Once the integrated master plan has been created from the outcomes of the bayesian modeling exercises (and/or system dynamic modeling), these strategies/systemic interventions are then implemented; reflected upon at two or three monthly intervals and new issues may arise. These may require further training, changes in the model (or refinements with outcomes) and the cycle continuously repeats itself.
THUS, THE LIVING LABORATORY IS A SYSTEMS BASED “METHODOLOGY” TO UNRAVEL COMPLEXITY AND OVER TIME, THROUGH CROSS-SECTORAL COMMUNICATION AND COLLABORATION, FIND WAYS TO ACHIEVE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE COMPLEX ENVIRONMENTS WE ARE DEALING WITH IN A TURBULENT 21ST CENTURY KNOWLEDGE SOCIETY.
Following slides demonstrates the use of Bayesian modeling as a Participatory Systems Analysis tool – over-simplified, but illustrates the steps they go though to develop a model that they can use as a management tool for achieving specific goals (such as addressing the leverage points they have identified)
What will the things you can do lead to that will contribute to achieving the main goal?
What other factors from the outside could affect the outcomes you would expect? (e.g. rain, temperature, against their religion or ethical/moral standards, etc.) This is bringing in those non-quantifiable things that are part of the equation (e.g. in the case of a sustainability goal – adding culture, ethics, politics, etc. to environment, economics and social).
What other factors from the outside could affect the outcomes you would expect? (e.g. rain, temperature, against their religion or ethical/moral standards, etc.) This is bringing in those non-quantifiable things that are part of the equation (e.g. in the case of a sustainability goal – adding culture, ethics, politics, etc. to environment, economics and social).