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The Arrival of Real-Time
Bidding
Scott Spencer, Director of Product
Management, Google

Joanna O’Connell, Senior Analyst,
Forrester Research Inc.

Michael Greene, Analyst, Forrester
Research Inc.

June 15, 2011
“Pipe”                    “Brain”
A real-time bidding API    A real-time bidder


         Real-time bidding requires two
          distinct layers of technology
                                                2
… the “pipe” announces
              details about the ad
              space and audience to
              eligible real-time bidders:


  For every       Ad slot
impression…

                  Geo


                  Content


                  User
                                        3
…the “pipe” is
                  responsible for
                  protecting publishers:



  To facilitate   Malware          Buyer
transactions…     protection       blocking

                  Data
                                   Anonymity
                  protection


                  Preferred        Technology
                  buyer access     blocking



                                              4
… the “brain” evaluates
                each individual
                impression to answer:



     In 100         Do you want to show
milliseconds…       an ad here?


                    At what price?



                    With what message?



                                          5
…the “brain” will
                   base these
                   decisions on:



To find audience       Data
    at scale…

                       Targeting



                       Optimization



                                       6
Ad exchanges             Ad networks

   Sell-side platforms      Demand-side
   (SSPs)                   platforms (DSPs)

                            Trading desks
                            Other media buying
                            intermediaries

“Pipes”                  “Brains”
Have a RTB API           Have a real-time bidder


     Real-time bidding is supported by a
      vibrant ecosystem of companies

                                                   7
8   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Forrester forecast:




                    RTB is here to stay and the buying
                    community is largely embracing it.




9   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Marketers do want less waste, better targeting, and
 more insight




10   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Transparency




11   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
RTB enables transparency – in its many forms –
 increasingly a “must have” for buyers

                  “We now have optics into all the
                     variables entering into the
                 equation. We know what’s working
                   – there’s no more ‘black box’.”




                                                    “Transparency is the whole reason
                                                    why I am doing this. I wouldn’t feel
                                                   comfortable telling a client – ‘oh yeah,
                                                      we’re just putting your ads up’.”

12   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Control




13   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Buyers want to be in the drivers seat – to be able to
 make deliberate, strategic, repeatable decisions.


      “‘We can do that’ has become the answer
        – whatever the client is trying to do, we
        now can do directly. I’m a control freak
          and so is my team – knowing we’re
         empowered with these tools is great.



                                                   “Now we’ve got the controls of search
                                                   and the bells and whistles of display.”



14   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Granularity




15   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
RTB enables buyers to segment much deeper than
 ‘traditional’ display buying has allowed


                        “As our program is running, we’re
                       thinking, ‘how do we break the buy
                       into chunks to better toggle up and
                         down what’s working and not?’”



                                                     “I can see exactly what fueled the
                                                    decision to buy any given impression
                                                      at any point in time. I know that I
                                                    bought that impression on that page
                                                          because X, Y, Z was true.”

16   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Why do these things matter?




17   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
But it’s still early days and there are
                       plenty of challenges hampering the
                               efforts of RTB buyers.




18   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Buyers bemoan the lack of standards




19   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Quality concerns come up again and again


                   “One of my biggest challenges
                   is getting quality inventory. I’d
                       spend more if the good
                        inventory was there.”




                                                                “We see a lot of poor quality
                                                               inventory. Blogs, UGC, piracy.
                                                               There’s a lot of crap out there.”



20   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
It’s still largely a flash banner opportunity


          “In terms of brand buying, RTB plays a
          small part. Most brand campaigns are
        large rich media placements. I find RTB to
          be used for the smaller units where you
        may want to target your specific audience.”




                                              “We do have a surprising amount of
                                              brand dollars flowing through our
                                              trading desk. But what’s lacking is the
                                              ability to deliver expanded creative.”

21   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Entrenchmentremains an issue
Entrenchment




22   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Some recommendations for buyers considering bid-
 based display buying


  Educate yourself. The more strategic thinking you bring to the auction-
   based marketplace, the more you’ll get out of it. As one trading desk
   executive noted, “A marketplace allows fair value to come to bear for
   those with the most information.”
  Treat this as a long term strategic opportunity. This is not just another
   line item on your plan and shouldn’t be treated as ‘just another ad
   network.’ It’s a fundamentally different model, which has very tangible
   benefits to buyers…if well executed.
  However, it’s ok to test into it if you need to. Just do it strategically –
   isolate a cookie pool, isolate media sources from each other – so that you
   don’t set the test, or yourself, up to fail.



23   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
For publishers, there’s a perception problem with
   RTB and exchange-based buying



When advertisers hear good things….                              Publishers hear frightening words




  24   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
The first instinct might be to dig
             into the trenches




25    © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
But premium publishers CAN
                          succeed in the world of RTB.
                          The real question is how.




26   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Despite early fears, RTB hasn’t turned
                                 media into pork bellies




 In fact, Forrester finds that quality
 inventory is what RTB buyers want
 most today

27   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Publisher experience shows that buyers are willing to
 pay for quality


          “CPMs have exceeded our
      expectations during our test phase.
     CPMs are 3x-4x higher than what we
     got from ad networks and moving in
             a positive direction.”



                                                       “We haven’t seen any evidence of
                                                         direct sales cannibalization. It’s
                                                       certainly a risk but we think we can
                                                                manage against it.”

28   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Publishers now have the tools to protect against risks
 and make the most of the RTB opportunity


  Price controls. Set variable price floors to protect the direct sales channel
   and maximize yield
  Ad blocking. Protect the publisher brand and minimize channel conflict by
   blocking ads by source or by category

  Private RTB functionality. The entry-point for many publishers. Maintain
   control by enabling RTB for only trusted advertiser partners.




29   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Private RTB relationships have helped create a win-
 win for publishers and advertisers

      Publisher: “Private gives us
      control, but also allows us to
         deepen our advertiser
     relationships and tap into new
                budgets”

                                                    Major advertiser: “We have one
                                                    private RTB relationship set up.
                                                   It’s working really well and we’re
                                                  very happy about it. We’re looking
                                                              to do more.”

30   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
But it’s not all roses.
                                                           Publishers have challenges
                                                                      ahead.

31   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Publishers have the tools, but inhibitors stand in the
 way of greater success


  Lack of data-driven decision making. Data drives programmatic buying
   from advertisers. Meanwhile, publishers make arbitrary decisions on
   impression allocation to exchanges and price floors.
  Operational inexperience. Ops teams must work not only with new
   platforms and toolsets, but must learn to make strategic decisions to
   optimize yield through RTB.

  Poorly defined roles for sales staff. Publishers still want sales to
   maintain buyer relationships, but most lack personnel familiar with RTB
   and the RTB buying community. In the words of one marketer: “I don’t
   know who to contact if I want to set up a private RTB relationship.”




32   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Three tips for publishers getting into RTB


  Pick a single exchange/SSP vendor. In an auction environment, you
   want to aggregate demand. Pick an exchange vendor that meets your
   needs and focus on developing success in that one exchange
   environment.
  If you go private, start with a trusted advertiser. If private exchanges
   are your entry point, start with a trusted advertiser who cares about
   maintaining a strong relationship with your direct sales team.

  Invest in RTB expertise. Ensure you have the right in-house expertise to
   make informed strategic decisions on the role of RTB in your sales
   strategy and manage RTB efforts day-to-day.




33   © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Thank you


Michael Greene                                              Joanna O’Connell
+1 212.857.0790                                             +1 212.857.0718
mgreene@forrester.com                                       joconnell@forrester.com
www.forrester.com                                           www.forrester.com




  © 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Real-Time Bidding has Grown Rapidly


                                     % of DoubleClick Ad Exchange Spend via RTB
   100%




    80%
                                                                                                                                  68%
                                                                                                                  64% 67% 66% 67%
    60%                                                                                          56% 58%
                                                                                         52%
                                                                       46% 48%
                                              37% 37% 39%
    40%

                                     26%
                             22%
    20%             15%
            8%

     0%

          Jan-10           Mar-10           May-10            Jul-10          Sep-10           Nov-10            Jan-11              Mar-11   May-11




Source: DoubleClick Ad Exchange, January 2010 to May 2011, figures do not include DoubleClick Ad Exchange inventory won by AdWords

                                                                                                                                                       35
RTB Trends: More Formats, More Deal Types

Multiple Formats




             Display    Rich Media       Video           Mobile



Flexible Deal Types

                         Auction                      Direct Deals


            Anonymous    Branded     Private Bidded   Fixed Price,
                                                      Pre-Auction




                                                                     36
Role of RTB in Selling Display Inventory

                                 Non-Guaranteed                                    Guaranteed
     Buyer Access                                                                     Relationships




Open Auction        “Traditional” Yield    “Private” Auction   Direct Exchange         Direct Premium
                      Management                                                           Sales
RTB demand with        Boost direct          Leverage brand    The power of the       Total customization
    controls           network yield             + RTB          handshake, the            and service
                                                               efficiency of RTB


                    The Foundation: Brand, Data and User Protection


                                                                                                       37
For Publishers RTB is a Perceived Risk,
Requires Mitigating Controls
                                                          Top RTB Requirements

                                                               Malware Protection – 50%



                                                               Data Protection – 48%


                                                               Preferred Buyer Access – 37%




       48 %                                                    Buyer Blocking – 37%



                                                               Anonymity – 26%
        Of publishers will shift
         inventory to an RTB
           platform in 2011
                                                               Technology Blocking – 10%

Source: Digiday and Google, Real-Time Display
Advertising State of the Industry, February 2011, total                                       38
survey respondents n=371, digital publisher
respondents n=101, question respondents n=33
An exciting time for
Display Advertising                   $200B

“Display advertising can be a $200B
 industry in less than 10 years.”
Eric Schmidt,
Executive Chairman, Google
AdWeek
                                             $15.9B
                                             in 2014




                                        $10.2B
                                        in 2010

                                                       39
Source: eMarketer, Nov. 2010
Thank You.
google.com/watchthisspace
                            40
Questions

   Please type your questions
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The Rise of Real-Time Bidding

  • 1. The Arrival of Real-Time Bidding Scott Spencer, Director of Product Management, Google Joanna O’Connell, Senior Analyst, Forrester Research Inc. Michael Greene, Analyst, Forrester Research Inc. June 15, 2011
  • 2. “Pipe” “Brain” A real-time bidding API A real-time bidder Real-time bidding requires two distinct layers of technology 2
  • 3. … the “pipe” announces details about the ad space and audience to eligible real-time bidders: For every Ad slot impression… Geo Content User 3
  • 4. …the “pipe” is responsible for protecting publishers: To facilitate Malware Buyer transactions… protection blocking Data Anonymity protection Preferred Technology buyer access blocking 4
  • 5. … the “brain” evaluates each individual impression to answer: In 100 Do you want to show milliseconds… an ad here? At what price? With what message? 5
  • 6. …the “brain” will base these decisions on: To find audience Data at scale… Targeting Optimization 6
  • 7. Ad exchanges Ad networks Sell-side platforms Demand-side (SSPs) platforms (DSPs) Trading desks Other media buying intermediaries “Pipes” “Brains” Have a RTB API Have a real-time bidder Real-time bidding is supported by a vibrant ecosystem of companies 7
  • 8. 8 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 9. Forrester forecast: RTB is here to stay and the buying community is largely embracing it. 9 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 10. Marketers do want less waste, better targeting, and more insight 10 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 11. Transparency 11 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 12. RTB enables transparency – in its many forms – increasingly a “must have” for buyers “We now have optics into all the variables entering into the equation. We know what’s working – there’s no more ‘black box’.” “Transparency is the whole reason why I am doing this. I wouldn’t feel comfortable telling a client – ‘oh yeah, we’re just putting your ads up’.” 12 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 13. Control 13 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 14. Buyers want to be in the drivers seat – to be able to make deliberate, strategic, repeatable decisions. “‘We can do that’ has become the answer – whatever the client is trying to do, we now can do directly. I’m a control freak and so is my team – knowing we’re empowered with these tools is great. “Now we’ve got the controls of search and the bells and whistles of display.” 14 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 15. Granularity 15 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 16. RTB enables buyers to segment much deeper than ‘traditional’ display buying has allowed “As our program is running, we’re thinking, ‘how do we break the buy into chunks to better toggle up and down what’s working and not?’” “I can see exactly what fueled the decision to buy any given impression at any point in time. I know that I bought that impression on that page because X, Y, Z was true.” 16 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 17. Why do these things matter? 17 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 18. But it’s still early days and there are plenty of challenges hampering the efforts of RTB buyers. 18 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 19. Buyers bemoan the lack of standards 19 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 20. Quality concerns come up again and again “One of my biggest challenges is getting quality inventory. I’d spend more if the good inventory was there.” “We see a lot of poor quality inventory. Blogs, UGC, piracy. There’s a lot of crap out there.” 20 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 21. It’s still largely a flash banner opportunity “In terms of brand buying, RTB plays a small part. Most brand campaigns are large rich media placements. I find RTB to be used for the smaller units where you may want to target your specific audience.” “We do have a surprising amount of brand dollars flowing through our trading desk. But what’s lacking is the ability to deliver expanded creative.” 21 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 22. Entrenchmentremains an issue Entrenchment 22 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 23. Some recommendations for buyers considering bid- based display buying  Educate yourself. The more strategic thinking you bring to the auction- based marketplace, the more you’ll get out of it. As one trading desk executive noted, “A marketplace allows fair value to come to bear for those with the most information.”  Treat this as a long term strategic opportunity. This is not just another line item on your plan and shouldn’t be treated as ‘just another ad network.’ It’s a fundamentally different model, which has very tangible benefits to buyers…if well executed.  However, it’s ok to test into it if you need to. Just do it strategically – isolate a cookie pool, isolate media sources from each other – so that you don’t set the test, or yourself, up to fail. 23 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 24. For publishers, there’s a perception problem with RTB and exchange-based buying When advertisers hear good things…. Publishers hear frightening words 24 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 25. The first instinct might be to dig into the trenches 25 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 26. But premium publishers CAN succeed in the world of RTB. The real question is how. 26 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 27. Despite early fears, RTB hasn’t turned media into pork bellies In fact, Forrester finds that quality inventory is what RTB buyers want most today 27 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 28. Publisher experience shows that buyers are willing to pay for quality “CPMs have exceeded our expectations during our test phase. CPMs are 3x-4x higher than what we got from ad networks and moving in a positive direction.” “We haven’t seen any evidence of direct sales cannibalization. It’s certainly a risk but we think we can manage against it.” 28 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 29. Publishers now have the tools to protect against risks and make the most of the RTB opportunity  Price controls. Set variable price floors to protect the direct sales channel and maximize yield  Ad blocking. Protect the publisher brand and minimize channel conflict by blocking ads by source or by category  Private RTB functionality. The entry-point for many publishers. Maintain control by enabling RTB for only trusted advertiser partners. 29 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 30. Private RTB relationships have helped create a win- win for publishers and advertisers Publisher: “Private gives us control, but also allows us to deepen our advertiser relationships and tap into new budgets” Major advertiser: “We have one private RTB relationship set up. It’s working really well and we’re very happy about it. We’re looking to do more.” 30 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 31. But it’s not all roses. Publishers have challenges ahead. 31 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 32. Publishers have the tools, but inhibitors stand in the way of greater success  Lack of data-driven decision making. Data drives programmatic buying from advertisers. Meanwhile, publishers make arbitrary decisions on impression allocation to exchanges and price floors.  Operational inexperience. Ops teams must work not only with new platforms and toolsets, but must learn to make strategic decisions to optimize yield through RTB.  Poorly defined roles for sales staff. Publishers still want sales to maintain buyer relationships, but most lack personnel familiar with RTB and the RTB buying community. In the words of one marketer: “I don’t know who to contact if I want to set up a private RTB relationship.” 32 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 33. Three tips for publishers getting into RTB  Pick a single exchange/SSP vendor. In an auction environment, you want to aggregate demand. Pick an exchange vendor that meets your needs and focus on developing success in that one exchange environment.  If you go private, start with a trusted advertiser. If private exchanges are your entry point, start with a trusted advertiser who cares about maintaining a strong relationship with your direct sales team.  Invest in RTB expertise. Ensure you have the right in-house expertise to make informed strategic decisions on the role of RTB in your sales strategy and manage RTB efforts day-to-day. 33 © 2011 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 34. Thank you Michael Greene Joanna O’Connell +1 212.857.0790 +1 212.857.0718 mgreene@forrester.com joconnell@forrester.com www.forrester.com www.forrester.com © 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 35. Real-Time Bidding has Grown Rapidly % of DoubleClick Ad Exchange Spend via RTB 100% 80% 68% 64% 67% 66% 67% 60% 56% 58% 52% 46% 48% 37% 37% 39% 40% 26% 22% 20% 15% 8% 0% Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Source: DoubleClick Ad Exchange, January 2010 to May 2011, figures do not include DoubleClick Ad Exchange inventory won by AdWords 35
  • 36. RTB Trends: More Formats, More Deal Types Multiple Formats Display Rich Media Video Mobile Flexible Deal Types Auction Direct Deals Anonymous Branded Private Bidded Fixed Price, Pre-Auction 36
  • 37. Role of RTB in Selling Display Inventory Non-Guaranteed Guaranteed Buyer Access Relationships Open Auction “Traditional” Yield “Private” Auction Direct Exchange Direct Premium Management Sales RTB demand with Boost direct Leverage brand The power of the Total customization controls network yield + RTB handshake, the and service efficiency of RTB The Foundation: Brand, Data and User Protection 37
  • 38. For Publishers RTB is a Perceived Risk, Requires Mitigating Controls Top RTB Requirements Malware Protection – 50% Data Protection – 48% Preferred Buyer Access – 37% 48 % Buyer Blocking – 37% Anonymity – 26% Of publishers will shift inventory to an RTB platform in 2011 Technology Blocking – 10% Source: Digiday and Google, Real-Time Display Advertising State of the Industry, February 2011, total 38 survey respondents n=371, digital publisher respondents n=101, question respondents n=33
  • 39. An exciting time for Display Advertising $200B “Display advertising can be a $200B industry in less than 10 years.” Eric Schmidt, Executive Chairman, Google AdWeek $15.9B in 2014 $10.2B in 2010 39 Source: eMarketer, Nov. 2010
  • 41. Questions Please type your questions into the chat feature on the upper-right corner of your screen.
  • 42. Upcoming Member Opportunities Educational Webinars • US Latinos Online: A Driving Force, hosted by the IAB Multicultural Council, June 29, Noon EST • Navigating the Cross-Section of Consumer Insights, Sentiment, & Online Behavior – hosted by SAS & Organic, July 13, Noon EST Professional Development Classes • On-demand training classes available @ iab.net Conferences • Mobile: IAB Marketplace, July 18, NYC • MIXX Conference, Expo, & Awards, October 3-4, NYC • Ad Operations Summit, November 7, NYC