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Agile Metrics 
Steve Lawrence 
Slice Consulting Pty Ltd Your pic
STEVE LAWRENCE 
flickr.com/angelabethell/ 
@goriansteve
A Metrics talk by Steve Lawrence
“ 
Establish an Economic Framework 
Our overall goal is to influence economic outcomes 
“ 
Our most important decisions involve tradeoffs between multiple measures of 
performance 
When done correctly; an economic 
framework will shine a bright light 
into all the dark corners of product 
development 
Don Reinertsen, The Principles of Product Development Flow Vapor trail
Why do we want to capture metrics 
What is the purpose 
How will they be used 
Who are they for
Why Metrics? 
To support decision making processes 
Measure Value (Product) or Process 
To affirm and reinforce Lean and Agile principles 
To measure outcomes 
To follow trends, not numbers 
Reveal, rather than conceal, context and significant variables 
Provide fuel for meaningful conversation
At the current churn rate, 75% of the S&P 
will be replaced by 2027
If a measurement happens at all, it is because it must have 
some conceivable effect on decision and behavior. If we can't 
identify what decisions could be affected by a proposed 
measurement and how that measurement could change them, 
then the measurement simply has no value. 
“How to Measure Anything” By Douglas W. Hubbard 
“ 
“
What For? 
Support organisational objectives 
Optimise learning 
Should be simple, big & visible 
Well-understood and easily adopted 
Guide actions and decisions 
“Escape Velocity” By Geoffrey Moore
Bad Metrics 
Collected because they always have been 
Encourage gaming of the system 
Result in bad behavior 
Ignore the system 
Don’t align with the Why!! 
@goriansteve
The Seven Deadly Sins of 
Agile Measurement 
1. Using metrics as levers 
2. Using a convenient metric (rather than one that provides 
critical insight) 
3. Bad analysis 
4. Motivating people to hide information 
5. Too costly measures 
6. Too many measures (information overload) 
7. Too few measures (unbalanced) 
Larry Maccherone, Rally Software
Types of Metrics 
Internal vs. External 
Qualitative vs. Quantitative 
System Efficiency vs. Local Efficiency 
Hypotheses, Experiments, and Little Bets
Some Common Measures
Remember 
we are not so good at 
estimating
we are good at 
comparison 
www.cpcstrategy.com
Productivity Metrics 
Value Points Delivered per Time Period 
Cost per Value Point 
Concept To Cash 
Revenue per Employee 
Lead Time per Story 
Mean Time to Ticket Resolution 
SLA Achievement Metrics 
Velocity
i-x 
J-A 
10-1
Stable Teams 
Creates an almost 2:1 difference in throughput in Teams 
that are 95% or more dedicated compared to teams that are 
less than 50% dedicated. 
AND 
60% better productivity 
40% better predictability 
60% better responsiveness.
Predictability 
Say / Do Ratio 
Velocity Variance 
Cycle Time per Story Point 
Feature Comparison 
Epic Comparison 
flickr.com/uggboy
Customer Satisfaction 
Net Promoter Score Trending 
Customer Satisfaction Trending 
Repeats / Renewals 
flickr.com/amne//
Quality 
Maintenance Complexity Trending 
Defect Density 
Issue Re-introduction Rate 
Defect Arrival / Kill Rate 
Unit Test Coverage 
Auto Functional Test Coverage 
flickr.com/ivyfield/
Employee Satisfaction 
Employee Satisfaction Trending (surveys) 
Attrition Rates 
Pain Scale 
Retrospective Outcomes
Responsiveness 
Cycle Time per Story 
Lead Time per Story 
Queue / Batch Size 
Average Impediment Lifetime 
Mean Time to Release 
Mean Time to Fix 
flickr.com/y500
By themselves Metrics don’t tell the 
story. Trends Do!!
Velocity 
- a guide not a target
How Velocity Works 
This iteration we completed 90 story points and next 
iteration we will do 160 
Whoa - What does your velocity look like over 
the last 3 iterations? 
Well over the last 3 iterations we completed 45, 
80 and 70 story points. 
Ok, so what has changed in your team or your 
work that makes you think you can achieve 160 
story points? 
Nothing, but to satisfy our customer we have to.
Velocity 
poor cadence, unpredictable
Velocity 
better cadence, more predictable
Program Velocity? 
23 points per sprint 
235 points per sprint 
Team A 
Team B
Examples of Badness 
I want the ‘Blue’ team to work on my projects 
because their velocity is higher 
I want to compare the output of people in the 
Team 
We committed to 120 points and completed 
them all and carried forward 30? 
HUH 
As a manager I have to constantly drive my 
teams to ensure they meet the goals ‘we’ set
Burndown Charts 
@goriansteve #agileaus
Manage Flow - Watch your WIP
Lean Start Up: Experiments 
“Lean Start Up” By Eric Ries
The Lean Canvas 30-Jun-2014 
Proposed Solution 
Iteration #1 
Problem Conceptual Solution 
Metrics Outcomes 
Top 
features 
Expected 
Outcome 
Unique Value Notes 
Proposition 
Single, clear, compelling 
message that states why 
the solution will be 
different and worth 
experimentation 
Impact Mapping Communications Plan 
PRODUCT 
Learnings 
Deploy / Pivot / RIP 
Lean Canvas is adapted from The Business Model Canvas (http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com) and is licensed under the Creative Commons 
Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Un-ported License.
V0.81
WSJF Prioritising 
user value + time value + RR | OE 
job size 
“Images used with permission of Scaled Agile, Inc. See ScaledAgileFramework.com for more information
My Example 
Feature User 
Business 
Value 
Time 
Criticality 
Risk 
Reduction/Opportunit 
y Enablement 
Cost of 
Delay 
Job 
Size 
WSJF 
Presentation 
5 8 6 19 10 1.90 
Sales Proposal 
10 10 9 29 7 4.14 
Remote 
Training 
feedback 3 3 3 9 4 2.25
Value 
In our experience no single sensitivity is 
more eye-opening than cost of delay 
Don Reinertsen, The Principles of Product Development Flow 
Time 
“ 
Cost of 
Delay 
“
AGILE EVM 
Measures Schedule and 
Performance – not Value 
Forecasts in financial units 
Expects everything to be 
defined up front 
No Assertion of Quality 
PV, EV, CPI, SPI, ETC, EAC
Capacity Planning as a 
Metric
Waiting Times more than 
double as utilisation moves 
from 80% to 90% and 
double again as it moves 
from 90% to 95% 
Don Reinertsen, The Principles of Product Development Flow
Control Queues Not Capacity Utilisation 
Don Reinertsen, The Principles of Product Development Flow 
Waiting on SME’s Longer Cycle Times 
Waiting on Sign Offs Increased Risk 
Management Reviews More Variability 
Big Upfront Analysis More Overhead 
Waiting on Releases Lower Quality 
Waiting More Administration 
Waiting Less Motivation 
Waiting Flow On effects
Why do we want to capture metrics 
What decisions or behaviours do you wish to impact 
How will they be used 
Lever or to facilitate feedback 
Who will use the metrics 
Are the metrics fit for purpose 
@goriansteve
Why do we want to capture metrics 
What is the purpose 
How will they be used 
Who are they for
Thank You! 
steve@sliceconsult.co.nz 
@goriansteve 
0404523668
Defect Density 
My Hypothesis = 95-100%
Draw 2 parallel lines
At one end of the parallel 
lines, draw a line at right 
angles to them
At the other end of the 
parallel lines, draw an 
inverted V
At one end of the inverted V, draw 
2 parallel lines
On the end of the parallel lines 
you just drew, draw a line at right 
angles to them
Customer collaboration over contract negotiation 
Individuals and interactions over processes and tools 
Better Outcomes
Steve Lawrence 
Slice Consulting Pty Ltd 
Your pic 
Thanks for listening…

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Steve Lawrence - Agile Metrics

  • 1. Agile Metrics Steve Lawrence Slice Consulting Pty Ltd Your pic
  • 3. A Metrics talk by Steve Lawrence
  • 4. “ Establish an Economic Framework Our overall goal is to influence economic outcomes “ Our most important decisions involve tradeoffs between multiple measures of performance When done correctly; an economic framework will shine a bright light into all the dark corners of product development Don Reinertsen, The Principles of Product Development Flow Vapor trail
  • 5. Why do we want to capture metrics What is the purpose How will they be used Who are they for
  • 6. Why Metrics? To support decision making processes Measure Value (Product) or Process To affirm and reinforce Lean and Agile principles To measure outcomes To follow trends, not numbers Reveal, rather than conceal, context and significant variables Provide fuel for meaningful conversation
  • 7. At the current churn rate, 75% of the S&P will be replaced by 2027
  • 8. If a measurement happens at all, it is because it must have some conceivable effect on decision and behavior. If we can't identify what decisions could be affected by a proposed measurement and how that measurement could change them, then the measurement simply has no value. “How to Measure Anything” By Douglas W. Hubbard “ “
  • 9. What For? Support organisational objectives Optimise learning Should be simple, big & visible Well-understood and easily adopted Guide actions and decisions “Escape Velocity” By Geoffrey Moore
  • 10. Bad Metrics Collected because they always have been Encourage gaming of the system Result in bad behavior Ignore the system Don’t align with the Why!! @goriansteve
  • 11. The Seven Deadly Sins of Agile Measurement 1. Using metrics as levers 2. Using a convenient metric (rather than one that provides critical insight) 3. Bad analysis 4. Motivating people to hide information 5. Too costly measures 6. Too many measures (information overload) 7. Too few measures (unbalanced) Larry Maccherone, Rally Software
  • 12. Types of Metrics Internal vs. External Qualitative vs. Quantitative System Efficiency vs. Local Efficiency Hypotheses, Experiments, and Little Bets
  • 14. Remember we are not so good at estimating
  • 15. we are good at comparison www.cpcstrategy.com
  • 16. Productivity Metrics Value Points Delivered per Time Period Cost per Value Point Concept To Cash Revenue per Employee Lead Time per Story Mean Time to Ticket Resolution SLA Achievement Metrics Velocity
  • 17.
  • 19. Stable Teams Creates an almost 2:1 difference in throughput in Teams that are 95% or more dedicated compared to teams that are less than 50% dedicated. AND 60% better productivity 40% better predictability 60% better responsiveness.
  • 20. Predictability Say / Do Ratio Velocity Variance Cycle Time per Story Point Feature Comparison Epic Comparison flickr.com/uggboy
  • 21. Customer Satisfaction Net Promoter Score Trending Customer Satisfaction Trending Repeats / Renewals flickr.com/amne//
  • 22. Quality Maintenance Complexity Trending Defect Density Issue Re-introduction Rate Defect Arrival / Kill Rate Unit Test Coverage Auto Functional Test Coverage flickr.com/ivyfield/
  • 23. Employee Satisfaction Employee Satisfaction Trending (surveys) Attrition Rates Pain Scale Retrospective Outcomes
  • 24. Responsiveness Cycle Time per Story Lead Time per Story Queue / Batch Size Average Impediment Lifetime Mean Time to Release Mean Time to Fix flickr.com/y500
  • 25. By themselves Metrics don’t tell the story. Trends Do!!
  • 26. Velocity - a guide not a target
  • 27. How Velocity Works This iteration we completed 90 story points and next iteration we will do 160 Whoa - What does your velocity look like over the last 3 iterations? Well over the last 3 iterations we completed 45, 80 and 70 story points. Ok, so what has changed in your team or your work that makes you think you can achieve 160 story points? Nothing, but to satisfy our customer we have to.
  • 28. Velocity poor cadence, unpredictable
  • 29. Velocity better cadence, more predictable
  • 30. Program Velocity? 23 points per sprint 235 points per sprint Team A Team B
  • 31. Examples of Badness I want the ‘Blue’ team to work on my projects because their velocity is higher I want to compare the output of people in the Team We committed to 120 points and completed them all and carried forward 30? HUH As a manager I have to constantly drive my teams to ensure they meet the goals ‘we’ set
  • 33. Manage Flow - Watch your WIP
  • 34. Lean Start Up: Experiments “Lean Start Up” By Eric Ries
  • 35. The Lean Canvas 30-Jun-2014 Proposed Solution Iteration #1 Problem Conceptual Solution Metrics Outcomes Top features Expected Outcome Unique Value Notes Proposition Single, clear, compelling message that states why the solution will be different and worth experimentation Impact Mapping Communications Plan PRODUCT Learnings Deploy / Pivot / RIP Lean Canvas is adapted from The Business Model Canvas (http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com) and is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Un-ported License.
  • 36. V0.81
  • 37. WSJF Prioritising user value + time value + RR | OE job size “Images used with permission of Scaled Agile, Inc. See ScaledAgileFramework.com for more information
  • 38. My Example Feature User Business Value Time Criticality Risk Reduction/Opportunit y Enablement Cost of Delay Job Size WSJF Presentation 5 8 6 19 10 1.90 Sales Proposal 10 10 9 29 7 4.14 Remote Training feedback 3 3 3 9 4 2.25
  • 39. Value In our experience no single sensitivity is more eye-opening than cost of delay Don Reinertsen, The Principles of Product Development Flow Time “ Cost of Delay “
  • 40. AGILE EVM Measures Schedule and Performance – not Value Forecasts in financial units Expects everything to be defined up front No Assertion of Quality PV, EV, CPI, SPI, ETC, EAC
  • 42. Waiting Times more than double as utilisation moves from 80% to 90% and double again as it moves from 90% to 95% Don Reinertsen, The Principles of Product Development Flow
  • 43.
  • 44. Control Queues Not Capacity Utilisation Don Reinertsen, The Principles of Product Development Flow Waiting on SME’s Longer Cycle Times Waiting on Sign Offs Increased Risk Management Reviews More Variability Big Upfront Analysis More Overhead Waiting on Releases Lower Quality Waiting More Administration Waiting Less Motivation Waiting Flow On effects
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. Why do we want to capture metrics What decisions or behaviours do you wish to impact How will they be used Lever or to facilitate feedback Who will use the metrics Are the metrics fit for purpose @goriansteve
  • 48. Why do we want to capture metrics What is the purpose How will they be used Who are they for
  • 49. Thank You! steve@sliceconsult.co.nz @goriansteve 0404523668
  • 50.
  • 51. Defect Density My Hypothesis = 95-100%
  • 53. At one end of the parallel lines, draw a line at right angles to them
  • 54. At the other end of the parallel lines, draw an inverted V
  • 55. At one end of the inverted V, draw 2 parallel lines
  • 56. On the end of the parallel lines you just drew, draw a line at right angles to them
  • 57.
  • 58. Customer collaboration over contract negotiation Individuals and interactions over processes and tools Better Outcomes
  • 59. Steve Lawrence Slice Consulting Pty Ltd Your pic Thanks for listening…

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Agile is a team game, but for metrics to be successful we have to look at the entire system – not just the individual components.
  2. Talk about objective and outcomes – then what you are going to do to gather data to change the outcomes
  3. [SL] Lifespans of top companies are shrinking, according to a study of the S&P 500 Index • in 1958 companies on the S&P500 had a 61-year tenure for an average firm this narrowed to 25 years in 1980 —to 18 years now. • A warning to executives: At current churn rate, 75% of the S&P 500 will be replaced by2027. I wonder how this would compare on the ASX200, NZSE50, SGX200 To survive and thrive, leaders must “create opportunities, operate efficiently, trade off maturing or non productive product lines and build new divisions at the pace commensurate with the market without losing control of the company. Thinking in those terms it is obvious that Portfolio management is critical for long term profitability
  4. Tidy up
  5. There are multiple classifications of metrics that I hear people concerned with and that I see people tracking.
  6. Relative units of sizing Applied at the story level Slides 152, 153: Change the graphics  
  7. Showcase the impact of concept switching- usually a 2:1 ratio difference between working on a single project at a time vs 3 at a time Refer to the “Insights” metrics fro Rally insights.
  8. This is what the date from nearly 13,000 different teams show about stable teams:
  9. Discuss cost of replacing experienced engineers
  10. Al Gore up the cheery picker showcasing global warning
  11. Accepting that Trends are am important factor – lets use Velocity as a tool to show how important Trends are
  12. A principle metric is a Cumulative Flow Diagram, which shows us how much work is in progress over time. It’s broken out by the work states that item progress through. On a CFD, any vertical line tells us how much WIP there was on that day It shows how smoothly work is flowing, where the bottlenecks are, This is valuable input for helping decide where to focus our improvement efforts. Batch Times – lower costs, etc
  13. http://www.rallydev.com/sites/default/files/Measuring__Integrated_Progress_on_Agile_Projects_using_Rally_0.pdf Agile methods do not define how to manage and track costs to evaluate expected Return on Investment information. Therefore the iteration burndown and burnup charts (as used in Scrum) do not provide at a glance project cost information. Agile metrics neither provide estimates of cost at completion of the release nor cost metrics to support the business when they consider making decisions like changing requirements in a release. AgileEVM does provide this information, and is therefore a excellent extension to the information provided by burndown charts.
  14. Talk about objective and outcomes – then what you are going to do to gather data to change the outcomes
  15. Talk about objective and outcomes – then what you are going to do to gather data to change the outcomes