1. Beyond the Gig Economy
How New Technologies Are Reshaping the Future of Work | 2016
By Jon Lieber, Chief Economist, Thumbtack
and Lucas Puente, Economic Analyst, Thumbtack
2. 2Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
Executive Summary
Long-run economic trends and new technologies are pushing workers
away from traditional employee-employer relationships and into self-
employment. Thanks in part to advances in technology that have put
smartphones in the pockets of millions of Americans, it has never been
easier for an individual to go online and start earning income quickly and
flexibly. But this new “gig economy” is not monolithic or static. It has
different sectors, and the gig economy of on-demand, low-skilled, easily
automated logistics or delivery services will not be around in 20 years.
What will remain are skilled professionals.
This report, Beyond the Gig Economy, draws from publicly available data
as well as Thumbtack’s proprietary marketplace and survey data of tens of
thousands of small businesses to show the variety of ways in which
technology is enabling middle-class Americans to find economic
opportunity with tools that have never previously been available to them.
“There’s never been a better
time to be a worker with
special skills or the right
education, because these
people can use technology
to create and capture value.”
—Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee
"The Second Machine Age" (2014)
3. 3Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
• The gig economy as we know it will not last.
In the past few years, analysts and reporters
have obsessively focused on transportation
technology platforms such as Uber and Lyft
and delivery technology platforms such as
Instacart and the workers needed for these
on-demand services. This narrow focus on
low-skilled “gigs” misses a larger story. These
relatively commoditized, undifferentiated
services are supplementing income, not
generating middle-class lifestyles. Moreover,
these tasks are overwhelmingly likely to be
automated over time, performed by self-
driving cars and drones. The gig economy,
as currently understood, will cease to exist in
20 years.
• What will persist is the skilled professional.
These professionals are being empowered
by technology and will not be replaced by it.
They are not offering commodity services;
they are offering specialized trades. They
don’t have employers; they have clients with
whom they develop business relationships.
They aren’t looking to complete a short task
as a side job; they are seeking full-time, but
time-limited, projects. They aren’t climbing
the corporate ladder or looking for employers
they’ll have for 20 years; they are hunting
down opportunities and customers week
to week.
• Skilled professionals are proliferating
because online marketplaces are unlocking
new opportunities—and customers. Skilled
Professionals are turning to the Internet to
build their client base and their businesses
using online, cost-effective, performance-
based platforms—such as Thumbtack and
Etsy—that weren’t available 20 years ago. They
make more on average, have higher
job satisfaction, and do not need a college
degree to earn a middle-class lifestyle.
• To date, skills marketplaces have broader
adoption than commodified platforms.
Because they are leveraging the skills of an
existing group of qualified professionals,
these marketplaces have an automatic reach
across the country. Commoditized platforms
tend to be concentrated in metropolitan
areas with large populations. Younger, tech-
friendly cities and college towns have the
highest adoption rates per capita of these
platforms in the country.
• Innovations that have revolutionized online
retail and big business will galvanize skilled
professionals and small business growth.
Policy must support them too. Online tools
such as Zenefits and Intuit have lowered the
cost of resource-intensive, back-office tasks
like running payroll and managing employee
benefits. Policy changes such as the
Affordable Care Act have partially decoupled
health insurance from employers. To support
independent workers—both skilled
professionals and workers on gig platforms—
policymakers need to look beyond the
current controversy over worker classification
and focus on policies and regulatory updates
that will support skilled professionals.
Key Findings
With this new data, we can improve our
understanding of how the digital economy is
affecting the American labor market. We can also
make a series of policy recommendations to help
policymakers make it easier for their constituents
to find skilled work online and succeed in this
evolving labor market.
4. Jina Wilson
Photographer since 2010
Thumbtack pro since 2015
Location: Atlanta, GA
PROFESSIONAL SPOTLIGHT
4
Photograph by Rose Limb
ˮOwning my own business has
changed my life drastically.
I am committed to bringing
my clients the best service
possible, and Thumbtack is my
business partner.ˮ
5. 5Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
6.5%
15.1%
< High school diploma
2014
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
4.2%
10.2%
High school, no college
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
3.5%
8.1%
Some college
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2%
4.8%
College diploma +
Unemployment Rates by Education
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
The Labor Force Has Changed over the Past 50 Years
Changes in the labor force over the past 50 years have vastly affected
Americans’ working lives, from the types of companies they join to the types
of skills they invest in to ensure long-term financial security. Advances in
communication, travel, and automation have created a global labor market,
opening American workers to competition that didn’t exist in the 1950s and
60s. Increasingly sophisticated machines are moving up the skills ladder to
take on routine tasks that were previously done by humans.
Jobs that were considered secure a generation ago are not even available
to American workers in large numbers anymore, and workers without a
college degree have been most affected by these changes.
Three important changes have arisen as a result of these shifts: 1) investing
in a specialized skill has become more important, 2) while training is more
important than ever, college isn’t necessarily the answer, and 3) firms are
going to become less important as workers are increasingly empowered to
work for themselves.
6. 6Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
The Rise of the Skilled Class
The changes in the labor force in the past 50 years are well-documented
and well-known. As economist David Autor has explained, routine tasks
have increasingly been performed by lower-paid workers or by machines,
and abstract, nonroutine jobs are rewarding those trained to perform
them with higher incomes and better job prospects.
Skilled professionals—those with the know-how to do a specialized job in
any circumstance—are the middle class of the future
These non-routine, cognitively-intensive jobs are often thought to be highly
educated white collar work, but they are not limited to doctors and
computer programmers. Skilled labor jobs may not pay as well as
professions that require years of higher education, but they have the
advantage of being difficult to outsource and resistant to automation: You
can’t hire a remote worker to replace your windows, and a robot is a long
way from being able to repair your plumbing.
Employment in routine vs. non routine jobs has diverged since 2001
20142001 2004 2007 2011
24%
32%
-8%
-10%Routine Cognitive
Routine Manual
Nonroutine Manual
Nonroutine Cognitive
Percentage of growth
Source: Maximiliano Dvorkin, of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
7. 7Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
The Only Barrier to Joining the
Skilled Class Is Your Skill
The conventional wisdom for the last 50 years
is that a college education has been the way
to break into the middle class and find a
secure career path. And it is true that college
graduates still tend to have lower
unemployment rates. But in another way,
college has never been less important.
Skilled professionals don’t have employers,
they have clients. They aren’t applying for
jobs they expect to have for the next 20 years,
they are hunting down opportunities week to
week. And while a college degree can still
provide an effective signal of a worker’s quality,
it’s no longer the best gauge of what’s most
important to clients: the ability to execute on
a well-developed skill set or complete a
complex project.
The signal provided by a four-year degree is
weaker than ever as directories like Yelp,
repositories like GitHub, and skill-assessment
tools like Knack are now providing consumers
with more accurate methods for evaluating the
skills they are looking for.
Technology Is Empowering
the Skilled Class to Work
for Themselves
While economic trends are pushing workers
away from traditional employee-employer
relationships, technological trends are pulling
them into self-employment by making it easier
and cheaper than ever to make it as an
independent worker.
Online tools such as Zenefits and Intuit have
lowered the cost of tasks such as running
payroll and managing employee benefits. Policy
changes such as the Affordable Care Act have
partially decoupled health insurance from
employers. New marketplaces use mobile
technology to connect buyers and sellers,
moving industries from the analog age into
the digital age. And consumers now have the
ability to browse reviews and samples of past
work online, bringing transparency to an
opaque market.
“Rather than forcing full-time employment
on on-demand work firms, we should
instead pursue a policy direction that
creates a comparable safety net for
workers who are not full-time employees.”
- Arun Sundararajan
The Atlantic (2015)
8. Matthew Salazar
Personal Chef since 2014
Thumbtack pro since 2014
Location: Norcross, GA
8
“I love to cook for people, and
I leave their homes knowing
that I served some type of
purpose that day. Thumbtack
has helped me with my
new business and because
business is good, I spend
more time with my lady and
my daughter.”
PROFESSIONAL SPOTLIGHT
Photograph by Olya Grigorova
9. 9Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
The Complexity of the
Gig Economy: Beyond the
Uber Driver
Multiple platforms have arisen to help skilled
professionals find work. These platforms have
occasionally been lumped together under the
moniker of the “gig economy,” which is
designed to describe how the workers who use
them are moving from gig to gig with no
expectation of longer-term commitments.
In general, this term has been applied to
technologies that connect buyers and sellers
across a range of services, from selling
handcrafted goods to booking a wedding
DJ. For buyers, this brings unprecedented
ease and convenience to help get things
done. For sellers, these platforms are helping
solve their biggest issue: finding new clients
(see page 17).
Labeling these new ways of finding work as
being part of one gargantuan “gig economy”
is a helpful shortcut that unfortunately
glosses over two realities: A large class of
American workers have always worked gig to
gig, and crucial distinctions exist between
“gig” platforms.
Most commentary on this new way of working
has focused on a very narrow section of
platforms offering services that were cost-
prohibitive for most people in the era before
ubiquitous digital communication such as
hailing a ride instantly while on the go or
dispatching a courier to shop for a specific set
of items. However, a different model of online
platform connects existing skilled
professionals to new consumers, fosters
longer-term engagement, and can bring more
stable work. We differentiate between these
two services by calling them “commoditized
platforms” and “marketplaces.”
Skills Are Not a Commodity
Commoditized platforms push a service
provider to the buyer in the simplest possible
way—often a single tap on a smartphone.
Examples are hiring a driver on Lyft or finding
someone to wait in line for you on TaskRabbit.
These models work under two key conditions:
The buyer is indifferent to the individual
providing a service, and the task generally
doesn’t require a high degree of specialization
or skill on the part of the provider.
By contrast, marketplaces add more value
when a service is highly differentiated between
providers, where a skilled professional may
offer a different level of service or a different
price point based on his or her own brand and
the needs of the consumer. With the ability to
choose who will be doing their project,
consumers can optimize on the dimension(s) of
their choice—such as price, quality, or
availability—and ultimately be better off than in
a world in which they have no choice as to the
service provider. Examples of marketplaces
include hiring a contractor on Thumbtack or
buying a handicraft on Etsy.
“The Internet enables a new
generation of platforms that are
reinventing many industries and
the workforce in the process ...
People are now able to transact
with one another quickly,
easily, and safely through these
transaction-based networks.”
- Simon Rothman, Partner, Greylock Partners
Medium (2015)
10. 10Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
COMMODITIZED PLATFORM
Undifferentiated supply vs. Highly differentiated supply
vs.Little or no control over rates
charged
Nearly complete control over
rates charged
vs.Operate under platform’s brand Operate under personal brand
vs.Businesses exist only on
platform or through nearly
identical platform competitors
Businesses exist on and
off platform
vs.Very little training or skill needed Generally require an investment
in and demonstration of skill
MARKETPLACE
• Marketplaces leverage workers’ skills;
commoditized platforms don’t. Because of
the nature of the task being performed,
workers using commoditized platforms are
designed to be basically indistinguishable
from one another. The inability for workers
to differentiate themselves on the platform
takes away their individual pricing power
and leaves them at the mercy of the
platform to set their per-task compensation.
Conversely, those on marketplaces can
distinguish themselves not just on price but
on their quality and skill set. This allows
them to operate under their own brands
and expand their business as their
reputation and resources allow.
From the service provider’s perspective, commoditized
platforms can provide steady access to new clients and offer
very low barriers to entry. In some cases all you need is a
means of transportation and a smartphone. But they come
with considerable downsides that marketplaces do not.
45% of the businesses that
operate on Thumbtack
have been in business for
five or more years.
— Thumbtack Economic Sentiment Survey,
November 2015 (18,000 professionals)
11. 11Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
• Skills-based marketplaces allow businesses
to grow. Commoditized platforms are not
designed to support a career. By their own
admission, commoditized platforms are
much better at providing supplemental
income than a full-time job. Uber
emphasizes that half of its partners drive
fewer than 10 hours per week. TaskRabbit
says that 90 percent of its providers are
using the platform to pay “one to three bills
every single month.” Research from Intuit
shows that the average worker on one of
these platforms spends only 12 hours a
week working for the primary platform he or
she uses, and that only 5 percent of the
people engaged in this work indicate it is
their sole source of income. As Business
Insider put it, many are “treating [driving on
Uber and Lyft] like a summer job or a stop
gap in a time of transition.” In contrast, two-
thirds of service providers on Thumbtack, an
example of a skilled marketplace, are
running a business.
• Commoditized platforms are more
susceptible to automation. Because the
consumer is relatively indifferent to whom is
providing the service, and most services
offered on commodity platforms are
relatively routine, it is only a matter of time
before technology catches up with the
worker. An Oxford study found that
professional drivers have an 89 percent
chance of being automated in the near
future. The two biggest driver platforms,
Uber and Lyft—through investments in self-
driving technology and partnerships with
major automakers—are already actively
preparing for this. While Postmates and
other logistics startups are figuring out how
to leverage humans who can deliver your
food or your laundry, Amazon is actively
preparing for the day when unmanned
drones can deliver the same goods faster
and cheaper. In contrast, a Deloitte study
shows that skilled service jobs are among
the fastest growing occupations in the last
25 years and have little chance of being
automated away.
One other significant difference between commoditized
platforms and skilled marketplaces is that while
marketplaces rely on skilled workers who are active in their
professions offline, commoditized platforms are creating
new ways of doing things that wouldn’t be possible without
the platform. As a result, while marketplaces can launch
everywhere at once, commoditized platforms have to build
a labor force city by city and thus are slow to rollout to the
whole country.
To document this, we used Twitter data as a proxy for
adoption rates in different markets, based on the theory
that platforms with more followers on Twitter in a given area
likely have more users and more service providers in that
same area.
This approach confirms that commoditized platforms are
concentrated in the biggest markets, while marketplaces are
being used across a much greater share of the country.
“For most people, driving
on Uber is not even a
part-time job…it’s just
driving an hour or two
a day, here or there, to
help pay the bills.”
— David Plouffe, Uber Chief Advisor, (2015)
12. 12Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
We use data from Alan Krueger and Seth Harris to identify 10 of the
biggest digital marketplaces—six of which we classify as commoditized
platforms and four of which we classify as marketplaces. Using this
methodology, we find that commoditized platforms have, so far, been
adopted in greater numbers but almost exclusively in major
metropolitan areas.
The maps below illustrate this point. The six commoditized platforms all
have well over half of their followers in metropolitan areas with over
4 million residents, and 90 percent of their followers live in metro areas
with over a million residents. Conversely, cloud-based marketplaces
such as Mechanical Turk, Fiverr, Upwork and Thumbtack are significantly
less concentrated in these major metropolitan areas and adoption is
spread out over a much larger area of the country.
Data based on dispersion of Twitter followers by location; collected February, 2016
Skills-Based Marketplaces Are More Widely Adopted
Distribution of Workers on Skills-Based Marketplaces
Percentage of followers outside a Top 12 Metro
Percentage of followers outside a Top 12 Metro
Distribution of Workers on Commoditized Platforms
Mturk: 54.3%
Fiverr: 53.6%
Upwork: 49.2%
Thumbtack: 48.6%
Uber: 38.9%
Taskrabbit: 29.1%
Grubhub: 39.6
Handy: 22.9%
Lyft: 40.4%
Instacart: 22.3%
13. 13Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
8
9
10
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1
11
12
6
4
5
3
2
7
Using this methodology, we ranked the top cities according to digital
platform adoption—the Top 20 are listed below. Dominating the list are
large technology or business hubs and college towns. For a complete list
broken out by large and mid-sized cities ranked by their adoption of
digital platforms, see appendix A.
Top Cities for Per-Capita Digital Marketplace Adoption
1. San Francisco, CA
2. Palm Bay, FL
3. Chicago, IL
4. Madison, WI
5. Nashville, TN
6. Raleigh, NC
7. Boston, MA
8. Ann Arbor, MI
9. Las Vegas, NV
10. Charlottesville, VA
11. Seattle, WA
12. Champaign, IL
13. Washington, DC
14. Los Angeles, CA
15. Durham, NC
16. San Diego, CA
17. Denver, CO
18. Lexington, KY
19. San Jose, CA
20. Fort Collins, CO
Data based on dispersion of Twitter followers by location; collected February 2016
14. 14
Photograph by James Dillard
“I started offering private
music lessons four years ago
targeting clients through
social media and Thumbtack.
We’ve had so much success;
we just opened our third
location. I share my heart
every day through my work
and through the teachers I
help train. What could
be greater?”
PROFESSIONAL SPOTLIGHT
Brannon Littleton
Music Teacher since 2011
Thumbtack pro since 2011
Location: Montgomery, AL
15. 15Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
The Right Technology Will Empower the
Worker of Tomorrow
For those operating on a marketplace and offering skilled,
not commoditized, services, the gig economy presents a
range of opportunities. But who are these skilled
professionals? Despite the outsized attention paid to so-
called “gig” workers who are picking up side jobs online,
it isn’t just new businesses or those offering side jobs who
are finding work online.
First, two-thirds of businesses on Thumbtack are running
their primary business, and 79 percent are running a
business that uses their specific professional skills,
meaning they are trained to do this work full time. Nearly
half of the businesses that operate on Thumbtack have
been in business for five or more years.
Second, these professionals are skilled. They are people
who have trained to provide their service as their main
occupation and source of income. Over 90 percent of
professionals who find business on Thumbtack say they
consider themselves “incredibly skilled in my profession.”
Third, by empowering workers to
leverage their unique skill set in
a new online marketplace, these
skilled professionals can achieve
higher earnings and greater
worker satisfaction, and grow
their business more than they
otherwise would.
“The typical Thumbtack pro with only
a high school education has a gross
income of up to $20,000 more than
the median high school graduate.”
— Thumbtack Economic Sentiment Survey,
January 2015 (8,000 professionals)
16. 16Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
Thumbtack Pros Are Skilled Workers
An overwhelming majority of professionals (84 percent) who find
business on Thumbtack say they agree or strongly agree with the
statement “I love what I do,” while a Gallup survey of the general
working population found that only 29 percent of Americans said they
were “engaged” at work.
Fourth, digital marketplaces empower skilled professionals to expand
and hire new workers. The most active small business owners on
Thumbtack are 2.5 times more likely to report that their business has
grown dramatically (more than 20 percent annually) than their
otherwise similar counterparts. According to Pew, there are 14.6 million
self-employed individuals providing jobs for 29.4 million workers,
accounting for three-in-ten U.S. jobs. One-in-four self-employed
people report that they are employers with a median of three
employees and an average of 8.6.
Finally, online marketplaces are efficient for small businesses constantly
looking for new customers (see page 17). According to a survey we
conducted of 5,000 small businesses, online paid marketing is more
than four times more cost-effective in delivering new customers for
small businesses than offline paid marketing and, within the world of
online paid marketing, performance-based marketing (e.g., AdWords
and Thumbtack) is 2.5 times more cost-effective than directories (e.g.,
Yelp and Angie’s List).
Wedding Photographer
Wedding Officiant
Personal Trainer
Math Tutor
Massage Therapist
Mover
Gardener
House Cleaner
Guitar Teacher
General Contractor
Dog Trainer
Caterer
Thumbtack pros responses to the statement: “I consider myself incredibly skilled in my profession”
STRONGLY AGREE STRONGLY DISAGREE
Source: Thumbtack survey, June 2015 (5,000 professionals)
17. 17Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
Acquiring new customers is skilled professionals’ single biggest
challenge. Half of small business owners on Thumbtack report that
acquiring new customers is a challenge, and 35 percent indicate that it
is their most challenging problem. The challenge is so big that
80 percent of service professionals are attempting to find new
customers at least once a week, and most are looking every day.
The Challenge of Working for Yourself
What problems do you
face in business today?
51%
Acquiring customers
19%
Healthcare costs
13%
Competition
from big business
9%
Inflation
42%
Competition from
other small businesses
17%
Taxes
12%
Poor sales
8%
Complying
with regulations
28%
Uncertain economic
conditions
16%
Consumer
confidence
9%
Other
20%
Access to credit
16%
Cost/Quality of labor
How often do local
service professionals
seek new customers?
3%
Specific time
of year
1%
Annually
4%
Rarely
17.5%
Once a week
8%
Once a month
4.5%
Every few
months
61%
Daily
Being an independent business owner means competing against large
businesses, which increasingly have access to economies of scale and
efficiencies that small businesses can’t take advantage of.
17
Source: Thumbtack survey, June 2015 (5,000 professionals)
Source: Thumbtack Economic Sentiment Survey, November 2015 (18,000 professionals)
18. 18Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
of Thumbtack pros love what they do
84%
29%
of the general
American population
is engaged at work
Running a business isn’t easy, but it is rewarding. People love working for
themselves: 84 percent of professionals who find business on Thumbtack
say they agree or strongly agree with the statement “I love what I do.” In
contrast, a Gallup survey of the general working population found that only
29 percent of Americans said they were “engaged” at work.
vs.
18
Source: Gallup Organization; Thumbtack survey, June 2015 (5,000 professionals)
The Opportunity of Working for Yourself
19. 19
“Being independent is always
scary to some degree, but
thanks to Thumbtack delivering
clients, my practice is stable
enough now that I never have
to look for a job again. I am
engaged on a deep level with
my clients and that gives me
tremendous satisfaction. ”
PROFESSIONAL SPOTLIGHT
Sandra Nutt
Attorney since 2009
Thumbtack pro since 2010
Location: Van Nuys, CA
Photograph by Felipe Osorio
20. 20Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
What Can Policymakers Do to
Support Independent Workers?
Local and regional governments invest a lot in developing industrial
strategies that will attract large employers to their area with attractive
packages of tax incentives and educated workers. But not every area
will be well-positioned to attract this type of employer, and even areas
that are successful in attracting high-skill, high-wage jobs will need to
support the small businesses providing services to these workers.
As the costs of working for oneself continue to drop, opportunities for
this kind of work will expand. Areas that empower individuals to work for
themselves provide them with greater opportunities to find alternatives
to traditional work and give them more opportunities to weather
economic downturns. Steps that policymakers can do to support this
class of independent worker include:
Minimize regulatory barriers at the local level
• Regulatory barriers such as overly burdensome
or poorly enforced professional licensing rules
are a barrier to entry for many professions and
should exist only to the bare minimum necessary
to protect consumers in fields such as electrical
work or plumbing where low-quality service
providers present a danger to their clients.
Invest in developing skills outside of educational
institutions
• Offering vocational training provides low-cost
opportunities for workers to develop an in-
demand skill to serve their community.
• Research has shown that apprenticeships
frequently end in employment for the apprentice
with a relatively high wage. Connecting micro-
businesses to apprentices and providing support
for on-the-job skill training could help Skilled
Professionals grow their businesses and provide
opportunities for young people who can’t afford
a more formal education.
Strengthen the social safety net
• Working for oneself means flexibility but also
risk—many self-employed individuals lack benefits
or access to a social safety net that was built
around full-time employment.
• Detaching the social safety net from employment
would encourage more people to work for
themselves and would provide valuable social
insurance to people who take risks to create jobs.
• Allow employers who don’t or can’t offer
retirement plans to make tax-free contributions to
individual retirement accounts.
• Create tax-preferred savings accounts to enable
workers to save income for emergencies or time
off.
When it comes to taxes, focus on reducing burden
of compliance
• For small businesses operating with thin margins,
the burden of tax compliance matters more than
the actual tax rate.
• Thumbtack’s Small Business Friendliness Survey
has consistently found that tax complexity
matters more than the tax rate to small business
owners when evaluating the friendliness of their
city or state. Simplifying compliance by making
sure rules are clear, penalties are fair, and
remittances are as painless as possible would
help foster a friendlier environment for skilled
professionals.
21. 21Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
Conclusion
The rise of the so-called “gig economy” is a
confluence of some very old trends—the desire
to be one’s own boss—and very new ones,
including the ubiquity of smartphones and a
growing comfort with purchasing goods and
services online. While the most visible aspects
of the gig economy are high-profile logistics
companies that deal in driving people and
delivering goods, over time these tasks are very
likely to be automated.
What will endure is a segment of the economy
that has always worked gig to gig: the skilled
professionals. These are skilled service
providers and creators who are empowered by
digital marketplaces to reach new clients more
quickly and cheaply than any offline
opportunity. These skilled professionals report
high degrees of job satisfaction and are using
the opportunities they find online to earn more,
build an enduring business, and create jobs.
About the Authors
Jon Lieber Lucas Puente
Lucas Puente is the Economic Analyst at Thumbtack,
where he studies Thumbtack's marketplace
dynamics and the policy challenges facing small
service businesses. He has a master's degree and
Ph.D. from Stanford University and is a graduate of
the University of Georgia.
Jon Lieber is Thumbtack's Chief Economist and
head of policy research, studying trends in the
labor market, entrepreneurship, and the small
business economy. He has spent over a decade in
Washington, D.C.,advising policymakers on
economic policy, and currently serves as a board
member for the Center for American
Entrepreneurship, a research organization
dedicated to improving the environment for
startups and entrepreneurs.
Especially important, empowering these skilled
professionals could contribute to a turnaround
in small business starts and offer a wider
avenue for people to enter the middle class.
Policy debates about the gig economy need to
move beyond arguments about worker
classification issues that only affect a narrow
group of workers and focus instead on how we
can nurture the creation and growth of more
skilled professionals.
For the foreseeable future, the vast majority of
workers will continue to look for and find full-
time work with a single employer. But for
workers who want more flexibility, it has never
been cheaper or easier to start finding jobs or
clients as a free agent. These trends have the
potential to reshape the opportunities available
to a generation of Americans, and
policymakers should work to enable these
changes, not stifle them.
22. Caterers, Photographers, Movers, Wedding Officia
Personal Trainers, Academic Tutors, Landscapers, H
House Cleaners, Music Teachers, Dog Trainers, We
Massage Therapists, Accountants, Blacksmiths, Live
Recruiters, Attorneys, Florists, Counselors, Bodygua
General Contractors, Organizers, Life Coaches, Pe
Thumbtack is a service that connects consumers to skilled professionals
who can help them do personal projects. Service providers in more than
1,100 categories use Thumbtack to bid on leads for projects ranging from
plumbing to wedding planning, piano lessons to legal representation.
Thumbtack sends over a billion dollars in new business to professionals
across the country every year. In contrast to firms that offer commoditized
tasks “on demand,” Thumbtack connects consumers to established small
businesses and skilled professionals that can complete complex projects.
Thumbtack’s network of over 200,000 active professionals across the
United States largely reflects the demographic makeup of small business
ownership nationwide, allowing us to provide unique insights into how
independent workers are using the Internet to find new business and what
challenges they face in working for themselves.
Who uses Thumbtack?
Contact info
press@thumbtack.com
360 9th Street
San Francisco, CA
23. 23Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
Appendix A
1. San Francisco, CA
2. Chicago, IL
3. Nashville, TN
4. Boston, MA
5. Las Vegas, NV
6. Seattle, WA
7. Washington, D.C.
8. Los Angeles, CA
9. San Diego, CA
10. Denver, CO
11. San Jose, CA
12. Portland, OR
13. New York, NY
14. Pittsburgh, PA
15. Philadelphia, PA
16. Charlotte, NC
17. Miami, FL
18. Indianapolis, IN
19. Sacramento, CA
20. Milwaukee, WI
21. Columbus, OH
22. Baltimore, MD
23. Houston, TX
24. New Orleans, LA
25. Tampa, FL
26. Cleveland, OH
27. Memphis, TN
28. Minneapolis, MN
29. Phoenix, AZ
30. Buffalo, NY
31. Richmond, VA
32. Providence, RI
33. Detroit, MI
34. Dallas, TX
35. Riverside, CA
36. Virginia Beach, VA
37. Hartford, CT
38. Austin, TX
39. Atlanta, GA
40. Kansas City, MO
41. Orlando, FL
42. Oklahoma City, OK
43. Cincinnati, OH
44. St. Louis, MO
Top Large Cities
(1m+ population)
Top Mid-Sized Cities
(100k – 1m pop.)
1. Palm Bay, FL
2. Madison, WI
3. Raleigh, NC
4. Ann Arbor, MI
5. Charlottesville, VA
6. Champaign, IL
7. Durham, NC
8. Lexington, KY
9. Fort Collins, CO
10. Omaha, NE
11. Charleston, SC
12. Salt Lake City, UT
13. Syracuse, NY
14. Gainesville, FL
15. Lansing, MI
16. Santa Barbara, CA
17. Lincoln, NE
18. Wilmington, NC
19. San Luis Obispo, CA
20. Santa Rosa, CA
21. Colorado Springs, CO
22. Rochester, NY
23. Tallahassee, FL
24. Albuquerque, NM
25. Knoxville, TN
26. Reno, NV
27. Tucson, AZ
28. Des Moines, IA
29. Kalamazoo, MI
30. Eugene, OR
31. Santa Cruz, CA
32. Columbia, SC
33. North Port, FL
34. Spokane, WA
35. Albany, NY
36. Tulsa, OK
37. Bridgeport, CT
38. Birmingham, AL
39. Fayetteville, AR
40. Asheville, NC
41. Greensboro, NC
42. Huntsville, AL
43. Fresno, CA
44. Toledo, OH
45. New Haven, CT
46. Oxnard, CA
47. Akron, OH
48. Honolulu, HI
49. Boise City, ID
50. Portland, ME
51. Manchester, NH
52. Worcester, MA
53. Baton Rouge, LA
54. Chattanooga, TN
55. Vallejo, CA
56. Allentown, PA
57. Stockton, CA
58. Deltona, FL
59. Greenville, SC
60. Springfield, MA
61. Harrisburg, PA
62. Lancaster, PA
63. Bakersfield, CA
64. Dayton, OH
65. El Paso, TX
66. Little Rock, AR
Cities with the Highest Rates of Per Capita Adoption of Digital Platforms
Data based on dispersion of Twitter followers by location; collected February 2016
24. 24Beyond the Gig Economy | 2016
1. Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of
Labor, The Economics Daily, Unemployment
rates by educational attainment in April 2015 on
the Internet
2. Autor, David. “The Polarization of Job
Opportunities in the U.S. Labor Market,” The
Hamilton Project (accessed Feb. 12, 2016).
3. Dvorkin, Maximiliano. “Jobs Involving Routine
Tasks Aren’t Growing,” Federal Reserve Bank of
St. Louis (accessed Feb. 12, 2016).
4. Fuscalso, Donna. “High-Ranked Schools
Churning Out High Earners – But Does It
Matter?” Education News (accessed Feb. 12,
2016).
5. McAfee, Andrew. “Stop Requiring College
Degrees,” Harvard Business Review (accessed
Feb. 12, 2016).
6. Cosco, Joey. “Airbnb’s CEO Explains His
Company in a Way Stephen Colbert Can
Understand,” Business Insider (accessed Feb.
12, 2016).
7. Stewart, Ian; De, Debapratim; Cole, Alex.
“Technology and People: The Great Job-
Creating Machine,” Deloitte (accessed Feb. 12,
2016).
8. Plouffe, David. “Uber and the American Worker.”
Medium (accessed Feb. 12, 2016).
9. “Transcript: Nightly Business Report – July 2,
2015,” Nightly Business Report (accessed Feb.
12, 2016).
10. Chriss, Alex. “Data Sheds New Light on the
On-Demand Economy – A New Era for the Self-
Employed,” Medium (accessed Feb. 12, 2016).
11. Carson, Biz. “Why There’s a Good Chance Your
Uber Driver is New,” Business Insider (accessed
Feb. 12, 2016).
12. Frey, Carl; Osborne, Michael. “The Future of
Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs To
Computerisation?” (accessed Feb. 12, 2016).
13. Mohan, Pavithra. “Why Uber CEO Travis Kalanick
Is Betting Big On Self-Driving Cars.” Fast
Company (accessed Feb. 12, 2016).
14. Hawkins, Andrew. “GM Is Investing $500 Million
in Lyft to Develop Self-Driving Cars,” The Verge
(accessed Feb. 12, 2016).
15. Harris, Seth; Kruegar, Alan. “A Proposal for
Modernizing Labor Laws for Twenty-First
Century Work: The “Independent Worker,”
(accessed Feb. 12, 2016).
16. “Worldwide, 13% of Employees Are Engaged at
Work,” Gallup (accessed Feb. 12, 2016).
17. Lieber, Jon. “How Local Governments Are
Helping – and Hurting – Small Businesses”
(accessed Feb. 12, 2016).
18. Zients, Jeffrey. “Expanding Apprenticeships to
Invest in American Workers,” The White House
(accessed Feb. 12, 2016).
Appendix B
Sources and Additional Reading