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PAGE 12 P R E Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - Iowa Caucuses

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PAGE 12
P R E D IC TIO N M A R KE TS A N D P U N D ITS
Source: FiveThirtyEight polls-plus forecast is based on state polls, national polls, and endorsements
PredictWise prediction data are based on odds from the Betfair and PredictIt betting exchanges and markets, and aggregate polling data from HuffPost Pollster
1%
4%
29%
66%
Jeb Bush
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
PredictWiseChance ofWinningIowa Caucuses
As ofFebruary 1st
46%
38%
14%
1%
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Ben Carson
FiveThirtyEight.comChance ofWinningIowaCaucuses
As ofFebruary 1st

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PAGE 12 P R E D IC TIO N M A R KE TS A N D P U N D ITS Source: FiveThirtyEight polls-plus forecast is based on state polls, national polls, and endorsements PredictWise prediction data are based on odds from the Betfair and PredictIt betting exchanges and markets, and aggregate polling data from HuffPost Pollster 1% 4% 29% 66% Jeb Bush Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Donald Trump PredictWiseChance ofWinningIowa Caucuses As ofFebruary 1st 46% 38% 14% 1% Donald Trump Ted Cruz Marco Rubio Ben Carson FiveThirtyEight.comChance ofWinningIowaCaucuses As ofFebruary 1st

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