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… AND LOW TURNOUT BENEFITS The Death of Polling?

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… AND LOW TURNOUT BENEFITS THE REPUBLICANS TOO
Source: Reuters / Ipsos Poll; Sept-Oct 2014
30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65%
51
50
49 49
48
47 47 47
44 44
45
46 46
48
Republican Vote
Democratic Vote
2012 TurnoutActual 2014 Turnout
GenericCongressionalVoteShare
Turnout Level (by Likely Voter Model)
2014 Generic Congressional Ballot by Turnout Levels

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… AND LOW TURNOUT BENEFITS THE REPUBLICANS TOO Source: Reuters / Ipsos Poll; Sept-Oct 2014 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 51 50 49 49 48 47 47 47 44 44 45 46 46 48 Republican Vote Democratic Vote 2012 TurnoutActual 2014 Turnout GenericCongressionalVoteShare Turnout Level (by Likely Voter Model) 2014 Generic Congressional Ballot by Turnout Levels

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