1. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF A
STOCK
Presented by
Mr Fahim Akhtar, Secretary General
Association for investor's awareness
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2. SCHEME / SEQUENCE
What fundamental is
Significance of fundamentals
How to analyze a stock
Forming a view / strategy
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3. FUNDAMENTAL
Fundamental analysis is performed on historical
and present data, but with the goal of making
financial forecast . There are several possible
objectives:
To conduct a company stock valuations and predict
its probable price evolution,
To make a projection on its business performance,
To evaluate its management and make internal
business decisions
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4. SIGNIFICANCE OF FUNDAMENTALS
Give true picture
Emotions can be overcome
Growth can be measured
Investment strategy can be formed
Brings professional approach in trade
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6. DATA REQUIRED
Financial reports both current and historical
All current information about company
Plans of company currently in implementation
Impact of rules or taxation
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7. WHERE DATA IS AVAILABLE
Company websites
KSE website
Few forums ( discussion forums)
aia websites
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8. WHAT IS IMPORTANT TO SEE
Balance sheet
Income statement
Cash Flow statement
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9. BALANCE SHEET
A summary of a firm’s financial position on
a given date that shows total assets = total
liabilities + owners’ equity.
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10. INCOME STATEMENT
A summary of a firm’s revenues and
expenses over a specified period, ending with net
income or loss for the period
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11. CASH FLOW
Provides information what actually happening
in business beyond that either contained in balance
sheet or income statement
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13. ALI FERT – ASSET SIDE
ALI Fert Balance Sheet (thousands) Dec. 31, 20011a
Cash $ 90 a. How the firm stands on a
Acct. Rec.c 394 specific date.
Inventories 696 b. What ALF owned.
Prepaid Exp d 5 c. Amounts owed by customers.
Accum Tax Prepay 10 d. Future expense items already
paid.
e. Cash/likely convertible to cash
Current Assets $1,195
e
within 1 year.
Fixed Assets (@Cost) 1030
f
f. Original amount paid.
Less: Acc. Depr. g (329) g. Acc. deductions for wear and
Net Fix. Assets $ 701 tear.
Investment, LT 50
Other Assets, LT 223
Total Assets b
$2,169
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14. ALI FERT – LIABILITIES SIDE
ALI fert Balance Sheet (thousands) Dec. 31, 2011
Notes Payable $ 290 a. Note, Assets = Liabilities +
Acct. Payablec 94 Equity.
b. What ALF owed and
Accrued Taxes d 16 ownership position.
Other Accrued Liab. d
100 c. Owed to suppliers for goods
Current Liab. $
e
and services.
500 Long-Term Debt f d. Unpaid wages, salaries, etc.
530 Shareholders’ Equity e. Debts payable < 1 year.
Com. Stock ($1 par) g f. Debts payable > 1 year.
g. Original investment.
200 Add Pd in Capital g
h. Earnings reinvested.
729 Retained
Earnings h 210 Total Equity
$1,139
a,b
15. INCOME STAEMENT
Statement of Earnings (in thousands) for Year Ending
December 31, 2011a
Net Sales $ 2,211 a. Measures profitability over
Cost of Goods Sold b 1,599 a time period.
Gross Profit $ 612 b. Received, or receivable,
SG&A Expenses c 402 from customers.
EBITd $ 210 c. Sales comm., adv.,
Interest Expensee 59 officers’ salaries, etc.
EBT f $ 151 d. Operating income.
Income Taxes 60 e. Cost of borrowed funds.
EATg $ 91 f. Taxable income.
Cash Dividends 38 g. Amount earned for
Increase in RE $ 53 shareholders.
16. LIQUIDITY RATIO
Balance Sheet Ratios Current
Current Assets
Liquidity Ratios Current Liabilities
Shows a firm’s ability to For ALI Fert
cover its current December 31, 2007
liabilities with its current $1,195
assets. = 2.39
$500
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17. LIQUIDITY RATIO COMPARISION
Current Ratio
Year ALF Industry
2011 2.39 2.15
2010 2.26 2.09
2009 1.91 2.01
Ratio is stronger than the industry average.
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18. LIQUIDITY RATIO
Balance Sheet Ratios Acid-Test (Quick)
Current Assets - Inv
Liquidity Ratios Current Liabilities
For ALF
Shows a firm’s ability to
December 31, 2007
meet current liabilities
with its most liquid $1,195 - $696
= 1.00
assets. $500
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19. LIQUIDITY RATIO COMPARISION
Acid-Test Ratio
Year ALF Industry
2007 1.00 1.25
2006 1.04 1.23
2005 1.11 1.25
Ratio is weaker than the industry average.
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20. SUMMARY
Ratio ALF Industry
Current 2.39 2.15
Acid-Test 1.00 1.25
• Strong current ratio and weak acid-test ratio
indicates a potential problem in the inventories
account.
• Note that this industry has a relatively high level
of inventories.
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21. WHY CASH FLOW IS IMPORTANT
• Cash generated by company is sufficient for expansion
strategy
• Stock holders wants to know if company can pay
dividends
• Suppliers knows they will get their credit supplies paid
• Investors wants to evaluate future growth potentials
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22. FORMAT OF CASH FLOW
• Cash flow from operating activities
• Cash flow from investing activities
• Cash flow from financing activities
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23. FORMING A STRATEGY
• Find consistent growth
• Watch gain in income
• Cash flow is to be seen critically
• If all these factors do not support try to find and
ascertain reason
•
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