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Essentials of Marketing
       Research
       Kumar, Aaker, Day
 Instructor’s Presentation Slides
  Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Chapter Fourteen
     Fundamentals of Data
          Analysis

Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Fundamentals of Data Analysis




         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Data Analysis
3   A set of methods and techniques used to
    obtain information and insights from data
3   Helps avoid erroneous judgements and
    conclusions
3   Can constructively influence the research
    objectives and the research design



        Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Preparing the Data for Analysis
3   Data editing
3   Coding
3   Statistically adjusting the data




         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Preparing the Data for Analysis
               (Contd.)
    Data Editing
3   Identifies omissions, ambiguities, and errors
    in responses
3   Conducted in the field by interviewer and
    field supervisor and by the analyst prior to
    data analysis



         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Preparing the Data for Analysis
               (Contd.)
    Problems Identified With Data Editing
3   Interviewer Error
3   Omissions
3   Ambiguity
3   Inconsistencies
3   Lack of Cooperation
3   Ineligible Respondent
         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Preparing the Data for Analysis
               (Contd.)
    Coding
3   Coding closed-ended questions involves
    specifying how the responses are to be
    entered
3   Open-ended questions are difficult to code
       x   Lengthy list of possible responses is generated




           Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Preparing the Data for Analysis
               (Contd.)
    Statistically        Adjusting         the      Data       +
    Weighting
3   Each response is assigned a number according to a
    pre-specified rule
3   Makes sample data more representative of target
    population on specific characteristics
3   Modifies number of cases in the sample that
    possess certain characteristics
3   Adjusts the sample so that greater importance is
    attached to of Marketing Research with certain characteristics
          Essentials respondents               Kumar, Aaker, Day
Preparing the Data for Analysis
               (Contd.)
    Statistically Adjusting the Data + Variable
    Re-specification
3   Existing data is modified to create new variables
3   Large number of variables collapsed into fewer
    variables
3   Creates variables that are consistent with study
    objectives
3   Dummy variables are used (binary, dichotomous,
    instrumental, quantitative variables)
3   Use (d-1) dummy Research
          Essentials of Marketing variables to specify (d) levels of
                                                 Kumar, Aaker, Day
Preparing the Data for Analysis
               (Contd.)
    Statistically Adjusting the Data + Scale
    Transformation
3   Scale values are manipulated                  to    ensure
    comparability with other scales
3   Standardization allows the researcher to compare
    variables that have been measured using different
    types of scales
3   Variables are forced to have a mean of zero and a
    standard deviation of one
3   Can be done Marketing on interval or ratioAaker, Day data
         Essentials of only Research     Kumar, scaled
Simple Tabulation
3   Consists of counting the number of cases
    that fall into various categories
    Use of Simple Tabulation
3   Determine empirical distribution (frequency
    distribution) of the variable in question
3   Calculate summary statistics, particularly
    the mean or percentages
3   Aid in "data cleaning" aspects
         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Frequency Distribution
3   Reports the number of responses that each
    question received
3   Organizes data into classes or groups of values
3   Shows number of observations that fall into each
    class
3   Can be illustrated simply as a number or as a
    percentage or histogram
3   Response categories may be combined for many
    questions
3   Should result inResearch
         Essentials of Marketing categories Kumar, Aaker,worthwhile
                                             with Day
Descriptive Statistics
3   Statistics normally associated with a
    frequency distribution to help summarize
    information in the frequency table
3   Measures of central tendency mean, median
    and mode
3   Measures of dispersion (range, standard
    deviation, and coefficient of variation)
3   Measures of shape (skewness and kurtosis)
         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Analysis for Various Population
          Subgroups
3   Differences between means or percentages
    of two subgroup responses can provide
    insights
3   Difference between means is concerned
    with the association between two questions
3   Question upon which means are based are
    intervally scaled


        Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Cross Tabulations
3   Statistical analysis technique to study the
    relationships among and between variables
3   Sample is divided to learn how the
    dependent variable varies from subgroup to
    subgroup
3   Frequency distribution for each subgroup is
    compared to the frequency distribution for
    the total sample
3   The two variables that are analyzed must be
         Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
Factors Influencing the Choice of
      Statistical Technique
 Type of Data
    x   Classification of data involves nominal, ordinal,
        interval and ratio scales of measurement
    x   Nominal scaling is restricted to the mode as the only
        measure of central tendency
    x   Both median and mode can be used for ordinal scale
    x   Non-parametric tests can only be run on ordinal data
    x   Mean, median and mode can all be used to measure
        central tendency for interval and ratio scaled data

        Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Factors Influencing the Choice of
 Statistical Technique (Contd.)
 Research Design
    x   Dependency of observations
    x   Number of observations per object
    x   Number of groups being analyzed
    x   Control exercised over variable of interest

 Assumptions Underlying the Test Statistic
    x   If assumptions on which a statistical test is based are
        violated, the test will provide meaningless results

        Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Overview of Statistical
            Techniques
Univariate Techniques
   x   Appropriate when there is a single measurement of
       each of the 'n' sample objects or there are several
       measurements of each of the `n' observations but
       each variable is analyzed in isolation
   x   Nonmetric - measured on nominal or ordinal scale
   x   Metric-measured on interval or ratio scale
   x   Determine whether single or multiple samples are
       involved
   x   For multiple samples, choice of statistical test
       depends on whether the samples are independent or
       dependent
       Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
Overview of Statistical
          Techniques (Contd.)
    Multivariate Techniques
3   A collection of procedures for analyzing
    association between two or more sets of
    measurements that have been made on each
    object in one or more samples of objects
3   Dependence or interdependence techniques



        Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Overview of Statistical
          Techniques (Contd.)
    Multivariate Techniques (Contd.)
    Dependence Techniques
3   One or more variables can be identified as
    dependent variables and the remaining as
    independent variables
3   Choice of dependence technique depends
    on the number of dependent variables
    involved in analysis
         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Overview of Statistical
          Techniques (Contd.)
    Multivariate Techniques (Contd.)
    Interdependence Techniques
3   Whole set of interdependent relationships is
    examined
3   Further classified as having focus on
    variable or objects


         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Overview of Statistical
          Techniques (Contd.)
    Why Use Multivariate Analysis?
3   To group variables or people or objects
3   To improve the ability to predict variables
    (such as usage)
3   To understand relationships between
    variables (such as advertising and sales)


         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Hypothesis Testing:
                Basic Concepts
3   Assumption (hypothesis) made about a
    population parameter (not sample parameter)
3   Purpose of Hypothesis Testing
       x   To make a judgement about the difference between
           two sample statistics or the sample statistic and a
           hypothesized population parameter
3   Evidence has to be evaluated statistically
    before arriving at a conclusion regarding the
    hypothesis.
           Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Hypothesis Testing
3   The null hypothesis (Ho) is tested against
    the alternative hypothesis (Ha).
3   At least the null hypothesis is stated.
3   Decide upon the criteria to be used in
    making the decision whether to “reject” or
    "not reject" the null hypothesis.


         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Significance Level
3   Indicates the percentage of sample means that
    is outside the cut-off limits (critical value)
3   The higher the significance level (α) used for
    testing a hypothesis, the higher the probability
    of rejecting a null hypothesis when it is true
    (Type I error)
3   Accepting a null hypothesis when it is false is
    called a Type II error and its probability is
    (β)
          Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Hypothesis Testing
Tests in this class
                                               Statistical Test
3   Frequency Distributions                    χ2

3   Means           (one)                      z (if σ is known)
                                               t (if σ is unknown)

3   Means           (two or more)              ANOVA



            Essentials of Marketing Research      Kumar, Aaker, Day
Cross-tabulation and Chi Square
In Marketing Applications, Chi-square
  Statistic Is Used As
    Test of Independence
3   Are there associations between two or more variables in a
    study?
    Test of Goodness of Fit
3   Is there a significant difference between an observed
    frequency distribution and a theoretical frequency
    distribution?

           Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Chi-Square As a Test of
            Independence
Null Hypothesis Ho
3   Two (nominally scaled) variables are
    statistically independent

Alternative Hypothesis Ha
3   The two variables are not independent

       Use Chi-square distribution to test.
         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Chi-square Statistic (χ )                             2

3   Measures of the difference between the actual numbers
    observed in cell i (Oi), and number expected (Ei) under
    independence if the null hypothesis were true
                             (Oi − Ei )
                                  n           2
                     χ =Σ2
                        i =1     Ei
    With (r-1)*(c-1) degrees of freedom
    r = number of rows         c = number of columns

3   Expected frequency in each cell: Ei = pc * pr * n
    Where pc and pr are proportions for independent variables
    and n is the total number of observations
           Essentials of Marketing Research       Kumar, Aaker, Day
Chi-square Step-by-Step
1) Formulate Hypotheses
2) Calculate row and column totals
3) Calculate row and column proportions
4) Calculate expected frequencies (Ei)
5) Calculate χ2 statistic
6) Calculate degrees of freedom
7) Obtain Critical Value from table
8) Make decision regarding the Null-hypothesis
        Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Example of Chi-square as a Test
      of Independence
                                           Class
                            1                      2
                A           10                     8
Grade           B           20                     16
                C           45                     18
                                                                   This is a ‘Cell’
                D           16                     6
                E           9                      2

        Essentials of Marketing Research                Kumar, Aaker, Day
Chi-square As a Test of
       Independence - Exercise
Own                                        Income
Expensive                   Low            Middle                   High
Automobile
Yes                         45             34                       55
No                          52             53                       27


Task: Make a decision whether the two variables are
  independent!
        Essentials of Marketing Research        Kumar, Aaker, Day
Hypothesis Testing About
            a Single Mean
3   Make judgement about a single sample parameter.
3   Hypothesis testing depends on whether the population
    is known on not known


        ( X − µ)                                 ( X − µ)
     z=                                       t=
           σx                                       sx
    if population variance                   if population variance
    is known                                 is not known, or
                                             if sample size < 60
          Essentials of Marketing Research      Kumar, Aaker, Day
Hypothesis Testing About
   a Single Mean - Step-by-Step
1) Formulate Hypotheses
2) Select appropriate formula
3) Select significance level
4) Calculate z or t statistic
5) Calculate degrees of freedom (for t-test)
6) Obtain critical value from table
7) Make decision regarding the Null-
  hypothesis
       Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Hypothesis Testing About
      a Single Mean - Example 1

3   Ho: µ = 5000 (hypothesized value of population)
3   Ha: µ ≠ 5000 (alternative hypothesis)
3   n = 100
3   X = 4960
3   σ = 250
3   α = 0.05

Rejection rule: if |zcalc| > zα/2 then reject Ho.
         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Hypothesis Testing About
      a Single Mean - Example 2
3   Ho: µ = 1000 (hypothesized value of population)
3   Ha: µ ≠ 1000 (alternative hypothesis)
3   n = 12
3   X = 1087.1
3   s = 191.6
3   α = 0.01

Rejection rule: if |tcalc| > tdf, α/2 then reject Ho.
          Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Hypothesis Testing About
      a Single Mean - Example 3
3   Ho: µ ≤ 1000 (hypothesized value of population)
3   Ha: µ > 1000 (alternative hypothesis)
3   n = 12
3   X = 1087.1
3   s = 191.6
3   α = 0.05

Rejection rule: if tcalc > tdf, α then reject Ho.

         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Confidence Intervals
3   Hypothesis testing and Confidence Intervals
    are two sides of the same coin.



       ( X − µ)
    t=                       ⇒              X ± ts x =    interval
          sx                                              estimate of µ



         Essentials of Marketing Research           Kumar, Aaker, Day
Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)
3   Response variable - dependent variable (Y)
3   Factor(s) - independent variables (X)
3   Treatments - different levels of factors
    (r1, r2, r3, …)




         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
Example (Book p.495)
                                             Product Sales
                  1           2              3      4      5               Total Xp
       39¢        8           12             10    9         11            50   10
Price
Level 44 ¢        7           10             6     8         9             40   8

       49 ¢       4           8              7     9         7             35   7

Overall sample mean: X = 8.333
Overall sample size: n = 15
No. of observations per price level: np = 5
          Essentials of Marketing Research             Kumar, Aaker, Day
Example (Book p.495)



                                                       Grand Mean




Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
One - Factor Analysis of
               Variance
3   Studies the effect of 'r' treatments on one
    response variable
3   Determine whether or not there are any
    statistically significant differences between
    the treatment means µ1, µ2,... µR
3   Ho: All treatments have same effect on
    mean responses
3   H1 : At least 2 of µ1, µ2 ... µr are different
         Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
One - Factor ANOVA -
                 Intuitively
If:                Between Treatment Variance
                   Within Treatment Variance

Wis large then there are differences between treatments
i is small then there are no differences between treatments


3     To Test Hypothesis, Compute the Ratio Between the
      "Between Treatment" Variance and "Within
      Treatment" Variance
           Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day
One - Factor ANOVA Table
Source of        Variation              Degrees of    Mean Sum           F-ratio
Variation        (SS)                   Freedom       of Squares

Between          SSr                    r-1           MSSr =SSr/r-1 MSSr
(price levels)                                                           MSSu


Within           SSu                    n-r           MSSu=SSu/n-r
(price levels)

Total            SSt                    n-1
             Essentials of Marketing Research        Kumar, Aaker, Day
One - Factor Analysis of
                         Variance
3   Between Treatment Variance
          r
      Σ
SSr = p=1 np (Xp - X)2 = 23.3

        n   r
3   Within-treatment variance
              p


          i=1 p=1
SSu = Σ Σ (Xip - Xp)2 = 34

Where
SSr = treatment sums of squares              r = number of groups
            size of group ‘p’
np = sampleEssentialsin Marketing Research   X = meanAaker,group p
                                                  Kumar, of Day
One - Factor Analysis of
                Variance
3   Between variance estimate (MSSr)
    MSSr = SSr/(r-1) = 23.3/2 = 11.65


3   Within variance estimate (MSSu)
    MSSu = SSu/(n-r) = 34/12 = 2.8

Where
n = total sample size Research
           Essentials of Marketing
                                     r = Kumar, Aaker, of groups
                                         number Day
One - Factor Analysis of
                Variance
3   Total variation (SSt): SSt = SSr + SSu = 23.3+34 = 57.3


3   F-statistic: F = MSSr / MSSu = 11.65/2.8 = 4.16

3   DF: (r-1), (n-r) = 2, 12

3   Critical value from table: CV(α, df) = 3.89



          Essentials of Marketing Research   Kumar, Aaker, Day

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Mkt research

  • 1. Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day Instructor’s Presentation Slides Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 2. Chapter Fourteen Fundamentals of Data Analysis Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 3. Fundamentals of Data Analysis Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 4. Data Analysis 3 A set of methods and techniques used to obtain information and insights from data 3 Helps avoid erroneous judgements and conclusions 3 Can constructively influence the research objectives and the research design Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 5. Preparing the Data for Analysis 3 Data editing 3 Coding 3 Statistically adjusting the data Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 6. Preparing the Data for Analysis (Contd.) Data Editing 3 Identifies omissions, ambiguities, and errors in responses 3 Conducted in the field by interviewer and field supervisor and by the analyst prior to data analysis Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 7. Preparing the Data for Analysis (Contd.) Problems Identified With Data Editing 3 Interviewer Error 3 Omissions 3 Ambiguity 3 Inconsistencies 3 Lack of Cooperation 3 Ineligible Respondent Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 8. Preparing the Data for Analysis (Contd.) Coding 3 Coding closed-ended questions involves specifying how the responses are to be entered 3 Open-ended questions are difficult to code x Lengthy list of possible responses is generated Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 9. Preparing the Data for Analysis (Contd.) Statistically Adjusting the Data + Weighting 3 Each response is assigned a number according to a pre-specified rule 3 Makes sample data more representative of target population on specific characteristics 3 Modifies number of cases in the sample that possess certain characteristics 3 Adjusts the sample so that greater importance is attached to of Marketing Research with certain characteristics Essentials respondents Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 10. Preparing the Data for Analysis (Contd.) Statistically Adjusting the Data + Variable Re-specification 3 Existing data is modified to create new variables 3 Large number of variables collapsed into fewer variables 3 Creates variables that are consistent with study objectives 3 Dummy variables are used (binary, dichotomous, instrumental, quantitative variables) 3 Use (d-1) dummy Research Essentials of Marketing variables to specify (d) levels of Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 11. Preparing the Data for Analysis (Contd.) Statistically Adjusting the Data + Scale Transformation 3 Scale values are manipulated to ensure comparability with other scales 3 Standardization allows the researcher to compare variables that have been measured using different types of scales 3 Variables are forced to have a mean of zero and a standard deviation of one 3 Can be done Marketing on interval or ratioAaker, Day data Essentials of only Research Kumar, scaled
  • 12. Simple Tabulation 3 Consists of counting the number of cases that fall into various categories Use of Simple Tabulation 3 Determine empirical distribution (frequency distribution) of the variable in question 3 Calculate summary statistics, particularly the mean or percentages 3 Aid in "data cleaning" aspects Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 13. Frequency Distribution 3 Reports the number of responses that each question received 3 Organizes data into classes or groups of values 3 Shows number of observations that fall into each class 3 Can be illustrated simply as a number or as a percentage or histogram 3 Response categories may be combined for many questions 3 Should result inResearch Essentials of Marketing categories Kumar, Aaker,worthwhile with Day
  • 14. Descriptive Statistics 3 Statistics normally associated with a frequency distribution to help summarize information in the frequency table 3 Measures of central tendency mean, median and mode 3 Measures of dispersion (range, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation) 3 Measures of shape (skewness and kurtosis) Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 15. Analysis for Various Population Subgroups 3 Differences between means or percentages of two subgroup responses can provide insights 3 Difference between means is concerned with the association between two questions 3 Question upon which means are based are intervally scaled Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 16. Cross Tabulations 3 Statistical analysis technique to study the relationships among and between variables 3 Sample is divided to learn how the dependent variable varies from subgroup to subgroup 3 Frequency distribution for each subgroup is compared to the frequency distribution for the total sample 3 The two variables that are analyzed must be Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 17. Factors Influencing the Choice of Statistical Technique Type of Data x Classification of data involves nominal, ordinal, interval and ratio scales of measurement x Nominal scaling is restricted to the mode as the only measure of central tendency x Both median and mode can be used for ordinal scale x Non-parametric tests can only be run on ordinal data x Mean, median and mode can all be used to measure central tendency for interval and ratio scaled data Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 18. Factors Influencing the Choice of Statistical Technique (Contd.) Research Design x Dependency of observations x Number of observations per object x Number of groups being analyzed x Control exercised over variable of interest Assumptions Underlying the Test Statistic x If assumptions on which a statistical test is based are violated, the test will provide meaningless results Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 19. Overview of Statistical Techniques Univariate Techniques x Appropriate when there is a single measurement of each of the 'n' sample objects or there are several measurements of each of the `n' observations but each variable is analyzed in isolation x Nonmetric - measured on nominal or ordinal scale x Metric-measured on interval or ratio scale x Determine whether single or multiple samples are involved x For multiple samples, choice of statistical test depends on whether the samples are independent or dependent Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 20. Overview of Statistical Techniques (Contd.) Multivariate Techniques 3 A collection of procedures for analyzing association between two or more sets of measurements that have been made on each object in one or more samples of objects 3 Dependence or interdependence techniques Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 21. Overview of Statistical Techniques (Contd.) Multivariate Techniques (Contd.) Dependence Techniques 3 One or more variables can be identified as dependent variables and the remaining as independent variables 3 Choice of dependence technique depends on the number of dependent variables involved in analysis Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 22. Overview of Statistical Techniques (Contd.) Multivariate Techniques (Contd.) Interdependence Techniques 3 Whole set of interdependent relationships is examined 3 Further classified as having focus on variable or objects Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 23. Overview of Statistical Techniques (Contd.) Why Use Multivariate Analysis? 3 To group variables or people or objects 3 To improve the ability to predict variables (such as usage) 3 To understand relationships between variables (such as advertising and sales) Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 24. Hypothesis Testing: Basic Concepts 3 Assumption (hypothesis) made about a population parameter (not sample parameter) 3 Purpose of Hypothesis Testing x To make a judgement about the difference between two sample statistics or the sample statistic and a hypothesized population parameter 3 Evidence has to be evaluated statistically before arriving at a conclusion regarding the hypothesis. Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 25. Hypothesis Testing 3 The null hypothesis (Ho) is tested against the alternative hypothesis (Ha). 3 At least the null hypothesis is stated. 3 Decide upon the criteria to be used in making the decision whether to “reject” or "not reject" the null hypothesis. Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 26. Significance Level 3 Indicates the percentage of sample means that is outside the cut-off limits (critical value) 3 The higher the significance level (α) used for testing a hypothesis, the higher the probability of rejecting a null hypothesis when it is true (Type I error) 3 Accepting a null hypothesis when it is false is called a Type II error and its probability is (β) Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 27. Hypothesis Testing Tests in this class Statistical Test 3 Frequency Distributions χ2 3 Means (one) z (if σ is known) t (if σ is unknown) 3 Means (two or more) ANOVA Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 28. Cross-tabulation and Chi Square In Marketing Applications, Chi-square Statistic Is Used As Test of Independence 3 Are there associations between two or more variables in a study? Test of Goodness of Fit 3 Is there a significant difference between an observed frequency distribution and a theoretical frequency distribution? Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 29. Chi-Square As a Test of Independence Null Hypothesis Ho 3 Two (nominally scaled) variables are statistically independent Alternative Hypothesis Ha 3 The two variables are not independent Use Chi-square distribution to test. Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 30. Chi-square Statistic (χ ) 2 3 Measures of the difference between the actual numbers observed in cell i (Oi), and number expected (Ei) under independence if the null hypothesis were true (Oi − Ei ) n 2 χ =Σ2 i =1 Ei With (r-1)*(c-1) degrees of freedom r = number of rows c = number of columns 3 Expected frequency in each cell: Ei = pc * pr * n Where pc and pr are proportions for independent variables and n is the total number of observations Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 31. Chi-square Step-by-Step 1) Formulate Hypotheses 2) Calculate row and column totals 3) Calculate row and column proportions 4) Calculate expected frequencies (Ei) 5) Calculate χ2 statistic 6) Calculate degrees of freedom 7) Obtain Critical Value from table 8) Make decision regarding the Null-hypothesis Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 32. Example of Chi-square as a Test of Independence Class 1 2 A 10 8 Grade B 20 16 C 45 18 This is a ‘Cell’ D 16 6 E 9 2 Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 33. Chi-square As a Test of Independence - Exercise Own Income Expensive Low Middle High Automobile Yes 45 34 55 No 52 53 27 Task: Make a decision whether the two variables are independent! Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 34. Hypothesis Testing About a Single Mean 3 Make judgement about a single sample parameter. 3 Hypothesis testing depends on whether the population is known on not known ( X − µ) ( X − µ) z= t= σx sx if population variance if population variance is known is not known, or if sample size < 60 Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 35. Hypothesis Testing About a Single Mean - Step-by-Step 1) Formulate Hypotheses 2) Select appropriate formula 3) Select significance level 4) Calculate z or t statistic 5) Calculate degrees of freedom (for t-test) 6) Obtain critical value from table 7) Make decision regarding the Null- hypothesis Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 36. Hypothesis Testing About a Single Mean - Example 1 3 Ho: µ = 5000 (hypothesized value of population) 3 Ha: µ ≠ 5000 (alternative hypothesis) 3 n = 100 3 X = 4960 3 σ = 250 3 α = 0.05 Rejection rule: if |zcalc| > zα/2 then reject Ho. Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 37. Hypothesis Testing About a Single Mean - Example 2 3 Ho: µ = 1000 (hypothesized value of population) 3 Ha: µ ≠ 1000 (alternative hypothesis) 3 n = 12 3 X = 1087.1 3 s = 191.6 3 α = 0.01 Rejection rule: if |tcalc| > tdf, α/2 then reject Ho. Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 38. Hypothesis Testing About a Single Mean - Example 3 3 Ho: µ ≤ 1000 (hypothesized value of population) 3 Ha: µ > 1000 (alternative hypothesis) 3 n = 12 3 X = 1087.1 3 s = 191.6 3 α = 0.05 Rejection rule: if tcalc > tdf, α then reject Ho. Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 39. Confidence Intervals 3 Hypothesis testing and Confidence Intervals are two sides of the same coin. ( X − µ) t= ⇒ X ± ts x = interval sx estimate of µ Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 40. Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) 3 Response variable - dependent variable (Y) 3 Factor(s) - independent variables (X) 3 Treatments - different levels of factors (r1, r2, r3, …) Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 41. Example (Book p.495) Product Sales 1 2 3 4 5 Total Xp 39¢ 8 12 10 9 11 50 10 Price Level 44 ¢ 7 10 6 8 9 40 8 49 ¢ 4 8 7 9 7 35 7 Overall sample mean: X = 8.333 Overall sample size: n = 15 No. of observations per price level: np = 5 Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 42. Example (Book p.495) Grand Mean Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 43. One - Factor Analysis of Variance 3 Studies the effect of 'r' treatments on one response variable 3 Determine whether or not there are any statistically significant differences between the treatment means µ1, µ2,... µR 3 Ho: All treatments have same effect on mean responses 3 H1 : At least 2 of µ1, µ2 ... µr are different Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 44. One - Factor ANOVA - Intuitively If: Between Treatment Variance Within Treatment Variance Wis large then there are differences between treatments i is small then there are no differences between treatments 3 To Test Hypothesis, Compute the Ratio Between the "Between Treatment" Variance and "Within Treatment" Variance Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 45. One - Factor ANOVA Table Source of Variation Degrees of Mean Sum F-ratio Variation (SS) Freedom of Squares Between SSr r-1 MSSr =SSr/r-1 MSSr (price levels) MSSu Within SSu n-r MSSu=SSu/n-r (price levels) Total SSt n-1 Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day
  • 46. One - Factor Analysis of Variance 3 Between Treatment Variance r Σ SSr = p=1 np (Xp - X)2 = 23.3 n r 3 Within-treatment variance p i=1 p=1 SSu = Σ Σ (Xip - Xp)2 = 34 Where SSr = treatment sums of squares r = number of groups size of group ‘p’ np = sampleEssentialsin Marketing Research X = meanAaker,group p Kumar, of Day
  • 47. One - Factor Analysis of Variance 3 Between variance estimate (MSSr) MSSr = SSr/(r-1) = 23.3/2 = 11.65 3 Within variance estimate (MSSu) MSSu = SSu/(n-r) = 34/12 = 2.8 Where n = total sample size Research Essentials of Marketing r = Kumar, Aaker, of groups number Day
  • 48. One - Factor Analysis of Variance 3 Total variation (SSt): SSt = SSr + SSu = 23.3+34 = 57.3 3 F-statistic: F = MSSr / MSSu = 11.65/2.8 = 4.16 3 DF: (r-1), (n-r) = 2, 12 3 Critical value from table: CV(α, df) = 3.89 Essentials of Marketing Research Kumar, Aaker, Day

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Solutions for Confidence Interval Exercises (last class):  x 95% 90% Problem 1: 4/7 (54.85, 57.14) (55.05, 56.95) (X bar =56, s=4, n = 49) Problem 2: 4/10 (55.2, 56.8) (55.33, 56.66) (X bar =56, s=4, n = 100)
  2. Look at book page 473: explain Type I/II error
  3. We do not deal with Goodness of fit!!
  4. Test whether grade and class are related: Ho: Grade and Class are not related Ha: Grade and Class are related Class Sum 1 2 A 10 (12) 8 (6) 18 (0.12) Grade B 20 (24) 16 (12) 36 (0.24) C 45 (42) 18 (21) 63 (0.42) D 16 (14.66) 6 (7.33) 22 (0.1466) E 9 (7.33) 2 (3.66) 11 (0.0733) Sum: 100 (0.666) 50 (0.333) 150  2 = (10-12) 2 /12 + (8-6) 2 /6 + (20-24) 2 /24 + (16-12) 2/ 12 + (45-42) 2 /42 + (18-21) 2 /21 + (16-14.66) 2 /14.66 + (6-7.33) 2 /7.33 + (9-7.33) 2 /7.33 + (2-3.66) 2 /3.66 = 0.333 + 0.666 + 0.666 + 1.333 + 0.214 + 0.428 + 0.121 + 0.2424 + 0.3787 + 0.752 = 5.136 df = (r-1)*(c-1) = 4*1 = 4  = 0.05 (significance level) Critical value (from table) = 9.49 Since 5.136 &lt; than CV: not reject
  5. Chi-Square = 14.201 df= 2 (r-1)*(c-1) = (2-1)*(3-1) = 2  = 0.05 CV = 5.991 Reject Ho of independence
  6. Talk about Z and t distribution
  7. Population case: therefore z-test Standard error of mean:  x =  /sqrt(n) = 250/10 = 25 z= (4960-5000) / 25 = -1.6 z  /2 = 1.96 if |z calc | &gt; z  /2 then reject Ho since |-1.6| &lt; 1.96 do not reject Ho.
  8. Softdrink manufacturer plans to introduce new soft drink. 12 supermarkets are selected at random and soft drink is offered in these supermarkets for limited time.Average existing softdrink sales are 1000, new softdrink sales are 1087.1 Sample &lt; 60 therefore t-test Standard error of mean: s x = s /sqrt(n) = 191.6/sqrt(12) = 55.31 t calc = (1087.1-1000) / 55.31 = 1.57 df = 12-1 = 11 t 11 ,  /2 = 3.106 if |t calc | &gt; t  /2 then reject Ho since |1.57| &lt; 3.106 do not reject Ho.
  9. One sided test Sample &lt; 30 therefore t-test Standard error of mean:  x =  /sqrt(n) = 191.6/sqrt(12) = 55.31 t calc = (1087.1-1000) / 55.31 = 1.57 df = 12-1 = 11 t 11 ,  /2 = 1.796 if t calc &gt; t  then reject Ho since 1.57 &lt; 1.796 do not reject Ho. Rejection rule for opposite directionality: if t calc &lt; -t  then reject Ho