This presentation seeks to give a snapshot of current energy trends and Understand the fundamentals of energy and its role in the US economy for commercial & residential end users.
Cost estimation approach: FP to COCOMO scenario based question
The Future of Energy Production and Renewable Energy Trends
1. THE FUTURE OF ENERGY PRODUCTION
THE STATE OF
RENEWABLE ENERGY
2. LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Understand the fundamentals of energy and its role in the US
economy for commercial & residential end users
Identify the types of energy sources, geographic/natural potential,
barriers to production, and environmental impact
Understand the “climate” of renewable energy in the US and future
trends
Identify resources & tools for application on commercial design
projects
7. WHAT IS ENERGY???
Energy comes in different forms:
Heat (thermal)
Light (radiant)
Motion (kinetic)
Electrical
Chemical
Nuclear energy
Gravitational
There are two types of energy:
Stored (potential) energy
Working (kinetic) energy
BACK TO BASICS
13. COST – RENEWABLES VERSUS NON-
RENEWABLES
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Solar Coal Nuclear Gas Wind Oil
Cost (US$
cents/kWh)
14. TACKLING GLOBAL WARMING
Demand Side
More efficient end-user
appliances and lower
consumer demand
Energy-saving light
bulbs, more efficient air
conditioners and
freezers etc.
Nearly 80% of projected
CO2 reductions by 2030
to come from demand-
side efficiencies
Supply Side
Produce energy from
cleaner sources such as
wind, solar, biofuels,
nuclear etc.
Produce energy more
efficiently
Reduce emissions
Reduce deforestation
Adaptation
Measures such as
strengthening flood
defenses to adapt to the
effects of climate
change
Reducing
CO2
Emissions
15. WHY RENEWABLES?
Do not deplete natural resources
Global warming has hit the public (and political?) conscience
Effective method to reduce CO2 emissions
Guarantee Energy security for countries deploying it
Legislation being passed making renewables more attractive
18. HYDROELECTRIC
Currently largest source of electricity from renewables.
Needs guaranteed supply of water.
Kinetic energy of water rotates turbines which generate electricity.
One of the oldest types of renewable energy technologies
19. TIDAL POWER
Located at some coastal sites - usually estuaries and bays
with large tidal range.
At high tide reservoir of water is created which is allowed to
ebb through turbines located in dam.
Expensive construction.
24. THE BASICS OF WIND
Converts kinetic energy for wind to
electrical energy
Broadly serving as the renewable
of choice in Europe and the United
States
Uncertainty is the main problem
with wind production owing to the
inherent unpredictability of
weather conditions
Utilization for wind generation is
generally rather low, with most in
the 25-35% utilization rate
30. PHOTOVOLTAICS
Solar energy is generally
captured in two forms: via
photovoltaic cells for
electricity generation or via
thermal panels for heating
purposes
Recent advances in
technology and support from
certain governments have
continued to drive solar
penetration
Clean energy grew at a record pace as the United States added 22GW of capacity — the equivalent of 11 Hoover Dams — to the grid from renewable sources last year, significantly trumping new fossil fuel additions, according to a new report. Coal-fired power plants now provide only 30% of the country's electricity compared with nearly half of the supply in 2008.
The 2017 edition of the Sustainable Energy in America Factbook – produced for the Business Council for Sustainable Energy by Bloomberg New Energy Finance, provides up-to-date, accurate market information about the broad range of industries — energy efficiency, natural gas and renewable energy— that are contributing to the country’s move towards cleaner energy production and more efficient energy usage.
America needs energy that is secure, reliable, improves public health, protects the environment, addresses climate change, creates jobs, and provides technological leadership. America needs renewable energy. If renewable energy is to be developed to its full potential, America will need coordinated, sustained federal and state policies that expand renewable energy markets; promote and deploy new technology; and provide appropriate opportunities to encourage renewable energy use in all critical energy market sectors: wholesale and distributed electricity generation, thermal energy applications, and transportation
People use energy for everything from making a jump shot to sending astronauts into space.
For example, the food a person eats contains chemical energy, and a person's body stores this energy until he or she uses it as kinetic energy during work or play.
Renewable vs. Non-Renewable
Renewable and nonrenewable energy sources can be used as primary energy sources to produce useful energy such as heat or used to produce secondary energy sources such as electricity.
When people use electricity in their homes, the electrical power was probably generated from burning coal or natural gas, a nuclear reaction, or a hydroelectric plant on a river, to name a few possible energy sources. The gasoline people use to fuel their cars is made from crude oil (nonrenewable energy) and may contain a biofuel (renewable energy) like ethanol, which is made from processed corn.
A car engine burns gasoline, converting the chemical energy in gasoline into mechanical energy. Solar photovoltaic cells change radiant energy into electrical energy. Energy changes form, but the total amount of energy in the universe stays the same. Most energy transformations are not efficient. The human body is a good example. The human body is like a machine, and the fuel it requires is food. Food gives a person energy to move, breathe, and think. However, the human body isn't very efficient at converting food into useful work. The human body is less than 5% efficient most of the time. The rest of the energy is converted to heat, which may or may not be useful, depending on how cool or warm a person wants to be.
1MW – powers approx. 165 US homes
The trick with renewable energy generation is that not every tool works in every environment. The gusty plains of the midwest are great for wind, while solar does better in the deserts of the south. In this map by SNL you can see where the new energy infrastructure is expected to roll out.
LLNL Flow charts, also referred to as Sankey Diagrams, are single-page references that contain quantitative data about resource, commodity, and byproduct flows in a graphical form. These flow charts help scientists, analysts, and other decision makers to visualize the complex interrelationships involved in managing our nation’s resources.
According to a new report by Oil Change international and the Overseas Development Institute, the G20 countries provide $452 billion in subsidies to the fossil fuel industry, while only $121 billion goes to subsidizing clean, renewable energy.
A 2010 survey conducted by Applied Materials shows that two-thirds of Americans believe solar technology should play a greater role in meeting the country's energy needs. In addition, "three-quarters of Americans feel that increasing renewable energy and decreasing U.S. dependence on foreign oil are the country's top energy priorities". According to the survey, "67 percent of Americans would be willing to pay more for their monthly utility bill if their utility company increased its use of renewable energy".
Why don't we use more renewable energy?
In general, renewable energy is more expensive to produce and to use than fossil fuel energy. Favorable renewable resources are often located in remote areas, and it can be expensive to build power lines from the renewable energy sources to the cities that need the electricity. In addition, renewable sources are not always available:
Clouds reduce electricity from solar power plants.
Days with low wind reduce electricity from wind farms.
Droughts reduce the water available for hydropower.
Nova Scotia hailed North America's first successful grid-connected tidal turbine Tuesday with a ceremonial flipping of a switch at a substation outside Parrsboro.
"We are ushering in a new era and taking an unprecedented step towards a lower carbon future," said Energy Minister Michel Samson.
The 1,000-tonne, five-storey turbine was lowered onto the floor of the Minas Passage earlier this month. It was quickly connected to land via a subsea cable and started producing electricity almost right away.
The turbine generates two megawatts of electricity — enough to power 500 homes. The deployment is part of a large-scale demonstration project to test the technology in the powerful tides of the Bay of Fundy over the next several years.
Obtaining electricity from tidal power stations is an expensive undertaking. The 8000 MW [1.3M homes] proposed Severn Estuary barrage system in the UK is estimated to cost US$15 billion and the proposed San Bernadino Strait, 2,200 MW [380k homes] tidal fence in the Philippines will cost US$3 billion (SMEC 2003).
PROS
Cheap electricity
Capable of providing base load power
Capable of large scale production
CONS
Environmental concerns. Ecology in dam catchment area destroyed
Humanitarian implications. Settlements in catchment areas have to be relocated
Depends on seasonal nature of water (rain) availability in catchment area
High upfront capital investment costs
Limited in number of potential sites/locations
Current is generated through Photovoltaic effect -flow of free electrons in Silicon Panel due to solar irradiance
Direct current (DC) is generated which can be stored in a battery or converted to Alternating Current (AC)
Sun’s infrared rays are concentrated through reflecting mirrors on a heating fluid (normally liquid salt) medium, which in turn generates steam to propel turbines
Texas drops a spot this year, even with its pockets of great solar policy in big cities like Dallas, Austin and San Antonio. On the whole, the energy marketplace here gives utility companies a better chance than the little guy, but those big cities often have great programs to help you go solar, and we’ve heard there might be a few people living in them. If you live within 40 miles of a major city center in Texas, you owe it to yourself to check out the possibilities for solar on your roof.
PROS
Most widely available source of energy
Not as limited in location siting as other renewable sources such as Wind & Hydro
Largest potential for decentralized power generation
Solar thermal technology characteristics attractive owing to ability to store energy
Scaling up (& down) very easy for Solar PV
Increased demand driving down costs (grid parity?)
CONS
Most expensive form of energy (though not so much if you consider end-to-end costs of other energy sources)
Large up-front Capital investment
Cannot contribute to base-load power (until further improvements in energy storage)
Imposes great stress on the grid owing to fluctuating nature
Solar PV - Difficult to store energy in electric form
INCENTIVES & REGULATIONS!
Ethanol is an alcohol distilled from plant material (corn in the U.S., sugar cane in Brazil, wheat in Europe) and used as gasoline substitute or blend stock
U.S. and Brazil account for 90% of global ethanol production and consumption
Ethanol can be blended to around 10% of the gasoline pool without any noticeable impact on vehicle performance, but higher blend proportions require some engine modifications
Biodiesel is produced by the transformation of animal fat or vegetable oil into a conventional diesel substitute
PROS
Inherently renewable
Emit less particulate pollution than traditional petroleum based gasoline and diesel fuels
Easier to transition to without special infrastructure needs
CONS
Not enough land space to grow crops for biofuel demand
Question over whether producing them actually requires more energy than they generate
Still polluting when compared to wind or solar