represents the number of unicorns that raised capital in each bracket.
  • 21. EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P21 INVESTMENT FIRMS driving growth Investors by number of European unicorns they invested in Investors invested in two unicorns GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Note: Only takes in to account investors from private rounds; includes both past and current investments. INDEX VENTURES BAILLIE GIFFORD ACCEL PARTNERS DST GLOBAL KINNEVIK HOLTZBRINCK VENTURES ROCKET INTERNET GENERAL ATLANTIC IVP ATOMICO NORTHZONE GLOBAL FOUNDERS CAPITAL VOSTOK NEW VENTURES GP BULLHOUND 83 NORTH BALDERTON CAPITAL INSIGHT VENTURE PARTNERS VITRUVIAN PARTNERS TENGELMANN VENTURES NOVEL TMT VENTURES 11 7 7 7 6 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
  • 23. IN THE fast lane EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P23 Growing a company in the US is like running a 100m race; in Europe it is the equivalent of a 110m hurdle race. You have 28 countries, 28 languages, several currencies, different cultures and labour laws. To set up shop in a new country is like starting all over again. You have to account for this. It makes it more difficult compared to growing in the US with access to a very large core market from day one. But crucially, those that succeed are very robust. Once you have adapted your entire culture and company to 15 different cultures or more, you are ready for more. We have never tried to reinvent the wheel with our technology. After all, we already do this by pioneering the ride-sharing concept – that’s hard enough! So we benchmark ourselves against tech giants all the time. In May, we flew to San Francisco with the product team to meet with lots of companies in Silicon Valley such Airbnb, Slack, Linkedin, Facebook, Whatsapp, Twitter, Paypal and Salesforce, to share methods and experience. We believe in a culture of sharing that benefits everyone. Benchmarking is in our DNA. We compare ourselves to competition the whole time in wider sectors. 70 to 80 per cent of internal initiatives we have delivered are issued from these benchmarks. In the ride-sharing space there are no direct competitors, and partly this is down to our M&A activity. You see the big US tech success stories growing and innovating through acquisitions – and this is also ingrained in our culture through our investors and my co-founder Nicolas Brusson, who worked in venture capital. This approach has really fast-tracked our growth. We offer a value proposition – for small ride- sharing firms to join a great team who are equally passionate, but with an international scope and high levels of capital. To date, we have acquired eight small teams, mostly when expanding into new markets. These companies acknowledge the high levels of liquidity that offer a barrier to entry – the odds of two people making the same journey at the same time is very low. Therefore it’s very hard to reach marketplace liquidity. We didn’t know precisely how to go about our expansion when we first started out in Paris over 10 years ago, but we figured out along the way that with the right business model, product, marketing and experience we could become one of the fastest-growing businesses in Europe. In France, we are seeing this more and more. There is an acceleration of companies reaching a global scale – look at Criteo, Sigfox, Deezer, Drivy and Doctolib, for example. From coming up with the idea for long-distance ride-sharing in 2003, we have grown to 500 people today, with 30 million members in 22 different countries worldwide. Our ambition from day one was always to expand. We knew that our ride-sharing concept had to become a global platform, and to succeed we had to scale and go beyond borders. But scaling to such a size does not happen overnight, especially in Europe. FRANCE’S TOP UNICORNS $3bn VENTE PRIVÉE $2.6bn CRITEO $1.6bn BLABLACAR
  • 24. EUROPE’S unique DNA This is a year that has been marked by the resurgence of software. While other areas of expertise may come and go, the fundamental importance of software to both businesses and consumers has led to more than a quarter of this year’s unicorns coming from this most traditional specialism. Software expertise has long been the overriding specialism of European technology and we view this as a renaissance rather than an indication of investors looking for a safe haven in turbulent markets. Many investors in 2015 were predicting the rise and rise of Fintech companies in Europe. Representing 18 per cent of European unicorns last year, it appeared that Fintech could be a growth sector for years to come. This has not been the case, and the sector has faced notable challenges from both the recovery of traditional financial institutions, regulation and a heightened level of investor scrutiny. The opportunity is still huge. With 13 per cent of the unicorn businesses still coming from the Fintech sector, it remains an area of interest for investors and entrepreneurs alike. Paired with a renaissance in software, we continue to see eCommerce and marketplace companies taking advantage of the broad consumer base across Europe. These three sectors make up the vast majority of this year’s unicorns, contributing 64 per cent of the businesses that make up the list. It is also noteworthy that this year has seen three nations, previously unheralded for the strength of their domestic technology sectors, each producing unicorns – Luxembourg, Denmark and Switzerland. With the ten new unicorns spread across seven different countries, Europe is creating a genuinely broad base of technological expertise. The rise of Virtual Reality this year should not go unnoticed. Ten new unicorns have joined the billion- dollar club, two of which specialise in VR, a clear emerging trend. Software’s rise in 2016 is an indication of a wider maturation of the sector. As digital innovation takes hold across the continent, more and more businesses will require software at the heart of operational systems. Complemented by the healthy resilience of ecommerce and marketplace companies, Europe is consolidating its many strengths. As the European technology sector has matured, it has fostered a remarkable array of specialisms across the continent. From Fintech in London to eCommerce in Berlin, there are many breeds that make up this year’s unicorn herd. P24 EUROPE’S UNIQUE DNA GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Note: (1) % of sample, sample includes 37 of the 47 companies. (2) CAGR is calculated based on available data; the amount of years taken into account varies across the data set.
  • 25. P25EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest » The strongest sectors are eCommerce, Software and Marketplace, representing 64 per cent of the total number of European unicorns. » Augmented Reality/Virtual Reality is an emerging sector, producing two of this year’s new unicorns. » The Software sector increased its share from 20 per cent in 2015 to 26 per cent in 2016. It is now Europe’s dominant specialism. SOFTWARE sector dominance AUDIENCE 8% ECOMMERCE 20% SOFTWARE 20% MARKETPLACE 20% FINTECH 18% GAMING 13% AUDIENCE 6% AR/VR 4% ECOMMERCE 19% SOFTWARE 26% MARKETPLACE 19% FINTECH 13% Sector split 2015 Sector split 2016 GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016
  • 26. EUROPE’S new unicorns EUROPE’S UNIQUE DNA GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Note: (1) Anaplan was founded in the UK, but has subsequently headquartered in the US. COMPANY COUNTRY SECTOR DESCRIPTION INVESTORS INCLUDE Software Develops cloud-based enterprise planning and modeling solutions for companies worldwide Baillie Gifford & Co., Brookside Capital,Coatue Management, DFJ Growth, Founders Circle Capital, Granite Ventures, Harmony Partners, MeriTech Capital Partners, PremjiInvest, Salesforce Ventures, Sands Capital Management, Shasta Ventures, Workday $1.1bn eCommerce Operates an online trading platform for used cars DN Capital, DST Global, INVEST, millhouse, Panorama Point Partners, Piton Capital $1.0bn AR/VR Develops a mobile application based on augmented reality, computer vision technology, and image recognition technologies Khazanah Nasional Berhad, QUALCOMM Ventures $1.5bn Software Live casino solutions for businesses Edendale Universal Holding, Garcia Investment Holdings, Knoxville, Swedbank Robur Fonder, TAH Management, Total Markets Holding, UBS Asset Management $1.3bn Marketplace Operates online fashion stores Investment AB Kinnevik, Rocket Internet, Tengelmann Ventures Management, Verlinvest $1.1bn eCommerce Creates recipes and offers online grocery delivery services Insight Venture Partners, Phenomen Ventures, Rocket Internet, Baillie Gifford & Co., Investment AB Kinnevik, Vorwerk Direct Selling Ventures $2.9bn Software Operates a platform for software discovery, distribution, and delivery across platforms and devices 83 North, Carmel Ventures, CBC Capital, Clal Industries and Investments, ClalTech, Ping An Ventures, Saban Capital Group, The Disruptive Fund $1.0bn AR/VR Develops medical grade virtual reality (VR) products to stimulate neural recovery Hinduja Group $1.0bn Software Develops and operates a social media application platform that enables users to collect, organize, and share digital content America Movil, Singulariteam $1.0bn Software Develops customer experience management software for marketers worldwide EQT Partners $1.1bn (1) P26 VALUATION 5 Who are the new kids on the block ? Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Software » Develops cloud-based enterprise planning and modeling solutions for companies worldwide » Baillie Gifford & Co., Brookside Capital, Coatue Management, DFJ Growth, Founders Circle Capital, Granite Ventures, Harmony Partners, MeriTech Capital Partners, PremjiInvest, Salesforce Ventures, Sands Capital Management, Shasta Ventures, Workday $1.1bn eCommerce » Operates an online trading platform for used cars » DN Capital, DST Global, INVEST, millhouse, Panorama Point Partners, Piton Capital $1.0bn AR/VR » Develops a mobile application based on augmented reality, computer vision technology, and image- recognition technologies » Khazanah Nasional Berhad, QUALCOMM Ventures $1.5bn Software » Live casino solutions for businesses » Edendale Universal Holding, Garcia Investment Holdings, Knoxville, Swedbank Robur Fonder, TAH Management, Total Markets Holding, UBS Asset Management $1.3bn Marketplace » Operates online fashion stores » Investment AB Kinnevik, Rocket Internet, Tengelmann Ventures Management, Verlinvest $1.1bn eCommerce » Creates recipes and offers online grocery delivery services » Insight Venture Partners, Phenomen Ventures, Rocket Internet, Baillie Gifford & Co., Investment AB Kinnevik, Vorwerk Direct Selling Ventures $2.9bn Software » Operates a platform for software discovery, distribution, and delivery across platforms and devices » 83 North, Carmel Ventures, CBC Capital, Clal Industries and Investments, ClalTech, Ping An Ventures, Saban Capital Group, The Disruptive Fund $1.0bn AR/VR » Develops medical grade virtual reality (VR) products to stimulate neural recovery » Hinduja Group $1.0bn Software » Develops and operates a social media application platform that enables users to collect, organize, and share digital content » America Movil, Singulariteam $1.0bn Software » Develops customer experience management software for marketers worldwide » EQT Partners $1.1bn Company Country Sector Description & investors Valuation
  • 27. EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P27 NEW UNICORNS defining characteristics Quality over quantity » The new unicorns are from seven different countries in Europe, up from four last year, suggesting a greater depth and maturity across the whole market. » The majority of new unicorns are software companies, with two new entrants in augmented reality or virtual reality. SWEDEN -1 LUXEMBOURG -1 DENMARK -1 SWITZERLAND -1 ISRAEL - 2 GERMANY -2 UK - 2 Key characteristics for new joiners 10NEW ADDITIONS 7YEARS OLD ON AVERAGE 20%AUGMENTED REALITY / VIRTUAL REALITY 50% SOFTWARE $1.3bn AVERAGE VALUATION EUROPE US 10 30 GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Source: Company data, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, press articles, GP Bullhound analysis as at April 2016 Note: Gross increase of unicorns.
  • 29. EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P29 Crucially for us, this move to direct sales left consumers without a single hub of centralised flight information. It is this sort of information deficit that is fundamental to the rise of the digital entrepreneur. New technologies inevitably create rapid change and cracks begin to appear in old business models. Spot these and you can build a winning technology business. We uncovered our opportunity as most people do, through personal experience. My co-founder Gareth was working a contract that took him from his home in the UK out to the Alps every two weeks. This left him with a fortnightly search for the cheapest flight, looking at each airline and considering every potential destination in and around the Alps. Skyscanner built a central bank of information that allowed consumers to be far more flexible with the data they provided. You could search for any number of destinations, carriers and dates. We had harnessed an information deficit in an enormous consumer market; the business is now targeting the global travel sector, worth $1.3 trillion in 2015. I think the rise of artificially intelligent technologies will bring the next wave of change in the travel sector. You used to go into a travel agent to have a discussion with the ‘expert’ and that conversation was clearly a human process of learning and refinement. The loss of this type of personal interaction has left an information gap that an entrepreneur could tackle with an artificially intelligent platform. You could even say the same of virtual reality. We are in a strong position to cultivate these new technologies in Europe. Virtual reality will require a combination of creativity and technology. With some of the best universities in the world, we have the talent to take up this opportunity and you are already seeing European competitors in the sector on the rise. Different locations and different markets also tend to produce an information deficit. This is another characteristic of the European technology sector that has made it resilient. Having founded Skyscanner in Europe, we have had to analyse multiple languages and data sources from inception. American competitors tackle these problems at a far later stage, as they have access to one big pool of English speaking consumers from day one. Take Uber: you could believe that they have their market sewn up; and yet there are a lot of difficulties that they will face trying to roll out a product in different markets all over the world. This means it simply will not be a one horse race. You can never be complacent: from day one this is a hard industry to operate in. There are plenty of challenges, but European tech has the credentials to create world-beating businesses in every sector. We can be ambitious about our potential, but the expectation should be that this is tough: it makes for real businesses building valuable tech. We founded Skyscanner at a time when the airline industry was going through a major upheaval. By 2001, everything was going online and the sector was breaking apart. Airlines were suddenly able to sell directly to customers through their own websites. EUROPE’S TOP SPECIALISMS 26% of unicorns in Software of unicorns in eCommerce of unicorns in Marketplace of unicorns in Fintech 13%19% 19%
  • 30. P30 METHODOLOGY AUTHORS We have included: Tech companies only, with a bias towards internet and software (cleantech and biotech have been excluded). Companies falling into the following macro-sectors: eCommerce (e.g. sale of goods or services); Audience (e.g. monetisation through ads and lead generation); Software (e.g. licence of software); Gaming (including gambling); Fintech; Marketplaces; and Augmented Reality / Virtual Reality (AR/VR). Companies headquartered in Europe(3) , which were founded in 2000 or later. Companies with an equity valuation of $1bn+ in the public or private markets. First caveat: our sources include public data (e.g. press articles, blogs and industry rumours), and the accuracy of our dataset is limited to disclosed data. Second caveat: the analysis is based on data as at April 2016, which has obvious limitations related to, for example, the state of equity markets, recent company performance, et cetera. GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 (1) When referring to US statistics, GP Bullhound refers to the CB Insights Unicorn tracker. (2) GP Bullhound has used a slightly longer timeframe than the US report in order to capture a large number of unicorns founded in 2000-01. (3) Including Israel and companies which we founded in Europe and later relocated to the US. MANISH MADHVANI Co-founder and Managing Partner GP Bullhound ALESSANDRO CASARTELLI Vice President GP Bullhound MARVIN MAERZ Associate GP Bullhound MIGUEL INDEKEU Intern GP Bullhound We crunched the data on the European billion-dollar companies founded since 2000, with the aim of analysing what it takes to create a European unicorn, and find any parallels and differences with the US analysis and our report from last year.(1)(2) OUR METHODOLOGY AND SOURCES
  • 31. EUROPEAN UNICORNS 2016 Survival of the fittest P31 THE GP BULLHOUND TEAM LORD CLIVE HOLLICK Senior Advisor MATT ROGERS Senior Advisor CECILIA ROMAN Senior Advisor HUGH CAMPBELL Managing Partner MANISH MADHVANI Managing Partner STAFFAN INGEBORN Non-Executive Director MATHIAS ACKERMAND Non-Executive Director PER ROMAN Managing Partner SIR MARTIN SMITH Chairman Partner SIMON NICHOLLS Partner SVEN RAEYMAEKERS Partner CHRIS GRAVES Director CLAUDIO ALVAREZ Director JULIAN RIEDLBAUER Partner ANDRE SHORTELL MARK SEBBA Non-Executive Director GRAEME BAYLEY Partner & Group CFO ANN GREVELIUS Partner ALEC DAFFERNER Partner ROBERT AHLDIN Partner GUILLAUME BONNETON Partner NICK HORROCKS Director Director PER LINDTORP ALESSANDRO CASARTELLI Vice President CARL WESSBERG Director SEBASTIAN MARKOWSKY Director ALEXIS SCORER Director LUKE BURNS Associate MARVIN MAERZ Associate JOHANNES ÅKERMARK Associate OLOF RUSTNER Associate SIMON MIREMADI Associate HARRIET ROSETHORN Associate KARL BLOMSTERWALL Analyst ELENA BOCHAROVA Analyst ORIANE MILLET Analyst PIERCE LEWIS-OAKES Analyst MATTEW FINEGOLD Analyst OKAN INALTAY Analyst JOAKIM DAL Vice President RAVI GHEDIA Vice President CHRIS PARK Associate MIKE KIM Associate MALCOLM HORNER Vice President LENKA KOLAROVA Vice President ED PRIOR Analyst IMAN CRISBY Business Development Manager CHRISTIAN LAGERLING Co-founder & Senior Advisor DAVE NISH Technology Manager HARRI NEEDHAM Finance Manager LINDA NORDMARK Finance Manager
  • 32. ADVISING CATEGORY LEADERS P32 » We have completed transactions with over 15% of Europe’s billion dollar start-ups GP Bullhound Research - European Unicorns 2016 Note: (1) Advised a number of Klarna and Spotify shareholders on the sale of secondary shares. (2) Advised incoming investor on acquisition of shares. Represents transactions completed with GP Bullhound (2) (1) (1)
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