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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF A
        STOCK
             Presented by
   Mr Fahim Akhtar, Secretary General
     Association for investor's awareness




                www.aia.org.pk
SCHEME / SEQUENCE
 What fundamental is
 Significance of fundamentals
 How to analyze a stock
 Forming a view / strategy




             www.aia.org.pk
FUNDAMENTAL
Fundamental analysis is performed on historical
and present data, but with the goal of making
financial forecast . There are several possible
objectives:
To conduct a company stock valuations and predict
its probable price evolution,
To make a projection on its business performance,
To evaluate its management and make internal
business decisions


              www.aia.org.pk
SIGNIFICANCE OF FUNDAMENTALS
 Give true picture
 Emotions can be overcome
 Growth can be measured
 Investment strategy can be formed
 Brings professional approach in trade



                 www.aia.org.pk
HOW TO ANALYZE A STOCK




       www.aia.org.pk
DATA REQUIRED
 Financial reports both current and historical
 All current information about company
 Plans of company currently in implementation
 Impact of rules or taxation




                 www.aia.org.pk
WHERE DATA IS AVAILABLE
 Company websites
 KSE website
 Few forums ( discussion forums)
 aia websites




                 www.aia.org.pk
WHAT IS IMPORTANT TO SEE
 Balance sheet
 Income statement
 Cash Flow statement




               www.aia.org.pk
BALANCE SHEET
        A summary of a firm’s financial position on
a given date that shows total assets = total
liabilities + owners’ equity.




                 www.aia.org.pk
INCOME STATEMENT
      A summary of a firm’s revenues and
expenses over a specified period, ending with net
income or loss for the period




                 www.aia.org.pk
CASH FLOW

        Provides information what actually happening
in business beyond that either contained in balance
sheet or income statement




                 www.aia.org.pk
BALANCE SHEET




  www.aia.org.pk
ALI FERT – ASSET SIDE
          ALI Fert Balance Sheet (thousands) Dec. 31, 20011a
Cash                     $ 90 a. How the firm stands on a
Acct. Rec.c                394     specific date.
Inventories                696 b. What ALF owned.
Prepaid Exp d          5       c. Amounts owed by customers.
Accum Tax Prepay            10 d. Future expense items already
                                   paid.
                               e. Cash/likely convertible to cash
      Current Assets $1,195
                     e
                                   within 1 year.
Fixed Assets (@Cost) 1030
                      f
                               f. Original amount paid.
Less: Acc. Depr. g       (329) g. Acc. deductions for wear and
      Net Fix. Assets $ 701        tear.
Investment, LT                50
Other Assets, LT             223
      Total Assets   b
                         $2,169
                         www.aia.org.pk
ALI FERT – LIABILITIES SIDE
ALI fert Balance Sheet (thousands) Dec. 31, 2011
 Notes Payable            $ 290 a. Note, Assets = Liabilities +
 Acct. Payablec               94     Equity.
                                  b. What ALF owed and
 Accrued Taxes d              16     ownership position.
 Other Accrued Liab. d
                           100    c. Owed to suppliers for goods
               Current Liab. $
                            e
                                     and services.
 500 Long-Term Debt f             d. Unpaid wages, salaries, etc.
        530 Shareholders’ Equity e. Debts payable < 1 year.
          Com. Stock ($1 par) g   f. Debts payable > 1 year.
                                  g. Original investment.
        200 Add Pd in Capital g
                                  h. Earnings reinvested.
               729 Retained
 Earnings h      210 Total Equity
            $1,139
                      a,b
INCOME STAEMENT
 Statement of Earnings (in thousands) for Year Ending
                 December 31, 2011a
Net Sales               $ 2,211    a. Measures profitability over
Cost of Goods Sold b     1,599        a time period.
       Gross Profit     $    612   b. Received, or receivable,
SG&A Expenses c           402         from customers.
       EBITd            $    210   c. Sales comm., adv.,
Interest Expensee             59      officers’ salaries, etc.
       EBT f           $    151    d. Operating income.
Income Taxes                  60   e. Cost of borrowed funds.
       EATg            $      91   f. Taxable income.
Cash Dividends                38   g. Amount earned for
  Increase in RE        $     53      shareholders.
LIQUIDITY RATIO

Balance Sheet Ratios                         Current

                                          Current Assets
   Liquidity Ratios                      Current Liabilities

Shows a firm’s ability to               For ALI Fert
     cover its current               December 31, 2007
liabilities with its current              $1,195
           assets.                               = 2.39
                                           $500
                        www.aia.org.pk
LIQUIDITY RATIO COMPARISION

             Current Ratio
    Year         ALF              Industry
    2011         2.39                2.15
    2010         2.26                2.09
    2009         1.91                2.01
Ratio is stronger than the industry average.
                 www.aia.org.pk
LIQUIDITY RATIO

Balance Sheet Ratios             Acid-Test (Quick)

                                 Current Assets - Inv
  Liquidity Ratios                Current Liabilities

                                      For ALF
Shows a firm’s ability to
                                  December 31, 2007
 meet current liabilities
  with its most liquid       $1,195 - $696
                                           = 1.00
         assets.                 $500
                     www.aia.org.pk
LIQUIDITY RATIO COMPARISION

          Acid-Test Ratio
    Year         ALF         Industry
    2007         1.00           1.25
    2006         1.04           1.23
    2005         1.11           1.25
Ratio is weaker than the industry average.

                www.aia.org.pk
SUMMARY

        Ratio           ALF            Industry
      Current           2.39              2.15
      Acid-Test         1.00              1.25

• Strong current ratio and weak acid-test ratio
  indicates a potential problem in the inventories
  account.
• Note that this industry has a relatively high level
  of inventories.
                      www.aia.org.pk
WHY CASH FLOW IS IMPORTANT

•   Cash generated by company is sufficient for expansion
    strategy
•   Stock holders wants to know if company can pay
    dividends
•   Suppliers knows they will get their credit supplies paid
•   Investors wants to evaluate future growth potentials



                         www.aia.org.pk
FORMAT OF CASH FLOW

• Cash flow from operating activities
• Cash flow from investing activities
• Cash flow from financing activities




                 www.aia.org.pk
FORMING A STRATEGY
•   Find consistent growth
•   Watch gain in income
•   Cash flow is to be seen critically
•   If all these factors do not support try to find and
    ascertain reason
•




                      www.aia.org.pk
QUESTIONS




 www.aia.org.pk

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fundamenals of stock

  • 1. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF A STOCK Presented by Mr Fahim Akhtar, Secretary General Association for investor's awareness www.aia.org.pk
  • 2. SCHEME / SEQUENCE  What fundamental is  Significance of fundamentals  How to analyze a stock  Forming a view / strategy www.aia.org.pk
  • 3. FUNDAMENTAL Fundamental analysis is performed on historical and present data, but with the goal of making financial forecast . There are several possible objectives: To conduct a company stock valuations and predict its probable price evolution, To make a projection on its business performance, To evaluate its management and make internal business decisions www.aia.org.pk
  • 4. SIGNIFICANCE OF FUNDAMENTALS  Give true picture  Emotions can be overcome  Growth can be measured  Investment strategy can be formed  Brings professional approach in trade www.aia.org.pk
  • 5. HOW TO ANALYZE A STOCK www.aia.org.pk
  • 6. DATA REQUIRED  Financial reports both current and historical  All current information about company  Plans of company currently in implementation  Impact of rules or taxation www.aia.org.pk
  • 7. WHERE DATA IS AVAILABLE  Company websites  KSE website  Few forums ( discussion forums)  aia websites www.aia.org.pk
  • 8. WHAT IS IMPORTANT TO SEE  Balance sheet  Income statement  Cash Flow statement www.aia.org.pk
  • 9. BALANCE SHEET A summary of a firm’s financial position on a given date that shows total assets = total liabilities + owners’ equity. www.aia.org.pk
  • 10. INCOME STATEMENT A summary of a firm’s revenues and expenses over a specified period, ending with net income or loss for the period www.aia.org.pk
  • 11. CASH FLOW Provides information what actually happening in business beyond that either contained in balance sheet or income statement www.aia.org.pk
  • 12. BALANCE SHEET www.aia.org.pk
  • 13. ALI FERT – ASSET SIDE ALI Fert Balance Sheet (thousands) Dec. 31, 20011a Cash $ 90 a. How the firm stands on a Acct. Rec.c 394 specific date. Inventories 696 b. What ALF owned. Prepaid Exp d 5 c. Amounts owed by customers. Accum Tax Prepay 10 d. Future expense items already paid. e. Cash/likely convertible to cash Current Assets $1,195 e within 1 year. Fixed Assets (@Cost) 1030 f f. Original amount paid. Less: Acc. Depr. g (329) g. Acc. deductions for wear and Net Fix. Assets $ 701 tear. Investment, LT 50 Other Assets, LT 223 Total Assets b $2,169 www.aia.org.pk
  • 14. ALI FERT – LIABILITIES SIDE ALI fert Balance Sheet (thousands) Dec. 31, 2011 Notes Payable $ 290 a. Note, Assets = Liabilities + Acct. Payablec 94 Equity. b. What ALF owed and Accrued Taxes d 16 ownership position. Other Accrued Liab. d 100 c. Owed to suppliers for goods Current Liab. $ e and services. 500 Long-Term Debt f d. Unpaid wages, salaries, etc. 530 Shareholders’ Equity e. Debts payable < 1 year. Com. Stock ($1 par) g f. Debts payable > 1 year. g. Original investment. 200 Add Pd in Capital g h. Earnings reinvested. 729 Retained Earnings h 210 Total Equity $1,139 a,b
  • 15. INCOME STAEMENT Statement of Earnings (in thousands) for Year Ending December 31, 2011a Net Sales $ 2,211 a. Measures profitability over Cost of Goods Sold b 1,599 a time period. Gross Profit $ 612 b. Received, or receivable, SG&A Expenses c 402 from customers. EBITd $ 210 c. Sales comm., adv., Interest Expensee 59 officers’ salaries, etc. EBT f $ 151 d. Operating income. Income Taxes 60 e. Cost of borrowed funds. EATg $ 91 f. Taxable income. Cash Dividends 38 g. Amount earned for Increase in RE $ 53 shareholders.
  • 16. LIQUIDITY RATIO Balance Sheet Ratios Current Current Assets Liquidity Ratios Current Liabilities Shows a firm’s ability to For ALI Fert cover its current December 31, 2007 liabilities with its current $1,195 assets. = 2.39 $500 www.aia.org.pk
  • 17. LIQUIDITY RATIO COMPARISION Current Ratio Year ALF Industry 2011 2.39 2.15 2010 2.26 2.09 2009 1.91 2.01 Ratio is stronger than the industry average. www.aia.org.pk
  • 18. LIQUIDITY RATIO Balance Sheet Ratios Acid-Test (Quick) Current Assets - Inv Liquidity Ratios Current Liabilities For ALF Shows a firm’s ability to December 31, 2007 meet current liabilities with its most liquid $1,195 - $696 = 1.00 assets. $500 www.aia.org.pk
  • 19. LIQUIDITY RATIO COMPARISION Acid-Test Ratio Year ALF Industry 2007 1.00 1.25 2006 1.04 1.23 2005 1.11 1.25 Ratio is weaker than the industry average. www.aia.org.pk
  • 20. SUMMARY Ratio ALF Industry Current 2.39 2.15 Acid-Test 1.00 1.25 • Strong current ratio and weak acid-test ratio indicates a potential problem in the inventories account. • Note that this industry has a relatively high level of inventories. www.aia.org.pk
  • 21. WHY CASH FLOW IS IMPORTANT • Cash generated by company is sufficient for expansion strategy • Stock holders wants to know if company can pay dividends • Suppliers knows they will get their credit supplies paid • Investors wants to evaluate future growth potentials www.aia.org.pk
  • 22. FORMAT OF CASH FLOW • Cash flow from operating activities • Cash flow from investing activities • Cash flow from financing activities www.aia.org.pk
  • 23. FORMING A STRATEGY • Find consistent growth • Watch gain in income • Cash flow is to be seen critically • If all these factors do not support try to find and ascertain reason • www.aia.org.pk