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The Case for Freemium
DECEMBER 2017
Brought to you by
Freemium and I have a
long and sordid history…
Brought to you by
Brought to you by
Freemium is an acquisition model.
Not a revenue model.
Brought to you by
Freemium is a scalpel, not a sledgehammer.
Brought to you by
Your success will hinge on having
some form of free product in the next 10 years.
THE MARKET DEMANDS FREE
Brought to you by
Growth density is becoming too great.
Channel growth is leveling off.
MARKETING CHANNELS ARE PLENTIFUL
Number of Sales & Marketing Channels Utilized
Sales & Marketing channel utilization has expanded rapidly, giving the rise of more opportunities to
acquire customers from numerous different places.
AVERAGE#OFCHANNELSUTILIZED
YEARS AGO
SOURCE: 2017 MARKETING STUDY Brought to you by
0
5
10
15
15 YEARS OLD 10 YEARS OLD 5 YEARS OLD 3 YEARS OLD 1 YEAR OLD TODAY
13.89
13.22
12.43
8.31
4.72
2.31
N = 1168 software founders and executives
N
1168
Our CACs are out of control.
UNIT ECONOMICS AREN’T WHAT THEY USED TO BE
Customer acquisition cost has increased significantly
Customer acquisition cost has increased significantly over the years due to market saturation of
marketing vying for consumer attention.
BLENDEDCACRELATIVETOFOURYEARSAGO
SOURCE: 2017 CAC STUDY Brought to you by
-18%
0%
18%
35%
53%
70%
5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEARS AGO Today
B2B
B2C
WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN
N
743
N = 743 companies
Offers level off pretty quickly now
GROWTH DENSITY IS BECOMING TOO GREAT
The Life of an Ebook has greatly diminished due to density
Our ebook offers (as an example) are greatly diminished in their effectiveness with a leveling off effect
quicker in their lifecycles
AVERAGE#OFMONTHSACONTENTOFFERISEFFECTIVE
AGE OF OFFER
2017 MARKETING STUDY Brought to you by
0
4
7
5 YEARS OLD 1 YEAR OLD
2.9
6.4
N = 835 ebook offers
We’ve responded by getting better…
…but all channels die in effectiveness.
Freemium circumvents this by
lowering blended CAC
GROWTH DENSITY IS BECOMING TOO GREAT
CAC for Free isn’t Growing at the Same Rate as Paid
Customer acquisition cost has increased significantly over the years, but one pocket that’s been
protected a bit have been our free compadres.
BLENDEDCACRELATIVETOFOURYEARSAGO
SOURCE: 2017 CAC STUDY Brought to you by
0%
18%
35%
53%
70%
5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEARS AGO Today
NO FREE
FREEMIUM
WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN
N
646
N = 646 companies
You essentially have a catalyst with free.
Brought to you by
Freemium is a catalyst in lowering
the activation energy for lead velocity.
Brought to you by
You “own” the lead.
GROWTH DENSITY IS BECOMING TOO GREAT
Retention is noticeably better for freemium products
Net dollar retention is noticeably better for companies utilizing the freemium acquisition strategy,
driven in part by a forcing function for monetization, as well as a better experience.
NETDOLLARRETENTION
SOURCE: 2017 RETENTION STUDY Brought to you by
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEARS AGO Today
NO FREE
FREEMIUM
WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN
N
143
N = 143 companies
GROWTH DENSITY IS BECOMING TOO GREAT
NPS is greater for companies with freemium products
NPS scores for the paid product is typically better for those companies who have a freemium model of
some sort
AVERAGENPSSCORE
YEARS AGO
SOURCE: 2017 SAAS STUDY
Brought to you by
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
5 YEARS AGO 1 YEAR AGO
23.7
29.9
15.8
24.5
NO FREE FREEMIUM
N = 129 software companies
N
129
Brought to you by
SURE, BUT SOME OBJECTIONS
Brought to you by
But I don’t have the resources…
Brought to you by
…you need to get them if
you don’t want to go up market.
The market doesn’t really care that
you don’t have the resources…
Product is getting *really* good. Value isn’t.
The relative value of features is declining.
THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US
Consumer Willingness to Pay has Declined Over Time
Software willingness to pay has declined significantly over the past few years due to increased options
and higher demands.
WTPAS%OFWTP4YEARSAGO
SOURCE: 2017 CONSUMER WILLINGNESS TO PAY STUDY Brought to you by
0%
30%
60%
90%
120%
5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEAR AGO TODAY
Core Features
Single Sign On
Integrations
Analytics
WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN
N = Varies by line, but minimum of 10,000 customer respondents per line
N
921k
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Revenue Drivers
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY Brought to you by
WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT
Calculating the expected impact of product on growth
DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP
RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
Differentiable Features
High Value/High WTP
Add-Ons
Low Value/High WTP
Core Features
High Value/Low WTP
Trash Land
Low Value/Low WTP
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Revenue Drivers
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY - N = 5K+ INPUTS FROM 1282 DIRECTOR, VP, OR C-LEVEL PRODUCT LEADERS Brought to you by
WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT
What we think we're building
DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP
RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Revenue Drivers
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY - N = COMPOSITE DATA FROM 1.2M CUSTOMER INPUTS Brought to you by
WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT
What we're actually building
DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP
RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
We’re going to “DEMOCRATIZE DATA ANALYTICS”
….f**k it…too hard. We’re going for the C.R.E.A.M.
We’re going to “DEMOCRATIZE DATA ANALYTICS”
PROFITWELL
Free financial metrics for
subscription businesses
EATING OUR OWN DOG FOOD
Buyer WTP for a SaaS Metrics Products
Customers weren’t willing to pay as much as we thought for a SaaS Metrics solution. This was especially
bad when looking at the multiple between the lower end customers and the upper end customers.
WTPFORASAASMETRICSSOLUTION
SOURCE: 2017 CONSUMER WILLINGESS TO PAY Brought to you by
$0
$75
$150
$225
$300
$0 - $50k $51k - $100k $101k - $250k $251k - $500k $501k+
Upper
Lower
Median
COMPANY’S MRR
N = ~300 companies
Brought to you by
Quantified buyer personas are data driven profiles of the
customers you’re targeting or choosing to ignore.
FIRST DRAFT OF YOUR BUYER PERSONAS
Startup Steve
VALUED FEATURES
‣ Price
‣ Design
LEAST VALUED
‣ Actionability
‣ Depth
LIFETIME VALUE $600
WILLINGNESS TO PAY $50/month
CUSTOMER ACQUISITION COST $550
TARGET PERSONA
Miderprise Meredith
VALUED FEATURES
‣ Accuracy
‣ Depth
LEAST VALUED
‣ Price
‣ Design
LIFETIME VALUE $1,500
WILLINGNESS TO PAY $150 - $200/month
CUSTOMER ACQUISITION COST $3,000
POOR PERSONAPOOR PERSONA
Brought to you by
Free stacks the marketing and retention paths you need,
depending on the structure of free taken.
PROFITWELL GOING FREE
1
2
3
Low CAC with
constant value
Creates the
Requirement
Path to Share of
Wallet
ProfitWell
Financial metrics for the subscription economy
100% accurate SaaS
metrics for free
integrating 1-click with
your billing system
Central fulcrum to cust
success, sales, finance,
marketing e-team, and
rest of stakeholders
Allows interface to
clearly point to
problems and reinforce
value of paid add-ons
Brought to you by
Engineering productivity has never been better.
Find a way to use it or go upmarket.
Brought to you by
But what about monetization…
“Free erodes the value of my paid product”
Maybe.
BUT WHAT ABOUT MONETIZATION
WTP for an initial tier has increased pretty dramatically
Despite the pull of free, the willingness to pay for different first tiers of a product have gone up pretty
dramatically, supporting the thesis that free doesn’t erode the brand.
WILLINGNESSTOPAYFORINITIALTIER
YEARS AGO
SOURCE: 2017 SAAS STUDY
Brought to you by
0
167
333
500
667
833
1000
5 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 1 YEAR AGO
$784
$305
$147
N = 3,192 consumers
N
3,192
Brought to you by
SO HOW CAN I USE FREE?
Brought to you by
There are many types of free.
Faux Free Trial.
The Tangential Free.
Pool building free.
Brought to you by
Freemium is a scalpel, not a sledgehammer.
• Not for an early stage startup*
• Not for enterprise companies who have never done the world of subscriptions**
• Needs to be a fully functional product that’s good (Mailchimp free NPS is 55, ProfitWell is 60)
• Requires dedication to the point of conversion above all else
*G or Balfour on your team
**Unless you buy a company with subscription DNA
FREEMIUM IS A SCALPEL, NOT A
SLEDGEHAMMER
Brought to you by
— THECASEFORFREEMIUM
Brought to you by
Your success will hinge on having
some form of free product in the next 10 years.
THE MARKET DEMANDS FREE
Brought to you by
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Patrick Campbell - The Case for Freemium

  • 1. Brought to you by The Case for Freemium DECEMBER 2017
  • 2. Brought to you by Freemium and I have a long and sordid history…
  • 4. Brought to you by Freemium is an acquisition model. Not a revenue model.
  • 5. Brought to you by Freemium is a scalpel, not a sledgehammer.
  • 6. Brought to you by Your success will hinge on having some form of free product in the next 10 years. THE MARKET DEMANDS FREE
  • 7. Brought to you by Growth density is becoming too great.
  • 8. Channel growth is leveling off.
  • 9. MARKETING CHANNELS ARE PLENTIFUL Number of Sales & Marketing Channels Utilized Sales & Marketing channel utilization has expanded rapidly, giving the rise of more opportunities to acquire customers from numerous different places. AVERAGE#OFCHANNELSUTILIZED YEARS AGO SOURCE: 2017 MARKETING STUDY Brought to you by 0 5 10 15 15 YEARS OLD 10 YEARS OLD 5 YEARS OLD 3 YEARS OLD 1 YEAR OLD TODAY 13.89 13.22 12.43 8.31 4.72 2.31 N = 1168 software founders and executives N 1168
  • 10. Our CACs are out of control.
  • 11. UNIT ECONOMICS AREN’T WHAT THEY USED TO BE Customer acquisition cost has increased significantly Customer acquisition cost has increased significantly over the years due to market saturation of marketing vying for consumer attention. BLENDEDCACRELATIVETOFOURYEARSAGO SOURCE: 2017 CAC STUDY Brought to you by -18% 0% 18% 35% 53% 70% 5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEARS AGO Today B2B B2C WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN N 743 N = 743 companies
  • 12. Offers level off pretty quickly now
  • 13. GROWTH DENSITY IS BECOMING TOO GREAT The Life of an Ebook has greatly diminished due to density Our ebook offers (as an example) are greatly diminished in their effectiveness with a leveling off effect quicker in their lifecycles AVERAGE#OFMONTHSACONTENTOFFERISEFFECTIVE AGE OF OFFER 2017 MARKETING STUDY Brought to you by 0 4 7 5 YEARS OLD 1 YEAR OLD 2.9 6.4 N = 835 ebook offers
  • 14. We’ve responded by getting better…
  • 15. …but all channels die in effectiveness.
  • 16.
  • 17. Freemium circumvents this by lowering blended CAC
  • 18. GROWTH DENSITY IS BECOMING TOO GREAT CAC for Free isn’t Growing at the Same Rate as Paid Customer acquisition cost has increased significantly over the years, but one pocket that’s been protected a bit have been our free compadres. BLENDEDCACRELATIVETOFOURYEARSAGO SOURCE: 2017 CAC STUDY Brought to you by 0% 18% 35% 53% 70% 5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEARS AGO Today NO FREE FREEMIUM WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN N 646 N = 646 companies
  • 19. You essentially have a catalyst with free.
  • 20.
  • 21. Brought to you by Freemium is a catalyst in lowering the activation energy for lead velocity.
  • 22. Brought to you by You “own” the lead.
  • 23.
  • 24. GROWTH DENSITY IS BECOMING TOO GREAT Retention is noticeably better for freemium products Net dollar retention is noticeably better for companies utilizing the freemium acquisition strategy, driven in part by a forcing function for monetization, as well as a better experience. NETDOLLARRETENTION SOURCE: 2017 RETENTION STUDY Brought to you by 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEARS AGO Today NO FREE FREEMIUM WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN N 143 N = 143 companies
  • 25. GROWTH DENSITY IS BECOMING TOO GREAT NPS is greater for companies with freemium products NPS scores for the paid product is typically better for those companies who have a freemium model of some sort AVERAGENPSSCORE YEARS AGO SOURCE: 2017 SAAS STUDY Brought to you by 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 5 YEARS AGO 1 YEAR AGO 23.7 29.9 15.8 24.5 NO FREE FREEMIUM N = 129 software companies N 129
  • 26. Brought to you by SURE, BUT SOME OBJECTIONS
  • 27. Brought to you by But I don’t have the resources…
  • 28. Brought to you by …you need to get them if you don’t want to go up market.
  • 29. The market doesn’t really care that you don’t have the resources…
  • 30. Product is getting *really* good. Value isn’t.
  • 31. The relative value of features is declining.
  • 32. THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US Consumer Willingness to Pay has Declined Over Time Software willingness to pay has declined significantly over the past few years due to increased options and higher demands. WTPAS%OFWTP4YEARSAGO SOURCE: 2017 CONSUMER WILLINGNESS TO PAY STUDY Brought to you by 0% 30% 60% 90% 120% 5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEAR AGO TODAY Core Features Single Sign On Integrations Analytics WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN N = Varies by line, but minimum of 10,000 customer respondents per line N 921k
  • 33. -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Revenue Drivers 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY Brought to you by WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT Calculating the expected impact of product on growth DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE Differentiable Features High Value/High WTP Add-Ons Low Value/High WTP Core Features High Value/Low WTP Trash Land Low Value/Low WTP
  • 34. -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Revenue Drivers 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY - N = 5K+ INPUTS FROM 1282 DIRECTOR, VP, OR C-LEVEL PRODUCT LEADERS Brought to you by WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT What we think we're building DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
  • 35. -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Revenue Drivers 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY - N = COMPOSITE DATA FROM 1.2M CUSTOMER INPUTS Brought to you by WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT What we're actually building DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
  • 36.
  • 37. We’re going to “DEMOCRATIZE DATA ANALYTICS”
  • 38. ….f**k it…too hard. We’re going for the C.R.E.A.M. We’re going to “DEMOCRATIZE DATA ANALYTICS”
  • 39. PROFITWELL Free financial metrics for subscription businesses
  • 40. EATING OUR OWN DOG FOOD Buyer WTP for a SaaS Metrics Products Customers weren’t willing to pay as much as we thought for a SaaS Metrics solution. This was especially bad when looking at the multiple between the lower end customers and the upper end customers. WTPFORASAASMETRICSSOLUTION SOURCE: 2017 CONSUMER WILLINGESS TO PAY Brought to you by $0 $75 $150 $225 $300 $0 - $50k $51k - $100k $101k - $250k $251k - $500k $501k+ Upper Lower Median COMPANY’S MRR N = ~300 companies
  • 41. Brought to you by Quantified buyer personas are data driven profiles of the customers you’re targeting or choosing to ignore. FIRST DRAFT OF YOUR BUYER PERSONAS Startup Steve VALUED FEATURES ‣ Price ‣ Design LEAST VALUED ‣ Actionability ‣ Depth LIFETIME VALUE $600 WILLINGNESS TO PAY $50/month CUSTOMER ACQUISITION COST $550 TARGET PERSONA Miderprise Meredith VALUED FEATURES ‣ Accuracy ‣ Depth LEAST VALUED ‣ Price ‣ Design LIFETIME VALUE $1,500 WILLINGNESS TO PAY $150 - $200/month CUSTOMER ACQUISITION COST $3,000 POOR PERSONAPOOR PERSONA
  • 42. Brought to you by Free stacks the marketing and retention paths you need, depending on the structure of free taken. PROFITWELL GOING FREE 1 2 3 Low CAC with constant value Creates the Requirement Path to Share of Wallet ProfitWell Financial metrics for the subscription economy 100% accurate SaaS metrics for free integrating 1-click with your billing system Central fulcrum to cust success, sales, finance, marketing e-team, and rest of stakeholders Allows interface to clearly point to problems and reinforce value of paid add-ons
  • 43. Brought to you by Engineering productivity has never been better. Find a way to use it or go upmarket.
  • 44. Brought to you by But what about monetization…
  • 45. “Free erodes the value of my paid product”
  • 47. BUT WHAT ABOUT MONETIZATION WTP for an initial tier has increased pretty dramatically Despite the pull of free, the willingness to pay for different first tiers of a product have gone up pretty dramatically, supporting the thesis that free doesn’t erode the brand. WILLINGNESSTOPAYFORINITIALTIER YEARS AGO SOURCE: 2017 SAAS STUDY Brought to you by 0 167 333 500 667 833 1000 5 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 1 YEAR AGO $784 $305 $147 N = 3,192 consumers N 3,192
  • 48. Brought to you by SO HOW CAN I USE FREE?
  • 49. Brought to you by There are many types of free.
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 54.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59. Brought to you by Freemium is a scalpel, not a sledgehammer.
  • 60. • Not for an early stage startup* • Not for enterprise companies who have never done the world of subscriptions** • Needs to be a fully functional product that’s good (Mailchimp free NPS is 55, ProfitWell is 60) • Requires dedication to the point of conversion above all else *G or Balfour on your team **Unless you buy a company with subscription DNA FREEMIUM IS A SCALPEL, NOT A SLEDGEHAMMER Brought to you by — THECASEFORFREEMIUM
  • 61. Brought to you by Your success will hinge on having some form of free product in the next 10 years. THE MARKET DEMANDS FREE
  • 62. Brought to you by Q&A