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Mahidol University
Faculty of Engineering
EGIE 502: System Thinking and Modeling
JC Bakery Simulation
Submitted to:
Asst. Prof. Dr. Waressara Weerawat
Submitted by:
Socheat Veng ID: 6037614
2017-2018
CONTENTS
1. PROJECT DESCRIPTION.........................................................................................1
1.1 Project Title and Problem............................................................................................1
1.2 Necessary information.................................................................................................1
1.1.1. Entity............................................................................................................................1
1.1.2. Process .........................................................................................................................2
1.1.3. Resource ......................................................................................................................2
1.1.4. Process-Resources .......................................................................................................3
1.1.5. Schedule.......................................................................................................................3
1.3 Model Layout ..............................................................................................................4
1.4 Conceptual Flow .........................................................................................................5
1.5 Conceptual Model .......................................................................................................6
2. OBJECTIVE OF PROJECT........................................................................................7
2.1. KPI..................................................................................................................................7
2.2. Running Parameter .........................................................................................................7
2.3. Scenarios to Compare .....................................................................................................8
2.4. Arena Model .................................................................................................................10
2.5. Results...........................................................................................................................11
2.6. Result from running simulation....................................................................................11
2.7. Result from comparing scenarios .................................................................................18
2.8. Output Analyzer for Compare Mean of Scenario 1 and Scenario2 ..............................19
2.9. Summary Result from Each KPI ..................................................................................22
3. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION.......................................................................23
3.1. Discussion.....................................................................................................................23
3.2. Conclusion....................................................................................................................23
TABLE OF FIGURE
Figure 1.1. Model Layout of JC Bakery...............................................................................4
Figure 1.2. Conceptual Flow of JC Bakery ..........................................................................5
Figure 1.3. Conceptual Model of JC Bakery ........................................................................6
Figure 2.1. Conceptual Model of JC Bakery ......................................................................10
Figure 2.2. Comparing all 3 scenarios ................................................................................18
Figure 2.3. Compare Mean for all entity output of Scenario 1,2 and 3 ..............................18
Figure 2.4. Comparison the utilization the former Packer and forming staff for all scenario
.............................................................................................................................................18
Figure 2.5. Total average processing time for all entity scenario 1,2, and 3 ......................19
Figure 2.6. Compare Mean Entity 1of Scenario 1 and Scenario2 ......................................19
Figure 2.7. Compare Mean Entity 1of Scenario 2 and Scenario2 ......................................20
Figure 2.8. Compare Mean Entity 3of Scenario 1 and Scenario2 ......................................20
Figure 2.9. Compare Mean utilization forming staffof Scenario 1 and Scenario2 .............20
Figure 2.10. Compare Mean utilization former-paker staff of Scenario 1 and Scenario2..21
Figure 2.11. Compare Mean total processing time entity1 of Scenario 1 and Scenario2...21
Figure 2.12. Compare Mean total processing time entity 2 of Scenario 1 and Scenario2..21
Figure 2.13. Compare Mean total processing time entity 3 of Scenario 1 and Scenario2..22
1
PART 1
1. PROJECTDESCRIPTION
1.1 Project Title and Problem
 Title: JC Bakery Simulation
 Problem: This bakery spends very long time and less productivity; the workers
are not so busy during working time. One more thing is that the demand of bakery
is increase, so we want to improve productivity of the product.
1.2 Necessary information
JC Bakery produces 3 types of breads such as Rye Bread, Poppy seed Rolls, and
Rye-wheat Bread. This bakery has only one production line for producing these 3 differences
type of bread. The production line of bakery system consists of 10 processes such as Process
Load Powder to Mixing Machine, Mixing process, Process Unload Powder from Mixing
Machine, Forming Process, Fermentation process, Process load Bread to Baking Machine,
Baking process, Process Unload Bread from Baking Machine, Cooling process, and
Packaging process. This bakery work for 9 hours, start from 6am, and the production is
continuously produced those 3 types of bread.
1.1.1. Entity
The entities arrival time are based on Entity schedule. The amount of all powder
enters to mixing process per one time is 5kg which can produce 100 breads. Rye Bread and
Poppy Seed Rolls are kind of steaming bread. Rye-wheat Bread is kind of burning bread.
Tunnel oven (Steaming machine) is use for steaming bread, and Rack oven (Burning
machine) use for backing bread.
Table 1.1. Entity Schedule
Entity ID Entity name Start time Arrival time(minute)
Entity 1 Rye Bread Powder 6:00am Constant (40)
Entity 2 Poppy seed Rolls Powder 6:10am Constant (40)
Entity 3 Rye-wheat Bread Powder 6:25am Constant (40)
2
1.1.2. Process
For Mixing process, there is one mixing machines, load and unload process we use
only one worker, at forming process for Rye Bread need forming by manual process which
has one worker, and another 2 breads could form by Forming Machine. To produce Rye-
wheat Bread we have to retard the powder (fermentation) in processing time of UNIF (25,30)
minutes and for another bread need to proof in processing time of UNIF (10,15). At Baking
process, there are two workers for package the bread. The types of machine that we can use
depend on the needed: Rack oven and Tunnel Oven. At packaging process, there are two
packers to do the packaging of the bread after it already cooling UNIF (10,15) min.
Table 1.2. Processing time for all 10 processes
Process
ID
Process Name
Processing
Time Entity
1 (Minute)
Processing
Time
Entity 2
(Minute)
Processing
Time
Entity 3
(Minute)
P1 Load Powder to Mc TRAI (1,2,4)
P2 Mixing Process UNIF (5,10)
P3 Unload Powder from Mc TRAI (1,1,3)
P4 Forming Process UNIF (30,40) UNIF (10,15) UNIF (10,15)
P5 Fermentation Process UNIF (10,15) UNIF (10,15) UNIF (25,30)
P6 Load Bread to Backing Mc TRAI (2,3,4)
P7 Backing Process CON (20) CON (20) CON (23)
P8 Unload Bread from Backing Mc TRAI (1,1,3)
P9 Cooling Process UNIF (10,15)
P10 Packaging Process UNIF (10,15)
1.1.3. Resource
Resource ID Resource name Capacity
R1 Load Unload Operator 1
R2 Mixing machine 2
R3 Forming Staff 1
3
R4 Forming machine 1
R5 Proofer Machine 1
R6 Rack oven 2
R7 Tunnel oven 1
R8 Packer 2
1.1.4. Process-Resources
Process ID Process name Resource ID
P1 Load Unload Operator R1
P2 Mixing machine R1
P3 Load Unload Operator R1
P4 Forming Staff R3
P4 Forming machine R4
P5 Proofer Machine R5
P6 Load Unload Operator R1
P7 Rack oven R6
P7 Tunnel oven R7
P8 Load Unload Operator R1
P9 Cooling No
P10 Packer R8
1.1.5. Schedule
The official schedule’s working is from Monday to Sunday. They start working from 6:00AM
until 11:00AM and from 1:00PM until 4:00PM. For a small break, all workers are given 15
minutes break after they work first 2 hours, and break 1hour break for lunch time after work
4 hours, then break 15min after work 6hours and 8hours.
Working schedule for staff
Name 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15
All worker
Forming Staff
Packer
4
1.3 Model Layout
Below is the model layout of the JC Bakery:
Figure 1.1. Model Layout of JC Bakery
5
1.4 Conceptual Flow
Below is the process flow of the JC Bakery:
Figure 1.2. Conceptual Flow of JC Bakery
6
1.5 Conceptual Model
Figure 1.3. Conceptual Model of JC Bakery
7
PART 2
2. OBJECTIVE OF PROJECT
The objective of this project is to increase the production output of the JC bakery by
changing the time sequence of the entity and share the resource.
2.1. KPI
 Production output
 Utilization of former-packer, and forming staff
 Total cycle time
 Attribute list
Name Type Attribute Value
Assign 1 Attribute Bread A 1
Assign 1 Attribute Bread B 1
Assign 1 Attribute Bread C 1
 Record
Name Type Value
Record number out entity 1 Expression Number Entity 1out
Record number out entity 2 Expression Number Entity 2out
Record number out entity 3 Expression Number Entity 3out
Record Utilization of Former-Packer Expression Utilization Former-Packer
Record Utilization of Forming staff Expression Utilization Forming staff
2.2. Running Parameter
 Base time unit is minute for running this simulation model.
 Run time: The run time of this model is set at least 9 hours=360 mins.
 Terminating condition: a terminating simulation is one in which model dictate specific
starting and stopping condition as a natural reflection of how the target system actually
operate. Therefore, this model will be run 9 hours because they want the entity which
is waiting in processes at the time 360 mins to leave all from the system that is why
they next to expand some duration of time to clear all the customers in system.
 Number of Replications is 10 is the optimal choice and calculated by:
8
 First, calculation the mean of sample from 10 replications, for an example we
select the average total time for each entity to be test:
Table 2.1. Number out of Entities
Rep1 Rep2 Rep3 Rep4 Rep5 Rep6 Rep7 Rep8 Rep9 Rep10 Average
Entity1 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Entity2 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
Entity3 10 9 10 9 9 9 10 9 9 10 9.4
The more number of replications, the more efficiency of compare, so we prefer the
larger date that is why we selected only entity type 1 to test in our method:
We got SD = 11
 Second, we calculate the number of Haft width:
Haft width = 𝑡 𝑛−1;
𝛼
2
×
𝑆𝐷
√ 𝑛
= 𝑡9;0.025 ×
11
√10
Haft width = 2.262 ×
11
√10
= 7.86~8
Now we have Haft width = 8 from this number we prefer the haft width only 5 to input
in our project. Then the new haft width is 5.
The third step is to find the new number of replications by using 2 methods to
compare the number of replications that we will select:
First method: 𝑛 = 𝑍2
×
𝑆𝐷2
ℎ2
= 1.962
×
112
52
= 92.96
Second method: 𝑛 = 𝑛0 ×
𝑆𝐷2
ℎ2
= 10 ×
112
52
= 48.4
From these two methods, we will select the bigger number (the more is the better) that
falls into the second method that has the number of replications is 12.96, and we will set 100
replications as the optimal choice of our project.
2.3. Scenarios to Compare
In this project, there are 3 scenarios to compare:
9
 Scenario 1: It is the initial model.
 Scenario 2: We change the arrival time of the entities that enter into the process.
 Scenario 3: We change the arrival time of the entities that enter into the process, and
also share the resource of packer of the packaging process to help the forming staff
in the process manual forming.
Table 2.2. Below is the schedule of scenario 2 and Scenario 3
Entity ID Entity name Start time Arrival time(minute)
Entity 1 Rye Bread Powder 6:00am Constant (30)
Entity 2 Poppy seed Rolls Powder 6:10am Constant (30)
Entity 3 Rye-wheat Bread Powder 6:25am Constant (30)
10
2.4. Arena Model
Figure 2.1. Conceptual Model of JC Bakery
11
2.5. Results
2.6. Result from running simulation
In this report, we decided to put the result of Scenario 1 and Scenario 3 to show as the
sample only, and the rest two scenarios will summary in the scenarios compare response
 Result of Scenario 1
ARENA Simulation Results
DELL - License: STUDENT
Summary for Replication 100 of 100
Project: Unnamed Project Run execution date :12/13/2017
Analyst: DELL Model revision date:12/13/2017
Replication ended at time : 540.0 Minutes
Base Time Units: Minutes
TALLY VARIABLES
Identifier Average Half Width Minimum Maximum Observations
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
Record Nomout_Entitty3 4.2333 (Insuf) .00000 9.0000 30
Record Nomout_Entity1 4.8666 (Insuf) .00000 10.000 30
Record Nomout_Entity2 5.4000 (Insuf) .00000 10.000 30
Record Utiliz_Forming_staff .96667 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 30
Record Utiliz_Former_Packer .35000 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 30
Entity 1.VATime 75.559 (Insuf) 71.496 79.831 10
Entity 1.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 10
Entity 1.WaitTime 46.345 (Insuf) 1.5583 72.994 10
Entity 1.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 10
Entity 1.OtherTime 32.403 (Insuf) 28.372 35.788 10
Entity 1.TotalTime 154.30 (Insuf) 112.12 183.06 10
Entity 2.VATime 54.113 (Insuf) 51.224 56.537 11
Entity 2.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 11
Entity 2.WaitTime 38.524 (Insuf) .66112 74.580 11
Entity 2.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 11
Entity 2.OtherTime 33.704 (Insuf) 31.065 36.482 11
Entity 2.TotalTime 126.34 (Insuf) 88.578 159.06 11
Entity 3.VATime 85.403 (Insuf) 81.462 89.756 9
Entity 3.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 9
Entity 3.WaitTime 56.561 (Insuf) 13.690 93.507 9
Entity 3.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 9
Entity 3.OtherTime 19.360 (Insuf) 16.572 22.098 9
Entity 3.TotalTime 161.32 (Insuf) 114.50 198.11 9
Seize Manual Forming.Queue.WaitingTime 12.799 (Insuf) .00000 48.495 13
Seize Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 6.2266 (Insuf) .00000 53.852 25
Unload Bread From Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 8.0531 (Insuf) .00000 60.509 23
Load Bread to Steam Machine.Queue.WaitingT 3.7362 (Insuf) .00000 15.861 11
Proofer.Queue.WaitingTime .70040 (Insuf) .00000 5.0630 13
Seize to Package.Queue.WaitingTime 2.2227 (Insuf) .00000 17.807 32
Unload Bread From Steam Machine.Queue.Wait 7.3807 (Insuf) .00000 60.084 10
Seize Steam Machine.Queue.WaitingTime 22.885 (Insuf) .00000 67.283 11
Load Bread to Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 2.8656 (Insuf) .00000 15.647 25
Unload Powder From Mixing Mc.Queue.Waiting 3.9382 (Insuf) .00000 55.556 40
Load Powder to Mixing Mc.Queue.WaitingTime 3.6189 (Insuf) .00000 55.614 41
Mc forming.Queue.WaitingTime 2.3590 (Insuf) .00000 12.562 26
Seize Mixing Mc.Queue.WaitingTime 6.2387 (Insuf) .00000 41.865 41
DISCRETE-CHANGE VARIABLES
Identifier Average Half Width Minimum Maximum Final Value
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
Entity 1.WIP 3.4501 (Insuf) .00000 5.0000 4.0000
Entity 2.WIP 2.8514 (Insuf) .00000 4.0000 3.0000
Entity 3.WIP 3.3924 (Insuf) .00000 5.0000 4.0000
Former_Packer.NumberBusy .72688 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000
Former_Packer.NumberScheduled 1.6162 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000
Former_Packer.Utilization .37605 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Steam Machine.NumberBusy .80919 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Steam Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Steam Machine.Utilization .80919 (Insuf) .00000 1.000 0 1.0000
Load_Unload Operator.NumberBusy .60763 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Load_Unload Operator.NumberScheduled .82682 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
12
Load_Unload Operator.Utilization .60763 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Forming Machin Operator.NumberBusy .60279 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Forming Machin Operator.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machin Operator.Utilization .60279 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Mixer Machine.NumberBusy 1.4237 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 1.0000
Mixer Machine.NumberScheduled 2.0000 (Insuf) 2.0000 2.0000 2.0000
Mixer Machine.Utilization .71187 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .50000
Forming Staff.NumberBusy .78133 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Staff.NumberScheduled .78407 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Staff.Utilization .78133 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Proofer Machine.NumberBusy .61053 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Proofer Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Proofer Machine.Utilization .61053 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machine.NumberBusy .60279 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Forming Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machine.Utilization .60279 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Oven.NumberBusy 1.5565 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000
Oven.NumberScheduled 2.0000 (Insuf) 2.0000 2.0000 2.0000
Oven.Utilization .77826 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Seize Manual Forming.Queue.NumberInQueue .33013 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 1.0000
Seize Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .28827 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Unload Bread From Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .34300 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Load Bread to Steam Machine.Queue.NumberIn .07611 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Proofer.Queue.NumberInQueue .01686 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Seize to Package.Queue.NumberInQueue .13172 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Unload Bread From Steam Machine.Queue.Numb .13668 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Seize Steam Machine.Queue.NumberInQueue .48748 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 1.0000
Load Bread to Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .13267 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Unload Powder From Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberI .29172 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Load Powder to Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberInQue .27477 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Mc forming.Queue.NumberInQueue .11359 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Seize Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberInQueue .47368 (Insuf) .00000 4.0000 .00000
OUTPUTS
Identifier Value
_____________________________________________________________
T TimeE3 161.32
T TimeE2 126.34
UtiilFormer Packer 1.0000
Outphut E1 10.000
T TimeE1 154.30
Outphut E2 11.000
UtiilForming staff 1.0000
Outphut E3 9.0000
Entity 1.NumberIn 14.000
Entity 1.NumberOut 10.000
Entity 2.NumberIn 14.000
Entity 2.NumberOut 11.000
Entity 3.NumberIn 13.000
Entity 3.NumberOut 9.0000
Former_Packer.NumberSeized 32.000
Former_Packer.ScheduledUtilization .44974
Steam Machine.NumberSeized 11.000
Steam Machine.ScheduledUtilization .80919
Load_Unload Operator.NumberSeized 150.00
Load_Unload Operator.ScheduledUtilization .73490
Forming Machin Operator.NumberSeized 26.000
Forming Machin Operator.ScheduledUtilizati .60279
Mixer Machine.NumberSeized 41.000
Mixer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .71187
Forming Staff.NumberSeized 13.000
Forming Staff.ScheduledUtilization .99651
Proofer Machine.NumberSeized 13.000
Proofer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .61053
Forming Machine.NumberSeized 26.000
Forming Machine.ScheduledUtilization .60279
Oven.NumberSeized 25.000
Oven.ScheduledUtilization .77826
System.NumberOut 30.000
ARENA Simulation Results
DELL - License: STUDENT
Output Summary for 100 Replications
Project: Unnamed Project Run execution date :12/13/2017
Analyst: DELL Model revision date:12/13/2017
OUTPUTS
Identifier Average Half-width Minimum Maximum # Replications
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
T TimeE3 152.65 1.0944 137.19 163.85 100
13
T TimeE2 122.06 .71343 112.42 130.21 100
UtiilFormer Packer .64500 .06435 .00000 1.0000 100
Outphut E1 9.9600 .03959 9.0000 10.000 100
T TimeE1 156.69 .95798 147.07 171.90 100
Outphut E2 11.010 .02010 11.000 12.000 100
UtiilForming staff 1.0000 .00000 1.0000 1.0000 100
Outphut E3 9.4700 .10082 9.0000 10.000 100
Entity 1.NumberIn 14.000 .00000 14.000 14.000 100
Entity 1.NumberOut 9.9600 .03959 9.0000 10.000 100
Entity 2.NumberIn 14.000 .00000 14.000 14.000 100
Entity 2.NumberOut 11.010 .02010 11.000 12.000 100
Entity 3.NumberIn 13.000 .00000 13.000 13.000 100
Entity 3.NumberOut 9.4700 .10082 9.0000 10.000 100
Former_Packer.NumberSeized 31.730 .10243 30.000 33.000 100
Former_Packer.ScheduledUtilization .44888 .00263 .41209 .47492 100
Steam Machine.NumberSeized 11.040 .03959 11.000 12.000 100
Steam Machine.ScheduledUtilization .77967 .00486 .72853 .82936 100
Load_Unload Operator.NumberSeized 148.62 .15590 147.00 151.00 100
Load_Unload Operator.ScheduledUtilization .71971 .00256 .68861 .74913 100
Forming Machin Operator.NumberSeized 26.110 .06321 26.000 27.000 100
Forming Machin Operator.ScheduledUtilizati .60180 .00287 .56564 .64220 100
Mixer Machine.NumberSeized 41.000 .00000 41.000 41.000 100
Mixer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .69347 .00441 .64667 .74263 100
Forming Staff.NumberSeized 12.300 .09257 12.000 13.000 100
Forming Staff.ScheduledUtilization 1.0150 .00540 .92362 1.0916 100
Proofer Machine.NumberSeized 13.000 .00000 13.000 13.000 100
Proofer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .62642 .00218 .59845 .65314 100
Forming Machine.NumberSeized 26.110 .06321 26.000 27.000 100
Forming Machine.ScheduledUtilization .60180 .00287 .56564 .64220 100
Oven.NumberSeized 24.040 .04882 23.000 25.000 100
Oven.ScheduledUtilization .73468 .00328 .69474 .77826 100
System.NumberOut 30.440 .10427 30.000 32.000 100
Simulation run time: 0.70 minutes.
Simulation run complete.
 Result of Scenario 2
ARENA Simulation Results
DELL - License: STUDENT
Summary for Replication 100 of 100
Project: Unnamed Project Run execution date :12/13/2017
Analyst: DELL Model revision date:12/13/2017
Replication ended at time : 540.0 Minutes
Base Time Units: Minutes
TALLY VARIABLES
Identifier Average Half Width Minimum Maximum Observations
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
Record Nomout_Entitty3 4.8437 (Insuf) .00000 10.000 32
Record Nomout_Entity1 4.6250 (Insuf) .00000 9.0000 32
Record Nomout_Entity2 6.0312 (Insuf) .00000 12.000 32
Record Utiliz_Forming_staff .93750 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 32
Record Utiliz_Former_Packer .40625 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 32
Entity 1.VATime 76.480 (Insuf) 72.192 81.684 10
Entity 1.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 10
Entity 1.WaitTime 91.582 (Insuf) 1.7516 150.45 10
Entity 1.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 10
Entity 1.OtherTime 32.093 (Insuf) 28.373 35.934 10
Entity 1.TotalTime 200.15 (Insuf) 111.00 262.68 10
Entity 2.VATime 52.440 (Insuf) 51.367 56.268 12
Entity 2.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 12
Entity 2.WaitTime 59.585 (Insuf) 3.8634 99.107 12
Entity 2.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 12
Entity 2.OtherTime 32.169 (Insuf) 29.361 38.092 12
Entity 2.TotalTime 144.19 (Insuf) 88.920 183.88 12
Entity 3.VATime 87.189 (Insuf) 84.911 91.307 10
Entity 3.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 10
Entity 3.WaitTime 63.840 (Insuf) 8.0181 112.57 10
Entity 3.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 10
Entity 3.OtherTime 19.110 (Insuf) 15.640 24.580 10
Entity 3.TotalTime 170.14 (Insuf) 114.06 216.76 10
Seize Manual Forming.Queue.WaitingTime 59.449 (Insuf) .00000 113.11 13
Seize Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 16.597 (Insuf) .00000 80.806 26
Unload Bread From Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 8.0896 (Insuf) .00000 55.445 24
Load Bread to Steam Machine.Queue.WaitingT 3.2802 (Insuf) .00000 8.2603 12
Proofer.Queue.WaitingTime 2.6000 (Insuf) .00000 13.527 15
Seize to Package.Queue.WaitingTime 2.0640 (Insuf) .00000 26.181 3 4
Unload Bread From Steam Machine.Queue.Wait 7.1819 (Insuf) .00000 55.252 11
Seize Steam Machine.Queue.WaitingTime 31.698 (Insuf) .00000 76.486 12
14
Load Bread to Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 4.0893 (Insuf) .00000 17.481 26
Unload Powder From Mixing Mc.Queue.Waiting 4.7941 (Insuf) .00000 56.440 50
Load Powder to Mixing Mc.Queue.WaitingTime 2.5911 (Insuf) .00000 15.000 51
Mc forming.Queue.WaitingTime 2.8590 (Insuf) .00000 13.115 32
Seize Mixing Mc.Queue.WaitingTime 23.004 (Insuf) .00000 55.503 52
DISCRETE-CHANGE VARIABLES
Identifier Average Half Width Minimum Maximum Final Value
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
Entity 1.WIP 5.7066 (Insuf) .00000 9.0000 9.0000
Entity 2.WIP 4.2599 (Insuf) .00000 7.0000 6.0000
Entity 3.WIP 4.7803 (Insuf) .00000 8.0000 8.0000
Former_Packer.NumberBusy .73720 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000
Former_Packer.NumberScheduled 1.6040 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000
Former_Packer.Utilization .38426 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Steam Machine.NumberBusy .85268 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Steam Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Steam Machine.Utilization .85268 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Load_Unload Operator.NumberBusy .68957 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Load_Unload Operator.NumberScheduled .82707 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Load_Unload Operator.Utilization .68957 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machin Operator.NumberBusy .72732 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machin Operator.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machin Operator.Utilization .72732 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Mixer Machine.NumberBusy 1.7555 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000
Mixer Machine.NumberScheduled 2.0000 (Insuf) 2.0000 2.0000 2.0000
Mixer Machine.Utilization .87777 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Staff.NumberBusy .81359 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Staff.NumberScheduled .78854 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Staff.Utilization .81359 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Proofer Machine.NumberBusy .75199 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Proofer Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Proofer Machine.Utilization .75199 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machine.NumberBusy .72732 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machine.Utilization .72732 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Oven.NumberBusy 1.6873 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000
Oven.NumberScheduled 2.0000 (Insuf) 2.0000 2.0000 2.000 0
Oven.Utilization .84366 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Seize Manual Forming.Queue.NumberInQueue 1.7616 (Insuf) .00000 4.0000 4.0000
Seize Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .80701 (Insuf) .00000 3.0000 1.0000
Unload Bread From Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .35954 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Load Bread to Steam Machine.Queue.NumberIn .07289 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Proofer.Queue.NumberInQueue .07222 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Seize to Package.Queue.NumberInQueue .12996 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Unload Bread From Steam Machine.Queue.Numb .14630 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Seize Steam Machine.Queue.NumberInQueue .81814 (Insuf) .00000 3.0000 2.0000
Load Bread to Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .19689 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Unload Powder From Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberI .44390 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Load Powder to Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberInQue .24854 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 1.0000
Mc forming.Queue.NumberInQueue .17325 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Seize Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberInQueue 2.2615 (Insuf) .00000 6.0000 3.0000
OUTPUTS
Identifier Value
_____________________________________________________________
T TimeE3 170.14
T TimeE2 144.19
UtiilFormer Packer 1.0000
Outphut E1 10.000
T TimeE1 200.15
Outphut E2 12.000
UtiilForming staff 1.0000
Outphut E3 10.000
Entity 1.NumberIn 19.000
Entity 1.NumberOut 10.000
Entity 2.NumberIn 18.000
Entity 2.NumberOut 12.000
Entity 3.NumberIn 18.000
Entity 3.NumberOut 10.000
Former_Packer.NumberSeized 34.000
Former_Packer.ScheduledUtilization .45959
Steam Machine.NumberSeized 12.000
Steam Machine.ScheduledUtilization .85268
Load_Unload Operator.NumberSeized 174.00
Load_Unload Operator.ScheduledUtilization .83375
Forming Machin Operator.NumberSeized 32.000
Forming Machin Operator.ScheduledUtilizati .72732
Mixer Machine.NumberSeized 52.000
Mixer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .87777
Forming Staff.NumberSeized 13.000
Forming Staff.ScheduledUtilization 1.0317
Proofer Machine.NumberSeized 15.000
Proofer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .75199
15
Forming Machine.NumberSeized 32.000
Forming Machine.ScheduledUtilization .72732
Oven.NumberSeized 26.000
Oven.ScheduledUtilization .84366
System.NumberOut 32.000
ARENA Simulation Results
DELL - License: STUDENT
Output Summary for 100 Replications
Project: Unnamed Project Run execution date :12/13/2017
Analyst: DELL Model revision date:12/13/2017
OUTPUTS
Identifier Average Half-width Minimum Maximum # Replications
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
T TimeE3 174.13 .86421 165.50 193.35 100
T TimeE2 136.60 .93490 126.01 146.50 100
UtiilFormer Packer .66000 .06040 .00000 1.0000 100
Outphut E1 10.130 .08877 9.0000 11.000 100
T TimeE1 187.39 1.5680 171.35 208.53 100
Outphut E2 12.920 .08417 12.000 14.000 100
UtiilForming staff 1.0000 .00000 1.0000 1.0000 100
Outphut E3 10.010 .07281 9.0000 11.000 100
Entity 1.NumberIn 19.000 .00000 19.000 19.000 100
Entity 1.NumberOut 10.130 .08877 9.0000 11.000 100
Entity 2.NumberIn 18.000 .00000 18.000 18.000 100
Entity 2.NumberOut 12.920 .08417 12.000 14.000 100
Entity 3.NumberIn 18.000 .00000 18.000 18.000 100
Entity 3.NumberOut 10.010 .07281 9.0000 11.000 100
Former_Packer.NumberSeized 34.380 .16105 33.000 36.000 100
Former_Packer.ScheduledUtilization .48726 .00328 .44906 .52438 100
Steam Machine.NumberSeized 11.840 .07406 11.000 12.000 100
Steam Machine.ScheduledUtilization .85388 .00161 .81778 .86726 100
Load_Unload Operator.NumberSeized 176.40 .58059 169.00 185.00 100
Load_Unload Operator.ScheduledUtilization .84563 .00295 .80085 .87742 100
Forming Machin Operator.NumberSeized 32.490 .11603 31.000 34.000 100
Forming Machin Operator.ScheduledUtilizati .74095 .00375 .68768 .77696 100
Mixer Machine.NumberSeized 52.250 .20477 50.000 55.000 100
Mixer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .89223 .00264 .86544 .92389 100
Forming Staff.NumberSeized 12.980 .07548 12.000 14.000 100
Forming Staff.ScheduledUtilization 1.1215 .01162 1.0073 1.2568 100
Proofer Machine.NumberSeized 15.050 .04403 15.000 16.000 100
Proofer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .74882 .00224 .72734 .77325 100
Forming Machine.NumberSeized 32.490 .11603 31.000 34.000 100
Forming Machine.ScheduledUtilization .74095 .00375 .68768 .77696 100
Oven.NumberSeized 26.650 .11908 25.000 28.000 100
Oven.ScheduledUtilization .83843 .00260 .80830 .86877 100
System.NumberOut 33.060 .15601 31.000 35.000 100
Simulation run time: 0.58 minutes.
Simulation run complete.
 Result of Scenario 3
ARENA Simulation Results
DELL - License: STUDENT
Summary for Replication 100 of 100
Project: Unnamed Project Run execution date :12/13/2017
Analyst: DELL Model revision date:12/13/2017
Replication ended at time : 540.0 Minutes
Base Time Units: Minutes
TALLY VARIABLES
Identifier Average Half Width Minimum Maximum Observations
________________________________________________________________________________________________ ___
Record Nomout_Entitty3 4.3000 (Insuf) .00000 9.0000 30
Record Nomout_Entity1 4.2333 (Insuf) .00000 8.0000 30
Record Nomout_Entity2 5.9666 (Insuf) .00000 12.000 30
Record Utiliz_Forming_staff .93333 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 30
Record Utiliz_Former_Packer .90000 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 30
Entity 1.VATime 76.187 (Insuf) 72.250 80.708 9
Entity 1.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 9
Entity 1.WaitTime 109.75 (Insuf) 1.7516 180.03 9
Entity 1.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 9
16
Entity 1.OtherTime 32.467 (Insuf) 28.031 36.043 9
Entity 1.TotalTime 218.41 (Insuf) 111.00 287.21 9
Entity 2.VATime 52.948 (Insuf) 50.292 56.180 12
Entity 2.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 12
Entity 2.WaitTime 64.097 (Insuf) 3.8634 115.78 12
Entity 2.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 12
Entity 2.OtherTime 32.786 (Insuf) 29.677 35.892 12
Entity 2.TotalTime 149.83 (Insuf) 88.920 198.80 12
Entity 3.VATime 86.939 (Insuf) 83.725 90.966 9
Entity 3.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 9
Entity 3.WaitTime 83.391 (Insuf) 28.809 139.84 9
Entity 3.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 9
Entity 3.OtherTime 18.209 (Insuf) 16.685 23.477 9
Entity 3.TotalTime 188.53 (Insuf) 132.03 248.02 9
Seize Manual Forming.Queue.WaitingTime 66.410 (Insuf) .00000 137.65 12
Seize Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 10.895 (Insuf) .00000 70.017 26
Unload Bread From Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 8.4019 (Insuf) .30788 59.898 25
Load Bread to Steam Machine.Queue.WaitingT 3.0828 (Insuf) .00000 10.005 12
Proofer.Queue.WaitingTime 4.3193 (Insuf) .00000 15.786 15
Seize to Package.Queue.WaitingTime 20.457 (Insuf) .00000 75.770 31
Unload Bread From Steam Machine.Queue.Wait 7.1020 (Insuf) .00000 55.713 11
Seize Steam Machine.Queue.WaitingTime 32.725 (Insuf) .00000 82.799 12
Load Bread to Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 2.9832 (Insuf) .00000 11.272 26
Unload Powder From Mixing Mc.Queue.Waiting 4.8296 (Insuf) .00000 61.480 52
Load Powder to Mixing Mc.Queue.WaitingTime 1.9600 (Insuf) .00000 15.000 53
Mc forming.Queue.WaitingTime 4.1457 (Insuf) .00000 12.564 34
Seize Mixing Mc.Queue.WaitingTime 18.461 (Insuf) .00000 58.783 54
DISCRETE-CHANGE VARIABLES
Identifier Average Half Width Minimum Maximum Final Value
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
Entity 1.WIP 6.1402 (Insuf) .00000 10.000 10.000
Entity 2.WIP 4.3851 (Insuf) .00000 7.0000 6.0000
Entity 3.WIP 5.2256 (Insuf) .00000 9.0000 9.0000
Former_Packer.NumberBusy 1.4331 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000
Former_Packer.NumberScheduled 1.5525 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000
Former_Packer.Utilization .73225 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Steam Machine.NumberBusy .85268 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Steam Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Steam Machine.Utilization .85268 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Load_Unload Operator.NumberBusy .71298 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Load_Unload Operator.NumberScheduled .82627 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Load_Unload Operator.Utilization .71298 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machin Operator.NumberBusy .75623 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machin Operator.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machin Operator.Utilization .75623 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Mixer Machine.NumberBusy 1.7356 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000
Mixer Machine.NumberScheduled 2.0000 (Insuf) 2.0000 2.0000 2.0000
Mixer Machine.Utilization .86785 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Staff.NumberBusy .74094 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Staff.NumberScheduled .77630 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Staff.Utilization .74094 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Proofer Machine.NumberBusy .76014 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Proofer Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Proofer Machine.Utilization .76014 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machine.NumberBusy .75623 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Forming Machine.Utilization .75623 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Oven.NumberBusy 1.6955 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000
Oven.NumberScheduled 2.0000 (Insuf) 2.0000 2.0000 2.0000
Oven.Utilization .84776 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Seize Manual Forming.Queue.NumberInQueue 2.1547 (Insuf) .00000 6.0000 6.0000
Seize Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .54565 (Insuf) .00000 3.0000 1.0000
Unload Bread From Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .38898 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Load Bread to Steam Machine.Queue.NumberIn .06851 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Proofer.Queue.NumberInQueue .14579 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
Seize to Package.Queue.NumberInQueue 1.2949 (Insuf) .00000 4.0000 3.0000
Unload Bread From Steam Machine.Queue.Numb .14467 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000
Seize Steam Machine.Queue.NumberInQueue .84942 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000
Load Bread to Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .14364 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Unload Powder From Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberI .46507 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Load Powder to Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberInQue .19529 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 1.0000
Mc forming.Queue.NumberInQueue .26103 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000
Seize Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberInQueue 1.8461 (Insuf) .00000 6.0000 1.0000
OUTPUTS
Identifier Value
_____________________________________________________________
T TimeE3 188.53
T TimeE2 149.83
UtiilFormer Packer 1.0000
Outphut E1 9.0000
T TimeE1 218.41
Outphut E2 12.000
17
UtiilForming staff 1.0000
Outphut E3 9.0000
Entity 1.NumberIn 19.000
Entity 1.NumberOut 9.0000
Entity 2.NumberIn 18.000
Entity 2.NumberOut 12.000
Entity 3.NumberIn 18.000
Entity 3.NumberOut 9.0000
Former_Packer.NumberSeized 43.000
Former_Packer.ScheduledUtilization .92303
Steam Machine.NumberSeized 12.000
Steam Machine.ScheduledUtilization .85268
Load_Unload Operator.NumberSeized 179.00
Load_Unload Operator.ScheduledUtilization .86289
Forming Machin Operator.NumberSeized 34.000
Forming Machin Operator.ScheduledUtilizati .75623
Mixer Machine.NumberSeized 54.000
Mixer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .86785
Forming Staff.NumberSeized 12.000
Forming Staff.ScheduledUtilization .95445
Proofer Machine.NumberSeized 15.000
Proofer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .76014
Forming Machine.NumberSeized 34.000
Forming Machine.ScheduledUtilization .75623
Oven.NumberSeized 26.000
Oven.ScheduledUtilization .84776
System.NumberOut 30.000
ARENA Simulation Results
DELL - License: STUDENT
Output Summary for 100 Replications
Project: Unnamed Project Run execution date :12/13/2017
Analyst: DELL Model revision date:12/13/2017
OUTPUTS
Identifier Average Half-width Minimum Maximum # Replications
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
T TimeE3 193.44 1.6861 176.42 220.65 100
T TimeE2 151.72 1.7045 136.50 177.44 100
UtiilFormer Packer 1.0000 .00000 1.0000 1.0000 100
Outphut E1 8.2200 .10133 7.0000 9.0000 100
T TimeE1 207.29 1.6441 182.38 227.81 100
Outphut E2 11.940 .11363 10.000 13.000 100
UtiilForming staff .80000 .08081 .00000 1.0000 100
Outphut E3 9.1900 .09343 8.0000 10.000 100
Entity 1.NumberIn 19.000 .00000 19.000 19.000 100
Entity 1.NumberOut 8.2200 .10133 7.0000 9.0000 100
Entity 2.NumberIn 18.000 .00000 18.000 18.000 100
Entity 2.NumberOut 11.940 .11363 10.000 13.000 100
Entity 3.NumberIn 18.000 .00000 18.000 18.000 100
Entity 3.NumberOut 9.1900 .09343 8.0000 10.000 100
Former_Packer.NumberSeized 41.840 .24529 39.000 45.000 100
Former_Packer.ScheduledUtilization .95310 .00562 .90138 1.0200 100
Steam Machine.NumberSeized 11.880 .06565 11.000 12.000 100
Steam Machine.ScheduledUtilization .85328 .00169 .81554 .86726 100
Load_Unload Operator.NumberSeized 175.17 .59108 166.00 180.00 100
Load_Unload Operator.ScheduledUtilization .83960 .00274 .80686 .87544 100
Forming Machin Operator.NumberSeized 32.710 .13789 31.000 34.000 100
Forming Machin Operator.ScheduledUtilizati .74359 .00392 .68966 .79684 100
Mixer Machine.NumberSeized 52.550 .22014 49.000 55.000 100
Mixer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .88765 .00247 .86062 .92014 100
Forming Staff.NumberSeized 11.290 .10417 10.000 13.000 100
Forming Staff.ScheduledUtilization .95619 .00797 .88179 1.0416 100
Proofer Machine.NumberSeized 15.060 .04798 15.000 16.000 100
Proofer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .75029 .00220 .72187 .77611 100
Forming Machine.NumberSeized 32.710 .13789 31.000 34.000 100
Forming Machine.ScheduledUtilization .74359 .00392 .68966 .79684 100
Oven.NumberSeized 25.530 .13233 24.000 27.000 100
Oven.ScheduledUtilization .80805 .00360 .76812 .85192 100
System.NumberOut 29.350 .21259 27.000 32.000 100
Simulation run time: 0.63 minutes.
Simulation run complete.
18
2.7. Result from comparing scenarios
For Scenario Comparing, we chose the 3 responses according to our KPI, such as the
number out of all entity out, the Average total time of entity, and utilization of forming staff and
former-packager.
Figure 2.2. Comparing all 3 scenarios
For comparison the entity output or production output, for the scenario 2 is the best.
Figure 2.3. Compare Mean for all entity output of Scenario 1,2 and 3
For Comparison the utilization of the former-Packer and forming staff, the scenario
2 is the best, because in scenario 2 the total utilization of the resource former-packer and
forming staff is higher.
Figure 2.4. Comparison the utilization the former Packer and forming staff for all scenario
19
For Comparison total average processing time for all entity, the scenario 3 is the best.
Figure 2.5. Total average processing time for all entity scenario 1,2, and 3
According to these two KPI compare scenarios, we can see that only the scenario
number 2 that is the best one. Because we want to increase the production output and
increase the utilization for the resource. One more thing is that, the total average processing
is higher, it means that our system is not much idle and not waste the time for working
process.
2.8. Output Analyzer for Compare Meanof Scenario 1 and Scenario2
 Entity 1
Figure 2.6. Compare Mean Entity 1of Scenario 1 and Scenario2
 Entity 2
20
Figure 2.7. Compare Mean Entity 1of Scenario 2 and Scenario2
 Entity 3
Figure 2.8. Compare Mean Entity 3of Scenario 1 and Scenario2
 Utilization of forming staff
Figure 2.9. Compare Mean utilization forming staffof Scenario 1 and Scenario2
21
 Utilization of former-packer
Figure 2.10. Compare Mean utilization former-paker staff of Scenario 1 and Scenario2
 Total average processing time Entity 1
Figure 2.11. Compare Mean total processing time entity1 of Scenario 1 and Scenario2
 Total average processing time Entity 2
Figure 2.12. Compare Mean total processing time entity 2 of Scenario 1 and Scenario2
 Total average processing time Entity 3
22
Figure 2.13. Compare Mean total processing time entity 3 of Scenario 1 and Scenario2
2.9. Summary Result from Each KPI
 Production output
Entity output Scenario1 Scenario 2
Entity 1 9.96 11.01
Entity 2 10.13 12.92
Entity 3 8.22 10
Total 28.31 32.93
For 1 of all entity could produce 100 breads, so the total all kind of bread are
Scenario1: Entity (1 + 2 + 3) = 28.31 × 100 =2831 breads
Scenario2: Entity (1 + 2 + 3) = 32.93 × 100 =3293 breads
 Utilization of former-packer, and forming staff (%)
Resource Scenario1 Scenario 2
former-packer 0.64 0.66
forming staff 0.774 0.811
 Total processing time(Minute)
Entity output Scenario1 Scenario 2
23
Entity 1 156.690 mins 187.394 mins
Entity 2 122.070 mins 136.60 mins
Entity 3 152.651 mins 174.138 mins
3. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION
3.1. Discussion
According to the data analysis above, it shows that the scenario 2 is the best one that
could answer to the objective such as the increasing of number output of entity1, entity 2, and
entity 3. The utilization of the resource is increasing for the bottle neck process, so the
productivity will be increase. For the average total time of entity is increase, it means that the
processing time for our process is increase that it is the way to reduce the waiting time of the
process. Thus, the scenarios 2 could be apply to get more production output and also increasing
the utilization of the resource they not free much that could give the advantage to the bakery, so
we choose the scenario 2 for applying to achieve the objective.
3.2. Conclusion
In conclusion, for JC bakery that have the problem with the demand increase, idle time,
and production output is not much, they can use the scenario 3 which change the time interval
of the entity and share the resource to help the bottleneck process, that the production out hut
increase from want increase the production output for solving the problems of demand increase
from 2831 breads to 3293 breads per day.

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Bakery Production Using Arena Simulation

  • 1. Mahidol University Faculty of Engineering EGIE 502: System Thinking and Modeling JC Bakery Simulation Submitted to: Asst. Prof. Dr. Waressara Weerawat Submitted by: Socheat Veng ID: 6037614 2017-2018
  • 2. CONTENTS 1. PROJECT DESCRIPTION.........................................................................................1 1.1 Project Title and Problem............................................................................................1 1.2 Necessary information.................................................................................................1 1.1.1. Entity............................................................................................................................1 1.1.2. Process .........................................................................................................................2 1.1.3. Resource ......................................................................................................................2 1.1.4. Process-Resources .......................................................................................................3 1.1.5. Schedule.......................................................................................................................3 1.3 Model Layout ..............................................................................................................4 1.4 Conceptual Flow .........................................................................................................5 1.5 Conceptual Model .......................................................................................................6 2. OBJECTIVE OF PROJECT........................................................................................7 2.1. KPI..................................................................................................................................7 2.2. Running Parameter .........................................................................................................7 2.3. Scenarios to Compare .....................................................................................................8 2.4. Arena Model .................................................................................................................10 2.5. Results...........................................................................................................................11 2.6. Result from running simulation....................................................................................11 2.7. Result from comparing scenarios .................................................................................18 2.8. Output Analyzer for Compare Mean of Scenario 1 and Scenario2 ..............................19 2.9. Summary Result from Each KPI ..................................................................................22 3. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION.......................................................................23 3.1. Discussion.....................................................................................................................23 3.2. Conclusion....................................................................................................................23
  • 3. TABLE OF FIGURE Figure 1.1. Model Layout of JC Bakery...............................................................................4 Figure 1.2. Conceptual Flow of JC Bakery ..........................................................................5 Figure 1.3. Conceptual Model of JC Bakery ........................................................................6 Figure 2.1. Conceptual Model of JC Bakery ......................................................................10 Figure 2.2. Comparing all 3 scenarios ................................................................................18 Figure 2.3. Compare Mean for all entity output of Scenario 1,2 and 3 ..............................18 Figure 2.4. Comparison the utilization the former Packer and forming staff for all scenario .............................................................................................................................................18 Figure 2.5. Total average processing time for all entity scenario 1,2, and 3 ......................19 Figure 2.6. Compare Mean Entity 1of Scenario 1 and Scenario2 ......................................19 Figure 2.7. Compare Mean Entity 1of Scenario 2 and Scenario2 ......................................20 Figure 2.8. Compare Mean Entity 3of Scenario 1 and Scenario2 ......................................20 Figure 2.9. Compare Mean utilization forming staffof Scenario 1 and Scenario2 .............20 Figure 2.10. Compare Mean utilization former-paker staff of Scenario 1 and Scenario2..21 Figure 2.11. Compare Mean total processing time entity1 of Scenario 1 and Scenario2...21 Figure 2.12. Compare Mean total processing time entity 2 of Scenario 1 and Scenario2..21 Figure 2.13. Compare Mean total processing time entity 3 of Scenario 1 and Scenario2..22
  • 4. 1 PART 1 1. PROJECTDESCRIPTION 1.1 Project Title and Problem  Title: JC Bakery Simulation  Problem: This bakery spends very long time and less productivity; the workers are not so busy during working time. One more thing is that the demand of bakery is increase, so we want to improve productivity of the product. 1.2 Necessary information JC Bakery produces 3 types of breads such as Rye Bread, Poppy seed Rolls, and Rye-wheat Bread. This bakery has only one production line for producing these 3 differences type of bread. The production line of bakery system consists of 10 processes such as Process Load Powder to Mixing Machine, Mixing process, Process Unload Powder from Mixing Machine, Forming Process, Fermentation process, Process load Bread to Baking Machine, Baking process, Process Unload Bread from Baking Machine, Cooling process, and Packaging process. This bakery work for 9 hours, start from 6am, and the production is continuously produced those 3 types of bread. 1.1.1. Entity The entities arrival time are based on Entity schedule. The amount of all powder enters to mixing process per one time is 5kg which can produce 100 breads. Rye Bread and Poppy Seed Rolls are kind of steaming bread. Rye-wheat Bread is kind of burning bread. Tunnel oven (Steaming machine) is use for steaming bread, and Rack oven (Burning machine) use for backing bread. Table 1.1. Entity Schedule Entity ID Entity name Start time Arrival time(minute) Entity 1 Rye Bread Powder 6:00am Constant (40) Entity 2 Poppy seed Rolls Powder 6:10am Constant (40) Entity 3 Rye-wheat Bread Powder 6:25am Constant (40)
  • 5. 2 1.1.2. Process For Mixing process, there is one mixing machines, load and unload process we use only one worker, at forming process for Rye Bread need forming by manual process which has one worker, and another 2 breads could form by Forming Machine. To produce Rye- wheat Bread we have to retard the powder (fermentation) in processing time of UNIF (25,30) minutes and for another bread need to proof in processing time of UNIF (10,15). At Baking process, there are two workers for package the bread. The types of machine that we can use depend on the needed: Rack oven and Tunnel Oven. At packaging process, there are two packers to do the packaging of the bread after it already cooling UNIF (10,15) min. Table 1.2. Processing time for all 10 processes Process ID Process Name Processing Time Entity 1 (Minute) Processing Time Entity 2 (Minute) Processing Time Entity 3 (Minute) P1 Load Powder to Mc TRAI (1,2,4) P2 Mixing Process UNIF (5,10) P3 Unload Powder from Mc TRAI (1,1,3) P4 Forming Process UNIF (30,40) UNIF (10,15) UNIF (10,15) P5 Fermentation Process UNIF (10,15) UNIF (10,15) UNIF (25,30) P6 Load Bread to Backing Mc TRAI (2,3,4) P7 Backing Process CON (20) CON (20) CON (23) P8 Unload Bread from Backing Mc TRAI (1,1,3) P9 Cooling Process UNIF (10,15) P10 Packaging Process UNIF (10,15) 1.1.3. Resource Resource ID Resource name Capacity R1 Load Unload Operator 1 R2 Mixing machine 2 R3 Forming Staff 1
  • 6. 3 R4 Forming machine 1 R5 Proofer Machine 1 R6 Rack oven 2 R7 Tunnel oven 1 R8 Packer 2 1.1.4. Process-Resources Process ID Process name Resource ID P1 Load Unload Operator R1 P2 Mixing machine R1 P3 Load Unload Operator R1 P4 Forming Staff R3 P4 Forming machine R4 P5 Proofer Machine R5 P6 Load Unload Operator R1 P7 Rack oven R6 P7 Tunnel oven R7 P8 Load Unload Operator R1 P9 Cooling No P10 Packer R8 1.1.5. Schedule The official schedule’s working is from Monday to Sunday. They start working from 6:00AM until 11:00AM and from 1:00PM until 4:00PM. For a small break, all workers are given 15 minutes break after they work first 2 hours, and break 1hour break for lunch time after work 4 hours, then break 15min after work 6hours and 8hours. Working schedule for staff Name 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 All worker Forming Staff Packer
  • 7. 4 1.3 Model Layout Below is the model layout of the JC Bakery: Figure 1.1. Model Layout of JC Bakery
  • 8. 5 1.4 Conceptual Flow Below is the process flow of the JC Bakery: Figure 1.2. Conceptual Flow of JC Bakery
  • 9. 6 1.5 Conceptual Model Figure 1.3. Conceptual Model of JC Bakery
  • 10. 7 PART 2 2. OBJECTIVE OF PROJECT The objective of this project is to increase the production output of the JC bakery by changing the time sequence of the entity and share the resource. 2.1. KPI  Production output  Utilization of former-packer, and forming staff  Total cycle time  Attribute list Name Type Attribute Value Assign 1 Attribute Bread A 1 Assign 1 Attribute Bread B 1 Assign 1 Attribute Bread C 1  Record Name Type Value Record number out entity 1 Expression Number Entity 1out Record number out entity 2 Expression Number Entity 2out Record number out entity 3 Expression Number Entity 3out Record Utilization of Former-Packer Expression Utilization Former-Packer Record Utilization of Forming staff Expression Utilization Forming staff 2.2. Running Parameter  Base time unit is minute for running this simulation model.  Run time: The run time of this model is set at least 9 hours=360 mins.  Terminating condition: a terminating simulation is one in which model dictate specific starting and stopping condition as a natural reflection of how the target system actually operate. Therefore, this model will be run 9 hours because they want the entity which is waiting in processes at the time 360 mins to leave all from the system that is why they next to expand some duration of time to clear all the customers in system.  Number of Replications is 10 is the optimal choice and calculated by:
  • 11. 8  First, calculation the mean of sample from 10 replications, for an example we select the average total time for each entity to be test: Table 2.1. Number out of Entities Rep1 Rep2 Rep3 Rep4 Rep5 Rep6 Rep7 Rep8 Rep9 Rep10 Average Entity1 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Entity2 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 Entity3 10 9 10 9 9 9 10 9 9 10 9.4 The more number of replications, the more efficiency of compare, so we prefer the larger date that is why we selected only entity type 1 to test in our method: We got SD = 11  Second, we calculate the number of Haft width: Haft width = 𝑡 𝑛−1; 𝛼 2 × 𝑆𝐷 √ 𝑛 = 𝑡9;0.025 × 11 √10 Haft width = 2.262 × 11 √10 = 7.86~8 Now we have Haft width = 8 from this number we prefer the haft width only 5 to input in our project. Then the new haft width is 5. The third step is to find the new number of replications by using 2 methods to compare the number of replications that we will select: First method: 𝑛 = 𝑍2 × 𝑆𝐷2 ℎ2 = 1.962 × 112 52 = 92.96 Second method: 𝑛 = 𝑛0 × 𝑆𝐷2 ℎ2 = 10 × 112 52 = 48.4 From these two methods, we will select the bigger number (the more is the better) that falls into the second method that has the number of replications is 12.96, and we will set 100 replications as the optimal choice of our project. 2.3. Scenarios to Compare In this project, there are 3 scenarios to compare:
  • 12. 9  Scenario 1: It is the initial model.  Scenario 2: We change the arrival time of the entities that enter into the process.  Scenario 3: We change the arrival time of the entities that enter into the process, and also share the resource of packer of the packaging process to help the forming staff in the process manual forming. Table 2.2. Below is the schedule of scenario 2 and Scenario 3 Entity ID Entity name Start time Arrival time(minute) Entity 1 Rye Bread Powder 6:00am Constant (30) Entity 2 Poppy seed Rolls Powder 6:10am Constant (30) Entity 3 Rye-wheat Bread Powder 6:25am Constant (30)
  • 13. 10 2.4. Arena Model Figure 2.1. Conceptual Model of JC Bakery
  • 14. 11 2.5. Results 2.6. Result from running simulation In this report, we decided to put the result of Scenario 1 and Scenario 3 to show as the sample only, and the rest two scenarios will summary in the scenarios compare response  Result of Scenario 1 ARENA Simulation Results DELL - License: STUDENT Summary for Replication 100 of 100 Project: Unnamed Project Run execution date :12/13/2017 Analyst: DELL Model revision date:12/13/2017 Replication ended at time : 540.0 Minutes Base Time Units: Minutes TALLY VARIABLES Identifier Average Half Width Minimum Maximum Observations ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Record Nomout_Entitty3 4.2333 (Insuf) .00000 9.0000 30 Record Nomout_Entity1 4.8666 (Insuf) .00000 10.000 30 Record Nomout_Entity2 5.4000 (Insuf) .00000 10.000 30 Record Utiliz_Forming_staff .96667 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 30 Record Utiliz_Former_Packer .35000 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 30 Entity 1.VATime 75.559 (Insuf) 71.496 79.831 10 Entity 1.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 10 Entity 1.WaitTime 46.345 (Insuf) 1.5583 72.994 10 Entity 1.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 10 Entity 1.OtherTime 32.403 (Insuf) 28.372 35.788 10 Entity 1.TotalTime 154.30 (Insuf) 112.12 183.06 10 Entity 2.VATime 54.113 (Insuf) 51.224 56.537 11 Entity 2.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 11 Entity 2.WaitTime 38.524 (Insuf) .66112 74.580 11 Entity 2.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 11 Entity 2.OtherTime 33.704 (Insuf) 31.065 36.482 11 Entity 2.TotalTime 126.34 (Insuf) 88.578 159.06 11 Entity 3.VATime 85.403 (Insuf) 81.462 89.756 9 Entity 3.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 9 Entity 3.WaitTime 56.561 (Insuf) 13.690 93.507 9 Entity 3.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 9 Entity 3.OtherTime 19.360 (Insuf) 16.572 22.098 9 Entity 3.TotalTime 161.32 (Insuf) 114.50 198.11 9 Seize Manual Forming.Queue.WaitingTime 12.799 (Insuf) .00000 48.495 13 Seize Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 6.2266 (Insuf) .00000 53.852 25 Unload Bread From Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 8.0531 (Insuf) .00000 60.509 23 Load Bread to Steam Machine.Queue.WaitingT 3.7362 (Insuf) .00000 15.861 11 Proofer.Queue.WaitingTime .70040 (Insuf) .00000 5.0630 13 Seize to Package.Queue.WaitingTime 2.2227 (Insuf) .00000 17.807 32 Unload Bread From Steam Machine.Queue.Wait 7.3807 (Insuf) .00000 60.084 10 Seize Steam Machine.Queue.WaitingTime 22.885 (Insuf) .00000 67.283 11 Load Bread to Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 2.8656 (Insuf) .00000 15.647 25 Unload Powder From Mixing Mc.Queue.Waiting 3.9382 (Insuf) .00000 55.556 40 Load Powder to Mixing Mc.Queue.WaitingTime 3.6189 (Insuf) .00000 55.614 41 Mc forming.Queue.WaitingTime 2.3590 (Insuf) .00000 12.562 26 Seize Mixing Mc.Queue.WaitingTime 6.2387 (Insuf) .00000 41.865 41 DISCRETE-CHANGE VARIABLES Identifier Average Half Width Minimum Maximum Final Value ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Entity 1.WIP 3.4501 (Insuf) .00000 5.0000 4.0000 Entity 2.WIP 2.8514 (Insuf) .00000 4.0000 3.0000 Entity 3.WIP 3.3924 (Insuf) .00000 5.0000 4.0000 Former_Packer.NumberBusy .72688 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000 Former_Packer.NumberScheduled 1.6162 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000 Former_Packer.Utilization .37605 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Steam Machine.NumberBusy .80919 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Steam Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Steam Machine.Utilization .80919 (Insuf) .00000 1.000 0 1.0000 Load_Unload Operator.NumberBusy .60763 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Load_Unload Operator.NumberScheduled .82682 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000
  • 15. 12 Load_Unload Operator.Utilization .60763 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Forming Machin Operator.NumberBusy .60279 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Forming Machin Operator.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machin Operator.Utilization .60279 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Mixer Machine.NumberBusy 1.4237 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 1.0000 Mixer Machine.NumberScheduled 2.0000 (Insuf) 2.0000 2.0000 2.0000 Mixer Machine.Utilization .71187 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .50000 Forming Staff.NumberBusy .78133 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Staff.NumberScheduled .78407 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Staff.Utilization .78133 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Proofer Machine.NumberBusy .61053 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Proofer Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Proofer Machine.Utilization .61053 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machine.NumberBusy .60279 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Forming Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machine.Utilization .60279 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Oven.NumberBusy 1.5565 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000 Oven.NumberScheduled 2.0000 (Insuf) 2.0000 2.0000 2.0000 Oven.Utilization .77826 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Seize Manual Forming.Queue.NumberInQueue .33013 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 1.0000 Seize Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .28827 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Unload Bread From Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .34300 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Load Bread to Steam Machine.Queue.NumberIn .07611 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Proofer.Queue.NumberInQueue .01686 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Seize to Package.Queue.NumberInQueue .13172 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Unload Bread From Steam Machine.Queue.Numb .13668 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Seize Steam Machine.Queue.NumberInQueue .48748 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 1.0000 Load Bread to Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .13267 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Unload Powder From Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberI .29172 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Load Powder to Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberInQue .27477 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Mc forming.Queue.NumberInQueue .11359 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Seize Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberInQueue .47368 (Insuf) .00000 4.0000 .00000 OUTPUTS Identifier Value _____________________________________________________________ T TimeE3 161.32 T TimeE2 126.34 UtiilFormer Packer 1.0000 Outphut E1 10.000 T TimeE1 154.30 Outphut E2 11.000 UtiilForming staff 1.0000 Outphut E3 9.0000 Entity 1.NumberIn 14.000 Entity 1.NumberOut 10.000 Entity 2.NumberIn 14.000 Entity 2.NumberOut 11.000 Entity 3.NumberIn 13.000 Entity 3.NumberOut 9.0000 Former_Packer.NumberSeized 32.000 Former_Packer.ScheduledUtilization .44974 Steam Machine.NumberSeized 11.000 Steam Machine.ScheduledUtilization .80919 Load_Unload Operator.NumberSeized 150.00 Load_Unload Operator.ScheduledUtilization .73490 Forming Machin Operator.NumberSeized 26.000 Forming Machin Operator.ScheduledUtilizati .60279 Mixer Machine.NumberSeized 41.000 Mixer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .71187 Forming Staff.NumberSeized 13.000 Forming Staff.ScheduledUtilization .99651 Proofer Machine.NumberSeized 13.000 Proofer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .61053 Forming Machine.NumberSeized 26.000 Forming Machine.ScheduledUtilization .60279 Oven.NumberSeized 25.000 Oven.ScheduledUtilization .77826 System.NumberOut 30.000 ARENA Simulation Results DELL - License: STUDENT Output Summary for 100 Replications Project: Unnamed Project Run execution date :12/13/2017 Analyst: DELL Model revision date:12/13/2017 OUTPUTS Identifier Average Half-width Minimum Maximum # Replications ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ T TimeE3 152.65 1.0944 137.19 163.85 100
  • 16. 13 T TimeE2 122.06 .71343 112.42 130.21 100 UtiilFormer Packer .64500 .06435 .00000 1.0000 100 Outphut E1 9.9600 .03959 9.0000 10.000 100 T TimeE1 156.69 .95798 147.07 171.90 100 Outphut E2 11.010 .02010 11.000 12.000 100 UtiilForming staff 1.0000 .00000 1.0000 1.0000 100 Outphut E3 9.4700 .10082 9.0000 10.000 100 Entity 1.NumberIn 14.000 .00000 14.000 14.000 100 Entity 1.NumberOut 9.9600 .03959 9.0000 10.000 100 Entity 2.NumberIn 14.000 .00000 14.000 14.000 100 Entity 2.NumberOut 11.010 .02010 11.000 12.000 100 Entity 3.NumberIn 13.000 .00000 13.000 13.000 100 Entity 3.NumberOut 9.4700 .10082 9.0000 10.000 100 Former_Packer.NumberSeized 31.730 .10243 30.000 33.000 100 Former_Packer.ScheduledUtilization .44888 .00263 .41209 .47492 100 Steam Machine.NumberSeized 11.040 .03959 11.000 12.000 100 Steam Machine.ScheduledUtilization .77967 .00486 .72853 .82936 100 Load_Unload Operator.NumberSeized 148.62 .15590 147.00 151.00 100 Load_Unload Operator.ScheduledUtilization .71971 .00256 .68861 .74913 100 Forming Machin Operator.NumberSeized 26.110 .06321 26.000 27.000 100 Forming Machin Operator.ScheduledUtilizati .60180 .00287 .56564 .64220 100 Mixer Machine.NumberSeized 41.000 .00000 41.000 41.000 100 Mixer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .69347 .00441 .64667 .74263 100 Forming Staff.NumberSeized 12.300 .09257 12.000 13.000 100 Forming Staff.ScheduledUtilization 1.0150 .00540 .92362 1.0916 100 Proofer Machine.NumberSeized 13.000 .00000 13.000 13.000 100 Proofer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .62642 .00218 .59845 .65314 100 Forming Machine.NumberSeized 26.110 .06321 26.000 27.000 100 Forming Machine.ScheduledUtilization .60180 .00287 .56564 .64220 100 Oven.NumberSeized 24.040 .04882 23.000 25.000 100 Oven.ScheduledUtilization .73468 .00328 .69474 .77826 100 System.NumberOut 30.440 .10427 30.000 32.000 100 Simulation run time: 0.70 minutes. Simulation run complete.  Result of Scenario 2 ARENA Simulation Results DELL - License: STUDENT Summary for Replication 100 of 100 Project: Unnamed Project Run execution date :12/13/2017 Analyst: DELL Model revision date:12/13/2017 Replication ended at time : 540.0 Minutes Base Time Units: Minutes TALLY VARIABLES Identifier Average Half Width Minimum Maximum Observations ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Record Nomout_Entitty3 4.8437 (Insuf) .00000 10.000 32 Record Nomout_Entity1 4.6250 (Insuf) .00000 9.0000 32 Record Nomout_Entity2 6.0312 (Insuf) .00000 12.000 32 Record Utiliz_Forming_staff .93750 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 32 Record Utiliz_Former_Packer .40625 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 32 Entity 1.VATime 76.480 (Insuf) 72.192 81.684 10 Entity 1.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 10 Entity 1.WaitTime 91.582 (Insuf) 1.7516 150.45 10 Entity 1.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 10 Entity 1.OtherTime 32.093 (Insuf) 28.373 35.934 10 Entity 1.TotalTime 200.15 (Insuf) 111.00 262.68 10 Entity 2.VATime 52.440 (Insuf) 51.367 56.268 12 Entity 2.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 12 Entity 2.WaitTime 59.585 (Insuf) 3.8634 99.107 12 Entity 2.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 12 Entity 2.OtherTime 32.169 (Insuf) 29.361 38.092 12 Entity 2.TotalTime 144.19 (Insuf) 88.920 183.88 12 Entity 3.VATime 87.189 (Insuf) 84.911 91.307 10 Entity 3.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 10 Entity 3.WaitTime 63.840 (Insuf) 8.0181 112.57 10 Entity 3.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 10 Entity 3.OtherTime 19.110 (Insuf) 15.640 24.580 10 Entity 3.TotalTime 170.14 (Insuf) 114.06 216.76 10 Seize Manual Forming.Queue.WaitingTime 59.449 (Insuf) .00000 113.11 13 Seize Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 16.597 (Insuf) .00000 80.806 26 Unload Bread From Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 8.0896 (Insuf) .00000 55.445 24 Load Bread to Steam Machine.Queue.WaitingT 3.2802 (Insuf) .00000 8.2603 12 Proofer.Queue.WaitingTime 2.6000 (Insuf) .00000 13.527 15 Seize to Package.Queue.WaitingTime 2.0640 (Insuf) .00000 26.181 3 4 Unload Bread From Steam Machine.Queue.Wait 7.1819 (Insuf) .00000 55.252 11 Seize Steam Machine.Queue.WaitingTime 31.698 (Insuf) .00000 76.486 12
  • 17. 14 Load Bread to Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 4.0893 (Insuf) .00000 17.481 26 Unload Powder From Mixing Mc.Queue.Waiting 4.7941 (Insuf) .00000 56.440 50 Load Powder to Mixing Mc.Queue.WaitingTime 2.5911 (Insuf) .00000 15.000 51 Mc forming.Queue.WaitingTime 2.8590 (Insuf) .00000 13.115 32 Seize Mixing Mc.Queue.WaitingTime 23.004 (Insuf) .00000 55.503 52 DISCRETE-CHANGE VARIABLES Identifier Average Half Width Minimum Maximum Final Value ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Entity 1.WIP 5.7066 (Insuf) .00000 9.0000 9.0000 Entity 2.WIP 4.2599 (Insuf) .00000 7.0000 6.0000 Entity 3.WIP 4.7803 (Insuf) .00000 8.0000 8.0000 Former_Packer.NumberBusy .73720 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000 Former_Packer.NumberScheduled 1.6040 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000 Former_Packer.Utilization .38426 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Steam Machine.NumberBusy .85268 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Steam Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Steam Machine.Utilization .85268 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Load_Unload Operator.NumberBusy .68957 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Load_Unload Operator.NumberScheduled .82707 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Load_Unload Operator.Utilization .68957 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machin Operator.NumberBusy .72732 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machin Operator.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machin Operator.Utilization .72732 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Mixer Machine.NumberBusy 1.7555 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000 Mixer Machine.NumberScheduled 2.0000 (Insuf) 2.0000 2.0000 2.0000 Mixer Machine.Utilization .87777 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Staff.NumberBusy .81359 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Staff.NumberScheduled .78854 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Staff.Utilization .81359 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Proofer Machine.NumberBusy .75199 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Proofer Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Proofer Machine.Utilization .75199 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machine.NumberBusy .72732 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machine.Utilization .72732 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Oven.NumberBusy 1.6873 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000 Oven.NumberScheduled 2.0000 (Insuf) 2.0000 2.0000 2.000 0 Oven.Utilization .84366 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Seize Manual Forming.Queue.NumberInQueue 1.7616 (Insuf) .00000 4.0000 4.0000 Seize Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .80701 (Insuf) .00000 3.0000 1.0000 Unload Bread From Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .35954 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Load Bread to Steam Machine.Queue.NumberIn .07289 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Proofer.Queue.NumberInQueue .07222 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Seize to Package.Queue.NumberInQueue .12996 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Unload Bread From Steam Machine.Queue.Numb .14630 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Seize Steam Machine.Queue.NumberInQueue .81814 (Insuf) .00000 3.0000 2.0000 Load Bread to Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .19689 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Unload Powder From Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberI .44390 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Load Powder to Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberInQue .24854 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 1.0000 Mc forming.Queue.NumberInQueue .17325 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Seize Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberInQueue 2.2615 (Insuf) .00000 6.0000 3.0000 OUTPUTS Identifier Value _____________________________________________________________ T TimeE3 170.14 T TimeE2 144.19 UtiilFormer Packer 1.0000 Outphut E1 10.000 T TimeE1 200.15 Outphut E2 12.000 UtiilForming staff 1.0000 Outphut E3 10.000 Entity 1.NumberIn 19.000 Entity 1.NumberOut 10.000 Entity 2.NumberIn 18.000 Entity 2.NumberOut 12.000 Entity 3.NumberIn 18.000 Entity 3.NumberOut 10.000 Former_Packer.NumberSeized 34.000 Former_Packer.ScheduledUtilization .45959 Steam Machine.NumberSeized 12.000 Steam Machine.ScheduledUtilization .85268 Load_Unload Operator.NumberSeized 174.00 Load_Unload Operator.ScheduledUtilization .83375 Forming Machin Operator.NumberSeized 32.000 Forming Machin Operator.ScheduledUtilizati .72732 Mixer Machine.NumberSeized 52.000 Mixer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .87777 Forming Staff.NumberSeized 13.000 Forming Staff.ScheduledUtilization 1.0317 Proofer Machine.NumberSeized 15.000 Proofer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .75199
  • 18. 15 Forming Machine.NumberSeized 32.000 Forming Machine.ScheduledUtilization .72732 Oven.NumberSeized 26.000 Oven.ScheduledUtilization .84366 System.NumberOut 32.000 ARENA Simulation Results DELL - License: STUDENT Output Summary for 100 Replications Project: Unnamed Project Run execution date :12/13/2017 Analyst: DELL Model revision date:12/13/2017 OUTPUTS Identifier Average Half-width Minimum Maximum # Replications ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ T TimeE3 174.13 .86421 165.50 193.35 100 T TimeE2 136.60 .93490 126.01 146.50 100 UtiilFormer Packer .66000 .06040 .00000 1.0000 100 Outphut E1 10.130 .08877 9.0000 11.000 100 T TimeE1 187.39 1.5680 171.35 208.53 100 Outphut E2 12.920 .08417 12.000 14.000 100 UtiilForming staff 1.0000 .00000 1.0000 1.0000 100 Outphut E3 10.010 .07281 9.0000 11.000 100 Entity 1.NumberIn 19.000 .00000 19.000 19.000 100 Entity 1.NumberOut 10.130 .08877 9.0000 11.000 100 Entity 2.NumberIn 18.000 .00000 18.000 18.000 100 Entity 2.NumberOut 12.920 .08417 12.000 14.000 100 Entity 3.NumberIn 18.000 .00000 18.000 18.000 100 Entity 3.NumberOut 10.010 .07281 9.0000 11.000 100 Former_Packer.NumberSeized 34.380 .16105 33.000 36.000 100 Former_Packer.ScheduledUtilization .48726 .00328 .44906 .52438 100 Steam Machine.NumberSeized 11.840 .07406 11.000 12.000 100 Steam Machine.ScheduledUtilization .85388 .00161 .81778 .86726 100 Load_Unload Operator.NumberSeized 176.40 .58059 169.00 185.00 100 Load_Unload Operator.ScheduledUtilization .84563 .00295 .80085 .87742 100 Forming Machin Operator.NumberSeized 32.490 .11603 31.000 34.000 100 Forming Machin Operator.ScheduledUtilizati .74095 .00375 .68768 .77696 100 Mixer Machine.NumberSeized 52.250 .20477 50.000 55.000 100 Mixer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .89223 .00264 .86544 .92389 100 Forming Staff.NumberSeized 12.980 .07548 12.000 14.000 100 Forming Staff.ScheduledUtilization 1.1215 .01162 1.0073 1.2568 100 Proofer Machine.NumberSeized 15.050 .04403 15.000 16.000 100 Proofer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .74882 .00224 .72734 .77325 100 Forming Machine.NumberSeized 32.490 .11603 31.000 34.000 100 Forming Machine.ScheduledUtilization .74095 .00375 .68768 .77696 100 Oven.NumberSeized 26.650 .11908 25.000 28.000 100 Oven.ScheduledUtilization .83843 .00260 .80830 .86877 100 System.NumberOut 33.060 .15601 31.000 35.000 100 Simulation run time: 0.58 minutes. Simulation run complete.  Result of Scenario 3 ARENA Simulation Results DELL - License: STUDENT Summary for Replication 100 of 100 Project: Unnamed Project Run execution date :12/13/2017 Analyst: DELL Model revision date:12/13/2017 Replication ended at time : 540.0 Minutes Base Time Units: Minutes TALLY VARIABLES Identifier Average Half Width Minimum Maximum Observations ________________________________________________________________________________________________ ___ Record Nomout_Entitty3 4.3000 (Insuf) .00000 9.0000 30 Record Nomout_Entity1 4.2333 (Insuf) .00000 8.0000 30 Record Nomout_Entity2 5.9666 (Insuf) .00000 12.000 30 Record Utiliz_Forming_staff .93333 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 30 Record Utiliz_Former_Packer .90000 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 30 Entity 1.VATime 76.187 (Insuf) 72.250 80.708 9 Entity 1.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 9 Entity 1.WaitTime 109.75 (Insuf) 1.7516 180.03 9 Entity 1.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 9
  • 19. 16 Entity 1.OtherTime 32.467 (Insuf) 28.031 36.043 9 Entity 1.TotalTime 218.41 (Insuf) 111.00 287.21 9 Entity 2.VATime 52.948 (Insuf) 50.292 56.180 12 Entity 2.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 12 Entity 2.WaitTime 64.097 (Insuf) 3.8634 115.78 12 Entity 2.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 12 Entity 2.OtherTime 32.786 (Insuf) 29.677 35.892 12 Entity 2.TotalTime 149.83 (Insuf) 88.920 198.80 12 Entity 3.VATime 86.939 (Insuf) 83.725 90.966 9 Entity 3.NVATime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 9 Entity 3.WaitTime 83.391 (Insuf) 28.809 139.84 9 Entity 3.TranTime .00000 (Insuf) .00000 .00000 9 Entity 3.OtherTime 18.209 (Insuf) 16.685 23.477 9 Entity 3.TotalTime 188.53 (Insuf) 132.03 248.02 9 Seize Manual Forming.Queue.WaitingTime 66.410 (Insuf) .00000 137.65 12 Seize Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 10.895 (Insuf) .00000 70.017 26 Unload Bread From Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 8.4019 (Insuf) .30788 59.898 25 Load Bread to Steam Machine.Queue.WaitingT 3.0828 (Insuf) .00000 10.005 12 Proofer.Queue.WaitingTime 4.3193 (Insuf) .00000 15.786 15 Seize to Package.Queue.WaitingTime 20.457 (Insuf) .00000 75.770 31 Unload Bread From Steam Machine.Queue.Wait 7.1020 (Insuf) .00000 55.713 11 Seize Steam Machine.Queue.WaitingTime 32.725 (Insuf) .00000 82.799 12 Load Bread to Oven.Queue.WaitingTime 2.9832 (Insuf) .00000 11.272 26 Unload Powder From Mixing Mc.Queue.Waiting 4.8296 (Insuf) .00000 61.480 52 Load Powder to Mixing Mc.Queue.WaitingTime 1.9600 (Insuf) .00000 15.000 53 Mc forming.Queue.WaitingTime 4.1457 (Insuf) .00000 12.564 34 Seize Mixing Mc.Queue.WaitingTime 18.461 (Insuf) .00000 58.783 54 DISCRETE-CHANGE VARIABLES Identifier Average Half Width Minimum Maximum Final Value ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Entity 1.WIP 6.1402 (Insuf) .00000 10.000 10.000 Entity 2.WIP 4.3851 (Insuf) .00000 7.0000 6.0000 Entity 3.WIP 5.2256 (Insuf) .00000 9.0000 9.0000 Former_Packer.NumberBusy 1.4331 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000 Former_Packer.NumberScheduled 1.5525 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000 Former_Packer.Utilization .73225 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Steam Machine.NumberBusy .85268 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Steam Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Steam Machine.Utilization .85268 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Load_Unload Operator.NumberBusy .71298 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Load_Unload Operator.NumberScheduled .82627 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Load_Unload Operator.Utilization .71298 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machin Operator.NumberBusy .75623 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machin Operator.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machin Operator.Utilization .75623 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Mixer Machine.NumberBusy 1.7356 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000 Mixer Machine.NumberScheduled 2.0000 (Insuf) 2.0000 2.0000 2.0000 Mixer Machine.Utilization .86785 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Staff.NumberBusy .74094 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Staff.NumberScheduled .77630 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Staff.Utilization .74094 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Proofer Machine.NumberBusy .76014 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Proofer Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Proofer Machine.Utilization .76014 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machine.NumberBusy .75623 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machine.NumberScheduled 1.0000 (Insuf) 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Forming Machine.Utilization .75623 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Oven.NumberBusy 1.6955 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000 Oven.NumberScheduled 2.0000 (Insuf) 2.0000 2.0000 2.0000 Oven.Utilization .84776 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Seize Manual Forming.Queue.NumberInQueue 2.1547 (Insuf) .00000 6.0000 6.0000 Seize Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .54565 (Insuf) .00000 3.0000 1.0000 Unload Bread From Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .38898 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Load Bread to Steam Machine.Queue.NumberIn .06851 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Proofer.Queue.NumberInQueue .14579 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 1.0000 Seize to Package.Queue.NumberInQueue 1.2949 (Insuf) .00000 4.0000 3.0000 Unload Bread From Steam Machine.Queue.Numb .14467 (Insuf) .00000 1.0000 .00000 Seize Steam Machine.Queue.NumberInQueue .84942 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 2.0000 Load Bread to Oven.Queue.NumberInQueue .14364 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Unload Powder From Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberI .46507 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Load Powder to Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberInQue .19529 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 1.0000 Mc forming.Queue.NumberInQueue .26103 (Insuf) .00000 2.0000 .00000 Seize Mixing Mc.Queue.NumberInQueue 1.8461 (Insuf) .00000 6.0000 1.0000 OUTPUTS Identifier Value _____________________________________________________________ T TimeE3 188.53 T TimeE2 149.83 UtiilFormer Packer 1.0000 Outphut E1 9.0000 T TimeE1 218.41 Outphut E2 12.000
  • 20. 17 UtiilForming staff 1.0000 Outphut E3 9.0000 Entity 1.NumberIn 19.000 Entity 1.NumberOut 9.0000 Entity 2.NumberIn 18.000 Entity 2.NumberOut 12.000 Entity 3.NumberIn 18.000 Entity 3.NumberOut 9.0000 Former_Packer.NumberSeized 43.000 Former_Packer.ScheduledUtilization .92303 Steam Machine.NumberSeized 12.000 Steam Machine.ScheduledUtilization .85268 Load_Unload Operator.NumberSeized 179.00 Load_Unload Operator.ScheduledUtilization .86289 Forming Machin Operator.NumberSeized 34.000 Forming Machin Operator.ScheduledUtilizati .75623 Mixer Machine.NumberSeized 54.000 Mixer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .86785 Forming Staff.NumberSeized 12.000 Forming Staff.ScheduledUtilization .95445 Proofer Machine.NumberSeized 15.000 Proofer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .76014 Forming Machine.NumberSeized 34.000 Forming Machine.ScheduledUtilization .75623 Oven.NumberSeized 26.000 Oven.ScheduledUtilization .84776 System.NumberOut 30.000 ARENA Simulation Results DELL - License: STUDENT Output Summary for 100 Replications Project: Unnamed Project Run execution date :12/13/2017 Analyst: DELL Model revision date:12/13/2017 OUTPUTS Identifier Average Half-width Minimum Maximum # Replications ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ T TimeE3 193.44 1.6861 176.42 220.65 100 T TimeE2 151.72 1.7045 136.50 177.44 100 UtiilFormer Packer 1.0000 .00000 1.0000 1.0000 100 Outphut E1 8.2200 .10133 7.0000 9.0000 100 T TimeE1 207.29 1.6441 182.38 227.81 100 Outphut E2 11.940 .11363 10.000 13.000 100 UtiilForming staff .80000 .08081 .00000 1.0000 100 Outphut E3 9.1900 .09343 8.0000 10.000 100 Entity 1.NumberIn 19.000 .00000 19.000 19.000 100 Entity 1.NumberOut 8.2200 .10133 7.0000 9.0000 100 Entity 2.NumberIn 18.000 .00000 18.000 18.000 100 Entity 2.NumberOut 11.940 .11363 10.000 13.000 100 Entity 3.NumberIn 18.000 .00000 18.000 18.000 100 Entity 3.NumberOut 9.1900 .09343 8.0000 10.000 100 Former_Packer.NumberSeized 41.840 .24529 39.000 45.000 100 Former_Packer.ScheduledUtilization .95310 .00562 .90138 1.0200 100 Steam Machine.NumberSeized 11.880 .06565 11.000 12.000 100 Steam Machine.ScheduledUtilization .85328 .00169 .81554 .86726 100 Load_Unload Operator.NumberSeized 175.17 .59108 166.00 180.00 100 Load_Unload Operator.ScheduledUtilization .83960 .00274 .80686 .87544 100 Forming Machin Operator.NumberSeized 32.710 .13789 31.000 34.000 100 Forming Machin Operator.ScheduledUtilizati .74359 .00392 .68966 .79684 100 Mixer Machine.NumberSeized 52.550 .22014 49.000 55.000 100 Mixer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .88765 .00247 .86062 .92014 100 Forming Staff.NumberSeized 11.290 .10417 10.000 13.000 100 Forming Staff.ScheduledUtilization .95619 .00797 .88179 1.0416 100 Proofer Machine.NumberSeized 15.060 .04798 15.000 16.000 100 Proofer Machine.ScheduledUtilization .75029 .00220 .72187 .77611 100 Forming Machine.NumberSeized 32.710 .13789 31.000 34.000 100 Forming Machine.ScheduledUtilization .74359 .00392 .68966 .79684 100 Oven.NumberSeized 25.530 .13233 24.000 27.000 100 Oven.ScheduledUtilization .80805 .00360 .76812 .85192 100 System.NumberOut 29.350 .21259 27.000 32.000 100 Simulation run time: 0.63 minutes. Simulation run complete.
  • 21. 18 2.7. Result from comparing scenarios For Scenario Comparing, we chose the 3 responses according to our KPI, such as the number out of all entity out, the Average total time of entity, and utilization of forming staff and former-packager. Figure 2.2. Comparing all 3 scenarios For comparison the entity output or production output, for the scenario 2 is the best. Figure 2.3. Compare Mean for all entity output of Scenario 1,2 and 3 For Comparison the utilization of the former-Packer and forming staff, the scenario 2 is the best, because in scenario 2 the total utilization of the resource former-packer and forming staff is higher. Figure 2.4. Comparison the utilization the former Packer and forming staff for all scenario
  • 22. 19 For Comparison total average processing time for all entity, the scenario 3 is the best. Figure 2.5. Total average processing time for all entity scenario 1,2, and 3 According to these two KPI compare scenarios, we can see that only the scenario number 2 that is the best one. Because we want to increase the production output and increase the utilization for the resource. One more thing is that, the total average processing is higher, it means that our system is not much idle and not waste the time for working process. 2.8. Output Analyzer for Compare Meanof Scenario 1 and Scenario2  Entity 1 Figure 2.6. Compare Mean Entity 1of Scenario 1 and Scenario2  Entity 2
  • 23. 20 Figure 2.7. Compare Mean Entity 1of Scenario 2 and Scenario2  Entity 3 Figure 2.8. Compare Mean Entity 3of Scenario 1 and Scenario2  Utilization of forming staff Figure 2.9. Compare Mean utilization forming staffof Scenario 1 and Scenario2
  • 24. 21  Utilization of former-packer Figure 2.10. Compare Mean utilization former-paker staff of Scenario 1 and Scenario2  Total average processing time Entity 1 Figure 2.11. Compare Mean total processing time entity1 of Scenario 1 and Scenario2  Total average processing time Entity 2 Figure 2.12. Compare Mean total processing time entity 2 of Scenario 1 and Scenario2  Total average processing time Entity 3
  • 25. 22 Figure 2.13. Compare Mean total processing time entity 3 of Scenario 1 and Scenario2 2.9. Summary Result from Each KPI  Production output Entity output Scenario1 Scenario 2 Entity 1 9.96 11.01 Entity 2 10.13 12.92 Entity 3 8.22 10 Total 28.31 32.93 For 1 of all entity could produce 100 breads, so the total all kind of bread are Scenario1: Entity (1 + 2 + 3) = 28.31 × 100 =2831 breads Scenario2: Entity (1 + 2 + 3) = 32.93 × 100 =3293 breads  Utilization of former-packer, and forming staff (%) Resource Scenario1 Scenario 2 former-packer 0.64 0.66 forming staff 0.774 0.811  Total processing time(Minute) Entity output Scenario1 Scenario 2
  • 26. 23 Entity 1 156.690 mins 187.394 mins Entity 2 122.070 mins 136.60 mins Entity 3 152.651 mins 174.138 mins 3. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION 3.1. Discussion According to the data analysis above, it shows that the scenario 2 is the best one that could answer to the objective such as the increasing of number output of entity1, entity 2, and entity 3. The utilization of the resource is increasing for the bottle neck process, so the productivity will be increase. For the average total time of entity is increase, it means that the processing time for our process is increase that it is the way to reduce the waiting time of the process. Thus, the scenarios 2 could be apply to get more production output and also increasing the utilization of the resource they not free much that could give the advantage to the bakery, so we choose the scenario 2 for applying to achieve the objective. 3.2. Conclusion In conclusion, for JC bakery that have the problem with the demand increase, idle time, and production output is not much, they can use the scenario 3 which change the time interval of the entity and share the resource to help the bottleneck process, that the production out hut increase from want increase the production output for solving the problems of demand increase from 2831 breads to 3293 breads per day.