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THE CASE
2015
IT Case
Competition
2
1.	PROLOGUE.......................................................................................................................4
2.	 THE BANK ENVIRONMENT IN SCANDINAVIA...........................................5
3.	 BANKING – PROFIT SEARCH WITH SAFETY
AND STABILITY IN MIND.........................................................................................7
4.	 CRYPTOCURRENCIES -
A REVOLUTION OF THE CURRENCY SECTOR..............................................8
5.	 THE BANKS AND CRYPTOCURRENCIES: FRIEND OR FOE................12
6.	EPILOGUE.......................................................................................................................13
7.	APPENDICES...............................................................................................................13
Appendix 1: Bank Service Examples............................................................................14
Appendix 2: Basel III and Basel IV..................................................................................15
Appendix 3: Technical Details of Digital Currencies.................................................15
Appendix 4: Examples of Digital Currency Innovations............................................17
8.	REFERENCES...............................................................................................................21
Table of Contents
2
3
All his Country CEOs were boarding planes from the other Scandinavian capitals at this moment.
Tomorrow at 9 o’clock they would all be here, ready to hear his vision for the bank’s future.
The Nordic countries’ economies had finally reached a relatively stable recovery. Henrik was sure
that the Bank could now start exploring new opportunities instead of the constant sense of urgency
that has been present for the last years.
He looked down at the report he had been given last week and remembered his excitement, when
reading about the cryptocurrencies’ expansion and increased popularity.
Whilemanyofthetopmanagersinhisindustryconsideredcryptocurrenciesathreattothetraditional
banking system, Henrik was sure they contained endless opportunities. He wanted to create the
same excitement among his CEOs.
He needed to come up with a proposal for the prospects of digital currencies, and how the Bank
should explore them. He wanted something to be applied in the bank as a whole across the country
frontiers.
He could feel his heart beat faster at mere the thought. 24 hours to come up with a brilliant and
feasible idea that could convince his CEOs. He has seen, how the disrupters such as Über, Mobilepay
etc had changed the rules of the game in their niche.
Thinking about cryptocurrencies, what if they included such a currency in their business or even
created their own? What would that do?
Henrik Agerson, the Bank’s Group Chief Executive
OfficerwasstandinginhisofficeinCopenhagen.
Looking out of the large window he wondered
whether the people swimming at Islands Brygge
sometimes gazed up at him and observed his
movements the same way he did with them in this
very moment. It was one of the rare instants, where
neither meeting nor anything urgent was on the
schedule.
He did not know whether he should be enjoying this
small break or curse it for allowing him to think
about the upcoming meeting.
1. Prologue
3
4
2.	 The Bank Environment in Scandinavia
In the years 2008-2009 the financial sector experienced one of the most problematic periods
in the recent history. The collapse in the US real estate sector and a flawed securities market
caused a spillover-effect in the European market, which was enforced by regional problems in
the financial and public sector. The Scandinavian Banks as a whole managed the crisis quite
well, but a number of bankruptcies did occur – 62 banks in Denmark ceased operating – and the
largest Danish bank, Danske Bank, had to face a deposit deficit of 350 billion DDK. The years to
come were turbulent for the banks, which is now characterized by several trends:
A Fragile Recovery with Regional
Differences
The Nordic countries are exiting the crisis with
different pace – see Exhibit 1 – as well as having
different challenges to overcome. Denmark is showing
a more stable recovery with forecasted GDP of 1.8%
in 2015, while Sweden is, in spite of a slower speed
remaining in positive numbers. While Norway has been
touched by the sharp decrease in oil prices, Finland is
the one behind in the Nordic region as the only country
with a negative GDP growth prospect in 2015. The
main issues include unemployment and slow return to
the pre-crisis consumption levels, but the encouraging
numbers from the US in 2014 are predicted to have a
spill over-effect on the European consumer confidence
in the next years.
Lower Interests are Encouraging
Investment but also Challenging the
Banks
The low interest rates are encouraging housing
investments.Thiscombinedwithenhancedcorporate
sales and earnings due to the promising economy are
creating belief in investment growth. The expectations
are first of all for private investments, but in 2015 also
corporate investments are supposed to be increasing
with 3.5 %.
Source:
http://sebgroup.com/siteassets/corporations_and_institutions/prospectuses_
and_downloads/research_reports/nordic_outlook/2014/14_08_nordic_outlook.
pdf
Source:
http://ieconomics.com/chart/?s=Finland:Interest%2BRate,Denmark:Inter-
est%2BRate,Sweden:Interest%2BRate,Norway:Interest%2BRate,Iceland:In-
terest%2BRate
Exhibit 2: Interest Rate development in the Nordic
countries
Exhibit1:GDPlevel,index100=Q12008
5
The low interest is, however, creating a challenge for the banks. The income from loan interest rate is
declining, squeezing the profitability. Furthermore there are increased incentives to invest or spend
rather than deposit money, which enforces the negative effect on the profit. The banks are then forced
to closely control or even reduce costs to avoid an operating deficit, if the negative effect it is not
sufficiently offset by an increased loan amount driven by lower interest rates and economic growth.
Another pressure on the interest rates
occurs from the low expectations of
inflation. Deflation or very low inflation
is not only depressing the banking
sectorthroughtheeffectontheinterest
rate. “Debt deflation” covers the fact
that deflation increases the real value
of debt whereas the collateral to secure
the loan is losing value.
The deterioration in the balance
sheet tends to affect the loan demand
negatively. Thus the banking sector
needs a way to encourage loan which
among others increases investment in
return.
Exhibit 3: The divergent inflation expectations. 5-year break-even
inflation,percent
Source: Bloomberg
Exhibit4:MarketsharesintheNordicbankingSector
Source: http://www.kilpailuvirasto.fi/tiedostot/
Nordic_Retail_Banking.pdf
The Competitive Landscape
The Scandinavian banking industry consisted of
several hundred smaller banks, but due to the
crisis a series of mergers and bankruptcies reduced
this number. The market is now very concentrated and
contains a few dominating players - Exhibit 4 shows their
respective market shares. Scandinavian Banks have
since the late 80s been characterized by their multi-
functionality – universal banks – as they often include
both investment and commercial functions.
6
3.	 Banking – Profit Search with Safety and Stability
in Mind
A Complicated Role as Middleman
Banks are an essential part of the everyday life in Scandinavia. Their main role is as channel for
money to the intended destination. They are operating in several arenas.
Abank is defined in the narrow sense as a financial institution licensed as a receiver of deposits.
Being a large Scandinavian bank, on the other hand, includes a wide range of services. Appendix
1 shows a list of examples of services under each category of banking mentioned below. Banking thus
involves a complex set of actions that must be aligned in order to function efficiently.
•	 Daily Business
The role of the bank here is an integrated part of the whole business
cycle.Banksareconsultedwhenbusinessesstartup,whentheyexpand
and when they sell or buy. They are necessary to ensure a competitive
economy with an efficient and innovative business life.
•	 Daily Life
During the day, we are using banks through our credit cards, cash
withdrawals and deposits, paying bills etc. They are the ones settling
the mismatch between people’s current income and expenditure, and
the ones in the future by providing loans to, for example housing or
education.
•	Growth
The Danish National economy and development are very dependent on
the efficiency of the financial sector including the banks. A trustworthy
financial sector is crucial to attract foreign investment, and provide the
right conditions for macroeconomic improvements. In Europe, banks
are doing 75% of all corporate financing compared to 30% in the US.
Exhibits 5 and 6 illustrate the importance and size of the Danish banks.
•	 As Businesses Themselves
Banks are contributing significantly to the national economy through
job creation, tax payments, education etc. while remaining an attraction
for foreign capital as well. They are supporting local communities
through donations, scholarships and other CSR initiatives.
Exhibit5:DanishBanks’contributiontotheDanishGDP Exhibit6:SizeofDanishBank’scomparedtotheGDP
5%
Denmark DanskeBank Nykredit
NordeaBank
Danmark
7
A Group of Stakeholders with Very Different Objectives
All these different roles result in a need for the
banks to act and think holistically. They have
to consider three kinds of key stakeholders in
every decision-making. Each stakeholder has his
or her opinion and objective. Furthermore, in the
aftermath of the financial crisis, all three groups
have undergone changes:
Customers are remaining negative towards the
banks. Even though the Danish media in 2014
only had 7% of articles about the financial sector
with a negative perspective compared to 20% in
2009, consumers remain more hesitant towards
changing perspective. The banks’ Net Promoter
Score was only -10.
The Danish consumers seem to consider the
larger banks as the evils, but global surveys
report that the most important thing for the
customers is transparency, flexibility and to
feel special. This has lead towards a customer-
centric perspective. This is mainly driven by
the high performance of retail banking, but also
to offset the negative reputation. Nonetheless,
this creates new challenges for banks, which
traditionally have been applying a more push
than pull strategy.
Regulatorsaretighteningrequirementstowards
the banks and the web of new regulations on
national, regional (EU) and global levels are
leading to uncertainty and confusion. The
challenges of operating in this environment rise
from being compliant without hurting profitability
and efficiency, which with the Basel IV Bank
standard will be complicated. The stricter capital
requirements set the need for more complicated
calculations in terms of risk and the larger
banks must face this while remaining sufficiently
flexible in the global competitive environment,
see Appendix 2 for details about Basel III and IV.
Investors have been marked by the crisis and
the European Banks have been offering lower
and lower returns to their investors compared to
their American counterparts as shown in exhibit
8. Even though there is a consensus about the
importance of a more long-term, sustainable
strategy,acompetitiveprofitisstillrequired.Ifthe
required returns are not offered, then investors
will not provide enough capital. Furthermore,
each debt coupon issued now must incorporate
the risk of bailout.
Customers
Regulators Investors
BANK
Customer
centric
ReturnsCompliance
Exhibit7:BaselIIIframework
Source: http://roadmap2013.schoenherr.eu/new-
capital-requirements/
Exhibit 8: Banks Return on Equity (RoE in%) per country
2009and2014
Source: http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/us-
markets/eurozone-banks-ready-to-implode-part-2-in-
search-of-solvency?post=56643
8
4.	 Cryptocurrencies - a revolution of the Currency
Sector
In order to balance all three trends; consumer-centric focus and increased regulatory requirements
while still generating sufficient shareholder returns, the banks must engage in the IT innovation
wave and explore its opportunities. IT Innovation in all areas from operations to sales and distribution
must be implemented so Scandinavian banks can survive in the global arena.
Exhibit 9 shows that Scandinavian
banks have been quite progressive
in the digital implementation.
However, they need to take the next
step, moving from digital banking
initiatives playing out in the mobile
space commitment to enterprise-
wide digitalisation. Research from
the consulting company Accenture,
suggests that by 2020 “33% of
banks’ revenues could be eroded by
competition from digital players.”
Several of these players are part of
a group of innovations that some
claim will lead to a new era within
the financial sector – the digital
currencies.
Currencies and payment systems are of fundamental
importance in our society. The last decades we have seen
a trend towards something different. Currently there are more
than 300 alternative payment systems globally for e-commerce
transactions. One can categorize these innovations on two axes
based on what new they bring to society as illustrated in the
figure to the right. Digital currencies ”incorporate both a new
decentralised payment system and a new currency.” Digital
currency is an alternative delivery method for the exchange of
value and the social and technical infrastructure that comes
with it. Thus it incorporates both types of innovation. Digital
currencies are expected to account for 5% of the e-commerce
volume – 209 billion USD - in 2017. One of the most important
types of digital currency is cryptocurrencies. They are accepted
through a consensus by means of technique from the field of
cryptography.
Source: http://www.mckinsey.de/sites/mck_files/files/mckinsey_
global_banking_annual_review_2014.pdf
Exhibit10:
Theglobal
ledgersystem
Besides the two innovations mentioned above,
a third category is building upon the two –
improvement technologies. All three are elaborated
in this paragraph.
1.	 Transaction protocols
There are two major protocols that cryptocurrencies
offer as a new payment system. Both offer the
advantages of cheap transaction and a near real-
time clearing and settlement. It is about minimizing
the friction of sending money.
Source: http://brikis98.blogspot.
dk/2014/04/bitcoin-by-analogy.html
Three Categories of Technologies
Exhibit9:Shareofrevenueinthebankingsectorfromdigitalsales
9
The proof-of-work protocol, which bitcoin is
operating with, is the leading system. The
system can be described as a global ledger. All
transactions are stored publicly like in a ledger.
All accounts and the amount on each are stored
on all computers in the network. Take bitcoin
as an example. When Alice sends an amount
of bitcoins to Bob it will be public information
for all in the system. This is different from our
traditional electronic system where only Alice,
Bob and a middleman like the bank would know
about the transaction. If Alice wants to send 2
BTC to Bob, she has to enter the amount and his
bitcoin address.
This information will be broadcasted to the
whole community, stating that the amount of
Alice’s account should go down by 2 BTC and the
amount on Bobs account should go up. When the
nodes in the network receive this information it
will be saved in their copy of the ledger and it will
be known that Bob is now the rightful owner of
the bitcoins (Scott Driscoll, 2013). The ledger
is very simple – consisting of a bitcoin address
and the amount. There are no names attached, or
any private information at all. The transactions
are thus anonymous. This system has a built-in
check system to avoid the double use of each unit
of value. It is done by establishing a consensus of
approval of an appropriate algorithm solution for
each transaction from the whole network. This
system is decentralised and thus completely
separates the personal information from
information required to perform a transaction.
The second protocol is the trust-based
protocol, which is used by Ripple and permits
the transaction between trusted parties. It is
considered to exhibit more potential for trade of
digital asset such as stock, options etc. One main
advantage is the single ledger system that leads
to a transaction time of a few seconds whereas
for bitcoins transaction time is 12 minutes. The
system required information to qualify users as
trusted parties and the increased transparency
has had an attraction for the institutional agents,
but might not attract the consumers in the same
way. Appendix 3 shows more about the technical
aspect of the protocols such as the Block Chain
system etc.
2.	 The currencies –
Medium of Value Exchange
Acurrency can be defined as “any form of
money that is in public circulation.” Thus we
have a sort of value, but here it does not exist in a
physical form; only digitally. This means that the
value only exists as long as someone accepts it,
exactly as for many flat currencies. We have seen
several examples of cryptocurrencies; Bitocin,
Litecoin, Zerocin etc. Other coins are based on
an underlying commodity such as gold or another
unit such as the Kenyan M-pesa, which is based
on the value of cell phone minutes resulting in a
very liquid currency.
3.	 Improvement technologies
Several innovations are building on the infrastructure and service from existing digital currencies.
For example colored coins are defined as “bitcoins minting an exchange protocol,” which have
the purpose of creating a means for other types of assets such as financials derivatives etc. The
bitcoin, with its open source system, allows the best cryptographic and business minds to improve
the system and thus leading to a natural flow of innovations.
There have been written hundreds of articles about the benefits and risks involved with
cryptocurrencies. The following is pointing out some of the most common arguments based on
research from academic papers to articles on forbes.com, the Economist, Financial Times etc.
10
There are Numerous Drivers of the Expansion of Cryptocurrencies…
•	 Safety: Thecurrentpaymentsystemthroughthebanksmeansthatyougiveawayinformation
when you pay that actually can be used, if hacked, to take money from your account. However, for
most cryptocurrencies the information you get to receive money from a person does not give any
information about how to take money from the account.
•	Accessibility: Globally, a large number of people do not have access to the established
financial sector due to social, economic or cultural barriers. According to laws in Scandinavia anyone
above the age of 15 can have an account with a debit card unless a valid reason can be found to reject
the person.
•	 Low transaction cost for peer-to-peer transactions: The global ledger system is approving
the transaction. The systems incentives structure creates low transaction costs as each person
approving receives part of a bitcoin for the action.
•	 Internationaltransfer: The global remittance amount is more than 1 trillion USD and agents,
such as Western Union, are charging very high prices for the international transfers.
•	 Reaction to the crisis: The scepticism about the financial sector and the functions of
traditional banks is present among the founder of bitcoin as well as among the consumers. The digital
currency is not linked to a central bank and is thus not dependent on neither private investors interest
nor a government’s policies.
… But also Several Barriers
•	 Lack of regulation: The regulation of bitcoins has been noticeably missing. This creates
confusion among investors, institutions and entrepreneurs. The risk of engagement in something
that might be partly illegal reduces expansion incentives.
•	 Criminal opportunities: The anonymity of the users of digital currencies has lead to
accusations about leading to new possibilities for illegal activities and money transfers. The scandal
of the Silk Road has also spurred this perception.
•	 Lack of protection: What makes the digital currency independent also makes it vulnerable
to fraud, loss and wrong delivery of goods. No protection is offered to the consumer. The bankruptcy
of MTgox, the largest bitcoin trader, has shown that these threats must be accommodated. Several
new businesses have occurred to meet this demand by offering insurance to users. However, this is
creating some new challenges as it requires personal information and thus violates the anonymity
characteristic of the digital currencies.
•	 Long-term sustainability of the system: Most cryptocurrencies are based on a fixed
maximum supply and the general structure of the system has not yet been tested in a very large
scale over a long period of time. A potential problem can be explained by Moore’s law. Moore’s Law
stipulates that the number of transistors doubles approximately every two years.
This implies that mining of the cryptocurrency will quickly become less and less profitable. It has
already been given up by regular people to mine Bitcoin and it is done by fewer professionals. It is then
becoming more centralized, without knowledge of the identity of the big miners.
11
5.	 The Banks and Cryptocurrencies: Friend or Foe
A Hostile Relationship…
The surge of interest in cryptocurrencies,
such as bitcoins etc., has been attributed
to the failure of the current financial system.
According to the founder of bitcoins ”The history
of flat currencies is full of breaches of that trust,”
banks must be trusted to hold our money and
transfer it electronically, but they lend it out in
waves of credit bubbles with barely a fraction in
reserve. This has been part of the road towards a
perception of hostility between banks and digital
currencies. UK’s leading association within the
banking sector, the BBAx, which is speaking on
behalf of the largest British banks, emphasizes
the need for monitoring transactions to ensure
a safe financial sector while China’s government
only advices the financial institution not to
engageinbitcointradewhileindividualconsumers
can act as they want.
Exhibit 11 shows the volatility in the bitcoin
exchange rate with the Dollar compared to the
Euro/Dollar exchange rate. It is clear that the
bitcoin price is very volatile, which can confirm
some of the concerns mentioned above. The
arguments made on the previous pages are
repeated by banks representatives all over the
world, while advocates of cryptocurrencies
are accusing them of worrying about the effect
on their profit of a cheaper means of transfer.
Appendix 4 shows a few examples of how digital
currencies have been applied in society including
the German Fidor Bank’s partnership with
bitcoins.
Exhibit11:Thevolatilityofthebitcoin/dollarexchangerate
Source: Bloomberg
…HeadingtowardsExplorationofSynergy
Potential
The reluctance among banks to engage in
cryptocurrencies has partly been due to
the lack of regulation. The risk of engaging in
cryptocurrencies is substantial for such a heavily
regulated industry. However, the last year has
shown a change of mind in the industry. Bank of
America is predicting that digital currencies will
be an important part of the future. Wells Fargo
is holding a public forum to discuss the bitcoin
engagement. Now 400 European banks are
permitting direct bitcoin purchases. Also, banks
are considering the opportunities of adapting
the technologies of the digital currencies and
integrate into their current business. For example
by adopting the block-chain system and thus
create control.
12
6.	Epilogue
Henrik’s thoughts were interrupted by a knock on the door. His secretary reminded him about
his lunch meeting. Henrik nodded and took his blazer from the chair. Looking at the screen on
his computer, where the words “IT is the Future” were written across a picture of the 200 year-old
building he was sitting in, he suddenly felt better. He was confident that combining the knowledge
of the ancient and historically traditional bank with the possibilities of the cryptocurrencies was, in
spite of the controversies, the future. With the banking sectors’ new playing field framed with the
lessons from the crisis and the increasing demands from the stakeholders, innovation and renewal
was crucial to the banks success. Whether it was as currency, protocol or something completely
different, he knew cryptocurrencies offered the best solution.
Now, for the meeting with the national CEOs Henrik needs not only an innovative idea for
incorporating the cryptocurrencies into the bank with a detailed plan of the IT-architecture
behind. He also needs a clear and holistic strategy on, how to create the optimal synergy between the
IT potential of the digital currencies and the business functioning of the bank.
13
Appendix 1: Bank Service Example
Primary Operations:
•	 Storage of money
•	 Allowing withdrawals
•	 Issuance of cheque books
•	 Payment of bills
•	 Provide personal loans, commercial loans and mortgage loans
•	 Issuance of credit cards and processing of credit card transactions and billing
•	 Issuance of debit cards for use as a substitute for cheques
•	 Transactions at branches or by using ATMs
•	 Provide wire transfers of funds and electronic fund transfers between banks
•	 Provide internet banking system
•	 Provide charge card advances of the bank’s own money
•	 Provide a check guaranteed by the Bank itself
•	 Notary service for financial and other documents
•	 Accepting the deposits from customer and provide the credit facilities to them.
•	 Sell Investment products like Mutual funds etc.
Investment banking services
•	 Capital markets services – underwriting debt and equity, assists company deals (advisory 	
services, underwriting, mergers and acquisitions and advisory fees), and restructure debt into
structured finance products.
•	 Private banking – private banks provide banking services exclusively to high-net-worth 	 	
	individuals.
•	 Brokerage services – facilitating the buying and selling of financial securities between a buyer
and a seller
Foreign exchange services
•	 Currency exchange
•	 Wire transfer
•	Remittance
Investment services
•	 Asset management
•	 Hedge fund Management
•	 Custody services
Insurance
•	 Insurance of individuals, groups and corporations
•	 Insurance underwriting
•	Reinsurance
Other financial services
•	 Bank cards – include both credit cards and debit cards.
•	 Credit card machine services
•	 Intermediation or advisory services
•	 Private equity
•	 Venture capital
•	 Angel investment.
14
Appendix 2: Basel III and Basel IV
Basel III is a set of reform measures created by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS)
in July 2010. It aims to strengthen regulation, supervision and risk management of the banking
sector. Basel III is the first-ever global minimum standard for banking liquidity. The revision of Basel II,
which led to the creation of Basel III, stemmed from the increasingly obvious signs that there were “too
much leverage and inadequate liquidity buffers.”
Its main objectives include the following:
•	 Strengthen bank’s ability to withhold financial shocks and economic stress
•	 Create more bank transparency
•	 Provide better risk management and governance
The two main components of Basel III are the new
capital and liquidity requirements. According to
KPMG, several banks will face difficulties as they
try to meet these high standards. Stress tests,
which are also a component of Basel III, will also be
carried out to ensure that banks have a sufficient
amount of high quality capital and to reduce
uncertainty. The Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR)
is important in Basel III, for it hopes to strengthen
global capital and liquidity regulations to create a
more resilient banking sector.
The LCR aims to ”ensure that a bank has an
adequate stock of cash or assets that can be
converted into cash at little or no loss of value in
private markets, to meet its liquidity needs for a
30 calendar day liquidity stress scen-ario.” The
deadline for the technical implementation of Ba-
selIIIis2019,buttheBaselCommitteeonBanking
Supervision released a consul-tative paper, Basel
IV, which suggest even stricter rules:
Exhibit12:TheBaselIIIcomparedtoBaselIV
Source: http://www.kpmg.com/ID/en/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesPublications/Documents/Basel4-Emerging-from-the-
Mist.pdf
15
Appendix 3: Technical Details of Digital Currencies
This appendix aims to explain the technology behind crypto-currencies more in depth.
Block Chain
As mentioned previously, all transactions are stored in a ledger – the payment system. A payment
system which is often applied by crypto-currencies such as bitcoins is the block chains. This
makes it possible to check out how much value belongs (?) to each account at any point in history. It
is, however, worth noticing that other payment systems are possible for crypto-currencies.
The block chains store the transactions, which is the most remarkable element of cryptocurrencies
compared to other payment systems. For a digital currency like bitcoin all transactions will be stored
in one long block chain that consist of all transactions from today and back to the beginning of the
currency. A block chain is as the name indicates a chain of blocks. Each block is connected to the
one before and after in the chain. To connect the blocks each block consist of a hash of the previous
block. This ensures a chronological view. Each block is given a unique ID, which is the number of the
previous block + 1. The latest blocks generated thus show us how many blocks are in the system.
It can happen that two blocks are created only seconds apart. This will
cause the two blocks to connect to the same prior block “breaking the
chain in two.” The next block will not be able to refer to two blocks, and
thereby connect the chain again, so the next block will refer to the block
first created. It might take some blocks to discover which branch is the
longest. When this has been clear, the blocks from the shorter branch
will be put into the pool of queued transactions and will end up in new
blocks.
Each block consists of a number of transactions which can vary quite
a bit. A block is created by the nodes in the system. Transactions made
are distributed to the system. All the nodes gather all the transactions
made in a certain timeframe (typically about 20 minutes). A typical block
consists of 800 transactions. All these transactions are connected in
pairs using hash functions. This pairing continues until there are only
a single digest. The digest is then combined with the hash of the latest
accepted block, and the transactions are now stored in the global ledger.
The merging of the transactions is called a merkle tree or a hash tree,
and is an important part of the bitcoin system. A hash tree makes it
possible to verify data handled and transferred between computers. As
one transaction can be compared to a single entry in a ledger a block
corresponds to a page with multiple entries. A block is simply put a group
of transactions.
Verification
When the block has been created it contains
a lot of unverified transactions. In order for
the block to be verified, a proof of work challenge
is generated from the numbers of the block. A
proof of work protocol generates a challenge from
the data of the block. This challenge has a proof
that must be found by the nodes in the system.
The relationship between the challenge and the
proof can be compared to the mathematical
relationship between a private key and a public
key. When the numbers are put into a hash
function they need to give a certain output. There
are no ways to find the proof rather than by trying
one number at the time. If this were to be done
by one computer, it would take a long time, but
with a giant network of computers collaborating
it will take approximately ten minutes. When the
proof has been found, it will be easy to verify by
other nodes. This method is referred to as the
mathematical trapdoor function: very easy to
compute one way, with two inputs to find the
hash, and very difficult to compute in order to
find the proof to the challenge.
16
Digital Signatures
Digital signatures are an important role of
many cryptocurrency systems. They can be
compared to ordinary signatures, only they are
harder to forge due to the advanced mathematical
calculations, and are therefore more secure.
The signature ensures that it was indeed person
A who did send the money to person B. A digital
signature is a type of public key encryption as
opposed to the symmetric key encryption.
This means that two different keys are needed
in a transaction, instead of one that is shared
between the sender and the receiver. The public
key encryption is more advanced and also safer.
A digital signature consists of a private key and
a public key. These can also be referred to as the
signing key and the verification key. The two keys
are created using a defined algorithm. The private
key is of course private meaning that Alice will
be the only person to possess the key, just like a
finger print.
Thepublickeyisavailableforeveryone,andisused
to ensure that the message or money that person
B receives is actually from person A. The digital
signature sent from Alice contains the private key
as well as the message/money. This causes the
digital signature to change for each message. The
digital signature is thus always unique, but can
always be verified using the same public key.
The process of generating a digital signature
consists of three steps: 1. A key generation
algorithm is generating a private key at random.
From the private key, the public corresponding
key is generated. 2. A signing algorithm, which
generates a signature from the public and private
key, thus creating the signature, And lastly 3. a
signature verifying algorithm where the message,
the public key and the signature is run in order to
accept or reject the authenticity.
Mining
Alot of what has been explained
so far is related to the mining
of currencies. The generation of a
currency is referred to as mining. The
mining is performed by the nodes in
the system.
When the nodes spend CPU and
electricity for solving the proof of work
for each block, all the involved parties
are rewarded with an amount. So each
time a block is verified new money is
released into the system.
This explains the growing amount of
the currency as we have observed
with bitcoins. The designer of the
system described this as an incentive
for nodes to use CPU as well as a way
to distribute coins into the system.
In this way, nobody owns the system;
those who own currencies own the
system.
Private
key
Sign
Function
Verify
Function
Message
m
Signature
c
Message
m
Accept or
Reject
Public
key
17
User interface
Inordertousecryptocurrencyamethodofstorage
is necessary. For several cryptocurrencies,
such as bicoins, the user will need a wallet.
This is most often an application for the phone.
The application takes care of the private and
public keys as well as everything else technical.
The application can be downloaded from an “app
store” and need no further installation.
Bitcoins are acquired through the application
where users sell their bitcoins through a
professional bitcoins trading firm or by using a
bitcoin ATM.
When the bitcoins are verified to be received
on the device of the user it is possible to make
transactions to buy something or just send
money in general.
Often, this process resembles an ordinary
transaction, but instead of sending your bank
account details, you scan a QR code which is
unique for the transaction, press send – and in a
couple of minutes the receiver will see that the
transactions has been verified.
B
17
18
Appendix 4: Examples of Digital Currency Innovations
Notice that these examples are only meant for inspiration and should
not be perceived as any guidelines or hint of which direction to go.
I. Bitcoins: The largest and so far
The Most Robust Digital Currency
Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency introduced in 2008. It is defined as a digital currency and an
electronic payment system. What makes Bitcoins unique compared to our current currencies
is that is it decentralized. There is no central bank controlling it. By all means it is peer2peer-
driven. This causes the value of bitcoins to be very fluctuating: the currency is not centralized,
controlled or monitored. Instead the value is determined like stocks: based on demand.
18
19
This means that the buyers determine the
marketvalue.Thebitcoinhasexperiencedwild
fluctuations and prices bobbles. The brokerage
ConvergEx Group believes that the currency
will become more stable when it becomes more
widely used.
Already now the bitcoin seems more stable than
prior years, which is most likely caused by the
growing depth of the market.
Bitcoin has value since it lives up to most of the
characteristics of money, most importantly:
acceptability.
There is no actual value beside the fact that
people accept it as a currency.
This has led critics to claim that bitcoin is not a
real currency, and that bitcoin is evil etc.
Collective for these critics is that they all neglect
the fact that many of the characteristics of bitcoin
are also apparent in the current flat system. The
only difference is the fact that these are backed
up by a government, where bitcoin is backed up by
its users. The amount of bitcoin is controlled as
most cryptocurrencies and will never exceed 21
million. It is an advantage for the bitcoin that it will
not risk losing value because a Federal Reserve
Bank keeps printing. If the demand decreases,
the value decreases.
However, several safety concerns about
cryptocurrencies have been pointed out about
bitcoins. The American security researcher Dan
Kaminsky says that bitcoin builds on a foundation
of buggy technologies: the internet. There have
been numerous hacker attacks over the years
and bitcoin is a popular goal for hackers.
The bitcoin exchange MtGox reported 150.000
attacks pr. second in the days leading up to their
collapse. One of the reasons that made these
attacks possible was a bug in a Java development
tool concerning the function for the digital
signature algorithm (ECDSA).
Exhibit13:Bicoinsmainfeatures
Source: http://natocouncil.ca/bitcoin-mintchip-and-the-future-of-money/
20
Cryptocurrencies have experienced a high surge of interest the last decades, but in fact another
category of digital currencies has also been subject to a steep innovation curve. Digital currencies
issued by Internet platforms such as Facebook and Amazon have their own system of acquisition,
transaction and redemption, and although they have been restricted to their respective platforms for
now, they may be used outside of these in the future.
Trading coupons and bonus points have been illegal in Scandinavia for years, while it is flourishing in
the US. The platform-based digital currencies are, however, not restricted in the same way. Whereas
these currencies are not exhibiting the same decentralized features as cryptocurrencies, their
development are closely monitored by banks for mainly two reasons.
The partnership with bitcoin.de meant that the
bank agreed to provide a large-scale liability
umbrella so that the marketplace for bicoins is
officially following the regulations of the financial
markets.
“With Fidor Bank AG as our partner, the digital
bitcoin currency, which was initially smiled at
as internet play money, is increasingly turning
into a serious alternative currency after only
four years,” said Oliver Flaskämper, managing
director of Bitcoin Deutschland GmbH.
The Kraken partnership involved an initiative to
create a specialized bank that offers a wide range
of financial services with cryptocurrencies.
The introduction of the Fidor Bitcoin derivatives
market brought the bank another leap forward in
investing in the decentralized and open source
technologies.
With the new payment system the banks hopes
to achieve significant cost savings on conducting
intra-bank transactions. Interestingly enough
the bank’s stock price rose over 60% since the
Bitcoin.de partnership was launched.
II.	 Fidor Bank: Taking Bitcoins to the Next Level
StartinginJuly2013theMunich-basedbankFidorBankAGhasbeenafrontrunnerinimplementing
the cryptocurrencies:
21
Firstly, they can have an impact as many of the issuers such as Facebook and Amazon have a larger
reach and customer base than most banks, which means that if customers start trading between
them, it will affect the banking sector. Secondly, the innovations in these currencies could offer
potential benefits for the banking industry. A few examples in the platform-based digital currency
arena are mentioned below. Whereas none of them are near being as acceptable or widespread as
bitcoins, they do offer inspiration to new ways of thinking about digital currencies.
•	 Facebook credits introduced in 2009
•	 Users can purchase premium content for games and applications
•	 No redemption nor transaction possible
•	 Phased out in 2013
•	 World of Warcraft gold
•	 Acquired by playing skills and used to buy additional gear for their
	avatars.
•	 Restriction on acquisition, and no redemption nor transaction possible
•	 Amazon Coins introduced in 2013
•	 Can be spent only on approved applications (apps)
•	 for the Kindle Fire not any other amazon product
•	 No redemption nor transaction possible
•	 Linden dollars are functioning as a normal currency within the
	 economic activity of the game
•	 They are bought for national currencies, can be traded and redeemed
•	 However still not widely used outside of the game
21
22
	
The Bank Environment in Scandinavia
1. http://sebgroup.com/siteassets/corporations_and_institutions/prospectuses_and_
downloads/research_reports/nordic_outlook/2014/14_08_nordic_outlook.pdf
2. http://danskeanalyse.danskebank.dk/link/NordicOutlook250614/$file
NordicOutlook_250614.pdf
3. http://www.fjarmalaraduneyti.is/media/frettir/Economic-Outlook-in-the-Nordic-
Countries-2014.pdf
4. https://www.chicagofed.org/~/media/publications/chicago-fed-letter/2014/cfljuly2014-324- 	
pdf.pdf
5. http://www.kilpailuvirasto.fi/tiedostot/Nordic_Retail_Banking.pdf
Banking – Profit Search with Safety and Stability in Mind
6. http://www.kommunikationsforening.dk/artikler/banker-døjer-stadig-med-manglende-tillid
7. http://www.netpromoter.com/why-net-promoter/know/
8. http://financial-stability.org/fileadmin/research/analysen/2012/ICFR_Basel%20IV%20
what%20to%20expect_11-2012_kl.pdf
Cryptocurrencies - a revolution of the Currency Sector
9. http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/quarterlybulletin/2014/
qb14q3digitalcurrenciesbitcoin2.pdf
10. http://research.gigaom.com/report/bitcoin-and-beyond-understanding-the-opportunity-in-
digital-currency-services-and-infrastructure/
11. http://www.economist.com/news/united-states/21639525-one-dread-pirate-trial-what-
about-others-bitcoin-buccaneers
12. http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-mining-can-longer-ignore-moores-law/
The Banks and Cryptocurrencies: Friends or Foes
13. https://www.tcd.ie/Economics/assets/pdf/SER/2014/Gearoid_Gibbs.pdf
8.	References
23
CASE WRITERS
Vibeke Greby Schmidt
Michael Kristensen
THANKS TO
On behalf of IT Case Competition 2015, we, the case writers
would like to thank the following people for their invaluable
input to this case and the creation of ITCC 2015.
Danske Bank
Everyone at the Danske Bank office at Ejby Industrivej 41,
2600 Glostrup and especially the following people who made this case become a
reality:
Jørgen Wittenkamp, Head of Business Banking IT, development director
Michael Boelhøj Andersen, Student Assistant, Group IT HR
Maria Louise Ebro Christensen, HR and Business Speacialist
MENTORING and
GRAPHIC DESIGN from
Jakob Geitner-Andersen, Bus & Sys Consultant, Accenture
Jannik Henriks, PE&CE Analyst, Accenture
Ema Rogobete, Graphic Designer, Accenture
DISCLAIMER
THIS CASE IS THE SOLE RESPONSIBILITY OF THE WRITERS ALONE. DANSKE BANK IS SUBSEQUENTLY NOT
RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY STATEMENTS OR CONSTRUC¬TIONS IN THIS CASE REGARDGING ITS BUSINESS OR
OPERATIONS. THIS CASE CANNOT BE USED OUTSIDE OF IT CASE COMPETITION 2014 AND MAY NOT BE PUBLICLY
QOUTED OR COPIED WITHOUT THE ACCEPT OF THE AUTHORS. MAY THE FORCE BE WITH YOU. COPYRIGHT IT CASE
COMPETITION 2015
23
IT Case Competition Case 2015

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IT Case Competition Case 2015

  • 2. 2 1. PROLOGUE.......................................................................................................................4 2. THE BANK ENVIRONMENT IN SCANDINAVIA...........................................5 3. BANKING – PROFIT SEARCH WITH SAFETY AND STABILITY IN MIND.........................................................................................7 4. CRYPTOCURRENCIES - A REVOLUTION OF THE CURRENCY SECTOR..............................................8 5. THE BANKS AND CRYPTOCURRENCIES: FRIEND OR FOE................12 6. EPILOGUE.......................................................................................................................13 7. APPENDICES...............................................................................................................13 Appendix 1: Bank Service Examples............................................................................14 Appendix 2: Basel III and Basel IV..................................................................................15 Appendix 3: Technical Details of Digital Currencies.................................................15 Appendix 4: Examples of Digital Currency Innovations............................................17 8. REFERENCES...............................................................................................................21 Table of Contents 2
  • 3. 3 All his Country CEOs were boarding planes from the other Scandinavian capitals at this moment. Tomorrow at 9 o’clock they would all be here, ready to hear his vision for the bank’s future. The Nordic countries’ economies had finally reached a relatively stable recovery. Henrik was sure that the Bank could now start exploring new opportunities instead of the constant sense of urgency that has been present for the last years. He looked down at the report he had been given last week and remembered his excitement, when reading about the cryptocurrencies’ expansion and increased popularity. Whilemanyofthetopmanagersinhisindustryconsideredcryptocurrenciesathreattothetraditional banking system, Henrik was sure they contained endless opportunities. He wanted to create the same excitement among his CEOs. He needed to come up with a proposal for the prospects of digital currencies, and how the Bank should explore them. He wanted something to be applied in the bank as a whole across the country frontiers. He could feel his heart beat faster at mere the thought. 24 hours to come up with a brilliant and feasible idea that could convince his CEOs. He has seen, how the disrupters such as Über, Mobilepay etc had changed the rules of the game in their niche. Thinking about cryptocurrencies, what if they included such a currency in their business or even created their own? What would that do? Henrik Agerson, the Bank’s Group Chief Executive OfficerwasstandinginhisofficeinCopenhagen. Looking out of the large window he wondered whether the people swimming at Islands Brygge sometimes gazed up at him and observed his movements the same way he did with them in this very moment. It was one of the rare instants, where neither meeting nor anything urgent was on the schedule. He did not know whether he should be enjoying this small break or curse it for allowing him to think about the upcoming meeting. 1. Prologue 3
  • 4. 4 2. The Bank Environment in Scandinavia In the years 2008-2009 the financial sector experienced one of the most problematic periods in the recent history. The collapse in the US real estate sector and a flawed securities market caused a spillover-effect in the European market, which was enforced by regional problems in the financial and public sector. The Scandinavian Banks as a whole managed the crisis quite well, but a number of bankruptcies did occur – 62 banks in Denmark ceased operating – and the largest Danish bank, Danske Bank, had to face a deposit deficit of 350 billion DDK. The years to come were turbulent for the banks, which is now characterized by several trends: A Fragile Recovery with Regional Differences The Nordic countries are exiting the crisis with different pace – see Exhibit 1 – as well as having different challenges to overcome. Denmark is showing a more stable recovery with forecasted GDP of 1.8% in 2015, while Sweden is, in spite of a slower speed remaining in positive numbers. While Norway has been touched by the sharp decrease in oil prices, Finland is the one behind in the Nordic region as the only country with a negative GDP growth prospect in 2015. The main issues include unemployment and slow return to the pre-crisis consumption levels, but the encouraging numbers from the US in 2014 are predicted to have a spill over-effect on the European consumer confidence in the next years. Lower Interests are Encouraging Investment but also Challenging the Banks The low interest rates are encouraging housing investments.Thiscombinedwithenhancedcorporate sales and earnings due to the promising economy are creating belief in investment growth. The expectations are first of all for private investments, but in 2015 also corporate investments are supposed to be increasing with 3.5 %. Source: http://sebgroup.com/siteassets/corporations_and_institutions/prospectuses_ and_downloads/research_reports/nordic_outlook/2014/14_08_nordic_outlook. pdf Source: http://ieconomics.com/chart/?s=Finland:Interest%2BRate,Denmark:Inter- est%2BRate,Sweden:Interest%2BRate,Norway:Interest%2BRate,Iceland:In- terest%2BRate Exhibit 2: Interest Rate development in the Nordic countries Exhibit1:GDPlevel,index100=Q12008
  • 5. 5 The low interest is, however, creating a challenge for the banks. The income from loan interest rate is declining, squeezing the profitability. Furthermore there are increased incentives to invest or spend rather than deposit money, which enforces the negative effect on the profit. The banks are then forced to closely control or even reduce costs to avoid an operating deficit, if the negative effect it is not sufficiently offset by an increased loan amount driven by lower interest rates and economic growth. Another pressure on the interest rates occurs from the low expectations of inflation. Deflation or very low inflation is not only depressing the banking sectorthroughtheeffectontheinterest rate. “Debt deflation” covers the fact that deflation increases the real value of debt whereas the collateral to secure the loan is losing value. The deterioration in the balance sheet tends to affect the loan demand negatively. Thus the banking sector needs a way to encourage loan which among others increases investment in return. Exhibit 3: The divergent inflation expectations. 5-year break-even inflation,percent Source: Bloomberg Exhibit4:MarketsharesintheNordicbankingSector Source: http://www.kilpailuvirasto.fi/tiedostot/ Nordic_Retail_Banking.pdf The Competitive Landscape The Scandinavian banking industry consisted of several hundred smaller banks, but due to the crisis a series of mergers and bankruptcies reduced this number. The market is now very concentrated and contains a few dominating players - Exhibit 4 shows their respective market shares. Scandinavian Banks have since the late 80s been characterized by their multi- functionality – universal banks – as they often include both investment and commercial functions.
  • 6. 6 3. Banking – Profit Search with Safety and Stability in Mind A Complicated Role as Middleman Banks are an essential part of the everyday life in Scandinavia. Their main role is as channel for money to the intended destination. They are operating in several arenas. Abank is defined in the narrow sense as a financial institution licensed as a receiver of deposits. Being a large Scandinavian bank, on the other hand, includes a wide range of services. Appendix 1 shows a list of examples of services under each category of banking mentioned below. Banking thus involves a complex set of actions that must be aligned in order to function efficiently. • Daily Business The role of the bank here is an integrated part of the whole business cycle.Banksareconsultedwhenbusinessesstartup,whentheyexpand and when they sell or buy. They are necessary to ensure a competitive economy with an efficient and innovative business life. • Daily Life During the day, we are using banks through our credit cards, cash withdrawals and deposits, paying bills etc. They are the ones settling the mismatch between people’s current income and expenditure, and the ones in the future by providing loans to, for example housing or education. • Growth The Danish National economy and development are very dependent on the efficiency of the financial sector including the banks. A trustworthy financial sector is crucial to attract foreign investment, and provide the right conditions for macroeconomic improvements. In Europe, banks are doing 75% of all corporate financing compared to 30% in the US. Exhibits 5 and 6 illustrate the importance and size of the Danish banks. • As Businesses Themselves Banks are contributing significantly to the national economy through job creation, tax payments, education etc. while remaining an attraction for foreign capital as well. They are supporting local communities through donations, scholarships and other CSR initiatives. Exhibit5:DanishBanks’contributiontotheDanishGDP Exhibit6:SizeofDanishBank’scomparedtotheGDP 5% Denmark DanskeBank Nykredit NordeaBank Danmark
  • 7. 7 A Group of Stakeholders with Very Different Objectives All these different roles result in a need for the banks to act and think holistically. They have to consider three kinds of key stakeholders in every decision-making. Each stakeholder has his or her opinion and objective. Furthermore, in the aftermath of the financial crisis, all three groups have undergone changes: Customers are remaining negative towards the banks. Even though the Danish media in 2014 only had 7% of articles about the financial sector with a negative perspective compared to 20% in 2009, consumers remain more hesitant towards changing perspective. The banks’ Net Promoter Score was only -10. The Danish consumers seem to consider the larger banks as the evils, but global surveys report that the most important thing for the customers is transparency, flexibility and to feel special. This has lead towards a customer- centric perspective. This is mainly driven by the high performance of retail banking, but also to offset the negative reputation. Nonetheless, this creates new challenges for banks, which traditionally have been applying a more push than pull strategy. Regulatorsaretighteningrequirementstowards the banks and the web of new regulations on national, regional (EU) and global levels are leading to uncertainty and confusion. The challenges of operating in this environment rise from being compliant without hurting profitability and efficiency, which with the Basel IV Bank standard will be complicated. The stricter capital requirements set the need for more complicated calculations in terms of risk and the larger banks must face this while remaining sufficiently flexible in the global competitive environment, see Appendix 2 for details about Basel III and IV. Investors have been marked by the crisis and the European Banks have been offering lower and lower returns to their investors compared to their American counterparts as shown in exhibit 8. Even though there is a consensus about the importance of a more long-term, sustainable strategy,acompetitiveprofitisstillrequired.Ifthe required returns are not offered, then investors will not provide enough capital. Furthermore, each debt coupon issued now must incorporate the risk of bailout. Customers Regulators Investors BANK Customer centric ReturnsCompliance Exhibit7:BaselIIIframework Source: http://roadmap2013.schoenherr.eu/new- capital-requirements/ Exhibit 8: Banks Return on Equity (RoE in%) per country 2009and2014 Source: http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/us- markets/eurozone-banks-ready-to-implode-part-2-in- search-of-solvency?post=56643
  • 8. 8 4. Cryptocurrencies - a revolution of the Currency Sector In order to balance all three trends; consumer-centric focus and increased regulatory requirements while still generating sufficient shareholder returns, the banks must engage in the IT innovation wave and explore its opportunities. IT Innovation in all areas from operations to sales and distribution must be implemented so Scandinavian banks can survive in the global arena. Exhibit 9 shows that Scandinavian banks have been quite progressive in the digital implementation. However, they need to take the next step, moving from digital banking initiatives playing out in the mobile space commitment to enterprise- wide digitalisation. Research from the consulting company Accenture, suggests that by 2020 “33% of banks’ revenues could be eroded by competition from digital players.” Several of these players are part of a group of innovations that some claim will lead to a new era within the financial sector – the digital currencies. Currencies and payment systems are of fundamental importance in our society. The last decades we have seen a trend towards something different. Currently there are more than 300 alternative payment systems globally for e-commerce transactions. One can categorize these innovations on two axes based on what new they bring to society as illustrated in the figure to the right. Digital currencies ”incorporate both a new decentralised payment system and a new currency.” Digital currency is an alternative delivery method for the exchange of value and the social and technical infrastructure that comes with it. Thus it incorporates both types of innovation. Digital currencies are expected to account for 5% of the e-commerce volume – 209 billion USD - in 2017. One of the most important types of digital currency is cryptocurrencies. They are accepted through a consensus by means of technique from the field of cryptography. Source: http://www.mckinsey.de/sites/mck_files/files/mckinsey_ global_banking_annual_review_2014.pdf Exhibit10: Theglobal ledgersystem Besides the two innovations mentioned above, a third category is building upon the two – improvement technologies. All three are elaborated in this paragraph. 1. Transaction protocols There are two major protocols that cryptocurrencies offer as a new payment system. Both offer the advantages of cheap transaction and a near real- time clearing and settlement. It is about minimizing the friction of sending money. Source: http://brikis98.blogspot. dk/2014/04/bitcoin-by-analogy.html Three Categories of Technologies Exhibit9:Shareofrevenueinthebankingsectorfromdigitalsales
  • 9. 9 The proof-of-work protocol, which bitcoin is operating with, is the leading system. The system can be described as a global ledger. All transactions are stored publicly like in a ledger. All accounts and the amount on each are stored on all computers in the network. Take bitcoin as an example. When Alice sends an amount of bitcoins to Bob it will be public information for all in the system. This is different from our traditional electronic system where only Alice, Bob and a middleman like the bank would know about the transaction. If Alice wants to send 2 BTC to Bob, she has to enter the amount and his bitcoin address. This information will be broadcasted to the whole community, stating that the amount of Alice’s account should go down by 2 BTC and the amount on Bobs account should go up. When the nodes in the network receive this information it will be saved in their copy of the ledger and it will be known that Bob is now the rightful owner of the bitcoins (Scott Driscoll, 2013). The ledger is very simple – consisting of a bitcoin address and the amount. There are no names attached, or any private information at all. The transactions are thus anonymous. This system has a built-in check system to avoid the double use of each unit of value. It is done by establishing a consensus of approval of an appropriate algorithm solution for each transaction from the whole network. This system is decentralised and thus completely separates the personal information from information required to perform a transaction. The second protocol is the trust-based protocol, which is used by Ripple and permits the transaction between trusted parties. It is considered to exhibit more potential for trade of digital asset such as stock, options etc. One main advantage is the single ledger system that leads to a transaction time of a few seconds whereas for bitcoins transaction time is 12 minutes. The system required information to qualify users as trusted parties and the increased transparency has had an attraction for the institutional agents, but might not attract the consumers in the same way. Appendix 3 shows more about the technical aspect of the protocols such as the Block Chain system etc. 2. The currencies – Medium of Value Exchange Acurrency can be defined as “any form of money that is in public circulation.” Thus we have a sort of value, but here it does not exist in a physical form; only digitally. This means that the value only exists as long as someone accepts it, exactly as for many flat currencies. We have seen several examples of cryptocurrencies; Bitocin, Litecoin, Zerocin etc. Other coins are based on an underlying commodity such as gold or another unit such as the Kenyan M-pesa, which is based on the value of cell phone minutes resulting in a very liquid currency. 3. Improvement technologies Several innovations are building on the infrastructure and service from existing digital currencies. For example colored coins are defined as “bitcoins minting an exchange protocol,” which have the purpose of creating a means for other types of assets such as financials derivatives etc. The bitcoin, with its open source system, allows the best cryptographic and business minds to improve the system and thus leading to a natural flow of innovations. There have been written hundreds of articles about the benefits and risks involved with cryptocurrencies. The following is pointing out some of the most common arguments based on research from academic papers to articles on forbes.com, the Economist, Financial Times etc.
  • 10. 10 There are Numerous Drivers of the Expansion of Cryptocurrencies… • Safety: Thecurrentpaymentsystemthroughthebanksmeansthatyougiveawayinformation when you pay that actually can be used, if hacked, to take money from your account. However, for most cryptocurrencies the information you get to receive money from a person does not give any information about how to take money from the account. • Accessibility: Globally, a large number of people do not have access to the established financial sector due to social, economic or cultural barriers. According to laws in Scandinavia anyone above the age of 15 can have an account with a debit card unless a valid reason can be found to reject the person. • Low transaction cost for peer-to-peer transactions: The global ledger system is approving the transaction. The systems incentives structure creates low transaction costs as each person approving receives part of a bitcoin for the action. • Internationaltransfer: The global remittance amount is more than 1 trillion USD and agents, such as Western Union, are charging very high prices for the international transfers. • Reaction to the crisis: The scepticism about the financial sector and the functions of traditional banks is present among the founder of bitcoin as well as among the consumers. The digital currency is not linked to a central bank and is thus not dependent on neither private investors interest nor a government’s policies. … But also Several Barriers • Lack of regulation: The regulation of bitcoins has been noticeably missing. This creates confusion among investors, institutions and entrepreneurs. The risk of engagement in something that might be partly illegal reduces expansion incentives. • Criminal opportunities: The anonymity of the users of digital currencies has lead to accusations about leading to new possibilities for illegal activities and money transfers. The scandal of the Silk Road has also spurred this perception. • Lack of protection: What makes the digital currency independent also makes it vulnerable to fraud, loss and wrong delivery of goods. No protection is offered to the consumer. The bankruptcy of MTgox, the largest bitcoin trader, has shown that these threats must be accommodated. Several new businesses have occurred to meet this demand by offering insurance to users. However, this is creating some new challenges as it requires personal information and thus violates the anonymity characteristic of the digital currencies. • Long-term sustainability of the system: Most cryptocurrencies are based on a fixed maximum supply and the general structure of the system has not yet been tested in a very large scale over a long period of time. A potential problem can be explained by Moore’s law. Moore’s Law stipulates that the number of transistors doubles approximately every two years. This implies that mining of the cryptocurrency will quickly become less and less profitable. It has already been given up by regular people to mine Bitcoin and it is done by fewer professionals. It is then becoming more centralized, without knowledge of the identity of the big miners.
  • 11. 11 5. The Banks and Cryptocurrencies: Friend or Foe A Hostile Relationship… The surge of interest in cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoins etc., has been attributed to the failure of the current financial system. According to the founder of bitcoins ”The history of flat currencies is full of breaches of that trust,” banks must be trusted to hold our money and transfer it electronically, but they lend it out in waves of credit bubbles with barely a fraction in reserve. This has been part of the road towards a perception of hostility between banks and digital currencies. UK’s leading association within the banking sector, the BBAx, which is speaking on behalf of the largest British banks, emphasizes the need for monitoring transactions to ensure a safe financial sector while China’s government only advices the financial institution not to engageinbitcointradewhileindividualconsumers can act as they want. Exhibit 11 shows the volatility in the bitcoin exchange rate with the Dollar compared to the Euro/Dollar exchange rate. It is clear that the bitcoin price is very volatile, which can confirm some of the concerns mentioned above. The arguments made on the previous pages are repeated by banks representatives all over the world, while advocates of cryptocurrencies are accusing them of worrying about the effect on their profit of a cheaper means of transfer. Appendix 4 shows a few examples of how digital currencies have been applied in society including the German Fidor Bank’s partnership with bitcoins. Exhibit11:Thevolatilityofthebitcoin/dollarexchangerate Source: Bloomberg …HeadingtowardsExplorationofSynergy Potential The reluctance among banks to engage in cryptocurrencies has partly been due to the lack of regulation. The risk of engaging in cryptocurrencies is substantial for such a heavily regulated industry. However, the last year has shown a change of mind in the industry. Bank of America is predicting that digital currencies will be an important part of the future. Wells Fargo is holding a public forum to discuss the bitcoin engagement. Now 400 European banks are permitting direct bitcoin purchases. Also, banks are considering the opportunities of adapting the technologies of the digital currencies and integrate into their current business. For example by adopting the block-chain system and thus create control.
  • 12. 12 6. Epilogue Henrik’s thoughts were interrupted by a knock on the door. His secretary reminded him about his lunch meeting. Henrik nodded and took his blazer from the chair. Looking at the screen on his computer, where the words “IT is the Future” were written across a picture of the 200 year-old building he was sitting in, he suddenly felt better. He was confident that combining the knowledge of the ancient and historically traditional bank with the possibilities of the cryptocurrencies was, in spite of the controversies, the future. With the banking sectors’ new playing field framed with the lessons from the crisis and the increasing demands from the stakeholders, innovation and renewal was crucial to the banks success. Whether it was as currency, protocol or something completely different, he knew cryptocurrencies offered the best solution. Now, for the meeting with the national CEOs Henrik needs not only an innovative idea for incorporating the cryptocurrencies into the bank with a detailed plan of the IT-architecture behind. He also needs a clear and holistic strategy on, how to create the optimal synergy between the IT potential of the digital currencies and the business functioning of the bank.
  • 13. 13 Appendix 1: Bank Service Example Primary Operations: • Storage of money • Allowing withdrawals • Issuance of cheque books • Payment of bills • Provide personal loans, commercial loans and mortgage loans • Issuance of credit cards and processing of credit card transactions and billing • Issuance of debit cards for use as a substitute for cheques • Transactions at branches or by using ATMs • Provide wire transfers of funds and electronic fund transfers between banks • Provide internet banking system • Provide charge card advances of the bank’s own money • Provide a check guaranteed by the Bank itself • Notary service for financial and other documents • Accepting the deposits from customer and provide the credit facilities to them. • Sell Investment products like Mutual funds etc. Investment banking services • Capital markets services – underwriting debt and equity, assists company deals (advisory services, underwriting, mergers and acquisitions and advisory fees), and restructure debt into structured finance products. • Private banking – private banks provide banking services exclusively to high-net-worth individuals. • Brokerage services – facilitating the buying and selling of financial securities between a buyer and a seller Foreign exchange services • Currency exchange • Wire transfer • Remittance Investment services • Asset management • Hedge fund Management • Custody services Insurance • Insurance of individuals, groups and corporations • Insurance underwriting • Reinsurance Other financial services • Bank cards – include both credit cards and debit cards. • Credit card machine services • Intermediation or advisory services • Private equity • Venture capital • Angel investment.
  • 14. 14 Appendix 2: Basel III and Basel IV Basel III is a set of reform measures created by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) in July 2010. It aims to strengthen regulation, supervision and risk management of the banking sector. Basel III is the first-ever global minimum standard for banking liquidity. The revision of Basel II, which led to the creation of Basel III, stemmed from the increasingly obvious signs that there were “too much leverage and inadequate liquidity buffers.” Its main objectives include the following: • Strengthen bank’s ability to withhold financial shocks and economic stress • Create more bank transparency • Provide better risk management and governance The two main components of Basel III are the new capital and liquidity requirements. According to KPMG, several banks will face difficulties as they try to meet these high standards. Stress tests, which are also a component of Basel III, will also be carried out to ensure that banks have a sufficient amount of high quality capital and to reduce uncertainty. The Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) is important in Basel III, for it hopes to strengthen global capital and liquidity regulations to create a more resilient banking sector. The LCR aims to ”ensure that a bank has an adequate stock of cash or assets that can be converted into cash at little or no loss of value in private markets, to meet its liquidity needs for a 30 calendar day liquidity stress scen-ario.” The deadline for the technical implementation of Ba- selIIIis2019,buttheBaselCommitteeonBanking Supervision released a consul-tative paper, Basel IV, which suggest even stricter rules: Exhibit12:TheBaselIIIcomparedtoBaselIV Source: http://www.kpmg.com/ID/en/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesPublications/Documents/Basel4-Emerging-from-the- Mist.pdf
  • 15. 15 Appendix 3: Technical Details of Digital Currencies This appendix aims to explain the technology behind crypto-currencies more in depth. Block Chain As mentioned previously, all transactions are stored in a ledger – the payment system. A payment system which is often applied by crypto-currencies such as bitcoins is the block chains. This makes it possible to check out how much value belongs (?) to each account at any point in history. It is, however, worth noticing that other payment systems are possible for crypto-currencies. The block chains store the transactions, which is the most remarkable element of cryptocurrencies compared to other payment systems. For a digital currency like bitcoin all transactions will be stored in one long block chain that consist of all transactions from today and back to the beginning of the currency. A block chain is as the name indicates a chain of blocks. Each block is connected to the one before and after in the chain. To connect the blocks each block consist of a hash of the previous block. This ensures a chronological view. Each block is given a unique ID, which is the number of the previous block + 1. The latest blocks generated thus show us how many blocks are in the system. It can happen that two blocks are created only seconds apart. This will cause the two blocks to connect to the same prior block “breaking the chain in two.” The next block will not be able to refer to two blocks, and thereby connect the chain again, so the next block will refer to the block first created. It might take some blocks to discover which branch is the longest. When this has been clear, the blocks from the shorter branch will be put into the pool of queued transactions and will end up in new blocks. Each block consists of a number of transactions which can vary quite a bit. A block is created by the nodes in the system. Transactions made are distributed to the system. All the nodes gather all the transactions made in a certain timeframe (typically about 20 minutes). A typical block consists of 800 transactions. All these transactions are connected in pairs using hash functions. This pairing continues until there are only a single digest. The digest is then combined with the hash of the latest accepted block, and the transactions are now stored in the global ledger. The merging of the transactions is called a merkle tree or a hash tree, and is an important part of the bitcoin system. A hash tree makes it possible to verify data handled and transferred between computers. As one transaction can be compared to a single entry in a ledger a block corresponds to a page with multiple entries. A block is simply put a group of transactions. Verification When the block has been created it contains a lot of unverified transactions. In order for the block to be verified, a proof of work challenge is generated from the numbers of the block. A proof of work protocol generates a challenge from the data of the block. This challenge has a proof that must be found by the nodes in the system. The relationship between the challenge and the proof can be compared to the mathematical relationship between a private key and a public key. When the numbers are put into a hash function they need to give a certain output. There are no ways to find the proof rather than by trying one number at the time. If this were to be done by one computer, it would take a long time, but with a giant network of computers collaborating it will take approximately ten minutes. When the proof has been found, it will be easy to verify by other nodes. This method is referred to as the mathematical trapdoor function: very easy to compute one way, with two inputs to find the hash, and very difficult to compute in order to find the proof to the challenge.
  • 16. 16 Digital Signatures Digital signatures are an important role of many cryptocurrency systems. They can be compared to ordinary signatures, only they are harder to forge due to the advanced mathematical calculations, and are therefore more secure. The signature ensures that it was indeed person A who did send the money to person B. A digital signature is a type of public key encryption as opposed to the symmetric key encryption. This means that two different keys are needed in a transaction, instead of one that is shared between the sender and the receiver. The public key encryption is more advanced and also safer. A digital signature consists of a private key and a public key. These can also be referred to as the signing key and the verification key. The two keys are created using a defined algorithm. The private key is of course private meaning that Alice will be the only person to possess the key, just like a finger print. Thepublickeyisavailableforeveryone,andisused to ensure that the message or money that person B receives is actually from person A. The digital signature sent from Alice contains the private key as well as the message/money. This causes the digital signature to change for each message. The digital signature is thus always unique, but can always be verified using the same public key. The process of generating a digital signature consists of three steps: 1. A key generation algorithm is generating a private key at random. From the private key, the public corresponding key is generated. 2. A signing algorithm, which generates a signature from the public and private key, thus creating the signature, And lastly 3. a signature verifying algorithm where the message, the public key and the signature is run in order to accept or reject the authenticity. Mining Alot of what has been explained so far is related to the mining of currencies. The generation of a currency is referred to as mining. The mining is performed by the nodes in the system. When the nodes spend CPU and electricity for solving the proof of work for each block, all the involved parties are rewarded with an amount. So each time a block is verified new money is released into the system. This explains the growing amount of the currency as we have observed with bitcoins. The designer of the system described this as an incentive for nodes to use CPU as well as a way to distribute coins into the system. In this way, nobody owns the system; those who own currencies own the system. Private key Sign Function Verify Function Message m Signature c Message m Accept or Reject Public key
  • 17. 17 User interface Inordertousecryptocurrencyamethodofstorage is necessary. For several cryptocurrencies, such as bicoins, the user will need a wallet. This is most often an application for the phone. The application takes care of the private and public keys as well as everything else technical. The application can be downloaded from an “app store” and need no further installation. Bitcoins are acquired through the application where users sell their bitcoins through a professional bitcoins trading firm or by using a bitcoin ATM. When the bitcoins are verified to be received on the device of the user it is possible to make transactions to buy something or just send money in general. Often, this process resembles an ordinary transaction, but instead of sending your bank account details, you scan a QR code which is unique for the transaction, press send – and in a couple of minutes the receiver will see that the transactions has been verified. B 17
  • 18. 18 Appendix 4: Examples of Digital Currency Innovations Notice that these examples are only meant for inspiration and should not be perceived as any guidelines or hint of which direction to go. I. Bitcoins: The largest and so far The Most Robust Digital Currency Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency introduced in 2008. It is defined as a digital currency and an electronic payment system. What makes Bitcoins unique compared to our current currencies is that is it decentralized. There is no central bank controlling it. By all means it is peer2peer- driven. This causes the value of bitcoins to be very fluctuating: the currency is not centralized, controlled or monitored. Instead the value is determined like stocks: based on demand. 18
  • 19. 19 This means that the buyers determine the marketvalue.Thebitcoinhasexperiencedwild fluctuations and prices bobbles. The brokerage ConvergEx Group believes that the currency will become more stable when it becomes more widely used. Already now the bitcoin seems more stable than prior years, which is most likely caused by the growing depth of the market. Bitcoin has value since it lives up to most of the characteristics of money, most importantly: acceptability. There is no actual value beside the fact that people accept it as a currency. This has led critics to claim that bitcoin is not a real currency, and that bitcoin is evil etc. Collective for these critics is that they all neglect the fact that many of the characteristics of bitcoin are also apparent in the current flat system. The only difference is the fact that these are backed up by a government, where bitcoin is backed up by its users. The amount of bitcoin is controlled as most cryptocurrencies and will never exceed 21 million. It is an advantage for the bitcoin that it will not risk losing value because a Federal Reserve Bank keeps printing. If the demand decreases, the value decreases. However, several safety concerns about cryptocurrencies have been pointed out about bitcoins. The American security researcher Dan Kaminsky says that bitcoin builds on a foundation of buggy technologies: the internet. There have been numerous hacker attacks over the years and bitcoin is a popular goal for hackers. The bitcoin exchange MtGox reported 150.000 attacks pr. second in the days leading up to their collapse. One of the reasons that made these attacks possible was a bug in a Java development tool concerning the function for the digital signature algorithm (ECDSA). Exhibit13:Bicoinsmainfeatures Source: http://natocouncil.ca/bitcoin-mintchip-and-the-future-of-money/
  • 20. 20 Cryptocurrencies have experienced a high surge of interest the last decades, but in fact another category of digital currencies has also been subject to a steep innovation curve. Digital currencies issued by Internet platforms such as Facebook and Amazon have their own system of acquisition, transaction and redemption, and although they have been restricted to their respective platforms for now, they may be used outside of these in the future. Trading coupons and bonus points have been illegal in Scandinavia for years, while it is flourishing in the US. The platform-based digital currencies are, however, not restricted in the same way. Whereas these currencies are not exhibiting the same decentralized features as cryptocurrencies, their development are closely monitored by banks for mainly two reasons. The partnership with bitcoin.de meant that the bank agreed to provide a large-scale liability umbrella so that the marketplace for bicoins is officially following the regulations of the financial markets. “With Fidor Bank AG as our partner, the digital bitcoin currency, which was initially smiled at as internet play money, is increasingly turning into a serious alternative currency after only four years,” said Oliver Flaskämper, managing director of Bitcoin Deutschland GmbH. The Kraken partnership involved an initiative to create a specialized bank that offers a wide range of financial services with cryptocurrencies. The introduction of the Fidor Bitcoin derivatives market brought the bank another leap forward in investing in the decentralized and open source technologies. With the new payment system the banks hopes to achieve significant cost savings on conducting intra-bank transactions. Interestingly enough the bank’s stock price rose over 60% since the Bitcoin.de partnership was launched. II. Fidor Bank: Taking Bitcoins to the Next Level StartinginJuly2013theMunich-basedbankFidorBankAGhasbeenafrontrunnerinimplementing the cryptocurrencies:
  • 21. 21 Firstly, they can have an impact as many of the issuers such as Facebook and Amazon have a larger reach and customer base than most banks, which means that if customers start trading between them, it will affect the banking sector. Secondly, the innovations in these currencies could offer potential benefits for the banking industry. A few examples in the platform-based digital currency arena are mentioned below. Whereas none of them are near being as acceptable or widespread as bitcoins, they do offer inspiration to new ways of thinking about digital currencies. • Facebook credits introduced in 2009 • Users can purchase premium content for games and applications • No redemption nor transaction possible • Phased out in 2013 • World of Warcraft gold • Acquired by playing skills and used to buy additional gear for their avatars. • Restriction on acquisition, and no redemption nor transaction possible • Amazon Coins introduced in 2013 • Can be spent only on approved applications (apps) • for the Kindle Fire not any other amazon product • No redemption nor transaction possible • Linden dollars are functioning as a normal currency within the economic activity of the game • They are bought for national currencies, can be traded and redeemed • However still not widely used outside of the game 21
  • 22. 22 The Bank Environment in Scandinavia 1. http://sebgroup.com/siteassets/corporations_and_institutions/prospectuses_and_ downloads/research_reports/nordic_outlook/2014/14_08_nordic_outlook.pdf 2. http://danskeanalyse.danskebank.dk/link/NordicOutlook250614/$file NordicOutlook_250614.pdf 3. http://www.fjarmalaraduneyti.is/media/frettir/Economic-Outlook-in-the-Nordic- Countries-2014.pdf 4. https://www.chicagofed.org/~/media/publications/chicago-fed-letter/2014/cfljuly2014-324- pdf.pdf 5. http://www.kilpailuvirasto.fi/tiedostot/Nordic_Retail_Banking.pdf Banking – Profit Search with Safety and Stability in Mind 6. http://www.kommunikationsforening.dk/artikler/banker-døjer-stadig-med-manglende-tillid 7. http://www.netpromoter.com/why-net-promoter/know/ 8. http://financial-stability.org/fileadmin/research/analysen/2012/ICFR_Basel%20IV%20 what%20to%20expect_11-2012_kl.pdf Cryptocurrencies - a revolution of the Currency Sector 9. http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/quarterlybulletin/2014/ qb14q3digitalcurrenciesbitcoin2.pdf 10. http://research.gigaom.com/report/bitcoin-and-beyond-understanding-the-opportunity-in- digital-currency-services-and-infrastructure/ 11. http://www.economist.com/news/united-states/21639525-one-dread-pirate-trial-what- about-others-bitcoin-buccaneers 12. http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-mining-can-longer-ignore-moores-law/ The Banks and Cryptocurrencies: Friends or Foes 13. https://www.tcd.ie/Economics/assets/pdf/SER/2014/Gearoid_Gibbs.pdf 8. References
  • 23. 23 CASE WRITERS Vibeke Greby Schmidt Michael Kristensen THANKS TO On behalf of IT Case Competition 2015, we, the case writers would like to thank the following people for their invaluable input to this case and the creation of ITCC 2015. Danske Bank Everyone at the Danske Bank office at Ejby Industrivej 41, 2600 Glostrup and especially the following people who made this case become a reality: Jørgen Wittenkamp, Head of Business Banking IT, development director Michael Boelhøj Andersen, Student Assistant, Group IT HR Maria Louise Ebro Christensen, HR and Business Speacialist MENTORING and GRAPHIC DESIGN from Jakob Geitner-Andersen, Bus & Sys Consultant, Accenture Jannik Henriks, PE&CE Analyst, Accenture Ema Rogobete, Graphic Designer, Accenture DISCLAIMER THIS CASE IS THE SOLE RESPONSIBILITY OF THE WRITERS ALONE. DANSKE BANK IS SUBSEQUENTLY NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY STATEMENTS OR CONSTRUC¬TIONS IN THIS CASE REGARDGING ITS BUSINESS OR OPERATIONS. THIS CASE CANNOT BE USED OUTSIDE OF IT CASE COMPETITION 2014 AND MAY NOT BE PUBLICLY QOUTED OR COPIED WITHOUT THE ACCEPT OF THE AUTHORS. MAY THE FORCE BE WITH YOU. COPYRIGHT IT CASE COMPETITION 2015 23